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HomeMy WebLinkAbout03 - North Newport Center Planned Community (PA2007 -151) - 500 -600 Blk Newport Center Drive, 42000 Blk San Joaquin Plaza - CorrespondenceQ-7 - r1z LEIBOLD MCCLENDON & MANN A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION 23422 MILL CREEK DRIvE, SUITE 105 LAGUNA HILLS, CALIFORNIA 92653 (949) 457 -6300 JOHN G. McCLENDON FAX: (949) 457 -6305 john ®CEQA.mM December 11, 2007 HAND DELIVERED Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH - CITY HALL 3300 Newport Blvd. Newport Beach, CA 92663 Re: December 11. 2007 City Council Public Hearing: North Newport Center Planned Community( PA2007- 151) [The Irvine Company's: CodeAmendmentNo. CA2007- 007to change the zoning classification of Block 500 -600 of Newport Center Drive; Planned Community Development Plan Amendment No. PD2007 -003 to adopt a new Planned Community Development Plan for Fashion Island; Development Agreement No. DA2007 -002 to vest development rights and establish a public benefit contribution to the City; Traffic Study No. 2007 -001 to evaluate potential traffic impacts and circulation system improvements; Affordable Housing Implementation Plan specifying how development will meet the City's affordable housing goal; and Transfer of Development Rights; and Addendum to Final Environmental Impact Report (SCH No 2006011119) for the City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update] Dear Mayor and Members of the City Council: Leibold McClendon & Mann respectfully submits this letter on behalf of Greenlight and others in the community. We would urge that you neither approve the above - referenced project (the "Project ") nor adopt the Addendum to the Final Environmental Impact Report for the City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update unless and until: (1) the City is able to comply with Zoning Law (Government Code sections 65000 et seq.), (2) the City prepares and certifies a legally adequate subsequent EIR for the Project that adequately analyzes the environmental impacts of the Project and properly fulfills its role as a public disclosure document in accordance with the requirements of the California Environmental Quality Act (California Public Resources Code sections 21000, etseq: "CEQA ") andthe State Guidelines for Implementation of CEQA (Title 14, California Code of Regulations, sections 15000, et seq.: "CEQA Guidelines "), and (3) puts the Project before.the voters of Newport Beach in accordance with the Greenlight initiative of the City's Charter. I request that this letter and its attachments, as well as the numerous documents on the CD submitted herewith, be included in the record of the City's proceedings for the Project. M Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 2 I• APPROVAL OF THE PROJECT WOULD VIOLATE THE STATE PLANNING AND ZONING LAW A. The City's Housing Element Has a Long History of Being Out of Compliance with Housing Element Law The Project's primary failing is that it is based on the City's adopted Housing Element which the California Department ofHousing and Community Development ("HCD'), as of October 16, 2007, has declared to be OUT of compliance with State Law. (See aT b A.) On numerous occasions HCD has informed the City of the deficiencies of its Housing Element and has given the City many opportunities to cure those deficiencies. However, the City's failure to accommodate its share of the regional housing need, especially for lower- income households, in its Housing Element persists. HCD found Newport Beach's 2003 adopted Housing Element, along with a subsequent revision in April 2005, in conditional compliance with State Law. (See Tab C.) "The Department's finding of compliance was contingent on the City's commitment to rezone the Avocado/MacArthur site and continuing to encourage and facilitate development on the Banning Ranch site." (Id.) On June 20, 2005, Cathy Creswell, Deputy Director of HCD, wrote a letter to City Manager Bludau commenting upon the City's 2005 annual report and reminded City Manager Bludau that approval of the City's third cycle Housing Element was conditional and that "if the City's October 2005 annual report ... reveals the Avocado/MacArthur site is not available for multifamily development and an alternative site has not been identified, the element will no longer comply with the `adequate sites statutory requirement.... "' (See Tab B.) In 2006, Newport Beach revised its Housing Element in an effort to comply with State Law. Unfortunately, HCD again determined that the City's revisions to the Housing Element were insufficient. After reviewing the proposal, HCD concluded that the "revised element no longer proposes to rezone the MacArthur site as a means to address the adequate sites statutory requirement." (See aT b C.) In addition, the revised element prioritized "the retention of Banning Ranch as open space." (Id.) According to HCD, this was an "especially critical point as the previously adopted element relied on Banning Ranch to accommodate 406 multifamily units without the need for a zone change or general plan amendment." (Id.) According to her November 2, 2006 letter, Cathy Creswell concluded that the City's revised Housing Element "does not contain the necessary information and analysis to determine which specific sites are suitable and available to accommodate the City's remaining housing Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 3 need within the current planning period." (Id.) However, HCD did provide the City with a list of information that, if included in a revised Housing Element, could bring the element into compliance with State Law. (Id.) As a result of HCD's last round of comments on the City's Housing Element, the City again revised its Housing Element in 2007. On September 10, 2007, Cathy Creswell again informed the City that the revised Housing Element was inadequate. (See Tab D.) This time Deputy Director Creswell told the City that, in order for its Housing Element to comply with State Law it "must demonstrate the strategies [proffered by the City] are realistic and viable such that they can accommodate Newport Beach's remaining share of the regional housing need, particularly for lower - income households." (Id.) According to the Southern California Association of Government's ( "SCAG ") July 12, 2007, Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan for the Fourth Planning Period of January 1, 2006 through June 30, 2014, Newport Beach must provide 1,784 units ofresidential housing. (See Tab E.) Of the 1,784 total residential units, 392 must be available to very-low income households, 322 must be available to low income households, 362 must be available to moderate income households, and 708 must be available to above moderate income households. (Id.) Moreover, the City's 2005 -2006 annual progress report on Housing Element Implementation admits that, of the 86 very low- income units the City was required to develop under the prior (1998 -2005) RHNA period, it only produced 24 and still needs to produce another 62 very low- income units. (See Tab F.) Similarly, of the 83 very moderate - income units the City was required to develop under the prior period, it failed to produce any such units. (Id.) Finally, it appears that the. City does not have an Inclusionary Housing Ordinance that might assist it in developing affordable housing. In June of last year, the Planning Commission considered the adoption of such an ordinance (Tab G), and the following month the City Council considered it. Tab H.) As drafted, the proposed ordinance would have added anew Chapter 20.68 to the City's Zoning Code. (Id.) However, our review of the Zoning Code indicates that there is no Chapter 20.68, and we are unable to otherwise find where the City has adopted an Inclusionary Housing Ordinance. So given the foregoing, the question that HCD has so fairly asked the City to answer remains relevant: where exactly is the City now going to locate the more than one thousand affordable housing units that State Law requires it to develop by 2014? The City has yet to answer this question. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 4 B. The Project Violates the No -Net Loss in Density Law. In 2002, the Legislature added section 65863 to the Planning and Zoning Law; it has since become known as the "No- Net -Loss in Density Law." (Government Code §65582.1(i).) Section 65863(a) commands every city and county to "ensure that its inventory or programs of adequate sites pursuant to paragraph (3) of subdivision (a) of section 65583 and paragraph (1) of subdivision (c) of Section 65583 can accommodate its share of the regional housing need pursuant to Section 65584, throughout the planning period." (Emphasis added.) Government Code section 65583(a)(3) requires housing elements to contain "[a]n inventory of land suitable for residential development" that includes (among other things) "[a] listing of properties by. parcel number or other unique reference" [see Government Code §65583.2(a) & (b)], and section 65583(c)(1) requires housing elements to "[i]dentify actions that will be taken to make sites available during the planning period." The City's 2000 -2008 Housing Element does not include any of this. In turn, section 65863(b) requires the City to "make [] written findings supported by substantial evidence" that (1) "the reduction is consistent with the adopted general plan, including the housing element" (emphasis added), and (2) that "[t]he remaining sites identified in the housing element are adequate to accommodate the jurisdiction's share of the regional housing need pursuant to Section 65584." As will be explained more fully below, the City cannot make the first finding because one cannot make a finding of consistency with an element of a general plan that does not comply with State Law. As for the second finding, it should be noted that Government Code section 65584 deals solely with the housing element that will come after the City's current (2000- 2005) Housing Element: "the housing element [f]or the fourth and subsequent revisions of the housing element pursuant to Section 65588," and that section provides a due date for the City's "fourth revision" housing element of "June 30, 2006." (Government Code §65588(c)(1).) Thus by adding section 65863 to the Planning and Zoning Law, the Legislature has for residential development unless and until the City comDletes its 2008-2014 Housing Element update for the "fourth revision" period referenced in section 65584 utilizing SCAG's new RHNA numbers. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 5 C. The City Council Cannot Make the Requisite Findings that the Project Complies with the City's General Plan. If land use approvals conflict with either a city's General Plan or Zoning Code, the approvals are ultra vires and must be set aside. California land use regulations form a pyramid. "The General Plan is atop the hierarchy of local government law regulating land use. It has been aptly analogized to `a constitution for all future development'... Subordinate to the general plan are zoning laws, which regulate the geographic allocation and allowed uses of land. Zoning must conform to the adopted general plan." Neighborhood Action Group v. County of Calaveras (1984) 156 Cal.App.3d 1176, 1183. "Since consistency with the general plan is required, absence of a valid general plan, or valid relevant elements of components thereof, precludes enactment of zoning ordinances, and the like.'...(Thus) the scope of authority of the agency to enact a general plan and zoning ordinances and to apply them is governed by the requirements of state law. A permit action taken without compliance with the hierarchy of land use laws is ultra vires as to any defect implicated by the use sought by the permit." Id., at 1184 (italics in original; emphasis added). An ultra vires act is "beyond the scope ofpower allowed or granted... by law," (Black's Law Dictionary 1525 (7th Ed. 1999)) and is void ab initio. (See Hansen v. California Bank (1936) 17 Cal.App.2d 80, 100.) What does this mean? Where subordinate project approvals conflict with the superior General Plan orZoning Ordinance, such approvals are void on their face. Stated slightly differently, independent of the adequacy of the EIR, project approvals granted in violation of the General Plan or Zoning Ordinance are invalid. It is also noteworthy that, while a city's interpretation of its own general plan and zoning ordinance is entitled to deference (Anderson First Coalition v. City of Anderson (2005) 130 Cal.AppAth 1173, 1192, such interpretation is not to be treated as irrefutable. (Bolsa Chica Land Trust v. Superior Court (1997) 71 Cal. App. 4th 493, 504 [ "[b]ecause an interpretation is an agency's legal opinion, however `expert', rather than the exercise of a delegated legislative power to make law, it commands a commeasurably lesser degree of judicial deference.'].) Therefore, although a court may consider a city's interpretation, it is not bound by it. (Stolman v. City of Los Angeles (2003) 114 Cal.AppAth 916, 928.) As shown above, the City's Housing Element is OUT of compliance with State Law. Because this key element of the City's current General Plan does not comply with State Law, the City cannot make the statutory findings required by the Planning and Zoning Law that the Project is consistent with the General Plan. An approval cannot be consistent with a plan or document that does not conform to State Law. This fact is uarticularly fatal to Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 6 Develonment Agreement No. DA2007 -002 since it largely deals with the issue of residential housing development and subdivision (b) of Planning and Zoning Law section 65867.5 expressly prohibits the City Council from Loproving any development agreement that is not consistent with the General Plan. II. THE ADDENDUM FOR THE PROJECT IS LEGALLY DEFICIENT A. The Addendum Erroneously Declares that the Project Will Not Displace Substantial Numbers of Existing Housing or Substantial Numbers of People Necessitating the Construction of Replacement Housing Elsewhere. The Addendum (3 -27) claims that the "population and housing impacts have been previously analyzed as part of the General Plan EIR." It then goes on to explain that no new information has arisen since the time that the General Plan EIR was certified that would necessitate the preparation of a new environmental document. However, the discussion indicates that new information, or changed circumstances, are extant as part of this Project. First, the Addendum (3 -27) indicates that "the General Plan EIR analysis was based on a project with 600 units in Newport Center. The adopted 2006 General Plan allows for the development of 450 residential units within the MU -H3 designation." However, despite HCD noting that Newport Center is one of only two locations in the City where the development of affordable housing is likely in the near -term, the Project proposes not to develop any affordable housing in Newport Center as well as reduce the specified amount of housing specified for this area under the General Plan. Despite this fact, the Addendum failed to take into account Evidence Code section 669.5, which states in pertinent part: "(a) Any ordinance enacted by the governing body of a city, county, or city and county which (1) directly limits, by number, the building permits that may be issued for residential construction or the buildable lots which may be developed for residential purposes, or (2) changes the standards of residential development on vacant land so that the governing body s zoning is rendered in violation of Section 65913.1 of the Government Code is presumed to have an impact on the supply of residential units available in an area which includes territory outside the jurisdiction of the citv county or city and county. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 7 (b) With respect to any action which challenges the validity of an ordinance specified in subdivision (a) the city. county, or city and county enacting the ordinance shall bear the burden of proof that the ordinance is necessary for the protection of the public health, safety, or welfare of the population of the city, county, or city and county." (Emphasis added.) Since State Law requires the Development Agreement No. DA2007 -002 to be adopted by ordinance (Government Code section 65867.5(a)), the City bears the burden of rebutting the presumption that the reduction of the residential density within Newport Center will have an impact on the supply of residential units available within and without the City. However, the Addendum failed to discuss this issue. B. The Addendum Fails to Analyze and Mitigate the Project's Global Warming Impacts The Addendum claims that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions were analyzed and addressed in the 2006 General Plan EIR. However, a text search of the 2006 General Plan EIR reveals that neither carbon dioxide nor other greenhouse gases were analyzed. Essentially, the Addendum's claim that the General Plan EIR analyzed impacts when, in fact, it did not is nothing more than a fig leaf trying to conceal this omission. Since the time that the 2006 General Plan EIR was adopted, the California Air Resources Board has adopted some interim guidelines to be used by local agencies in analyzing global warming impacts. These interim guidelines, as well as other legislation that became effective January 1, 2007, constitute new information of substantial importance which was not known at the time the 2006 General Plan EIR was certified and which shows that the Project will have global warming impacts that were not discussed in the previous EIR. Curbing greenhouse gas emissions to limit the effects of climate change is one of the most urgent challenges of our time. Fortunately, CEQA sets forth a clear and mandatory process for the City to deal with the Project's greenhouse gas and global warming impacts. As detailed below, an EIR must be prepared for the Project so as to provide a complete and adequate inventory of the Project's greenhouse gas emissions, a full discussion of the impacts from those emissions, a significance determination regarding these impacts, and a thorough and quantitative analysis of alternatives and avoidance and mitigation measures to reduce those impacts. The good news is that there are numerous feasible measures that can greatly reduce the Project's greenhouse gas emissions. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 8 The City is responsible for analyzing and reducing greenhouse gas pollution because the agency with primary responsibility for implementing California's Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, A.B.32, 2005 -06 Sess., codified at Cal. Health & Safety Code §§ 38500 -99, has not yet adopted regulations regarding mandatory greenhouse gas emission reporting, verification, and measurement to achieve the "maximum technologically feasible and cost - effective greenhouse gas emission reductions" from sources across the state as required by the statute. (Cal. Health and Safety Code §38560.) The new law repeatedly emphasizes that its greenhouse gas reduction mandates are in addition to all existing legal requirements to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and protect the environment. (See, e.g., Cal. Health and Safety Code § 38598 [ "Nothing in this division shall limit the existing authority of a state entity to adopt and implement greenhouse gas emission reduction measures... Nothing in this division shall relieve any state entity of its legal obligations to comply with existing law or regulation. "]; § 38592(b) [ "Nothing in this division shall relieve any person, entity, or public agency of compliance with other applicable federal, state, or local laws or regulations, including state air and water quality requirements, and other requirements for protecting public health and the environment. "]; and § 38592(b) [ "Nothing in this division shall relieve any person, entity, or public agency of compliance with other applicable federal, state, or local laws or regulations, including state air and water quality requirements, and other requirements for protecting public health or the environment. "].) The City cannot avoid its duty to analyze all of the Project's potentially significant impacts by pointing to laws that are complementary and in addition to CEQA's requirements. 