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HomeMy WebLinkAboutA - Proposed Budget - PowerPointI May 23, 2017 Item WIWI ' liposed FY 20117-18 TF Meeting of Pthe City Counc lH he _ mance, Committee May 2 , 201 Y 3 7 puna Vutuuptd tptauputd satitttaed of Ws -ss jo ,zajsueIL fqajps pup ajit jo klitpnb s,Ajtunwwoa aul Supupttua uo snaoj panupuoJ Suoils uipuuai sanjasa,z 3g sanuaAa-a alppdn dD JOJ Wis sapntaui `dI:) pun3 tpJauaq ui jUaWlsanui 1/\J5$ p 11!JS g,„I gS•S,kq Ouljj,els auiil-ii-ed jo asea.iaul Oulgels auiil-ijnj 01 aiiuleuz) lau ON Jst 3 x) I t t �t� u� M punj tpj!dp:) sailmag 3g joq.ipH 01 (Wgs) ja,k uoisnjui lsa2.ip- . ' suoisuad .ioj juatuXud kipuoijansip sp a,zow W6$ . paz)uptpq si ja0png . sIy-0r1y4iH - ja0png pasodOld Si-Ltoz� oll I I I Sources and Uses -All Funds Summary of the FY 2017-18 Proposed Budget All Funds (Millions) Operating Budget 2016-17 Revised Expenditures $276.6 2017-18 Proposed Expenditures Variance 1.9% CI P Projects $76.8 $25.1 -67.3% Total Budget $353.4 $306.9 -13.2% %6'96- £'0$ Z'6$ (4iogaa)/snjdjnS %V'"V £'SZZ$ 6'92$ sash mol %E'Z- 9'ZZ$ £'EZ$ Ino sialsmi %Z'S S'ZOZ$ 9*M6 $ saanlipuedxD 6uileaado sash %Z'0 9'SZZ$ �'SZZ$ saoinoS jejol %9'90- 9'0$ 6'9$ sapisb las %6'tb L'L$ £'L$ U saajsueal %�'tl £'60Z$ �' W3 onuana�j 6uileaado %S'SL- Z'6$ 6'0L$ snjdanS aeaA aoiad sao.inoS aoueiaen 196pn8 p6pn8 pasodoad pasinaN WL HOZ L �-MZ (suoilliW) ja6pn8 pasodoad 9�-LW A -A punk leaauaE) ayj jo AjewwnS pun, Ipjauaq - sasn pug sa:).znos @NJ I I I City Charter Requirements Requires Budget Budget submittal to Council at least 35 days prior to July i • Requires public notice and public hearing • Council shall adopt budget on or before June 30 5 gI-GiOZ JP3,T, 1p:)Sl j sanuaAa-H jnoqV ggi III FY2017-i8 General Fund Revenue (millions) ■ Property Taxes $99.9 ■ Sales Tax $35.9 Transient Occupancy Tax $z4.3 __i Other Taxes $8.3 All Other Sources $40.9 FY 2017-18 Total $209.3 million FY ao16-17 Total $201.1 million m % VV %O'OU 9 WOZ£ `60Z$ %£'0 %9,CZ 6£9`9L l,`6V %9'L %9' 1, 1, 996`Z££` -VZ 00v`s0 �, w$ 5V£ `6t0 `6tb Ltbtb `8L5 `ZZ anuanaN pun.1 jeaauaE) jejol anuana�l aaulp II`d xel Aauednoop luaisueal %8'£ %Z'L 1- OL£ `ZE6 `9£ 8v9 `u 9 `-Vc xel sales %E'S %L'L"b 0-V£ `9L9 `66 096 `-b99 `tb6 xel fqaadoad suoilduinssV anuana-H pun, ipzauaj) Si-Lioz Xj 011 I I I Assessed Valuation Growth $60,000,000,000 ____ Percentage change over prior year 6.5% $50,000,000,000—._.. ------- _—_.._.._....._._...---.........-. o. 5�% 0 5.2 $40,000,000,000---g-7�/� - - 5.9% 1.8% 0.2% 1.0% 2.9/0 $30,000,000,000 — $20,000,000,000 --- $10, 000,000,000 .... .......... --- o11 O`b oO�O°� OOH-�� Oyp titi titi ti3 Oy3 ya tih 16 0 (OA. ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti ti W 01 ot cjt asod $�a pr 9Qo d 9 �'�Q �d c ��e �d ��e �d `� Zee d Z ��� d ti� ��e �d �ti 60er °d 6� ager °d $� Lo� �d �� 9��2 °ad ��. V ti ti ti T" P \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ -- 000'000'ozs 000'000'ovs — -- 000`000'095 o a o ii�v /nln= %q-0- --_O/,/'7 000'000'085 .___.-.._ 0". w 9 ___._. _._..__.__-_.-_-__ 000'000'0015 - __-- -.__ _ -_ - _ - _ -- -- _-__ ___a _ __ _ _ ___ _____ _ _ . ��a� ,�oi,�d ,nano a U Lu ' xe _-_____----------___-- 000'000'ozi5 sanuana-H x-eZ -iWado.ld 0 1 I I I Sales Tax Revenues Note: FY 17 decrease due to one-time receipt of $2.7 million in FY 16. Net of a one-time increase, Sales Taxes grew 1.2% in FY 17. 11 ZI a Pr Lv 9e0 d 9ti 9�e d 5ti d �� d �� Zee d Zti d AN 0�e d �� 60e d 60 8002 d $� X002 d P \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \erg \erg' 000'000'sS 000'000'oiS %fo iv,zi- iZ*EZ °ic s 000'000'stiS °iS'6E iczi 000'000'oz$ %87 %Z' Z T %6'L _ �__.. __ _._._ _._._ ._-.-- --- WL - -......._.._._...._.._.._......_____ 000'000`SZ$ i°s c _. ___..._._. _._____-_-- �pa� .zoi�d ,rano 32UPIID aluaaJad xel A:)uedn��p juaisueal �.. --- - - - - .._. ..-......___ - -----..,.____... - ---- -- 000'000'OES sanuana-H xP,I, Paq lalOH/JLOJL 011 I I I Budget Priorities Fiscal Year 2017-18 13 VT s.iPajk Oz .iaAO uoijjtuU z•zt$- s�?uiAPS Isa,iaJui mDu PN �► - s,i-earl oz ui ,�Iijigij jjo kpd Oi W6s �► :uoij-e2ijgo uoisuad uMop k -ed ol l,iojja panutiuoD �► sanuanaJ Ouil-e iado Ouilsixa woj uotjjtw is snjd snjd.ins uoljjjw S$ saATaaa.i upjd jujtde:) satjaeag pu-e .iogjPH maN �► (,ioqJ-eH a -j4 JOJ %OS pup jgap umop k -ed of %oS) 10110d Ljj!m jualsisuoa snjd.ins ja0pnq 9i -St Ad jo asn �• ® auijdtasiQ pup juawa�3-euieW j-easi3 Ouo.ijS . (Lioz •.ipW) VVV pawiijj-ea,i s,,kpooy\l `Poz •,idV) OuIRRI VVV paw,'!JJeaJ LjJU - aPJO,id IvOuleui1 -OuOJIS . tkjiiiClPLIiL'�Sris I-emij :�i.zoi.zd �a?I owl Key Priority: Invest More in Harbor and Beaches ��=Tqmm: M.M. ME • ' : . Balboa Island Seawall Replacement - West End $ 4,971,225 Balboa Island Seawall Cap - North / South Sides $ 2,000,000 Newport Pier Platform and Piles $ 1,3o6,o99 American Legion Bulkhead $ 1,000,000 Grand Canal Dredging $ 8o0 000 Ocean Piers Inspection and Maintenance $ 7o6,791 Harbor -wide Dredging / Planning $ 500,000 Bilge Pump -out Dock / Oil Collection Centers $ 200,000 Beach and Bay Sand Management $ 150,000 Harbor Maintenance / Minor Improvements $ 150,000 Seawall Extensions $ 150,000 Abandoned /Surrendered Watercraft Abatement $ 100,000 Harbor Tide Gauge $ 50,000 TOTAL $ 12,o84,115 ---^ STRUCTURAL RETROFIT, TOP OF WALL +8.5 FT NAVD88 Q - NEW SEAWALL, TOP OF WALL +9.0 FT NAVD88- �--� CAP EXTENSION, TOP OF WALL +9.0 FT NAVD88 CAP EXTENSION, TOP OF WALL +8.5 FT NAVD88 C 15 U (sldgpngarc .8uzpn1.iut) ZgL *I TL Tgs - CID pasodoj,j si Al %t,£ %b W 0'EZ$ W 5'Z$ n9ni nn — x --- I Innni inrlei in i i %S W 6'Z$ J OIEM W T•E$ J@IennalseM suoi//�/W ui SJD11Op osiW %O Z W 9'£Z$ sag3eaq -g 'saogJeH 'sued %OT W s'9$ uauauoainu3 gen-0 aaleM i-ea,zD -Out�looZ u��ag �.