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HomeMy WebLinkAboutGP UPDATE DRAFT TRAFFIC MODEL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY*NEW FILE* GP UPDATE DRAFT TRAFFIC MODEL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 0 URBAN C ROSBAM DRAFT TRAFFIC MODEL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE EXISTING CONDITIONS AND CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT FORCASTS City of Newport Beach California URBAN CROSSROADS, WC. 41 Corporate Park, Suite 300 Irvine, CA 92606 Phone: (949) 660.1994 Fax: (949) 660.1911 www.urbanxroads.com DRAFT TRAFFIC MODEL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE EXISTING CONDITIONS AND CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT FORECASTS Prepared For: Mr. Rich Edmonston CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92663 Prepared By: URBAN CROSSROADS, INC. 41 Corporate Park, Suite 300 Irvine, CA 92606 John Kain, AICP Carleton Waters, P.E. Marlie Whiteman, P.E. March 26, 2003 December 8, 2003 (Revised) JK:CW:MW:pr JN:01232-03 TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION PAGE 1.0 INTRODUCTION............................................................................................. 1.1 Basic Methodology and Assumptions 2.0 MODEL STRUCTURE/EXISTING CONDITIONS ........................................... 6 2.1 Existing Land Use Data 2.2 2002 Socioeconomic Data (SED) 2.3 2002 Trip Generation 2.3.1 Trip Purpose 2.4 2002 Mode Choice 2.4.1 Home -Work Trip Mode Choice Data 2.5 2002 Trip Distribution 2.6 2002 Daily Traffic Conditions 2.7 Peak Season Daily Traffic Volume Data 2.8 Daily Roadway Segment Analysis 2.9 2002 Traffic Source Analysis 2.10 2002 Peak Hour Intersection Operations 3.0 CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT'CONDITIONS:.:..... 45 3.1 General Plan Buildout Land Use Data 3.2 General Plan Buildout Socioeconomic Data (SED) 3.3 Buildout Trip Generation 3.4 Buildout Daily Traffic Conditions 3.5 Daily Roadway Segment Analysis 3.6 Buildout Peak Hour Intersection Operations LIST OF EXHIBITS EXHIBIT PAGE A NEWPORT BEACH TRAFFIC MODEL (NBTM) PRIMARY C E F G H I J K L M N 0 P 9 STUDYAREA..................................................................................... 3 TRAFFIC ANALYSIS DISTRICTS...................................................... 7 MODE CHOICE FOR WORK TRIPS OF NEWPORT BEACH RESIDENTS.......................................................................... 13 MODE CHOICE FOR HOME -WORK TRIPS OF NEWPORT BEACH WORKERS........................................................................... 14 PURPOSE FOR TRIPS ORIGINATING IN NEWPORT BEACH BYDESTINATION.............................................................................. 16 PURPOSE OF TRIPS ORIGINATING IN NEWPORT BEACH .......... 18 DESTINATIONS OF TRIPS ORIGINATING IN NEWPORT BEACH... 19 PURPOSE OF TRIPS DESTINED FOR NEWPORT BEACH BYORIGIN......................................................................................... 20 PURPOSES OF TRIPS DESTINED FOR NEWPORT BEACH ......... 21 ORIGINS OF TRIPS DESTINED FOR NEWPORT BEACH .............. 22 NEWPORT BEACH EXISTING THROUGH LANES .......................... 23 EXISTING COUNT AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC (ADT) .................... 24 SUMMER DAILY TRAFFIC VARIATION FOR NEWPORT BLVD. BETWEEN 32ND & FINLEY................................................................ 29 EXISTING VOLUME TO CAPACITY (V/C) RATIOS ........................... 32 NEWPORT BEACH TRAFFIC SURVEY CORDON LOCATIONS ...... 34 TRAFFIC SURVEY RESULTS FOR NB COAST HIGHWAY SOUTH OF NEWPORT COAST DRIVE .............................................. 35 TRAFFIC SURVEY RESULTS FOR SB COAST HIGHWAY SOUTH OF SANTA ANA RIVER......................................................... 37 rd S T U V W X TRAFFIC SURVEY RESULTS FOR SB MACARTHUR BLVD. NORTH OF BONITA CANYON DRIVE ................................................ 38 INTERSECTION COUNT LOCATIONS ............................................... 40 EXISTING INTERSECTION DEFICIENCIES ...................................... 45 NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT THROUGHLANES.............................................................................. 52 GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC (ADT)...... 53 GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT VOLUME/CAPACITY (V/C) RATIOS ... 55 CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN DEFICIENCIES .............. 60 LIST OF TABLES TABLE PAGE 1 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH 2O02 LAND USE SUMMARY ........... 8 2 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH LAND USE BASED 2002 SOCIOECONOMIC DATA SUMMARY ................................................ 9 3 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH 2O02 TRIP GENERATION ................... 11 4 SUMMER TIME AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC (ADT) COMPARISON. 27 5 SUMMER DAILY VOLUME VARIATION OVER THREE WEEKS :.... 28 6 ROADWAY SEGMENT CAPACITIES ................................................. 31 7 NBTM EXISTING COUNT INTERSECTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY. 43 8 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT LANDUSE SUMMARY........................................................................ 47 9 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH TRIP LAND USE BASED SOCIOECONOMIC DATA SUMMARY/COMPARISON ...................... 48 10 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT TRIPGENERATION............................................................................ 50 11 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH TRIP GENERATION COMPARISON.................................................................................. 51 12 NBTM BUILDOUT INTERSECTION CAPACITY UTILIZATION (ICU) SUMMARY......................................................... 57 �I TRAFFIC MODEL EXECUTIVE SUMMARY NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE EXISTING CONDITIONS AND CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT FORECASTS 1.0 INTRODUCTION This executive summary has been prepared to provide an overview of existing traffic conditions and forecasts of future conditions, based on the currently adopted General Plan of the City of Newport Beach. The General Plan forecasts have been prepared using the Newport Beach Traffic Model, version 3.1 (NBTM 3.1). The NBTM 3.1 travel demand forecasting tool has been developed for the City of Newport Beach to address traffic and circulation issues in and around the City. The NBTM 3.1. tool has been developed in accordance with the requirements and recommendations of the Orange County Subarea Modeling Guidelines Manual (August, 1998). The NBTM 3.1 is intended to be used for roadway planning and traffic impact analysis, such as: • General Plan/Land Use analysis required by the City of Newport Beach. • Amendments to the Orange County Master Plan of Arterial Highways (MPAH). • Orange County Congestion Management Program (CMP) analysis. The NBTM 3.1 is a vehicle trip based modeling tool, and it is intended for evaluating general roadway system supply and demand problems and issues. The NBTM 3.1 has been specifically calibrated to provide the most representative conditions in the City of Newport Beach. This is sometimes described as "shoulder season" conditions, which are experienced in the spring and fall seasons. NBTM 3.1 differs from previous Newport Beach Traffic Models in several key ways. First, NBTM 3.1 is a traffic model that includes most of Southern California, although the level of detail is much less for areas further away from Newport Beach. Previous versions were "windowed" models, that ended a short distant beyond the City's primary modeling area. NBTM 3.1 also includes an additional step, which is a conversion of the City's land use data into socioeconomic data. The socioeconomic data is then used to calculate trip II 1 generation. Both of these changes are required by regional modeling consistency guidelines, and the Orange County Transportation Authority (OCTA) is responsible for certifying the consistency of local models. Additionally, this updated model also includes greater level Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) detail in key areas of the City where the question of future development levels is in question, particularly the area adjacent to John Wayne Airport. Greater detail has also been added in the Newport Coast/ Newport Ridge area, due to its annexation into the City. Another difference in this traffic model from prior versions is an improved methodology to conduct intersection analysis, which insures that the traffic flow between related intersections is reconciled. The December revision of this document contains more current data for areas just outside Newport Beach, specifically: John Wayne Airport (SNA) and the University of California at Irvine (UCI). Expansion of John Wayne airport has recently been approved to include 10.8 million air passengers (MAP) for future conditions. Previously, the forecast capacity was 8AMAP (7.8 of which are included in the existing conditions). Recent discussions with UCI have resulted in a modified representation of buildout conditions for the campus that explicitly reflect a trip cap of approximately 150,000 trip - ends per day for General Plan Buildout conditions. 