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HomeMy WebLinkAboutGPAC_2002_11_04GF NEWP GENERAL PLAN UPDATE VISIONING PROCESS CH General Plan Advisory Committee MEETING #11 November 4, 2002 Police Department Auditorium 7:00-9:30 p.m. 870 Santa Barbara Drive AGENDA 7:00 I. Welcome and Introductions A. Agenda Overview B. Committee Communications 7:15 II. Q and A with Bryan Godbe of GRA (Survey Consultant) • 7:45 III. Discussion of Revised Vision Statement 8:00 IV. Small Group "Area Visioning" Discussions A. Airport Business Area B. Balboa Peninsula Commercial C. Lido D. Mariner's Mile E. Larger Houses 9:00 V. Discussion of Future Agenda Items 9:05 VI. Next Steps 9:15 VII. Public Comments @oEff@MMW whdiq %HER o a o ° ESQ NO NO Oasis Senior Center (5t' and Marguerite in Corona del Mar) • NEWPORT BEACH VISION STATEMENT VISION: Our desired end state. What we hope to have achieved by 2025. Community Character We have preserved and enhanced our character as a beautiful, unique residential community with diverse coastal and upland neighborhoods. We value our colorful past, the high quality of life, and our community bonds. The successful balancing of the needs of residents, businesses and visitors has been accomplished with the recognition that Newport Beach is primarily a residential community. Growth Strategy, Land Use and Development We have a conservative growth strategy that emphasizes residents' quality of life —a strategy that balances the needs of the various constituencies and that cherishes and nurtures our estuary, harbor, beaches, open spaces and natural resources. Development and revitalization decisions are well conceived and beneficial to both the economy and our character. There is a range of housing opportunities that allows people to live and work in the City. Design principles emphasize characteristics that satisfy the community's desire • for the maintenance of its particular neighborhoods and villages. Public view areas are protected. Trees and landscaping are enhanced and preserved. A Healthy Natural Environment Protection of environmental quality is a high priority. We preserve our open space resources. We maintain access to and visibility of our beaches, parks, preserves, harbor and estuary. The ocean, bay and estuary are flourishing ecosystems with high water quality standards Efficient and Safe Circulation Traffic flows smoothly throughout the community. The transportation and circulation system is safe and convenient for automobiles and public transportation, and friendly to pedestrians and bicycles. Public parking facilities are well planned for residents and visitors. Community Services We provide parks, art and cultural facilities, libraries and educational programs directly and through cooperation among diverse entities. The City facilitates or encourages access to high quality health care and essential social services. Newport Beach is noted for its excellent schools and is a premier location for hands on educational experiences in the environmental sciences. is Our streets are safe and clean. Public safety services are responsive and amongst the best in the Nation. Draft #4 10128102 Recreation Opportunities Newport Beach attracts visitors with its harbor, beaches, restaurants and shopping. We are a residential and recreational seaside community willing and eager to share its natural resources with visitors without diminishing these irreplaceable assets in order to share them. We have outdoor recreation space for active local and tourist populations that highlight the City's environmental assets as well as indoor facilities for recreation and socializing. Coastal facilities include pedestrian and aquatic opportunities. Boating and Waterways We are recognized as a premier recreational boating harbor. We have maintained a hospitable, navigable pleasure boating harbor in the lower bay through careful, low density, non -intrusive on -shore development, by regularly dredging navigation and berthing/mooring areas, and by providing adequate access to the water and vessel related servicing facilities. The upper bay retains an unencumbered shoreline and its waterways are maintained free of sediment and debris. Airport • We remain united in our efforts to control and contain noise, air and traffic pollution associated with operation of the Airport. Our City government vigorously and wisely uses the political process to control the impact of the Airport on our community. This has resulted in a level of Airport operation that preserves our unique character and land values. IJ Responsive Government Elected officials and city staff listen and respond to the interests of residents and the business community. Draft #4 10128102 MARINER'S MILE BUSINESS OWNERS A S S O C I A T I O N CITY OF N E W P O R T BEACH • October 9, 2002 General Plan Advisory Committee City of Newport Beach Attn: Sharon Wood, Asst. City Manager 3300 Newport Blvd. Newport Beach, CA 92663 Re: Mixed Uses in Mariner's Mile Dear Committee Members: My association commends the Committee for its stated support of the revitalization of Mariner's Mile. MMBOA, together with City Staff, wrote the Mariner's Mile Strategic Vision and Design Framework which the City Council adopted as development policy. It says in pertinent part on page 37, "allow a range of residential uses where feasible": • We believe that one of the key elements to revitalization is to allow a wide range of uses, including residential. That will allow for creative design solutions (e.g. enhanced pedestrian access) and complimentary land uses that will enhance the Mariner's Mile experience. The Specific Plans for both Cannery Village/McFadden Square and Central Balboa allow for a wide range of mixed uses, including visitor -serving, commercial, marine - related and residential uses. The addition of residential uses to the Mariner's Mile area will therefore be consistent with other areas of the City and could potentially result in reduced traffic impacts in this important area of the City. We respectfully request Committee consideration of our request and offer to attend your meeting with a presentation to further articulate our proposal. Please contact our association for further information and for scheduling further discussions of this proposal. Sincerely, Ned McCune, Chair Mariner's Mile Business Owners Association 424 EAST 16T" STREET • COSTA MESA. CALIFORNIA • 92627 PHONE: 949-646-2076 • FAX: 949-548-2384 1. A New Century — a New Urban Form: Location and Affordability of Housing in a Postmodern World John K. Mcllwain John K. Mcllwain ,Is OLI'senlor rest• dent fellow for housing and the ULVJ. Ronald he lack of housing that is both affordable for a wide range of the U.S. Terwilliger Chair for Hoaxing. population and readily accessible to employment centers is being recog- • nized as a significant problem of the early 21st century. Over the next 20 years, the population of the United States is projected to grow by mote than 20 percent, adding 50 million to 60 million people. Not since the 1950s have Americans faced a comparable surge in population coupled with an acute housing crisis. At the same time, metropolitan areas are evolving into interwoven networks made up of urban centers, each providing jobs and housing, surrounded by small suburbs. Thus, the absence of a transportation network that serves multiple urban centers, rather than a single hub, exacerbates the jobs/housing mismatch. It will be essential for the country to understand the nature of this new urban form and to address the urgent need for workforce housing if it is to absorb the next population boom successfully. Comprehension of this new urban form has been further complicated by the events of September 11. The security -conscious post-9/11 environment that now . prevails —and that for many may result in a greater reluctance to live in central cities —stands to spread households further and to drive the growth of these multiple urban centers. 40 The Emerging New Urban Form The best way to see the form of American cities is • to fly across the country -at night. Looking out the window at the lights sparkling 30,000 feet below 1 like jewels set in black velvet, an observer can see two kinds of urban form: ■ There are smaller cities with the old-style form of a brightly lit central -city downtown, gradually decreasing density farther from the center, and spokes of light along the major roads. This is the classic city, with its dense downtown and concentric rings of sub- urbs, each less dense than the one closer in. ■ There also are larger cities, where the new urban form is developing. There is the central downtown, and there are satellite urban centers spread through- out the metropolitan region with brightly lit roads interlinking them. The dramatic growth of America's cities over the past 50 years is leading to a new urban form —a form that encourages concentrated, intensive development surrounded by areas protected for watersheds, natural habitat, and farming. The result is a wiser, more sustainable use of land and other natural resources. It will, in time, incorporate the following three trends: ■ The well -established "urban renaissance." Central cities are growing and developing 24/7 residential downtowns. This trend —tracked and commented on extensively over the past few years —is real, but its impact has been overestimated. Central -city growth will continue, but slowly. ■ The new "suburban renaissance' Redesigned and redeveloped suburban downtowns with the look and feel of central -city downtowns —only smaller and friendlier —are emerging. This is a newer, less observed phenomenon, and is an evolu- tion of Joel Garreau's "edge cities." (See the recent ULI publication Transforming Suburban Business Districts and the work of ULI senior resident fellow William H. Hudnut III on the transformation of older, inner -ring suburbs.) ■ The coming revolution in the shape and design of the urban fringes —the new suburbs and unin- corporated areas just outside them, also known as the "edge-burbs." Urban centers are just beginning to develop on the metropolitan edges, either as small, formerly rural, towns grow larger or as new towns are developed on former farmlands. Of the three trends, this will be by far the most important, since the edge-burbs—where 80 to 90 percent of all new homes are being built —are where the real heart of sprawl occurs. The urban centers emerging in the edge-burbs are the most critical, and least mature, part of the new urban form. They are the primary alternative to the current pattern of endless low -density culs-de- sac, because not even the growth of central cities and the suburban renaissance will accommodate the rapid increase in population. And there is The best way to see the shape of American cities is to fly across the country at night. 41 Ll The urban cen- reason to believe that urban centers in the edge- ters emerging in burbs are the wave of the future. the edge-burbs • are the most An urban center, as the term is used here, includes critical, and some or all of the following elements, with the least mature, part of the new most successful examples including them all: urban form. ■ Housing that is affordable to a wide range of households; ■ Mixed uses, including homes, stores, offices, schools, and such amenities as parks, churches, temples, sports facilities, and libraries; ■ Compact, walkable, "feet -first" development designed for people, not cars, and that have streetscapes instead of surface parking lots; and ■ Development that is transit friendly internally and tied to the central city and suburban down- towns by both transit and roads. These are the principles of new urbanism and smart growth, which are being used more fre- quently simply because they work —that is, they add market value. This mix in urban centers will allow the surround- ing areas to include: ■ Traditional suburbs —old-style street grids and white picket fences, as well as culs-de-sac; ■ Rivers and shorelines protected by greenways; ■ Other natural areas protected as wildlife habitat, including forests, fields, and wetlands; and ■ A web of roads —and, in some cases, rail lines — linking the central city with the surrounding satel- lite urban centers. This emerging new urban form will allow land to be preserved for farms and natural habitat, will require far less driving —saving residents time and gasoline, and reducing pollution —and will provide a wider range of lifestyle choices for American households. Its emergence is being driven less by planners than by a series of factors coming togeth- er that are molding urban development in ways that differ dramatically from 50 years ago. The primary factor in this change is America's cur- rent unprecedented population explosion —a surge that has put pressure on natural resources that once were seen as limitless, such as clean air and water. Recognition of the finiteness of natural resources is, in turn, driving profound changes in the way communities work: it is no longer possible for a single community, acting alone, to put poli- cies in place that provide clean air and water or prevent traffic congestion. Communities instead are interlinked parts of an organic network where the decisions of each directly and indirectly affect all others. 42 r r r • F Past and Future Population Growth Understanding the future of urban areas begins with the fact that the United States is now adding more people to its population than at any time in its his- tory. As fast as the population grew in the 1950s (adding 28 million people and creating the baby boom generation), the.population of the country is climbing even more dramatically in absolute terms now, and is projected to continue to do so over the next 20 years. A total of 32.million people were added to the U.S. population in the 1990s, and pro- jections are that,the population will grow by another 25 million to 30 million in each of the next two decades. That will put U.S. population in 2020 at 330 million to 340 million people, an increase over 30 years of 80 million to 90 million people --equal to the entire U.S. population in 1910. As.the United States confronts this -population explosion, the demand for new housing has never been greater. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) estimates that 18 million homes (including replacement units) will be built by 2010; if one assumes that population growth continues at the same pace, another 18 million will be needed in the following decade. This growth is occurring and will continue primarily in the West and South: the U.S. Census Bureau estimates that there will be rapid growth in Alaska, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, while Iowa, Michi- gan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia will grow only slowly. That means that most of the 50 million to 60 million new Americans —equivalent to almost eight New York Citys—and the 36 mil- lion new housing units they will need will be in the West and South. And most of these homes will be built in the edge-burbs. As the population has grown, urban forms also have changed dramatically. In the 1990s, central cities saw their population grow, on average, 8.7 percent, double the rate of the 1980s., Most popu- lation growth, however, has taken place far away from the central city. The fastest -growing counties with populations over 10,000—such as Douglas County, Colorado, in the Denver area, and Loudoun County, Virginia, in the Washington, D.C., area —are all in the edge-burbs.2 And -the rapid population growth is taking place on the periphery of both rapidly growing cities and cities with stable or declining population? According to a Brookings Institution report, "Population gr6wthih the 1990s`was faster in unincorporated,areas and in new suburbs [the edge-burbs] than in existing suburbs:'4In the 35 metropolitan areas studied in the Brookings report, the rate of growth for the edge-burbs was 21.7 per- cent. In contrast, older suburbs grew 14.2 percent and central cities grew by 7.75 percent 5 In testimony last year before the Millennial Housing Commission (created by the U.S. Congress to assess American housing conditions), David Hill, CEO of Kimball Hill, one of America's largest homebuilders, stated: Over the past 25 years, far less than 10 percent of all new housing units, whether rental or for sale, have been delivered in inner urban areas. While this percentage is being approached and even in a few areas exceeded today, market forces and9and use policies continue to cause well over 80 percent of new housing units to be built.in the maturing and newly developing suburbs. In the next 20 years, there will be 50 mil- lion to 60 million new Americans needing 36 mil- lion new hous- ing units. Most of these homes will be built In the edge-burbs. I 43 L Between 1950, and 2000, the number•of-cars irrthe United, States rose. by, 230 percept, which helps, explaimwhy, roads are.so 'crowded today. aPtfrlrYis�°� : • m - The growth and rapid sprawl of urban areas began in the 1950s, but the world is very different today. In fact, the growth of the past 50 years has been so extensive that it has changed the fundamentals of metropolitan areas, though many may not have noticed. Look Homeward, Angel: Comparing 1950 with Today As great as U.S. population growth has been over the past 50 years-130 million people —the cumu- lative annual growth rate has been only 1.25 per- cent. For a culture that looks to the next quarter FIGURE 1: THE UNITED STATES, 1950 VERSUS 2000 1950 2000 Population 151 million 281 million Growth in Next 20 Years 52 million 50-60 million (projected) People per Square Mile 42.6 79.6 Housing Units 46 million 115 million Housing Units j per Square Mile 13.0 32.8 Private'Cars 40 million 132 million People per Car 3.76 2.12 Homeownership Rate 55 percent 67.8 percent - , Source: U.S. Census Bureau. and the next year-end, such a rate of -change is hardly noticeable. Looking back to 1950, however, the differences are striking. (See Figure 1.) Not only is the population growing, but the coun- try also is almost twice as densely developed now as in 1950. While the population grew by 86 per- cent between 1950 and 2000, the number of hous- ing units grew by 150 percent as a result of smaller families and the boom in second homes. Mean- while, the number of cars rose by 230 percent, which certainly helps explain why roads are so crowded these days. And, thanks to strong govern- ment policies, homeownership climbed to an all- time high in 2000. There are other critical differences as well. In the 1950s, growth was occurring on the edge of the central cities, and commute times to jobs were 20 to 30 minutes. Today, with the new suburbs 20 to 30 miles from central cities and with more than three times the number of cars on the roads as in 1950, commute times exceed 45 minutes in many urban areas, despite the construction of miles of high-speed freeway lanes in an attempt to make driving easier. Also different today is the role environmental con- cerns play in development decisions. In the 1950s, there was a consensus supporting growth of the suburbs. Today, the environmental movement — unheard of in 1950—is working to control or limit 44 the construction of new subdivisions. Most locali- ties today also seem to be opposed to new develop- ment of any kind. Also in the 1950s, air pollution came from city factories —a prime reason people moved to the suburbs —and the supply of water was a problem only in the deserts of the West. Today, even though many factories are closed, air pollution —to which automobiles make a major contribution —is a prob- lem throughout metropolitan areas, including the suburbs. Clean air and clean water, once thought to be unlimited natural resources available free to everyone, now are in short supply, though commu- nities continue to be treat them as though nothing has changed. Finally, increases in the cost of housing have not been matched by growth in workforce incomes. This has led to the emergence of a new, more com- plex challenge —the provision of affordable, work- force housing. The Current Affordable Housing Shortage As in the 1950s, the United,States is facing a shortage of affordable, mod- erately priced housing for its workers. In the 1950s, the cause was obvious — lack of housing production during World War II and the number of returning veterans looking for homes. 1 Today, it is police officers and fire- fighters, nurses and teachers, data h' clerks, service workers, and other members of the workforce who are unable to afford decent housing in many cities and suburbs. However, national averages hide the problem: both the National Association of °I] Realtors and the NAHB affordability indexes show that nationally homes k are affordable. Nevertheless, in March, the National Housing Conference's (NHC) Center for Housing Policy released the third in its series of reports on the housing problems faced by working families. The -report states: Statistics on overall housing needs mask a disturbing trend. In 1997, three million working families [earn- ing between the full-time minimum wage equivalent of $10,712 and 120 percent of the metropolitan area median income] had critical -housing needs; by 1999, this number had increased by 28 percent to some 3.9 million. In contrast, the number of non- working or marginally employed families with critical housing needs fell by about the same amount —from 6.4 million in 1997 to 5.5 million in 1999.6 [Emphasis added.] The report defines "critical housing need" as either housing that costs more than 50 percent of house- hold income or housing that is seriously deterio- rated. By far the largest percentage of critical need was due to the cost of the housing rather than its quality; this would not have been the case in the 1950s, when the housing stock was in far worse condition than it is today. There are additional mil- lions of households paying more than the accepted standard of 30 percent but less than 50 percent of their income for their housing, indicating that the shortage of affordable workforce housing is even more severe than that reported by the NHC. And according to the NHC, this is not a city problem alone: more households with critical housing needs are in the suburbs than cities. FIGURE 2: MEAN HOUSEHOLD INCOMES BY QUINTILE, 1968-2000 1Constant 1999 Dollard — $130,000 $120,000 -- -------- --- -------- ---.._---- ---- -- -----_.—__ $110.000 Top Quintile ._ .. ... _.__-. $100.000 — — _ -- $90,000 $80,000 -----------------------------------"— $70,000 $60.9o9 Second Quintile $50,000 Third Quintile -+ $40,000 $30,000 Fourth Quintile $20,000 Bottom Quintile _ _ $10,000 $o 1970 lu75 'lueu lueo ,aeu mou Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Ep 0, The lack of work- force.housing is a major problem for central cities and mature sub- urbs.that.need teachers nurses, and municipal workers. FIGURE 3: LOWEST THREE INCOME QUINTILES AND THE COST OF HOUSING, 1975-1999 1975 1999 Change Third Quintile Income $34,942 $40,879 17% Fourth Quintile Income $21,356 $24,436 140/6 Bottom Quintile Income $8,694 $9,940 12% Average Home Price $104,324 $131,818 26% Sources: Income figures—U.S. Census Bureau; home price figures —Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies The State of the Natlon's Housing: 2001 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, 2001), Appendix A-4, adjusted to 1999 dollars. Why do the national averages hide this crisis? The answer lies in the structure of income growth in the country over the past several decades, and in where affordable housing is now being built. The Rising Income Tide Has Failed to Lift All Boats Incomes in the bottom three quintiles —which constitute the U.S. workforce —have failed to keep up with incomes of the top two quintiles. (See Figure 2.) Meanwhile, the increase in incomes of the bottonrthree income quintiles has failed to keep pace with the cost of housing. (See Figure 3.) To make matters worse, in large or fast-growing urban areas, there is a dramatic disparity between the cost of decent housing in the central city and close -in suburbs and the cost in edge-burbs. As Robert Dunphy, ULI senior resident fellow for transportation policy, reports: A significant component of traffic growth in recent years is the growing distance between homes and jobs, reflecting consumers' need to spend more time on the road in return for affordable housing. A ULI study of Portland, Oregon, found that for the same - sized home, new homebuyers could save about $2 a day in morigage costs for every mile they moved farther out, adding additional congestion to the roads and emissions to the enviromnenC Not only is most housing built in the edge-burbs, but housing there is far less expensive than housing built closer in, where land and infrastructure costs are higher. One real estate broker puts it in these terms: she says she has to take many would-be homebuyers "on the drive to qualify" —driving them far enough out into the edge-burbs to an area where they can afford a home and qualify for a loan to buy it. The lack of workforce housing is a major problem for central cities and mature suburbs that need teachers, nurses, and municipal workers. Likewise, businesses are moving closer to the edge-burbs to be near where their workers can afford to live. The situation is becoming a barrier to the 'economic growth of many cities: in repeated surveys, government officials and business leaders have identified inadequate and over- priced housing as a prime threat to the eco- nomic growth of their communities. The growth of the past 50 years has caused profound and unforeseen changes. In fact, at some point in the past five decades, gradual growth pushed the country across a thresh- old into a world of a different order —one in which localities within an urban area, once isolated from the impact of decisions made elsewhere, now are directly affected by every other area locality. As a result, growth in the coming decades is unlikely to continue in the same way it has over the past 50 years. Do the Past 50 Years Predict the Next 20? In the next 20 years, the number of new homes built in America will equal almost 80 percent of all the housing in place in 1950. (See Figure 4.) 46' FIGURE 4: POPULATION NIAND, HOUSING UT$, 1950-2626 1950 2000 2020 (projected) Population 151 million 281 million 340 million Housing Units 46 million 115 million 150 million Sources: 1950 and 2000 data—U.S. Census Bureau; 2020 population —author's projection based on Census Bureau data; 2020 housing units —author's projection based on NAHB estimate for 2010. To continue to build the next 35 million homes in the same pattern of low -density sprawl would devas- tate the economic and physical health of urban regions, and would use up increasingly scarce natur- al resources. For example, the impact of this growth on Los Angeles would be appalling if past growth patterns were to continue. Gloria Ohland, southern California campaign manager for the nonprofit Surface Transportation Policy Project, has noted that, "[bjetween 1970 and 1990, the population of southern California grew 50 percent and developed lands grew 300 percent." At a recent ULI Leadership Forum, Professor Steven Eirie of the University of California —San Diego made the following prediction about growth in the Los Angeles region: I By the year 2020, the five -county Los Angeles region will absorb 5.2 million new residents, for a total,population of 22.1 million. This amount of growth is equivalent to adding &o Chicagos, or a Los Angeles and San Diego combined.... [A]dding more than 5 million new residents may generate 2.7 million new automobiles on the roads. If each car requires five to seven parking spaces, the region would need more than 130 square miles of paved parking lots. That is equivalent to paving over the San Fernando Valley. If current trends continue, predictions such as this could be made for any rapidly growing metropoli- tan region in the United States. There is reason to believe, however, that the current pattern of urban sprawl may be ending and that due to limited nat- ural resources and demographic changes, the new urban form described here may be emerging. Sprawl development, popular as it is with so many Americans, makes extravagant use of natural resources such as gasoline, air, water, and land —a fact uncon- tested even by sprawl's most ardent supporters. And while there are many who claim that natural resources are unlimited —that there will always be plenty of oil, clean air and water, and land for farms, forests, and natural habitats —those who would bank on,such beliefs are backing a high -risk gam- ble and taking a short-term view. Now that the population of the planet has topped 6 billion —and is climbing by another billion every 15 years —and the U.S. population is adding more people than ever, the effects of the extravagance of sprawl can be seen. Looking 20 years, and further, into the future, gradual changes occurring now can be foreseen to have impacts more profound than the changes of the past 50 years. Among the trends to watch are the following: ■ Continuing failure by major U.S. urban areas to comply with federal Clean Air Act standards; ■ Declining underground water tables, and growing —and unfunded —costs of maintaining aging public water and sewer systems; IN Declining construction of new roads, from Cali- fornia Governor Gray Davies proclamation that no new highways would be built in California, to trends in the use of federal highway dollars for road repair and maintenance rather than new construction; Gradual changes occurring today —such as,declining underground water4ables and the growing costs otmain- taining aging public water and sewer systems— will likely have profound Impacts in the future. 47 FIGURE 5: PROJECTED PERCENTAGE OF U.S. HOUSEHOLDS WITH ,CHILDREN, 2000-2026, Married Couples with Children ''- Single Parents with Children C A 2000 2010 2020 24.3% 21.8% 20.1% 8.5% 7.7% 7.2% Source: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, The State of the Nation's Housing: 2001(Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, 2001), Table A-5, page 32. ■ Lengthening average commute times in many major urban areas: and ■ Growing resistance to new development in rural areas near edge-burbs. These trends are gradually making sprawl develop- ment patterns less affordable and less attractive to homebuyers. This is already beginning —slowly — to spur denser, mixed -use development in the edge-burbs and older suburbs. It is important to watch the price of gasoline as well. Today, gasoline costs the same or less than it did in the 1,8,50s, when adjusted for inflation. If gasoline prices rise, due to supply constraints prompted by either Middle Eastern politics or the widely predicted peaking of global oil production this decade as demand rises, the cost of low - density, automobile -dependent sprawl will no longer seem so affordable. At the same time, other trends are encouraging denser development patterns. These include: ■ A growing number of baby boomers whose chil- dren have left home are moving downtown instead of to golf course communities; ■ Their children, the "echo boomers," are in their 20s and are renting apartments in vibrant urban settings; and ■ The percentage of households with school -age children, a cohort less amenable to downtown liv- ing, is fallings (See Figure 5.) Also encouraging denser development is the new suburban renaissance —the rebuilding of many older suburban areas, including suburban shopping districts and malls, into vital, mixed -use urbanized centers. These centers are becoming small towns and villages of their own, and frequently are tied into mass transit or located next to an existing major highway. Many former cul-de-sac residents are moving to these suburban downtowns to reduce the amount of time they spend in their cars, whether to commute to work, to shop, or to go to restau- rants. Many find it an easier, more resource - efficient lifestyle. Taken together, these trends are shaping the new urban form. There will always be suburbs and culs- de-sac, gated communities and golf -course com- munities; this is a large and diverse country, and some people will always want to live this way. Gradually, however, more people are opting for the new old way of living —residing in denser, more vibrant neighborhoods that are less car dependent. The change will continue over time, and through education and policy choices, the process can be accelerated. Conclusion—Indra°s Jeweled Net There is an ancient Buddhist metaphor of the jew- eled net of the god Indra. The image is of a vast net where a jewel lies at each juncture. Each jewel reflects all the others in a cosmic matrix and so is intrinsically and closely connected to all the others. For this reason, anything that affects one jewel affects all the others. Flying over a city on a clear night, one can see the jewels on Indra's net —the lights of neighborhoods with interwoven destinies. Changes in any one of these neighborhoods will affect —directly or indirectly —all the other communities in the net just as one jewel reflects all the others. Much current thinking regarding local land use is founded upon concepts once true but that now are profoundly mistaken. Localities have lived as enti- ties separate from each other for most of history: what one town did had little or no effect on the quality of life in other towns --even those nearby. There were exceptions, of course, -as when a disease in one town was transmitted to another by travel- ers, but they were rare. The interconnectivity of neighborhoods was first observed at the end of the 19th century, when pollution from city factories and disease from overcrowded slums led people to move out of the city. It also led to the current form of euclidian zoning, in which different uses are separated in the belief —now acknowledged as mistaken —that spatial separation will protect homes from the harm done by pollution. The ability of towns to'live in this lovely isolation ended during the last century, largely as a result of the overwhelming growth of the U.S. and global populations. 