1. An EIR Must Be Prepared In Order To Provide an Inventory and Analysis of the Project's Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions The first step in determining a project's greenhouse gas pollution impact is to complete a full inventory of all emissions sources in the City. In conducting such an inventory, all phases of the Project must be considered. (See 14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15126.) A basic requirement of CEQA is that "[a]n EIR should be prepared with a sufficient degree of analysis to provide decision - makers with information which enables them to make a decision which intelligently takes account of environmental consequences." (14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15151.) The greenhouse gas inventory for a project must include a complete analysis of all of the Project's substantial sources of greenhouse gas emissions, from building materials and construction emissions to operational energy use, vehicle trips, water supply and waste disposal. The greenhouse gas inventory can be conducted in conjunction with the required assessment of the project's energy consumption. As CEQA Guidelines Appendix F, entitled "Energy Conservation," clarifies: "In order to assure that energy implications are considered in project Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 9 decisions, the California Environmental Quality Act requires that EIRs include a discussion of the potential energy impacts of proposed projects, with particular emphasis on avoiding or reducing inefficient, wasteful and unnecessary consumption of energy." (See also Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21000(b)(3) [EIR must include section discussing "[m]itigation measures proposed to minimize significant effects on the environment, including, but not limited to, measures to reduce the wasteful, inefficient, and unnecessary consumption of energy. "].) The Addendum's assessment of the Project's energy consumption is inadequate because it does not address all of the Project's energy use as required by CEQA. A greenhouse gas inventory for the Project must include the Project's direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions. (See 14 Cal. Code Regs § 15358(a)(1) [ "Indirect or secondary effects may include growth- inducing effects and other effects related to induced changes in the pattern of land use, population density, or growth rate, and related effects on air and water and other natural systems, including ecosystems.'].) Consequently, a complete inventory of the Project's emissions should include, at minimum, an estimate of emissions from the following: • Construction vehicles and machinery; • Manufacturing and transport of building materials; • Electricity generation and transmission for the hearing, cooling, lighting, and other energy demands of the buildings; • Water supply and transportation to the Project; • Vehicle trips and transportation emissions generated by the Project; • Fugitive emissions, such as methane leaks from pipeline systems and leaks of HFCs from air conditioning systems; • Wastewater and solid waste storage or disposal, including transport where applicable; and • Outsourced activities and contracting. The City thus far has not conducted such an inventory, and the City has failed to analyze the Project's greenhouse gas pollution in a meaningful way. Without a complete inventory, the EIR cannot adequately inform the public and decision - makers about the Project's global warming impacts. Without a complete inventory, and without preparing an EIR, there is simply no way that the City can satisfy its obligations under CEQA to discuss alternatives, avoidance, and mitigation measures to reduce those impacts. An EIR must be prepared to include a full and adequate inventory of the Project's greenhouse gas emissions. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 10 The absence of a quantitative threshold of significance for greenhouse gas pollutants cannot be used to justify the failure to omit discussion of this critical impact from the EIR, nor does it render a significance determination "speculative." (See, e.g., 14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15064(b) [ "An ironclad definition of significant effect is not always possible because the significance of an activity may vary with the setting "]; Cal. Pub. Res. Code §21068 [defining "significant effect" qualitatively as a "substantial adverse change "].) Not only are significance thresholds only "encouraged" [ 14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15064.7 (a)] as opposed to required, but lead agencies cannot rely solely on rigid matrices in determining impact significance; they must always consider "any fair argument that a certain environmental effect may be significant." (Protect the Historic Amador Waterways v. Amador Water Agency, (2004) 116 Cal. App. 4th 1099, 1109.) To the extent the City relies on CEQA Guidelines section 15145 in refusing to find greenhouse gas impacts "significant," this effort must fail. Section 15145 only applies in limited circumstances, none of which apply here. There can be no serious contention that it is not possible to measure the Project's emissions, or that the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on human health, natural resources, and the environment have not been extensively studied and reported in the scientific literature. As discussed further below, determining the significance of the Project's greenhouse emissions is far from speculative. No reasonable argument can be made that the Project's greenhouse gas emissions would not be significant. As will be explained further below, the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on the climate system is not "uncertain." 2. The Impact of the Project's Greenhouse Gas Emissions Is Neither Uncertain nor Speculative' An EIR must include a discussion of climate change and greenhouse gas emissions in order to provide context for the discussion of impacts. By preparing an Addendum to the City's 2006 General Plan EIR, which did not analyze greenhouse gas emission, the City is skirting its obligation to meaningfully analyze greenhouse gas emissions. The Addendum's incomplete and belated discussion of greenhouse gas pollution is in large part incorrect, muddled, and misleading. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ( "IPCC ") was established by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme in 1988. The ' Many of the documents (and others) can be found on the CD we have submitted along with this letter. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 1.1, 2007 Page 11 IPCC's mission is to assess available scientific and socio- economic information on climate change and its impacts and the options for mitigating climate change and to provide, on request, scientific and technical advice to the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Since 1990, the IPCC has produced a series of reports, papers, methodologies, and other products that have become the standard works of reference on climate change. The Fourth Assessment Report is the most current comprehensive IPCC reference and has built and expanded upon the IPCC's past products (IPCC 2007a,b). We refer the EIR consultant and the City to "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis: Summary for Policymakers" (IPCC 2007a) and "Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Summary forPolicymakers" (IPCC 2007b), as well as the full scientific reports underlying these summary documents. The full scientific report underlying IPCC 2007a is currently available at hap://www.il2cc.ch, and the full scientific report underlying IPCC 2007b will be available at this site shortly. Even more recent, peer reviewed works emphasize the urgent need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions immediately: just ten more years of "business as usual" emissions may commit us to climate feedbacks and impacts which would entirely transform the planet as we now know it (Hansen et al. 2007). There is nothing uncertain about the fact that higher levels of greenhouse gas pollution will lead to greater impacts, which is why the State of California has prioritized greenhouse gas pollution reductions. The EIR that should be prepared for the Project should also discuss greenhouse gas emissions and global warming impacts in California. The literature details many predicted and potential statewide environmental impacts. Some of the types of impacts and estimated ranges of severity are summarized as follows: • A 30 -90% reduction of the Sierra snowpack during the next 100 years, including earlier melting and runoff. o Greater difficulty with water storage, and an accompanying greater risk of drought; o Increased risk of flooding, especially in areas such as the Sacramento -San Joaquin Delta ( "Delta "); o Lower stream levels for much of the year including the summer, resulting in increased stream temperatures and deleterious effects on many fish, including species of salmon and steelhead trout listed as threatened or endangered by the State and federal endangered species acts, and other aquatic organisms; 0 Decreased albedo effect, with a resultant increase in global warming. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 12 • An increase in water temperatures at least commensurate with the increase in air temperatures. o Deleterious effects on aquatic organisms, including the Delta smelt and species of salmon and steelhead trout currently listed as threatened or endangered by the State and federal endangered species acts. California already constitutes the southern end of many of these species' ranges, and further water warming could result in their extirpation. • A 6 -30 inch rise in sea level, before increased melt rates from the dynamical properties of ice -sheet melting are taken into account. o Increased salt water intrusion into fresh groundwater supplies, which could lead to decreased water supplies in coastal areas and an increased reliance on water from snowmelt; o Inundation of coastal marshes and estuaries; o Increased risk of flooding near river mouths due to backwater effects; o Increased chance of levee failure in the Delta and resultant flooding; o Increased salinity intrusion into the Delta with impacts on both estuarine species and California water supply from the State Water Project, Central Valley Project, and Contra Costa Water District. • An increase in the intensity of storms, the amount of precipitation and the proportion of precipitation as rain versus snow. o Increased risk of flooding generally; o Increased difficulty of water storage. • Profound impacts to ecosystem and species, including changes in the timing of life events, shifts in range, and community abundance shifts. Depending on the timing and interaction of these impacts, they can be catastrophic. b Approximately 59% of species in one survey of over 1600 species are already experiencing impacts in one of the three categories described above, and 85% of those changes are in the direction predicted (Parmesan and Galbraith 2004); O One leading study of over 1,100 species occurring over 20% of the Earth's surface predicts that 18 %, 24 %, and 35% of species will be committed to extinction by the years 2040 under low, medium, and high warming scenarios, respectively (Thomas et al. 2004). Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 13 • A 200 -400% increase in the number of heat wave days in major urban centers. O Increased risk of death and illness for the elderly, children and other at -risk populations, including persons with low- income. • An increase in the number of days meteorologically conducive to ozone (Oa) formation. O Increased risk to persons with asthma; O Reduction in crop and forest yields, increased plant susceptibility to disease and pest infection and foliar damage to plants. • At least a 10% increase in the potential for large wildfires (partially due to increase concentrations of Oa and its resultant effects on vegetation). This list of environmental, economic, and health impacts from global warming is not exhaustive, but only illustrative of the types of impacts that the EIR should describe and analyze since the Project would exacerbate or help precipitate them. (See Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21060.5.) Major sources that should be reviewed and considered include: California Department of Water Resources, (2006); California EPA (2006); Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007a b); Kim (2005); Murray and Weiss (2002); Parmesan and Galbraith (2004); Union of Concerned Scientists (2006); Thomas et al. (2004); WHO (2002).) There is also a robust, peer- reviewed literature on estimating the social costs of climate change and quantifying the cost of carbon dioxide emissions (Stern 2006). We now know that the cost of continued greenhouse gas emission trajectories would be astronomical (Stem 2006). Economic and Social Costs may be used to determine the significance of physical changes to the environment. (See CEQA Guidelines § 15046(e).) The Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change, a comprehensive report commissioned by the British government, recently concluded that allowing current emissions trajectories to continue unabated would eventually cost the global economy between 5 to 20 percent of GDP each year within a decade, or up to $7 trillion, and warned that these figures should be considered conservative estimates (Stern 2006). By contrast, measures to mitigate global warming by reducing emissions were estimated to cost about one percent of global GDP each year, and could save the world up to $2.5 trillion per year (Stern 2006). If we take no action to control emissions, each ton of CO2 that we emit now is causing damage worth at least $85 (Stern 2006). Overall, the World Health Organization estimates that as of the year 2000, 154,000 deaths and the loss of 5.5 million daily adjusted life years per year worldwide are attributable to global warming (World Health Organization 2002). This toll is due to the combined impacts ofhigher temperatures, Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 14 increasing weather variability such as more frequent and intense droughts and floods, a pattern of more violent tropical storms, as well as more subtle, gradual changes that can also profoundly damage public health (Epstein and Mills 2005). The EIR fails to adequately analyze the global warming impacts associated with the Project. While the EIR mentions this topic generally and admits that it must be analyzed, the EIR fails to do so in any. meaningful way. Many of the impacts described above will substantially affect the Project and its impacts in the areas of energy use and utilities, water supply, and biological resources, among others. The EIR must be revised to include a full discussion of these implications. The Project's Greenhouse Gas Emissions Are Clearly Significant. Once an EIR is prepared and includes a complete inventory and analysis of the Project's greenhouse gas emissions, the City must determine whether or not there is substantial evidence that the project may have a "significant" effect on the environment. (Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21082.2(d).) "Said another way, if a lead agency is presented with a fair argument that a project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall prepare an EIR even though it may also be presented with other substantial evidence that the project will not have a significant effect." (14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15064(f)(1), citing No Oil, Inc. v. City of Los Angeles (1974) 13 Cal-3d 68.) A significance determination by the lead agency is mandatory, not discretionary. (Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21082.2(a) [ "The lead agency shall determine whether a project may have a significant impact on the environment based on substantial evidence in light of the whole record. "].) CEQA defines "significant effect on the environment" as "a substantial, or potentially substantial, adverse change in the environment." (Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21068; see also 14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15002(g); § 15382.) The EIR is also deficient because it has failed to make a significance determination for the Project's greenhouse gas emissions. In evaluating the significance of a project's environmental impacts, the lead agency must consider direct and reasonably foreseeable indirect physical changes in the environment which may be caused by the project. (14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15064(d).) Under CEQA, certain circumstances trigger a mandatory finding of significance. They are: (1) "A proposed project has the potential to degrade the quality of the environment, environmental goals;" (2) "The possible effects of a project are individually limited but cumulatively considerable. As used in this paragraph, `cumulatively considerable' means that the incremental effects of an individual project are considerable when viewed in connection with the effects ofpast projects, the effects ofother current projects, and the effects of probable future projects;" and Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 15 (3) "The environmental effects of a project will cause substantial adverse effects on human beings, either directly or indirectly." (Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21083(b); see also 14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15065 [repeating and expanding on these three triggers].) It is clear from an examination of these factors; as well as the overall context and information in the record relating to the global warming issue that the Project's greenhouse gas emissions are significant. The State of California is working to identify all opportunities formajor greenhouse gas reductions in order to meet the mandate of the California Global Warming Solutions Act, as well as comply with Executive Order S -3 -05 (June 1, 2005) and other authority. Any new source of greenhouse gas pollution must be considered significant, as approving a new source of emissions when the state is working to reduce its total emissions back to 1990 levels by 2020 and to 80% below 1990 levels by 2050 clearly impedes and frustrates that mandate. Creating an inventory of current emissions in the City is possible. The amount of greenhouse gas emitted from sources such as vehicle trips, electricity, and natural gas use can be readily calculated using standard emissions factors. For example, burning one gallon of gasoline in a car produces 8.87 kg CO2. Each cubic meter of natural gas burned for heat produces 1.93 kg CO2. And the average kWh of electricity purchased in California required .61 lbs of CO2 to produce. These and other emissions factors are available online at: http: / /www /wri.org/climate /pubs_ description. cfin ?pid -3756. Despite the inadequacy of the EIR, it is clear from some of the information that was disclosed, such as the thousands of daily vehicle trips that the Project would generate, that the Project will produce a large amount of greenhouse gas pollution. The Project clearly "has the potential to degrade the quality of the environment, curtail the range of the environment, or to achieve short-term, to the disadvantage of long -term, environmental goals." (Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21083(b).) The Project would also "cause substantial adverse effects on human beings, either directly or indirectly," particularly because as proposed it would obstruct California's mandate to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The greenhouse gas emissions from the Project exceed any reasonable threshold of significance. For example, included in the CD submitted along with this letter is a copy of the recent draft EIR [SCH No. 20050811491 for the proposed "High Desert Gateway Shopping Center" in Hesperia, with 393,400 square feet of retail building space on approximately 35.7 acres to be "anchored" by a 180,000 square foot Super Target. Section 5.6 of the Hesperia EIR [ "Global Warming/Greenhouse Gases "] analyzes that shopping center's "carbon footprint" based on "general assumptions about energy use/consumption, transportation loads, and market trade area." It then identifies "feasible mitigation measures, adopted to minimize the projects greenhouse gas emissions and cumulative contribution to climate change impacts." Finally, the Hesperia EIR concludes that, even with those mitigation measures, "because of Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 16 legislative declarations as to the severity of the environmental problem, the ongoing regulatory process at the [California Air Resources Board], and out of an overabundance of caution" the project's cumulative impacts to global climate change "will be treated as significant and unavoidable." As the Hesperia EIR indicates, the era of public agencies preparing EIRs that fail to discuss and analyze a project's greenhouse gas emissions and incremental contribution to global climate change is now over. If the City of Hesperia is able to address these issues in the Hesperia EIR —a proiect that is significantly smaller than the proposed Project here —then it is certainly possible to address them in a subsequent EIR to the General Plan EIR. A project's impacts also require a mandatory finding of significance if they are "cumulatively considerable." (Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21083(b).) The cumulative impacts analysis is a critically important part of CEQA environmental review. The Legislature put particular emphasis on cumulative impacts to ensure that environmental problems that result from the combined effects of many relatively small factors are not overlooked because any one project's contribution can be characterized by a project proponent or lead agency as small or insignificant. Importantly, the requirement to analyze cumulative impacts cannot be avoided by contending a project would only make a de minimis contribution to the problem as a whole. As the court noted in Communities for a Better Environment v. California Resources Agency, (2002) 103 Ca1.App.4th 98, 117, this interpretation of the cumulative impacts requirement would "contravene the very concept of cumulative impacts" and "turn the cumulative impact analysis on its head by diminishing the need to do a cumulative impact analysis as the cumulative impact problem worsens." (See id. at 120 [ "[j]n the end, the greater the existing environmental problems are, the lower the threshold should be for treating a project's contribution to cumulative impacts as significant.']; Kings County Farm Bureau v. City of Hanford, 221 Cal. App. 3d 692, 721 (1990) [the EIR "improperly focused upon the individual project's relative effects and omitted facts relevant to an analysis of the collective effect this and other sources will have "].) Climate change is a classic example of a cumulative effects problem; emissions from numerous sources combine to create the most pressing environmental and societal problem of our time. The solution to climate change lies not in any one single action, but in systematically reducing emissions from all possible sources. The CEQA process is an ideal context in which to do this, as CEQA requires full analysis, avoidance, and mitigation of a proposed project's direct, indirect, and cumulative greenhouse gas emissions. The Addendum omits a meaningful discussion of greenhouse gases from the cumulative impacts section. This is particularly troubling since the cumulative impacts analysis is a key Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 17 component of CEQA's scheme to protect the environment. There can be no reasonable argument that the Project's cumulative greenhouse gas emissions are not significant. Because the Project's greenhouse gas emissions are clearly significant, an EIR must be prepared in order to analyze alternatives and measures to mitigate or avoid those impacts. As discussed below, there are numerous measures available to greatly reduce the Project's greenhouse gas emissions. 