1.1 Basic Methodology and Assumptions The NBTM follows the model structure recommended in the subarea modeling guidelines, which is a "focused" modeling approach. The concept of a focused model is to provide the greatest level of detail within the primary modeling or study area, with the least detail for those parts of the model which are geographically distant from the primary study area. The guidelines refine this concept into a three-tier system, with tier 1 being the least detailed component (used to account for regional traffic), tier 2 being the previous regional framework (County; sub -regional traffic). And tier 3 being the primary study area (local traffic). The primary study area of the NBTM is shown on Exhibit A. The primary study area of the NBTM is generally bounded by the Brookhurst Street/Santa Ana River 4 W EXHIBIT A NEWPORT BEACH TRAFFIC MODEL (NBTM) PRIMARY STUDY AREA r, a�aA eL B< NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, Calffamia-01232:55 URBAN on the west, Adams Avenue/Baker Street/Campus Drive/SR-73 on the north, Crystal Cove State Park on the east, and the Pacific Ocean on the south. The primary model area includes the City as well as portion of Costa Mesa and Irvine. The areas outside NB are included in the primary modeling area due to the proximity of adjoining land uses and their interrelationship with Newport Beach development resulting from the structure of the road system. NBTM 3.1 is highly dependent on the Orange County Transportation Analysis Model, Version 3.1 (OCTAM3.1). The primary modeling steps or processes used in the development of NBTM 3.1 are: • Land use to socioeconomic data (SED) conversion • Trip generation and mode choice • Trip distribution • Time of day factoring • Traffic assignment • Post -assignment data refinement processing (validation) NBTM relies on regional model estimates of trip generation, trip distribution, and mode choice. The model accommodates changes in land use/socioeconomic and roadway network characteristics in the following manner: Trip Generation - Trip generation estimates are based on socioeconomic data driven by the City's land use data. The number of trips calculated from this source is then used to adjust the regional projections to reflect local conditions. Trip Distribution - Trip distribution estimates are based on distribution patterns estimated by the regional travel demand model and incorporated into NBTM. The regional trip distribution is adjusted to match local trip generation using an industry -accepted approach known as the Fratar model. Mode Choice - Mode choice is the method of transportation selected by individuals traversing the region. These modes include single and multi -occupant automobiles, buses, trains, bicycles, pedestrian, etc. Mode Choice is estimated by using regional model mode share projections, which are incorporated into the subarea model. Traffic Assignment - Traffic is assigned to the roadway system on the basis of travel time and cost. Tolls are explicitly included in the traffic assignment process using the procedures obtained from the regional travel demand model. Traffic is assigned separately for the AM, mid -day, PM and nighttime periods of the day, to allow to more accurate representation of the effects of the congestion on the choice of travel routes by drivers. Post Model Refinements -The goal of volume forecast or post model refinement is to utilize all available information to assure the model is able to predict future traffic conditions. The NBTM refinement procedure incorporates 2002 traffic count data, 2002 model validation data, and future model forecasts as inputs to this process. 5 2.0 EXISTING CONDITIONS This chapter of the executive summary describes existing 2002 shoulder (fall/spring) season conditions the City of Newport Beach. Traffic Analysis Districts have been established that group areas with similar characteristics.. These districts help to refine estimates of where traffic originates, identify trip generation/distribution adjustments, and make land use occupancy adjustments, all to reflect the characteristics of a geographic area. The Traffic Analysis Districts are shown on Exhibit B. 2.1 Existing Land Use Data Land use data within the primary study area is a key input to the modeling process. The initial land use data was provided to Urban Crossroads, Inc. staff by the City of Newport Beach. Table 1 summarizes the existing 2002 land uses for the City of Newport Beach, by land use type. These land uses were then converted to socioeconomic data as part of the initial modeling process. 2.2 2002 Socioeconomic Data (SED) City of Newport Beach SED that has been converted from the land use data in Table 1 is summarized in Table 2. Conversion factors were established using those from previous conversion efforts in the County. These were then refined to more closely match citywide summary data. Occupancy factors and SED conversion factors have been differentiated for the 'Balboa" area (districts 3, 9, and 10 on Exhibit B). This differentiation was necessary because of inaccurate initial model predictions compared to existing street counts. These differences can be related to unique spring and fall trip generation, which is different from other seasons. For instance, lower retail occupancy is experienced during the "shoulder" (spring/fall) seasons represented by the NBTM. 19 n J EXHIBIT B TRAFFIC ANALYSIS DISTRICTS NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, CalifoMia-01232:56 URBAN TABLE 1 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH 2O02 LAND USE SUMMARY' NBTM CODE2 DESCRIPTION QUANTITY UNITS' 1 Low Density Residential 14,841 2 Medium DensityResidential 12,939 3 Apartment 7,622 4 ElderlyResidential 348 !DU 5 Mobile Home 894 TOTAL DWELLING UNITS 36,644 6 Motel 210 ROOM 7 Hotel 2,745 . ROOM 9 Re tonal Commercial 1,259,000 TSF 10 General Commercial 2,926.160 TSF 11 Commercial/Recreation 5.100 ACRE 13 Restaurant 640.520 TSF 15 Fast Food Restaurant 78.031 TSF 16 Auto Dealer/Sales 288.320 TSF 17 Yacht Club 54.580 TSF 18 Health Club 63.500 TSF 19 Tennis Club 60 CRT 20 Marina 1,055 SLIP 21 Theater 5,489 SEAT 22 Newport Dunes 64.00 ACRE 23 General Office 10,900.190 TSF 24 Medical Office 761.459 TSF 25 Research & Development 327.409 TSF 26 Industrial 1,042.070 TSF 27 Mini-Storage/Warehouse 199.750 TSF 28 Pre-school/Da Care 55.820 TSF 29 Elementary/Private School 4,399 STU 30 Junior/High School 4,765 STU 31 Cultural/Learninq Center 35.000 TSF 32 Library 78.840 TSF 33 Post Office 53.700 TSF 34 Hospital 351 BED 35 Nursin /Conv. Home 661 BEDS 36 Church 377.760 TSF 37 Youth Ctr./Service 149.560 TSF 38 Park 113.970 ACRE 40 Golf Course 305.330 ACRE 1 Excludes Newport Coast and other recently annexed areas. 2 Uses 8, 12, and 14 are part of the old NBTAM model structure and are not currently utilized in the City land use datasets. 3 Units Abbreviations: DU = Dwelling Units TSF = Thousand Square Feet CRT = Court STU = Students U.\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xls]T 1 �3 I 1 1 TABLE 2 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH' LAND USE BASED 2002 SOCIOECONOMIC DATA SUMMARY VARIABLE QUANTITY Occupied Single Family Dwelling Units 13,842 Occupied Multi -Family Dwellin Units 20,409 TOTAL OCCUPIED DWELLING UNITS 34,251 Group Quarters Population 661 Population 75,817 Em to ed Residents 44,379 Retail Employee 11,211 Service Employees 17,150 Other Employees 37,077 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 65,438 Elem/Hi h School Students 9,164 Includes data converted from land use only. Excludes Newport Coast and recent annexation areas. IU:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xls]T 2 I U6 2.3 2002 Trip Generation Trip generation has been estimated from socioeconomic data in the NBTM model area. The trip generation factors have been derived from regional trip generation estimates from the regional model (OCTAM 3.1). This methodology breaks down traffic into trips produced (productions) and trips attracted (attractions). Table 3 summarizes the overall trip generation for 2002 conditions for the City of Newport Beach. The overall trip generation for the City of Newport Beach is an estimated 689,850 daily vehicle trips. 