�odn�aN daa)l :�i.zoT,zd fax .' 141 Key Priority: Provide Safety in the Community Police Department • i new Animal Control Officer for a variety of needs • New police car computers Fire Department: • Basic Fire Academy - training for newly hired firefighters • Additional set of ALS Equipment to cover everyday medical needs of residents/visitors. 17 Si Si-Gioz xea)� 1p:)si j sajnllpuadxH jnoqV NMI III ■ General Government H Public Safety Community Development L-_1 Public Works Community Services FY2017-i8 General Fund Proposed Operating Expenditures by Function (in Millions) FY IMS -IR 0.3% Non Departmental & Estimated Salary Savings FY Zoi6-r7 Total $192.6 million Total $202.5 million 19 oz %Z'S %V'L9 - %L'Z %E'9 %L'S %Z'tl paslnaN Ad JOAO OBueu0 % %0'00 %C'0 %VzZ %9'91 %9'9 %L'£9 %L'8 le6pna dO JJ WWI 10 % n£`OSZ`80Z 000 `9ZL `9 t££ `5Zs `ZOZ VOL `989 0£V8Zt,`t,Z £L6 `9ZL `LE 98L ` � 9E `E � Z08 `908 `8M 0V9`9 [9`L � saan;lpuadx3 posodoad 8VLHOZ 96Z` Gti6`86 � 000'09C'9 96Z ` 46S`Z6 4 (998` AZO` 0 C89 `9LL `£Z E-bL `L8Z`L£ 899 `Z69`Z t L t 9 `996 `ZO t 09L'669'9 � saan;lpuodx3 paslnab LV HOZ 98Z`OLO`96� 000,099,9 98Z `OZS `06 4 VOL`989 69E `969 `ZZ 88Z`Z£6`9£ £69 `91 t `Z � 8tb [ `889 ` �U tb60 ` G t,9'9 t saanllpuedx3 paldopy L 4-9 HOZ le6pnEl pun j leaauaO lelol Inp aalsueal pUe Sd IO punzl leaauaE) ;96pn8 Bul}e.ideo punct leaauaO le}ol dxA -ldaa uoN punct leaauaE) saovueS Apnwwoo gjoM ollgnd juawdolaAaa �4lunwwoo /�aIeS o!Ignd JuauauaanoE) leaauaL,:) salIlnI13V pue uol}oun=l (SUOIII!W) uotl:)unj req ,k.zpuiuzns a,znlipuadxj pun, 1piaual) IN I Changes in Full -Time Positions Full Time Position Eliminated Dept Library Clerk Library Groundsworker RSS Groundsworker MOD Groundsworker MOD Facilities Maintenance Technician* MOD * Checklist Item Full Time Position Added Dept Deputy City Attorney (early 2017) CAO Budget Analyst Finance Building Inspector CDD Animal Control Officer PD Traffic Engineer PW -600z aauts %fit .io `saakoldwa auiil-llnj 8oi uMop aJP aM PuDJJL uoilisod aui1Z-iin,�oil I B I0Z L 10Z 9102 9 I OZ -vIOZ E IOZ Z IOZ I I OZ 0106 60OZ 80OZ 099 089 OOL OZL t,zL ilzL SZL OSL 9EL OVL o Z4L 09L 10 0 £9L 08L 3. N Z6L 008 908 Oz8 ZE8 LZ8 0b8 098 PuDJJL uoilisod aui1Z-iin,�oil I IN 1 Other Staffing Changes • City Attorney -various reclassifications • Human Resources - addition of 0.5 part-time Student Aide • City Cleric - addition of 1.96 part-time Department Assistant (Limited Term) and 0.5 part-time Records Specialist (Limited Term) • Recreation and Senior Services -reclassify one position • Municipal Operations - addition of limited term Intern, one reclassification of Water Supervisor • Public Works - Add o.5 part-time Technical Aide and