48 Today, actions taken by one locality directly affect, all the other localities in the metropolitan area. In the new urban form, regional cooperation to fulfill metropolitan housing demand is more critical than ever. Some have suggested that as a matter of prag- matism, the post —September 11 demands for improved emergency response systems —ones that operate regionally —will provide a new impetus for cooperation among local jurisdictions. Without such a regional approach to housing and urban growth, a rapidly growing jurisdiction on the urban edge can downzone—as Loudoun County, on the western edge of the Washington, D.C., metropolitan area, did in 2001 when it reduced the number of housing units it would allow to be built —forcing the entire region to absorb the overflow population and the increase in traffic and pollution that accompany it. Americans live today in a new world, one far more complex and interlinked than ever before in the country's history, yet America's land use decisions are based on concepts of zoning and political juris- dictions that are 50 years out of date. As well, Amer- ica is beginning to push the limits of its natural resources. Fortunately, the trend is toward develop- ing new urban patterns. But more needs to be done. Understanding the ways urban neighborhoods interact and finding ways for neighborhoods to determine what is in their best interests as part of ; an interlinked whole are important challenges. Educating local citizens about the inevitability of growth and the best ways to address it also will do much to accelerate positive changes. There are many other important tasks ahead if all urban areas are to develop in the new urban form. Among the most important is finding ways to develop afford- able workforce housing in the three types of urban centers. Other challenges include altering zoning and building codes and developing new financing techniques for mixed -use development. There is much to be done over the next 20 years to best accommodate the 60 million new Americans in an urban pattern that will stand the test of time. The good news is that there are trends that are helping and many people in the building, develop- ment, and public realms that understand the chal- lenges ahead. Notes: 1. Edward L. Glaeser and Jesse M. Shapiro, City Growth and the 2000 Census: WJtich Places Grew, and Why (Wash- ington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy, May 2001, available at www.brook.edu/ dybdocroot/es/urban/census/whygrowth.pdf), p.1. 2. Haya El Nasser, "Suburbs Continue to Sprawl, Census Data Shows," USA Today, 12 March 1999, p. 3A. 3.Ibid. 4. William H. Lucy and David L. Phillips, Suburbs and the Census: Patterns of Growth and Decline (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metro- politan Policy, December 2001, available at www.broolcedu/ dybdocroot/es/urban/census/lucypdf), p.1. 5. Ibid., p.10; central city percentage derived by author from data in the report, p. 5, Table 4. 6. Joseph M. Harkness, Sandra J. Newman, and Barbara J. Lipman, "Housing America's Working Families: A Fur- therExploration, New Century Housing 3, (March 2002), available at www.nhe.org/nhcimages/workingfam 3final.pdf. page v. 7. Robert Dunphy, Cross Cutting Issues Conference: Part- nerships for Linking Transportation and Sustainable Com- munities, report to the General Accounting Office, 2001. S. Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, The State of the Nation's Housing: 2001 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, 2001), p. 32. ,In the metaphor of the jeweled net of the Buddhist god Indra, each jewel reflects all the others and so is intrinsically connected to all the others in a cosmic matrix. Flying over a city on a clear night, one might com- pare the lights of neighborhoods with the jewels on Indra's net. 49 • What Californians Think About • Growth and Development California's population is booming, and that means Californians need more housing, more infrastructure and more local ser- vices. But a recent survey shows that Californians are ambivalent about growth in their local communities. How much is too much? Are Californians prepared to accept sprawl and a diminished quality of life in exchange for a stronger economy? This information is presented as part of Western City's housing and growth series. The Field Institute survey information is reproduced with permission. For more about the Field Institute, see page 14. In April 2002, a survey of public opin- ion about growth and development in California was conducted by the Field Institute, a nonpartisan public policy research organization devoted to the study of public opinion on social, eco- nomic and political issues. The survey revealed some very interesting facts, including the following: • Californians display ambivalence and have contradictory attitudes about issues of growth in their own community: While residents •overwhelmingly support the idea of encouraging commercial development, at the same time a majority feels popu- lation growth in their community should be discouraged. This ambiva- lence is most prominent among Cali- fornians living in the suburbs. • By a two -to -one margin, Californians believe that new single-family housing should be encouraged in their commu- nity. Renters and lower income Cali- fornians are most likely to feel this way. • However, about two in three residents describe suburban sprawl as a very important or somewhat important problem in their region. This view is shared by majorities in all areas of the state and is particularly strong among those living in the nine -county San Francisco Bay Area. • More traffic and longer commuting time is mentioned most often as the biggest problem associated with sprawl. Two other problems frequently •cited include a loss of open space/ poor land management and increasing costs to local communities for provid- ing public services. Opinions are also divided when it comes to whether a regional plan should be used to guide growth and land use decisions or whether such decisions should be left up to each city and county. Statewide, 53 percent support making such decisions at the regional level, while 43 percent favor retaining this authority within their own local governments. Residents of rural areas or small- and medium-sized towns are more apt to favor retaining local control. More detailed survey findings, includ- ing some demographic information, appear on the following pages. For the comprehensive survey findings, visit www.field.com. Cal-ifomians Are Ambival'erit Ab t GYowth. Question: Do,you.feel'lhat.population growth shoulfte,encouraged,irryour communitydlri.ihd next several'years? Question: Do you'feel that commercia4growth­ business and�economic devel- opment—shouldfbe encoumged=in,your cormmunity in the,next,several.years? ^ - 01ace,of. residence (self -described) ' -�� :rg;cIty]Suburb near large city FSmallmr' size towr rural arei j 'COMMERCIAL GROWTH I j. Encourage, 78'/d 78% 83% 770/c 1 Strongly . 45- 48, 45, 45 Somewhat' 33' 30 38 32 Discourage - 18%° 19% 16% 19% Somewhat 12' 13 11' 13 C Strongly '6 6 5 6 l No opinlon - : 4% 3"/°PoPULAT IONS ( GROWTH �� Encourage 40% 40% 320/6 450/c Strongly 12 16 8 13 Somewhat - ,2& 24 24 �i 32 . t Discourage 52% 63% 61n/° 470/c ,Somewhat '36_ 33, - 42 iL32Strongly 17 20. 19 ' "'N� o opinion 8%, 7% 7% State housing experts tell us that California should'bebuilding 22o,000 new housing units per year through 202o, because the state's population Willgrow bymore thin5oo;000 people annually between now and then. How�do these figures stackup against Californians' feelings about growth and development? By a gteaterthan four-td-one margin, residents strongly, support the idea of en- cout'aging commercial growth in their�comtnunities over the next several years. On the other hand, a majority of Californians (52 percent), believes that one of the byproducts of commercial growth — population growth — should be discouraged in their community. While large majorities ofresidents in all -areas of the state support the idea of encouraging commercial development in their communities over the nut,several years, some differences are evident impublic attitudes toward population,,depend- ing on,one•s place -of residence. Those living,iwthe�suburbs, while just as likely as othei Californians to favor commercial development, are the most likely group to.feel'that population growthdn their area should be discouraged (62 percent discouraged versus 3r percent encouraged). , • By contrast, people who residein small- or medium-sized towns or in rural areas hold more divided opinions with regard to population -growth, with-45 percent feel- ing itshould be encouraged and 47 percentsaying it should be discouraged. continued www.westerncity.com Western City, September 2002 11 What Californians Think About Growth, continued I" • Support for More New Single -Family Housing Question: Do you feel that new single -family -detached housing development should be encouraged in your community in the nextseveral years? Should beji "Shoulfte-' No opinion T$` By a two -to -one -margin (6o percent ,l encouraged discouraged, 9j to 30 percent), Californians beheve that new single-family housing should � _ Statewide i' 60% " 30% _ 10% be encouraged in their community. iL Support for new single-family hous- HHO�MEOWNERSHIP/ I ! y' VALUE OF HOME ing is'greatest among renters and d lower income Californians, while Renter j 68% 22% 10% homeowners living in more expen- sive homes and people with annual Homeowner (total) +i 54 1! 37 9 incomes of $8o,000 or more are Less than $300,000 ! 60 31 if 9 more divided in their views on this. $300,000 or morek 45' i! 47 -8 HOUSEHOLD INCOME Less than $40,00,0 4� 71% T5'� - 8% { $40,000--$79,999 57 I; 8 f ; $80y000•ormore p 50 42 �8� Advisors to Aq Local Governments TheCompany Management Consulting & Executive Search . Financial Services & Fiscal Analysis Economic Development & Redevelopment MICHAEL DAVIS TOM SINCLAIR JIMWILLIAMS 555'University Ave. #116 1275 Arrow Court 11150 Santa Monica Blvd., #230 Sacramento, CA 95825 Auburn, CA 95602 Los Angeles, CA 90025 Ph. 916.567.9510 Ph. 530.878.9100 Th. 310.479.9079 Fax 916.567.9540, Fax 530.878.8999 Fax 310:575.9739 iviv w. davisco. org 12 League of California Cities www.cacities.org • Traffic Seen as the Biggest Problem Associated with Sprawl E • Question: What are the biggest problems associated with sprawl? More traffic/longer commutes 22% Loss of open•space/toomany houses, shopping malls/poor land management 13% Increased -costs to suburban governments to provide new sewers, roads, schools, services 111% Too many people/ overcrowding 7% Deterioration ofthe,cities/ leading to more crime, more drug problems 6% More pollution, poorer air quality 6% Affordable housing becoming harder to find 50/0 Lack of water/water supply, problems 4% Loss of lobs in•the,cities 4% Loss of a sense•of neighborhood, community 2% Other mentions 10% Don't know/no answer 290/6 (Total adds to more than 100 percent due, to multiple mentions:)" When Californians are asked to state in their own words what they believe are the biggest prob- lems associated with sprawl, the most commonly volunteered xe- sponse xelates.to,more traffic and longer commuting time. continued , =Employees in today's workforce want to / support causes that reflect their values and needs. For over 30 years, Community Health Charities of California has built bridges between employees and the health charities they care about.,,y� Come see how you can add Community Health Charities of California to your workplace giving campaign. Booth # 351 ommunio. Health Charities WORKING FOR A HEALTHY CALIFORNIA,. 4 www.westernc[tY.com Western City, September 2002 13 • • What Californians Think About Growth, continued �w r P1 Prom r Recricit t' in Services �L•-' Since 1972... Visit us at the League of Califorrtia Cities Conference Booth 141 RALPH ANDERSEN & ASSOCIATES Serving Clients from Sacramento • Fresno • Tucson • Dallas corporate office 4240 Rocklin Road, Suite 11 Rocklin, CA 95677 916.630.4900 • Off -Grid Stand -Alone Lighting • Underwriters Laboratories Listed • Caltrans Approved • Lab Tested Photometrics • Certified for California Wind Load SOLAR OUTDOOR usxnxc WORLD LEADER IN SOLAR POWERED OUTDOOR LIGHTING 4 About the Series k As California's•population contin- ues to -increase at a dramatic rate, the issues associated with housing and growth have taken omg7eater significance and urgency. Since April"2002, i Western_City has, published a series of articles exploring a r wide range of perspectives and { solutions, iman effortto rally stat&dnd locableaders around these crucial and often contro- versial issues, (see "A Call for 'Leadership on,Housing and ! Growth,",page 17). b These. articles -are -available I online -at the WesternCity web - site at www.westerncity.corn. Click on "articles," which •links to a, page, displaying,recent issues. i The articles in the series are p grouped together, in each issue, S beginning with.April, under "Housing and Growth Series." About the Field Institute ThwField`Institute is a nonpar- tisampublic policy research orga- ,4zatioh devoted to the study of ,public opihlomon a variety of 'social,,economic.and political '(ssues. It undertakesregularly 'scheduled opinion and attitude faurvays.asvdell as ad,hoc stud- lesdn Callfornla, its primary area of focus. The'Field'institute's services are available to all ,) sectors -of the public, In addition programs, it accepts research contracts from public, or private organizations, but not from parti- san,interest%°AlLdata from, Field Institute studies are archived for use•by scholars, policymakers another individuals onorgani- zations.,Archived.data sets are available from more than 250 statewide,studies conducte&by the Field Institute and the -Field PolLsince 1956. Visit,the Field`Institute, online at www.field.com. continued on page 18 www.eacities.org 14 League of California Cities Miat Californians Think About Growth, &V� emnimred from page 14 Sprawl Is an Important Regional Problem Throughout the State Question: How important a,problem is sprawl in.the region where yowlive? - s y Very Somewhat,, Not t� No i Important Important Important opinion Statewide L®i - r Statewide --_..,..e.....-_•w ...-s°,.^'11 ��------.---.-..s-yr.--T----._—...� �., w..•..... REGION :"" "k �'':'• Los Angeles County 40% & 280/6� 28% 4% 1 Other Southern California 36 f 24 34 6 4 . Central'Valley 36 29 32 3 San Francisco Bay Area 48 30 20 , ! 2 Other Northern,Califomla 37 22 j; 38 3 r' • r' • • � The beliefthat.sprawl is a major regional problem,is sbaredby the majority of residents in all areas : " of the state; particularly among those living in the nine -county San Erandsco+Say Area. u LJ 0 Sharpe Bud eter/Bid Anal f .;, .7"y ., Visit Sharpe Software a Booth # 851 in Long Beach at the League of California ities Annual Expositio Tired of using National Averaged data for your Engineers Estimates? Start using real time data based upon the costs in your area. Use data from actual bids placed by contractors in your area for more -- - ----- detailed control and closer estimates on future jobs. Eliminates redundant data entry and increases productivity. Complete bid analysis available on bid day. For more information, contact Sharpe Software Inc., 800-777-0786 visit us at www.sharpesoft.com or _ e-mail us at sales@shal'pesoft.com y 18 League of California Cities www.CaCities.org 'Rb�1/A LW • Divided Opinions About Local Control Over Land Use Decisions Question: Do you thinicthat the city and county governments in your region•should.get together and agree on,a regional plan related to growth and management issues, or should each city and county in your region -be allowed to make its own -decisions on growth and.land•use issues within its•own jurisdiction? L. J 9 Regional control i Statewide PLACE OF RESIDENCE ,Large city 61% { Suburb near large city 56 Small/medium town/rural area 9l 46 IE Cities/counties 'No make own. 4 opinion decisions 35% ;p 4% 41 3 50 4 Opinions are divided when state -residents are asked'whether a regional plan should guide growth and land use decisions in their area or whether decisions about this should.be left up - to each city and county. Statewide, 53 percent favor the,idea ofmaking. growth, and land use decisions at the regional level, while 43 percent favor retaining, this decision making authority within their own local city or county government. While the majority of residents living in large cities and suburban areas around large cities favor a regional approach, many residents of rural areas or small- or medium-sized towns favor retaining local control. 13 Statewide,' " Since 1990 Citygate Associates, LLc has been a leader in public sector evaluation and improvement. We provide professional management consulting services to assist elected officials and managers in: • Performance Audits • Fire Planning and Assessment • Improvement • Facilitation and Change f S wry A O J S l i-- David C. DeRoos, MPA, CMC, President Ronny J. Coleman, MA, Principal Dwane N. Milnes, DPA, Principal 705 Gold Lake Drive, Suite 100 • Folsom, CA 95630 Phone (916) 355-1385 or 1-800-275-2764 FAX (916) 355-1390 www.citygateassociates.com www.westerncitycom Western City, September 2002 19 NEWP GENERAL PLAN UPDATE VISIONING PROCESS Resident and Business Survey Report • o Prepared by Godbe Research & Analysis In association with Moore lacofano Goltsman (MIG), Inc. November 4, 2002 is =,1 Table of contents Table of Contents List of Figures List of Tables. 1V Introduction............................................................................................................................... I ExecutiveSummary ................................................................ ................................................. 3 Methodology............................................................................................................................ 16 CityRegulations - Resident Survey ......................................................................................... 24 Accommodating Visitors - Resident Survey ............................................................................. 27 Traffic- Resident Survey ........................................ 11 ........................................ ...................... 28 Development within the City -Resident Survey ...................................................................... 31 Economic Development- Resident Survey ............................................................................. 40 Hotel Development- Resident Survey ..................................................................................... 42 Airport Construction - Resident Survey ................................................................................... 49 Demographic Description of Residents ................................................................................... 52 Important Attributes of the City- Business Survey ............................................ .................... 56 CityRegulations - Business Survey ......................................................................................... 59 Accommodating Visitors -'Business Survey............................................................................. 61 Traffic- Business Survey ............................................................. .................................... I .... 1.62 Developmentwithin the City - Business Survey ...................................................................... 64 Economic Development - Business Survey ............................................................................. 71 Hotel Development- Business Survey ..................................................................................... 73 Airport Construction - Business Survey ........................................................ .......................... 77 Employee Recruitment - Business Survey ............................................................................... 79 Demographic Description of Businesses ................................................................................. 81 L My of fieuporl Bwcb 6-&eReswn;b&Ana4s* • Paget List of Figures List of Figures Figure 1. Regulations Regarding the Size of Homes................................................................................. 24 Figure 2. Perceived Strength of Regulations Protecting Views.................................................................. 25 Figure 3. Protection of Coastal Bluffs........................................................................................................ 26 Figure 4. Improvements to Accommodate Visitors of Newport Beach's Coast ........................................... 27 Figure5. Traffic Congestion.......................................................................................................................28 Figure 6. Road Widening to Reduce Traffic............................................................................................... 29 Figure 7. Support for Traffic Improvements ................................ .............. ............................................ I... 30 Figures. Familiarity with Banning Ranch................................................................................................31 Figure 9. Recognition of Banning Ranch After Description......................................................................31 Figure 10. Development of Banning Ranch................................................................................................. 32 Figure 11. Familiaritywith Area Near John Wayne Airport......................................................................... 33 Figure 12. Development of the Airport Area..................................................................................................34 Figure 13. Traffic Congestion in the Airport Area.........................................................................i...............35 Figure 14. Familiaritywith Fashion Island Shopping Mall....................................................................... 36 Figure 15. Support for Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island............................................................... 37 Figure 16. Familiarity with Newport Office Center....................................................................................... 38 • Figure 17. Growth at Newport Center.......................................................................................................... 38 Figure 18. Smith vs. Jones - Economic Development.................................................................................. 40 Figure 19. Development of Hotels in Newport Beach................................................................................... 42 Figure 20. Conditional Support for Development of Hotels in Newport Beach ........................................... 43 Figure21. Hotel -type Preference................................................................................................................... 44 Figure22. Location of New Hotel.................................................................................................................. 44 Figure 23. Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront...............................................................................47 Figure 24. Construction of Airport at El Toro ............................................................................................... 49 Figure 25. Conditional Support for Construction of New Airport at El Toro ............................................... 50 Figure26. Length of Residence.....................................................................................................................52 Figure 27. Children Under the Age of 18...................................................................................................... 53 Figure28. Home Ownership......................................................................................................................... 53 Figure29. Employment Status.....................................................................................................................53 Figure 30. Annual Household Income.......................................................................................................... 54 Figure31. Respondent Gender......................................................................................................................54 Figure32. Age................................................................................................................................................ 54 Figure33. Household Party Type..................................................................................................................55 Figure 34. Importance of Newport Beach Attributes.................................................................................... 56 Figure 35. Difficulty of Opening or Starting a Business............................................................................... 59 Figure 36. Difficulty of Business Operation..................................................................................................59 • City of Neuporl Beach a4e Research &Anal,) * Pageff W of FISUM Figure37. Difficulty of Business Property Expansion ................................................................. ................ 60 Figure 38. Strength of Regulations Regarding Signs .................................................................................. 60 Figure 39. Improvements to Accommodate Visitors of Newport Beach's Coast ..........................................61 Fjgure40. Traffic Congestion ....................................................................................................................... 62 Figure41. Road Widening ............................................................................................................... ............ 62 Figure 42. Support forSpecific Traffic Improvements ................................................................................. 63 Figure 43. Familiarity with Area Near John Wayne Airport ......................................................................... 64 Figure 44. Future of the Airport Area ........................................... ................................................................ 65 Figure 45. Traffic Congestion in thekirportArea ........................................................................................ 66 Figure 46. Familiarity with Fashion Island Shopping Mall ....................................................................... 67 Figure 47. Growth of Retail Space at Fashion island .................................................................................. 68 Figure 48. Familiarity with Newport Office Center ............. : ........................................................................ 69 Figure 49. Growth at Newport Center ........................ ............................................................................. 70 figure 50. Smith vs.jones - Economic Development .................................................................................. 71 Figure 51. Development of Hotels in Newport Beach ................................................................................... 73 Figure 52. Conditional Support for Development of Hotels in Newport Beach ...........................................74 Figure53. Hotel -Type Preference ............................................. ................................................................... 75 Figure54. Location of New Hotel ................................................................................................................. 75 Figure 55. Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront Property ................................................................ 76 Figure 56, Conditional Support for Construction of New Airport at El Toro ...............................................78 Figure 57. Difficulty,in Finding Qualffied,Employees .......................... ................... ........... ...................... 79 Figure 58. Availability of Affordable Housing in Newport Beach ................................................................. 79 figure 59. Length of Stayin Newport Beach ................................................................................................ 81 Figure60. Position at Firm ........................................................................... 11 ................ ............. I ............. 82 Figure6l, Newport Beach Residents ........................................................................................................... 82 Figure 62. Percentage of Employees living in Newport Beach .......................... ......................................... 82 Figure63. Gender ......................................................................................................................................... 83 Figure64. Number of Employees ..................................................................................... .......................... 83 Figure65. S.I.C. Code ................................................................................................. 1. ..... I .... I ... I ........ I .... ...1.83 0 LJ City of Neupor, BXch Go,& Rcmrch & Anal)w • Page ill • • • nst of Tables List of Tables Table 1. Methodology Overview for the Resident Survey .............. Table 2. Methodology Overview for Business Survey ................... Table 3. Naming Labels for the Resident Survey .......................... Table 4. Naming Labels for the Business Survey .......................... Table 5. Margin of Error for the Newport Beach Resident Survey Table 6: Margin of Error for the Newport Beach Business Survey Table 7. Table 9. Table 8. Table 10. Table 11. Table 12. Table 13. Table 14. Table 15. Table 16. Table 17. Table 18. Table 19. Table 20. Table 21. Table 22. Table 23. Table 24. Table 25. Table 26. Table 27. Table 28. Table 29. Table 30. Table 31. Table 32. Table 33. Table 34. Table 35. Table 36. Example: 16 17 17 18 20 21 22 'Means' Questions and Corresponding Scales for the Business Survey ...................................... 23 'Means' Questions and Corresponding Scales for the Resident Survey ...................................... 23 Regulations Regarding the Size of Homes by Voter Status and Age . .......................................... 25 Protection of Coastal Bluffs by Voter Status and Area................................................................. 26 Traffic Congestion by Voter Status and Area...............................................................................28 Road Widening by Voter Status and Children Under 18............................................................. 29 Development of Banning Ranch by Voter Status and Income ................................................... 32 Development of Banning Ranch by Area................................................................................... 33 Development of the Airport Area by Voter Status and Children under 18 .................................. 35 Traffic Congestion in the Airport Area by Voter Status and Age ................................................ 36 Support for Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island by Voter Status ...................................... 37 Support for Growth at Newport Center by Voter Status and Area .............................................. 39 Economic Development by Voter Status and Income................................................................ 40 Economic Development by Employment Status......................................................................... 41 Development of Hotels by Voter Status and Area ........... Development of Hotels by Age ......................................... New Hotels in the Airport Area by Voter Status and Area 42 43 45 New Hotels in Newport Center by Voter Status and Area............................................................. 45 Support for New Hotels in the Newport Dunes by Voter Status and Area ................................... 46 Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront by Voter Status and Age........................................47 Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront by Area.................................................................. 48 Construction of Airport at El Toro by Voter Status and Area ...................................................... 49 Construction of Airport at EI Toro by Income............................................................................ 50 Conditional Support for Construction of New Airport at EI Toro by Voter Status and Age........ 51 Importance of Newport Beach Attributes by Number of Employees .......................................... 