4. An EIR Must Be Prepared In Order to Analyze Alternatives and Avoidance and Mitigation Measures to Reduce the Project's Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Because the Addendum relies on a 2006 General Plan EIR that did not analyze carbon dioxide or greenhouse gas emissions at all, it was inappropriate to rely on an Addendum because the 2006 General Plan EIR did not analyze alternatives and avoidance and mitigation measures to reduce these impacts. This analysis is the heart of CEQA, and must be undertaken once the EIR has been prepared to include a complete and adequate inventory of the Project's greenhouse gas emissions and a complete discussion of the Project's impacts. The EIR should utilize a hierarchy of options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions: (1) first, reduce the Project's energy use and greenhouse gas emissions as much as possible in the first instance; (2) second, generate the Project's remaining required energy from carbon -free sources, thereby reducing or eliminating the Project's emissions; and finally (3) offset or otherwise mitigate emissions that cannot be eliminated. There are many feasible options and measures to limit each of the Project's greenhouse gas emission sources. These measures must be discussed explicitly with regard to greenhouse gas emissions. The amount that each measure will reduce emissions must be quantified wherever possible. All feasible measures must be adopted [14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15065(c)(3)J and must be mandatory and enforceable, not aspirational or voluntary. (14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15126.4(a)(2).) Measures to reduce impacts may not be deferred until some future time. (14 Cal. Code Regs. § 15126.4(a)(1)(B).) Available measures include, but are not limited to the following: 1. Measures Relating to Project Design and Transportation: • Analyze and incorporate alternative project locations and design to achieve urban in -fill, minimize commute distances and times, and locate buildings near existing transportation hubs. Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 18 • Analyze and incorporate public transportation improvements as integral Project components to minimize individual vehicle trips as follows: o analyze the use of or availability of transportation impact or other fees to provide public transportation improvements; O analyze new infrastructure and service to serve the Project such as light rail, bus, and shuttle service, which will utilize alternative fuels and energy sources wherever possible; O analyze improvements to overcome barriers to public transportation use, including more frequent service, better coordination of transfers and connecting services, enhancements to safety, comfort, and cleanliness of conveyances, stations, and common areas, the provision of shuttle services, and other services and incentives. • Analyze and incorporate bicycle and pedestrian access pathways and access, including both the routes and availability of bicycle parking/storage, as well as access for bicycles to the stores, restaurants, and other buildings. • Analyze and incorporate measures to promote ride - sharing and car- sharing to reduce single- occupancy vehicle trips, including: O Utilizing fee structures for access and parking to encourage ride and car - sharing and discourage individual vehicle trips; O Provide convenient, accessible, and affordable, centrally- located car -share resources, including prioritizing parking spaces for such vehicles; O Encourage ride- sharing, van- pooling, and other measures with prioritized parking spaces, adequate and safe loading and unloading zones, etc.; O Develop the necessary infrastructure for alternative fuel vehicles, including plugin hybrid and electric vehicles, such as solar - powered plug -in hybrid and electric vehicle charging stations. 2. Measures Related to P olect Construction: Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 19 • Utilize recycled, low- carbon, and otherwise climate - friendly building materials such as salvaged and recycled- content materials for building, hard surfaces, and non -plant landscaping materials; • Minimize, reuse, and recycle construction- related waste; • Minimize grading, earth- moving, and other energy - intensive construction practices; • Landscape to preserve natural vegetation and maintain watershed integrity, • Utilize alternative fuels in construction equipment and require construction equipment to utilize the best available technology to reduce emissions. 3. Measures Relating to Buildin¢ Desien and Protect Operation: • Analyzing and incorporating the U.S. Green Building Council's LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) or comparable standards for energy- and resource - efficient building during pre - design, design, construction, operations and management. (See http: / /www.us2bc.or2 and links; Alameda County 2005); • Designing buildings for passive heating and cooling, and natural light, including building orientation, proper orientation and placement of windows, overhangs, skylights, etc.; • Designing buildings for maximum energy efficiency including the maximum possible insulation, use of compact florescent or other low- energy lighting, use of energy efficient appliances, etc. • Reducing the use of pavement and impermeable surfaces; • Requiring water re-use systems; • Maximizing water conservation measures in buildings and landscaping, using drought - tolerant plants in lieu of turf, planting shade trees; • Ensure that the Project is fully served by full recycling and composting services; • Ensure that the Project's wastewater and solid waste will be treated in facilities where greenhouse gas emissions are minimized and captured. 4. Measures Relating to Renewable Enersy Generation: • Installing the maximum possible photovoltaic array on the building roofs and/or on the project site to generate all of the electricity required by the Project, and utilizing wind energy to the extent necessary and feasible; Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 20 • Installing solar water heating systems to generate all of the Project's hot water requirements; • Installing solar or wind powered electric vehicle and plug -in hybrid vehicle charging stations to reduce emissions from vehicle trips. 5. Offsetting Emissions: • After all measures have been implemented to reduce emissions in the first instance, remaining emissions that cannot be eliminated may be mitigated through offsets. Care should be taken to ensure that offsets purchased are real (additional), permanent, and verified, and all aspects of the offsets should be discussed in the EIR. The Addendum's deficiencies as discussed throughout not only render it legally defective but also represent an enormous missed opportunity to improve land use planning and decision - making and greatly slash the Project's greenhouse gas emissions. All of the measures listed above must be incorporated unless it is shown, with substantial evidence on the record, that they would be infeasible. Fortunately, these measures are eminently feasible and will result in a vastly improved Project that saves consumers energy costs, promotes local jobs and innovation, and complies with the mandates and aspirations of CEQA. C. The Addendum Fails to Identify or Address Potentially Significant Traffic Impacts of the Project. Please refer to Orosz Engineering Group, Inc.'s, peer review of the City's Traffic Study TS2007 -001 for an explanation of the Project's potentially significant traffic impacts. D. Our Comments Are Timely Submitted. This Project is being processed with such unseemly haste that our clients have had less than two weeks since the November 29'" Planning Commission hearing to prepare for this hearing. Lest the claim be made that our comments are somehow untimely, the following quote from Bakersfield Citizens for Local Control v. City of Bakersfield (2004)124 Cal. App. 4th 1184, 1201, amply rebuts this claim: "City appears to have thought that the public's role in the environmental review process ends when the public comment period expires. Apparently, it Honorable Mayor and Members of the City of Newport Beach City Council Re: North Newport Center Planned Community Development December 11, 2007 Page 21 did not realize that if a public hearing is conducted on project approval, then new environmental objections could be made until close of this hearing. (§ 21177, subd. (b); Guidelines, § 15202, subd. (b); Hillside, supra, 83 Cal.App.4th at p. 1263.) If the decisionmaking body elects to certify the EIR without considering comments made at this public hearing, it does so at its own risk. If a CEQA action is subsequently brought, the EIR may be found to be deficient on grounds that were raised at any point prior to close of the hearing on project approval." III. CONCLUSION In summary, the Project conflicts with the City's adopted Housing Element, and the Addendum does not adequately disclose, analyze, minimize, or mitigate the environmental impacts of the Project. Approval of the Project in its current form would violate the State Planning and Zoning Law and CEQA. In addition, by failing to honestly identify the extent of the traffic impacts that would result from the Project, the City has effectively forestalled the local citizenry's rights under Measure S. Because of the Project's shortcomings, and because the peoples' rights under the City's Charter would be circumvented, neither the public nor you as the City's elected decision - makers can make informed decisions about the proposed Project's costs in areas including affordable housing, greenhouse gas emissions and global climate change, urban decay, and traffic. We therefore urge that the City Council not approve the Project without first preparing a subsequent EIR for public review. Respectfully submitted, LEIBOLD MCCLENDON & MANN, P.C. By: John G. McClendon Attachments EXHIBIT A qo HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT The Department makes every effort to ensure the following information is complete and accurate. For any questions or clarifications, please contact the Division of Housing Policy Development at (916) 445 -4728. To determine the official status of each jurisdiction's housing element, refer to the column on the right. The definitions of terms used are: IN — local government adopted an element the Department found in compliance with State housing element law. OUT — either the local government adopted an element the Department found did not comply with State housing element law, or the local government has not yet adopted a housing element pursuant to the statutory schedule. IN REVIEW — element is under review by the Department as of date of this report. SC — only pertains to San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) in which the housing element has been "self certified "' pursuant.to a pilot program authorized by Government Code Section 65585.1. NA — indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. IN LOCAL PROCESS — the local government is in the process of adopting an element whose draft element the Department found in compliance with State housing element law. , NNI AMADOR AMADOR DRAFT . 12/15/2006 Page 1 of 24 AMADOR COUNTY HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 07/01/2005 IN IONE 10/16/2007 1:19 pm IN JACKSON COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE' ALAMEDA IN SUTTER CREEK ADOPTED ALAMEDA DRAFT 12/08/2003 OUT ALAMEDA COUNTY ADOPTED 10/02/2003 11/14/2003 IN ALBANY DRAFT 08/23/2002 OUT BERKELEY ADOPTED 02/25/2003 03/27/2003 IN DUBLIN ADOPTED 06/03/2003 07/11/2003 IN EMERYVILLE ADOPTED .. 11/20/2001 02/2212002 IN FREMONT ADOPTED 05/13/2003 07/17/2003 IN HAYWARD ADOPTED 10/21/2003 01/22/2004 IN LIVERMORE ADOPTED 09/15/2003 10/31/2003 IN NEWARK ADOPTED 12/12/2002 03114/2003 IN OAKLAND ADOPTED 06/15/2004 08/23/2004 IN PIEDMONT ADOPTED 11/18/2002 01/07/2003 IN PLEASANTON ADOPTED 04/15/2003 03/07/2005 OUT SAN LEANDRO ADOPTED 01/21/2003 04/13/2003 IN UNION CITY ADOPTED- 03/26/2002 07/11/2002 IN ALPINE ALPINE COUNTY ADOPTED 03/30/2004- 05/07/2004 IN AMADOR AMADOR DRAFT . 12/15/2006 OUT AMADOR COUNTY ADOPTED 05/10/2005 07/01/2005 IN IONE ADOPTED 05/17/2005 07/01/2005 IN JACKSON ADOPTED OUT PLYMOUTH ADOPTED 03/11/2005 IN SUTTER CREEK ADOPTED OUT ' COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. COUNTY/ CITY BUTTE BIGGS BUTTE COUNTY CHICO GRIDLEY OROVILLE PARADISE CALAVERAS ANGELS CAMP CALAVERAS COUNTY COLUSA COLUSA COLUSA COUNTY WILLIAMS HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED 05/23/2005 06/08/2004 03101/2005 03/30/2004 02/13/2007 05/09/2005 03/30/2004 11/23/2004 12/21/2004 Page 2 of 24 06/13/2005 09/08/2004 06/06/2005 04116/2004 06/24/2004 05/23/2007 10/12/2004 07/18/2005 06/30/2004 12/15/2004 12/30P1004 COMPLIANCE " IN IN IN IN IN IN e IN IN OUT IN IN =4 ' COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA Indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 3 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE.REPORT COUNTY/ CITY CONTRA COSTA ANTIOCH BRENTWOOD CLAYTON CONCORD CONTRA COSTA COUNTY DANVILLE EL CERRITO HERCULES LAFAYETTE MARTINEZ MORAGA OAKLEY ORINDA PINOLE PITTSBURG PLEASANT HILL RICHMOND SAN PABLO SAN RAMON WALNUT CREEK DEL NORTE CRESCENT CITY DEL NORTE COUNTY EL DORADO EL DORADO COUNTY PLACERVILLE SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE' DRAFT 10/14/2005 OUT DRAFT 08/01/2005 IN ADOPTED 09106/2005 12/27/2005 IN ADOPTED 01/14/2003 03/07/2003 IN ADOPTED 12/18/2001 03/2612002 IN ADOPTED 03/05/2002 04/15/2002 IN ADOPTED 01/21/2003 02/27/2003 IN ADOPTED 12/27/2004 12/30/2004 IN. ADOPTED 10/28/2002 01102/2003 IN ADOPTED 07/20/2005 08/2412005 IN ADOPTED 06/04/2002 12/27/2002 OUT ADOPTED 03/07/2005 06/10/2005 IN ADOPTED 10/19/2004 02/04/2005 OUT ADOPTED 05/05/2003 06/16/2003 IN ADOPTED 11%01/2004 01/21/2005 IN ADOPTED 03/03/2003 04/02/2003 IN ADOPTED 02/07/2006 02/27/2006 IN ADOPTED 08/05/2002 08/23/2002 IN ADOPTED 07/27/2004 11102/2004 IN ADOPTED 10/01/2002 12118/2002 IN ADOPTED 10/31/2003 12/2912003 IN ADOPTED 10/31/2003 12/29/2003 IN ADOPTED 07/19/2004 02/03/2005 OUT ADOPTED 02/03/2005 IN ADOPTED 09/16/2003 12/23/2003 IN A COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 4 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE FRESNO ADOPTED 06/22/2004 01/1312005 IN ' CLOVIS ADOPTED 09/03/2002 02M1/2003 IN COALINGA ADOPTED 01/15/2004 04117/2004 IN FIREBAUGH ADOPTED 01/05/2004 06124/2004 OUT FOWLER DRAFT 08/29/2003 OUT FRESNO ADOPTED 01/13/2004 05120/2004 IN FRESNO COUNTY ADOPTED 0312512003 05/2212003 IN HURON ADOPTED 03/0212005 04/1412005 IN KERMAN DRAFT 08/16/2006 OUT KINGSBURG ADOPTED 06/24/2002 09/2612002 OUT MENDOTA ADOPTED 07/1412004 09/10/2004 IN ORANGE COVE ADOPTED 03/12/2003 04/04/2003 IN PARLIER ADOPTED OUT REEDLEY ADOPTED 09/23/2004 12/23/2003 IN SAN JOAQUIN ADOPTED 09/2412003 1205/2003 IN SANGER DRAFT IN REVIEW SELMA DRAFT 09/30/2003 OUT GLENN GLENN COUNTY ADOPTED 12!0212003 12/29/2003 IN ORLAND ADOPTED 0410112004 04/23/2004 IN WILLOWS DRAFT 06/1012005 OUT HUMBOLDT ARCATA ADOPTED 03/1712004 0412712004 IN BLUE LAKE ADOPTED 06/22/2004 01/1312005 IN EUREKA ADOPTED 05/1812004 05/2812004 IN FERNDALE ADOPTED 09/14/2006 10/0412006 IN FORTUNA ADOPTED 03/29/2004 06/22/2004 OUT HUMBOLDT COUNTY ADOPTED 06/05/2006 IN RIO DELL ADOPTED 01/1312004 0412712004 IN TRINIDAD ADOPTED OUT " COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 5 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE IMPERIAL BRAWLEY ADOPTED 05/29/2001 06/06/2001 IN CALEXICO ADOPTED 10/05/1999 03101/2000 IN CALIPATRIA ADOPTED 03124/2004 05/21/2004 IN EL CENTRO ADOPTED 03/15/2000 04/20/2000 IN HOLTVILLE ADOPTED 04 /09/2001 05/23/2001 IN IMPERIAL ADOPTED 04118/2001 050/2001 IN IMPERIAL COUNTY ADOPTED 03120/2001 03/27 /2001 IN WESTMORLAND ADOPTED 08/21/2002 02111/2003 IN r INYO BISHOP ADOPTED 06/28/2004 07/15/2004 IN INYO COUNTY ADOPTED 04 /06/2004 09/0212004 IN KERN ARVIN ADOPTED OUT BAKERSFIELD ADOPTED 01/29/2003 05/19/2003 IN CALIFORNIA CITY ADOPTED 03/16/2004 07/15/2004 IN DELANO ADOPTED 04 /0212003. 