overtime staffing • City Manager - reclassification of part-time • Police - Add o.96 part-time Community position Services Officer • Information Technology - various reclassifications Net Staffing Change - Up 5.58 FTEs part-time and no change in full-time, if checklist adopted. FYI, harbor mooring admin not included in these allocations yet. (jae.ijuoa leuijLw e puE jji,iaLIS DO of plied )IooS$- aup apnlaui IpAk spunj jo saa.inos) Qg,L - uL:,Id uoppjjsiuiwpu, 9ui:ioow .iogiPH • 000`o -b$ - juauidinba lioddns ajil paauI?np'e aiid 6Go`og$ - ,kwapEaV aii j aiseg . 000`oot$ - CIOW uT iuEilnsuoa aisem piloS . (aow wo.ij jaisuE.ii) 000`Ms - aauuuaiuipuz saiiiliapj z)jl j . 000`G-Fi$ - wpi2oid (Niid) ajnlEN ui isaialul l9upalsol atp joj a,inlipuadxa suoilmadp pue aaueuajupew sjuauta:)u-euuj ja0png jpjuawajddnS:)siW ow' IN Salaries & Benefits Most significant changes • MOU Contracts+$2.6M • Salaries T 3% or$2.15M • Unfunded Pension Liability and normal cost payment T $9M or 37% • Employee Contributions to PERS T $555K to sioM per year lljauaq uotsuad kjaps-uou atp jo jsoJ I-etuzoN aqj jo %og jnogV . pue `.sguiujpa algEuoisuad jiagl jo %!Ei, . puu :lsoa uoisuad Iviol jo %SC . : s,lpu,L •suoisuad spi-enrol oo5lois . : s,k-ed aakoldwa . (-Ivfl 3g 1pwjou) Isoa uotsuad ID404 Jo %59 = oog'6is . aau-einsui glipaq jo aspuamd spi-eMoi ooL'ozs . : s,kud Alts . saOrm ui ooG'og$ su,zEg . aa,koiduiE[ -klaj-es-uoN I-e:)idkl VIII Police Fire Municipal Operations Recreation and Sr Svcs Community Development Public Works Library Services Finance City Manager Human Resources City Attorney City Council City Clerk Budgeted Expenditures by Department U FY 17 Revised 0 FY 18 Proposed $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 50.5 ons) $70.0 27 8Z uoilpLu 6'g6i$ jujoL %L'£ Li-gioz A3 uoill!-Uu �-gots lieloL Bio£ sL-LLOZ AA g•g$ Aellno jejideD -g SIDa(o.id Iuauaano.idwl jejideD £'9S$ uoijeaado )g aoueuaiuiew (SUOIJIIW ut) adkZ kq 0 sa,znjipuadxg pun, jaiauaq -V'St,Z$ S}i4aua8 ?g SaiaeleS ■ Harbor and Beaches Capital Funding Sources $18,000,000 $16,000,000 $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $4,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $0 Ln r;- M m Ln r� M r-� CO Ln r%- M r -q m Ln r, N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N ■ Grants 0 Periodic GF or One -tine Transfers ■ General Fund ContribUtionS ■ Incremental Revenue Projection o£ S•gs t•tEs 6•Gz$ - 0+ O• -b - S•z S•z i'O- of i• -F •suPjd S•O C'z g•i juauiaaPjda.i - S. S. jP�.idPa pup sailg!quij i•o g•z G•z -Luial-suoj - O•i O•i purg of sSuinPs jo uoijjiui K$ Janp °•9 O'9 - - S•g S•g IPIOL JsoJ 3uaW3dDdaa - (ggdp) aauPinsuj aaiijad 3so,D 3uauu3mdaa - saauasgV pairsuaduioJ 3so,) 3uaw3,indaQ - rlijlguiZ jaiauaq 3so,D 3UOW3dDdaa - uoijusuaduioJ s,ia3j.zoM (aaldIg gunj.zPd `,LI `klajPS) juauidinbg .iatjip siafsuDdl - uialskS uoijPaiunuiuioJ kauaSiauig 3SOD 3uaui3dDdaQ - suPjd juauiaaPjda-d ajaiLjaA sdO suDdl - upjd aaupualuiPW sailijiapd saafsunal - pund jPlidPJ saxjapag -?g ,ioq,iPH s.iafsuvdl - uPjd jPiJuPuid Sai�ijiJp3 (suOl.111W LiI) SpaaN a,ITlii1j Lii 2UIISaAUl �.