57 Importance of Newport Beach Attributes by SIC Code................................................................ 58 Road Widening by Perceived Traffic Congestion........................................................................ 63 Future of the Airport Area by Number of Employees.................................................................. 66 Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island by Industry Type ...................................................... 68 tarty of Naceod Beach Goehe Research &Anal1jb* Page it, Oat of Tables Table 37. Growth at Newport Center by Number of Employees................................................................70 Table38. Economic Development by Industry Type ................... I ...... ...... :................................................ 72 Table 39• Development of Hotels by RespondenPs Residence ...................................................................73 Table 40. Construction of Airport at El Tom..............................................................................................77 Table 41. Construction of Airport at El Toro by Number of Employees.....................................................77 Table 42. Availability of Affordable Housing by Difficulty Recruiting Employees....................................80 • COY ofNeupodBemb GO&Remra&sAwl* • Page o • • • introduction Introduction Godbe Research & Analysis (GRA) and Moore, Iacofano, Goltsman Inc.(MIG) are pleased to present the results of a public opinion research project conducted for the City of Newport Beach. This report is organized into the following sections: Eteculive Summary The Executive Summary includes a summary of theKey Findings from the resident and business survey. Afelhodology The Methodology section explains the methodology used to conduct this type of survey research. This section also explains sampling error and how to use the detailed crosstabulation tables in Appendix B. Summary of Resulls In the body of the report, we present a question -by -question analysis of the survey. The discussion is organized into the following sections: I. Resident Survey is City Regulations ■ Accommodating Visitors ■ Traffic ■ Development within the City in Economic Development ■ Hotel Development ■ Airport Construction ■ General Demographic Description of Residents H. Business Survey ■ Important Attributes of the City is City Regulations ■ Accommodating Visitors ■ Traffic ■ Development within the City ■ Economic Development ■ Hotel Development ■ Airport Construction ■ Employee Recruitment ■ General Demographic Description of Businesses City ofNeuporl Beach - DRNTREPORT Goehe Research &AnMA Page 1 Introduction Appendices We have included the following three appendices ■ AppendixA, which presents the questionnaire and topline data for, both surveys. ■ Appendix B, which presents the cross -tabulations for both surveys. ■ Appendix C, which presents the verbatim responses given to open-ended questions. NOTE: Appendix A has been distributed to GPUC and GPAC previously. Appendices B and C are available from City staff. 0 • MyojNatpor[Bwcb-DWRBPORT GoaeRaw rcB&AnalIA • Pege2 • ExecmrveSummary Executive Summary Based on an analysis of the survey data, GRA offers the following executive summary for both the resident and business survey. Please note that the executive summary and the body of the report only include the results of different subgroups that are of particular interest, in this case the respondents voter status, or those subgroups that reveal notable differences in the level of support or agreement on a given question. Should readers wish to conduct a closer analysis of subgroups for a given question, the complete breakdowns appear in Appendix B. These crosstabulation tables provide detailed information on the responses to each question by all subgroups that were assessed in the survey. Key Findings from the Resident Survey City RegnlaRons The first section of the resident survey examined multiple issues related to City regulations. Residents were first asked to indicate their opinion on the City's current regulations to restrain the size of new or remodeled homes. Approximately 41 percent of respondents thought the City's regulations were just right' as they related to restraining the size of new • or remodeled homes. Twenty-seven percent of residents felt that the City's regulations were 'Not strong enough', whereas 13 percent felt the regulations were 'Too strong'. The remaining 20 percent of respondents were undecided or declined to state their opinion. In further examining residents' opinions regarding the City's regulations to restrain the size of new or remodeled homes, their voter status and age was taken into consideration. Older residents were more likely to view the current home size regulations as 'Not strong enough', whereas residents 18 to 29 years of age were more likely to rate the regulations as 'Just right' or 'Too strong' when compared to their older counterparts. Respondents were next asked to rate how well the City's building regulations, plant and tree regulations, and business sign regulations protected the views of Newport Beach residents. On all three accounts, over 40 percent of respondents felt each regulation was 'Just right' whereas approximately a quarter to a third of residents indicated that the current regulations were 'not strong enough'. Examining the results closer, respondents viewed 'Plant and tree regulations' as 'Too strong' with greater frequency than the other two regulations (13%vs. 9%, respectively). Thirty-two percent of respondents felt that 'Building regulations' were 'Not strong enough' and approximately 50 percent of residents felt that 'Plant and tree regulations' as well as 'Business sign regulations' were 'Just right'. Respondents were next informed of the conflict between the City's obligation to protect coastal bluffs and the desire for property owners to have control over development on their property. Respondents were asked to reveal which should be the City's priority, protecting the • erty of Newport Beach -DR*TRBPORT 6WbeResearch &AnalA Page3 Executive Summary • Coastal bluffs orprotecting the rights of homeowners. The majority of respondents (56%) felt that protecting fire bluffs should take priority overprotecting the rights of property owners. Thirty-eight percent of respondents felt more strongly about property rights and seven percent did not reveal their opinion. A closer look at responses to the coastal bluff question took into account respondents' voter status and the area of the City in which they lived. Examining residents' views by geographic area revealed that 'Upper West' residents displayed more support for protection of Coastal Bluffs (62%) than respondents residing in other areas of the City. Aagnnnodating Milos The next question of the resident survey shifted the focus from City regulations to support for City improvements to further accommodate visitors. Specifically, respondents were asked whether the City should do more to accommodate people who visit Newport Beach's coast and harbor by providing more restrooms, shuttle buses, parking, and retail stores. The findings revealed that approximately half of respondentsfelt the City should make improvements to accommodate visitors in regards to restrooms, shuttle buses, and parking (48%, 51%, and 50% respectively) with an almost equally large percentage of residents saying the City should not engage in these City improvements for visitors. When asked about retail stores, however, an overwhelming majority of respondents (74%) did notsupport • increasing retail stores to -accommodate visitors. vraf/ic por the next series of questions, residents were asked their perception of Newport Beach traffic. When asked to rate the level of congestion on the roads they regularly used, 57 percent of residents felt the roads were 'Somewhat congested', 27 percent felt the roads were 'Very congested', and.14 percent felt they were'Not congested at all'. The remaining two percent of respondents did not reveal their opinion. When residents' traffic congestion ratings were examined by their voter status and the geographic area of the City in which they lived, overall, mom non -voters than voters rated traffic as 'Very congested' (31%vs. 27%, respectively). Examining traffic ratings by geographic area revealed that residents of 'Corona Del'Mar' rated traffic on roads as 'Very congested' with greater frequency (367o) than respondents residing in the other regions of the City. Next, respondentswere asked if theywould supportwidening the roads they regularly used in an effort to reduce traffic congestion or if they would prefer to leave the roads as they currently are, despite future growth. Overall, 62 percent of respondents felt the City should not widen the roads (leave them 'as is'), whereas 30 percent of respondents felt the City should indeed widen the roads. The remaining seven percent of respondents did not reveal their opinion. CityofftporlBwch- DRAFT RRPORT Coa5eRemrrb &Analpis Page 0 Executive Summary Further examination of the issue of road widening in the City of Newport Beach looked more closely at the residents' support for road widening and took into consideration their voter status and whether or not they had children under 18 living in the home. Overall, more voters and respondents with children present in the home felt roads in the City should be left alone when compared with their subgroup counterparts. The next question of the survey presented respondents with several types of improvements that could be made to the City's traffic circulation system and asked them to indicate whether they would support or oppose each type of improvement. For each potential improvement tested, the majority of residents (between 52% and 71% expressed opposition. Of the improvements tested, wideningJamboree Road and Macarthur Boulevard received the highest percentages of opposition, with 71 percent and 68 percent, respectively. Comparatively, building an overpass at Macarthur and Jamboree received the highest percentage of support from residents, with 39 percent. Development roRbin lie City For the next section of the resident survey, respondents were asked to reveal their opinions about the development of Banning Ranch, the business area near john Wayne Airport, Fashion Island, and Newport Office Center. • Banning Ranch Respondents were first asked if they were familiar with Banning Ranch. Over three quarters of respondents (78.396) were not familiar, 20 percent of respondents were familiar with Banning Ranch, and two percent of residents did not respond to this question. Respondents who were not familiar with Banning Ranch and those who declined to state their familiarity were read a short description of Banning Ranch and were asked if they now recognized the area that had been described. After being read the short description of Banning Ranch, 68 percent of respondents indicated recognition of Banning Ranch, and 30 percent of respondents were still unfamiliar with the area after the description. Respondents who indicated familiarity or recognition of Banning Ranch were next Oven two options for the development of Banning Ranch and asked which option they thought was most appropriate for the area. The results revealed a near split decision on the options. Forty- six percent of the residents who were familiar with Banning Ranch chose 'Option 2', which would preserve the entire Banning Ranch area as open space and would require alocal tax increase of 250 dollars per parcel per year for 15 years along with state matching funds to pay for the entire area to be preserved. Forty-four percent of residents familiar with Banning Ranch chose 'Option P, which would allow for half of the land at Banning Ranch to be developed for residential and some light industrial uses with the remaining half of the land reserved as open space. The remaining ten percent of respondents were undecided on the topic. • Ctlyoffi porlBeach-DRAPTREPORT 664cRerearrG&AnallA Page5 ,Executive summary 0 Support for each option concerning the development of land at Banning Ranch was exam- ined by residents' voter status and household income, Respondents who indicated an annual household income between $150,000 to $200,000 and voters were more likely to support 'Option 1- Which allows residential -and light industrial development' than their subgroup counterparts. Lower.income respondents ($60k or under) were more likely to decline to state their opinion compared with respondents in other income brackets. An examination of the support for each Banning Ranch option byrespondents' geographic area of residence showed that respondents living in the 'Upper West' and 'Corona Del Mar' areas of Newport were more likely to support Option 2: preserving the area as open space than respondents living in other areas. At the other end of the spectrum, respondents in the 'Newly Annexed' areas and 'Sub-Divisions'were more likely to support Option 1: Developing half the land for residential and light industrial and donating the other half as open space than respondents residing in other areas of the City. John Ma}meAirport Respondents were next asked if they were familiar with the business area near theJohn Wayne Airport The finding from the survey revealed that almost all respondents were familiarwith the area. As.adollow-up question, respondents who were familiarwith the business area near the airport were asked to indicate their support for six different options for the future of the • airport area. Overall, respondents indicated opposition (as evidenced by the negative ratings) to four of the six options tested. Of those tested, respondents revealed the most opposition to 'More car dealerships', followed by 'More industrial uses'. Residents indicated the most supportfor'No change' to the airport area in the future. Respondents who indicated familiarity with the business area near John Wayne Airportwere next asked about traffic congestion in that area. The findings reveal that 64 percent of respondents felt that it was acceptable to have more traffic congestion in the airport area than in other parts of the City, whereas 31 percent felt'it was not acceptable. The remaining five percent did not reveal their opinion. When responses to the airport area traffic congestion question were broken down by voter status and age, non -voters and older residents (50 years of age or more) indicated they were less likely to accept more traffic in the airport area compared with residents under 50years of age. Fasblon/sland Respondents were next asked if they were familiarwith, the Fashion Island shopping mall. Ninety-six percent of all respondents were familiar with the site, whereas only three percent were unfamiliar with Fashion Island. CilyojNeuporlBeatb-DW- RMT Go&Ramch&And)= • Fage6 Executive Summary As a follow-up question, respondents who were familiar with Fashion Island were asked to reveal their support for changes in the amount of retail space at Fashion Island. Of the three growth options tested, respondents showed the most support for Fashion Island to remain as it is, with little or no change, followed by 'Increasing slightly so that existing department stores can expand', and 'Increasing moderately to attract new stores to the area'. ivetuport center Respondents were next asked if they were familiar with the Newport Center office area. The results of the survey showed that 72 percent of respondents were familiar with the area and 26 percent were not familiar with the Newport Center office area. As a follow-up question, respondents who were familiar with the Newport Center office area were asked to indicate their support for the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center. Of the growth options presented for the future of Newport Center, respondents revealed the most support for leaving the size and amount of buildings as they currently are, with little or no change, followed by'Increasing to allow existing companies to grow, like Pacific Life'. Respondents' opinions about the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center were examined by voter status and the geographic area of each respondent. Voters, residents • from'UpperWest' Newport, and residents of the'Lower Bay area were more likely to support increased growth at the Newport Center than non -voters and residents from other areas of the City. Economic Development The next section of the resident survey addressed economic development. For this question, residents were read the opinions of two hypothetical Newport Beach residents and were asked to indicate which opinion was closest to their own. The survey found that the majority of respondents (57%) agreed with first opinion, which discourages economic development and 33 percent of respondents identified with the second opinion, which encourages economic development. Further investigation of residents' views on economic development broken down by voter status and their household income showed that respondents in the $200,000 or more income range were more likely to agree with the second opinion, encouraging economic development, whereas respondents in the $60,000 to $100,000 range were more likely than their counterparts to agree with the fast opinion, discouraging economic development. Hotel Development The next section on the resident survey addressed hotel development in Newport Beach. Respondents were asked whether they supported or opposed developing new hotels in the City. The findings indicated that approximately 52 percent of respondents opposed the development of new hotels, 27 percent supported new hotel development, and 20 percent of respondents had 'No opinion' on the topic. • city ojNemport Beadi - DRAPTRBPORT co o Reaearrb &Anallpt Page ExaUlivesummary 0 Additionally, respondents' supportfor hotel developmentwas examined by their age. Overall, older residents (over 50 years of age) showed more opposition to the development of new hotels in the city than their younger counterparts. Examining the,tople more specifically, respondents were asked whether they favored or opposed developing new hotels in the City to support local stores and restaurants, business conferences, tax revenue for the City, and tourism. The finding revealed that more than 50 percent of respondents still opposed hotel development under each of the conditions tested. Under the assumption that new hotels will be built in the future, respondents were asked to reveal the We of buildings they felt would be most appropriate for Newport Beach. When asked about 'New large hotels with conference facilities, like the Four Seasons' and 'New medium-sized extended stay, business hotels, like Courtyard Marriott', less than half of all respondents (43%and 4476 respectively) felt they were appropriate. When asked about 'New smaller -sized Inns with no buildings over three stories', over half of respondents, 61 percent, felt they were appropriate for.future development. Next, respondents were asked if they would support or oppose building a hotel in six specific locations. Of the areas tested, hotel development in the airport area received the most support (73%) from respondents. On the opposite end of the spectrum, hotel development in Marina Park received the least amount of support (28%) from respondents. It should be noted that those respondents that opposed all four of the items in question 21,were not asked •' any of the items in this question, therefore overall support for these areas would be lower if we assumed those respondents would oppose each of the locations. For the Interested reader, the locations that received the highestsupportpercentages were broken down by respondents' voter status and geographic area of residence. With regard to the airport area, 'Upper West' Newport residents were more likely to support new hotel development than respondents from other areas, in addition, 'Lower Bay' residents were more likely to support new hotel development in Newport Center and NewportDunes compared with respondents from the other geographic areas within the City. The next question of the resident survey asked respondents to indicate their support for developing certain parts of the publicly owned waterfront property at Newport Dunes and Marina Park for visitor service uses such as hotels, restaurants, inns, and recreation. Over half of respondents (54%) revealed that they would oppose development and 41 percent of respondents would support development of certain parts of the publicly owned waterfront property. Responses to the waterfront development question were then examined by respondente voter status and age. Although residents in general were not supportive of the development of public property at Newport Dunes and Marina park, residents under the age of 50 indicated they were more likely to support development compared to theirolder counterparts. a6,offtuporl Beach-DRINRBADRT &4beRaeawh &Anal6o* Page 8 • • • • raecuuvc Summary When responses to the waterfront development question were broken down by respondents' geographic area, residents of 'Corona Del Mar' were the most likely to oppose the development of public property at Newport Dunes and Marina park compared to residents living in other areas of the City. Airport Construction The final substantive section of the resident survey addressed airport construction. Residents were first asked to asses their support for the construction of an airport at El Toro. The findings revealed that 68 percent of respondents would support construction of an El Toro airport, 26 percent would oppose construction, and the remaining six percent of residents declined to reveal their opinion. For the interested reader, a closer look at respondents' support for an El Toro airport by their voter status and geographic area of residence showed that, overall, voters and'Upper Bay' residents were more likely to support airport construction compared with non -voters and residents living in other geographic areas of the City. When respondents' support for an El Toro airport was examined by their household income, respondents in the highest income bracket showed the highest level of support for airport construction, whereas respondents in the lowest income bracket showed the lowest level of support. As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they would be more likely to support air- port construction after learning that planes would not fly over any part of Newport Beach including Newport coast. Overall, 58 percent of residents revealed they would be'Much more likely' to support construction after being told that flights from the new airport would not fly over any part of Newport Beach. Key Findings from the Business Survey important Atinbutea ofihe city The first substantive question of the business survey asked respondents to rate the importance of eight Newport Beach attributes. The results revealed that respondents rated'all attributes somewhere between 'somewhat important' and'very important. Newport Beach's location and beauty ranked at the top of the attribute list, along with having a good business address. 'Proximity to John Wayne Airport' ranked least important of the attributes examined in this question. Further examination of the Newport Beach attributes that were tested took into consideration the reported number of employees in each firm. Firms with over 50 employees rated the overall purchasing power of the community as most important while firms with zero to two employees rated the City's location within Orange County as the most important attribute evaluated. City ofNeuporlBearb-DRAFTWORT GodbeResmrcb &Anal}w Page9 EeecutireSumm21Y • For the interested reader, responses to the Newport Beach,attribute question were broken down by SIC codes. Both Retail Trade and Financial, Insurance, and Real Estate (F.I.R.E) businesses rated 'The location within Orange County and 'A good business address' somewhere between 'very important' and 'extremely important'. City ReSula0ons The next section of the business survey addressed City regulations. Respondents were fast asked their opinion on how dificultitwas to start a business in Newport Beach. The survey revealed that 44 percent of respondents felt that itwas" Not at all difficult' to open or start a business in Newport Beach and slightly more than a quarter of respondents felt it was 'Somewhat difficult' (27%). Only ten percent of respondents indicated that it was 'Very difficult' to start a business in Newport Beach and 18 percent of respondents did not indicate their opinion on this question. As a follow-up, respondents were asked to Indicate how difficult it Was to operate a business in Newport Beach. The finding&revealed that over half of respondents (57%) felt itwas 'Not at all difficult' to operate a business in Newport Beach and 31 percent indicated it was 'Somewhat difficult'. Only five percent of respondents mentioned that itwas 'Very difficult' to operate a business in Newport Beach and six percent of respondents declined to state their opinion. The next question in the business survey next asked respondents to assess the difficulty of • regulations related to changing or expanding to businesses in the City. The results showed that 44 percent of respondents felt the City's regulations were either'Somewhat difficult' (28%) or'Verydifficult' (16%) as they related to expanding or changing their business. Over 30percent of respondents indicated that it was 'Not at all difficult' to make changes to their business and 23 percent of respondents did not have or give an opinion on this question. The final City regulation question for businesses asked about the City's current sign regulations for Newport Beach's business environment, Just over half of respondents felt the sign regulations were just right (51%), with 18 percent of respondents indicating they were 'Too strong' and ten percent of respondents stating they were 'Not strong enough'. Twenty percent of respondents did not indicate an opinion on this question. Accommodating Parlors The next section of the survey evaluated the level of support in the business communityfor making improvements In the City to further accommodate visitors. Respondents were asked their opinion on whether the City should do more to accommodate people who visit Newport Beach's coast and harbor including providing more restrooms, shuttle buses, parking, and retail stores. The findings revealed that in regards to restrooms, shuttle buses, and parking, over half of respondents (51%, 62%, and 74% respectively) felt that the City should provide more. Increasing parking received the highest support (74%). when asked about retail stores, however, only a third of respondents (30%) supported increasing the number to accommodate visitors. CiryajNeuparf Bweb-DW)?EPORT GWUR=rcb GAnalyfts Page 10 0 Executive Summary Trafic The next section of the business survey addressed Newport Beach traffic and the first question asked respondents to rate the level of congestion on the roads they regularly used. The results showed that over half of respondents (57%) felt that the roads they regularly used were 'Somewhat congested'. About a third of respondents felt that the roads were 'Very congested' and nine percent felt they were 'Not congested at all'. Only one percent of respondents did not reveal their opinion on this inquiry. Afollow-up question asked respondents if they would support widening the roads they regularly used in order to reduce traffic congestion or if they would prefer to leave the roads in their current state, despite future growth. It was found that 60 percent of respondents thought the roads should be left 'as is'. A third of respondents felt that the City should 'Widen' the roads and seven percent of respondents declined to reveal their opinion. The support and opposition for widening the roads was then examined by how employers rated the level of traffic congestion within the City. Those employers that rated traffic as very congested were more likely to support widening the road. Respondents were next asked if they would support or oppose potential traffic improvements in the City. When asked about each suggested improvement, over 40 percent of respondents expressed opposition. Traffic calming measures and widening Jamboree Road received the • highest percentage of opposition with 66 percent and 62 percent respectively. The overpass at Macarthur4amboree received the highest percentage of support with 52 percent. Development within the city The next section of the survey addressed development within different regions of the City. The specific areas considered in the business survey included the business area near John Wayne Airport, Fashion Island, and Newport Office Center. John Wayne Airport Respondents were first asked 9 they were familiar with the business area near John Wayne Airport. The survey found that 90 percent of respondents were familiar with the area and ten percent were not familiar with the area. As a follow-up question, respondents who were familiar with the airport area were asked to assess their support for six options for the future of the airport area. As indicated by the results, the most supported proposals evaluated were 'New low-rise office buildings in the area', followed by 'More retail stores'. Overall, respondents indicated the highestlevel of opposition to 'More car dealerships' in the airport area. When support for the different airport proposals was delineated by the number of employees at each firm, firms with over 50 employees were most likely to support'More industrial uses in the airport area', whereas firms with zero to two employees were the most likely to support 'New low-rise office buildings'. • City ofW uportBeach-DR*TRRPORT GodbeResearrb &Anal* Page 11 Ex"utive5ummary Next, respondents were asked about traffic congestion in the airport area. The findings showed that 68 percent of respondents felt that itwas acceptable to have more traffic congestion in the aiiportarea'than in other parts of the City, whereas 31 percent felt that it was not acceptable. The remaining one percent did not reveal their opinion. Fasbion Island Respondents were next asked if they were familiar with the Fashion island shoppingmall. For this area of the City, the finding revealed that 91 percent of respondents were familiar with this location. As afollow-up question, respondents who were familiar with Fashion Island were then asked to asses their support for changes in the amount of retail space allowedatFashion Island. The survey found that business respondents were somewhat supportive of all.three proposals for dealing with the amount of retail space allowed at Fashion Island. 'Increasing moderately to attract new stores to the area' received a slightly higher support score than 'Increasing slightly so that existing department stores can expand' which was slightly higher than'Remaining as it is, with little or no change. For the interested reader, the support for growth of retail space atFashion Island was examined by SIC Code. Businesses in retail trade were more likely to support growth at Fashion Island to attract new firms than businesses in other industry types. • Newpori Cenier Respondents were then asked if they were familiar with the Newport Center office area. The survey revealed that just over two-thirds (67%) of respondents were familiar with the area and 32 percent were not familiar with the area. As afollow-up question, respondents who were familiar with the office area were asked to assess their support for the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center. Responses to this question suggest that respondents were more supportive of the proposal 'Remaining as they are, with little or no change' to the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center. Respondents gave a more neutral'response, on average, to the three other proposals for the size and amount of building in Newport Center, beginningwith'Increasing to allow existing companies to grow, like Pacific life', followed by'Increasing to attract new businesses to the area', and the least support for'Increasing to allow for residential and mixed use buildings to be developed'. Support for the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center was then delineated by the number of employees in each firm. Businesses with over 50 employees were most likely to support 'Increasing to allow existing companies to grow, like Pacific fife' and 'Increasing to attract new businesses to the area'. EconomicDeoelopmenr The next section of the business survey addressed economic development Respondents were first read the opinions of two hypothetical Newport Beach residents and asked which opinion 0yojNeupodlimeb-DR*TREPORT GoAvRes mh&Amdj= • pap 12 • • Executive Summary they most agreed with. Results from this question revealed that opinions were split relatively evenly between the two opinions offered on economic development. Forty-five percent of respondents agreed more with the first opinion, which suggested that economic development benefftted residents, whereas 42 percent of respondents agreed more with the second opinion, which suggested economic development is detrimental to residents. Five percent of respondents indicated they did not agree with either opinion, six percent agreed with both opinions, and three percent did not indicate a preference. For the interested reader, responses to the economic development question were then broken down by industry type. Newport Beach businesses in the Financial, Insurance, and Real Estate (F.I.R.E) Industry were more likely to support overall economic development as a benefit to residents in Newport Beach than businesses in other industries. Hotel Development The next section of the business survey examined the level of support for developing new hotels in the City. The survey found that 41 percent of respondents would'Support' the development of new hotels in Newport Beach, whereas 30 percent of respondents indicated they would 'Oppose' new hotel development in the City. Over a quarter (2791.) of respondents indicated they did not have an opinion on the topic. As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they favored or opposed developing new hotels in the City to support local stores and restaurants, business conferences, tax revenue for the City, and tourism. The results found that more than 50 percent of respondents favored hotel development if each of the topics presented would benefit. This represents a 13 to 19 percent increase in support for developing new hotels within the City from the previous question. Under the assumption that new hotels will likely be built in the future, respondents were asked to reveal the type of buildings they felt would be most appropriate for Newport Beach. When asked about 'Large hotels with conference facilities, like the Four Seasons', slightly more than half of the business respondents (54%) felt they were appropriate and 42 percent felt they were inappropriate. 