07/01/2003 IN KERN COUNTY ADOPTED 09/10/2002 12105/2002 IN MARICOPA ADOPTED OUT MCFARLAND ADOPTED OUT RIDGECREST ADOPTED 09/06/2002 10/24/2002 IN SHAFTER DRAFT 06/13/2005 OUT TAFT ADOPTED 12121/2004 12/30/2004 IN TEHACHAPI ADOPTED 01/06/2004 06/2212004 IN WASCO ADOPTED 11/05/2002 02107/2003 IN KINGS AVENAL ADOPTED 03/14/2004 .04/21/2004 IN CORCORAN ADOPTED 03/17/2004 04/21/2004 IN HANFORD ADOPTED 03117/2004 04/21 /2004 IN KINGS COUNTY ADOPTED 03/16/2004 04/21 /2004 IR LEMOORE ADOPTED 03116/2004 04/21 /2004 IN * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. COUNTY/ CITY 711 CLEARLAKE LAKE COUNTY LAKEPORT LASSEN LASSEN COUNTY SUSANVILLE * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Govemment Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 6 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED. COMPLIANCE ADOPTED 07!08!2004 08/05/2004 IN ADOPTED 12107/2004 03/25/2005 IN ADOPTED 01/26!2005 04/29/2005 IN ADOPTED 03/2312004 04/28 /2004 IN ADOPTED 03/17/2004 0426/2004 IN * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Govemment Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. COUNTY/ CITY LOS ANGELES AGOURA HILLS ALHAMBRA ARCADIA ARTESIA AVALON AZUSA BALDWIN PARK BELL BELL GARDENS BELLFLOWER BEVERLY HILLS BRADBURY BURBANK CALABASAS CARSON CERRITOS CLAREMONT COMMERCE COMPTON COVINA CUDAHY CULVER CITY DIAMOND BAR DOWNEY .DUARTE EL MONTE ELSEGUNDO GARDENA GLENDALE GLENDORA HAWAIIAN GARDENS HAWTHORNE HERMOSA BEACH HIDDEN HILLS HUNTINGTON PART( INDUSTRY HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED DRAFT ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED DRAFT ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED ADOPTED DRAFT DATE ADOPTED 07/13/2001 12/10/2001 11/06/2001 11/10/2003 03121/2006 12/03/2001 12/21/2001 11/14/2005 11/24/2003 07/19/2001 1 211 9/2 0 0 0 06/26/2001 10/03/2001 07/02/2002 02/28/2002 11/14/2006 06/27/2000 07/09/2001 01/16/2001 12/11/2001 08/24/2004 07/03/2001 07/01/2001 12/12/2000 04/11/2002 10/28/2003 08/25/2003 08/18/2003 02/14/2005 12/18/2000 �S Page 7 of 24 REVIEWED COMPLIANCE' 10/11/2001 03/19/2002 0211 1/2002 12/17/2003 06/16/2006 12/26/2001 10/23/2003 02121 /2006 02/02/2004 10/23/2001 04/04/2001 08/22/2001 03/06/2002 08/14/2002 06/11/2002 02/21/2007 10/04/2007 10/03/2000 08/10/2001 03/22/2001 07/18/2002 11/03/2004 08/17/2001 10/24/2001 01/11/2001 10/17/2006 06/25/2002 02/03/2004 12/12/2003 09/12/2003 07/27/2005 04/26/2001 05/15/2007 IN IN IN IN IN IN IN OUT IN IN bUT IN IN IN IN IN IN OUT IN . OUT OUT IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN OUT IN_ OUT ' COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. M Page 8 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE LOS ANGELES ` INGLEWOOD ADOPTED 02/28/2006 IN IRWINDALE ADOPTED OUT LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE DRAFT 07/27/2001 OUT LA HABRA HEIGHTS ADOPTED 01/10/2002 04/26/2002 OUT LA MIRADA ADOPTED 05/08/2001 06/08/2001 IN LA PUENTE ADOPTED 12/12/2000 04/13 /2001 IN LA VERNE ADOPTED 10/16/2000 12/12/2000 IN LAKEWOOD ADOPTED 08/22/2002 11/08/2002 IN LANCASTER ADOPTED 06/26/2001 09/21 /2001 IN LAWNDALE ADOPTED 05/21/2001 09/10/2001 IN LOMITA ADOPTED 06/04/2007 07/19/2007 JN LONG BEACH ADOPTED 04 /17/2001 07/13/2001 IN LOS ANGELES ADOPTED 12/18/2002 02/27/2002 IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY ADOPTED 10/23/2001 02/1512002 IN LYNWOOD DRAFT IN REVIEW MALIBU ADOPTED 02/12/2001 06/20/2001 OUT MANHATTAN BEACH ADOPTED 02/04/2003 05/14/2003 IN MAYWOOD ADOPTED 10/09/2001 08/14/2002 IN MONROVIA ADOPTED 04/22/2003 05112/2003 IN MONTEBELLO ADOPTED OUT MONTEREY PARK ADOPTED 07/1:8/2001 01/30/2002 IN NORWALK ADOPTED 07/17/2001 11/01/2001 IN PALMDALE ADOPTED 04/11/2001 07/19/2001 IN PALOS VERDES ESTATES ADOPTED 08/14/2001 11/20/2001 OUT PARAMOUNT ADOPTED 01/03/2005 03/24/2005 IN PASADENA ADOPTED 11/04/2002 02/131,2003 IN PICO RIVERA ADOPTED 11/20/2001 11/20/2001 IN POMONA DRAFT 02/20/2007 IN RANCHO PALOS VERDES ADOPTED 08/21/2001 09/2012001 IN REDONDO BEACH ADOPTED 10/17/2000 12/20/2000 IN ROLLING HILLS ADOPTED 07/09/2001 10/17/2001 OUT ROLLING HILLS ESTATES DRAFT 05104/2001 OUT ROSEMEAD ADOPTED 03/26/2002 06/06/2002 IN SAN DIMAS ADOPTED 08/13/2002 11/19/2002 IN SAN FERNANDO ADOPTED 11/06/2000 12/1512000. IN SAN GABRIEL ADOPTED 11/19/2002 61/07/2003 IN COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. COUNTY/ CITY LOS ANGELES SAN MARINO SANTA CLARITA SANTA FE SPRINGS SANTA MONICA SIERRA MADRE SIGNAL HILL SOUTH EL MONTE SOUTH GATE SOUTH PASADENA TEMPLE CITY TORRANCE VERNON WALNUT WEST COVINA WEST HOLLYWOOD WESTLAKE VILLAGE WHITTIER MADERA CHOWCHILLA MADERA MADERA COUNTY Pa. Page 9 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10h6/2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE' DRAFT 06/2212001 OUT ADOPTED 05/2512004 08/13/2004 IN ADOPTED 12/14/2000 02/02/2001 IN ADOPTED 12/11/2001 03121/2002 IN ADOPTED 03/24/2003 05/09/2003 IN ADOPTED .12/1812001 03/26/2002 IN ADOPTED 04/09/2002 04/23/2002 IN ADOPTED 04/11/2005 09/1612005 OUT ADOPTED 03/07/2001 09/07/2001 OUT DRAFT 11/21/2001 OUT ADOPTED 02/27/2001 06/25/2001 IN DRAFT 05/02/2006 IN ADOPTED. 02/13/2002 06/12/2002 IN DRAFT. 02/14/2005 OUT ADOPTED 05120/2002 09/16/2002 IN ADOPTED 07/10/2002 09/06/2002 IN DRAFT 10/23/2006 OUT ADOPTED 12/13/2004 01/24/2005 IN ADOPTED 12/17!2003 03/22/2004 IN ADOPTED 12/13/2004 12/28/2004 IN COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 10 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10!16!2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE " MARIN BELVEDERE ADOPTED 04104 /2005 07/01/2005 IN CORTE MADERA ADOPTED 08/14/2002 11/20/2002 IN FAIRFAX ADOPTED 06/07/2006 10/18/2006 OUT LARKSPUR ADOPTED 10/20/2004 12110/2004 IN MARIN COUNTY ADOPTED 06/03/2003 07/24/2003 IN MILL VALLEY ADOPTED 09/15/2003 02110/2004 IN NOVATO ADOPTED 03/25/2003 07/03/2003 IN ROSS ADOPTED 01/13/2005 04/27 /2005 IN SAN ANSELMO ADOPTED 04/13/2004 05/07/2004 IN SAN RAFAEL .ADOPTED 11/15/2004 12/29/2004 IN SAUSALITO DRAFT 07/26/2005 OUT TIBURON ADOPTED 09/07/2005 12/09/2005 IN MARIPOSA MARIPOSA COUNTY ADOPTED 01/13/2004 04/13 /2004 IN MENDOCINO . FORT BRAGG ADOPTED 12/08/2003 01/05/2004 IN MENDOCINO COUNTY ADOPTED 12/14/2004 12/27/2004 IN POINTARENA ADOPTED- 10/25/2005 11/17/2005 IN UKIAH ADOPTED 006/2004 07/12/2004 IN ' WILLITS ADOPTED 03/24/2004 05/21/2004 IN MERCED ATWATER DRAFT 09/0212004 OUT DOS PALOS ADOPTED 03/25/2003 03/28/2003 IN GUSTINE ADOPTED OUT LIVINGSTON ADOPTED 05/2412004 07/12/2004 IN LOS BANOS ADOPTED 12117/2003 03/29/2004 IN MERCED ADOPTED 06/21/2004 08/12/2004 IN MERCED COUNTY ADOPTED 09/28/2004 12/14/2004 IN ' COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1 i NA &cates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 11 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT Z 1,17_1 AMERICAN CANYON 10/16/2007 1:19 pm 11/03/2006 IN COUNTYI CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE* MODOC ADOPTED 02101/2005 04114 /2005 IN ALTURAS ADOPTED 06/15/2005 08/09/2005 IN MODOC COUNTY ADOPTED 05/09/2006 07/06/2006 IN MONO ADOPTED 05107/2004 07/12/2004 IN MAMMOTH LAKES ADOPTED . 12117/2003 12129/2003 IN MONO COUNTY ADOPTED 03/17/2004 08/05/2004 IN MONTEREY CARMEL ADOPTED 1 211 0/2 004 IN DEL REY OAKS DRAFT 10/04/2006 OUT GONZALES ADOPTED 04/21/2003 08/05/2003 IN GREENFIELD ADOPTED 02/24/2006 OUT KING CITY ADOPTED 09/14/2004 12117/2004 IN MARINA ADOPTED 12114/2004 01/31/2005 IN MONTEREY ADOPTED 05/04/2004 05118/2004 IN MONTEREY COUNTY ADOPTED 11/04/2003 01/0212004 IN PACIFIC GROVE ADOPTED 12113/2003 03112/2004 OUT SALINAS . ADOPTED 09/17/2002 04/09 /2003 IN SAND CITY ADOPTED 04/01/2003 05/08/2003 IN SEASIDE ADOPTED 05115/2003 09/09/2003 IN SOLEDAD ADOPTED 03/26/2003 07/03/2003 IN Z 1,17_1 AMERICAN CANYON ADOPTED 11/03/2006 IN CALISTOGA ADOPTED 02117/2004 05/1312004 IN NAPA ADOPTED 02101/2005 04114 /2005 IN NAPA COUNTY ADOPTED 10/26/2004 12114/2004 IN SAINT HELENA ADOPTED 08/13/2002 10/21/2002 IN YOUNTVILLE ADOPTED 05107/2004 07/12/2004 IN * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. !: 0.. * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. *' Page 12 of 24' . HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE NEVADA GRASS VALLEY ADOPTED 01/27/2004 04/28/2004 IN - NEVADA CITY ADOPTED 07/14/2003 09/26/2003 OUT NEVADA COUNTY ADOPTED 10/05/2004 12/21/2004 IN TRUCKEE ADOPTED 03/30/2005 06/23/2005 IN 0.. * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. *' Page 13 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY / CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE ORANGE, ALISO.VIEJO ADOPTED 04/21 /2004 07/27/2004 IN ANAHEIM ADOPTED 10/29/2002 02/06/2003 IN BREA ADOPTED 10103/2000 03/28/2001 IN BUENA PARK ADOPTED 06/12/2001 08/17/2001 IN COSTA MESA ADOPTED 11/19/2001 02/22/2002 IN CYPRESS ADOPTED 09/10/2001 11/09/2001 IN DANA POINT DRAFT 12/08/2006 OUT FOUNTAIN VALLEY ADOPTED 11/07/2000 03/22/2001 IN FULLERTON ADOPTED 12/14/2001 03/21/2002 IN GARDEN GROVE ADOPTED 02/12/2002 05/30/2002 IN HUNTINGTON BEACH ADOPTED 12/18/2000 04/10/2001 IN IRVINE ADOPTED 11/27/2001 05/09/2002 IN LA HABRA ADOPTED 07/07/2003 10/20/2003 IN LA PALMA ADOPTED 01/07/2003 04/03/2003 IN LAGUNA BEACH ADOPTED 07/17/2001 09/20/2001 IN LAGUNA HILLS ADOPTED 11/27/2001 03/07/2002 OUT LAGUNA NIGUEL ADOPTED 06/20/2000 09/25/2000 IN LAGUNA WOODS ADOPTED 07/16/2003 10/02/2003 IN LAKE FOREST ADOPTED 12/19/2000 05/08/2001 IN LOS ALAMITOS ADOPTED 03/26/2001 06/29/2001 IN MISSION VIEJO ADOPTED 06/18/2007 06127/2007 IN NEWPORT BEACH ADOPTED 07/25/2006 09/10/2007 OUT ORANGE ADOPTED 10/09/2001 11/29/2001 IN ORANGE COUNTY ADOPTED 06120/2006 11/3012006 IN PLACENTIA ADOPTED 12/02/2002 03103/2003 IN RANCHO ST. MARGARITA ADOPTED 12/19/2002 07/22/2003 IN SAN CLEMENTE ADOPTED 12/20/2000 09/14/2001 IN SAN JUAN CAPISTRANO ADOPTED 11/06/2001 11/21/2001 IN SANTA ANA ADOPTED 12/1812000 04119/2001 IN SEAL BEACH DRAFT 08/2312001 OUT STANTON. ADOPTED 06/12/2001 10123/2001 IN TUSTIN ADOPTED 11/04/2002 02/05/2003 IN VILLA PARK ADOPTED 06126/2001 12/1812001 IN WESTMINSTER ADOPTED 04/04/2001 05/3012001 IN YORBA LINDA ADOPTED 03/19/2002 07/01/2002 IN * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Govetnment Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. COUNTY/ CITY AUBURN COLFAX LINCOLN LOOMIS PLACER COUNTY ROCKLIN ROSEVILLE PLUMAS PLUMAS COUNTY PORTOLA " COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1: NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 14 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE. REPORT 10!16!2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE ADOPTED 10/11/2004 12/03/2004 IN- ADOPTED 03/23/2004 05/25/2004 IN ADOPTED 11/25/2003 01/05/2004 IN ADOPTED 02/14/2006 05/24/2006 IN ADOPTED 05120/20.03 07/10/2003 IN ADOPTED 05/25/2004 08/09/2004 IN ADOPTED 10/09/2002 10/30/2002 IN ADOPTED 04/04/2006 07/21/2006 IN ADOPTED 02/22/2006 05/19/2006 IN " COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1: NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. *COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. f Page 15 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE " RIVERSIDE BANNING DRAFT 11/04/2005 OUT BEAUMONT ADOPTED 11/19/2002 03/03/2003 IN BLYTHE DRAFT 06/06/2003 OUT CALIMESA ADOPTED 01/07/2002 04/29/2002 IN CANYON LAKE DRAFT 02/14/2003 OUT CATHEDRAL ADOPTED 12/13/2000 01/11/2001 IN COACHELLA ADOPTED 08/2212001 12/04/2001 IN CORONA ADOPTED 07/18/2001 08/14/2001 IN DESERT HOT SPRINGS ADOPTED 09/05/2000 12/29/2000 IN HEMET ADOPTED 09/25/2001 11/09/2001 IN INDIAN WELLS DRAFT 01/26/2007 OUT INDIO ADOPTED 03/02/2005 05/12/2005 IN LA QUINTA ADOPTED 11/02/2004 12130/2004 IN LAKE ELSINORE ADOPTED 02/26/2002 06/26/2002 IN MORENO VALLEY ADOPTED 07/11/2006 07/26/2006 IN MURRIETA ADOPTED 12/18/2001 12/26/2001 IN NORCO DRAFT 01/11/2001. OUT PALM DESERT ADOPTED 02/14/2002 05/22/2002 IN PALM.SPRINGS DRAFT 08/09/2006 OUT . PERRIS ADOPTED 02/13/2001 07/06/2001 IN RANCHO MIRAGE ADOPTED 10/18/2001 11/09/2001 IN RIVERSIDE DRAFT 09/11/2007 OUT RIVERSIDE COUNTY ADOPTED 10/04/2005 12/27/2005 IN SAN JACINTO ADOPTED 02/08/2007 IN TEMECULA ADOPTED 10/08/2002 12/03/2002 IN *COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. f COUNTY/ CITY HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED SACRAMENTO CITRUS HEIGHTS ELK GROVE FOLSOM GALT ISLETON RANCHO CORDOVA SACRAMENTO SACRAMENTO COUNTY SAN BENITO HOLLISTER SAN BENITO COUNTY SAN JUAN BAUTISTA Page 16 of 24 REVIEWED COMPLIANCE * ADOPTED 11/13/2002 05/30/2063 IN ADOPTED 09/17/2003 09/26/2003 IN ADOPTED 06125/2002 09/26/2002 IN ADOPTED 06/05/2003 09/15/2003 IN DRAFT 08/28/2007 OUT ADOPTED 06/26/2006 08/29/2006 IN ADOPTED 06/10/2003 09/09/2003 IN ADOPTED 12/08/2004 12/28/2004 IN DRAFT 03/30/2004 OUT ADOPTED .. 04/05/2005 06/01/2005 IN DRAFT 07/31/2007 OUT * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED SAN BERNARDINO 07/26/2000 IN ADELANTO DRAFT 12/21/2001 APPLE VALLEY. ADOPTED 06/27/1000 BARSTOW ADOPTED 06/05/2000 BIG BEAR LAKE ADOPTED 02/11/2002 CHINO ADOPTED 09/18/2001 CHINO HILLS ADOPTED 08/14/1007 COLTON ADOPTED 08/06/2002 FONTANA ADOPTED IN GRAND TERRACE DRAFT 01/17/2003 HESPERIA ADOPTED 08/07/2002 HIGHLAND ADOPTED 09/25/2001 LOMA LINDA ADOPTED 07/15/2006 MONTCLAIR ADOPTED 06 /19/1002 NEEDLES DRAFT OUT ONTARIO ADOPTED 12/04/2001 RANCHO CUCAMONGA ADOPTED 01/24/2002 REDLANDS ADOPTED 10/15/2002 RIALTO ADOPTED 03/06/2001 SAN BERNARDINO ADOPTED 07/07/2003 SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY ADOPTED 03113/2007 TWENTYNINE PALMS ADOPTED 06/27/2000 UPLAND ADOPTED 08113/2001 VICTORVILLE ADOPTED 04/17/2001 YUCAIPA ADOPTED 01/22/2001 YUCCA VALLEY ADOPTED 090/2000 Page IT of 24 REVIEWED COMPLIANCE 06/01/2001 OUT 11/02/2000 IN 07/26/2000 IN 03/19/2002 IN 12/21/2001 IN IN REVIEW 11/26/2002 IN 01/03/2007 IN 06/10/2005 OUT 11/08/2002 IN 02/01/2002 IN 05/22/2007 OUT 09/26/2002 OUT 12/28/2004 OUT 03/26/2002 IN 08/09/2002 IN 01/17/2003 IN 06/25/2001 IN 09/10/2003 IN 06/05/2007 IN 09/15/2000 IN 11/21/2001 IN 06/25/2001 IN 04/30/2001 OUT 11102/2000 IN ' COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. .1. Page 18 4f.24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE SAN DIEGO CARLSBAD ADOPTED OUT CHULA VISTA ADOPTED 10/24/2006 01/03/2007 IN CORONADO DRAFT 05/11/2007 OUT DEL MAR ADOPTED OUT EL CAJON ADOPTED 03/27/2007 08/22/2007 IN ENCINITAS DRAFT 10/08/2007 OUT .ESCONDIDO ADOPTED 12114/2005 03/08/2006 IN IMPERIAL BEACH DRAFT 11/22/2006 OUT LA MESA ADOPTED 06/28/2005 08/10/2005 IN LEMON GROVE ADOPTED 07/11/2006 01/03/2007 IN NATIONAL CITY DRAFT IN REVIEW OCEANSIDE DRAFT 11/15/2005 OUT POWAY DRAFT 02116/2006 OUT SAN DIEGO ADOPTED 12105/2006 02/05/2007 IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY DRAFT 07/19/2007 OUT SAN MARCOS ADOPTED 12113/2005 03/10/2006 IN SANTEE . DRAFT JIN REVIEW SOLANA BEACH ADOPTED 08/24/2006 01/10/2007. IN VISTA DRAFT 07/10/2007 OUT _ SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO ADOPTED 09/28/2004 10/28/2004 IN SAN JOAQUIN , - ESCALON ADOPTED 07/19/2004 09/15/2004 IN LATHROP ADOPTED 06/15/2004 08/13/2004 IN LODI ADOPTED 10/20/2004 12/2212004 IN MANTECA ADOPTED 08/02/2004 11/02/2004 IN RIPON ADOPTED 09/19/2006 02116/2007 OUT SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY ADOPTED 08/10/2004 11/24/2004 IN STOCKTON ADOPTED 09/14/2004 11/24/2004 IN TRACY. ADOPTED 07/20/2006 10/31/2006 OUT COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. P Page 19 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/1612007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED. COMPLIANCE SAN LUIS OBISPO ARROYO GRANDE ADOPTED 03/08/2005 06/22/2005 IN ATASCADERO DRAFT 03/04/2005 OUT GROVER BEACH ADOPTED 12/15/2003 04102/2004 OUT MORRO BAY ADOPTED 10/25/2004 .12/22/2004 IN PASO ROBLES ADOPTED 12/07/2004 12/2912004 IN PISMO BEACH ADOPTED OUT . SAN LUIS OBISPO ADOPTED 12/14/2004 12/22/2004 IN SAN LUIS OBISPO CO. ADOPTED 07/20/2004 08120/2004. IN SAN MATEO ATHERTON ADOPTED 11/20/2002 04/14 /2003 OUT BELMONT ADOPTED 08/2712002 10/16/2002 IN BRISBANE ADOPTED 10/15/2002 12/1312002 IN BURLINGAME ADOPTED 07/01/2002 09/1112002 IN , COLMA ADOPTED 04/1412004 05124/2004 IN DALY CITY ADOPTED 11/0812004 12/0312004 IN EAST PALO ALTO ADOPTED 12/18/2001 05/22/2002 N FOSTER CITY ADOPTED 12/03/2001 03106/2002 IN HALF MOON BAY ADOPTED OUT HILLSBOROUGH ADOPTED 07/0812002 10/17/2002 IN MENLO PARK ADOPTED OUT MILLBRAE DRAFT 05/12/2005 OUT PACIFICA DRAFT 05/31/2005 OUT. PORTOLA VALLEY DRAFT 06/29/2004 OUT REDWOOD CITY DRAFT 03 /0412004 OUT SAN BRUNO ADOPTED 04/08/2003 05/0812003 IN SAN CARLOS ADOPTED 12/1012001 0312612002 IN SAN MATEO ADOPTED 05/06/2002 08/26/2002 IN SAN MATEO COUNTY ADOPTED 09/2912004 IN SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO ADOPTED 12/11/2002 0311812003 IN WOODSIDE ADOPTED 04/22/2003 07123/2003 IN * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Govemment Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. . COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates . element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. Page 20 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10116/2007. 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE' SANTA BARBARA BUELLTON ADOPTED' 06/10/2004 12/22/2004 IN CARPINTERIA ADOPTED 0312212004 07/22/2004 IN GOLETA ADOPTED 11/01/2006 03/19/2007 OUT GUADALUPE ADOPTED 06/01/2004 07/09/2004 IN LOMPOC ADOPTED 11/18/2003 02/1912004 IN SANTA BARBARA ADOPTED 08110/2004 09/28/2004 IN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY ADOPTED 05/09/2006 08/020006 IN SANTA MARIA ADOPTED 12/19/2006 02121/2007 IN SOLVANG ADOPTED 04/24 /2006 05/19/2006 IN SANTA CLARA CAMPBELL ADOPTED 11/20/2001 03/04/2002 IN CUPERTINO ADOPTED 11/15/2005 08123/2006 IN GILROY DRAFT 12/19/2003 OUT LOS ALTOS ADOPTED 03/1212002 06/1812002 IN LOS ALTOS HILLS ADOPTED 01/15/2004 04/20/2004 IN LOS GATOS ADOPTED 11/03/2003 02/26/2004 IN MILPITAS ADOPTED 10/22/2002 12/02/2002 I7 MONTE SERENO ADOPTED 12/17/2002 01/28/2003 IN MORGAN HILL ADOPTED 07/19/2006 11/20/2006 IN MOUNTAIN VIEW ADOPTED 12/10/2002 01/03/2003 IN PALO ALTO ADOPTED 12/02/2002 05/23/2003 IN SAN JOSE ADOPTED 04/15/2003 06/24/2003 IN SANTA CLARA ADOPTED 07/23/2002 08/14 /2002 IN SANTA CLARA COUNTY ADOPTED. 03/25/2003 11/05/2004 IN SARATOGA ADOPTED 06/19/2002 08/01/2002 IN SUNNYVALE ADOPTED 01/08/2002 05/0812002 IN SANTA CRUZ CAPITOLA ADOPTED 0312512004 05/07/2004 IN SANTA CRUZ ADOPTED 10/28/2003 11/10/2003 IN SANTA CRUZ COUNTY ADOPTED 11/07/2006 12/120006 IN SCOTTS VALLEY DRAFT 12129/2006 OUT WATSONVILLE ADOPTED 08112/2003 09/26/2003 IN . COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates . element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. �x Page 21 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE SHASTA ANDERSON ADOPTED 1210212003 12129/2003 IN REDDING ADOPTED 11/16/2004 12110/2004 IN SHASTA COUNTY . ADOPTED 09/21/2004 10/21/2004 IN SHASTA LAKE ADOPTED 09/07/2004 12121/2004 IN SIERRA LOYALTON DRAFT IN REVIEW SIERRA COUNTY ADOPTED 09/05/2006 01/03/2007 IN SISKIYOU DORRIS ADOPTED 04/03/2006 07/18/2006 IN DUNSMUIR DRAFT 03/27/2006 IN ETNA ADOPTED 05/17/2004 06/14/2004 IN FORT JONES ADOPTED 05/10/2004 04/09 /2004 IN MONTAGUE ADOPTED. 03/29/2004 06/2412004 OUT MOUNT SHASTA ADOPTED 05/23/2005 09/23/2005 IN, SISKIYOU COUNTY ADOPTED 05/18/2004 05/27/2004 IN TULELAKE ADOPTED 07/19/2004 09/03/2004 IN WEED ADOPTED 03/25/2004, 04/27/2004 IN YREKA ADOPTED 12118/2003 01/29/2004, IN SOLANO BENICIA ADOPTED 05/20/2003 07/31/2003 IN DIXON ADOPTED 10/22/2002 10/30/2002 IN FAIRFIELD ADOPTED 10/16/2001 09/14/2007 IN RIO VISTA ADOPTED 01%19/2006 04/24/2006 IN SOLANO COUNTY. ADOPTED 10/11/2005 01/25/2006 OUT SUISUN CITY ADOPTED 02115/2005 04/07/2005 IN VACAVILLE ADOPTED 10/28/2003 01/06/2004 IN VALLEJO ADOPTED 01/16/2004 IN * COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. �x IJ�:Ili4�1 CORNING ADOPTED 05/24/2005 Page 22 of 24 IN HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT ADOPTED 09/07/2004 12/07/2064 IN TEHAMA ADOPTED 03/09/2004 04/20/2004 10116/2007 1:19 pm ADOPTED 08/16/2005 COUNTY/ CITY TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE SONOMA CLOVERDALE ADOPTED 11/13/2002 04/11/2003 IN COTATI ADOPTED 07/23/2002 09/12/2003 IN HEALDSBURG ADOPTED 09/16/2002 12/19/2002 IN PETALUMA ADOPTED 10111/2002 IN ROHNERT PARK ADOPTED 08/28/2001 12/03/2001 IN SANTA ROSA DRAFT 06105/2007 IN SEBASTOPOL DRAFT 05/04/2007 IN SONOMA ADOPTED 01/21/2004 02/2012004 IN SONOMA COUNTY ADOPTED 12/18/2001 02/11/2002 IN WINDSOR ADOPTED 08/07/2002 11/13/2002 IN STANISLAUS CERES ADOPTED IN REVIEW HUGHSON ADOPTED 06/10/2004 67/15/2004 IN MODESTO ADOPTED 04/27/2004 05/11/2004 IN NEWMAN ADOPTED 12/09/2003 04/02/2004 IN OAKDALE ADOPTED 05117/2004 06/22/2004 IN PATTERSON ADOPTED 09/07/2004 1 V24/2004 IN RIVERBANK ADOPTED 12/26/2004 12130/2064 IN STANISLAUS COUNTY ADOPTED 12/16/2003 03/26/2004 IN TURLOCK ADOPTED 10/14/2003 12/16/2003 IN WATERFORD DRAFT 01/14/2005 OUT SUTTER LIVE OAK ADOPTED 12/21/2005 02/07/2006 IN SUTTER COUNTY ADOPTED 09/28/2004 12/14/2004 IN YUBA CITY ADOPTED 06/17/2003 09110 /2003 IN IJ�:Ili4�1 CORNING ADOPTED 05/24/2005 07/08/2005 IN RED BLUFF ADOPTED 09/07/2004 12/07/2064 IN TEHAMA ADOPTED 03/09/2004 04/20/2004 IN TEHAMA COUNTY ADOPTED 08/16/2005 12/06/2065 IN ' COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. A, COUNTY/ CITY TRINITY TRINITY COUNTY HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE ADOPTED Page 23 of 24 _ 1 DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE 02[02/2004 04116/2004 IN TULARE DINUBA ADOPTED 12/14/2004 12/30/2004 IN EXETER ADOPTED 01/11/2005 .06/09/2005 OUT FARMERSVILLE ADOPTED 03/14/2005 06/10/2005 IN LINDSAY ADOPTED 09/28/2004 10/20/2004 IN PORTERVILLE ADOPTED 03/16/2004 07/09/2004 IN TULARE ADOPTED 12/16/2003 01/27 /2005 IN TULARE COUNTY ADOPTED 12/09/2003 04/27/2004 IN VISALIA ADOPTED 12/19/2005 03/27/2006 IN WOODLAKE ADOPTED 10/25/2004 12/0312004 IN TUOLUMNE SONORA ADOPTED 03101/2004 03/17/2004 IN TUOLUMNE COUNTY ADOPTED 12/09/2003 12/16/2003 IN VENTURA CAMARILLO ADOPTED 11/19/2003 12/16/2003 IN FILLMORE ADOPTED 05/13/2003 07/24/2003 IN MOORPARK .ADOPTED 12/19/2001 03108/2002 IN OJAI ADOPTED 01/22/2002 05/14/2002 IN OXNARD ADOPTED 12/19/2000 05/10/2001 IN PORT HUENEME ADOPTED 05/02/2001 09/06/2001 IN SAN BUENAVENTURA ADOPTED 04 /20/2004 07/30/2004 IN SANTA PAULA ADOPTED 08/19/2002 09/20/2002` IN SIMI VALLEY ADOPTED 11/19/2001 03/13/2002 IN THOUSAND OAKS ADOPTED 12/12/2000 03/30/2001 IN VENTURA COUNTY ADOPTED 06/19/2001 1.0/18/2001 IN " COMPLIANCE: $C indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension: q %+ COUNTY/ CITY YOLO DAVIS WESTSACRAMENTO WINTERS WOODLAND YOLO COUNTY YUBA MARYSVILLE WHEATLAND YUBA COUNTY ADOPTED 04101/2003 ADOPTED 01127/2005 ADOPTED 07101/2003 IN 06/2712005 'IN 12130/2004 IN " COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. 