� III More about Pension Funding Fiscal Year 2017-i8 31 SMA oz .iano (SJejjop s,ikPP0J uT uotjjlW g$ JO) uoilpw SI$— = luawjk-ed jLuoilIpp-P jo s�uitl* MALI JaN o �-OV$ IsoD uotsuad gi-Gtoz ,&j 13N •suopmpap 3paT Dfud pin pied 'suoiingTaluoa uotsuad pajppo2au = saaAojduzg Cq pTpd auTV ______wavy$ SaaAojdwE[ kq pied IWV ssa-j «I.reIS ljsaJA,, p ION aaIuj sIsoa pionp 04'IVfl uoTsuad uo mou a.Tow �Cpd oa Iaud s,,klTJ aT.ji uo uoispap Anuoijansip p = 4uawked jpuoil!ppV •dn-duzpi p uo s,}j •apaA uanT2 u uo r(pd oa sn saiinbai S'dgd junou.Tu;)Lll='Tdrl;jnp4aQ •aja `?uoj sT AITipaaouT `nkoj ST uanla.T JU;)WIsanui - AIMP Alpuniap SaO2 2uTT,jIaulos uaLlAk sanaao = Aj!pgpi7 uoTsuad papunjun upaA upjd wanm ay Ouiinp sTagwau.T ay jo3ipijgaq uo panaaau aAieq mll slgauaq jo anjpn juasaid aql swasaida.T isoa jpuTaou s,uujd d = asoJ jpuMON ; i-6 $ ZVll sp.iumol juawAud ieuoilippV o•Sz$ ZVIl uotsuad ljn-ejaQ -Ouipun,� uoTsuad oll An important note • The proposed FY 17-18 budget's GF Contingency Reserve: - Is set at 25% of GF's operational expenses by Policy F-2 - Goes from $47.5M (16-17) to $48.5M (17-18); but this amount... - Excludes the Additional Discretionary Pension Payment (-$gM) from the 25% calculation. • Policy F -Z should be adjusted to accommodate this. ° %9'0 %b'Z %b'8T %S'ZT %0'1 %L'OZ %T'TT %9'£Z- %6'Z- ° uanjaa;uaw;sanuj;o ajeN SM3dIeJ ESE$ OEE$ 9LZ$ ESZ$ 8SZ$ SLZ$ 9ZZ$ LSZ$ E9Z$ Z8$ Z$ janleA jajaew;e Ailllgeil papun}un—f- 9LS$ ELS$ L9S$ L6b$ ZSb$ L9b$ S6E$ bSE$ ZLb$ slassy;o anleA IONJeW r LOOT 906$ 8b8$ OZ8$ SSL$ LZL$ £69$ ZS9$ LT9$ ESS$ TOS$ A;pigeil uoisuad pana:)3y� 81OZ 9TOZ STOZ t'TOZ ETOZ ZTOZ TTOZ OTOZ 60OZ 800Z LOOZ (OOZ)$ OOZ$ oob$ O -- --- 009$ 009$ oss %1-Z, aae-a ulMo�9 -nu,, PapunodtuOJ 1e --- sss --- — — nnn'r t Palaa(OJd ,kltjtqutl u®Isuad papunjuf-I NMI Phase-in of New Amortization Bases $18,000,000 s16,000,000 The Simple Message $14,000,000 of this Complex s12,000,000 Chart: $10,000,000 Paying more ss now, $8,000,000 while we can, allows us to avoid the penalty (i.e. interest) of PERS' S4,000,000 ramp -ups and phase- $2,000,000 ins 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36. 