'Medium-sized extended stay business hotels, like Courtyard Marriott' had an equivalent percentage of respondents who felt they were appropriate compared with the percentage of respondents who felt they were inappropriate (47% each). 'Smaller sized Inns with no buildings over three stories', were considered appropriate by 49 percent of respondents and inappropriate by 47 percent of respondents. Respondents were next asked if they would support or oppose building a hotel in various locations throughout Newport Beach. Hotel development at the airport area received the most support (706) from respondents, followed by Newport Center (58%), and Newport Dunes (56%). At the other end of the spectrum, hotel development in Marina Park received the highest level of opposition (599) from respondents, followed closely by Lido Marina Village (57%), and Mariner's mile (53%). City ofNewporl Beach • DW7RRPORT Godbe Research OAnalisls Page 13 Executive Summary 0 The final hotel development related question in the business survey evaluated support for developing publicly owned property at Newport Dunes and Marina Park. The proposed development would be for visitor uses such as hotels,, restaurants, and recreation. The 'findings revealed that over half of business respondents were either strongly supportive (29%) or somewhat supportive (27%) of the proposal. Approximately 40 percent of respondents indicated they were opposed to the proposal either somewhat (11%) or strongly (3091.) and,threepercent declined to state their opinion, Airport Construclion The next section of the business survey addressed airport construction in Orange County. Residents were first asked if they supported the construction of an airport atEI Toro. The findings showed that 55 percent of respondents would support construction of the El Toro airport either strongly (38%) or somewhat (17%) and 38 percent of respondents would oppose construction. of the airport either strongly (27%) or somewhat (10%). Seven percent of respondents did not reveal their opinion on this question. For the interested reader, support for construction of the El Toro airport was delineated by number of employees at each respondents firm. Businesses with more than 11 employees were most -likely to support construction of -the El Togo airport. As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they would be more likely to support construction of the El Toro airport after learning that planes would not fly over any part of • Newport Beach, including Newport coast, Overall, 39 percent of respondents indicated they would be 'Much more likely' to support construction if fligbtsfrom the new airport would not fly over any part of Newport. Eighteen percent of respondents noted they would be 'Somewhat more likely' to support construction after learning about the conditional flight pattern,11 percent would be'Somewhat less likely' to support, and 24percent of respondents indicated theywould be'Much less likely' to supportconstruction of afuture El Toro Airport. Employee Recruitment The last substantive section of the business survey addressed issues related to employee recruitment Respondents were first asked to reveal the level of difficulty they experienced when hiring qualified employees for their business. Forty-two,percent of respondents felt it was 'Not difficult at art' to hire qualified employees, 33 percent indicated it was 'Somewhat difficult', and 18 percent felt hiring qualified employees was 'Very difficult'. The remaining six percent of respondents declined to state their opinion on the topic. As a follow-up question, respondents were asked iftheyfelt affordable housing affected recruitment Fifty percent of respondents agreed that affordable housing availability did indeed have an impact on requiting qualified employees, 42 percent disagreed, and the remaining seven percent declined to state. CilyojNeuporlBW-DRAffREMRT Cb&J?ettwrrb &Amallau' page 14 L_J Methodology Methodology Research Objectives At the outset of this project, the City of Newport Beach, GRA, and MIG identified several research objectives for this study. Viewed broadly, the City of Newport Beach was interested in using survey research to gather unbiased, representative data on residents' opinions of topics included in the City's General Plan update, such as: ■ gather opinions of City issues including development, City regulations, and issues related to economic development; ■ compare survey results with input received from neighborhood workshops, visioning fes- tival, the website, and the General Plan Advisory Committee; ■ identify differences in residents' opinions, and perceptions with respect to the geography of the City of Newport Beach and ■ identify needs that may be priorities for City attention in the near future. Resident Survey Sample and lVelgliling Table 1 briefly outlines the methodology employed in the resident survey portion of this project. One thousand residents completed the survey, representing a total universe of approximately 59,018 adult residents in the City of Newport Beach. Interviews were conducted on September 27th through October 13th, 2002, and each interview typically lasted 12 minutes. Table t. Methodology Overview for the Resident Survey Technique Telephone Interviewing Universe Newport Beach Residents (Voters and Non -voters) Field Dates September 27th through October 13th, 2002 Interview Language English Interview Length 12minutes Sample Size 1,000 Because of the research objectives underlying this study and the City of Newport Beach's interest in being able to make reliable estimates of opinions not only city-wide, but also within six regions identified in the City, the sampling frame was designed to sample a repre- sentative proportion of voters throughout the six regions. The sampling plan also included gathering a representative sample of non -voters throughout the City. Once collected, the data were compared with Census 2000 information, as well as a 2002 voter file to examine possible differences between the sample and the adult population of the City of Newport Beach -DRAPTRBPORT CodbeReseardr &Analyrls Page 15 NamingLabefs Methodology 0 City of Newport Beach on major demographic variables including, age, gender, and regis- tered voting status. The data have been weighted to co'nectfor deviations in age and voter status so that they accurately represent the population of adult residents in Newport Beach. Business Survey Table 2 briefly outlines the methodology employed in the business survey -portion of this project. One hundred and seventy-five businesses completed the business survey interview, representing a total universe of 14,688 businesses in the City of Newport Beach. Interviews were conducted on October7th through October 14th, 2002, and each interview typically lasted 12 minutes. Table 2. Methodology Overview for Business Survoy Technique Telephone Interviewing Universe Newport Beach Business Owners FleldDales October 71h through October 141h, 2002 Interview language English Interview Length 12minutes SampleSize 175 The following labels are used in the report and crosstabulation tables: Table 3. Naming Labels for the Resident Survey Age Individuals were grouped Into one of the following age brackets: 18 to 29,30 to 39, 40 to 49, 50 to 64, and65+ (65 years or older) Children Under the Age 18 Respondents were grouped by whether they had children under the age of 18 in the home. Gender Male and female respondents were Identified by their appropri- ate labels. Home Ownership Individuals were grouped according towhether theyrented or owned their home, Employment Status Respondents were categorized according to their current employment status: Full-time (employed), Part-time (employed), Self-employed, Student, Homemaker, Retired, Not employed Income Residents were grouped according to their total household Income: A or under, 60.1k to lbOk,100.1k to 150k,150.1k to 200k, 200,1k or more City ojNaporl Bean)-DWREPORT WoRtsmnb fidnalbs* Page 16 0 • • Alcihodolop Table 3. Naming Labels for the Resident Survey Develop New Hotels in the City Respondents were grouped according to whether or not they thought the City should allow new hotels to be developed. Party individuals were placed into their affiliated political party: Dem- ocrat, Republican, Other, or DTS (Declined to State). Household Party Type individuals were grouped into the following household party types: 'Democrat l'--one Democrat in the household, 'Democrat 2+'--two or more Democrats, 'Republican 1'—one Republican, 'Republican 2+'--two or more Republicans, 'Olher'—Otherpar- tisans, 'Mixed' -- household members who differ in their parti- sanship. Area Individuals were grouped according to their precinct of resi- dence. Six areas were identified: Economic Development Respondents were grouped according to their response on whether encouraging economic development was in the best Interest of residents (Smith) or not Oones). Voter Respondents' voter status was identified as either a registered voters (voter) or a non -registered voters (non-voter). Years of Residence Respondents were grouped according to the number of years they had lived in the Newport Beach Area: Table 4. Naming Labels for the Business Survey Post tionatPirm Respondents were grouped according to their current position at the firm. Newport Beach Resident Respondents were grouped according to whether they lived in Newport Beach or not. Percentage of Employees that Live Businesses were grouped according to the percentage of employ - in Newport Beach ees that live within the City. Available Affordable Housing Respondents were grouped according to their response on whether affordable housing in the community affects the busi- nesses ability to recruit employees Economic Development Respondents were grouped according to their response on whether encouraging economic development was in the best interest of residents (Smith) or not Qones). Develop New Hotels in the City Respondents were grouped according to whether or not they thought the City should allow new hotels to be developed. Gender Male and female respondents were identified by their appropri- ate labels. Number of Employees Businesses were grouped by how many employees worked at each company. aty ofNewporl Bead) -DRAFTREPORT GodbeRersvrcb &Ana!•tars Page 17 6felhodology SIC Code Businesses were grouped according to thelr2 digit SIC code. The four categories Include: Retail Trade (52- 59), F.I.R.E. (Finan- cial, Insurance, and Real Estate 60 - 67), Services (70-87 & 89), and other. Years of Business in Ne port Beach Respondents were grouped according to the number of years their business had been operating in the Newport Beach Area. Randomization ofQuesrions To avoid the problem of systematic position bias - where the order in which a series of questions is asked influences the answers to the questions - many of the questions in both surveys were randomized such that respondents were not consistently asked the questions in the same order. The series of items within questions were randomized for each interview in the resident survey, this included Questions 3, 5i 8,11,13,16,18,19, 21, and23. The series of items within questions were randomized for each interview in the business survey, this included Questions 2, 7, 10, 12, 15, 17, 18, 20, and 22. UnderslandingThe WarginofError' Because a survey only.intervlewsalimited number ofpeople who are part ofalarger population group, by mere chance alone there will almost always be some difference between a sample and the population from which it was drawn. For example, researchers might collect information from 400 adults in a town of 25,000 people. Because not all people in the population were surveyed, there are likely to be differences between the results obtained from interviewing the sample respondents and the results that would be obtained if .. all people in the population were interviewed. These differences are known as 'sampling error' and they can be expected to occur regardless of how scientifically the sample has been selected. The advantage of using a scientifically drawn sample, however, is that the maximum amount of sampling error can be determined based on four factors: the size of the population, the chosen sample size, a confidence level and the dispersion of responses to a survey question. Of the four factors, sample size is the most influential variable. Tables-5 and 6 show the possible sampling variation that applies to apercentage result reported from a probability -type sample. Table 5 shows that if a sample of 1,000 respondents is randomly.drawn from approximately 59,018 residents of the City of Newport Beach, one can be 95% confident that the margin of error, due to sampling, will not vary by more than the,indicated number of percentagepoints:(plus or minus) from the result thatwould have been obtained if the interviews had been conducted with all people in the universe represented in the sample. As Table 5 indicates, the maximum margin of error for all aggregate responses is between 1.84% and 3.07% for the sample of 1,000 residents. This means that for a given question answered by all 1,000 respondents, one can be 95% confident that the difference between the percentage breakdowns of the sample population and those of the total population is no greater than 3.07%. The percentage applies to both sides of the answer, so thatfor a question ab, gfftporl Beath- DRAFTREMRr CodbeR=rrb &Analpu Page 18 • • Methodology in which 50% of respondents said yes, one can be 95% confident that the actual percent of the population that would say yes is between 53.07% and 46.93%. The actual margin of error for a given question in this survey depends on the distribution of the responses to the question. The 3.07% refers to questions, such as a 'yes or no' question, where opinions are evenly split in the sample with 50% of respondents saying yes and 50% saying no. If that same question were to receive a response in which 10% of respondents say yes and 90% say no, the margin of error would be no greater than 1.84%. As the number of respondents in a particular subgroup (e.g., gender or age) is smaller than the number of total respondents, the margin of error associated with estimating a given subgroup's responses will be higher. For this reason GRA cautions referencing subgroups with fewer than 25 respondents. Table S. Margin of Error for the Newport Beach Resident Survey n Distribution of'Res onses 90%110% 80%/20% 70%/30% 60%/40% 50%/50% 2,000 1.29% 1.72% 1.97% 2.11% 2.15% 1,600 1.45% 1.93% 2.21% 2.37% 2.42% 1,400 1,200 1.55% 2.07% 2.37% 2.54% 2.59% 1.68 /0 2.24% 2.57% 2.74% 2.80% „7000, �800 1.89 /0,.�:- 2,46% _ -_2:82°/nc, 3.0156._1-_3.07%,_ 600 2.06% 2.75% 3.15% 3.37% 3.44% 2.39% 3.18% 3.65% 3.90% 3.98% 400 2.93% 3.91% 4.48% 4.78% 4.88% 200 4.15% 5.53% 6.34% 6.78% 6.92% 150 100 4.79% 6.39% 7.32% 7.83% 7.99% 5.88% 7.83% 8.97% 9.59% Table 6 shows the possible sampling variation for the business survey. The table shows that for the sample of 175 respondents that are randomly drawn from the approximately 14,688 registered businesses in the City of Newport Beach, one can be 95%confident that the margin of error, due to sampling, will not vary by more than 7.36 percentage points (plus or minus) from the result that would have been obtained if the interviews had been conducted with all individuals in the universe. City ofNewporl Beaeb-DROTREPORT Codbe Reseanb &Anal o* Page 19 hlelhodologr Table S. Margin of Errorrfor the Newport Beach Business Survey n Distribution of Responses 90% /10% '80%./20% 70% /30% 60% /40% 5001./50% 300 250 3.36% 4.48% 5.13% 5.491/6 5.60% 3.69% 4.92% 5.63% 6.02% 6.15% 225 200 3.89% 5.19% 5.94% 6.35% 6.48% 4.13% 5.51% 6.31% 6.74% 6.88% _ 175__ , .4,42% 5.89% 6,75% 7.221/o 7.36% _ 150 125 100 75 50 25 4.78% 6.37% 7.30% 7:80% 7.96% 5.24% 6.98% 8.00% 8.55% 8.73% 5,86% 7.81% 8.95% 9.57% 9.77% 6.77% 9.03% 10.35% 11.06% 1129% 8.30°k 11.07% 12.68% 13.56% 13.84% 11.75% 15.67% 17.95% 19.19% 19.58% How to Read a Crosslaba/alion The questions discussed and analyzed in this report comprise a subset of the various Table crosstabulation tables available for each question. Only those subgroups that are of particular interest or that illustrate aparticular insight are ineluded'in the discussion on the . fallowing pages. Should readers wish to conduct a closer analysis of subgroups fora given question, the complete breakdowns appear in Appendix B. These crosstabuladon tables provide detailed information on the responses to each question by all demographic groups that were assessed In the survey. An example cross tabulation table is shown below in Table7. A short description of the item appears at the top of the table. The number of business owners or managers to whom the question was administered (in this example„n =175) is presented in the first column of data under'Overall'. In many cases, the number of individuals to whom the question was administered is equal to the entire sample size. However, In some cases a question is only administered to a subset of the sample if appropriate. The results to each possible answer choice of all,respondents are also presented in the first column of data under'Overall'. The aggregate number of respondents in each answer category is presented as awhole number and the percentage of the entire sample that this number represents is just below the whole number. For example, among respondents overall,18people Indicated it was 'very difficult' to open or start a business In the City of Newport Beach, and 18 people represents 10.3% of the 175 respondents to whom the question was administered. Next to the 'Overall' column are other columns representing opinions of male and female respondents. The data from these columns are read in exactly the same fashion as the data in the'Overall' column, although each group makes up a smallerpercentage of the entire sample. city ofNeapod Beach -DR*TREMRT Come Raanrh &Atwllsb Page 20 �J Methodology Table 7. Example: -den der Overall Male Female Base 175 98 77 Very difficult 18 10.3% 11 11.2% 7 9.1% 48 21 27 Somewhat difficult 27.4% 21.4% 35.10o Not at all difficult 77 44.0% 52 53.1% 25 32.5% 32 14 18 DI4NA 18.3% 14.3% 23.4% Understanding a Mean' Many results in this report are discussed with respect to a descriptive 'mean'. Means are simply averages of the overall responses to a particular question. To derive a mean that represents perceived importance of attributes provided by the City (Question 3 - Business survey), for example, a number value is first assigned to each response category. In this case, 'extremely important' = +3, 'very important' = +2, 'somewhat important' = +1 and'not • too important' = 0. The answer from each respondent is then assigned the corresponding number (from +3 to 0 in this example), with the exception of respondents offering a'don't know' or'no answer', who are excluded from the analysis. Finally, all respondents' answers are averaged to produce a final number that reflects the average perceived importance of the service. Means always adhere to the scale used for the question (see Tables 8 and 9) and can be interpreted accordingly. • City ofNemporl Beach-DRAPTREPORT We Resasrrb &Analysis Page 21 Methodology Now to Read a Weans'Table 1n many tables included in the report and Appendix B, mean scores are used to represent the data. As discussed above, these mean scores represent the average response of each group. The table below references the scale used for each corresponding question. Pleasemote that responses of 'don't know' and'no answer' are not included in calculating the means for any question. Table 8. 'Means' Questions and Corresponding Scales for tho,Resident Survey Question Measure ca o - Values uppo or Ully.proposaFJ-1,2 = D1ini e y oppose als 1= Probably oppose 1 = Probably support = Defnitoly support Table 9. 'Moans' Questions and Corresponding Scales for the Business Survey ues o,n measure r boas values y ssues o0 i *ram TT Nottoo Important +1 = Somewhat Important +2 =Very Important +3 = Extremely Important 1 , 15, y Support ior City propos- o + = Dallnitely oppose als .1 - Probably oppose +1 = Probably support +2 = Definitely support A Note on The Tables To present the data in the most accurate fashion, we display many of the results to the first decimal point in the tables and figures. -For the purposes of discussion, however, conventional roundingrules are applied, with numbers that include 0.5 or higher rounded to the next highest whole number and numbers that include 0.4 or lower, rounded to the next lowest whole number. -Because of this rounding, the reader may notice that percentages in the discussion may not sum to 100% due to rounding conventions. Moreover, the decimal' numbers shown in pie charts may vary somewhatfrom the decimal numbers shown in the tables due to software requirements that pie charts sum to exactly 100%. These disparities are confined to the first decimal place. Additionally, because weighting the data involves assigning precise weights to the data that are carried out to the fifth decimal place, rounding the results (in terms of 'number of respondents') to a whole number is required to meaningfully discuss the findings of the study. Thus, the reader should note that after weighting, the total number of respondents depicted in the resident surveyis 999. 0 Cilyo%NetportBeacb-DR*TRMORT GbabeResearch &Aaalysis • Page 22 • r11 �J 0 City Regulations - Resident survey City Regulations - Resident Survey Qz. Next, /-d like to ask you some The first section of the resident survey addressed various topics related to City regulations. questions aboutplanning Residents were first asked to indicate their opinion on the City's regulations to restrain the regulations in the City. In general, size of new or remodeled homes. As shown in Figure 1, approximately 41 percent of do you lbink that the City's respondents thought the City's regulations were `Just right' as they related to restraining the regulations to restrain The size of size of new or remodeled homes. Twenty-seven percent of residents felt that the City's new or remodeled homes are too strong, not strong enough, or just regulations were `Not strong enough', whereas 13 percent felt the regulations were 'Too right? strong'. The remaining 20 percent of respondents were undecided or declined to state their opinion. Figure 1. Regulations Regarding the Size of Homes DRINA ,..,rig., 40MA Too strong 133-1. Not strong enough 2gb% Table 10 shows residents' opinions regarding the City's regulations to restrain the size of new or remodeled homes by their voter status and age. Overall, more voters indicated that the regulations where 'Not strong enough' compared with non -voters, whereas more non -voters than voters viewed the regulations as 'Just right'. Examining differences by age, older residents were more likely to view the current home size regulations as 'Not strong enough', whereas residents 18 to 29 years of age were more likely to rate the regulations as 'Just right' or'Too strong' when compared to their counterparts. City Regulailons. Resident Survey 11 Tablo 10. Regulations Regarding the Size of Homes by Voter Status and Age Voter Age Overall Voter Noe' 18 to`29 3DWS 4b to49 50 to 64 65 or voter years years years years older Base 999 857 142 140 200 172 237 201 Taos. �' 133 118 16 21 23 24 32 19 13.3% 13.7% 11.0% 15.3% 14.6% 13.7% 1&5%: 9,3% Notslronge enough 265 232 33 26 47 43 70 66 26.6% 27.1% 23.6% 18.6% 235% 24M 8% 296% 328% Justright 405 340 64° 64° 7840.5% 39.7% 45.6% 45.8/0 38.9%b4t�14 195 167 28 26 4619.6% 19,5% 19.9% 202% 23.OYo 93. Are current city regulations Respondents were next asked to rate howwell the City's building regulations, plant and tree regarding. - that regulations, and business sign regulations protected the views of Newport Beach residents. interferewitb views too strong, not On all, three accounts, over 40 percent of respondents felt each regulation was' Just right'. strong enough, or just rigbi in the jorNeuport proteBeach Examining the results closer, respondents viewed `Plant and tree regulations' as 'Too strong' residents? Bearb residents? with greater frequency than the other two regulations (13%vs. 9%, respectively Thirty-two g 4 ei'Y •• percent of respondents felt that'Building regulations' were'Not strong enough' and approximately 50 percent of residents felt that 'Plant and'tree regulations' as well as 'Business sign regulations' were `Just right'. Figure 2. Perceived Strength of Regulations Protecting Yews BTooetrong OJustrlght 11111otslrongenough ■MMA Building regulations Plant and tree regulations Businees sign regulations City offtiportBeech -DRAFTREPORT 6odbeRaairrh&Alu;I) r Paget! U r� J Q4. The coastal act requires The City to protect the coastal bluffs of Newport Beach whlleproperty owners in the City wish To have control of development on their own properly. which should be a greater priorrtyfor lbe City - increasing protection of the Coastal Bluffs or protecting the rights of owners of Coastal Bluffs? n • City Regulalions - Resident Survey Respondents were next informed of the conflict between the City's obligation to protect coastal bluffs and the desire for property owners to have control over development on their property. Respondents were asked to reveal which should be the City's priority, protecting the coastal bluffs or protecting the rights of homeowners. The majority of respondents (5691o)•felt that protecting the bluffs should take priority over protecting the rights of property owners. Thirty-eight percent of respondents felt more strongly about protecting property rights and seven percent did not reveal their opinion. Figure 3. Protection of Coastal Bluffs CK(NA use Protect d0hts of owners 5, Protection of Coastal Bluffs 3rV1. SM. Table 11 illustrates responses to the coastal bluff question by respondents' voter status and the area of the City in which they lived. Overall, slightly more non -voters than voters felt there should be an increase in protection of the Coastal Bluffs (59%vs. 55%, respectively). Examining residents'views by geographic area revealed that'UpperWest' residents displayed more support for protection of Coastal Bluffs (6296) than respondents residing in other areas of the City. Table 11. Protection of Coastal Bluffs by Voter Status and Area Vbter . Ares •" - Upper. Lower Canna 11DP,s n; ,Sir I NeMy 0"IMI Voter Nonvote YJest :Bay.: .PdW, ,k6iq I fWisi=re.,Ann_e>tod Base 999 857 142166 202 110 145 175 60Inoease gaeo5on of. 655 472 83103 I 102 58 76 102 29 Coa55.6% 550% 58.9%22% 50.7% 633% 52.7% 58.4% 48.9% Proleotntihlsof 379 326 5165 85 48 59 57 24 owners of Coastal 379% 382% 360%33% 42.1% 43.9% 404% 32.7% 39.8% Bluffs 65 58 7 8 15 3 10 16 7 p41JA 6.5% 1 6.7% 5.1% 4.5% 1 7.2% 1 29% 1 69% 1 90% 1 11.4% City ofNewporl Beach - DRAPPRBPORT Codbe RaYwrdi F Anallais Page25 Accommodating Visilon - anidenl Suncy Accommodating Visitors - Resident Survey Q5.Switchiaggearsabit: Doypu The next question ofthe resident survey sliffted the focus from City regulations to support for think the My should do more to City improvements to further accommodate visitors. Specifically, respondents were asked acremmodatepeopteWe visit whether tine City should do more to accommodate people who visit Newport Beach's coast Newport Beach s eoaet and harbor? Specifically, should the and harbor by providing more restrooms, shuttle buses, parking, and retail stores. City: to accommodate visitors? Figure 4 reveals that approximately half of respondents felt the City should make' improvements to accommodate visitors in regards to restrooms, shuttle buses, and parking (48%, 51%, and'50% respectively), When asked about retail stores, however, an overwhelming majority of respondents (74916) did not support increasing retail stores to accommodate visitors. Figure 4. Improvements to Accommodate Visitors of Newport Beach's Coast More restroom Shuttle Our More parkin More retell store 6yos c No ■ DKNA ®�Now ® 0 ®yrtl_ea���1 zo.ea 1 � City ofNeuportBeach -DRAPI'RRPoRT Co4eR=46Ana6ars Page 26 • • • Traffic - Resident Survey Traffic - Resident Survey QG. Now let's talk about traffic in For the next series of questions, residents were asked to reveal their perception of Newport Newport Beach. How wouldyou rate Beach traffic. When asked to rate the level of congestion on the roads they regularly used, 57 the level of trafftc congestion on the percent of residents felt the roads were 'Somewhat congested', 27 percent felt the roads were roads that you regularty use in the 'Very congested', and 14 percent felt they were 'Not congested at all'. The remaining two City? Abutd you say that they are very congested, somewhat congested, percent of respondents did not reveal their opinion. or not at all congestedwhenyou Figure 5. Traffic Congestion travel on them? Not at all congeslod DK(NA 144X 157. Varycoagesled 272Y. Table 12 shows residents' traffic congestion ratings by their voter status and the geographic area of the City in which they lived. Overall, more non -voters than voters rated traffic as 'Very congested' (31%vs. 27%, respectively). Examining traffic ratings by geographic area revealed that residents of 'Corona Del Mar' rated traffic on roads as 'Very congested' with greater frequency (36%) than respondents residing in the other regions of the City. Table 12. Traffic Congestion by Voter Status and Area Voterr59,7% _ - Area Lower coinninz ypo(Bel, Sub N&* owrall Voter Non•wte Bay �Ddair Fmlian ,Dvisions Annexed ease. 999 857 142 202 110 145 176 60 271 228 43 58 40' 38 35 12 Verycongesled 272% 266% 30.6% 288% 360% 26.1% 20.2% 19.7% 10gonad' 569 488 81 112 63 83 iQi 30 ,somewhat 57.0% 66.9% 57.1% 55.7% 57.1% 57.1% 57.6% 60.7% 144 129 15 24 7 2A 35 18 Notatalltageslo0 ,_ L144% 15.0% 107% 12.1% 68% 16.3% 20.1% 29.7% 2 7 1 4 - 11152 % 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 05% 2.1% City ofNewporl Beach - DRr1Pl'RBPORT Coahe Rawrrh &Analysta Page 27 Traffic • Resident Sunny Q7.7binboftbemain roadsyou Next, respondents were asked if theywould support widening the roads they regularly used in typically use in the city when jvu an effort to reduce traffic congestion or if they would prefer to leave the roads as they travel. lrould jvu prefer to widen currently are, despite future growth, Overall, 62 percent of respondents felt the City should !berg roads to reduce traJcongor not widen the roads (leave them 'as is'), whereas 30 percent of respondents felt the City efiet them as Is bt eiperrre or leave them as k and eaperiwice more should indeed widen the roads. The remaining seven percent of respondents did notaeveal g P P tragic congestion lasting longer, their opinion. than it does now. Figure S. Road Widening to Reduce Traffic DIM 7A% Lunm t. tan% Men aoa% For the interested reader, Table 13 reveals support for road widening by residents'voterstatus and whether or not they had children under 18 living irrthe home. Overall; morevoters and respondents with children present in the home felt roads in the City should be left alone • when compared with their subgroup counterparts. Table 13. Road Widening by Voter Status and Children Under 18 Voter Children Under 'the Age of 18 Non- Overall Voter voter. 