2.3.1 Trip Purpose NBTM trip generation data has been developed for the following 7 trip purposes: • Home -Work • Home -Shop • Home -Other • Home-Elementary/High School • Home -University • Other -Other • Other -Work The "Other" category includes social or entertainment related trips and recreational trips. 2.4 2002 Mode Choice Most mode choice (e.g., transit, etc.) issues are regional in nature, superseding cities' boundaries. For this reason, the NBTM approach is to incorporate mode choice through data obtained from the regional mode choice model. This data may be used directly for minor adjustments to account for future system refinements, which would then be reflected in zonal vehicle trip generation adjustments. Regional mode choice survey data directly relevant to Newport iul TABLE 3 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH 2O02 TRIP GENERATION TRIP PURPOSE PRODUCTIONS ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS - ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS / ATTRACTIONS Home Based Work 57,568 82,177 -24,6091 0.70 Home Based School 11,424 8,730 2,694 1:31 Home Based Other2 125,826, 111,2.73 14,553 1.13 Work Based Other 52,483 57,381 -4,898 0.91 Other- Other 92,237 90,749 1,488 1.02 TOTAL1 339,5381 350,310 -10,7721 0.97 OVERALL TOTAL 689,850 1 Home -Work includes Home -Work and Home -University trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. 2 Home -Other includes Home -Shop and Home -Other trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. U:\UcJobs\01232\ExceIN[01232-03.xls]T 3 11 Beach is presented to facilitate such minor adjustments and to inform the decision -makers regarding the role of various modes of transportation to/from and within the City of Newport Beach. 2.4.1 Home -Work Trip Mode Choice Data The home -work trip mode choice data provided by the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) to Urban Crossroads, Inc. included mode choice data (travel method used) for home -work (either end in Newport Beach) trips. The main mode choices fall into the following categories: • Drive alone • Carpool • Bus • Railroad • Ferry • Taxi • Motorcycle • Bike • Walked The mode choice data has been grouped into geographic areas. Within Orange County, cities have been identified as adjacent to Newport Beach, or generally located north of (North County) or south of (South County) the City of Newport Beach. Adjacent cities include Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, and Laguna Beach. The division between North County and South County cities used for this analysis is the SR-55 Freeway. Outside Orange County, cities/geographic areas have been grouped by County. Exhibits C and D depict the results of this analysis for Newport Beach origin trips (residents) and Newport Beach destination trips (persons that 1 12 12000 - 10000 8000 N 6000 r W 4000 2000 0 EXHIBIT C MODE CHOICE FOR WORK TRIPS OF NEWPORT BEACH RESIDENTS ®DRIVE ALONE ®2PERSON CARPOOL ❑3+PERSON CARPOOL ❑ PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION IN MOTOR -CYCLE ®NON -MOTORIZED ■ OTHER II Newport Adjacent North Orange South Orange Los Angeles Riverside San Beach Cities County County County County Bernardino County Workplace Ventura Outside County SCAG Region EXHIBIT D MODE CHOICE FOR HOME -WORK TRIPS OF NEWPORT BEACH WORKERS 20000 18000 16000 14000 T2000 N 9L 10000 P 8000 6000 4000 2000 ® DRIVE ALONE 192 PERSON CARPOOL ■3+PERSON CARPOOL ❑PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION EI MOTOR -CYCLE ® NON -MOTORIZED MOTHER Newport Adjacent North -Orange South Orange Los Angeles Riverside San Ventura Outside Beach Cities County County County County Bernardino County SCAG Region County Residence WORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN 2.5 work in Newport Beach), respectively. The majority of trips that have one or both trip ends in Newport Beach are drive -alone automobile trips. The second -most used mode for trips with only one end in Newport Beach is 2- person carpool, while the second -most popular mode for Home -Work trips with both ends in the City is non -motorized. Generally, travel to the City of Newport Beach via transit is most often by North Orange County residents who work in the City of Newport Beach, The second highest percentage of workers that utilize transit to travel to the City of Newport Beach is from adjacent cities. Public transportation accounts for less than 2% of all home -work travel to and from the City of Newport Beach from all other geographic areas within the SCAG region. The percentage is actually higher for locations outside the SCAG region, most likely associated with the use of John Wayne Airport to travel to and from the City of Newport Beach for more distant destinations. 2002 Trip Distribution Survey data was provided by SCAG related to the origins and destinations of trips made to and from the City of Newport Beach. The trip distribution data was collected in the form of trip diaries in 1991. These trip diaries are an actual log complied by individual motorists of their daily trip activities. The trip distribution data was organized into six (6) trip purposes for trips ending or beginning in Newport Beach and summarized by geographic area at the other end of the trip. Exhibit E summarizes the geographic data by adjacent cities, north Orange County; south Orange County, and each other county in Southern California represented in the dataset for trips originating in Newport Beach. As might be expected, the highest totals are for trips with both ends within the City of Newport Beach, followed by trips with one end in an adjacent city. As shown on Exhibit E, 52% of the trips surveyed are contained within Newport Beach and 80% of the trips originating in Newport Beach are contained entirely in 15 M a rn F�- EXHIBIT E PURPOSE FOR TRIPS ORIGINATING IN NEWPORT BEACH BY DESTINATION Newport Adjacent Noilh South Los Angelos, San Riverside Venlura Beach Cities Orange Orange County Bernardino County County County County County Destination ® HOME -OTHER ■ OTHER -OTHER MOTHER -WORK ❑WORK AT HOME Newport Beach and the adjacent cities. Exhibit F depicts the overall trip purposes summary for trips beginning in Newport Beach. Most trips are Home -Other (38%), with a high number of Home -Work (20%). The categories with the fewest trips are Work at Home and Home -Shop. Exhibit G shows the City or County at the other end of the trip for trips originating in Newport Beach. Areas closest to Newport Beach have the most interactions with the City. Exhibit H summarizes the geographic data by County (outside Orange County) or portion of Orange County for trips destined for Newport Beach. The highest totals are for trips with both ends in the City of Newport Beach (52%), followed by trips from an adjacent city (28%). Exhibit I depicts the overall purposes for trips ending in Newport Beach. Most trips are Home -Other (38%), followed by Home - Work (22%). The fewest trips are Work at Home and Home -Shop. Exhibit J shows the origin City or County for trips destined for Newport Beach. Areas closest to Newport Beach have the most interactions with the City. 2002 Daily Traffic Conditions The existing number of through lanes (lanes not designed to accommodate turning movements only) within the primary study area are depicted on Exhibit K. Daily traffic volume data for locations counted as part of this study effort were collected in Spring/Fall of 2001/2002. Freeway data comes from the Caltrans Publication, Traffic Volumes on State Highways. Exhibit L presents the daily traffic volumes, which have been used to validate the NBTM. Daily volume is the first level of checklverification to insure that the model is predicting traffic accurately. Daily traffic count data has been collected and/or compiled for 64 locations in the City of Newport Beach. Additional daily volume data reported by the California Department of Transportation has been incorporated into the NBTM update work effort. The SR-55 Freeway north of the SR-73 Freeway carries the highest daily traffic volume (approximately 155,000 vehicles per day) in the NBTM primary modeling area. The arterial roadways carrying the highest traffic volume in the NBTM primary modeling area are Coast Highway and 17 u EXHIBIT F PURPOSE OF TRIPS ORIGINATING IN NEWPORT BEACH WORKATHOME 1% 0 NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY Newport Beach California.01232:60 URBAN 18 SOUTH ORANGE 4% L' EXHIBIT G DESTINATIONS OF TRIPS ORIGINATING IN NEWPORT BEACH OTHER 2% 1 0 NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, Cafrfornia- 01232:61 URBAN !' 