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 0 2015 Loss 0 2o16 Loss ■'7.3'75% Discount ® 7.25% Discount El 7.o% Discount SMA OZ H3AO SJNIAVS 13N VV SZ$+ ;lne;ao o; pajedwo0 sOuineg leuoi;ippy IM ;lnelaa o; pajedwo0;so0 leuoi;ippy = %L;e;uawAed $ Ianal JA OZ - Z #Id= ul paseyd sassol umouN �uipnpuj ;uawAEd lfl;Ine}aa� V m N N Cl a) 00 I, ID u1 a m N c -i o 0) 00 m m m m m N N N N N N N N N N 14 ci o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 0 o o N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N VY pti$+ 0$ - - o00'000'OT$ 000'000'0Z$ ajau ajow axes ani ing .L 000'000'os$ nT aTat[ a.Toul oo'000'ov$ - VV SZ$' 000'000'os $ 000'000'09$ suolld® luawk-ed jVfj jo uostxedwo:) µ Ing Normal Cost Amortized Cost of Unfunded Liability Total Annual PERS Cost Employee Contributions Net Employer Cost Total Annual PERS Cost Pension Payment History (All Funds) FY 2017 FY 2015 FY 2016 Estimated FY 2018 Proposed 14,503, 234 14,899,906 15,837,180 16,178,468 12,791,284 21,524,369 24,701,593 33,871,716 27,294,518 36,424,275 40,538,773 50,050,184 7,430,028 8,401,598 9,469,380 10,024,552 19,864,490 28,022,677 31,069,393 40,025,632 27,294,518 36,424,275 40,538,773 50,050,184 anuanaj �spunJ IIPJO %9+1 = UN ul sIsoa uolsuad `g1-G1oz ,&d ul anuanaj �spunj llP3o %-F-o1 = 9N ul sIsoa uolsuad `91—S'Oz Al ul b8T'OSO'OS ELL'8£S'Ob SLZ'bZtb'9E 8TSTR'LZ ZE9'SZO'Ot7 £6£'690'T£ LL9'ZZO'SZ 06t"t798'61 ZSS'VZO'OT I O8£'69b'6 I 86S'TOt7'8 I 8ZO'0£V'L b8T'OSO'OS ELL'8ES'Ob SLZ'bZb'9E 8TS'b6Z'LZ 9TL'TL8'££ £6S'TOL't7Z 69£'t7ZS'TZ ti8Z'T6L'ZT 89t"8LT'9T 08T'L£8'ST 906'668't7T tb£Z'£OS'bT ;sod Sa3d lenuud le;ol jso0 aaAoldw3 IaN suolingialuo0 aaAoldw3 ;sod SH3d lenuud lelol Ailllgeil papun}un }o iso0 pazliaowv Iso IeWJON (spunj IIV) bOlsl, H Iuaui-ikud uotsuad I I I '.. Long Range Financial Forecast Fiscal Year 2017-18 The Long Range Financial Forecast can be accessed at: www newportbeachca. gov/financialinfo 39 «sjpa,k ino„ aLll uT altlelOA lapoW atll sa3l'eW auolle Ile is -poi.iad :)upads L' ui 1! al-ejodjoJui pule ,,u.injuMop e ?laid„ of Sud?uaIlpq:) :laaj.iad 1,usl — -jauu-ew a12aj,e,ijs pu-e pal-euipooa -e ui supid 2uipuads pu-e 2uiA-es aidilinw s,punj iie,zauao aup ssass-e klaAtlaPojd of sn sdiaH — •poijad i -earl -pines -e ,nano Ajtunw-Luo:) atil 01 sianai aatnJas pup xpl aiq-els alewilsa of sn smolIV — :IapoW JsPDz)JOJ IPasl.l a2uP-d 2uo-1 Mau a141, . japow IspDa.zo3 1p:)Slj aou�-a OuOrl III I I I What the Long -Term Plan Does • Uses FY 18 Proposed Budget as Base Year (General Fund Only) • Demonstrates the impact of various pension funding scenarios - Zo YR level $ payment at 7% is active • Captures all transfers, set -asides, and contingency reserve funding commitments • Prior year revenue and expenditure, along with cyclical economic, trends informed go - forward growth assumptions. Forecast uses historical average growth rates. • Most sensitive to changes in the largest revenue and expenditure categories • Take-aways: • Financial commitments seem to be sustainable over the long-term, but only based on our assumptions • Especially in out years, Year -Over -Year changes may deviate significantly, positively or negatively • A good tool, but one to use cautiously. G'SaS T°BL$ Z71 Ft$ ZIV$ 8'Z'$ Z`ZS 91TS TITS E,os* a u3 Hi A zi ri 3 D u 3 a/ s n m ki ns "w n:)---- 8"9GZ'$ SE$ 69LZS !E'89ZZ$ 0'09ZS VT SZ$ O7tq VIE Ez. 