'Yes No Base 855 729 126 224 622 Widen 259 216 43 62 194 30.3% 29.7% 33.7% 27.6% 31.2% Leave asis 533 458 74 153 378 62.3% 62.9% 58.9% 68.2% 60.8% 63 54 9 9 50 D 4 4A 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 4.2% CityojNeuportBard) -DRAPI'RMRr aYbe Research GAnd)Sie Page28 is Q8. But, I'm going to read you several types of improvements (bat can be made to the tnfc circulation system in !be City. For each one, please tell me whether you would support or oppose the improvement. Here is the Urslluast) one. ?Mouldyou support or oppose this improvement to the trafc arculation system? is Traffic - Resident Survey Question 8 presented respondents with several types of improvements that could be made to the City's traffic circulation system and asked them to indicate whether they would support or oppose each type of improvement. For each potential improvement tested, the majority of residents (between 52% and 71%) expressed opposition. Of the improvements tested, widening Jamboree Road and Macarthur Boulevard received the highest percentages of opposition, with 71 percent and 68 percent, respectively. Comparatively, the overpass at Macarthur and Jamboree received the highest percentage of support from residents, with 39 percent. Figure 7. Support for Traffic Improvements Support ❑Oppose mDK/MA Widening PCH Overpass at MacarthurNamboroe Overpass at JamboroelPCH Widen Jamboree Road Widen Macarthur Blvd. Traffic calming measures ®® �.._. , 2. t..a.tuc.v. 0% 25% 50% 75% 100.1. City oJNeu po rt Beads - DWT REPORT Cmdbe Research f Analysis Page 29 Dnmlopment WILhin the oly- Reudentsunuy 0 Development within the City - Resident Survey For the next section of the resident survey, respondents were asked to reveal their opinions about the development ofBanning Ranch, the business area near john Wayne Airport, Fashion island, and Newport Office Center in the future. Banning Ranch Q9.Tbefurstarea bBanning Road. Respondents were first asked if they were familiar with Banning Ranch. Over three quarters Areyou familiar with Banning of respondents (78.3%) were not familiar, 20 percent of respondentswere familiar with Rand? Banning Ranch, and two percent of residents did not respond to this question. Figure B. Familiarity with Banning Ranch DR/NA 1A% jas t89X No M% Q10. Banning Rancb is the large Respondents who were not familiar with Banning Ranch and those who declined to state PropertyoffofPacifucCoast Higbway theirfamiliaritywerereadashortdescriptionof.BanningRanchandwereaskediftheynow narl to the Santa Ana River recognized the area that was just described. After being read the short description of Banning currently used for oil drilling. Do Ranch, 68 percent of respondents indicated recognition of Banning Ranch, whereas 30 yrou recognize the area tbat bas just percent did not p been described? Figure 9. Recognition of Banning Ranch After Bescrlption DRmA 2S% No 29.8% f .r Yea 67.7% City ofNedporlBond) -DROTRP.PORT CortheReswrob&Ana!}sis • Page30 QII.Ok, now I'd like to read you two optionsfor the development of Banning Ranch. Please choose the option that you think is most appropriatefor the area. Option One - would allowfor half of the land at Banning Ranch to be developed for residential and somelight industrial uses will) the remaining half of the land reserved as open space. Option Two - would preserve the entire Banning Ranch area as open space. Thwoption would requirea local tax increase of 25o dollars per parcel per year for 15 years along with state maicbing funds to payforThe entire area to bepreserved. • is Development within the Cny - Resident Survey Respondents who indicated familiarity or recognition of Banning Ranch (from Question 9 and 10) were next given two options for the development of Banning Ranch and asked which option they thought was most appropriate for the area. Figure 10 reveals a near split decision on the options. Forty-six percent of the residents who were familiar with Banning Ranch chose 'Option 2', which would preserve the entire Banning Ranch area as open space and would require a local tax increase of 250 dollars per parcel per year for 15 years along with state matching funds to pay for the entire area to be preserved. Forty-four percent of residents familiar with Banning Ranch chose 'Option 1', which would allow for half of the land at Banning Ranch to be developed for residential and some light industrial uses with the remaining half of the land reserved as open space. The remaining ten percent of respondents were undecided on the topic. Figure 10. Development of Banning Ranch Option 1 449% Option2 45S% For the interested reader, Table 14 displays support for each option by residents' voter status and household income. Respondents in the $150,000 to $200,000 salary rage and voters were more likely to support 'Option 1' than their subgroup counterparts. Lower income respondents ($60k or under) were more likely to decline to state their opinion compared with respondents in other income brackets. Table 14. Development of Banning Ranch by Voter Status and Income Voter _ Income, - I Non' � ,dW r, 60k1d," Id0k,to 156k4o 200kmir Overall ;Voter, ',voter, under �',10,OJ,t,: -,150k '200k !,more Base 740 640 100 112 183 127 77 120 `.Optlon•1,-halfland 328 287 41 49 79 57 39 57 devel'oped;;llalf.open 443% 449% 40.8% 43.6% 43.1% 44.9% 50.4% 47.7% space Option 2; preserve entire area,as open 337 287 50 50 89 60 32 54 space„tax thcrease,of, 45.5% 44.9% 49.5% 44.8% 48.3% 47.5% 41.3% 44.9% $250 Penparcel, 75 65 10 13 16 10 6 9 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 8.6% City of Newport Beach - DRAFTRBPORT CodbeReseardi &rDurlysh Page31 Q12. 7be first area is the budness areaneartbeJobn Mayne Airport. Areyou familiar witb this area? Development within die City. Resident Suney Table 15 displays the support for each option by respondents' geographic area of residence. Respondents living in the 'Upper West' and `Corona Del Mar' areas of Newport were more likely tosupportOption 2: Preserving the area as open space than respondents living in other areas. Contrarily, respondents in the 'Newly Annexed' areas and'Sub-Divisions' were more likely to support Option 1: Developing half the land for residential and light industrial and donating the other half as open space than respondents residing in other areas of the City. Table 15. Development of DanningManch by Area Area' Upper Lovrer Corona Upper Bay Sub- Newly Overall ,West -Bay Del Mar Mwlro0s, Ohrlstons Annexed Base 740 131 166 82 110 131 30 Option 1, half land developed, hair open 328 55 69 30 52 65 16 44:3% 42.3% 44.1% 36.9% 472% 49.2% 54.1% space , Opfion 2, preserve enilre area as open 337 65 69 40 49 52 11 space, tax increase of 45.5% 49.8% 44.3% 49.0% 44.8% 39.7% 37.9% $250 per parcel OKINA 75 10 18 12 9 14 2 10.2% 7.8% 11.5% 14d% 0.0% 11.D% 8.0% John Wayne Airport Respondents were next asked if'they were familiar with the business area near the John Wayne Airport. Figure 11 reveals that almost all respondents (94.2%) were familiar with the area. Figure 11'. Familiarity with Area Near John Wayne Airport QyofNeuporl Beach -DRIFT REPORT CalbeRomn-b &Anallsts Pdga32 0 0 • f , L • Derelopmel t Whin the City- Resident Survey g13.1'm Soft to provide you will) As a follow-up question, respondents who were familiar with the business area near the six different opiionsfor tbefuture of airport were asked to indicate their support for six different options for the future of the theabport area, andl'd like to airport area. Responses were receded according to a support scale where 'definitely support' know wbether you would support or = +2, 'probably support' = +1, 'probably oppose' = -1, and 'definitely oppose' = -2. oppose rsil option. Here s the UAD Responses were then aggregated to form a mean, which is simply a summary statistic pp y � next) one: (READ one.- ITEM). (Gould you support or oppose obtained by taking the overall average of the response codes for the entire question. A mean ibis optionforlbefutureofthe of+l,for example, indicates that,overall, respondents would'probablysupport'the option airport area? (GETANSWER, THEN presented. The order in which the items were read was randomized to avoid a systematic ASI): Would that be definitely position bias. (support/oppose) orprobably (supporuoppose) ibis option? Overall, respondents indicated opposition (as evidenced by the negative ratings) to four of the six options tested. Of those tested, respondents revealed the most opposition to 'More car dealerships' (-1.05), followed by'More industrial uses' (458). Residents indicated the most support for'No change' to the airport area in the future (0.67). Figure 12. Development of the Airport Area 013a No change in lMort area 0131, Now low-rise office buildings In airpor 013d More retail alone In airport also 013c Now high-rise oflico buildings In alrpc 0131 More Industrial uses In airport area 013e Moro car dealerships In airyort area Por the interested reader, Table 16 shows the mean support ratings for each of the development proposals for the airport area by respondents' voter status and whether or not they had children under the age of 18 in the home. • cgofNewtioriBeach -DRANREPORT GodbeResearch &Analysle Page33 Doelopment within the City- Ruldmi Sunry • Table 16. Development of the Airport Area by� Voter Status and Children under 18 Voter Children Under the Age of 16 Non- Overall Voter Voter Yes fJo Base -0.15 -0.16 -0.11, -0.02 40 0 Q13a No change In 0.67 0.66 0.68 0.66 0.66 airport area Q13b,Newtow•dse office bulldings,in 0.54 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.50 airport area Q13d More relail'stores in airport area p 12 -0.13' •0.08 0.13 •0.21 Q13c New high-rise officebuildings'In -0.37 .0.35 -0.53 -0.18 -0.44 _ airport area Q13f More Industrial uses in airport area -0.58 -0.62 -0,26 -0.45 -0.63 613e More car dealerships in airport -1.05 -1.04 -1.11 -0.94 -1.08 area L J Q14. Do you lbink lbal it is Respondents who indicated familiarity with the business area near John Wayne Airport were acceptable to bane tore lrafic next asked about traffic congestion In that area. Figure 13 reveals that 64 percent of congestion in The airport area Than respondents felt that it was acceptable to have more traffic congestion in the airport area in otberparlsofThe City? than in other parts of the City, whereas 31 percent felt it was not acceptable. The remaining five percent did not reveal their opinion. Figure 13. Traffic Congestion in the Airport Area Table 17 displays responses to the airport area traffic congestion question broken down by voter status and age. Non -voters and older residents (50 years of age or more) indicated they were less likely to accept more traffic in the airport area compared with voters and residents under 50 years of age. CYlyofNaiporlBeadi•DWTRBPORT GoAvRamrdi &Arwlybri Page34 • • Development within the City -Resident 5orvey Table 17. Traffic Congestion in the Airport Area by Voter Status and Age Voter Age 29 30 fo 39 40 fo 49 5010'64 65oi Overall Voter rs years years years, olden Base 942 818 5 188 170 226 183 606 520 138 120 137 86 Yes 64.4% 63.6% % 740to0soto, 73.7% 70.9% 60.4% 47.3% 293 262 42 46 81 80 No 31.1% 32.1% % 22.4% 27.2% 35.7% 43.8% 42 35 7 3 9 16 �KMA 45% 4.3% % 3.9% 2.0% 3.9% 8.9% Fashion Island Q15. 71ienor/ area is the Fashion Respondents were next asked if they were familiar with the Fashion Island shopping mall. Island shopping mall. Are you Figure 14 reveals that 96 percent of all respondents were familiar with the site, whereas only familiar with this area? three percent were unfamiliar with Fashion Island. Figure 14. Familiarity with Fashion Island Shopping Mall No DKINA 3.0% 07-A j Yes 903% Q16. 7binking of the future of As a follow-up question, respondents who were familiar with Fashion Island were asked to Fashion Island, would you support reveal their support for changes in the amount of retail space at Fashion Island. Responses or oppose the amount of retail were coded according to a support scale where 'definitely support' = +2, 'probably support' space: ? (GE' = +1, 'probably oppose' = -1, and 'definitely oppose' = -2. The responses were then ANSWER, 7su ppo SIQ: Wouose) o that be aggregated to form a mean and the order in which the items were read was randomized to definitely (suppart/oppose) or probably (support/oppose) this avoid a systematic position bias. option? Of the three growth options tested, respondents showed the most support for Fashion Island to remain as it is, with little or no change (0.81), followed by 'Increasing slightly so that existing department stores can expand' (0.58), and 'Increasing moderately to attract new stores to the area' (0.37). City ofNewpon Beach - DA*7REPORT Coelbe Researdi G Analls(e Page 35 Development within the City -Resident suney Figure 15. Support for Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island Q16a M..nndwga 0161, slight Incmno ao W. a con oapaM QI6e Moderate 1n am to attic{ how top For the interested reader, Table 18 shows the support ratings for growth of retail space at Fashion Island by respondents' voter status. Table IS. Support for Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island byNater Status Vold'r' 'von - Overall Voter otervootete r Base 0.58 0.59 0.55 Q16a Little or no 0.81 0.82 0.68 change Q1 6b Slightincrease so 0.58 0.60 0A stores can ekpand 116c Moderate Increase to attract new, 0.37 0.35 0.54 stores City oJNeaporlEeacb-DWREMRT Godbeftwrrb DAnafljW Page36 • U • Development within the City- Resident Survey Newport Office Center Q17. Me nest area is the Newport Respondents were next asked if they were familiar with the Newport Center office area. G iter once area. Are you familiar Figure 16 reveals that 72 percent of respondents were familiar with the area and 26 percent will) this area? were not familiar with the Newport Center office area. Figure 1G. Familiarity with Newport Office Center DKINA 26Y No 25.7% - i Yes 71.r/. Ql8. 7hinking ofthefutureNewport As a follow-up question, respondents who were familiar with the Newport Center office area Center, would you support or oppose were asked to indicate their support for the size and amount of future buildings in Newport thesize and amount of Center. Responses were coded according to a support scale where'definitely support' = +2, buildings—_? Mould 'probably support' = +1,'probably oppose' = -1, and'definitely oppose' = -2. The responses that be definitely (support/oppose) or • were then aggregated to form a mean and the order in which the items were read was probably (support/oppose) this option? randomized to avoid asystematic position bias. Of the growth options presented for the future of Newport Center, respondents revealed the most support for leaving the size and amount of buildings as they currently are, with little or no change (0.84), followed by'Increasing to allow existing companies to grow, like Pacific Life' (0.28). Figure 17. Growth at Newport Center qua Lltd. or no change 018b Increasing foruxtsgng wmpantes Olga Increasing to attract businesses 018d increasing for mined use develops u.-o:aa y f i� 0 City ofNewpord Beach - DRAFTRBPORT adbe Research &Analicr's Page37 Dudopment within the City -Resident Survey Table 19 shows respondents' opinions about the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center by their voter status and geographic areaof residence. At the overall level, voters residents from 'Upper West' Newport, and residents of the 'Lower Bay' area were more likely to support increased growth at the Newport Center than non -voters and residents from other areas of the City. Table 19. Support for Growth at Newport Center by Voter Status and Area Vdor I Area O.W Vdor NAVA U lcw Carona � W� 8'aY Dd Mr m' D&W" 'Amazed Bolo 022 0.24 0.09 OA2 0,44 .0.14 028 0.10 , 02B O18a Uebarno dwrge 0.64 0.87 OM 0.61 081 090 1.10 0.07 091 O18bkvmskVior a 65brocvnWie3b 028 0.29 0.13 0.65 0.60 -0.33 02r aim OA8 9m O18ckaomirgb ahmd tuskq I -0.04 .0.03 -0.11 027 026 -053 -001 -028 0.00 O18dimomb9br ntwd umdmvd p ohl -0.18 .0.17 -024 0.14 0.09 OM -024 -or-028 0 0 OydjNeupodBeadi- MIN REPORT CdrlGeRe=nh&Nralyete • Page • Qi9.Ok, now I'd like to read you the opinions of two Newport Beach residents. Please choose the opinion That is closest to your own. Smith thinks that encouraging economic development in the City is in the best interest of residents. By allowing for more hotels, ofice space and retail, it will generate revenue to payfor improved maintenance and operations, improved service provision, and a variety of City projects. Jones thinks tbal encouraging economic development in the City is not in the best interest of residents, because it will lead to more buildings, bigger buildings, more trafc congestion, and will change the character of the City • Economic Development - Resident survey Economic Development - Resident Survey The next section of the resident survey addressed economic development. For this question, residents were read the opinions of two hypothetical Newport Beach residents and were asked to indicate which opinion was closest to their own. Figure 18 reveals that the majority of respondents (57%) agreed with Jones' opinion, which discourages economic development and 33 percent of respondents identified with Smith's opinion, which encourages economic development. Figure 18. Smith vs. Jones - Economic Development Both DKINA Neither 2.9% t.9Y. aa% Smith 33A% Jone_ sr mi For the interested reader, Table 20 shows residents' views on economic development broken down by voter status and their household income. Respondents in the $200,000 or more income range were more likely to agree with the Smith opinion encouraging economic development, whereas respondents in the $6o,000 to $100,000 range were more likely to agree with the Jones opinion discouraging economic development than their counterparts. City of Newport Beach - DIMPTRBPORT CodbeRaord &Anafjois Page39 Economic Deeelopm°nl- Resident Surrey 11 Table 20. Economic Development by Voter Status and Income Voter Intone Overall Voter Non- 60k or 60k to look to 150k to 200k or voter Under look 150k 200k more Base 999 857 142 171 249 156 92 160 Smith 334 290 44 61 80 54 31 64 33.4% 33.8% 31.2% 36.0% 32.3% 34.9% 33.1% 40.1% Jones 569 484 85 95 151 85 51 88 67.0% 56.4% 60.1% 55.4% 60.7% 54.8% 55.4% 54.9% Neither 38 31 7 10 8 6 6 3 12.2% 3.8°% 3.6% 4.8% 5.8% 3.1% 3.9% 5.9% Both 29 25 4 3 7 5 3 3 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% DM 29 27 2 2 3 5 2 2 2.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.9% For the interested reader, Table 21 shows responses to the economic development question by respondents' employment status. Overall, self-employed, part-time employed, and full-time employed respondents were more likely to agree with the Smith opinion encouraging economic development than respondents in other employment status groupings, however • even with employed residents, a higher percentage chose discouraging economic development (jones) than encouraging it (Smith). Table 21. Economic Development by Employment Status EmOwmdril Slabs Overoll' Fu46ee PaMinlo' emP self- Studonl k RelUed' ' Not B ot Baso 999 388 67 189 39 72 214 23 Smith 334 142 26 75 11 23 52 5 33A% 36.6% 39.0% 39.7% 273% 31.3% 24.3% 21J% 569 220 33 95 26 42 136 15 57.0% 56.7% 49.0% 50.0% 662% 58.6% 63.5% 642% Nalther 38 11 5 12 1 7 1 3A. 3.0% 7.8% 6A% 1.2% 3A% 4.5% Both 29 5 1 8 3 4 6 2 2.9% 1.3% 1.6% 3.2Yo 6.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1 7.4% ,per 29 9 2 1 - 2 12 0 I 2.9% 2.4%° 2.7% 0.7% 2.6% 5.7% 22% Cilpq(MruporlBmdh-D94PPRBPOR7' C,oAaRamrrh&Aaa)s11 • Page 40 0 n Ilotel Development • Resident Survey Hotel Development - Resident Survey Q20 Next I'd like to ash you about The next section on the resident survey addressed hotel development in Newport Beach. botels in Newport Beacb. In general, Respondents were asked whether they supported or opposed developing new hotels in the do you support or oppose developing City. Figure 19 reveals that approximately 52 percent of respondents opposed the new hotels in the City, or do you not development of new hotels, 27 percent supported new hotel development, and 20 percent of have an opinion? respondents had 'No opinion' on the topic. Figure 19. Development of Hotels in Newport Beach DKRIA Noopinlon 12% Support 27.3% n Oppose 520°/. For the interested reader, Table 22 shows respondents' support for hotel development in the City by their voter status and geographic area of residence. Table 22. Development of Hotels by voter Status and Area Votod - Ar'ea Lovmf comon, UppWI• t 4- A,41y-.- ter Noiwoter3O6% Dd Mai ,Fmrae- Misbid Anne£ed 7 142 202 110 145 175 60 3 39 63 20 43 42 15 Support % 27b% 31.3% 18.5% 29.6% 23.8% 24.6% tZ72%272% 6 74 109 65 72 91 30 0% 521% 54.1% 59.9% 49.6% 53.9% 50.7% 6 28 28 22 29 34 15 No apt 3%20.1% 13.0% 19.6% 20.3% 19A% 24.7% 2 3 2 1 6 - ..% 1.6% 1.9% 06% 2b% - Table 23 shows respondents' support for hotel development by their age. overall, older residents (over 50 years of age) showed more opposition to the development of new hotels in the City than their subgroup counterparts. City ojNewportBeadi-DR4FTRBPORT GoAeRem rch &Anallls6 Page 41 Hold Derelopmenl- Resident survey Table 23. Development of Hotels by Age Age Overall '18 to 29 30 to 39 4d to 49 50 to 64 '65 or years years years years older Base 999 140 200 172 237 201 Support PP 273 43 55 50 64 42 27.3% 30.9% 27.3% 29.1% 26.9% '21.0% Oppose 620 71 100 82 127 120 52.0% 50.7% 49.6% 47.8% 53.5% 59.6% No Opinion 194 24 42 39 45 35 19.5% 17.3% 21.1% 22.5% 18.8% 17.5% DKINA 12 1 4 1 2 4 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% Q21. Let me be morespectfrc. Do Examining the topic more specifically, respondents were askedwhether they favored or youfavor or oppose developing new opposed developing new hotels in the City to support local stores and restaurants, business bolels in the City ofNeaport Beach to conferences, tax revenue for the City, and tourism. Figure 20 reveals that more than 50 support: ? percent of respondents still opposed hotel development under each of the conditions tested. Q22. Assuming that any new hotels will be built in the future, what type ofhotel buildings doyou think are approprrale forNewport Beacb?Are appropriate or lnappropriale for future development. figure 20. Conditional Support for Development of Hotels in Newport Beach ■ Favor 0 Oppose ■ Dk/ NA Support local storostrostouranla Support business conferences Support tax rovenut for the cily� Support tourlam 0% 25% 50% 76% 100% Under the assumption that new hotels will be built in the future, respondents were asked to reveal the type of buildings they felt would be most appropriate for Newport Beach.NCthen asked about'Newlargehotels with conference facilities, like the Four Seasons' and'New medium-sized extended stay business hotels, like Courtyard Marriott', slightly less than half of all respondents (43% and 44% respectively) felt they were appropriate, When asked about "New smaller -sized Inns with no buildings over, three stories', well over half of respondents, 61 percent, felt they were appropriate for future development. CityofNeuponBeacb-DRAl9'RBPORT 664vRemrch &Anaf/5ts Page 42 11 LJ w llotel Development - Resident Survey Figure 21. Hotel -type Preference O Appropriate ❑ Inappropriate i DK/ NA Now large hotels Now medium-sized hotels Now smaller -sized hotels ,`t� .ter_ r r SCYiii1•" 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Q23. Neer, /'m going to list several Next, respondents were asked if they would support or oppose building a hotel in six specific areas of Newport Beach. For each locations. Of the areas tested, hotel development in the airport area received the most area, please fell me ifyou would support (73%) from respondents. On the opposite end of the spectrum, hotel development in support or oppose locating a new Marina Park received the least amount of support (28%) from respondents. dt should be dotel is the area. Here is rite7oul / nett) area: . !Gould noted that those respondents that opposed all four of the items in question 21 were not asked P PP you support or oppose locating a any of the items in this question, therefore overall support for these areas would be lower if new hotel in ibis area? we assumed those respondents would oppose each of the locations`. Figure 22. Location of New Hotel o Support D Oppose ■ DK/NA Airport area Mariner's mile Marina Park Lido Marina Village Newport Dunes Newport Cantor cam:: r 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 'Approximately 15 percent of respondents opposed the development of hotels for all four items in question 21. These respondents did not answer any of the items in question 23. City offic uporl Beach- DRAFTREPDRT "a Research &AnalA Page 43 Iletel Development • Ruldent Surmy For -the interested reader, Tables 24, 25, and 26 show the locations that received the highest support percentages broken down by respondents' voter status and geographic area of residence. Table 24 reveals that with regard to the airport area, 'Upper West! Newportresidents were more likely to support new hotel development than respondents from other areas. As displayed in Tables 25 and 26, 'Lower Bay' residents were more likely to support new hotel development In Newport Center and Newport Dunes compared with respondents from the other geographic areas within the City. Table 27 Table 24. Now Hotels in the Airport Area by Voter Status and Area Voles Area^ UPPa tnxvr Capra UppaBa 51b NMW o+eal Voter N,,Vo r Well Bay DOM r yEWm.. Mies Amexed Base 864 736, 128 145 171 85 132 151 62 Support 632 535 96 114 129 66 88 101 39 73.1% 727% 752% 782% 75b% 717% 663% 66-W 760% Oppose 201 174 27 27 34 17 42 43 10 232% 236% 218% 18.8% 19.7% 20A% 31.7% 2a7% 203% DOA 32 27 5 4 8 2, 4 7 2 3.7% 36% 4.0% aD% 4.7% 1.9% 3A% 4A% 36% Table 25. New Hotels in Newport Center by Voter Status and Area Voter Area Overall Voter Non- Upper .Lower Corona Upper Sub -Di- Newly voter Wdsr bay, 'Del Mar Bay... vlstons Anne - Base 864 736 128 145 171 85 132 151 52 Support 463 400 63 80 108 37 73 73 28 53.6% 54.3% 49.4% 55,2% 632% 44.1% 55.0% 48.6% 54.3% Oppose 325 277 48 52 48 43 45 69 21 37.7% 37.7% 37.6% 36.0% 27.9%, 60.6% 34.1% 45.4% 39.9% DKINA 76 69 17 13 15 4 14 9 3 8.7% 6.0% 13.0% 8.8% 8.9% 6,3% 10,9% 0.0% 5.8% talyajNeaporlBald -ORAPTRBMRT CodbeRa arcLDAna!}sir Pago 14 0 0 9 0 Ilotel Development - Resident Survey Table 26. Support for New Hotels in the Newport Dunes by Voter Status and Voter A{eA Noo- Upper Lower Comma Upper B- Sub I Newly Overall Voter voter West Bay Del Mar ay, Envi... DMsbns jAnnexed Base 864 736 128 145 171 85 132 15l 52 380 323 56 66 B4 34 53 63 24 Support 44.0% 43.9% 44.0% 45.7% 49.0% 40.0% 40.1% 41.6% 45.6% 423 357 66 64 75 46 71 82 20 Oppose 49.OYo 48.6% 51.3% 44.1% 44.0% 53.9% 537% 54.0% 38.2% 61 55 6 15 12 5 8 7 8 Dfr/NA 7.1% 7.5% 4. %% 10.2% 7.0% 6.1% 6.2% 4A% 162% Table 27. Support for New Hotels in Marina Park by Voter Status and Area Area Upper Lower 'Corona Upper Bay Sub- -Newly Overall, _ West. Bay, Del -Mar , Envimns _Divisions Annexe& Base 864 145 171 85 132 151 52 241 50 35 23 43 41 16° Support, 27.9% 34.2% 20.6% 27.3% 32.7% 27.3% 30.2 /0 569 87 121 55 84 101 33 Oppose 659% 59.7% 70.9% 65.2% 632% 67.0% 64.2% 53 9 15 6 5 9 3 DWNA 6.tYo 6.1°k 8.5% 7.5% 4.1% 5.7% 5.6% City off 024. IPould yeu support or oppose the City dwel oping portions of the publidJy owned waterfront property at Newporl Dun asandAlarina Park for visitor serving uses sucb as bbtels, restaurants, inns and recreation? Mould that be strongly (snppori/oppose) orsomewhal (support/oppose)? Hold Development - Resident 6uney Question 24 asked respondents to indicate their support for developing certain parts of the publicly owned waterfront property at Newport Dunes and Marina Park for visitor service uses such as hotels, restaurants, inns, and recreation. Over half of respondents (549o) revealed that they would'oppose development and 41,percent of respondents would support development of certain parts of the publicly owned waterfront property. Figure 23. Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront DKINA 11% Slrong"upport 20.7x 1�>r�� Suonglyopposo 'may' Somowhateupporl 2aax Somewhatoyypose 130% Table 28 shows responses to the waterfront development question by respondents' voter status and age. Although residents in general were not supportive of the development of public property at Newport Dunes and Marina park, residents under the age of 50 indicated they were more likely to support development compared to their older counterparts. Table 28. Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront by Voter Status and Age Voter Age Non- I , 8lo2G 3010 39 4016�49 50do 64 0or overall • Voter' Voter years years years' years older Base 999 657 1 142 140 200 172 . 237 201 Strongly support 207 179 28 33 43 39 50 35 20.7% 20.9% 19.6% 23.3% 21.7% 22.8% 20.8% 17.3% Somewhat support 204 166 37 32 48 36 43 33 20A% 19A% 26.3% 22.8% 23.1% 21.2% 18.2% 162% Somewhat oppose 130 115 15 15 31 19 37 22 13.0% 13.5% 10.3% 11.0% 16.6% 11.0% Strongly oppose 407 349 58 55 72 71 85 84 40.8% 40.8% 40.9% 51 47 4 5 8 6 13 18 afMA 6.1% 5b% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% Table 29 shows responses to the waterfront development question broken down by respondents' geographic area, Residents of 'Corona Del Mar' were the most likely to oppose the development of public property at Newport Dunes and Marina park compared to residents living in other areas of the City. City ofNeaporl Bomb - DWTREPORT Gac&Resa rd &AnaIysie Page 46 0 Ilotel Development - Resident Suncy • Table 29. Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront by Area Area . Uppbr Lower ',doiona, Uppeirtay, SU6•- Neivly Overallypesl Bay, 'DebMer Egvirons, D isions Ande%ed! Base 999 166 202 110 145 175 60 207 40 41 18 36 34 11 Stronglysupport 20.7% 24.4% 20.3% 16.0% 24.6% 19.3% 18.2% 204 38 43 15 25 32 14 Somewhat support 20A% 22.9% 21.3% 13.5% 17.0% 18.3% 23.1% 130 24 30 17 12 21 10 Somewhat oppose 13.0%N14.61%15.0% 15.9% 8A% 12.2% 16.5% 40777 5368073 22 Strongly oppose 40.8%38.4% 483% 47.1 /0 41.6% 35.9 /0DIONA 5110 7 4 15 4 5.1%4.9% 6.4% 2.9% 8.5Yo 6.3% City oJNeaporlBearb-DRAFTRBPoRT Got&ResaarcbGAna!4w Page 47 _025.1 would like to ask you abort tbefutureofEll'oro. Doy»nsupport or oppose the construction ofan airport at El Toro: ? Mould tbat be strongly (supporlloppose) or somewhat (support/oppose) this action? Airport Construction - Resident Suney Airport Construction - Resident Survey The linal,substantive section of the resident survey addressed airport construction. Residents were first asked to asses their support for the construction of an airport at El Toro. Figure'24 reveals that 68 percent of respondents would support construction of anEl Toro airport, 26 percent would oppose construction, and the remaining six percent of residents declined to reveal their opinion. Figure 24. Construction of Airport at El Toro DR/NA W. stron9Hopposo . 195% somewhatoppose B7% Sarnowhalsuppol_ 120% Strungty SSsuB%pport For the interested reader, Table 30 shows respondents' support for an El Toro airport by their voter status and geographic area of residence. Overall, voters and 'Upper Bay' residents were more likely to support airport construction compared with non -voters and residents living in other geographic areas of the City. Table 30. Construction of Airport at EI Toro by Voter Status and Area Voter Aron Voter Non•Voto Upper West . Lowar Bay Corona Dal Mar 1lppor 6rthans ' Sub Mhskro Around Base 657 142 166 202 110 145 175 Be Saongfysuppod 500 57 77 130 58 105 103 25' 58.3% 40.6% 40.6% 64.6% 53.3% 72.5% 60.8% 42.4% Somewhat support 98 22 20 24 13 13 20 8 r12.0% 11.4% 15.4% 11.6% 11.8% 12.1% 92% 11.2% 13.8% l oppose 51 16 10 10 10 5 12 4 6.0% 114% 5.9% 6.1% 92% 35% 7.0% 6.0% strovyoppose 159 384529 1918 29 18 18.5% 252% 270% 14.5% 17.6% 12.5% 168% 29.9% OIGt1A 501/14 e 8 5.8% 7.5% e.6% 4.0% 7.7% 'Fable 31 shows respondents' supportfor an El Toro airport by their household income. Respondents in the highest income bracket showed the highest level of support for airport construction, whereas respondents in the lowest income bracket showed the lowest level of support. City of Neeport Beach - DRAFTRP.PORT Corlbe Resa7rcb 6Auaitt Page 48 0 • • 0 Q26. Ifyou knew tbal flights from a future El Toro Airport would notJly over anypart ofNewporl Bead) including Neuporlcoast, wouldyou be more or less likely to support construction of a new airport at El Toro? Would that be much (more/ less) likely or somewhat (morelless) likely to support construction of an airport at El Toro? Airport Consimction - Resident Survey Table 31. Construction of Airport at Ell Toro by Income —T Income -Overall 60kor'113.3% 100kto 150kId, 200kor under150k 200k more,_ Base _ 999 171156 92 160 557 71 82 64 112 Stron I su ort 9 Y PP 55.8% 41.4%52.3% 69.7% 69.9% 120 27°21 9° 16 Somewhat support 12,0% 15.6 /0 9.3 /0 9.8 /o 67 13 19 14 9 5 Somewhat o ose PP 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 8.8% 10.0% 3.0% 195 51 52 31 8 24 Strongly oppose 9 Y 19.5% 29.8% 21.0%- 19.6% 9.0% 14.8% 60 10 14 9 2 4 �K/NA 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 1.9% 2.5% As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they would support the airport construc- tion after leaming that planes would not fly over any part of Newport Beach including New- port coast. Overall, 58 percent of residents revealed they would be 'Much more likely' to support construction after being told that flights from the new airport would not fly over any part of Newport Beach. Figure 25. Conditional Support for Construction of New Airport at EI Toro DKINA 70Y. Muchksslikely 1S1% Somvwhatloss4kely SAI. somoMml mom likely 1A9%. Much mom likely S&D°t. For the interested reader, Table 32 shows respondents' support for the El Toro airport after learning about the conditional flight patterns by their voter status and age. 6"cResearch &Analyvlt' Page 49 Airport Congm°uon-Raidem Surrey Table 32. Conditional Support for Construction of Now Airport at El Toro by Voter Status and Ago Voter Age_ 'Voter N0R' 48 to29 3d to 3 40 to 49 50 io.64 65.or 'Overall voter years, years years' years rider Base 999 857 142 140 200 172 237 201 Much more likely to 579 614 65 71 104 104 146 128 support; 57.9°A 59.9% 45.8% 50.4'/° '51.9% 60.7% 61.3% 63.9%' Somewhat maelikely 139 114 25 19 36 25 33 18 to support 13.9% 13.3% 17.6% 13.4% 18.1% 14.6% 13.9% 9.2% Somewhatlesslikelyto 54 41 18 22 11 4 8 7 support 5.4% 4.8% 9.3% 15.5% 5.