19 50,000 40,000 0 c� °' 30,000 o F 20,000 10,000 EXHIBIT H PURPOSE OF TRIPS DESTINED FOR NEWPORT BEACH BY ORIGIN Newport Adjacent North South Los Angeles San Riverside Ventura Beach Cities Orange Orange County Bernardino County County County County County Origin ❑ HOME -SHOP M HOME -WORK ■ OTHER -OTHER MOTHER -WORK El WORK AT HOME 0 NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:62 URBaN EXHIBIT I PURPOSES OF TRIPS DESTINED FOR NEWPORT BEACH WORK AT HOME 1% 0 NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY Newport Beach, California - 01232:63 URBAN 21 EXHIBIT J ORIGINS OF TRIPS DESTINED FOR NEWPORT BEACH NEWPOI EXHIBIT K NEWPORT BEACH EXISTING THROUGH LANES N W aD aDG . "" LEGEND: p D aD D �c aU 4 = NUMBER OF THROUGH LANES D ` 6D BA7L@6 DDu° PACIFIC IC D =DIVIDED aD U =UNDIVIDE D aD D a p OCEAN NEWPORT REACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY. Newnort Reach. California - 01232:65 URBAN MN M m m m M `M m m m m m m m m m m m EXHIBIT L EXISTING COUNT SHOULDER SEASON AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC,(ADT) N �P Q 6 54 LEGEND: 10 = VEHICLES PER DAY (1000'S) 16 s 46 B 29��lnoK NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:66 URBAN 2.7 MacArthur Boulevard. A daily traffic count of approximately 63,000 vehicles per day was estimated on Coast Highway between Dover Drive and Bayside Drive and on MacArthur Boulevard between Bison Avenue and Ford Road. Other roadways carrying traffic volumes in excess of 50,000 vehicles per day (VPD) include: • Newport Boulevard (maximum volume of 53,000 VPD south of Coast Highway). • Coast Highway (53,000 VPD east of Newport Boulevard). These links are highlighted because they represent the highest volume roadways in Newport Beach. This does not automatically lead to deficiencies, but it will help to identify areas where intersection deficiencies could lead to significant capacity deficiencies. Daily traffic counts (24 hour counts) were collected at 55 locations on the City's roadway system. This data was collected in 15 minute intervals. The areawide volumes were then analyzed to determine the peak characteristics for the study area. The results of this analysis show that 8.67% of daily traffic occurs during the AM peak hour, and 10.63% of daily traffic occurs in the PM peak hour. The peak hour (time of highest relative volume) was determined within typical peak periods (6-9 AM and 3-7 PM). For the entire primary study area, the AM peak hour begins at 7:30 AM, and the PM peak hour begins at 4:45 PM. Individual locations have various peak hour start times. Within Newport Beach, the total trips in the peak traffic hours is approximately 19% of total daily trips. This is higher than the typical value of 16 percent that Urban Crossroads staff has observed in other studies in Orange. Peak Season Daily Traffic Volume Data Peak season daily traffic volumes have been collected for select locations (primarily in coastal areas) of the City of Newport Beach. Daily traffic volume counts were 25 �l J collected over a one week period in August of 2003, for each selected roadway segment. For each roadway segment selected for summertime counts, the highest typical weekday (Tuesday through Thursday) volume has been compared to the shoulder season count volume at the same location. Table 4 contains the results of this analysis. The only decrease in peak season volume from shoulder season conditions occurs on MacArthur Boulevard north of San Joaquin Hills Road. All other segments increase for summer conditions by at least 5% and as -much as 75%. The locations with volume increases of more than thirty (30) percent are on Newport Boulevard south of Coast Highway and Balboa Boulevard east of 20th Street on the Peninsula. Review of the data clearly indicates that Newport Boulevard is the most popular and heavily impacted access route to the beach for summertime traffic. Jamboree Road and MacArthur Boulevard appear to be the least affected routes, with increases in traffic of between 5 and 10 percent. Newport Coast Drive experiences a higher percentage increase in summertime traffic, but the magnitude of the increase (approximately 3,400 vehicles per day) is very similar to the increase on MacArthur Boulevard north of Coast Highway. The traffic increases along Coast Highway itself are also less than the increases on routes leading to the beach, suggesting that people are oriented towards traveling to the beach/coast, rather than along it. For one special case (Newport Boulevard in front of City Hall), daily traffic volume data was collected every day for three weeks. Although the count collection instrument was on the street for three weeks, a few days had to be removed from the sample for various reasons (e.g. count tube was displaced). Daily volumes range from approximately 35,000 to 50,000 with definite peaking trends on weekend days. Table 5 provides analysis of daily traffic volume patterns over the three weeks collected on Newport Boulevard in front of City Hall. Exhibit M summarizes the same information graphically. The average typical weekday volume is 26 TABLE 4 SUMMER TIME ADT COMPARISON ID ROAD NAME ROAD SEGMENT COUNTS DELTA (A) DIFFERENCE % SHOULDER SEASON ISUMMI=R TIME 3 Superior Av. n/o Coast Hw. 23,535 30,533 6,998 29.73% 5 Newport BI. s/o Coast Hw. 31,820 55.582 23,762 74.68% 39 Jamboree Rd. n/o Coast Hw. 31,264 33,028 1,764 5.64% 50 MacArthur BI. n/o San Joaquin Hills Rd. 54,320 41,820 -12,500 -23.01 % 52 MacArthur BI. n/o Coast Hw. 30,904 34,266 3,362 10.88% 65 Newport Coast Dr. n/o Coast Hw. 12,223 15,638 3,415 27.94% 68 Balboa Bl. s/0 Coast Hw. 19,227 21,906 2,679 13.9306 157 Coast Hw. e%o Dover Dr. 62,526 70,303 7,777 12.44% 195 Coast Hw. e/o New ort Coast Dr 35,375 41,917 6,542 18A9% 223 Coast Hw. e/o Santa Ana River 46,000 48,513 2,513 5.46% 12611 Balboa BI. e/o 20th St. 17,4511 30,427 12,976 74.36% TOTAL 364,6451 423,933 59,286 16.260/ U:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xis]T 4 27 TABLES DAILY VOLUME VARIATION OVER THREE WEEKS DAY WEEK1 I WEEK2 WEEK WEEK4 AVERAGE Sunday 45,0991 42,982 41,796 43,292 Monday 40,779 40,779 Tuesday E43,248 43,708 39,542 36,999 40,083 Wednesday 42,412, 40,487 36,994 39,964 Thursday 40,301 41,775 Friday 47,683 45,437 44,077 45,732 Saturday 1 49,6111 47,768 47,052 1 48,144 Average of Monday and Friday 44,494 Average Typical Weekday (Tu-Th) 1 40,461 Average Weekend Day 1 45,718 U:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xis]T 5 m fl 4 N EXHIBIT M SUMMER DAILY TRAFFIC VARIATION FOR NEWPORT BOULEVARD BETWEEN 32ND AND FINLEY 50WD A5000 AOD00 - somo R � m 2 g ` 'ai m LL Sip m LL 2 3 m 3 3 3 oA5` I1 2.9 approximately 40,500 vehicles per day (vpd). The Monday volume is very near this same volume, but traffic is more evenly spread throughout the day. Saturday has the highest average volume with 48,144 vpd. The average Friday volume is approximately 2,500 vpd greater than the average Sunday volume. Daily Roadway Segment Analysis Daily roadway segment capacities are included in Table 6. The ratio of daily roadway segment volumes to daily planning level capacities provides a measure of the roadway segment level of service. Although the City of Newport Beach does not control conditions on local area freeways, freeway mainline and ramp v/c ratios are presented for informational purposes. Volume/Capacity (v/c) Ratios for existing conditions are shown on Exhibit N. Roadway segments with v/c ratios greater than 0.90 are: • Newport Boulevard north of Via Lido • Irvine Avenue north of University Drive • Jamboree Road north of Bayview Way • Jamboree Road north of University Drive • MacArthur Boulevard north of Ford Road • MacArthur Boulevard north of Coast Highway • Irvine Avenue south of University Drive • Bristol Street South east of Birch Street • Coast Highway east of Dover Drive • Coast Highway east of MacArthur Boulevard • Coast Highway east of Goldenrod