1 Page 24 of 24 HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE REPORT 10/16/2007 1:19 pm TYPE DATE ADOPTED REVIEWED COMPLIANCE ADOPTED 07120/2004 10120/2004 IN ADOPTED 0311212003 04103/2003 IN ADOPTED 12114/2004 03/23/2005 IN ADOPTED 1010712003 10/23/2003 IN ADOPTED 0312512003 05115/2003 IN ADOPTED 04101/2003 ADOPTED 01127/2005 ADOPTED 07101/2003 IN 06/2712005 'IN 12130/2004 IN " COMPLIANCE: SC indicates Self Certification pursuant to Government Code Section 65585.1; NA indicates element is not due pursuant to Government Code Section 65361(d) General Plan Extension. 1 EXHIBIT IS ersTF nF Cer.ranaane ansrr4R'.ss. raeracanaTp. +n Bnrrslvr. anFt9ty DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Division of Housing Policy Development ]soo 1bW Shed, Srlx430 P. O. Box 951053 sa,aw oo, CA 94252 -2053 (916) 323 -3177 FAX (916) 327 -2643 June 20, 2005 Mr. Homer "Bludau, City Manager City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92663 Dear Mr. Bludau: RE: Review of the City of Newport Beach's Adopted Housing Element Thank you for submitting Newport Beach's housing element, as amended and adopted by the City Council on April 12, 2005 and received for review on May 5, 2005. Pursuant to Government Code Section 65585(h), the Department is required to review adopted housing elements and report the findings to the locality. A series of telephone conversations and e-mail exchanges with Mr. Jaime Murillo, Assistant Planner, facilitated the review. The Department's February 25, 2005 review found the draft amendments, which clarified and corrected references to household income levels and municipal code sections, would not affect the compliance status of the City's housing element. Given these amendments were formally adopted by the City Council, the Department is pleased to find the housing element remains in compliance with State housing element law (Article 10.6 of the Government Code). The Department's February 2005 review also required an update outlining the progress in meeting conditional compliance requirements, specifically the status of the approval process for the Avocado/MacArthur site, along with a description of the steps the City is taking to make a portion of the 45.2 acre Banning Ranch site available for residential development. This report, received on March 14, 2005, indicates the Banning Ranch site remains zoned for multifamily uses,, however, no development applications have yet been submitted. The report also indicates the necessW general plan amendment, rezoning, and environmental analysis for the Avooado/MacArthur site has been initiated by the City Council (pursuant to Program 3.2.3). However, the project is currently on -hold pending the outcome of negotiations between the City and the property owner. According to the City's status report, negotiations are expected to be completed by October 2005.. Depending on . negotiation results, the City acknowledges it may have to identify an alternative site to remain in compliance with the "adequate sites" statutory requirements for lower- income households. Therefore, the Department's finding of compliance remains conditioned on the City ensuring the supply of appropriately zoned sites is adequate to accommodate its regional housing need for lower - income households. If the City's October 2005 annual report, as required by Government Code Section 65400, reveals the Avocado/MacArthur site is not available for multifamily development and an alternative site has not been identified, the element will no longer comply with the "adequate Mr. Homer Bludau, City Manager Page 2 sites" statutory requirement and will necessitate immediate amendment to provide the necessary sites. Any alternative site must be suitable, available, and appropriately zoned to encourage and facilitate the development of housing for lower- income households. Since the City of Newport Beach's adopted housing element is in compliance, it has met one of the threshold requirements for an innovative new program that rewards local governments for approving affordable workforce housing. The Workforce Housing Program, funded by Proposition 46, provides grant funds to eligible local governments for every qualifying unit permitted, beginning calendar year 2005. Grant awards can be used to fund any capital asset project, such as transportation or park improvements. More specific information about the program is available on the Department's website at http://www.hcdcaizo It is important to note that in addition to housing element compliance, the City must submit an annual report on the implementation of the housing element in accordance with Government Code Section 65400, by December 31, 2005 to be eligible for funding. The Department wishes the City of Newport Beach continued success in implementing its housing, land -use, and development assistance programs, and looks forward to receiving the City's 2005 general plan implementation progress report. If the Department can provide any additional assistance in implementing the City's housing element, please contact Don Thomas, of ourstaff, at (916) 445 -5854. Sincerely, Cathy reswell Deputy hector cc: Patricia Temple, Planning Director, City of Newport Beach Jaime Murillo, Assistant Planner, City of Newport Beach EXHIBIT C STATE DF PSI IFORNIA- 911SINFSS TRANSPORTATION AND NOIrS 1 AOWGy AMU) 4CNWAR]FNFCCFR f:mramnr DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Division of Housing Policy Development 1800 Third Street. SU to 430 P. O. Sm 952053 Secmmenfi. CA 94252 -2053 (918) 3233177 FAX (918) 327 -2843 . November 2, 2006 Mr. Homer Bludau, City Manager City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92658 -8915 Dear Mr. Bludau: RE: Review of the City of Newport Beach's Revised Adopted Housing Element Thank you for submitting Newport Beach's revised housing element, adopted by the City Council on July 25, 2006 as part of a comprehensive general plan update. The element was received for review on August 3, 2006. Pursuant to Government Code Section 65585(h), the Department is required to review adopted housing elements and report the findings to the locality. A series of telephone conversations with Mr. Gregg Ramirez, Senior Planner, facilitated the review. "A As you know, the Department found Newport Beach's 2003 adopted housing element, along with a subsequent revision in April 2005, in conditional compliance. The Department's finding of compliance was contingent on the City's commitment to rezone the Avocado /MacArthur site and continuing to encourage and facilitate development on the Banning Ranch site. The revised element no longer proposes to rezone the MacArthur site as a means to address the adequate sites statutory requirement. Also, the element indicates the updated Land Use element is now prioritizing the retention of Banning Ranch as open space. This is an especially critical point as the previously adopted element relied on Banning Ranch to accommodate 406 multifamily units without the need for a zone change or general plan amendment. Instead, the adopted element now includes a general land inventory which focuses on potential housing opportunities in the John Wayne Airport, Banning Ranch, Newport Center, Mariners' Mile, and Balboa Peninsula areas. The element, however, only contains general descriptions and potential dwelling unit capacity figures for those areas (described on pages 5 -34 through 5-49). The element does not contain the necessary information and analysis to determine which specific sites are suitable and available to accommodate the City's remaining housing need within the current planning period. As a result, the element no longer identifies adequate sites, and further, requires revisions to analyze potential governmental constraints. As discussed with Mr. Ramirez, the following specific revisions are needed to bring the element into compliance with State housing element law (Article 10.6.of the Government Code). <s: Mr. Homer Bludau, City Manager Page 2 Include an inventory of land suitable for residential development, including vacant sites and sites having the potential for redevelopment, and an analysis of the relationship of. zoning and public facilities and services to these sites (Section 65583(a)(3)):. The inventory of land suitable for residential development shall be used to identify sites that can be developed for housing within the planning period (Section 65583.2). The element must be expanded to include a complete land inventory with specific site descriptions and analysis. The inventory and analysis should include the following: • A parcel specific listing of sites describing general plan designation, zoning, maximum density, and parcel size. • A description of existing uses on the identified non - vacant sites. • A description of the impact of parcel size on development feasibility, capacity, and affordability. • An analysis that demonstrates how the City calculated its projected buildout capacities for the identified sites. This analysis should evaluate the impact of the City's land -use controls and site improvement requirements on buildout capacity estimates. For example, the City must consider the imposition of maximum lot coverage requirements, open space, parking, and floor area ratios (FARs), when establishing its realistic unit capacity, rather than relying on a theoretical number based on maximum buildout. • A general analysis of the existing infrastructure capacity (i.e., water and sewer), including access to distribution facilities along with an indication of whether capacity is, or will be, sufficient to serve the identified sites within the planning period. • A general description and analysis of known environmental constraints. • Identification of which zones and densities can accommodate the City's lower - income housing need (see Item 2, page 2 of the Department's AB 2348 technical assistance paper). • 'A map or other method for identifying specific sites in the inventory For example, the Land Use element now prioritizes Banning Ranch as open space, yet the housing element continues to identify it as a potential housing site (1,375 units). Table H30 indicates the site will have both Open Space (OS) and Residential Village (RV) the General Plan designations, while zoned Planned Community (PC). Therefore, the element must clearly describe how much of the 465 acre site will be designated specifically for residential uses, including timing of adoption of the zoning'that can accommodate residential development. The element should also explain how1he future master plan /specific plan, including development standards, acres of the various residential components, density levels, and design guidelines will allow residential development this planning period. Mixed -Use: Table H30 indicates several areas have mixed -use development potential. Based on the general land -use descriptions in the element, it appears a large percentage of the Airport, Newport Center, Mariners' Mile, and Balboa Peninsula, areas are builtout. Mr. Homer Bludau, City Manager Page 3 Therefore, the element must demonstrate that mixed -use development or stand alone residential uses are realistic and viable development strategies for those sites with active uses. For example, the element should describe the condition or age of existing development and describe the potential for such uses to be discontinued and replaced with housing, or provide a clear indication of whether housing could be added to the exisfing use (such as adding second story residential to ground floor retail). Also, the analysis should evaluate whether the redevelopment or intensification of a site would require lot consolidation to allow additional residential development. The element should further describe the City's experience in facilitating mixed -use development of non - residentially zoned sites, including current market conditions, redevelopmment trends (i.e., high land and.construction costs in concert with limited supplies of avaifable and developable land resources could promote the market conditions necessary to facilitate more compact and efficient residential development) and incentives and policies to encourage the development of underutilized and /or mixed -use sites. - To assist the City in addressing the adequate sites requirement, the Department has provided Mr. Ramirez the AB 2348 technical assistance memo (via the Department's website). Given the City's reliance on mixed -use development to accommodate its remaining need, the element should also include strong programs and policies to facilitate such development. 2. Analyze potential and actual governmental constraints upon the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing for all income levels. The analysis shall also demonstrate local efforts to remove governmental constraints that hinder the locality from meeting its share of the regional housing need in accordance with Section 65584 (Section 65583(a)(4)). Land -Use Controls: table H30 lists several zoning designations that are not described or analyzed in the element's governmental controls section (Table H31). The element should describe /define the applicable development standards and, permitted and conditional residential uses allowed in each of these zones (e.g., MU, RV PC, SP, RSC -MM, APF). The element should also describe and analyze pw implementation of allowed density, building setbacks, height provisions, parking and open space requirements help to facilitate and encourage housing for all income groups. Should the requisite analysis determine the City's land -use controls are impeding residential development, the element should describe efforts to mitigate and /or remove any identified constraints. Y Measure "S ": The Measure, approved in November 2000, establishes threshold residential density and /or land -use intensity increases that trigger voter approval. According to the adopted element, this Measure will not impact the City's ability to accommodate its share of the regional housing need (pg 5 -54). However, the element must be expanded to Include a more detailed description and evaluation of Measure "S" impacts on the cost and supply of new residential development. Mr. Homer Bludau, City Manager Page 4 For example, the element should explain how Measure "S" is Implemented, including how the "vested rights" provisions are applied and whether any exception prdVlsions exist for affordable housing or housing needed to meet the City's Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA). Requiring "major" general plan amendments to be decided on by the local electorate could be costly and result in significant fiscals impacts to individual development projects. The element should clarify if a project applicant is 100 percent responsible for election costs and explain the methodology for determining these costs. Also, pursuant to Government Code Section 65583(c)((3) the element must include a program action that specifically addresses, and where appropriate, removes any identified residential development constraints associated with Measure S. This would be in addition to Program 2:31 as this action only commits the City to studying the impacts of major commercial and industrial projects on the existing housing supply. The Department hopes these comments are helpful and would be glad to assist the City in addressing the above requirements. If you would like to schedule a technical assistance meeting or site visit, please contact Don Thomas, of our staff, at (916) 445 -5854. Sincerely, Cathy . Creswell Depu •Director i A- EXHIBIT D STATE OF CALIFORNIA- 1i11SINEAS. TRANSP(1RipTION AND HO �CIN6 A N V pRNOLO SOHWAR]ENEC -C -ER C- mramnr DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Division of Housing Policy Development 1900 ThN Street, Sui7e 430 P. O. Box 952053 Sacramento. CA 94252 -2053 (9 W) 323 -3177 , FAX (918) 327 -2843 September 10; 2007 Mr. Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92658 -8915 Dear Mr. Ramirez: RE: Review of the City of Newport Beach's Revised Housing Element Thank you for submitting revisions to Newport Beach's housing element. Pursuant to Government Code Section 65585(b), the Department is required to review draft housing elements and report the findings to the locality. A series of telephone conversations with you facilitated the review. The revised adopted element addresses some of the findings described in the Department's November,2, 2006 review. For example, the draft revisions indicateMlat Measure "S" (Section 423 of the City Charter) will not impact the development of the sites identified in the inventory (Table H -30 and Appendix 1-15) due to the increased densities/ intensities established as part of the recent comprehensive general plan update (approved by the voters in November of 2006). Newport Beach should be diligent in monitoring the potential impacts of Charter Section 423 as identified in Housing Program 2,3.1. Should monitoring reveal that residential projects are being subjected to the voter approval process, the City must take the appropriate steps (in a timely manner) to remove governmental constraints and provide adequate sites. The revisions also indicate the City is continuing to work on a comprehensive zoning ordinance update, which when completed, will establish zoning designations consistent with the new land - use designations established as part of the general plan update. However, according to the revised element, the John Wayne Airport and Newport Center areas offer the greatest residential development potential during the. remainder of the planning period, through a variety of development strategies, including mixed -use, infill and reuse. Therefore, as described in the Department's previous review, and discussed with you, the element must demonstrate these strategies are realistic and viable such that they can accommodate Newport Beach's remaining share of the regional housing need, particularly for lower- income households. . Mr. Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner Page 2 Include an inventory of land suitable for residential development, including vacant sites and sites having the potential for redevelopment, and an analysis of the relationship of zoning and public facilities and services to these sites (Section 65583(a)(3)). The inventory of land suitable for residential development shall be used to identify sites that can Pe developed for housing within the planning period (Section 65583.2). Given that most of the sites listed in Appendix H5 are developed with existing uses, the element must be expanded to describe the condition and age of existing development and describe the realistic potential for these uses to be discontinued and replaced with housing this planning period. The expanded analysis should describe the City's experience in facilitating redevelopment and mixed -use development of non - residentially zoned sites, including current market conditions, and redevelopment trends. Please refer to the Department's November 6, 2006 review. Also, as discussed with you and described in the Department prior review, given the City's strong reliance on a combination of mixed -use and redevelopment to accommodate its remaining housing need, Policy H.2.3 must be complemented with strong programs and implementation actions to facilitate such development (i.e., specific commitment to provide regulatory and /or financial incentives and promote the development of underutilized and /or mixed -use sites). Under a separate cover, examples of program implementation actions from other jurisdictions that have or are currently relying on mixed use and recycling development strategies will be sent to you. The element's analysis of the identified sites in the John Wayne Airport and Newport. Centers areas must be expanded to include the following: • A description of the impact of parcel size on development feasibility, capacity, and affordability. • An analysis that demonstrates mixed -use development or stand alone residential uses are realistic and viable development strategies for those sites identified in Appendix H5. • An Indication whether redevelopment, recycling, or intensification of a site would require lot consolidation to allow additional residential development. + A clarification that the noise and height restrictions set forth in the JWA Airport Environs Land Use Plan (AELUP) (page 5 -35) will not impact the projected . residential buildout capacities described in Table H30-for the identified sit6b listed in Appendix H5. 2. Analyze potential and actual governmental constraints upon the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing for all income levels. The analysis shall also demonstrate local efforts to remove governmental constraints that hinder the locality from meeting its share of the regional housing need in accordance with Section 65584 (Section 65583(a)(4)). Mr. Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner Page 3 .Land -Use Controls: According to the draft revisions, City staff is. currently working on a comprehensive zoning ordinance update to address inconsistencies between recently established general plan land use designations and outdated zoning categories. As indicated in the element, the City Councii.adopted a resolution (as an interim measure) that allows projects to be "reviewed" in spite of this general plan /zoning inconsistency (page 5 -66). However, the element must be expanded to demonstrate that in addition to `reviewing" residential projects, they can actually receive final approval during the time period which the zoning ordinance is being updated. In addition, the element should also include a timeline for completing the zoning ordinance update. Finally, as indicated in the Department's prior review the element must describe and analyze how implementation of allowed density, building setbacks, height provisions, parking, and open space requirements of all newly established zoning categories, particularly the Planned Community (PC) z&g, will facilitate and encourage housing for all income groups. Should the requisite analysis determine the City's new land -use controls will impede residential development, the element must include a program to mitigate and /or remove any identified constraints. The Department.is committed to assisting the City of Newport Beach in bringing its housing element into compliance and would be pleased to provide any additional assistance necessary, including another meeting in Newport Beach. If you have any questions, or wish to schedule a visit, please contact Don Thomas, of our staff, at (916) 445 -5854. Sincerely, y reswell Depu !rector .#.. . EXHIBIT E Final MAjohnson\RHNA1RHNARnal.xls 07/12t2007 Page 1 . Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006- June 30, 2014) for Jurisdictions within the Six- County SCAG Region (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on July 12, 2007) 110 %Adjustment toward County Distribution . . %very low %low % moderate %above moderate Numberd Number of Number of above income income :Income income verq low Number of low moderate moderate . City households househdds househdds househdds Income income -- income income SCAG Region %total households households households households Total hnperial Brawley city 23.7% 16.2% 18.1% 42.0% 100% 165,457 113,649 126,715 289,547 699,36E Imperial Calexico city 24.5% 16.6% 16.0% 429% 100% 757 511 4g4 1,326 3,088 Imperial Calipatria city 24.6% 25.0% 16.2% 18.0% 15.7% 18.0% 43.5% 100% 100% 1 615 405 391 1,086 2,498 Imperial a Centro city, .43.0% � 32 87 202 Hoitville city 24.8% 16.6% 16.1% 42,6% 100% 720 483 487 1,238 2,908 imperial Imperial Imperial PO �Y 25.4% 16.7% 15.9% 420% 100% 95 22 59 199 Imperial Westmorland city 26.6% 17.1% 18.3% 40.7% 100% 47(1 309 295 736 1,810 Imperial Unincorporated 23,8% 18.5% 15.7% 44.1% 100% 61 42 113 24 - Log Angeles � � .Agoura Hills city 24.7% � 26.6% 16.3% 15.7% 432% 100% 3,317 2,194 2,109 ,1 5.806 13,427 Los Angeles .. Alhambra city 24.5% 18.5% 15.5% 17.4% 39.4% 100% 29 29 16 19 43 110 Los Angeles Arcadia city 25.5% 15.8% 16.8% 43.2% 100% 239 260 868 1,546 Las Angeles Artesia city 25.2% 15.3% 17.1% 41.5% 100% 5499 340 368 892 2,149 Los Angeles Avalon city 25.2% 15.0% 16.8% .427% 100% 56 132 .. Loa Angeles Azusa city 20.6% 15.4% 17.0% 42.8% 100% 37 22 25 64 148 Los Angeles Baldwin Pori city 20.9% 154% 16.6% 43.3% 100% 184 115 124 323 745 Loa Angeles Bell city 23.4% 10.9% 16.5% 43.1% 100% 186 .115 123 321 744 Los Angeles Bell Gallons city 24.0% 10.9% 17.0% 44.7% 100% 11 21 47 Los Angeles Be118ower city 24.7% 15.4% 18.5% 44.6% 100° /, 29 6 20 122 Los Angeles Beverly Hills dh 2s.5% 16.6% 43.3% 100% 263 164 178 462 1,067 Los Angeles Los Angeles . Bradbury city Burbank 25.7% 16.2% 17.1% 17.6% 17.1% 40.7% 40.0% 100% 100% 111 9 71 6 77 8 178 14 436 Los Angeles city Calabasas city 25.0% 26A% 15.8% 18.9% 42.3% 100°/ 947 597 642 11600 35 3,786 Los Angeles Carson city 25.4% 16.5% 15.8% 17.8% 39.3% 100% 137 86 93 205 521 Los Angeles Cerritos city 26.6%: 16.0% 16.9% 41.8% 100% 461 287 307 757 1.812 . � Angeles � Clermont city 25.6% 16.1% 117.0% 40.4% 100% 25 15 16 38 95 Los Angeles .Commerce city 23,8% 15.9% 17.4% 15.9% 40.8% 100% 117 7q 80 187 467 Los Angeles Compton city 23.5% 10.7% 44.4% 100% 15 10 10 28 64 Los Angeles Covina city 25.1 % 15.8% 17.6% 44.1 % 100% 16 10 12 30 69 Los Angeles Cudahy shy 23.5% 14.9% 16.9% 18.7% 422% 100% 336 211 226 564 1,337 44.9% 100% Not There is a one unit rounding difference in some localities between 94 60 87 180 399 the total housing need and the sum d the 4 Income In such cases, communities may choose which.of the income it groups. categories will adjust by one unit to maintain consistency with the approved total housing need. Final MAjohnson\RHNA1RHNARnal.xls 07/12t2007 Page 1 . Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June 30, 2014). for Jurisdictions within the Six - County SLAG Region (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on July 12, 2007) % % above %very low %low moderate moderate Income income Income income households households households households 0.6% 28.1% 25.0% 25.1% 24.1% 26.2% 24.4% 24.5% 25.7% 24.3% 24,1% 26.2% 26.5% 23.7% 33.3% 24.0% 23.9% 26.2°/6 26.7% 25.8% 24.9% 25.8% 25.6% 24.6% 24.8% 25.1% 24.2% 24.1% 24.4% 261% 15.8%' 16.4% 15.7% 15.9% 15.1% 16.1% 15.5% 15,7% 16.0% 15.3% 15.1% 16.5% 17.6% 14.8% 16.7% 15.4% 16.4% 167% 16.4% 16.0% 15.4% 15.9% 16.0% 15.5% 15.4% 15.6% 15.5% 15.5% 15.3% 16.5% 16.6% 16.8% 17.2% 16.8% 17.1% 16.8% 16.7°/6 17.0% 17.0% 17.1% 16.7% 16.8% 17.4% 17.6% 16.8% 16.7% 16.8% 16.4% 18.0% 18.1% 17.3% 18.9% 17.3% 17.1% 169% 165% 168% 17.1% 17.1% 16.4% 17.8% 17.9% 41.8% 40.3% 42.4% 41.9% 44.1% 41.1% 43,1% 42.8% 41.2% 43.8% 44.1% 39.9% 382% 44.6% 33.3% 43.8% 43.3% 39.1% 368% 40.9% 42.9% 41.0% 41.2% 43.0% 43.4% 42.5% 43.2% 43.3% 43.9% 39.6% 106% 109% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 160% left 190% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% cos woes Culver city Number of Las Angeles Diamond Bar dry . Los Angeles Downey city Number of low Los Angeles Duarte city Income Los Angeles El Monte city Income Los Angeles EJ Segundo city households Las Angeles Gardena city Los Angeles Glendale city Los Angeles Glendora city Los Angeles Hawailan Gardens city Los Angeles Hawthorne city . Los Angeles Hermosa Beach city Los Angeles Hidden Hills city Las Angeles _ Huntington Park. city Los Angeles Industry city , Los Angeles Inglewood qty Los Angus Irwindale city Los Angeles La Canada Flintddge city Los Angeles La Habra Heights city Los Angeles La Mirada city Los Angeles La Puente city Los Angeles Los Angeles La Verne city Lakewood city Los Angus Lancaster qty Los Angeles L.awndYe dry ` Los Angeles Lomita city Los Angeles Lang Beach qty Las Angeles Las Angeles qty Los Angeles Lynwood city Los Angeles Malibu city . Las Angeles Manhattan Beech cfry % % above %very low %low moderate moderate Income income Income income households households households households 0.6% 28.1% 25.0% 25.1% 24.1% 26.2% 24.4% 24.5% 25.7% 24.3% 24,1% 26.2% 26.5% 23.7% 33.3% 24.0% 23.9% 26.2°/6 26.7% 25.8% 24.9% 25.8% 25.6% 24.6% 24.8% 25.1% 24.2% 24.1% 24.4% 261% 15.8%' 16.4% 15.7% 15.9% 15.1% 16.1% 15.5% 15,7% 16.0% 15.3% 15.1% 16.5% 17.6% 14.8% 16.7% 15.4% 16.4% 167% 16.4% 16.0% 15.4% 15.9% 16.0% 15.5% 15.4% 15.6% 15.5% 15.5% 15.3% 16.5% 16.6% 16.8% 17.2% 16.8% 17.1% 16.8% 16.7°/6 17.0% 17.0% 17.1% 16.7% 16.8% 17.4% 17.6% 16.8% 16.7% 16.8% 16.4% 18.0% 18.1% 17.3% 18.9% 17.3% 17.1% 169% 165% 168% 17.1% 17.1% 16.4% 17.8% 17.9% 41.8% 40.3% 42.4% 41.9% 44.1% 41.1% 43,1% 42.8% 41.2% 43.8% 44.1% 39.9% 382% 44.6% 33.3% 43.8% 43.3% 39.1% 368% 40.9% 42.9% 41.0% 41.2% 43.0% 43.4% 42.5% 43.2% 43.3% 43.9% 39.6% 106% 109% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 160% left 190% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 129 284 277 92 532 44 270 767 192 35 219 147 9 240 2 398 16 62 21 452 201 220 172 3.144 118 87 2.321 27.238 89 115 80 179 174 58 333 27 171 491 119 22 137 93 6 150 1 255 11 39 13 280 124 136 108 1.989 72 54 1,485 17,495 55 73 85 188 187 63 370 28 188 534 127 24 153 98 6 170 1 278 11 42 14 303 136 148 115 2,165 77 58 1,634 19,304 60 79 Note: There is a one unit rounding difference in some localities - t ' »a 160 between The total housin g need and the sum of the 4 income groups, In such cases, communities may choose which of the Income categories it will adjust by one unit to maintain consistency with the approved total housing need M,.Iohnson\RHNA\RHNAFinM.As 211 440 470 154 973 69 476 1,340 307 64 401 224 13 452 2 727 29 92 31 716 346 351 277 5.501 203 147 4,143 48,839 159 175 350 504 1.090 1,108, 367 2.208 168 1,105 3,131 744 145 910 562 34 1,013 6 1.6558 68 235 80 1,751 807 854 673 12,799 468 346 9,564 112,876 363 441 895 Final 07/12/2007 Page 2 Number of Number of Number of above very low Number of low moderate moderate Income Income Income Income households households households households 7atal 129 284 277 92 532 44 270 767 192 35 219 147 9 240 2 398 16 62 21 452 201 220 172 3.144 118 87 2.321 27.238 89 115 80 179 174 58 333 27 171 491 119 22 137 93 6 150 1 255 11 39 13 280 124 136 108 1.989 72 54 1,485 17,495 55 73 85 188 187 63 370 28 188 534 127 24 153 98 6 170 1 278 11 42 14 303 136 148 115 2,165 77 58 1,634 19,304 60 79 Note: There is a one unit rounding difference in some localities - t ' »a 160 between The total housin g need and the sum of the 4 income groups, In such cases, communities may choose which of the Income categories it will adjust by one unit to maintain consistency with the approved total housing need M,.Iohnson\RHNA\RHNAFinM.As 211 440 470 154 973 69 476 1,340 307 64 401 224 13 452 2 727 29 92 31 716 346 351 277 5.501 203 147 4,143 48,839 159 175 350 504 1.090 1,108, 367 2.208 168 1,105 3,131 744 145 910 562 34 1,013 6 1.6558 68 235 80 1,751 807 854 673 12,799 468 346 9,564 112,876 363 441 895 Final 07/12/2007 Page 2 Page 3 Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June for Jurisdictions within the Six- County SCAG Region (approved by the SCAG 30; 2014) Regional Council July on 12, 2007) %very low %low % moderate %above mo�rate Number of . Number of Number of above . Income Income Income income Income vary low Number of low moderate moderate Courtly City households households households %,pid income households Income income Income Los Angeles _ Maywood city 227% households households households Total Los Angeles g Monrovia city 13.6% 18.2% 45.6% ,. 100% 5 3 4 10 22 Los Anger Montebello city 251 % 15.5% 16.9% 425% 100% 142 88 96 241 567 Los Angeles Monterey Park c' eY rry 24.5% 24.6% 15.5% 16.9% 43.2% 100% 123 � 78 85 217 502 Los Angeles Norwalk city 25.2% 15.5% 17.0% 43.0% 100% 280 177 194 490 1.141 Los Angeles Palmdale city 25,0% 16,5% 18.7% 42.6% 100% 75 128 97 297 Los Angeles Palos Vallee Estates city 26.4% 15.8% 16.9% 42.3% 100% 4.481 2,822 3.024 7.583 17,910 Las Angeles Paramount city 24.4% 16,7% 15A% 18.1% 38.8% 100% 19 12 13 28 72 Los Angeles 9 Pasadena city 24,8% 15.8% 18.6% 43.7% 100% 248 166 168 . - 444 1,017 Los Angeles Pico Rivera city 24.6% 15.7% 17.1%. 423% 100% 711 452 491 491 1215 2.889 Los Angeles Pomona city 24.5% 15.5% 16.7% 429% 100% 211 134 381 855 Los Angeles Rancho Palos Verdes city 26.7% 16.7% 16.8% 43.1% 100% 901 571 619 1,587 3,678 Los Angeles Redondo Beach city 26.0% 16.2% 17.8% 38.9% 100% 16 10 11 23 60 Los Angeles Rolling Hills city 27.3% 18.2% 17.3% 40,5% 100% 580 363 387 904 2234 Los Angeles Roiling Hills Estates city 26.9% 15.4% 18.2% 19.2% 36.4% 100% 6 4 4 8 22 Los Angeles Rosemead city 24.3% 15.3% 16.8% 38S0A 100% 7 4 5 10 26 . Los Angeles San Dimas city tY 26.9% 15.1% 17.2% 43.6% 100% 180 119 131 40 780 Los Angeles San Fernando city 24.7% 15,1% 16.7% 40.8% 100% 101 107 255 625 . Los Angeles San Gabriel d city 24.9% 15A% 17.0% 43,4% 428% 100% 100% 62 62 42 109 251 . Los Angeles San Marino city 28.9% 15A% 19.2% 38.5% 100% 206 127 140 354 827 Los Angeles Santa ClarBa c 8Y 26.0% 16.2% 17,3% � 40.5% 100% 7 4 5 10 26 . Loll Angeles Los Angeles Santa Fe Springs city Santa Monica 25.0% 15.8% 16.7% 425% 100% 2.494 115 1,560 73 1,657 77 3.888 196 9,5% 480 city 24.8% 18.0% 17.2% 41.9% 100% Los Angeles Siena Madre city 26.1 % 15.9% 17.4% 164 106 114 277 692 Los Angeles Signal HI8 city 26.3% 15.9% 16.7% 40.6% 100% 36 24 56 139 Los Angeles South El Monte city 24.5% 15.0% 17.0% 42.0% 100% 56 35 37 g3 222 Los Angeles . South Gate city 24.5% 15.8% 43,5% 100% 49 30 89` 202 Las Angeles Pasadena ally 25.7% 16.8% 43.9% 100% 322 198 218 576 1.313 Los Argieles Temp Temple ally 25.3% .15.8% 17.0% 41.5% 100% 43 26 28 89 166 - Los Angeles � Torrance c 8Y 15.8% 16.8% 421 % 100% 249 158 165 418 997 Los Angeles Vernon city 26.6% 16.0% 17.1% 41 A% 100% 468 292 312 . 756 1.828 Note: There is a one urdt rounding g difference in some localities 0.0% between 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% p 0 0 0 In such case% the told housing need and the sum d communities may choose which of the Income the 4 income getups. categories it will adjust by one unit to maintain consistency whir the approved total housing need, Final K jahnsoriMNAMNAFirtal.xls 07/1212007 Page 3 Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan -.Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June 30, 2014) for Jurisdictions Within the Six- County.SCAG Region (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on July 12, 2007) Page 4 %very low %low % moderate %abovg moderate Number of Number of numuar or above income Income income Income very low Number of low moderate moderate County City households households households households income Income Income Income Los Anger ... Walnut city %total households households households households .Total Los Angeles West Covina city, 26.1% 16.5% .17.9% 38.5% 100% 153 105 232 587 Los Angeles. West Hollywood city 25.6% 24.4% 15.8Yo 16.9% 41.7% 100% 881 388 8 417 1.026 2.461 Los Angeles Westlake Village city 2 &9% 15.5% '17.3% 16.9% 43.2% 100% 142 91 99 252 584 Los Angeles Whittier c city 17.3% 38.5% 100% 14 9 9 20' 52 Los Armes .. Unincorporated 25.2% 15.7% 17.0% 42.1% 100% 225 140 151 375 892 Orange Aliso Viejo city 25.2% 22.6% 15.9% 17.2% 41.7% 100% 14,425 9.073 9.816 23.862 57.176 Orange Anaheim city 20.8% 18.0% 19.4% 40.0% 1110% 208 165 179 367 919 Orange Brea city 21.5% 17.0% 19.7% 425% 100% 1.971 1.618 1,874 4.035 9.498 Ora Buena Park city 21.0% 17.4% 18.7% 41.4% 100% 441 356 404 847 2.048 Orange e Costa Mesa city 21.0% 17.1% 19.5% 42.3 %. 100% 142 116 132 288 677 Orange cypress; city 21.7% 17.2% . 17.5% 19.6% 42.294 100% 353 288 390 740 .1.882 Orange Dana Point city 22.1% 17.6% 19.7% 41.0% 100% 98 78 89 185 450 Orange Fountain Valley city 22.1% 17.7% 19.1% 19.7% 41.2% 100% 15 12 13 28 69 Orange Fullerton city 20.8% 17.2% 19.7% 40.5% 1000/ 103' 189 466 Orange Garden Grove city 20.7% 17.1% 422% 100% 398 329 376 806 1.910 Orange Huntington Beach city 21.7% 17.6% 19.6 %. 19.8% 425% 100% . 118 96 110 238 560 orange � 21.7% 18.0%, 20.0% 40.9% 40.8% 100% 484 389 414 855 2,092 Orange LIrvine bra La Habra city 20.7% 17.2% 19.5% 100% 7.795 6.408 7,139 14,378 35,660 Orange La Palma city 25.0% 18.8% 18.8% 42.6% 37.5% 100% 100% - 53 44 50 110 258 Orange Laguna Beach city 28 3% 18.7% 20.0% 40.0% 100°/ 4 7 3 3 6 16 Orange Laguna Hills city 25.0% 125% 25.0% 37.5% 100% 2 5 8 12 30 Orange. Laguna Niguel city 224% 17.9% 19.9% 39.8% 100% 80' 1 2 3 8 Orange Laguna Woods city. 1 &7% 17.2% 20.1% 44.0% 100% 25 64 . 71 141 355 Orange Lake Forest city 20.7% 17.2% 20.7% 41.4% 100% 6 23 27 60 135 Orange Los Alamitos city 220% 17.1% 19.5% 41.5% 100% 9 5 6 12 29 Orange ton V Mission Vejo city 228% 17.8% 19.8% 39.7% 100% 33 7 8 17 41 Orange Newport Beach city 220% 18.0% 20.3% 39.7% 100% 392 28 29 59 147 .Orange Orange city 21.4% 17.5% 19.8% 41.4% 100% 1.086 322 362 708 1.781 Orange Placentia city 21.6% 17.5% 19.6% 41.2% 100% 21 887 1.004 2.102 5.079 Orange Rancho Santa Margarita city 22.8% 17.9% 18:5% 39.8% 100% 28 17 18 40 98 Note: There is acne unit rounding difference in soma localitl6s between . 22 24 49 124 In the total housing need and the sum of the 4 Income groups. . such cases, communities may choose which of the Income categories it will adjust by one unit to maintain consistency ith the oy app roved total housing need. Final M:yohnson\RHNAWHNAFetal.xls 07/12/2007 Page 4 Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June 30, 2014) for Jurisdictions within the Six-County SCAG Region (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on'July 12, 2007) Page 5 %very low %low % . moderate %above Number of Number of V above . income. income Income moderate income very low Number of low moderate moderate County. City households households households households % income Income income Income Orange San Clemente city, households households households households Total Orange San Juan Capistrano city 21.6% 21.6 % 17.6% 19.9% 40.9% 100% 126 103 116 239 5884 Orange Santa M Ana city. 17.7% 19.8% 41.0% 100% 229 188 210 436 1.1162 Orange Seal Beach city 20.5% 19.3% 1 &9% 19.6% 43.0% 100% 694, 574. 665 1.461 3.393 r... Stanton city 1 &g% 17.5% 17.1% 21.1% 19.7% 421 %. 43A% 100% 100% 11 10 12 24 57 Orange Tustin 108 93. 107 236 544 city 21.5% 17.2% 19.6% 41.6% 100% 512 410 Orange Villa Park CRY 27.3% 18.2% 16.2% 36A% 100% 468 991 2,380 Orange Westminster city 20.5% 17.1% 19.9% 42.5% 100% 3 30 2 2 .4 11 Orange Yorba Linda city 22.80/6 18.2% 20.2% 39.0% 100% 460 25 29 63 147 . Orange Unincorporated 22.3% 18:1% 20.0% 39.6% 100% 1.777 371 412 796 2.039 Riverside Banning CRY 22.7% 16.1% 18.4% 428% 100% 873 1.445 1,597 3.159 7.978 Riverside Beaumont city 224% 16.2% 18.7% 42.7% 10W. 1.586 618 705 1.645. 3.841 Riverside. Blythe city, 22.7% 16.5% 1 8.5% 423% 100% 177 1.146 1,320 3.019 7.071 Riverside Cailmesa city 23.2% '16.2% 18.40/6 422% 100% 528 128 141 329 778 Riverside Canyon Lake city 2510% 17.0% 19.0% 3 &0% 100% 25 367 419 957 Riverside Cathedral city 23.5% 16.3% 1 8.3% 420% 1oD% 782 17 18 39 1011 Riverside Coachella city 22.5% 15.6% 1 &5% 43.50/6 100% 1.288 .542 609 1.397 3.329 Riverside Corona city 24.8% 16.9% 18.5% 3 9.8% 1000/6 819 893 1.059 2.493 5.733 Riverside Desert Hot Spdngs city 21.8% 15.8% 1 &90/ 43.5% 100% 2.161 560 611 1.317 3.308 Riverside Hemet city 22.1% 15.8% 1&5°/6 43.6% 100% 2,484 1.570 1.871 4.322 9.923 Riverside Indian Wells city 24.8% 17A% 19A% 38.4% 100% 1.781 2.080 4.898 11,243 Riverside Riverside Indio city La Ouinta city ,29.1% 24.6% 1 6.1% 18.1% 4270/6 100% 61 955 42 667 47 752 94 1.769. 244 4.143 78.7°/ 18A% 40.2% 100% 1.085 724 798 Ride Lake Elsinore city .23.5% 1 6.5% 18.6% 41 A% 100% 1.311 1.741 4,327 Riverside Moreno Valley city 242% 1 &6 %. 18.2% 41.0% 100% 921 1,041 2.316 5.580 Riverside Murrista city 24.9% 16.9% 18.6% 39.6% 100% 1.806 1.568 1.238 1,362 3.068 7.474 Riverside Norco city 24.9% 17.1% 19.60/6 39.4% 100% 1.067 1,171 2,497 6.303 Riverside Palm Desert city 24.1% 1 6.5% 18.5% 40.9% 100% 236 1.105 162 759 177 374 949 Riverside Palm Springs city 23.1% 16.2% 1 &6% 421% 100% 523 847 1,875 4.586 ' Riverside Perris. city. 23.2% 1 &1% 18.0% 427% 100% 967 388 669 421 951 .2.261 Rn'a. R Rancho Mirage city 24.3 % 16.8% 78.8% 40.1% 100% 781 748 1,778 4,163 Note: There is a one unit rounding dif(eredce in some localities between the total housing need and the sum of the 4' income groups. 539 603 1.285 3.208 In such cases. communides may choose which of the income categories it will adjust by one unit to maintain consistency with the approved total housing need. Final M \Johnson \RHNA\RHNAFinal.xls 07/12/2007 Page 5 Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June 30, 2014) for Jurisdictions within the Six - County SCAG Region (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on JUN 12. 2007) Bird Y,Yff County City % %.above % very low % low moderate moderate income income income Income households households households households %total Number d very low income households Number of low Income , households., Number d moderate income households Number of above moderate income households Total Riverside Riverside city 23.6% 16.4% 18.4% 41.5% 100% 2.687 1.866 2,099 4,728 71.381 Riverside San Jacinto sty 225% 16.1% 18.3% 43.1% 100% 2,707 1.931 2,206 5.183 12,026 Riverside Temecula 24.8% 17.0% 18.5% 39.7% 100% 1.014 693 757 1.622 4,085 Riverside rpocityd Unincorporated 23.70/6 16.40/6 18.5% 41.4% 100% 13.343 9.267 10A28 23,331 56,366 San Bernardino Adelanto city 22.6% 16.0% 18.5% 429% 100% 1.908 1.344 1,561 3.610 8,422 San Bernardino Apple Valley town. 23.6% 16.1% 18.9% 41.40/6 100% 912 627 736 1.611 3,887 San Bernardino Barstow city 2270% 16.3% 18.8% 422% 100% 1.018 728 842 1,890 4.479 San Bernardino Big Bear Lake city 22.8% 16.1% 19.3% 41.80/6 100% 113 80 96 207. 