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.3% Much less likely to 151 122 29 18 37 28 29 30 support 15.1% 14.2% 20.5% 13.0% 18.3% 16.4% 12.0% 15.0% DIM 76 67 10 11 13 10 23 17 7.6% 7.8% 6.80/ 7.7% 6.4% 5,9% 9.6% 8.6% City ofNeuport Reach -DRAFTREPORT 6o& Ramrrb &biatoak Page50 • • r -I L • E i Demographic Description of Residents Demographic Description of Residents Figures 26 through 33 present a graphic representation of the demographic composition of the sample. Because of the methodology of this study, the sample is representative of the adult population (18 years and older) of residents in Newport Beach. Although the primary motivation for collecting the demographic information was to provide a better insight into how responses to the substantive questions of the survey vary across demographic characteristics, this information is also useful for better understanding the profile of adult Newport Beach residents. Demographic details can be summarized as follows: ■ 45% of respondents have lived in Newport Beach for'More than 14 years.' The second highest percentage (27%) was '0-4years' (Figure 26). to Almost three quarters of respondents (72%) did not have children under the age of 18 (Figure 27). ■ Almost three quarters of respondents (73%) owned their home. 26% rented (Figure 28). ■ 39% of respondents work full-time. Retirees represent the next highest group at 21 % (Figure 29). ■ 41 % of respondents reported over $look as their annual household income (Figure 30). ■ Respondent gender was split evenly: 51%female, 49%male (Figure 31). ■ Almost half of the respondents (45%) were over the age of 50 (Figure 32). ■ Respondents' political affiliation was predominately Republican (48%) (Figure 33)• QL 7b begin, how many years have Figure 26. Length of Residence you lived in Newport Beach? DwNA Moremnn14yean; 447% City ojNeuporl Beach - DRAFTREPORT 10.74yn Ioay. u4ymra zesi Corlbe Resmrrh &Analtcis Page51 ftemognphle Description of Residents PA. Do you currently have children Figure 27. Children Under the Age of 18 tender the age of 18living in your hone? Refused No 721% QB.Doyouown orrentpurhonle? Figure 28. Home Ownership QC. which ofthefollowing would you say best describes your employment status? Mould you say you are employedfull time, enlployedpart tinge, self-employed, a student, a homemaker, retired, or are you not currently employed rightnow? Refused Rant 25.5% own Tie% Figure 29. Employment Status Employed rulF4me Retired Self-employed Homemaker Employed part-time Student Not employed DKINA _ "leek F 21.4 7.2%- ar i 3.9% i � u 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 80% ayyofNeuporiBrach -DRAPTRBPORT (txURCSwrrb &Analysic Page53 • L..J • K] QD. lastly, l'm going to read several income categories. Please stop me when l reach the category the matches your annual housebold income? QE. Respondent' Gander QF. Age Demographic Description of Residents 30. Annual Household Income Refused _ -- - - —` d7.1 200kormore -' _ ' ' -t, ' 4 O:5 ' 150kto20Dk -- - 9131/d 100kto150k - - ...... "15.6° 80k to 100k —_ '"s'• '' f 12.9%: 60k to 80k - .:c"�''12:0% 40k to 60k OW 40k or under 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Figure 31. Respondent Gender Femala;Mal. 508% 492'h Figure 32. Age 65arolde 20..7% So m64years 2456 City ojNevport Beach - DRAF7REPoRT 40b49ysars 17.7% 5years 4w^/° 30to39yays 20.7% CodbeRmairch &Analia'ir Page 53 —OH, Household Parly Type Demognphlc Desedp0on of Residents Figuro 33. Household Party Type Mixed Demeaal & Other Democrat & Republican Other (2) Other (1) Republican (2•) Republican (1) Demoaal (24) Democrat (1) No reply 2.3% 0.2% .4y. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% CrlyofNeuporl Berrrh • DWTR90RT GodheRemrrh &AnallA Page54 I 1 U • • • • important Atlnbule5 of the City- Business Survey Important Attributes of the City - Business Survey Q2. Next, Pm going to read a list of The first substantive question of the business survey asked respondents to rate the atlnbutesforNeuiporl Beach. For importance of eight Newport Beach attributes. In each case respondents were asked whether each one, please tell me ifyou think they thought an issue was'extremely important', 'very important', 'somewhat important' or that attribute is 'extremely not too important'. Responses were coded according to an importance scale where important', 'very important'', 'not extremely important = +3, 'very important = +2, somewhat important' = +1, and'not somewhat important', or too important' in havingyour business too important' = 0. The responses were then aggregated to form a mean. The order in which located in Newport Beach. Here's the the items were read was randomized to avoid a systematic position bias. (firalnert) one: . Is this attribute extremely important, Figure 34 reveals that respondents rated all attributes somewhere between 'somewhat impor- very important, somewhat taut' and'very important'. Newport Beach's location and beauty ranked at the top of the important, or not too imporlantp attribute list, along with having a good business address. 'Proximity to John Wayne Airport' ranked least important of the attributes examined in this question. Figure 34. Importance of Newport Beach Attributes Old Th. I ... do. within Orange County Me A good business oddre" O2a Physical beauty of Newport Beach 02h Overall purchaing power of the communit Mc no Water quality In the City 021, The Waterfront and harbor Me Amount or tnflic passing by your businss @f Proximity to John Wayne Airport i 184 .� n 11.27 raa» Table 33 shows the mean importance score for Newport Beach attributes broken down by number of employees in each firm. Firms with over 50 employees rated the overall purchasing power of the community as most important while firms with zero to two employees rated the City's location within Orange County as the most important attribute evaluated. City of Newport Beach -DAlPTRBPORT Godbe Research GAnalitris Page55 Important Attributes of rh! My • Business Sormy Table 33. importance of Newport Beach Attributes by Number of4Bmployees Number of Employees Overall 10 to 2 3 to 10 11 to Over 50 50 Base 1.58 1.61 1.6b 1.61 • 1.59 02d The location within 1.94 1.90 2.00 2.13 1.86 Orange County Me A good business address 1.84 1.88 2.02 1.96 2.43 Q2a Physical beauty of Newport Beach 1.84 186 1.89 1.88 1.43 42h Overall purchaing power of the 1.80 1.52 2.00 1.91 2.57 conrnunity McTheWaferquality 1.45 1.24 1.45 2.00 1.71 In the City 02b The Waterfront and harbor 1.35 1.37 1.19 1.54 1.14 Q2g Amount of traffic ,passing by your 1.27 1.20 IA7 • 1.68 1.00 business 02f Proximity to John 120 1.08 1.23 1.50 0.57 Wayne Airport For the interested reader, Table 34 shows responses to the Newport Beach attribute question broken down by SIC codes. Both Retail Trade and Financial, Insurance, and Real Fstate (F.I.R.E) businesses rated'The location within Orange County and'A good business address' somewhere between 'very important' -and 'extremely important'. City ofNettWrl Beach-DWRMRT G040Re3mtc6 fiNtaf}5k Page56 0 • Important Attributes of the city- Business Sumy • Table 34. Importance of Newport Beach Attributes by SIC Code SIC Code Overall RetaTtrade F.I.R.E (6040 Services;(7,0 ,Other (52-59) 67) to'87, Base 1.58 1.77 1.76 1.51 1.43 QZd The location within 1.94 2.06 2.15 1.87 1.81 Orange�County Q2e-A-g6odb1jslness. 184 2.16 2.00 1.81 1.46 address ,Q2a Physical beauty of 1.84 1.92 1.85 1:85 132 Newport Beach Q21h Overall purchaing,, power oFllhe 1.80 2.14 1.96 1.63 1.68 community. Q2c The Water quality 1.45 1.67 1.62 1.35 1.30 in the City 'Q2bThe'Waterfront 1.35 1.36 1.69 1.20 1.39 and harbor 02gAmountof rafBc •passing'byyour 1.27 1.84 1.23 1.17 0.91 business • Q2f Proximity to John 1.20 1.05 1.58 1.16 1.14 Wayne Airport • City ofNeaporl Beach - DWTRBPORT GodbeResmmh &AnallA RageS7 city Retuladana - Business Survey • City Regulations - Business Survey 93.Nor/,Pdtiketoaskyonsome The next section of the business survey addressed City regulations. Respondents were tint questions about business asked their opinion on how difficult it was to start a business in Newport Beach. Figure 35 regulations in the City. In general, shows that 44 percent of respondents felt that it was'Notat all difficult"to open or start a bow di icullisittoopenorstarta business in Neluporl Beach, oeiy business in Newport Beach and slightly more than a quarter of respondents felt it was d(ficult, somewbatdif/iadr, or not Somewhat difficult (27%).Only ten percent of respondents indicated that itwas 'Very diSicultatall? difficult' to start a business in Newport Beach and 18 percent of respondents did not indicate their opinion on this question. Figure 35. Difficulty of Opening, or Starting a Business DBMA VoydlricuR 1aeu SomawhatdlHWt 27A% Natal alidlf...., 40% • 94. How dificult is it to operate a k a follow-up, respondents were asked to indicate how difficult it was to operate a business Business inNewport Beach, very in Newport Beach. Figure 36reveals that over bag ofrespondents (57%)felt itwas 'Not atall di cult; somewhat diSkult, or not difficult' to operate a business in Newport Beach and 31 percent indicated it was 'Somewhat d(picultatall? difficult'. Only five percent of respondents mentioned that it was 'Very difficult' to operate a business in Newport Beach and six percent of respondents declined to state their opinion. Figure 36. Difficulty of Business Operation DV/NA VaydiMmIt 63% 'S1% SomawhotdBOwIt 31.4% Notatetl difflm l 572% City ofNeuport Beach-DRAPPREWRT Co& R=rrh C,Analpe& Page58 City Regulations - Business Survey Q5. How di(rcull are the City's The next question in the business survey next asked respondents to assess the difficulty of regulations regarding changes or regulations related to changing or expanding to businesses in the City. Figure 37 shows that erpansions to your business 44 percent of respondents felt the City's regulations were either'Somewhat difficult' (28%) property. very dif'icult, somewhat or 'Very difficult' (16%) as they related to expanding or changing their business. Over 30 dfcult, or not dificult at ally percent of respondents indicated that it was 'Not at all difficult' to make changes to their business and 23 percent of respondents did not have or give an opinion on this question. Figure 37. Difficulty of Business Property Expansion DKMA 2 Not at all o1fB.,... very 110Y. It Sonnewhatililcult 28.E Q6. Are current City regulations The final City regulation question for businesses asked about the City's current sign regardingsigns too strong, not regulations for Newport Beach's business environment. just over half of respondents felt the strong enough, or jtlsl rightfor sign regulations were just right (51Q, with 18 percent of respondents indicating they were Newport Beach's business • Too strong' and ten percent of respondents stating they were `No[ strong enough,. Twenty environment? percent of respondents did not indicate an opinion on this question. Figure 38. Strength of Regulations Regarding Signs • DK/NA Just right 51b% City ofNewporl Beach - DRAPPRBPORT Too strong itim/. Not strong enough 9•7 CodbeRe=rrh f Analbt* Page59 Accommodating Vishors - Dualnm survey Accommodating Visitors - Business Survey Q7. SwilclirngSears a bit•. Do you The next section of the survey evaluated the level of support in the business community for !Link the City should do more to making improvements in the City to further accommodate visitors. Respondents were asked acconnnodalopeople who visit their opinion on whether the City should do more to accommodate people who visit Newport Newport aeacbscoast andbarbor? Specifically, sbotdd the Beach's coast and harbor including providing more restrooms, shuttle buses, parking, and City: to accommodate retail stores. Figure 39 reveals that in regards to restrooms, shuttle buses, and parking, over visitors? half of respondents (51%, 62%, and 74% respectively) felt that the City should provide more. Increasing parking received the highest support (7496). When asked aboutretail stores, however, only a third of respondents (3096) supported increasing the number to accommodate visitors. Figure 39. Improvements to Accommodate Visitors of Newport Beach's Coast ®yes 0140 ■ DK1NA Build more rostrooms shuttle Bus sarvlco More parkin Moro total] store and restaurants 0 oW30.4% ..di • 31.4% 23 0 .4% s f 61.1%_~ - NP/ . 0% 25% 150% 75% 100% • City ofNeuport Beaeb -DWREW Codbe Ramrcb &Analljw Page 60 • U • Q8 Now let's talk about traffic in Newport Beach. How would you rate the level of traflic congestion on The roads that you regularly use in the City? (Gould you say that they are very congested, somewhat congested, or not at all congested when you travel on themr .p9.7hink of the main roads you typically use in the City when you travel. (Gould you prefer to widen these roads to reduce tralic congestion in the future or leave them as is and experience more trafc congestion lasting longer than it does now. Traffic - Business Survey Traffic - Business Survey The next section of the business survey addressed Newport Beach traffic and the first question asked respondents to rate the level of congestion on the roads they regularly used. Figure 40 reveals that over half of respondents (57%) felt that the roads they regularly used were 'Somewhat congested'. About a third of respondents felt that the roads were 'Very congested' and nine percent felt they were 'Not congested at all'. Only one percent of respondents did not reveal their opinion on this inquiry. Figure 40. Traffic Congestion UWNA Not at all congested 1A% 91% Verycongosted 326% SomewhateongosteL 572% A follow-up question asked respondents if they would support widening the roads they regularly used in order to reduce traffic congestion or if they would prefer to leave the roads in their current state, despite future growth. Figure 41 reveals that 60 percent of respondents thought the roads should be left 'as is'. A third of respondents felt that the City should indeed 'Widen' the roads and seven percent of respondents declined to reveal their opinion. Figure 41. Road Widening DK/NA 7A% Widen 33.1 % t i' Leavoasis 59S/. City ofNeuport Bead - DRA"REPORT CorQieRemrrL &Anal* Page 61 Q10. Not, ] in going to readyou several types ofimprooemonrs tbat can he wade to the trafic circulation system in The City. For each one, please tell me whether yeu mould support or oppose the improvement. Here is the UrsUncro one: 7 Morddyou supporl or oppose this improvement to thelra,Ftc circulation system? Tame • Business Survey For the interested reader, Table 35 reveals the support and opposition for widening the roads by how employers rated the level of traffic congestion within the City. Those employers that rated traffic as very congested were more likely to support widening the road. Table 35. Road Widening by Perceived Traffic Congestion Q81.evel of traffic congestion Overall Very Somewhat Not'atall DKINA congested congested congested Base 175 57 100 16 2 Widen 58 28 24 6 - 33:1% 49A% 24.0% 37.5% - Leave as is 104 26 69 8 1 59.4% 45:6% e9.o% 50.0% 50.0% 13 3 7 2 1 DKINA 5.3% 7.0% 12.5% 50.0% Respondents were nextasked if they would support or oppose potential traffic improvements in the City. Figure 42 reveals the level of support for various improvements to the City's traffic circulation system. When asked about each suggested improvement, over 40 percent of respondents expressed opposition. Traffic calming measures and widening jamboree Road received the highest percentage of opposition with 66 percent and 62 percent respectively. The overpass at Macarthuroamboree received the highest percentage of support with 52 percent. Figure 42. Support for Specific Trafrro Improvements m Support OOpposa Wldoning PCH Overpass at urthurlJamboree Overpass at JamboreeTPCH Niden Jamboree Road Niden Macarthur Blvd. Traffic calming measures cityojNeupord Beach- DRAITRBPORr Corllie Rawxh DAnal6b* Page 62 • • Dnelopment within the City • Bushim Survey • Development within the City - Business Survey The next section of the survey addressed development within different regions of the City. The specific areas considered in the business survey included the business area near John Wayne Airport, Fashion Island, and Newport Office Center. John Wayne Airport Q11.7befirsiarea xsThe business Respondents were first asked if they were familiar with the business area nearjobn Wayne area near tbejobn inayneAlrporl. Airport. Figure 43 reveals that 90 percent of respondents were familiar with the area and ten AreyoujandliarwitbIbis area? percent were not familiar with the area. Figure 43. Familiarity with Area Near John Wayne Airport No 18.3Y. • 1 ,I LJ Yes 89..71% Development within the City- Business Survey • Q]z.Pon going loprouideyouwilb AS afollOW-up question, respondents who were familiar with the airport area were asked to six different opatensforibefutureof assess their support for six options for the future of the airport area. Responses were coded lbeairporlarva,andi'dlibelo according to a support scale where 'definitely support" =+2,'probably supporf=+1, know wbelberyou world support or oppose web oplion. Here is The Ursd ` probably oppose' = -1, and 'definite] oppose' = -2. The responses were then, aggregated to p y pF y pp F nex9 one: would form a mean, The order in which the items were read was randomized to avoid a systematic 3ousupport oroppose this oplienfor positton'bias. tbefulure ofThe airporl area? Would lbatbItdef tRely (supparaoppose) or Figure 44 reveals the mean scores for each of the six proposals evaluatedfor the airport area; probably (supporr/oppose) this 'New.low-rise office buildings in the area' (0.48), followed by'More retail stores' (0.35) were Option? the most supported of the proposals evaluated. Overall, respondents indicated the highest level of opposition to'More car dealerships' (-1.13) in the airport area. Figure 44. FNture of the Airport Area 012b NeW low-rise office buildings In airport area Q12d More rape: ports In airport are. Q12a No change In airport area ` Q12c NaW heglrrhe office buildings In airport area r Q12t More Industrial uses In airport area qq 012. Mon car dealerships In airport area ' Table 36 reveals the mean support scores for the different airport proposals delineated by the number of employees at each firm. Firms with over 50 employees were most likely to support 'More industrial uses in the airport area', whereas firms with zero to two employees were the most -likely to support'New low-rise office buildings'. E my ofNeuportEmcb-DRAFTRMRT CrlodbeRe xhFvrind!}r!r Page 64 r 1 U Development mihin the City- Busnem Survey Table 36. Future of the Airport Area by Number of Employees - - Number ofEmployees _ Overall 0 to 2 $ to 10 11 to 'Over 50 50 Base -0.08 -0.18 -0.24 -0.12 0.26 Q12b New low-rise ofricebuildings,in 0.48 0.69 0.12 0.19 0.57 `airport area Q12d'Idofe retail stores 0.35 0.24 0.38 -0.19 0.29 in airport area Q12a,Nb'changeln, airport area, 0,31 0.16 0.38 0.52 0.86 Q12c;New hlgfl-rise office buildings In -0.12 -0.02 -0.39 -0.19 -0.14 airport•drea Q12f MoreAndustdal -0.40 -1.00 -0.76 0.29 1.00 uses in airport area Q12e More•car dealerships In airport -1.13 -1.22 -1.14 -1.40 -1.00 area • Q13• Do you think that it is Next, respondents were asked about traffic congestion in the airport area. Figure 45 reveals acceptable to have more rraffrc that 68 percent of respondents felt that it was acceptable to have more traffic congestion in congestion in the airport area than the airport area than in other parts of the City, whereas 31 percent felt that it was not in otberparls of the City? acceptable. The remaining one percent did not reveal their opinion. • Figure 45. Traffic Congestion in the Airport Area DMA 1.3% No 31_J. ; �S J� Yes 67.7/ Cdy ofNetoport Beads - DRAPTREPORT CodbeRM16 &Anallrk Page 65 DMclopment u11hin the Chy- Business Suwer Fashion Island • Q14.7benertarea istbeFasbiou Respondents were next asked if they were familiar with the Fashion Island shopping mail. Islandshopplagmail. Areyou Figure 46 reveals that 91 percent of respondents were familiar with this location. familiar with ibis area? Figure 46. Familiarity with Fashion Island Shopping Mail No DKINA epq 1.1X Yes 90-W Q15.7binkhtgoftbefulureof Asafollow-up question, respondents who were familiar with Fashion Island were then asked Fosbion Island, vould you support to asses their support for changes in the amount of retail space allowed at Fashion Island. or oppose The amoantofretail Responses were coded according to a support scale where 'definitely support'=+2, ldthat space rely(srrpporuoppose)or 'probably support'=+'i,'probably oppose' =-1, and 'definitelyoppose' =-2.The responses • probably (supportioppose) this were then aggregated to forma mean. The order In which the items were read was option? randomized to avoid a systematic position bias. Figure 47 reveals that business respondents were somewhat supportive of all three proposals for dealing with the amount of retail space allowed at.Fashion Is] and. 'Increasing moderately to -attract, newstores,to the area' received a slightly higher support score than 'Increasing slightly so that existing department stores can expand' which was slightly higher than'Remaining as it is, with little or no change'. • Gyty ofmvporl Bmcb-I)RABTRBPORT Co& Re m d 6Ana1, w Page 66 • • Development tvnhin the City - Business Survey Fgure 47. Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island e15c Madaralo Increase to attract case businesses e156 Slight Increase to expand comet occupants e15a Unix or no change For the interested reader, Table 37 shows the mean support score for growth of retail space at Fashion Island based on SIC Code. Businesses in retail trade were more likely to support growth at Fashion Island to attract new firms than businesses in other industry types. Table 37. Growth of Retail Space at Fashion Island by Industry Type Overall 'Retell Vade "F!I:R•E(60 toy ,$ervlcesg70+I Other (52-59)� 671 _ Base 055 0.79 0.45 0.54 042 I 015c Moderate Increase to attract,new- 062 1.06 0.17 0.51 0.74 businesses Q15b Slight Iricrease to expand current 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.55 0.59 occupants Q15a 1.11116 crag, - 048 0.75 0.62 0.55 •0.06 change City ofNewport Beach - DRAFTREPORT Codbe Raraxrdli &Arra4b* Page 67 Development %ithin the City- BU IRUSSurvey • Newport Office Center Q16. Menexl area is lbeA'ewporl Respondents were then asked if they were familiar with the Newport Center office area. Censer o�cearea. Areyoufamiliar Figure 48 reveals that just over wo-thirds (67%) of respondents were familiar with the area wilb lbu area? and 32 percent were not familiar with the area. Figure 48. Familiarity with Newport Office Center DNMA oax No 920Y. �k' `�^ •.�'� Yea WAY. Q17.minkingoftbejaiureiveupori Asafollow-up question, respondents who were familiar with the office area were asked to Center, wouldyousupporiaroppose asses their support for the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center. Responses lbesizeandamountof buildings: ? Mould were coded according toa support scale where 'definitely support! =+2,'probably support' That be definitely (supporl/opposr) or = +I, 'probably oppose' = -1, and 'definitely oppose' = -2. The responses were then • probably(suppori/oppose)this aggregatedtoformamean, The orderinwhich the items were read was randomized toavoid Option? a systematic position bias. Figure 49 reveals that respondents were moresupportive of the proposal 'Remaining as they are, with little or no change' to the size and amount of -future buildings in Newport Center. Respondents gave a more neutral response to the three other proposals for the size and amount of building in Newport Center, beginning with 'Increasing to allow existing companfesdo grow, like Pacific life', followed by'Inereasing to attractnew businesses to the area', and the least support for 'Increasing to allowfor residential and mixed'use buildings to be developed'. • CtlyofNeuporiBcah-DR,iPTMMRT Got& Reswrch & Awb! * Page a 0 Development within the City- Business Survey Figure 49. Growth at Newport Center m1. unx «m.mny. one N.nuhq 11. Y..t.dbdwn pnc IrcnnYy b .MS Eu.Nn.af one m.rnYno to MUW uw ovYopn.m '.,oar- n, M Table 38 reveals the mean support scores for the size and amount of future buildings in Newport Center delineated by the number of employees in each firm. Businesses with over 50 employees were most likely to support'Increasing to allow existing companies to grow, like Pacific life' and 'Increasing to attract new businesses to the area'. Table 38. Growth at Newport Center by Number of Employees Numberof -- �- Employees Overall 31or10, - 1.1 to . Ove"r i , --= : 50, 50, Base 0.38 0.41 0.41 0.09 0.64 Q17a L Us or no 0.67 0.59 0.90 0.00 0.43 change Q17b 'Incfeasigg growth.at,ctirrent 0.37 0.69 0.21 0.00 0.86 companies Q17c Increasing to 0.34 0.24 0.46 0.36 0.86 attract businesses Q17d Increasing for Mixed use development 0.15 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.43 Oly ofNewporl Beach-DRARfRBPoRT Goahe Research &Nral w Page 69 p18. Ok, nowl'd like to read you the opinions of live Newporl Bead; residents. Please choose the opinion That is closest to your own. Smith thinks that encouraging economic development in the City is in The best interest of residents. By alloildugfor more hotels, once mace and retail, it will generate revenue to payfor improved maintenance and operations, improved service provision, and a variety ofOly projects. Jones thinks that encouraging economic development in the City is not in the best interest of residents, because it will lead to more building's, bigger buildings, more traflic congestion, and will change the character of the City Economic Dmdgmenl- Business Sdacy Economic Development - Business Survey The next section of the business survey addressed economic development. Respondents were first read the opinionsof two hypothetical Newport Beach residents and asked which opinion they most agreed with. The two opinions that were offered were: ■ SMITH - Who thinks that encouraging economic development in the City is In the best interest of residents. By allowing for more hotels, office space and retail, it will generate revenue to pay for improved maintenance and operations, improved service provision, and a variety of City projects. ■ JONES- Who thinks that encouraging economic development in the City is not in the best interest of residents, because it will lead to more buildings, bigger buildings, more traffic congestion, and will change the character of the City. Figure 50 reveals that opinions were split relatively evenly between the two opinions on economic development. Forty-five percent of respondents agreed more with Smith, who believed economic development benefitted residents, whereas 42 percent of respondents agreed morewith]ones, who believed economic development is detrimental to residents. Five percent of respondents indicated they did not agree wift either opinion, six percent agreed with both opinions, and three percent did not reveai.their opinion. Figure 50. Smithms. Jones -,Economic Development Neither _. Jonas arax Both DKONA &7% 2 % tatty ofNeupon.6mob - DW- REPORT Smith 44.6% CodbeRairarrb &Anailsts Page70 11 • • Economic Development - Business survey For the interested reader, Table 39 shows responses to the economic development question broken down by industry type. Newport Beach businesses in the Financial, Insurance, and Real Estate (F.I.R.E) Industry were more likely to support overall economic development in Newport Beach than businesses in other industries. Table 39. Economic Development by Industry Type SIC -Code, Overall Retail trade F IRE (604d Services,(70 Other (52-59) 67) to 87,89) Base 175 37 26 75 37 78 12 15 38 13 Smith 44.6% 32.4% 57.7% 50.7% 36.1% 74 18 8 29 19 Jones 42.3% 48.6% 30.8% 38.7% 51.4% 8 1 1 4 2 Neither 4.6% 2.7% 3.8% 5.3% 5.4% Both 10 4 - 3 3 5.7% 10.8% - 4.0% 8.1/R 5 2 2 1 - DKM 2.9% 5.4% 7.7% 1.3% - City ofNew/wrl Beach - DRAFTWORT "itRetmrch &Arwlp* Page 71 Ilolel Dnelopmenl • BullnmSurvey Hotel Development - Business Survey Q19.YVaTi Pet fike to ask you about The next section of the business survey examined the level of support for developing new LotelsinNeeporl Beacb, In general, hotels In the City. Figure'51 reveals that 41 percent of respondents would'Support' the do yousupporf oropposodevetopfng development of new hotels in Newport Beach, whereas 30 percent of respondents indicated newGoletsin_1keCity, ordoyounot pave an opinion? they would'Oppose'newhotel development in.theCity. Over aquarter (27%)ofrespondents indicated they did not have an opinion on the topic. Figure 51. Development of Hotels in Newport Beach Noopinlon 27A% oppow 30A DKINA 1.1% Support 41.1% • For the interested reader, table 40 shows responses to the hotel developmentquestion broken • down by respondents' residence status. Table 40. Development of Hotels by Respondent's Residence Newport°Beach Resident OVerall 7es No Bose 175 83 ' 91, Support 72 35 37 41.1%' 42.2% 40.7% Oppose 53e 27 25 30.3/0 32.6% 27.5% No opinion 48 20 28 27.4% 24,1% 30.8% DKNA 2 1 11.2% 1 1.1% 1.1% • City ojNaepod Beaob-DRAFTREPDRT Co&dR=rch GAnatysrs Pago72 • 0 • Hotel Development - Business Survey Q20. Let me be more specific. Do As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they favored or opposed developing new you favor or oppose developing new hotels in the City to support local stores and restaurants, business conferences, tax revenue botels in the Crty of Newport Beacb to for the City, and tourism. Figure 52 reveals that slightly more than 50 percent of respondents support. ? favored hotel development if each of the topics presented would benefit. This represents a 13 to 19 percent increase in support for developing new hotels within the City from the previous question. Figure 52. Conditional Support for Development of Hotels in Newport Beach Support local Memel restaurants Support business conferences Support tax revenue for the City Support tourism O Favor O Oppose 54 3�rC Is ®®® ® ,® ✓ :1 .:1.1C3n 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Q21. Assuming tbat anynewbotels Under the assumption that new hotels will likely be built in the future, respondents were Wit be built in thefuture, what type asked to reveal the type of buildings they felt would be most appropriate for Newport Beach. ofhotel buildings do you think are When asked about'Large hotels with conference facilities, like the Four Seasons', slightly approprialeforNewport Beach?Are more than half of the business respondents (50o) felt they were appropriate and 42 percent appropriate or mappropriateforfuture felt they were inappropriate. 'Medium-sized extended stay business hotels, like Courtyard development. Marriott' had an equivalent percentage of respondents who felt they were appropriate compared with the percentage of respondents who felt they were inappropriate (47% each). 