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Ing $500.0 $400.0 $300.0 $200.0 �n $100.0 Long -Term Financial Plan Overview (Scenari02) GENERAL FUND REVENUES, EXPENDITURES & ACCUMULATED SURPLUS/(DEFICIT) $(100.0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 E- IANNUALSURPLUS/(DEFICIT) $(4.0) $(3.7) $(4.2) $(4.2) $(4.5) $(3.8) $(2.3) $(0.8) $0.0 $0.9 CUMULATIVE DEFICIENCY $(4.0) $(7.7) $(11.9) .$(16.1) $(20.5) $(24.3) $(26.6) $(27.4) $(27.4) $(26.5) SURPLUS BALANCE $- $- $_ $_ $_ $_ $_ $_ $_ $_ REVENLIES $221.3 $220.6 $229.2 $237.9 $246.9 $256.3 $266.0 $276.2 $286.7 $297.7 - -EXPENDITURES $225.3 $224.3 $2.33.4 $242.0 $251.3 $260.0 $268.3 $276.9 $286.7 $296.8 ---CUM. SURPLUS/DEFICIENCY TREND $(4.0) $(7.7) $(11.9) $(36.1) $(20.5) $(24.3) $(26.6) $(27.4) $(27.4) $(26.5) -F -F OJUIiL'IJUPUIJAO •-eatlapagijo mau Avmnm :lp passaaa-e aq ulea isleaajol I-eIaupui3 aOu-e-d Ouo-i atq j low gt-Ltoz jpa,k iunsi3 ISPDaJOA IPIODUPUIOA aOuPNd OuOrl ..' I I I Conclusion Fiscal Year2017-i8 45 (p,ioms pa2pa-algnop P) 1plj Ilius suoillsod ,L j — papunJ-Ilam dID puP saaIAJZ)S — sa2upy •2.io wei iodwi al-epowuzoaa-e ol alg-e ja2png — jjo s�Ippl aliepdn weld le.13uaD — sijojja ,zog.z-eH Pu -e uoisuad (aiJoISILl PUP) anissaJiiOV — 001 sanJasaJ `3uo,zjs aip sanuana-d — :smaN poop atll . «(••••Inq) aduus poo2,kjjaid uia�z�am„ III "We're in pretty good shape (but.... )" • The Challenging News: — Watching sales tax and TOT trends closely • Concerns re: international travel • Retail purchasing is changing & will continue to change — T Pension expenses are challenging to sustain. • Significant economic downturn = major hit on these plans • If PERS falls short of 7%, that's a hit, too. • Statewide pension reform is vital for many, many cities IsuaaJoJ letaueull aOue-1 OuoZ puu ja0png pasodo,id gi-Gioz U jo MaiAJanp la2png pasodaid gi-Gioz �j JO Main.ianp ja�ipng pasodOJd gi-Gioz Aj jo main,zanp Iseaa. O1 IutaueUl j Auu-d13uoZ 3o nkalAJanp lsuaa.io j Iuiauuuil aSue21 SuoZ jo Maina-1 puu saldoui,zdplaomauie,il uoile,iuda:zd jaSpng jo maina- Gioz `ii 1kPW Gioz `Gz It.zdV Gioz `�i ItjdV Lioz `oE gDjeW Gioz `9i qz) ieW alpQ o,I, maina� �a�png S)i-Liozkj aa��iutuzoJ a�u�ut,� 111 I I I What's Next? June 8, 2 01'7 Final Finance Committee Meeting to Review and Recommend Budget to CC June 13, 2017 • Public Hearing and Budget Adoption (CC) • Adoption of Gann Appropriation Limit (CC) • Budget Checklist Review & Approval • Special Events Allocation • Report on District Discretionary Grants July 1, 2017 New Fiscal Year Begins 0:1 ur C(' N< la0pnq/AOO •Pana-eagl,zodmau •mmm :lp passaaaP aq up:) sluatumop ja0pnq s,,klTD sluawuioJ 2g suoi lsana ggl