495 San Bernardo Chino city 20.3% 18.9% 19.1% 39.8 %, 160% 739 513 581 1,212 3,045 San Bernardino Chino Hills city . 25.2% 17.3% 19.7% 37.8% 100% 262 180 205 393 1,040 San Bemmndlno Colon city 23.1% 16.1% 18.7% 42.2% 100% 854 595 693 1,563 3,705 San Bernardino Fontana city 23.9% 16.4% 18.8% 40.9% 100% 1,365 932 1,073 2,329 5,699 San Bernardino Grand Terrace city 24.2% 16.9% 19.0% 39.9% 100% 80 55 63 131 329 San Bernardino Hesperia city 23.5% 16.2% '18.8% 41.6% 100% 2,135 1,469 1.707 3,784 9,094 San Bernardino Highland city 23.3% 16.6% 19.0% 41.3% 100% 502 355 409 890 2,156 San Bernardino Loma Linda city 23.1% 16.3% 18.9% 41.7% 100% 610 432 501 1.103 2,646 San Bernardino Montclair city 23.5% 16.2% 19.0% 41.4% 100% 426 293 343 748 11810 San Bernardino Needles city 21.2% 16.7% 19.7% 42.4% 100% .14 11 13 28 67 San Bemardno Ontarlo city 23.9% 18.2% 18.6% 41.3% 100% 1,828 1.243 1,425 3.165 7,662 San Bernardino Random Cucamonga city 20.7% 16.8% 19.1.% 39.3% 100% 317 216 245 504 1,282 San Bernardino Redands city 20.0% 16.5% 18.9% 40.60/6 100% 682 469 539 1,155 2,845 San Bernardino Rialto city 23.7% 16.2% 114.8% 41.4% 100% 1,023 700 812 1,788 4,323 San Bernardino San Bernardino city 22.4% 16.1% 19.0% 42.8% 100% 1,275 913 1,079 2,420 5.687 San Bernardino Twen"ne Palms city 228% 15.6% 18.8% 428% 100% 702 480 578 1,317 3.078 San Bernardino Upland city 23.9% 18.4% 19.2% 40,5% 100% 476 328 382 809 1,995 San Bernardino . VictorNBe dry 22.9% 16.8% 18.9% 41.96A 100% 1.972 1.401 1.630 3.614 8,618 San Bernardino Yucaipa city 23.3% 16.2% 19.0% 41.5 %. 100% 476 332 389 850 2,048 San Bernardino Yucca Valley town 22.3% 15.9% 18.91Y. 42.9% 100% 580 399 474 1,076 2,510 San Bernardino Unincorporated 23.3% 116.11% 18.9% 41.7% 100% 4,802 3,324 3,899 8,598 20,622 Venture Camarillo city 21.8% 17.7% 20.6% 40.0% 100% 727 591 687 1,335 3,340 Ventura Fillmore city 20.8% 17.3% 20.5% 41.6% 100% 203 170 202 410 985 In such cases, communities may choose which of the income categories It Wit adfust by one unit to maintain consistency with the approved total housing need. M:yohnson \RHNA \RHNAFinal.xls Final 07/12/2007 Page 6 rl . Final MNohnson\RHNA1RHNAFinal.xls 07/12/2007 Page 7 Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June 30, for Jurisdictions within the Six - County SCAG Region 2014) (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on July 12, 2007) v:.�wxw YYry % %�� %very low. %low moderate moderate Number of Number of Number of above Courtly very low Income income Income income ' income Number of low moderate moderate qty households households households households %tots] households income Income income Ventura . Mdorpsdc city 22A% households ._households households Thai Ventura 18.1% 20.7% 38.8% 100% 383 Ojai city 20.8% 17.1% 20.8% 3 627 1,617 Ventura 41.3% 100% .90 . Oxnard 21.0% 17.2% 20,4% 74 o 80 179 433 . .. Ventura 41A% 100% 1,491 � Port Hueneme city 20.0% 17.2% 1,221 2 1,446 2,936 7,093 Ventura 20.6% 422% 100% 36 San Buenaventura (Ventura) 21.2% 17.5% . 31 37 76 180 Ventura Santa Paula city 20.3% 41.0% 100% 849 20.2% 17.4% 703 816 1,643 4,011 Ventura 20.6% 41.8% 100% 463 Simi Valley city 223% 17.9% 20.5% 390 462 g3t1 2241 Venture 59.3% 100% 754 Thousand Oaks c city 223% 18.0% 20.8% 605 694 1,330 3,383 Venture 38.9Ye 100% 411 Uninc ate, 21.7% 17.8% 20.7% 39.7% 100% 333 385 718 1,847 305 Note: There is a one unit rounding difference In some localities between the total housing need and the 250 291 658 1,404 In such cases, th 4I sum of the 4 Income groups. communities may choose which of the Incomacategodes It will adiust by one unit to maintain consistency with the approved total housing need. rl . Final MNohnson\RHNA1RHNAFinal.xls 07/12/2007 Page 7 H`. Final Regional Housing Need Allocation Plan - Planning Period (January 1, 2006 - June 30, 2014) for Jurisdictions within the Six - County SCAG Region (approved by the SCAG Regional Council on July 12, 2007) r6Y �YIY - % %above %very low %low moderate moderate income Income Income Income households households households households %total Number of . very low income households Number of % % above Number of Total Number of above %very low %low moderate moderate very low Number of low moderate moderate . Income Income Income income Income Income I Income Income Cc" C households households households households %total households households households households' Total - _- - % %above %very low %low moderate moderate income Income Income Income households households households households %total Number of . very low income households Number of low Income households Number of moderate Income households Number of above moderate Income households Total Imperial NAG 24.8% Impede! 24.8% 16.4% 15.8% 43.094 100% 6.025 4,000 3,851 10,451 24,327 Los Angeles 24.7% 15.7% 17.1% 42.6% 100% 70.117 44.469 48,472 120,869 283.927 Orange 21.5% 17.7% 19.9% 40,9% 100% 17.733 14.566 16.380 33,653 82,332 Riverside 23A% 16.3% 18.5% 41.8% 1009( 40.849 28.535 32.292 73,029 174.705 San Bernardino . 23.3% 16.2% 16.8% 41.6% 100% 25.051 17.420 20,275 44,797 107.543 Venture 21A% 17.8% 20.5% 40.5% 100% 5,682 4.660 5.444 10.748 26.534 SCAG 23.7% ' 16.2% 18.1% 42,0% 100% 165,457 113.649 126.715 293.547 699,368 Fnr IrrtMnwflM nMv 2,345 5.765 13,733 We Angeles Gateway Cities 24.5% 1114% 1 &9% 43.2% 1009( Sublmery by Subvgglon County Subregion - % %above %very low %low moderate moderate income Income Income Income households households households households %total Number of . very low income households Number of low Income households Number of moderate Income households Number of above moderate Income households Total Imperial NAG 24.8% 16A% 15.89'0 43.0% 100% 6.025 4.000 3,851 10.451 24,327 Los Angeles North LA 25.2% 15.9% 17.1% 41.8% 1009( 18.499 11,661 12,554 30,639 73.352 Los Angeles' LA City. 24.1% 15.5% 17.1% 43.3% 100% 27A36 17.620 19.443 49.199 113.698 Las Angeles Arroyo Verdugo 24.9% 15.8% 17.0% 42,3% 100% 1.871 1,187 1,282 3,184 7.524 Los Angeles San Gabriel Valley Assoc. 25,2% 15.7% 17.0% 42.1% 100% 10.690 6.675 7.220 17.893 42,478 Las Angeles Westelde Ohfes 25.4% 16.0% 17.2% 41 A% 100% 893 564. 605 1,457 3,519 Los Angeles South Bay Cites Assoc. 25.1% 15.8% 17.1% 42.0% 100% 3,450 2.173 2,345 5.765 13,733 We Angeles Gateway Cities 24.5% 1114% 1 &9% 43.2% 1009( 6,914 4.360 4,777 12.185 28236 Los Angeles Las Virgenes. Conejo 26.30/. 16,5% 17.7%, 39.5% 100% 364 229 246 548 1,387 Orange Orange 21.5% 17.71Y. 19.9% 40.9% 100% 17.733 14.566 16,380 33.653 82.332 Mverside WROOG 23.5% 16A% 18.5% 41.70/6 100% 30,798 21,501 24.208 54.625 131.133 Riverside CVAG 23.1% 1 6.1% .1 &6% 42.294 100% 10,050 7.034 8,084 18.404 43.572 San Bernardino SANBAG 23.30% 16.2% 18.80% 41.6% 1009/, 25.051 17.420 20,275 44,797 107.543 Ventura 'VCOG 21 A% 17.6% 20.59/6 40-W 100% 5.662 4,660 5A44 10,748 26,534 SCAG 23,7% 16.2% 18.1% 42.0% 100% 165,457 113.649 126.715 293.547 699.368 For Imormauon omy M:yohnsnn\RHNA\RHNAFinal.xls Final 07/12/2007 . Page 8 EXHIBIT F PROGRESS IN MEETING Rr. ')NAL HOUSING NEEDS Page 1 of 21 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH PLANNING COMMISSION STAFF REPORT Agenda Item No. 5 October 5, 2006 TO: PLANNING COMMISSION FROM: Planning Department -Brandon Nichols, Assistant Planner (949) 644 -3234, bnichols ftity. newport-beach. ca. us SUBJECT: Housing Element Implementation - Annual Progress Report hECOMMENDADM Review and forward the Annual Housing Element Implementation Report to the City Council for final review. DISCUSSION: California Government Code Section 65400 requires the City to file an annual report every October to its °legislative body," the State Office of Planning and Research (OPR), and the State Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD). The report is required to provide information on status of the General Plan and the City's progress in implementing its programs as well as its progress in meeting regional housing needs goals. The City must also report on its efforts to remove governmental constraints to the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing for all income levels. Since the comprehensive update of Newport Beach General Plan will not be complete until the election in November, an annual review of the entire General Plan is not required at this time. Consistent with the guidelines from OPR, the City will submit a brief letter to the State describing the scope of the General Plan Update and its anticipated completion date. httP: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas/2006ri 100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007- YKUUF- ✓JJ IN M 't,L1'1NU Krr NAL HOUSING NEEDS Page 2 of 21 As required by State Housing Element law, staffff has completed a detailed Housing Element Implementation Report which provides the following information: (A) a review of the City's progress in fulfilling its share of the Regional Housing Needs Assessment; (B) a complete detailed status report on the implementation of each of the housing programs of the City's Housing Plan; and (C) a review of actions and programs adopted to remove or mitigate governmental constraints on the development of housing for all income levels. 'Since the City is in the midst of updating its General Plan, the report contains an additional section that discusses the options for future residential development that are being considered as part of the General Plan Update (D). Environmental Review Not subject to CEQA, as the action is not a project as defined in Section 15378(b)(2) of the Public Resources Code. Prepared by: Submitted by: Brandon Nichols Assistant Planner Exhibits: 1. Housing Element Implementation Report Patricia Temple Planning Director http: / /www.city,newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i100506- 05.htm 12110/2007 PROGRESS IN MEl 1'ING RJ-f 'NAL HOUSING NEEDS Exhibit I CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH http; / /www.city.ne WpOrt- beach.ca. us/PlnAgendas/20061i 100506- 05.htm Page 3 of 21 12/10/2007 0 PKUCiKtNN IN M C;r;1'tNU KP' 'NAL HUUN1NU NN�llN Page 4 of 21 HOUSING ELEMENT IMPLEMENTATION REPORT Fiscal Year 2005 -2006 The Newport Beach Housing Element was adopted in August, 2003. The element was subsequently amended in April, 2005. Since then, City staff has been diligent in their attempts to implement the Housing Element's goals and programs. This report evaluates these programs and outlines attempts made to pursue program and goal fulfillment. California Government Code Section 65400 specifically mandates that the report provide the following information: (A) a review of the City's progress in fulfilling its share of the Regional Housing Needs Assessment; (B) a complete detailed status report on the implementation of each of the housing programs of the City's Housing Plan; and (C) a review of actions and programs adopted to remove or mitigate governmental constraints on the development of housing for all income levels. A. PROGRESS IN MEETING REGIONAL HOUSING NEEDS (RHNA GOALS) The Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) prepared a Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) to identify the housing need for each jurisdiction within the SCAG region. SCAG, through the RHNA process, has assigned Newport Beach a curtain share. of housing units that it should provide between the 1998.— 2005 planning period in an effort to satisfy housing needs resulting from the projected growth in the region. To accommodate projected growth in the region, SCAG estimates the City needs to target its housing unit production to accommodate 476 new housing units. With the annexation of Newport Coast in 2001, the City agreed to transfer 945 units from the Orange County Regional Housing Needs allocation to the Newport Coast area. This agreement was made since the Irvine Company committed to the County to fulfill its allocation. However, since the County is still responsible for issuing building permits for the area, the analysis on meeting the RHNA allocation does not include the 945 Newport Coast units. Data from the County of Orange regarding the number of issued building permits is forthcoming. Due to proposed changes in RHNA methodology,. jurisdictions in the SCAG region will not receive new RHNA allocation numbers until 2007. This will result in a "gap period" from the end. of the 2005 RHNA cycle until 2007. During this period, the City of Newport Beach will continue to track housing unit production at all income levels. This information will be used to monitor the City's progress towards providing its share of regional housing needs. The table below indicates the future need for housing in Newport Beach and its distribution by income group as calculated through the RHNA process (excluding Newport Coast). TOTAL RHNA CONSTRUCTION NEED BY INCOME 1998 -2005 http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PhiAgendas/2006 /i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 PROURbSN iN NLLI F NU PP 'NAL HUUNLNU NbbDS Page-') ot'L1 VERY LOW LOW MODERATE I ABOVE MODERATE TOTAL 86 1 53 83 1 254 476 18% 1 11% 17% 1 53' 1 100% The.City Building Department maintains a detailed Building Activity Report for each fiscal year. The report lists the total number of. different types of construction permits issued, as well as the number of demolition permits issued. This data was used to create the following table illustrating the total number of new additional units that were permitted from 1998 -2006. TOTAL NUMBER OF NEW ADDITIONAL HOUSING UNITS PERMITTED 1998 -2006 FISCAL YEAR NEW UNITS VERY DEMOLISHED UNITS TOTAL ADDITIONAL UNITS 1 ST 6 MONTHS OF 1998 315 LOW 180 135 1998 -1999 1018 86 158 860 1999 -2000 742 24 258 484 2000 -2001 1234 1 168 166 2001 -2002 1159 1130 29 2002 -2003 162 62 174 -12 2003 -2004 198 162 36 2004 -2005 329 170 159 2005 -2006 170 159 11, TOTAL 3327 1559 11768 The City issued a total of 1,757 new additional residential building permits during the 1998- 2005 RHNA period. This number well exceeds the total 476 units projected by SLAG. During the 2004 -2005 reporting period the City issued 159 permits for new additional dwelling units. 120 of.the new units are a result of building permits issued for the Bayview Landing Senior, Affordable Housing Project. With the exception of one "mangers unit' all of the. 120 units are designated for very low: and low income seniors. CITY'S PROGRESS IN MEETING IT'S SHARE OF THE REGIONAL HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT DURING RHNA PERIOD 1998 -2005 VERY ATE ABOVE LOW MODERATE PROJECTED NEED 86 254 . TOTAL NEW UNITS 24 1637 ffLOW E476 PERMITTED 1/98 -6/05 REMAINING NEED 62 0 B. HOUSING PROGRAM.IMPLEMENTATION STATUS http: / /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 YKVVKL"JJ llV NiY51r1llVli Kl"! 'N AL 11V U J11V li NhhON 1 1.1.1 Improve housing quality and prevent deterioration of existing neighborhoods by strictly enforcing building code regulations and abating code violations and nuisances. Enforcement activities_ will focus on property maintenance, eliminating derelict or abandoned vehicles, outdoor storage, or other situations that may constitute health, safety or fire hazards. Reduce the potential for criminal activity by providing guidelines for maintaining the security of existing development with emphasis on site design (such as security lighting, vegetation removal, electronic garage door openers, window security. and other crime prevention techniques). 1.1.3 Promote the maintenance and upkeep of rental housing by encouraging the California State Franchise Tax Board to enforce the Tax Code preventing owners of rental housing from claiming depreciation, amortization, mortgage.. interest and property tax deductions on 1.1.4 Continue to participate with the OCHA and HCD in their administration of rehab loans and grants for low- and moderate- income homeowners and rental property owners to encourage preservation of existing housing stock. Continue to require replacement of housing demolished within the Coastal rage 6 or zl . The Uniform Housing Code is Adopted and continually enforced by the Building Department and Code Enforcement Department. The Water Quality and Code Enforcement Department continually administers an enforcement program to correct violations of municipal codes and land use requirements. A quarterly report is kept on file on code enforcement Planning staff recommends design elements to maintain security and coordinates plan review with Newport Beach Police Department. A brochure was created and placed in the public lobby containing Guidelines for This program will be deleted from the Housing Element during the next update cycle. Research is in progress and an analysis of different programs and the financial feasibility of participating in these programs will be assessed. http: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas/2006 /i 100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 YKUIiK ,N LIN Y1hb1JA(j"I NALHVUSINUIVEWS Zone when housing is (or has been) occupied - by low- and moderate households within the last 12 months). The City shall prohibit demolition unless a Coastal Residential Development Permit has been issued. The specific provisions implementing replacement unit requirements are contained in- 1.1.6 Participate in a cooperative program with the OCHA and Community Development program office for administration of the HUD Rental Rehab Program. Energy efficient products shall be required when appropriate. 1.1.7 Should need arise, consider using a portion of its CDBG funds for establishment and implementation of an emergency home repair program. Energy efficient products shall be required whenever appropriate. 1.2.1 As part of its annual -General Plan Review, the City shall provide information on the status of all housing programs. The portion of the annual report discussing housing programs is to be distributed to HCD in accordance with State law in January of each year via US postal service. 1.2.2 Investigate availability of Federal, State and local programs (including in lieu funds) and pursue these programs if found feasible, for the preservation of low- income housing that may increase to market rates during the next ten years. A list of these programs, including sources and funding amounts will be identified as part of this program As part of the annual GP review, monitor existing programs designed to Yage / of 2 Chapter 20.86 of the Zoning Code, "Low and Moderate Income Housing within the Coastal Zone," establishes the standards and requirements to implement this program. On -going and Research is in progress, and an analysis of different programs and the financial feasibility of participating in these programs will be assessed. ,_ Staff will prepare a study to analyze whether or not a need for this program exists. If it is determined that a need exists, Due to the comprehensive General Plan Update, the City is not conducting an annual General Plan review. Consistent with the guidelines from the State Office of Planning and Research (OPR), the City will be presenting OPR with a brief letter describing the scope of the General Plan Update and the anticipated Research is in progress, and an analysis of different programs and the financial feasibility of participating in any of these programs (if.any) will be assessed. http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /il00506- 05.htm 12!10/2007 rKUL&tr, J LN Nlhh11N Ur Kr.I NAL HUUNINIi 1NhhL)N preserve assisted housing development for very low- and low - income households to determine whether additional actions are available and should be required to protect these 1.3.1 Continue to contract with the OC Fair Housing Council for administration of the Fair Housing Program including updating the analysis of impediments to fair housing. In addition, continue to contract with OCHA to refer fair housing complaints. Pamphlets containing information related to fair housing complaints will continue to be provided to the public at the Planning Department. Support .fair housing opportunities by using CDBG funds whenever necessary to enact Federal, State and City fair housing policies. Monitor progress on each program and periodically report findings to the Planning Commission and City Council. wnenever Jana use regulations, land use designations or Housing Programs are proposed for adoption or modificafion, the City of Newport Beach Planning Department shall undertake an analysis to determine if the proposed action or regulation is consistent with the Housing Element, all other elements of the General Plan, rage is or zl The City contracts with the OC Fair Housing Authority annually. The Regional Fair Housing Impediments Analysis was completed in 2000. Pamphlets containing information of Fair Housing and Dispute Resolution Services are provided at the public counter. For the 2005 -2006 Fiscal Year, Newport Beach allocated $13,068 in CDBG funding to the Fair Housing Council of Orange County to assist the City in furthering fair housing through education, landlord/tenant counseling, and leaal action when necessary. In conjunction with Program 1.2.1, staff will present the Planning. Commission and the City Council with an annual status report for their review and approval prior to This is a standard procedure for all Planning Department staff. Consistency with the General Plan is a standard finding of approval. If an inconsistency exists, staff http: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas/2006ti 100506 -05. htm 12/10/2007 YKVUKM611N 1V=1LNU FU1f 'NAL HUUN NU 1NhhJ_)N Yage 9 of 11 GOAL 2 Maintain rental opportunities by restricting conversions of rental units to condominiums unless the vacancy rate in Newport Beach for rental housing is 5 % or higher for four (4) consecutive quarters, and unless the property owner complies with condominium conversion regulations contained in Chapter 20.83 of the Newport 2.1.2 Take all feasible actions, through use of development agreements, expedited A vacancy rate survey is completed every quarter to monitor consistency with this policy. http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 and with ail adopted City Council takes the appropriate actions. to policies. If the proposal is inconsistent, amend policies, plans, or the policy, plan or Element shall be Elements to ensure amended in conjunction with approval consistency. of the proposed regulation or action to ensure consistency. Consistency shall be achieved whenever a regulation, action or project is approved. 