Avenue • Coast Highway east of Marguerite Avenue • Coast Highway west of Riverside Drive • Bristol Street North west of Campus Drive • Bristol Street South west of Campus Drive • Bristol Street South west of Jamboree Road 2002 Traffic Source Analysis The General Plan Update Committee (GPUC) requested that the traffic study provide specific study of individual trip patterns to answer the question of how 30 II 1 TABLE 6 ROADWAY SEGMENT CAPACITIES CLASSIFICATION RIGHT-OF-WAY CURB TO CURB WIDTH I # OF LANES MEDIAN WIDTH I APPROXIMATE DAILY CAPACITY 8 Lane Divided 158 Variable 8 14-18 60-68,000 Major Augmented Variable Variable 6.8 Variable 52-58,000 Major 128-134 106-114 6 14-18 45-51,000 Prima Au mented Variable Variable 4-6 Variable 35-40,000 Prima 104-108 84 4 ' 16-20 30-34,000 Seconds 84 64 4 0 20-23,000 Commuter 60-70 40-50 2 0 7-10,000 Couplets: Secondary couplet - 2 lanes for each leg Primary couplet - 3 lanes for each leg Major couplet - 4 lanes for each leg U:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\101232-03.x1s]T 6 II 31 W N Im .46 MI. EXHIBIT N EXISTING. VOLUME/CAPACITY (V/C) RATIOS 67 20 LEGEND: 71 — z .62=VOLUMEICAPACITYRATIO 71.53 .30 PACIFIC '� � s7 OCEAN ---- ----------� NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:82 rev. 12/05/03 URBAN many trips are going through Newport Beach, without starting or stopping inside the City. This was done in a study that is characterized as "Traffic Source Analysis." For this study the consultant essentially followed cars as they journeyed through the City. Traffic destinations for three locations were studied: • Northbound Coast Highway, south of Newport Coast Drive • Southbound Coast Highway, south of the Santa Ana River • Southbound MacArthur Boulevard, north of Bonita Canyon Drive Beginning at each of the three locations, 100 cars were followed until they left the arterial system or the City of Newport Beach. This sample size provides a confidence interval of +/-10%. For each vehicle followed, the data includes start time (when the vehicle was at one of the above destinations), end time (when the vehicle left the City or the arterial system), destination (termination of trip or crossing a cordon location), vehicle type (brief description of the vehicle), and date. Analysts were directed to select vehicles from each lane, and a variety of vehicle types. As requested by City of Newport Beach staff, data was primarily collected during the peak periods (from 7:00 to 9:00 AM and from 4:30 to 6:30 PM). At least 30% of samples were taken within each of the AM and PM peak periods for each of the three (3) traffic source locations. The City of Newport Beach has been divided into fourteen (14) traffic analysis districts, as previously shown on Exhibit B. For the purpose of this analysis, districts 3 and 10 have been combined. Exhibit 0 shows through trip destinations (cordon locations, depicted as letters on roadways exiting the City). Once a vehicle has left the City of Newport Beach, it is considered an external trip and is not further studied. Exhibit P graphically depicts generalized trip distribution patterns for vehicles traveling northbound on Coast Highway south of Newport Coast Drive. Internal traffic (with destinations in the City of Newport Beach) accounts for 64% of the vehicles studied. This percentage is slightly lower in the AM peak (60%) and 33 EXHIBIT 0 NEWPORT BEACH TRAFFIC SURVEY CORDON LOCATIONS NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:67 URBAN EXHIBIT P TRAFFIC SURVEY RESULTS FOR NB COAST HIGHWAY SOUTH OF NEWPORT COAST DR. A =mMmu numnerc NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, Califomia - 01232:68 URBAN higher in both the PM peak and off peak time frames. The top three traffic districts attracting vehicles from this location are 13, 8, and 9. District 13 roughly corresponds to Newport Coast West/ Corona Del Mar. District 8 is approximately Newport Center. District 9 is Bayside/Balboa Island. Through traffic from northbound Coast Highway south of Newport Coast Drive travels primarily to cordons A, W, and U. Each of these cordons was the destination of more than 5 of the 100 vehicles followed. Cordon A is Coast Highway at the Santa Ana River and received seven percent (7%) of the vehicles studied. Cordon W is Newport Coast Drive northeast of the SR-73 freeway and was the destination of seven percent (7%) of vehicles involved. Cordon U (the destination of six percent (6%) of the vehicles followed) is Bison Avenue northeast of the SR-73 freeway (towards University of California, Irvine). Survey results for southbound Coast Highway south of the Santa Ana River are summarized on Exhibit Q. Internal (City of Newport Beach) traffic comprises 66% of the 100 trips analyzed. In the off-peak time frame, this percentage is much lower, but the off-peak sample size is small (8 vehicles). Primary destinations include traffic analysis districts 2, 8, 3/10, and 9. District 2 is Mariner's Mile/Newport Heights. Newport Center is district 8. District 3/10 is Newport Bay and the Balboa Peninsula, and district 9 is Bayside/Balboa Island. Through traffic from the starting point on Coast Highway south of the Santa Ana River primarily exits the City of Newport Beach either at cordon C (Superior Boulevard north of 15th Street), or at cordon Y (Coast Highway south of Newport Coast Drive). Cordon C captured eleven percent (11%) of traffic studied, while cordon Y was the destination of seven percent (7%) of vehicles followed. All other cordons had fewer than 5 of the 100 vehicles studied leaving. Exhibit R shows generalized trip distribution patterns for vehicles studied on southbound MacArthur Boulevard north of Bonita Canyon Drive. Almost 90% of traffic on this segment remains in the City of Newport Beach. Major destinations 0. EXHIBIT Q TRAFFIC SURVEY RESULTS FOR SB COAST HIGHWAY SOUTH OF SANTA ANA RIVER m m m m m m m m m= m IM m m m m m W 00 EXHIBIT R TRAFFIC SURVEY RESULTS FOR SB MACARTHUR BLVD, NORTH OF BONITA CANYON DR. A - VI�IRILI IYVIYI6CR NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, Califomia- 01232:70 URBAN I include districts 8, 13, 9, and 12. District 8 (Newport Center) was the destination of 37 vehicles. 32 total vehicles ended their trips in districts 13 and 9 (Newport Coast West/Corona Del Mar and Bayside/Balboa Island, respectively). District 12 is Harbor View Hills/Newport Ridge (the destination of 11 vehicles). During the peak hours, 11 of the 100 vehicles did travel through the City. Their primary cordon destination was Y (Coast Highway south of Newport Coast Drive) to which seven percent (7%) of vehicles traveled. None of the through -corridors studied are unusually impacted by through traffic. The survey results indicate that less than 10% of the traffic on the corridors surveyed is regional through -traffic. However, as might be expected, through - traffic is greater on east -west corridors such as Coast Highway, than on north - south routes, because the Pacific Ocean is a barrier to further through traffic movement. 2.10 2002 Peak Hour Intersection Operations Peak period and hour traffic count data has been obtained from a variety of sources. Obtaining 2001/2002 data has been an emphasis of the existing conditions effort. Peak period and hour turning movement traffic volume data have been compiled or counted at a total of 62 intersections throughout the City of Newport Beach, as shown on Exhibit S. These locations were selected for analysis by City staff because of their locations along key travel corridors within the community. Additionally, it is important to note that while the overall daily volume as compared to capacity is an important indicator of transportation system function, intersection capacity can sometimes play a greater role when it comes to constraints on the system. Level of Service (LOS) is defined and described as follows: 39 .P 0 EXHIBIT S INTERSECTION COUNT LOCATIONS CGS L 9 1 3 DR. s ROCF N o 1 14 zuanE o� s 6 6 PACIFIC 3 gnie°aR� e< OCEAN LEGEND: • = INTERSECTION COUNT LOCATION 65 = INTERSECTION ID LOS A = 0.00 - 0.60 ICU: Low volumes, high speeds; speed not restricted by other vehicles; all signal cycles clear with no vehicles waiting through more than one cycle. LOS B = 0.61 — 0.70 ICU: Operating speeds beginning to be affected by other traffic; between one and ten percent of signal cycles have one or more vehicles which wait through more than one signal cycle during peak traffic.periods. LOS C = 0.71 — 0.80: Operating speeds and maneuverability closely controlled by other traffic; between 11 and 30 percent of the signal cycles have one or more vehicles which wait through more than one signal cycle during peak traffic periods; recommended ideal design standard. LOS D = 0.81 — 0.90: Tolerable operation speeds; between 31 and 70 percent of the signal cycles have one or more vehicles which wait through more than one signal cycle during peak traffic periods; often used as design, standard in urban areas. LOS E = 0.91 —1.00: Capacity; the maximum traffic volumes an intersection can accommodate; restricted speeds; between 71 and 100 percent of the signal cycles have one or more vehicles which wait through more than one signal cycle during peak traffic periods. The data collected/compiled was input into a turning movement analysis database. For each location, inbound and outbound volumes were calculated, by each 'leg" or intersection approach. The number of lanes and their configuration has been collected at all 62 existing intersections and is used to calculate existing (2002) intersection capacity utilization values (ICUs). Table 6 summarizes the 2002 ICUs based on the AM and PM peak hour intersection turning movement volumes and the intersection configuration. 