'Smaller sized Inns with no buildings over three stories', were considered appropriate by 49 percent of respondents and inappropriate by 47 percent of respondents. City of Newport Beach-DRAF7REPORT GodbeRermrrb PeAnall51's Page 73 Q22. Nurt, Pat going to list several areas ofNewport Beacb. For each area, please tell me ifyou would support or oppose locating a new bole( in The area. Here is the (fi it nerl) area: . Mould you support or oppose locating new botel in Ibis area? Ilotel Doelopment • Ousiness Survey Figure 53. Hotel -Typo Preference o Appropriato 0Inapproprlata Now large hotels Now medium-sized hotels Now smeller•slsoe hotels Respondents were nextasked if they would support or oppose building a hotel in various locations throughout Newport Beach. Hotel development at the airport area received the most support (74%) from respondents, followed by Newport Center (58Q, and Newport Dunes (56%). At the other end of the spectrum, hotel development in Marina Park received the highest level of opposition (59%) from respondents, followed closely by Lido Marina Village (06), and•Mariner's mile (53%). Figure 54. Location of NowHotel ll Support ciopposo Alrpoi Mariner' Morin, Lido Marina I Newport Newport alyofNa port Beach • DRAFI'RBFORr Qft Remlrb &Mattes* Fage74 • 0 0. • 0 0 Hotel Development • Business Survey Q23. Would you support or oppose The final hotel development related question in the business survey evaluated support for the city deoelopingportions of the developing publicly owned property at Newport Dunes and Marina Park. The proposed publicly otoned euaterfroniproperty development would be for visitor uses such as hotels, restaurants, and recreation. at Newport Dunes and A9arina Park, for ls, restaurants, to s an as t hotels, restaurants, runs and Figure 55 reveals that over half of business respondents were either strongly supportive g p g y pp , recreation? Would that be strongly (29%) or somewhat supportive (27%) of the proposal. Approximately 40 percent of (support/oppose) orsomewbal respondents indicated they were opposed to the proposal either somewhat (11%) or strongly (supporuoppose)? (30%) and three percent declined to state. Figure 55. Development of Publicly Owned Waterfront Property DKFNA 3A. Slronglysupport Slronglyupposo 2M. 29r/. Somewhat oppose Somawhatsupport 109% 27M. 0yofNewport Beacb -DRAFT REPORT GodbeResearch GAnalys(r Page 75 Q24. l mould like to ask jnu about tbejutureojElToro. Do)nusupport or oppose the constrttclion of an airport al El Toro: ? Mould tbal be strongly(support/oppose) or somembal (sutport/oppose) ibis action? Airport Construction - Business Suncy Airport Construction - Business Survey The next section of the business survey addressed airport construction in Orange County. Residents were first asked if they supported the construction of an airport at El Toro. Figure 40 reveals that 55 percent of respondents would support construction of the El Toro airport either strongly (38Yo) or somewhat (17%) and 38 percent of respondents would oppose con- struction of the airport either strongly (27%) or somewhat (10%). Seven percent of respon- dents did not reveal their opinion on this question. Table 41. Construction of Airport at Ell Toro oKINA ra% strwglyoppo°o r-�. strongly supPO4 V4% 3s3'h $01"°"'IM3% O SoirwM tsupport 10.3% IM For the interested reader, Table 42 reveals support for construction of the El Toro airport delineated by number of employees at each respondents firm. Businesses with more than 11 employees were most likely to support construction of the EI Toro airport. Table 42. Construction of Airport at EI Toro by Number of Employees Nuniberof Employees Overall 0'to 2 3_to 10 11 + Base 175 51 53 31 Strongly support 9 y pPo 67 18 19 14 38.3% 35.3% 35.8% 45.2% Somewhat su ort pp 29 16.6% 8 15.7% 6 11.3% 5 16.1%o Somewhat ose pp 18 10.3% 8 15.7% 4 17.5% 1 3.2% Strongly oppose 46 16° 18 9 27.4% 31.4/0 34.0% 29.0% 13 1 6 2 DIM CityoJNeuporl Bwcb-EWTREPORT Ga&Restrarb &Anali:* Page76 0 0 • u Nrpon COnSIMOIun • Business Survey Q25. #'you knew that flighlsfiom a As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they would be more likely to support future El Toro Airport would not fly construction of the El Toro airport after learning that planes would not fly over any part of over any par! of Newport Beach Newport Beach, including Newport coast. Overall, 39 percent of respondents indicated they includmgNewporicoast, would you would be 'Much more likely' to support construction if flights from the new airport would more less likely to support not flyover an art of Newport. Eighteen percent of respondents noted the would be y p � � p p y construction oja new airport a! El construction co Toro? Inould ibal be much (more/ 'Somewhat more likely' to support construction after learning about the conditional flight less) likely or somewhat (more/less) pattern,11 percent would be'Somewhat less likely' to support, and 24 percent of respondents likely to support construction ofan indicated they would be 'Much less likely' to support construction of a future El Toro Airport, airport at El Toro? Figure 56. Conditional Support for Construction of New Airport at El Toro City ofNe DK/NA Much Inns Ik* „ , Much mom Ilkuiy 24.0-1. _ 38.0°/. SomrM 11low Iikety 11A% Somcwhaln /, ty lllm nri Emplarce Recruilmenl - Basins suncy Employee Recruitment - Business Survey Q26. How a f eult is it forpur The last substantive section of the business survey addressed issues related to employee business to hire qualifredemployees, recruitment. Respondents were first asked to reveal the level of difficulty they experienced verydficrdt, somewbat dfrailt, or when hiring qualified employees for their.business. As shown in Figure 57, 42 percent of not d crdlatall? respondents felt it was 'Not difficult at all' to hire qualified employees, 33 percent indicated it was 'Somewhat difficult', and 18 percent felt hiring qualified employees was 'Very difficult'. The remaining six percent of respondents declined'to state their opinion on the topic. Figure 57. Difficulty in Finding nualified Employees Q27. ftuld you agree that The availability of affordable boWng in Newporl Beach, q&& your busines' ability to recruit qualified enrplo)=? Vrordd tbal be defrnilely (agree/doagree) or somewhat (agree/disagree) that the availability of affordable bousing in the City affectsyour business' ability to recruit qualified employees? DKMA GXA Noidlincullatall A23% vvymmwK 102% mcxlutdiftuK 111% As a follow-up question, respondents were asked if they felt affordable housing affected recruitment. Fifty percent of respondents agreed that affordable housing availability did indeed have an impact on requiting qualified employees, 42 percent disagreed, and the remaining seven percent declined to state. Figure 58. Availability of Affordable Housing In Newport Beach DKINA TA% DOMnalydiupoo RAD% SomnNwldlsay.. IM �+ .. 11.7% DonnItelygna City ofNeuporl Bwcb-DRAFTRRPORT Go&R=nh 6Analiais Page 78 E • • Employee Recruitment - Business survey • For the interested reader, Table 43 shows whether respondents agreed or disagreed that affordable housing affected recruitment by their degree of difficulty hiring qualified employees. Table 43. Availability of Affordable Rousing by Difficulty Recruiting Employees Q26 Difficultyor hiring qualified employees Very somewhat l4ot.difficult Overall di(flcult diffi at all, DI�JA Base 175 32 58 74 11 570 170 21 17 2, Definitely agree 32.6 /0 53.1 /0 36.2% 23.0% 18.2 /0 31 3 17 10 1 Somewhat agree 17.7% 9.4% 29.3% 13.5% 9.1% Somewhat disagree 32 18.3% 5 15.6% 12 20.7% 15 20.3% - - 'Definitely disagree 440% 188% 121% 35.1% 273% 13 1 1 6 5 DKM 7.4% 3.1% 1.7% 8.1% 45.5% • City ofNewporlBead) -DRAPPREPORT adbe Research &Analbstr Page 79 Demognphie EmripUu9 of ➢usinmu Demographic Description of Businesses Figures 59 to 65 present a graphic representation of the demographic composition of the sample, Demographic details can be summarized as follows: ■ More than a third of respondents (37%) have operated their business in Newport Beach for more thatH years (Figure 59)• ■ Forty-seven percent of respondents were Owners/Principals/Partners (Figure 60). ■ Forty-seven percent of respondents were Newport Beach residents (Figure 61). ■ For more that half of respondents (5496), the number of employees who were also Newport Beach residents was less than 25 percent (Figure 62). ■ Respondent gender was split as follows: 56% male, 44%female (Figure 63). ■ Almost 60 percent of respondents had less than ten employees (Figure 64). ■ Forty-three percent of respondent were in the Services industry (Figure 65). 91. To begin, bore long basyonr Figure 59. Length of Stay in Newport Beach business been located in Newport Bends DKNA 1.1y. o4yo 2&7% M=Um14yoan4 ,y�e`; "' " 3&G% say 1&9% 10.14yous 17.77. OtyofNeuport Bead -DWTREMRT 6bdeR=rcb Bdrmllays Page 80 • C J LI • Demographic Description of Businesses QA. What isyouposition atyou Figure 60. Position at Firm firm? Owner/PdncipallPartner General Manager/CEO Managing Supervisor/Supervisor Department Manager Other(speclfy) Vice President DKMA 1.15.4% q Ice I � 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% QB. Areyou currently a resident of Figure 61. New port Beach Residents Newport Beach? Refused 0.6°/. No Yes 520% 47A41% y QC. Whatpercenfageofyour Figure 62. Percentage of Employees living in Newport Beach employees live in Newport Beach? DKINA 21.7%. 761ot00pereent 0to25 rcenl 0.1 % 53.8% 51 to 76 Wconl 40% 26to 50 porwnl 11A%. City ofNeluportifeach - DRAFTREPORT Ga,&Raaarch &Analysis Page 81 QD. Respondent's Leader QE. Number of Employees QG. Industry Code (SICand/or NAICS) I Demogophic Dm6pdon of Businesses 63. Gender Feolal& 440%. Figure 64. Number of Employees Nolcodad 2L omsoampluyma 4.0% 11 b50anpbyaa ta7'a Figure 65. S.I.C. Code Other sewlna (Tob8r.89) 42 % a1y of Neuporl Bearb - DRARP REPORT Mal& .%Q% 0tu2ampWm 29.1% Retail 4id&(5239) 21.1% FJ.W60 to 149% Code Resnomb $Allalystl Page 82 •I •I • October 25 November 16 Visi 22 December 2 GPAC Strat 30 January 9 Plann SD Dc 14 Cit Docur February 10 March 3 10 A A N BGPU/Schedule/EI P/ECT/1021.02 MARINER'SMILE BUSINESS O W N E R S A S S O C I A T I O N CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH is October 9, 2002 General Plan Advisory Committee City of Newport Beach Attn: Sharon Wood, Asst. City Manager 3300 Newport Blvd. Newport Beach, CA 92663 Re: Mixed Uses in Mariner's Mile Dear Committee Members: My association commends the Committee for its stated support of the revitalization of Mariner's Mile. MMBOA, together with City Staff, wrote the Mariner's Mile Strategic Vision and Design Framework which the City Council adopted as development policy. It says in pertinent part on page 37, "allow a range of residential uses where feasible": • We believe that one of the key elements to revitalization is to allow a wide range of uses, including residential. That will allow for creative design solutions (e.g. enhanced pedestrian access) and complimentary land uses that will enhance the Mariner's Mile experience. The Specific Plans for both Cannery Village/McFadden Square and Central Balboa allow for a wide range of mixed uses, including visitor -serving, commercial, marine - related and residential uses. The addition of residential uses to the Mariner's Mile area will therefore be consistent with other areas of the City and could potentially result in reduced traffic impacts in this important area of the City. We respectfully request Committee consideration of our request and offer to attend your meeting with a presentation to further articulate our proposal. Please contact our association for further information and for scheduling further discussions of this proposal. Sincerely, / Ned McCune, Chair Mariner's Mile Business Owners Association 424 EAST 16T° STREET COSTA MESA CALIFORNIA 92627 PHONE: 949-646-2076 • FAX: 949.548-2384 Page 1 of 1 Lektorich, Debbie • From: Rhonda Knipp [knipps2@hotmail.comj Sent: Sunday, November 03, 2002 9:47 AM To: dlektorich@city.newport-beach.ca.us Subject: Nov. 4th GPAC Hi Debbie, My work schedule will cause me to miss this week's meeting. Could you pass along these comments? Fellow GPAC'rs, I just wanted to point out what should be obvious to all of you. Working families (those with kids under age 18) were clearly under -represented in the phone survey. Based on my knowledge of the City and specifically my neighborhood, it seems that 72% might better represent the number of households with children under the age of 18. This should serve as reminder that this demographic is least likely to have the time to commit to community involvement let alone political activism. All of us involved in the General Plan Update process should keep in mind that we are trying to set the course for the future of our City and allow our children the same opportunities that we had. On another note, being that I kind of proffered the question about time for creative process and ideas, could you volunteer me for a spot on the "Airport Area" small group discussion. I would like •to suggest an "Urban Center" idea with residential high rise buildings surrounded by a "life -activity" area. Shops, Small concert / theater venues, restaurants, night spots, you name it. Just an idea. • Have a great meeting. Sincerely, Todd Knipp knipps2C&hotmail.com (949) 650-7068 Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com 11/04/2002 Page 1 of 1 Lektorich, Debbie From: George Jeffries [gjj4@cox.net] Sent: Sunday, November 03, 2002 3:36 PM To: beekd@aol.com; wboice@adelphia.net; karlyjob@aol.com; gardnerncy@aol.com; Iturner@broadcom.com; louisesg@pacbell.net; Evelyn Hart; ehatch@pacbell.net; Tom Hyans; ges@cenprowest.com; jonv3@aol.com; rootis@adelphia.com Cc: Swood@City. Newport -Beach. Ca. Us; DebbieL@city.newport-beach.ca.us Subject: Flawed City Survey To Selected GPAC Members I have attached a four -page memo criticizing the Update Committee's secrecy procedure with detailed comments on many of the survey questions from the pre -preliminary (residents only) survey response provided to the GPUC. My view is that some answers were no better than the poor questions that spawned them, and many responses would have been more anti -development oriented had the questions been framed properly. I was also exercised by the questions being prepared behind closed doors with no public pre -survey review. You may or may not agree with my concerns. The memo is wordy, and you may wish to skip the "executive summary," particularly if you are not an executive. At the last GPAC meting, after I prepared the memo, a staff member disclosed that current entitlements in NB total more than one million feet including 200,000 square feet of buildable area at Newport Center. This information was not disclosed to survey respondents. What does this do to the answers to many survey questions? •We now have the more complete "preliminary" report with more descriptive analysis, charts and tables. It provides a response by business owners. However, it provides no breakdown by resident business owners vs. non-resident business owners, which could be useful if the resident business -owners confirmed the conservative responses of residents who do not own businesses. • If the survey questions were asked of our committee I can not help but wonder how representative of the residents' responses our responses might be. I have sent this memo to a few of you on the GPAC. I have copied Sharon Wood and Debbie Lektorich. I have not included other members of the committee because of potential Brown Act issues. George Jeffries 949-759-0400 11/04/2002 . TO: GPUC/GPAC, City Staff, and concerned residents FROM : George Jeffries RE: Flawed and Slanted Residents' Survey DATE: October 19, 2002 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Politics and personalities aside, and with respect for and thanks to the subcommittee responsible for the questions, the general plan survey, recently conducted is not only flawed but slanted to favor unplanned for development. Although, the results suggest strong anti -traffic and anti - development sentiment among our residents in several areas, the results could have been more so had the surveyors leveled the field. In my former profession as a lawyer, I questioned witnesses for over forty years. In my opinion, the issue driven polling questions, prepared over objection, in secret, without public review, fail to meet minimum objective standards for obtaining accurate and helpful responses. More particularly, among other flaws, they either are: 1) Drafted so loosely as to imply the answer; or 2) Involve complicated issues without providing balanced views to be considered; or 3) Require "yes" or "no" answers without other options; or 4) Fail to ask questions • on essential facts; or 5) Fail to seek follow-up answers which might be more informative than generalized initial responses. The problems are pervasive, but limiting comments to the residents' questionnaire, questions on residential size, views, hotels, Fashion Island, Newport Center, economic development, and traffic, with the airport area cleverly interwoven, have led to answers which are no better than the questions asked. When one injects politics into the stew, the failure of the consultant and city staff to provide city-wide responses of eligible voters, from a computerized survey, until November 4, one day before a city election, after providing the initial reports on about October 18, is inexcusable. BRIEF HISTORY AND DISCUSSION: In late August, and at the last GPUC meeting, I raised several concerns about the proposed "statistically valid" general plan survey of Newport Beach voters, non -voters, resident and non-resident business owners. Of course, the term "statistically valid" is highly misleading. The most that can be said of the current residents' sample is that it is "statistically suggestive" of the electorate's views. Less can be said of the business sample, which includes an equal number of resident and non-resident business owners. In addition to the questionable sample to be drawn upon, I objected to the secret • procedure by which the questions were prepared privately by the staff and a small sub -committee of the GPUC. The pretext for secrecy was fear of public • disclosure through local publications, which "would ruin the poll." Of, course local publications, in the public interest, did not intend to publicize the questions, but this did not alter the procedure. The questions were produced behind closed doors and not disclosed even to GPUC members prior to the survey. I respect and admire each of the volunteers on this project and intend no personal criticism from my review of this work product. However, I submit that most people, carefully reviewing the questions, would find that it is not only flawed, it is slanted in several areas. My prior concern, expressed before the GPUC, was about politics and the lack of due process from the absence of any pre -poll public review of the sub- committee's work product. Without seeing the questions, I suggested four ways in which skilled, or unskilled questioning could lead to skewed results, and, sure enough, examples of all four appear frequently the poll — garbage in - garbage out. My prior caveats: 1. Questions will be asked which imply the answers. 2. Questions will be asked involving complex analysis without providing balancing views to be considered • 3. Questions will be asked with "yes" or "no" answers where respondents might be more inclined to agree or disagree "mildly" or "strongly," requiring a greater variety of choices in the answer 4. Questions on essential points, or containing essential facts, will not be asked In my former profession as a lawyer, I dedicated considerable time to framing questions to witnesses to get the answers I wanted, and to avoid those which I wanted to avoid. I also spent time analyzing the questions of my adversaries. This poll is instructive in this wily craft. In some cases, the questions are just poor. Other questions appear to be crafted carefully to direct or shade the answer or avoid a negative answer. Some questions on important or clarifying points were simply not asked. EXAMPLES: The problems appear to be pervasive, and this commentary is not comprehensive. Some examples of these problems from the residents' survey: RESIDENTIAL SIZE: Question 2: "In general, do you think that the City's regulations to restrain the size of new or remodeled homes are too strong, not strong enough, orjust right?" Only one question on "house size"? The use of the qualifying term, "in general" almost totally rules out concerns over mansionization in specific areas, which I assume is the principal issue. Does • anybody reading this question know what the regulations are? The question implies the answer, and 47% said the regulations are "just right." The flaw is that • the question should not have focused on `regulations." It should have been about house sizes. Lastly, this question was ripe for follow up questions in specific geographic areas, but there were no such questions. A major failing on a major issue. VIEWS: (3) No "in general' phrase, but the same basic objections as for regulations for residential size. View issues are important to property values of a minority of residents whose concerns should be considered. Another wasted opportunity on an important issue HOTELS: Questions 20, 21, 22, and 23 and 24, relate to hotels and provide minimal guidance. The questions largely either ignore the pros and cons or inject the positive benefits without mentioning the negatives. Question 21. is especially onerous: It asks if you favor or oppose building hotels in the city to support: "local stores and restaurants; business conferences; tax revenue for the city; and tourism." No mention anywhere about evaluating the negative desirability of hotels because they will bring more airport flights, non-resident employment, traffic, and parking problems to our"congested" city streets. The hotel questions, separately or selectively, can be interpreted in almost any way one wants. If I were pushing for a large hotel in the airport area, I would emphasize that over 40% of polled persons favor hotels for local stores and • restaurants, business conferences, tax revenue for the city, and'tourism. Over 42% like large hotels with conference facilities, and 73% favor hotels at the airport area. This is despite the answers to other questions suggesting NB respondents favor "smaller sized Inns with no buildings over three stories." Does this also mean at the airport? We cannot tell. Airport area development advocates were well served by this poll. Why were there no questions about future hotels down -coast? INCREASING SIZE OF FASHION ISLAND: (16) No balancing mention of non- resident employment, additional traffic congestion, currently beyond LOS D, and parking problems at this crowded venue. NEWPORT CENTER EXPANSION: (18) How would questions concerning Newport Center expansion have been answered if the questions invited the respondent to consider additional parking restrictions, possible metered parking, more employment for non-residents, office space expansion, and traffic congestion beyond LOS D. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE CITY: (19.) The poll presented only two views, those of Jones and Smith. But how about Green? He asks: 'Before we discuss economic development in the city, should we receive assurances from . independent experts to our city council and residents that the burgeoning city bureaucracy is maintaining high levels of service efficiently, economically, and with appropriate levels of accountability?" THEN ASK FOR JONES AND SMITH QUESTIONS. TRAFFIC: (6-8, 14) Poll respondents acknowledge a serious traffic problem with traffic congestion at this time, but appear not to want to do anything about it. How curious. Questions providing respondents' basis for this decision would have been helpful and might have led to a reassessment of answers to the original question. In discussing traffic issues, there is no mention of LOS D, as is prescribed by the current general plan. Traffic in the airport area: Note that a question about airport area traffic (#14) is in a separate area of the poll from the remaining questions on traffic. Clever in placement and phrasing, question 14 asks: "Do you think it is acceptable to have more traffic congestion in the airport area than other parts of the city?" What does the 64% positive response mean? The response defies analysis for too many reasons to discuss. How about a more proper question to the effect: "During rush hour gridlock in the airport area, how many signal cycles are you willing to sit through at each major intersection: 1? 2? 3? More than 3?" Many concerned residents believe that traffic is the key restriction on major development in the airport area, and question 14 appears positioned and slanted to bury the issue to permit future major development while encouraging traffic degradation to a level probably not contemplated by the poll respondents. The foregoing is only a small sample of problems with the residents' poll in just a few issue areas. The business poll, which includes answers of non-resident business owners, has similar problems. f� Newport Beach General Plan Update Visioning Phase EMERGING STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS Newsletter Neighborhood Overall Finding # Key Question website Maiiback Visioning Festival WorkshopsandTelephone Surveys* GPAC (Areas of clear direction Questionnaire Youth Council are highlighted) 1A How would you Beach town, Beach town, "Beach town" may Beac -town-(SII ti -more tha characterize Newport residential town, residential town, connote too much of a esidential town Beach's identity today? tourist destination tourist destination party atmosphere. Residential taw ) Toudst destination (SiamficantiY les ooular I And what would your Beach town, Beach town, Beach town and Beach tow preference be for residential town residential town, residential town, Residential tow Newport Beach's future tourist destination primarily Tourist destinatio identity? 2 What is your vision for (See draft vision (See revised draft fSee revised draft vision statement Newport Beach in the statement in Festival vision statement) year 2025? Summary Report) 7 What are the Categories: Important attributes for business road -consensus on Newport_Beac - characteristics that Community character, location: 74% location within umerous assets and oveell ua al eoflif distinguish Newport Governance, Freeway Orange County/S. Cal; 70% a Beach as a special access, Environment, good business address; 69% place? Community design, physical beauty; and 65% Community service, communitypurchasing power. Recreation B2 * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newsletter Neighborhood Overall Finding # -Key Question Website Mailback Visioning Festival Workshops and Telephone Surveys* GPAC (Areas of clear direction Questionnaire Youth Council are highlighted) 9 How should the City 1) Allow for 51% agree/42% disagree that encourage and facilitate development of affordable housing availability housing for those who buildings that integrate affects employee recruitment work here? housing on the second B27 and higher floors of retail commercial and office structures 2) Require developers to incorporate a min. % of units that are affordable for the work force 3) Developers should pay in -lieu fees for housing construction 10 Does the City provide Expressed satisfaction (Community members aie'se "sfie adequate services and with services facilities for seniors? If not, what additional services and facilities are needed? 11 Does the City provide Support is for Expressed satisfaction Youth: Support is for om un -members_ re eneral adequate services and improving recreational with services improving recreational aMs facilities for youth? If opportunities, opportunities, not, what additional acquiring parks and acquiring parks and services and facilities playing fields for playing fields for are needed? younger residents, and younger residents, increasing organized and increasing recreation leagues. organized recreation leagues. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update —Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 2 Newsletter Neighborhood Overall -Finding # Key Question Website Mailback Visioning Festival Workshops and Telephone Surveys* GPAC (Areas of clear direction Questionnaire Youth Council are highlighted) 12 Should the City 11 out of 18 said "yes" 198 out of 353 said Answer depends on Split opinion. continue to "no" the types of jobs and By a small majority, respondents not accommodate job the associated impacts n think accommodatingtBeachimore jobs in growth when we are (e.g., traffic). Some Newport Beach is a good idea. And already job rich? say we should stay many others think that the City can "job rich", some say we "accommodate" but should not 'promote" should accommodate additional employment opportunities. but not actively promote jobs. 13 Should the City better 81% said yes Better utilize, Water quality Members agree with he overwhelming consensus is that ou utilize its harbors and Primarily through especially for visual concerns, especially the overall consensus. arbors and beaches must be protecte beaches as a visual, pollution clean up and resources and in Districts 1 and 2 They think that if nd revitalized. Majority wants to rotec recreational and revitalization of beach recreation. harbors and beaches esg areas as visual -resources economic resource? If areas are improved as so, how? recreational resources, then visual and op is"sues: improved recreational areas economic benefits will ater "uali and- ollution clean u follow. Water quality must be improved; public access enhanced. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 3 i 0 # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 14 How far should we go to 56% support City protection of the The group agreed that majority agrees that coastal blu protect our coastal coastal bluffs. 38% favor the there are specific ust be protected as required b tfi bluffs? protection of private property rights. coastal bluff areas that oastal Act R4 are of geographic and cultural significance and should be protected. (Ninanly old Comna del Mar, Sunset Ridge, Casta-ways, Banning Ranch; also Caltrans East and Sunset View; between Morning Canyon and Crystal Cove Park and in Buck Gully and Morning Canyon) Need to enhance code enforcement, and create specific plans to guide planning and design in each area. 15 How should the City Limit public and private Limit public and private Dist 7- Would like to Recommends pub is view co d6preserve its remaining development in these development in these implementa"view identifying existing create mws whereve public view corridors, areas. City should areas equals value" view view corridors and [,eseve-rerr:aining sible. Con inventory o for example, the look into purchasing preservation law. offering redevelopment ting publicorridors and crea Coastal Bluffs or views these lands. incentives to enhance m lic of or from other and create additional prominent natural corridors and features? pedestrian view opportunities. There is a need for policy regarding public right to view versus private property rights. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 4 �J # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone -Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 16 What should the City do Dist 2 and 6- Not a strong community concern. to protect historic 1) Narrow the commercial and permitted uses in residential villages? some commercial What should the City do areas to protect areas that may not be historic by 2) Adopt design and definition, but give the development community a sense of guidelines identity and are 3) Establish a design important points of review process reference in the Dist 3 and 5- All of the community, such as above and these also: "Cannery Village?' Adopt more Specific Plans for areas, Reduce the permitted size of buildings in residential neighborhoods 18 What City area(s) are Primarily yes 63% (256 responses) 46% wanted Support expansion of retail space. Fashion Island: LOS Split opinion, leaning toward the status A suitable for additional said no to increased expansion at Fashion 70% keeping it as is. 67% slight "D" as goal; prompt quo. development? Fashion development Island. expansion. 62% moderate mitigation. Island increases. R15,16 Split opinion with Support expansion of retail support for status quo space: 68%new stores, 66% (as built) and for expansion of existing, and 61% limited expansion (to no change option. B14,15 195k, as entitled in current GP, or more). Any expansion will increase existing traffic congestion. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 5 u # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops.and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of -clear direction are highlighted) 18 What City area(s) are Pdmarily yes 63% (264 responses) 52% wanted Support. 71% little or no change for Newport Center: LOS Split opinion, leaning toward very limited, B suitable for additional said no to increased expansion at Newport Newport Center. 57% allowing "D" as goal; prompt well -considered development. development? Newport development Center existing companies to grow. 48% mitigation. Center new businesses. Split opinion with 45% support (and 51% oppose) support for status quo residential and mixed use (as built) and for buildings. R17,18 limited expansion (to Support expanding Newport 1-2,000, as entitled in Center: 68% no build option. current GP, or more). 63% attracting new business. Provide flexibility to 61 % allowing existing business allow specific projects. to grow. 56% mixed -use No strong support for buildings. B16,17 mixed -use buildings. 18 What City area(s) are Primarily yes 252-No to expansion 63% said yes to Support 65% no changes. 66% Airport Office Area: Split opinion, leaning toward low-rise C suitable for additional at Airport Office Area expansion in the new low-rise buildings. Allow non -airport, non- expansion. Opposition to car dealerships development? Airport Airport Office Area Oppose: 58% new high-rise peak hour uses to and industrial uses. Office Area buildings (40% strong opposition). discourage airport 64% more car dealerships. 62% expansion. more industrial uses. Split on more Consider trade-off retail stores: 47% yes149% no. between building R12-14 heights & the amount Support: 68% new low-rise bldgs of remaining open and 63% more retail stores. Split space on the site. over the no change and high-rise Consider targeting.for options. Oppose: 79% more car revitalization. dealerships and 57% industrial uses. 811-13 Consider traffic impacts. Consider transferring development rights. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions— October 31, 2002 Page 6 Newsletter Neighborhood Overall -Finding # Key Question Website Mailback Visioning Festival Workshops and Telephone Surveys* GPAc (Areas of clear direction Questionnaire Youth Council are highlighted) 18 What City area(s) are 44%146% split over Banning Ranch Partner with County to Split opinion, leaning toward no or very D suitable for additional partial versus complete secure open space limited development. development? Banning preservation as open space. (e.g., as addition to Ranch 119-11 Orange Coast River Park). Consider affordable housing. Development concerns: • Costs of environ- mental clean up. ■ Need to preserve geological hazard areas and natural slope areas. ■ Traffic congestion and emergency vehicle access. ■ Density 18 What City area(s) are West Newport E suitable for additional Industrial area: convert development? West back to residential, Newport Industrial with senior facilities. area 19 What City area(s) Fashion Island (3), Banning Ranch (30), Issue is very Issue is very community -sensitive and should reduce zoning Newport Center (3), the Corona del Mar community -sensitive each area must be reviewed. capacity? and De Anza MHP (3). Res. Area (22), Balboa and each area must be Village (16), and reviewed. Newport Heights (16). * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31,2002 Page 7 • • i # Key Question. Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are -highlighted) 20 What City area(s) need Same areas cited at Balboa Village (48) Revitalization: making Most people believe these areas are in revitalization? the Festival Old Newport Blvd. (27) something nicer, need of revitalization: Old Newport Cannery Village (27) without making it Boulevard, Balboa Village, Central Mariners Mile (32) bigger, respecting Balboa Peninsula, Cannery Village, Central Balboa historic places and McFadden Square and Mariners Mile. Peninsula (23) ambiance; creating high McFadden Square (18) pedestrian areas with terrific restaurants Set revitalization goals to guide future development. Possible areas: Old Newport Blvd., Balboa Village, Central Balboa Peninsula, West Newport, Banning Ranch, Hoag area commercial, Industrial area near Costa Mesa, Mariners Mile and Airport area Pursue creative approaches (e.g., Office Airport Area: new hotels & residences. Mariners Mile: move PCH, create pedestrian -friendly area, use old PCH as parking, open views to water). Consider publidprivate partnership. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 8 U Newsletter Neighborhood Overall Finding # Key Question Website Mailback Visioning Festival Workshops and Telephone Surveys* GPAC (Areas of clear direction Questionnaire Youth Council are highlighted) 21 What City area(s) are for mixed -use Lido Marina Village, Balboa Village Cannery Village (39) and Balboa Village Generally in favor of mixed use; examine from the festivaland thossuitable ponded to the website a reedevelopment projects (20) possibilities in any [ttendees Village, Cannery Village that integrate housing in appropriate site. den uare and Lido Mann the upper floors of commercial or office ach site shoo die studied for III buildings? uitability, for mixed use 22 Do we have too much 22% said too much of anything: housing, rental housing, 17% rental, office buildings, each said too much etc.? office and too much housing 23 How do we protect our 66% said yes 1) Limit the size of new existing residential infill housing neighborhoods? 2) Limit the size of remodeled housing 24 See Question 9 26 Should excess and Yes (120) Excess and and-underutilized comfnerc a underutilized No (56) underutilized considered for rezon n Eevelomen commercial lands be commercial lands shall residential or mixed -us converted for residential be considered for or mixed -use rezoning for residential development? or mixed -use development. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update —Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 9 # Key Question 1Nebsite Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 27 Should the City place Support for the Expressed concems Limit the size of new Major concern in Dist. 41% believe that existing Many have expressed Larger homes and their effects is a restrictions on suggested solutions about the impacts: lack infill housing as a 5,6,7. regulations are sufficiently concems about the distressing trend for some Newport constructing larger and lot merger of privacy, natural solution to Youth: Limit the size effective. trend toward larger Beach residents, however the existing homes that change the requirement. sunlight and views. mansionization. of new infill housing 27% believe they are too weak. homes. regulations may be sufficient for now. character of existing Restrict the size of as a solution to , Depends on the area neighborhoods remodeled housing. mansionization. 13 /a say they are too strong. and the design. (mansionization)? Restrict the size of remodeled housing. R2 LCP may help address issue in coastal area. Create design guidelines specific to villages. Consider stepping back to allow views from properties in center of peninsula. New construction helps West Newport. The tolerance of larger homes depends on the area and on the proposed design. 29 Should there be more No (63%) No (133) Refer to 18A retail development in Yes (37%) Yes (88) Fashion Island? 30 Which employment Newport Center: 64% Newport Center Refer to 18B A centers should be said No expanded (85), retained at the current retained (77). scale and which, if any, should be expanded? Newport Center 30 Which employment Airport office area: Airport Office area Refer to 18C B centers should be 60% said No should be expanded retained at the current (150), retained at scale and which, if any, currentscale (90) should be expanded? Airport Office area * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update— Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 10 # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone -Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 30 Which employment Corp. Center retained C centers should be (91), expanded (74) retained at the current scale and which, if any, should be expanded? Corp. Center 30 Which employment Mariners Mile Mariners Mile: mixed D centers should be expanded (107), uses, acknowledging retained at the current retained at current two components, water scale and which, if any, scale (61) and business. should be expanded? Mariners Mile * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions— October 31, 2002 Page 11 # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning, Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 31 Oro we want any more Nine out of 11 website Seventy percent did 80% of those who 52% oppose and 27% support new Support for hotels to Split opinion, with residents primarily hotels? respondents felt that not think that additional attended District 1's hotels in the City (20% no opinion) serve vacationers opposed to new development and this industry should hotel development was neighborhood Oppose new hotels to promote the (e.g., smaller scale, business slightly in support. expand. a good idea. workshop supported following: 50% local stores and "boutique" hotels near Split opinion on types of hotels, leaning this sentiment when restaurants; 54% business the ocean;15-20 units) toward smaller inns for vacationers. the discussion focused on a conferences; 53% tax revenues; Look at rental trends; ew o e eelopme t avbra e r proposed hotel for the and 55%tourism. fewer rentals than 15- ifporf area''andewp6 Center Marina park site on If hotels were to be built in the City, v 20 years ago. If so, the Peninsula. 61% find appropriate smaller -sized lends support to inns, 44% medium-sized hotels, boutique hotels. Youth want to see and 43% large hotels. High -end hotels fewer. o Favored hotel development 73 /° in generate more the airport area and 54% in revenue; NB will lose Newport Center. Opposition to that business to locating in: 66% Marina Park; 63% adjacent areas and still Lido Marina Village, 60% Mariner's have traffic impacts. Mile, and 49% Newport Dunes. Residents may favor R20-23 large hotels more if educated on revenue Split over hotel development generation (TOT). with 41 % supporting and 30% opposing (27%no opinion). Consider mixed office w/ hotel rooms on top. Favored hotel development: 61% tourism, 59% business Consider impact on conferences, 57%tax revenue, JWA demand. and 54% local stores. Large hotels are favored as appropriate by 54% compared with 49%for small -sized inns and 47% for medium-sized hotels. Support for locations of new hotel: 74%Airport area, 58% NP Center, and 56% NP Dunes. Opposition: 59% Marina Park, 57%Lido Marina V1., and 53% Mariner's Mile. B19-23 ease refer to the telep one questionnaire for exact question ph rasing. Normal textre ers to resi en survey and bold/italicizedo business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 12 L # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire 33 Should we continue to 76% said Yes promote and Primarily for business accommodate tourism? travelers and hotel visitors, followed by summer renters and daytimers. 34 What should be the 78% said preserve as future of the tidelands open space and other public lands (e.g., the Dunes, Newport Village, and Marina Park)? * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update —Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 13 # Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC - Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 36 Should the City be more Yes by a four to one The community highly values open proactive in developing margin space and parks. Many want to see the open space or parks, City more proactive in acquiring these even if it means bond areas, even if it means bond financing. financing? 37 What types of Improved bike lanes Community shuttles More public transit and Dist. 7-PCH widening Residents and businesses prefer GPAC needs more The community would very much like to transportation (particularly in the PCH widening through through Mariner's leaving roads as they currently are information and see more public transit options in improvements should heavily congested Mariner's Mile Mile to widening options by a 2 to 1 discussion. Newport Beach. Most want the City to be made in the City? tourist areas), electric Dist. 6- better traffic ratio. Grade separations and encourage more walking and biking. cars, taxis and a light engineering of roads 50%+ of residents oppose all types street widenings are rail and signals, of suggested improvements to controversial. PCH widening through tunnellgrade traffic circulation. Opposition to Concerns expressed Mariner's Mile separations and widening: 71 % Jamboree and 68% about the economic street widening Macarthur. The options with some feasibility of transit. Dist. 7 - signal timing support 39% building an overpass at Macarthur and Jamboree, and GPAC agrees that we and grade separated intersections 37% widening the PCH through need to make the city Mariner's Mile. R7-9 more bike and Dist. 4 — opposed to pedestrian friendly, grade separations Split on widening options. with site -specific Support: 53% overpass option solutions. and 45% PCH widening. Oppose: 62% widening Jamboree and 60% Macarthur. B9-11 57% of both residents and businesses polled rate traffic as somewhat congested. 25%+ very congested. R6, B8 . Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update —Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 14 # Key question Website 42 How should we protect our residential neighborhoods from — traffic impacts? 43 How should we protect our residential neighborhoods from parking impacts from commercial customers and beach users? " Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update— Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 15 # Key Question Website 45 What role should Newport Beach play in the airport issues? . Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 16 Newsletter Neighborhood Overall Finding # Key Question Website Mailback Visioning Festival Workshops and Telephone Surveys* GPAC (Areas of clear direction Questionnaire Youth Council are highlighted) 48 What should be the -Infrastructure -Improved Not in ranked order: o i City'sfunding priorities? maintenance, infrastructure ■ Infrastructure n s ai e - Parks and beaches, maintenance maintenance =Ci an Public safe ty -Need to revitalize Need to revitalize o e s- ocirdarl° om ai infrastructure in older infrastructure in_�-NeeUa_ commercial areas older commercial ze" as m_o e ` me -Acquisition and areas, including a a ea improvement of open parking cq_isi o im ve a fo space and parks a •Public safety Water quality m ro water ual' ltq ■ Improved water publics e quality ■ Acquisition and QCity bea r ca oaan Ian scaoin improvement of parks and open space ■ Encourage businesses thru non-cashincentives Revenue -producing priorities are necessary and education is needed to understand trade-offs. Ensure fiscal responsibility and accountability. * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update — Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 17 • • s # _ Key Question Website Newsletter Mailback Questionnaire Visioning Festival Neighborhood Workshops and Youth Council Telephone Surveys* GPAC Overall Finding (Areas of clear direction are highlighted) 51 Should the City 67% said yes 57% believe economic Yes Split opinion. encourage growth of Primarily through small development will detract from the local economy to business development, quality of life. 33% believe it will be help pay for municipal taxes. Fees and in the best interest of residents. services and facilities? licenses, and travel R19 If so, how? and tourism 45516 business supports the first position and 42% the second. B18 No Bike trails * Please refer to the telephone questionnaire for exact question phrasing. Normal text refers to resident survey and bold/italicized to business survey. Newport Beach General Plan Update— Visioning Phase MIG, Inc. Emerging Strategic Directions — October 31, 2002 Page 18 • GENERAL PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE Monday, November 4, 2002 Roger Alford Dorothy Beek Phillip Bettencourt Carol Boice Karlene Bradley John Corrough Seth Darling Julie Delaney Laura Dietz Florence Felton ` Nancy Gardner Joseph Gleason Jr. Louise Greeley Evelyn Hart Ernie Hatchell Bob Hendrickson Tom Hyans Mike Ishikawa David Janes George Jeffries Mike Johnson Todd Knipp Donald Krotee Philip Lugar Catherine O'Hara • Carl Ossipoff 1 • Larry Root John Saunders Brett Shaves Robert Shelton Ed Siebel Alan Silcock • • E GENERAL PLAN AD%%ORY COMMITTEE Monday, November 4, 2002 -,PUBLIC-SIGN-IN NAME ADDRESS/PHONE E-MAIL ADDRESS GENERAL PLAN ADV%ORY COMMITTEE Monday, November 4, 2002 PUBLIC SIGN -IN NAME ADDRESS/PHONE n U E-MAIL ADDRESS GENERAL PLAN ADAORY COMMITTEE Monday, November 4, 2002 PUBLIC SIGN -IN NAME ADDRESS/PHONE E-MAIL ADDRESS • • NEWP(M GENERAL PLAN UPDATE VISIONING PROCESS CH General Plan Advisory Committee Minutes of the General Plan Advisory Committee Meeting held on Monday, November 4, 2002, at the Police Department Auditorium. Members Present: Roger Alford Nancy Gardner Dorothy Beek Joseph Gleason Phillip Bettencourt Louise Greeley Carol Boice Bob Hendrickson Karlene Bradley Tom Hyans John Corrough Mike Ishikawa Hoby Darling George Jeffries Julie Delaney Phillip Lugar Laura Dietz Carl Ossipoff Florence Felton Larry Root Members Absent: Evelyn Hart Donald Krotee Ernest Hatchell Catherine O'Hara David Janes Brett Shaves Mike Johnson Jackie Sukiasian Todd Knipp Staff Present: Sharon Wood, Assistant City Manager Patty Temple, Planning Director Tamara Campbell, Senior Planner Debbie Lektorich, Executive Assistant Carolyn Verheyen, MIG Consultant/Facilitator Members of the Public Present: Carol Hoffman Dolores Offing Dick Nichols John Saunders Robert Shelton Ed Siebel Alan Silcock Jan Vandersloot Don Webb Jennifer Wesoloski Ron Yeo I. Welcome and Introductions • Bob Shelton called the meeting to order. The minutes from the previous meeting were not complete at the time of this meeting and will be presented at the next meeting. However, Carolyn Verheyen noted that she did incorporate comments from the last meeting into the matrix. II. Q and A with Bryan Godbe of GRA (Survey Consultant) Bryan Godbe and Josh Williams of Godbe Research and Analysis were present to answer any questions regarding the telephone survey and results. George Jeffries had presented a written response regarding the survey and Joe Gleason asked for a response to the points raised in the document. Mr. Godbe pointed out that they conducted a "quantitative" survey limited to 12 minutes and to get the results Mr. Jeffries would have liked to see, a "qualitative" survey would have had to be done. The qualitative survey is usually done during community forums and summits where hours are set aside and "why" questions can be asked and answered. The quantitative survey does not afford the ability to probe into the questions. If the survey had taken any longer, it would have been difficult to get people to agree to participate. Mr. Godbe also felt that the questions in the survey were unbiased. Mr. Williams added that in order to conduct a 12 minute • survey, options must be kept short, clear and simple otherwise you start loosing people. Ms. Wood added that the General Plan Update Committee wanted to keep the survey short so people would be willing to participate, and there were complaints about how long the survey took, so to add more questions or try to go into more depth would have reduced the amount of participation and increased the number of complaints. Carl Ossipoff (and Todd Knipp by e-mail) were concerned that 72% of the survey participants did not have children living at home under 18. Mr. Williams stated they wanted to make sure the data was representative of gender, geography and age to represent the 2000 census data. Newport Beach is slightly older than a typical California city, but he was not surprised to see this result. Mr. Godbe also pointed out that these days it is not surprising that someone would not say they had children living at home when they really don't know where this call is coming from, so there is a natural under- reporting. Also, after checking the ages, which can be confirmed through voter records, they felt comfortable with the representation. Dorothy Beek asked if they were predicting that the age distribution will be approximately the same 25 years from now. Mr. Williams said no, they were trying to represent Newport Beach as it is now. Mr. Williams said he looked at the data from the 2000 census and felt comfortable with the numbers based on what he saw. Tom Hyans brought up what he thought was the most obvious question that exemplifies what Mr. Jeffries was talking about —the question regarding Banning Ranch development. If the question stated $10 a year, the answer would have been • grossly different; the structuring of the question is what Mr. Jeffries was talking about. Ms. Wood stated that she based the estimate on the assumption that 2 50% would be funded through grants and then did research with the County, • used appraisal information of CalTrans West site and applied an average per acre cost to only the usable acreage, then asked the Administrative Services Department to spread that total over a 15 year bond issue, she tried to be realistic —not scary. Mr. Williams said the objective is to ask about the most likely scenario, without giving a number the person answering doesn't have any idea what you are talking about and they would be asking the interviewer. John Saunders said he agreed that how the questions are asked can influence the answers, however he felt the process was as fair as you could make it. Karlene Bradley thought there should have been a question about Banning Ranch without any financial involvement from the citizens. Mike Ishikawa pointed out to offer something for free, of course everyone will want it, with the questions there were options and information provided, the questions about Banning Ranch provided both, it may not be the answers everyone wanted but it is up to us to come to our own conclusions based on the information we are getting. Jan Vandersloot agreed with Ms. Bradley and thought the question should have been about keeping Banning Ranch as open space without tying it to a tax increase for Newport Beach. Mr. Williams pointed out that the way the question was set up forced people to make a decision and make a priority. Mr. Jeffries pointed out that his motives for questioning the survey were to be constructive and he hoped to enhance the quality of the process. Bob Shelton found it difficult to extract what the bottom line is with respect to the attitude toward hotels, by residents • and businesses. Mr. Williams found that both residents and businesses were generally not supportive of new hotels. The confusion comes from starting off with a very general question and then pushing specifics; in some areas there is strong opposition, some areas there is not as much. If you look at the details the information is there, both big picture data and very specifics. Laura Dietz wanted to know if all of the businesses interviewed were also residents. Mr. Williams said the business universe was randomly drawn from active business license data, then clustered and stratified. The information is available in the cross tabulations, you can determine just the answers of the resident business owners. Ms. Wood reminded everyone that Appendix B is 300 pages long, so if it was not duplicated, however it is available. Mr. Gleason asked if the resident and business surveys would be given equal weight. Ms. Wood said that would be up to this committee, GPUC, Planning Commission and the City Council. III. Discussion of Revised Vision Statement Nancy Gardner reviewed the changes made to the Vision Statement. At the Subcommittee's meeting last week, they only addressed the areas where comments had been sent to them. The first change was in the order of the paragraphs. Under Community Character they cleaned up some language thanks to Joe Gleason and they received a detailed note about balance from Carol Boice, • with that they came up with the last sentence "The successful balancing of the needs of residents, businesses and visitors has been accomplished with the 3 recognition that Newport Beach is primarily a residential community." Under Growth Strategy and Land Use they said, "We have a conservative growth •' strategy that emphasizes residents' quality of life —a strategy that balances the needs of the various constituencies...". In the second paragraph there was a word change "...characteristics that satisfy the community's desire..." The only other change was that estuary was used in both singular and plural, so the subcommittee decided to make it singular throughout the statement. The last question the Subcommittee discussed was regarding Responsive Government and whether it should be included in General Plan Vision Statement; after the discussion it in the statement. Karlene Bradley moved to accept the Visioning Statement as presented. Bob Shelton called for discussion before the vote on the motion. Jan Vandersloot asked why the plural form of estuary was changed to singular. Ms. Gardner didn't feel there was a strong feeling one way or the other. Tom Hyans said the discussions were always in reference to the Upper Bay. Mr. Shelton pointed out that with all the talk about the Santa Ana River, maybe it should be plural and members of the committee agreed. Joe Gleason wanted to make his argument to remove the Responsive Government paragraph, he pointed out that there is no Responsive Government element of the General Plan and he feels it is a function of the voters and may be a shot at the current City Council and not appropriate for this document. Dorothy Beek wanted the word navigability added. Mr. Shelton pointed out it is in the last sentence of Boating and Waterways. Bob Hendrickson said he had a problem with the • Airport section, because it is not visionary, it talks about preserving property values but doesn't provide a vision. Mr. Shelton stated there had been many opportunities to comment and if there is enough concern we might need to revisit that area, however for now we would be voting on what was presented. Mr. Gleason moved to amend the motion to remove Responsive Government. Mr. Hyans said asked the group to look at why greenlight was on the books here, it was because enough people felt government was not responsive, not listening and he feels there needs to be a reminder in these documents of what we're doing and what needs to be done in the future. Mr. Shelton called for a vote on the amendment. 12 were in favor of deleting the Responsive Government section and 14 opposed —the amendment failed. He then called for a vote on the main motion. A majority favored the statement as presented with the change to estuaries, 2 opposed. IV. Small Group "Area Visioning" Discussions Before starting the small group discussions, a discussion regarding the matrix took place. Carol Boice wanted the same language listed under GPAC for Question 18A (Fashion Island) "any expansion will increase existing traffic congestion" to be added to Question 18B (Newport Center) because it is the same area. John Saunders asked to have the comment about opposition to car • dealerships removed from the overall findings of Question 18C, it should be listed in the survey findings however this group disagreed with that so the comment 11 should not be in the overall findings. Tom Hyans brought up Question 13 and said that under Newsletter Mailback the remaining 12% that seek economic gain • were not addressed. Mr. Saunders also wanted the airport area added to Question 20 under Overall Findings and Neighborhood Workshops, Areas Needing Revitalization. John Corrough felt that findings from the business survey regarding water quality would fit into Question 13. Mr. Shelton asked that anyone with additional comments should meet with Ms. Verheyen during the small group discussions. The small groups were asked to appoint a recorder who would forward their notes to Debbie for inclusion in the minutes. Patty Temple explained the materials provided to each group to aid in their discussions. Groups were given 45 minutes for their discussions. A. Airport Business Area Roger Alford Carol Boice Laura Dietz John Saunders Jan Vandersloot The discussions centered around the Campus Drive area (Birch Campus Tract) where there are older, smaller buildings across from the airport and several car rental agencies. One problem at the meeting was that the areas depicted . numerically as Zones on the maps at the table did not correspond to the numerical areas in the General Plan Land Use Element. In general, it appears that there is roughly 17% more growth allowed in the current General Plan for Statistical Area L4 (Land Use Element, see page 86. 1,207,497 sq. ft./6,895,065 sq. ft. = 17%), while there is 42% more growth allowed for the Campus Drive area (Area 3, p. 86, 376,525 sq. ft./885,202 sq. ft. = 42%) under the existing General Plan Land Use Element. • 1. Encourage retail, including big box, if economical, and car dealerships 2. Allow residential, let developers decide if practical in an airport area 3. Consider a parking authority 4. Allow minor density bonuses, as long as Traffic Phasing Ordinance (TPO) is not triggered. 5. Allow flexibility in land use plan 6. Permitted land uses should not attract airport use and expansion 7. Permitted uses should not adversely impact traffic standards in residential areas (not trip the TPO) 8. Encourage better, newer office use to the extent we can't get retail, if retail is uneconomical 9. Effort is to encourage revitalizing and upgrading the area 10. Encourage revenue producing businesses in the area 11. Consider lot consolidations to encourage revitalization 5 B. Balboa Peninsula Commercial • Dorothy Beek Julie Delaney Florence Felton Tom Hyans Thoughts and hopes from the group assigned to present their vision of the future Balboa Peninsula/Commercial Areas: Balboa Villaoe: Commercial uses are concentrated in the area between A Street and Adams Street, between Edgewater walk and Oceanfront walk. Commercial uses are primarily visitor servicing, with a sprinkling of resident serving businesses. The City -owned and operated Balboa Village Theater complex is a success and theater -goers provide year round support for businesses. Fifteenth Street: Mixed use (residential -over -commercial) and multi -family residential uses in architectural harmony front the street. New median parking in 15th Street provides needed in -lieu parking for both residents and visitors. McFadden Square: The easterly boundary of the McFadden Square/Cannery Village District has been held to and includes the east side of 215t Street. Central Balboa Peninsula: Residential uses, Peninsula -wide, have been preserved and expanded. Parks and beaches are preserved for residents and day -visitors. No new construction or paving has been permitted to spoil the remaining ocean and bay beaches. Hotels are limited to small Bed and Breakfast Inns which have been located in commercial zones and serve as buffers between commercial and residential uses. C. Lido Village John Corrough Louise Greeley Bob Hendrickson The three -person Lido Marina Village subgroup discussed, with the drop -by Q/A input of Sharon Wood and Patty Temple, the following key points/ideas. 1. Land Assembly and key outparcels/buildings, plus evolution of southerly waterfront edge to residential make this a very problematic area to develop cohesively. However is critical location for potential "big thing/big/space" on the harbor suggested in GP Harbor Element. 2. "Chinese wall" problem of views to and from the largest portion of water in Newport Harbor suggest retaining and enhancing the waterfront boardwalk, and enlarging to the existing 'peek-a-boo' view opportunities from adjacent streets/walks. 3. Making a big visual and access link between a renewed civic • center/city hall complex and the water was a popular idea, and would give some new identity to the area. Problem is that this was also the N. 0 best place to put a new centralized parking structure to serve the under -parked existing and new uses in this area. 4. Closing many secondary streets (except for emergency and service) and extending the pedestrian concept of the Lido Village pedestrian street throughout the area, using bridging over the kept streets for pedestrian access upper level view plazas, etc. 5. Parking structures can be made friendly by articulation, retail uses around bottom edge, green/plaza, mixed uses on top, with a big visual/access slot through to the water seemed like a popular idea. Discussion group is now looking for a creative developer to sell this to. 6. Land assembly problems and inability of City/community/developers to do something readily done elsewhere will probably continue to condemn this important area to piecemeal solutions. A continuing shame. D. Mariner's Mile Phil Bettencourt Joe Gleason Carl Ossipoff Larry Root Mike Ishikawa Phil Lugar Alan Silcock Don Webb Possible continuous bayside boardwalk for pedestrian experience of the bay and shops. ❖ Possible parcel consolidation could increase the usefulness of lots. ❖ Parking could be resolved by creating parking districts on "inland side" of Mariner's Mile. Create pedestrian access to bayside (across PCH) by including a series of pedestrian bridges (over crossings). ❖ All noted that businesses will have to be active, and "buy in" to the concept of mixed use if residential were to be included as a possible use. ❖ Creation of reversible lanes was discussed as a possible method of reducing traffic congestion. However, due to numerous stated problems this concept was discarded. ❖ Water quality improvement was discussed as necessary to attract pedestrians. •S The group recognized problems may exist with residents misunderstanding that commercial use may affect their use/lifestyle. Summary: The group agreed that the basic goal was to increase pedestrian use and access to the bay side of Mariner's Mile. Maximizing pedestrian access, the creation of parking districts with pedestrian over crossings, appropriate mixed use, and a continuous boardwalk along the bayside, will all serve to benefit Mariner's Mile. 7 E. Larger Homes • Karlene Bradley Hoby Darling Ed Siebel Jennifer Wesoloski 0 Nancy Gardner George Jeffries Ron Yeo The areas of special concern are Corona del Mar, Newport Heights, Balboa Island and the Peninsula, although these concerns may apply to other neighborhoods. INTRO: There is a concern that the character of some of our neighborhoods is being lost because large homes that do not fit that character are replacing older homes that established the character. In addition to changing the character, such homes may also impact the light and air of their neighbors and possibly diminish the sense of community that is so important to our neighborhoods. CURRENT REGULATIONS: Modifications are granted too easily and too frequently, and this is a contributing factor to the problem. FUTURE REGULATIONS: All regulations should be consistent and relatively simple to follow. There is a concern that simply controlling square footage is not the solution; suggestions include the elimination of tandem parking, step -backs for second stories and the prohibition of third floors, the expansion of required usable open space, and the acceptance of basements which would not count as a third floor. HISTORICAL RENOVATION: Special consideration should be given to those who have older homes who wish to maintain the character of the home but enlarge it. DESIGN GUIDELINES: Design guidelines that emphasize the village character are a possible method to help builders design homes that fit into the particular neighborhood. Incentives (for example, plan check priority or concessions on parking) are a way to encourage builders to follow the guidelines instead of putting up cookie -cutter boxes. An effort should be made to educate current and future residents about the various areas of the city so that instead of moving into an inappropriate area and trying to make it fit, they choose an area suitable to their needs. PARKING: Thought should be given to parking permits for residents in some of these areas. V. Discussion of Future Agenda Items No discussion. VI. Next Steps Mr. Shelton reminded everyone of the Visioning Summit on Saturday, November 16th. Ms. Verheyen advised the group that the General Plan Update Committee had selected the topics for the Summit, they are: Banning Ranch, the Airport Area, Hotel Development, Larger Homes, Newport Center/Fashion Island and Transportation. Next meeting, Monday December 2"d VII. Public Comments No public comments offered. 0