41 I I 1 The following 6 intersections currently experience deficient (LOS "E" or worse) peak hour operations under existing (2002) conditions: • Riverside Avenue (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) • Campus Drive (NS)/Bristol Street (N) (EW) • Irvine Avenue (NS)/Mesa Drive (EW) • MacArthur Boulevard (NS)/Jamboree Road (EW) • MacArthur Boulevard (NS)/San Joaquin Hills Road (EW) • Goldenrod Avenue (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) Exhibit T depicts the existing deficiencies graphically. J TABLE 7 NBTM EXISTING COUNT INTERSECTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY INTERSECTION NS & EW AM PEAK HOUR PM PEAK HOUR ICU LOS ICU " LOS 2. Superior Av. & Placentia Av. 0.661 B 0.67 B 3. Superior Av. & Coast Hw. 0.84 D 0.90 D 4. Newport Bi. & Hospital Rd. 0.54 A 0.70 B 5. Newport BI. & Via Lido 0.41 A 0.37 A 6. Newport Bl. & 32nd St. 0.73 C 0.78 C 7. Riverside Av. & Coast Hw. 0.84 D 0.93 E 8. Tustin Av. & Coast Hw. 0.80 C 0.67 B 9. MacArthur Bi. & Campus Dr. 0.61 B 0.85 D 10. MacArthur BI. & Birch St. 0.49 A 0.66 B 11. Von Karman Av. & Campus Dr. 0.55 A 0.79 C 12. MacArthur BI. & Von Kerman Av. 0.46 A 0.53 A 13. Jamboree Rd. & Campus Dr. 0.74 C 0.85 D 14. Jamboree Rd. & Birch St. 0.55 A 0.60 A 15. Campus Dr. & Bristol St. N 0.77 C 0.94 E 16. Birch St. & Bristol St. N 0.66 B 0.61 B 17. Campus Dr./Irvine Av. & Bristol St. S 0.72 Cl0.58 A 18. Birch St. & Bristol St. S 0.46 A 0.44 A 19. Irvine Av. & Mesa Dr. 0.70 B 0.94 E 20. Irvine Av. & University Dr. 0.82 D 0.89 D 21. Irvine Av. & Santiago Dr. 0.66 B 0.72 C 22. Irvine Av. & Hi hiand Dr. 0.57 A 0.60 A 23. Irvine Av. & Dover Dr. 0.72 cl 0.64 B 24. Irvine Av. & Westcliff Dr. 0.57 A 0.77 C 25. Dover Dr. & Westcliff Dr. 0.38 A 0.48 A 26. Dover Dr. & 16th St. 0.55 A 0.57 A 27. Dover Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.70 B 0.74 C 28. Ba side Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.69 B 0.70 B 29. MacArthur BI. & Jamboree Rd. 0.88 D 0.91 E 30. Jamboree Rd. & Bristol St. N 0.55 A 0.59 A 31. Bayview Pl. & Bristol St. S 0.48 A 0.56 A 32. Jamboree Rd. & Bristol St. S 0.75 C 0.72 C 33. Jamboree Rd. & Bayview W . 0.41 A 0.57 A 34. Jamboree Rd. & Eastbluff Dr. /University Dr. 0.60 A 0.64 B 35. Jamboree Rd. & Bison Av. 0.45 A 0.51 A 36. Jamboree Rd. & Eastbluff Dr./Ford Rd. 0.69 B 0.65 B 37. Jamboree Rd. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.56 A 0.57 A 43 TABLE 7 (CONTINUED) NBTM EXISTING COUNT INTERSECTION ANALYSIS SUMMARY AM PEAK HOUR PM PEAK HOUR ' INTERSECTION NS & EW ICU LOS ICU LOS 38. Jamboree Rd. & Santa Barbara Dr. 0.47 A 0.63 B ' 39. Jamboree Rd. & Coast Hw. 0.68 BI 0.74 C 40. Santa Cruz Dr. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.36 A 0.36 A ' 41. Santa Rosa Dr. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.32 A 0.52 A 42. Newport Center Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.40 A 0.52 A 44. Avocado Av. & San Miguel Dr. 0.33 A 0.72 C t 45. Avocado Av. & Coast Hw. 0.58 A 0.66 B 46. SR-73 NB Ramps & Bison Av. 0.31 Ai 0.37 A ' 47. SR-73 SB Ramps & Bison Av. 0.26 Al0.17 A 48. MacArthur BI. & Bison Av. 0.63 B 0.60 A 49. MacArthur BI. & Ford Rd./Bonita Canyon Dr. 0.71 C 0.90 D ' 50. MacArthur BI. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.64 B 0.93 E 51. MacArthur BI. & San Miguel Dr. 0.56 A 0.65 B 52. MacArthur BI. & Coast Hw. 0.60 A 0.71 C ' 53. SR-73 NB Ramps & Bonita Canyon Dr. 0.55 Al0.43 A 54. SR-73 SB Ramps & Bonita Canyon Dr. 0.30 A 0.41 A ' 55. Spyglass Hill Rd. & San Miguel Dr. 0.28 A 0.31 A 56. San Miguel Dr. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.44 A 0.54 A 57. Goldenrod Av. & Coast Hw. 0.99 E 0.69 B ' 58. Marguerite Av. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.31 A 0.35 A 59. Marguerite Av. & Coast Hw. 0.83 D 0.82 D ' 60. Spyglass Hill Rd. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.44 A 0.30 A 61. Poppy Av. & Coast Hw. 0.61 B 0.65 B 62. Newport Coast Dr. & SR-73 NB Rams 0.45 A 0.31 A ' 64. Newport Coast Dr. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.37 A 0.29 A 65. Newport Coast Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.47 A 0.50 A ' Average All Locations 0.581 Al0.63 B ' U:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xis]T 7 ' 44 EXHIBIT T EXISTING INTERSECTION LEGEND: 90 O =AM DEFICIENCY 0 = PM DEFICIENCY P°L"` °CE"� • = AM/PM DEFICIENCY (ALL LOS "E") URBAN NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232,41 rev.12/05/03 _ L ' 3.0 CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS This chapter presents currently adopted General Plan Buildout Traffic Conditions. This represents the amount of traffic which can be predicted if all entitlement expressed in the current Land Use Element, and all the improvements identified in the Circulation Element, were fully constructed. It also includes regional growth through the year 2025. ' Data are compared to existing conditions to quantify growth. 3.1 General Plan Buildout Land Use Data ' The General Plan Buildout land use data was provided to Urban Crossroads, Inc. staff by the City of Newport Beach. Table 8 summarizes the overall General Plan ' Buildout land uses for the City of Newport Beach. An overall comparison to existing (2002) land use is also shown in Table 8. Land uses generally increase ' for the City General Plan Buildout Scenario. Areas where the most anticipated intensification in development are in the older, on -street commercial districts, ' such as Mariners' Mile, Old Newport Boulevard, the Campus/Birch tract (near John Wayne Airport), etc. The single most significant residential growth area is Newport Coast/Ridge, although there are notable residential increases predicted for older residential neighborhoods like Corona del Mar, Lido Isle, and the Balboa Peninsula. There is only one significant undeveloped property in the City's planning area, Banning Ranch in western Newport Beach. Reductions in specific ' uses (e.g., mobile homes, movie theaters) are caused by redevelopment in the City. ' 3.2 General Plan Buildout Socioeconomic Data (SED) ' General Plan buildout SED that has been converted from land use is ' summarized in Table 9. Table 9 also contains a comparison of General Plan Buildout SED to existing (2002) SED for the City of Newport Beach. ' The total number of dwelling units are projected to increase by 5,452 units (16%) per the currently adopted General Plan. For total employment, an increase of ' 13,578 employees (21 %) is included in the currently adopted General Plan. ' 46 TABLE 8 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT LAND USE SUMMARY NBTM CODE' DESCRIPTION UNITS 2 2002 QUANTITY BUILDOUT QUANTITY GROWTH % GROWTH 1 I Low Density Residential DU 14,841 15,213 372 2.51°/o 2 Medium Den si Residential DU 12.939 17,723 4,784 36.97% 3 A artment DU 7,622 8,468 846 11.10% 4 5 Elderly Residential Mobile Home TOTAL DWELLING UNITS DU DU DU 348 894 36,644 348 749 42,501 -145 5.857 0.00% -16.0% 15.98% 6 1 Motel ROOM 210 256 46 21.90% 7 Hotel ROOM 2,745 3,270 525 19.13% 9 10 11 13 15 Regional Commercial General Commercial Commercial/Recreation Restaurant Fast Food Restaurant TSF TSF ACRE TSF TSF 1,259.000 2,926.160 5.100 640.520 78.031 1,633.850 3,692.980 5.100 859.800 94.540 374.850 766.820 - 219.280 16.509 29.77% 26.21% 0.00% 34.23% 21.16% 16 Auto Dealer/Sales TSF 288.320 323.290 34.970 12.13% 17 18 19 Yacht Club Health Club Tennis Club TSF TSF CRT 54.580 63.500 60 73.060 108.070 60 1 18.480 1 44.570 1 - 33.860 70.190 0.00% 20 Marina SLIP 1,055 1.055 0.00% 21 Theater SEAT 5,489 5,475 -14 -0.26% 22 Newport Dunes ACRE 64.00 64.00 - 0.00% 23 24 General Office Medical Office TSF TSF 10,900.190 761A59 12,153.473 895.420 1,253.283 133.961 11.50% 17.59% 25 Research & Development TSF 327.409 809.330 481.921 147.19% 26 Industrial TSF 1,042.070 1,060.762 18.692 1.79°/u 27 Mini-Storage/Warehouse TSF 199.750 199.750 0.00°/n 28 Pre-school/Da Care TSF 55.820 56.770 1 0.950 1.700/( 29 Elementary/Private School STU 4,399 4.455 56 1.27°/u 30 Junior/High School STU 4,765 4,765 0.00% 31 32 Cultural/Leaming Center Library TSF TSF 35.000 78.840 40.000 78.840 1 5.000 - 14.29% 0.00% 33 Post Office TSF 53.700 73.7001 20.000 37.24% 34 Hospital BED 351 1,2651 914 260.40% 35 Nursin /Conv. Home BEDS 661 661 1 - 0.00% 36 Church TSF 377.760 467.2101 89.450 23.68% 37 Youth Ctr./Service TSF 149.560 166.310 1 16.750 11.20% 38 Park ACRE 113.970 94.910 -19.060 -16.72% 39 Regional Park ACRE - 45.910 45.910 N/A 40 Golf Course ACRE 305.330 298.330 .7.000 -2.29% 1 Uses 8, 12, and 14 are part of the old NBTAM model structure and are not currently utilized in the City land use datasets. 2 Units Abbreviations: DU = Dwelling Units TSF = Thousand Square Feet CRT = Court STU = Students U.\UcJobs\01232\Exceh[01232-03.xlsIT 8 47 TABLE 9 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH' LAND USE BASED SOCIOECONOMIC DATA SUMMARY/COMPARISON VARIABLE 2002 QUANTITY BUILDOUT QUANTITY GROWTH % GROWTH Occu ied Single Family Dwelling Units 13,842 14,250 408 3% occupied Multi-Famil Dwelling Units 20,409 25,4531 5,044 25% TOTAL OCCUPIED DWELLING UNITS 34,251 39,7031 5,452 16% Group Quarters Population 661 661 0 0% Population 75,817 87,886 12,069 16% Employed Residents 44,379 51,268 6,889 16% Retail Employees 11,2111 13,5521 2,341 21% Service Employees 17,1501 21,1371 3,987 23% Other Employees 37,0771 44,3271 7,250 20% TOTAL EMPLOYEES 65,438 79,016 13,578 21% Elem/Hi h School Students 9,164.1 9,2201 56 1% 1 Inc UAUI 1 3.3 Buildout Trip Generation Table 10 summarizes the overall trip generation for General Plan Buildout conditions for the City of Newport Beach. The overall trip generation for the City of Newport Beach is an estimated 860,258 daily vehicle trips. Table 11 compares General Plan Buildout trip generation to existing. Total trip generation increases by approximately 170,000 daily trips over existing (or 25%). Regionally, total trip generation (Post 2025) is projected to increase by 33%. 3.4 Buildout Daily Traffic Conditions Exhibit U shows General Plan Buildout through lanes on Newport Beach roadways. This exhibit is based on information provided by City of Newport Beach staff and the City of Newport Beach Circulation Element. The extension of the SR-55 Freeway south of 17th Street is part of the assumed circulation system as is the widening of Coast Highway through Mariners' Mile, the 19t' Street Bridge over the Santa Ana River, and the circulation system Master Plan for the Banning Ranch area. Additionally, tolls have been retained on toll roads to provide a conservative worst -case scenario. Regionally, total vehicle miles of travel are projected to increase by 45%, reflecting the tendency for growth to occur in outlying areas of the region. Exhibit V summarizes the NBTM 3.1 refined General Plan Buildout daily traffic volumes throughout the City of Newport Beach. The highest daily traffic volume increase occurs on Coast Highway. Between Bayside Drive and Newport Boulevard, traffic increases by 15,000 or more vehicles per day (VPD). This increase is caused partly by land use increases in the Balboa area. The capacity increase of 50% (4 lanes to 6 lanes) on Coast Highway west of Dover Drive makes the route more desirable and also contributes to the volume increase. Finally, the SR-55 Freeway extension makes this section of Coast Highway more desirable to through traffic. This is reflected by the less substantial increase in volume on Coast Highway west of Newport Boulevard (9,000 VPD increase). Volumes on Coast 1 TABLE 10 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT TRIP GENERATION TRIP PURPOSE PRODUCTIONS' ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS - ATTRACTIONS PRODUCTIONS / ATTRACTIONS Home Based Work 70,469 100,684 -30,215 0.70 Home Based School 14,125 8,845 5,280 1.60 Home Based Otherz 167,202 136,553 30,649 1.22 Work Based Other 64,755 70,186 -5,431 0.92 Other- Other 114,557 112,882 1,675 1:01 TOTAL 431,1081 429.1501 1,9581 1.00 OVERALL TOTAL 860,258 1 Home -Work includes Home -Work and Home -University trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. z Home -Other includes Home -Shop and Home -Other trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. U:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xls]T 10 TABLE 11 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH TRIP GENERATION COMPARISON TRIP PURPOSE DAILY TRIP ENDS GROWTH PERCENT GROWTH EXISTING GENERALPLAN BUILDOUT Home Based Work Productions 57,568 70,469 12,901 22.41% Home Based Work Attractions 82,177 100,684 18,507 22.52% Home Based School Productions 11,424 14,125 2,701 23.64% Home Based School Attractions 8,730 8,845 115 1.32% Home Based Other Productions' 125,826 167,202 41,376 32.88% Home Based Other Attractions 111,273 136,553 25,280 22.72% Work Based Other Productions 52,483 64,765 12,272 23.38% Work Based Other Attractions 57,381 70,186 12,805 22.32% Other - Other Productions 92,237 114,557 22,320 24.20% Other - Other Attractions 90,749 112,882 22,133 24.39% TOTAL PRODUCTIONS 339,5381 431,1081 91,570 26.97% TOTAL ATTRACTIONS 350,3101 429,1601 78,8401 22.51% OVERALL TOTAL 689,8481 860,258 170,410 24.70% 1 Home -Work includes Home -Work and Home -University trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. 2 Home -Other includes Home -Shop and Home -Other trips, consistent with OCTAM mode choice output. U,.\UcJobs\01232\Excel\101232-03.xls]T 11 51 EXHIBIT U NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT THROUGH LANES ul N 4D 4D 6D 6D 4D 4D 0 6?=� LEGEND: 4U 6D D 4d, 'O 4D D 4D 4 = NUMBER OF THROUGH LANES D 1 4 D D zD D= DIVIDED D 4D 6D 4U6D U =UNDIVIDED 6D 6D "1epqft PACIFIC 40 1 4 D OCEAN NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:72 rev. 12/02/03 URBAN Ln W 1 EXHIBIT V GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC (ADT) im 24 10 1 58 11B LEGEND: 20 = VEHICLES PER DAY (1009S) s 8Q 43& 8 z PACIFIC ----- OCEAN NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:73 rev. 12/02/03 URBAN 3.5 Highway throughout the study area generally increase, with the one exception being west of 15th Street. The new Santa Ana River crossing of 19th Street draws traffic away from Coast Highway. Volumes on Coast Highway in other areas generally increase by 7,000-11,000 VPD. Traffic volumes on Newport Boulevard increase substantially in General Plan buildout conditions. Land use increases in the coastal areas account for some of the increase. Traffic is also drawn to Newport Boulevard in the City of Newport Beach because of the SR-55 freeway extension. However, changes to the planned circulation system Master Plan and/or the permitted level of intensification of land uses could lead to different results in the long term. Land use increases in the Newport Coast area cause Newport Coast Drive to have large volume increases that grow approaching the SR-73 tollway. Increased traffic from Bonita Canyon and Harbor View Hills/Newport Ridge cause volumes on Jamboree Road, MacArthur Boulevard, and Bonita Canyon Drive to go up. Increased capacity on Irvine Avenue south of Bristol Street draws traffic to Campus Drive/Irvine Avenue. Daily Roadway Segment Analysis The ratio of daily roadway segment volumes to daily planning level capacities provides a measure of the roadway segment service. Volume/Capacity (v/c) Ratios for existing conditions are shown on Exhibit W (to be provided). Roadway segments with v/c ratios greater than 0.90 are: • Newport Boulevard north of Hospital Road • Newport Boulevard north of Via Lido • Jamboree Road north of Campus Drive • Jamboree Road north of Birch Street Irvine Avenue north of University Drive • Dover Drive north of Coast Highway 54 Ln 1n EXHIBIT W GENERAL PLAN BUILDOUT VOLUME/CAPACITY (V/C) RATIOS 1 1.75 %6 1 11 20 V / .ml 9 w 156 1 62 20 LEGEND: .88= VOLUME/CAPACITY RATIO \ 76-21' as ss PACIFIC Bu�481 �----� OCEAN NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, California - 01232:83 rev. 12/O5/03 u�teAN • Jamboree Road north of San Joaquin Hills Road • MacArthur Boulevard north of Bison Avenue • MacArthur Boulevard north of Ford Road • Newport Coast Drive north of SR-73 NB Ramps • Newport Boulevard south of Hospital Road • Jamboree Road south of Birch Street • Irvine Avenue south of University Drive • Campus Drive east of MacArthur Boulevard • Bristol Street North east of Birch Street • Bristol Street South east of Birch Street • Coast Highway east of Dover Drive • Coast Highway east of Bayside Drive • Coast Highway east of Jamboree Road • Ford Road east of MacArthur Boulevard • Coast Highway east of MacArthur Boulevard • Coast Highway east of Goldenrod Avenue • Coast Highway east of Marguerite Avenue • Coast Highway east of Poppy Avenue • Coast Highway west of Superior Avenue/Balboa Boulevard • Coast Highway west of Riverside Drive • Bristol Street North west of Campus Drive • Bristol Street South west of Campus Drive • Bristol Street South west of Jamboree Road 3.6 Buildout Peak Hour Intersection Operations The final data required to support the Buildout Scenario of the NBTM update process was the intersection configuration of the 63 intersections selected for analysis. This data was provided by City staff and was used to calculate currently adopted General Plan Buildout intersection capacity utilization values (ICUs) at all 63 analysis intersections. Table 12 summarizes the General Plan Buildout ICUs 56 TABLE 12 NBTM BUILDOUT INTERSECTION CAPACITY UTILIZATION (ICU) SUMMARY INTERSECTION NS/EW AM PEAK HOUR I PM PEAK HOUR EXISTING COUNT FUTURE FORECAST 1EXISTING1 DELTAI COUNT I FUTURE FORECAST DELTA 1. Bluff Rd. & Coast Hw. DNE� 1.01 iml DNE 0.76 0.76 2. Superior Av. & Placentia Av. 0.66 0.65 -0.011 0.67 0.55 -0.12 3. Superior Av. & Coast Hw. 0.84 1.01 0,171 0.90 0.80 -0.10 4. Newport BI., & Hospital Rd. 0.54 0.87 0.331 0.70 0.93 0.23 5. Newport BI. & Via Lido 0.41 0.52 0.111 0.37 0.44 0.07 6. Newport BI. & 32nd St. 0.73 0.67 -0.06 0.78 0.76 -0.02 7. Riverside Av. & Coast Hw. 0.84 0.83 -0.01 0.931 1.12 0.19 8. Tustin Av. & Coast Hw. 0.80 0.76 -0.04 0.67 0.87 0:20 9. MacArthur BI. & Campus Dr. 0.61 0.72 0.11 0.85 1.21 0.36 10. MacArthur BI. & Birch St. 0.49 0.71 0.22 0.66 0.80 0.14 11. Von Karman Av. & Campus Dr. 0.55 0.67 0.12 0.79 0.94 0.15 12. MacArthur BI. & Von Karman Av. 0.46 0.54 0.081 0.53 0.64 0.11 13. Jamboree Rd. & Campus Dr. 0.74 0.93 0.191 0.85 1.231 0.38 14. Jamboree Rd. & Birch St. 0.55 0.90 0.35 0.60 0.89 0.29 15. Campus Dr. & Bristol St. 0.77 0.97 0.20 0.94 1.09 0.15 16. Birch St. & Bristol St. 0.66 0.93 0.27 0.61 0.71 0.10 17. Campus DrArvine Av. & Bristol St. S 0.72 0.91 0.19 0.58 0.76 0.18 18. Birch St. & Bristol St. S 0.46 0.52 0.06 0.44 0.53 0.09 19. Irvine Av. & Mesa Dr. 0.70 0.68 -0.02 0.94 0.90 -0.04 20. Irvine Av. & University Dr. 0.82 1.15 0.33 0.891 1.06 0.17 21. Irvine Av. & Santiago Dr. 0.66 0.58 -0.08 0.72 0.62 -0.10 22. Irvine Av. & Highland Dr. 0.57 0.51 -0.06 0.60 0.55 -0.05 23. Irvine Av. & Dover Dr. 0.72 0.75 0.03 0.64 0.65 0.01 24. Irvine Av. & WestcliffDr. 0.57 0.49 -0.08 0.77 0.74 -0.03 25. Dover Dr. & Westcliff Dr. 0.38 0.26 -0.12 0.48 0.48 0.00 26. Dover Dr. & 16th St. 0.55 0.47 -0.08 0.57 0.55 -0.02 27. Dover Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.70 0.71 0.01 0.741 0.74 0.00 28. Bayside Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.69 0.85 0.16 0.701 0.94 0.24 29. MacArthur BI. & Jamboree Rd. 0.88 0.97 0.09 0.91 0.98 0.07 30. Jamboree Rd. & Bristol St. 0.55 0.07 -0.48 0.59 0.02 -0.57 31. Bayview Pl. & Bristol St. S 0.48 0.61 0.13 0.56 0.63 0.07 32. Jamboree Rd. & Bristol St. S 0.75 0.95 0.20 0.72 0.83 0.11 33. Jamboree Rd. & Bayview W . 0.41 0.45 0.04 0.57 0.68 0.11 34. Jamboree Rd. & Eastbluff Dr. [University Dr. 0.60 0.58 -0.02 0.64 0.61 • -0.03 35. Jamboree Rd. & Bison Av. 0.45 0.461 0.011 0.511 0.54 0.03 36. Jamboree Rd. & Eastbluff Dr./Ford Rd. 0.69 0.74 0.051 0.651 0.70 0.05 37. Jamboree Rd. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.56 0.64 0.08 0.57 0.65 0.08 57 TABLE 12 (CONTINUED) NBTM BUILDOUT INTERSECTION CAPACITY UTILIZATION (ICU) SUMMARY INTERSECTION NS/EW AM PEAK HOUR PM PEAK HOUR EXISTING COUNT FUTURE FORECAST DELTA EXISTING COUNT FUTURE FORECAST DELTA 38. Jamboree Rd. & Santa Barbara Dr. 0.471 0.52 0.051 0.631 0.69 0.06 39. Jamboree Rd. & Coast Hw. 0.68 0.84 0.161 0.74 0.87 0.13 0. Santa Cruz Dr. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.36 0.40 0.04 0.36 0.38 0.02 41. Santa Rosa Dr. & San Joa uin Hills Rd. 0.32 0.34 0.02 0.52 0.66 0.14 42. Newport Center Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.40 0.51 0.11 0.52 0.62 0.10 44. Avocado Av. & San Miguel Dr. 0.33 0.35 0.02 0.72 0.77 0.05 45. Avocado Av. & Coast Hw. 0.58 0.76 0.18 0.66 0.77 0.11 46. SR-73 NB Ramps & Bison Av. 0.31 0.46 0.15 0.37 0.56 0.19 47. SR-73 SB Rams & Bison Av. 0.26 0.40 0.141 0.17 0.29 0.12 48. MacArthur Bl. & Bison Av. 0.63 0.77 0.141 0.60 0.771 0.17 49. MacArhtur BI. & Ford Rd./Bonita Canyon Dr. 0.71 0.76 0.05 0.90 1.07 0.17 50. MacArthur Bl. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.64 0.71 0.07 0.93 0.96 0.03 51. MacArthur Bl. & San Miguel Dr. 0.56 0.55 -0.01 0.65 0.70 0.05 52. MacArthur Bl. & Coast.Hw. 0.60 0.72 0.12 0.71 0.81 0.10 53. SR-73 NB Ramps & Bonita Canyon Dr. 0.55 0.62 0.07 0.43 0.47 0.04 54. SR-73 SB Rams & Bonita Canyon Dr. 0.30 0.44 0:14 0.41 0.56 0.15 55. San Miguel Dr. & Spyglass Hill Rd. 0.28 0.31 0.031 0.31 0.39 0.08 56. San Joaquin Hills Rd. & San Miguel Dr. 0.44 0.50 0.061 0.54 0.65 0.11 57. Goldenrod Av. & Coast Hw. 0.99 1.08 0.091 0.69 0.76 0.07 58. Marguerite Av. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.31 0.37 0.061 0.35 0.50 0.15 59.Maz erite Av. & Coast Hw. 0.83 0.92 0.091 0.82M46 60. S lass Hill Rd. & San Joaquin Hills Rd. 0.44 0.57 0.13 0.30 61, Po Av. & Coast Hw. 0.61 0.71 0.10 0.6562. Ne ort Coast Dr. & SR-73 NB Rams 0.45 0.52 0.07 0.3164. New ort Coast Dr. & San Joa uin Hills Rd. 0.37 0.60 0.23 0.2965. Ne ort Coast Dr. & Coast Hw. 0.47 059 0.12 0.50 1 DNE = Does Not Exist U:\UcJobs\01232\Excel\[01232-03.xls]T 12 m based on the AM and PM peak hour intersection turning movement volumes and the intersection geometric data. As shown in Table 12, ICU values generally increase in the General Plan buildout conditions. The exceptions occur where new parallel facilities are available, or where an increase in lanes results in increased capacity. The 18 intersections with ICU values greater than 0.90 (LOS "E" or worse) in either peak period are: • Bluff Road (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) (AM) • Superior Avenue (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) (AM) • Newport Boulevard (NS)/Hospital Road (EW) (PM) • Riverside Drive (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) (PM) • MacArthur Boulevard' (NS)/Campus Drive (EW) (PM) • Von Karman Avenue (NS)/Campus Drive (EW) (PM) • Jamboree Road (NS)/Campus Drive (EW) (AM/PM) • Campus Drive (NS)/Bristol Street North (EW) (AM/PM) • Birch Street (NS)/Bristol Street North (EW) (AM) • Campus Drive/Irvine Avenue (NS)/Bristol Street South (EW) (AM) • Irvine Avenue (NS)/University Avenue (EW) (AM/PM) • Bayside Drive (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) (PM) • MacArthur Boulevard (NS)/Jamboree Road (EW) (AM/PM) • Jamboree Road (NS)/Bristol Street South (EW) (AM) • MacArthur Boulevard (NS)/Ford Road/Bonita Canyon Drive (EW) (PM) • MacArthur Boulevard (NS)/San Joaquin Hills Road (EW) (PM) • Goldenrod (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) (AM) • Marguerite (NS)/Coast Highway (EW) (AM/PM) The intersections with future buildout (Currently Adopted General Plan) ICU values that exceed 0.90 are depicted graphically on Exhibit X. It is important to note that for both existing and build -out conditions, Intersection Capacity Utilization ratio calculations reflect the function of intersections for a very limited amount of time throughout the day 9 8 EXHIBIT X CURRENTLY ADOPTED GENERAL PLAN DEFICIENCIES LEGEND: PM LOS "E" °�, e1lL • = LOS "E" AM LOS "F" PM LOS "r PACIFIC OCEAN �.1''� BReonal -= LOS "F" �1 NEWPORT BEACH GENERAL PLAN UPDATE TRAFFIC STUDY, Newport Beach, Cafrfornia-01232:84 rev.12/05/03RB.Ar! (the AM and PM peak hours, or 2 of the 24 hour time period, and only for weekdays). Within the current data limitations, we are unable to provide ICU calculations either as an average ICU, or for other, non -peak hours. 61 L I 1 1 1 1 n 1 u h i 1 k lJ n 1 1 1 THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 1 62