1.5.1 Investigate the use of Federal funds to Pending Provide technical and financial assistance, if necessary, to all eligible Research is in progress, and homeowners and residential rental an analysis of different property owners to rehab existing programs and financial. dwelling units through low- interest feasibility of participating in loans or potential loans, or grants to these programs will be very low, low, and mod- income owner assessed. occupants. 1.5.2 Periodically inform mobile home Pending owners of,financial assistance available from State HCD for eligible owner- Research is in progress, and occupants to rehab existing dwelling an analysis of different units through deferred payment low- programs and financial interest loans. feasibility of participating in these programs will be assessed. 1.5.3 Per Government Code Section On -going 65863.7, a Mobile Home Park Conversion Permit shall be required as City staff requires special. a prerequisite for conversion of an permits for all proposed existing mobile home park. In addition, conversions of mobile home the owner of the mobile home park parks and as required by State shall provide a detailed relocation Law, requires detailed impact report. The report shall be filed relocation impact reports. concurrently with filing for any discretionary permit on such property. GOAL 2 Maintain rental opportunities by restricting conversions of rental units to condominiums unless the vacancy rate in Newport Beach for rental housing is 5 % or higher for four (4) consecutive quarters, and unless the property owner complies with condominium conversion regulations contained in Chapter 20.83 of the Newport 2.1.2 Take all feasible actions, through use of development agreements, expedited A vacancy rate survey is completed every quarter to monitor consistency with this policy. http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 YKUIiKrJJ r1V NI=Iif J I(P' . 'NAL riUUJiNl7 NhWb development review, and expedited processing of grading, building and other development permits; to ensure expedient construction and occupancy for projects approved with low- and moderate - income housing requirements. 2.1.3 The City Council and Planning Commission shall have discretion to review and waive planning and park fees, and modify development standards (e.g. parking; setbacks, lot coverage, etc.) for developments containing low - and moderate- income housing in proportion to the number of low- and moderate - income units in each entire project. continue to encourage the California State Department of Real Estate and California State Department of Housing and Community Development to permit installation of mobile homes, factory-built housing, or other construction technology, provided such products comply with development standards of the community and are compatible with planning, aesthetic, and other applicable considerations of , the specific neighborhood in which such product is Continue to participate with the County of Orange in the issuance of tax exempt mortgage revenue bonds to facilitate and assist in financing, development and construction of housing affordable to low and moderate - income households. City staff shall . encourage developers of remaining residential sites to use tax - exempt mortgage revenue bonds to facilitate construction of low- and moderate - income housing. rage ru or zi Planning staff continually evaluates all proposed affordable housing projects for potential incentives, including expedient processing of permits. During the entitlement process, the Bayview Landing Senior Affordable Housing Project was granted a partial entitlement fee waiver, expedited permit processing, and entitlement Staff continually evaluates proposed affordable housing projects to determine potential incentives, including the waiver of fees and flexibility with development standards. The Bayview Landing Senior Affordable Housing Project was granted a partial fee waiver as a The City of Nqwport Beach continually complies with State Law as it applies to the permitting and installation of mobile homes and factory built housing. On -going The participation with the County of Orange in the issuance of tax exempt mortgage revenue bonds is project driven. Usually the developer applies for the tax exempt bonds. The City will encourage and inform developers of the use and http: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas /2006/i 100506 -05.htm 12/10!2007 rKUUKVZauvmrr,tlNttltrJ 'NALnvwuvvrvcrliZ� Develop and implement an annual compliance- monitoring program for units required to be occupied by very low -, low -, and moderate income households as approved with the development of Newport Coast and in accordance with the Newport Coast Affordable Housing Implementation Program (AHIP). Continue to require a proportion of affordable housing in new residential developments or levy an in -lieu fee. The City's goal over the five -year planning period is for an average of 20 % of all new housing units to be affordable to very low - and low- income households. Given considerations of proper general planning, the California Environmental Quality .Act, Project development incentives, and government financial assistance, the City shall either; a) require the production of the housing units affordable to very low -.and low- income households, or, b) require the payment of an in -lieu fee, depending on the following criteria for project size: 2.2.2 The City-shall provide more assistance for projects that provide a higher number of affordable units or a greater level of affordability. More than 20 %0 of units shall be affordable when assistance is provided from Community Development Block Grant funds or the City's in -lieu housing fund. rage i i or Li availability of tax exempt bonds. The Bayview Landing Senior Affordable Housing Project was awarded a total of $4,583,727 in tax credits. (See Bayview Landing status report for details on nroiect) It has been determined by the County of Orange, that the affordable housing obligations for Newport Coast have been met through the provision of off - site affordable apartments. Staff continues to enforce the requirements for affordable housing and/or the payment of in -lieu fees. In addition, the City is in the process of updating its in -lieu fee and affordable housing ordinance to reflect current land costs and to clarify existing requirements. The City will provide financial assistance based on a project by project analysis, depending on . need and overall project merits. The City.continues to participate in this Housing Program. The Bayview Landing Senior Affordable.housing project received $1, million dollars from the City's "in -lieu" housing fund reserves. (See Bayview Landing status report for details on http: / /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /il00506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 YKUU" -JJ llV NLtZILNU KVI 'NAL riUU611NU JNhhUJ rage rz or zr 2.2.3 For new developments proposed in the On going Coastal Zone areas of the City (comprising approximately 40% of the area of Newport Staff continues to implement the Beach), the City shall require provision of provisions of Chapter 20.86 of housing affordable to persons or families of the Zoning Code (Low and low- and moderate- income, where feasible Moderate Income Housing within in projects of 10 or more units. Whenever the Coastal Zone "). practicable, the City shall require they be located on -site; alternatively, the City may permit the developer to locate units off -site but within the Coastal Zone, or within (3) miles of the Coastal Zone (within Newport Beach): All residential developments of three units or more within the Coastal Zone shall require a Coastal Residential Development Permit. Determinations of feasibility, and procedures relating to provision of low- and moderate - income housing within the Coastal Zone, shall be governed by Newport Beach Municipal Code Title 20. 2.2.4 All required affordable units shall have On -going restrictions to maintain their affordability for - a minimum of 30 years. Staff continues to include this affordability restriction as a standard condition on all affordable housing projects, unless an otherwise longer affordability. covenant is agreed upon'. A comprehensive affordable housing ordinance is currently being developed which will clearly specify all conditions for incentives, including the minimum affordability period of 30 years. Attempt to ensure that existing landowners and prospective developers are aware of affordable housing development opportunities available within the Newport Banning Ranch, . Bayview, and Avocado /MacArthur properties. Bayview Landing was required to provide a restricted affordability covenant of a minimum of 55 City staff continues to provide prospective developers with information on the City's available land and its incentive http: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas/2006/i 100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 PROGRESS IN MEETING RF! NAL HOUSING NEEDS The Affordable Housing Task Force and/or City staff shall periodically contact known local developers and landowners to solicit new affordable housing construction. 2.2.7 The Affordable Housing Task Force shall create a program for the expenditure of in- lieu housing funds. 2.2.8 When it is determined to be of beneft, the City shall participate in other housing assistance programs that assist production of housing. Newport Beach Staff and developers of proposed major commercial/industrial Projects shall study housing impact(s) of such project(s) during the development review process. Prior to project approval, a housing impact` assessment shall be developed by the City with the active involvement of the developer. Such assessment shall indicate the magnitude of jobs to be created by the project, where Page 13 of 21 program. For example, as part of the General Plan update, the potential for affordable housing was discussed with property The City Manager's Office and Community and Economic Development periodically discuss the construction of new affordable housing with local. developers and landowners. City staff also introduces the idea of constructing affordable housing to developers who propose large residential projects and discuss Density Bonuses to assist in the construction of affofdable Upon completion of developing an In -Lieu Fee program and ordinance, a meeting will be scheduled with the Affordable Housing Task Force to develop a program for the expenditure of in -lieu fees. City staff continues to investigate feasible housing assistance programs. Staff is monitoring legal challenges to inclusionary housing requirements, and will research the idea of developing housing impact fees for all new commercial and industrial developments as an additional or alternative resource for providing http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgeiidas/2006 /i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 YKUI1(h1M IN MIrC;11Nli 1Ct'� NAL HUUJllVIi 1VthOS housing opportunities are expected to be available, and what measures (public and private) are requisite, if any, to ensure an adequate supply of housing for the projected labor force of the project and for any restrictions on development due to the As part of the comprehensive General Plan Update, investigate the potential of housing (including single room occupancy hotel(s), and mixed use development in areas such as Newport Center, Santa Ana Heights, Bay Knolls and JWA. Yage 14 of 21. affordable housing. Staff will monitor all new planning applications for applicability. The updated General Plan approved by the City Council in July includes new housing opportunities (1,166 units) in Newport Center, the JWA area and other areas. The City Charter requires voter approval of General Plan amendments that increase the number of residential units by more than 100, and the General Plan is on GOAL 3 PROGRAM I GOAL ISTATILIS 3.1.1 Increase the efficiency of the building On -going permit process by insuring that the initial plan review be completed within 4 The City has an automated weeks for 90% of all submittals. This tracking system in place. will include an automated tracking If a target date is missed, an email system allowing applicants to monitor notification is sent to all plan check progress via the Internet. department supervisors. Efficiency Implementation of this program began in of plan check review is monitored September 2002 and operates on an on- monthly to ensure a 90% success .going basis. rate. The City completed an evaluation Of the building permit process in August 2006, and is beginning to implement recommendations to improve efficiency.. 3.1.2 When a residential developer agrees to Ongoing construct housing : for persons and families of low and moderate income, The City considers density bonuses the City shall either (1) grant a density and other incentives on a project by bonus or (2) provide other incentives of project basis, depending on the equivalent financial value. need and Droject merits. 3.2.1 Identify the following sites as adequate, On -going which will be made available through appropriate zoning and .development All three of these sites have been http: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/Pl Agendav2006/i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 rKUUF,tZN llV N1CbiINU Eb? NAL HUUJUNU 1Vbbl)S standards and with public services and facilities needed to facilitate and encourage development of a variety, of housing types to meet City housing goals as identified pursuant to. Government Code Section §65583(b): Newport Banning Ranch; Bayview Landing; and, Avocado /MacArthur. rage 13 or zl identified in the Housing Element under, "Inventory of Land Suitable for Residential Development'. A project proposal has not been received for the Banning Ranch site; although the updated General Plan retains it as a housing 3.2.2 Require the developer(s) of the 4.5 -acre Completed site located on the southwesterly comer Of the intersection of Jamboree Road and Back Bay Drive (known as the Bayview Landing , site) to provide approximately one hundred twenty (120) residential units for low- income senior households. The City shall assist the developer(s) by streamlining the discretionary application process and by granting a density bonus of twenty -five percent J25 %) for the project. Additionally, the City may consider using a portion of fees collected from other projects paid in -lieu of providing affordable residential units to facilitate meeting the City Affordable Regional Housing Needs. Assessment construction requirements on said BaYview Landina site. 3.2.3 Encourage the developer(s) of a 3.5- Pending acre site located northerly of San Miguel, easterly of Avocado Avenue, and westerly of MacArthur Boulevard (known as the Avocado/MacArthur site) to provide at least fifty -six (56) multiple - family residential units for Senior Citizen Households. The City shall assist the developer(s) by initiating a Change of Zone within one (1) year of certification of this Housing Element to allow such senior residential units on said site, by The Avocado/MacArthur site remains available for multifamily development. However, the updated General Plan re- designates this site as open space and instead makes other sites available for more housing units than could be developed at this site. Voter approval is required for additional units. considering a "density bonus" and/or other incentives, and by streamlining the discretionary process. Additionally, the City may consider using a portion of fees collected from other projects paid in http: / /www. city .newp6rt- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas /2006 /i100506- 05.h1m 1 12/10/2007 PROGRESS IN MEETING RF' 3.2.4 3.2.6 3.2.7 NAL HOUSING NEEDS lieu of providing affordable residential units to facilitate meeting the City's Very Low -, Low -, and Moderate- Income Regional Housing Needs Assessment construction require -ments on the Avocado /MacArthur site. When requested by property owners, the City of Newport Beach shall continue to approve rezoning of developed or vacant property from non - residential to residential uses when appropriate. These rezoned properties shall be added to the list of sites for residential development. The City shall consider a potential reduction of commercial zoning within some of its village commercial areas within the Coastal Zone to allow for additional residential development. Economic feasibility studies to support such a reduction will be evaluated concurrently with the City's General Plan Update projected for completion in 2005. Encourage the participation in a Joint Powers Authority of Orange County jurisdictions for the purpose of financing and administering a lease purchase Program for first -time homebuvers_ Continue to participate as a member of the Orange County Housing Authority Advisory Committee and work in cooperation with the Orange County Housing Authority to provide Section 8 Rental Housing Assistance to residents of, the community. The City shall, in cooperation with the Housing Authority, recommend and request use of modified fair market rent limits to increase number of housing units within the City that will be eligible to participate in the. program. The Newport Beach Planning Department shall prepare and implement a publicity program to educate and encourage landlords within Page 1 o or 21 The City continually monitors requests for zone changes of vacant and developed properties from non - residential to residential and approves when determined to be compatible and feasible. When approved, these sites are mapped for residential uses on both the zoning district. map and General Plan Land Use Map. Several commercial areas in the Coastal Zone have been re- designated for mixed use (residential/commercial) development in the updated General Plan, which is on the ballot for November 2006. On -going Due to potential legal conflicts, the lease purchase program has been On -going City Staff regularly attends the quarterly meetings of the Cities Advisory Committee. In addition, staff continually works in cooperation with the County to provide Section 8 rental housing assistance to residents. The City is currently working with the OCHA to help disseminate information regarding the upcoming opening of the Section 8 waiting list. htip: / /www. city. newport- beach.ca.us/PlnAgendas/2006 /i 100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 PROGRESS IN MEETING RF' NAL HOUSING NEEDS the City to rent their units to Section 8 Certificate holders and to make very low- income households aware of availability of. the Section 8 Rental Housing Assistance Program. rage i i or LI . A link to the Orange County Housing Authority website has been placed on our City website to provide information on the Section 8 program. GOAL PROGRAM GOAL STATUS 4.1.1 Periodically contact owners of affordable On -going units for those developments listed on Table 29 to obtain information regarding Staff is currently updating the their plans for continuing affordability on contact list for affordable units. A their properties. survey may be developed and sent out annually to each contact. 4.1.2 Consult with property owners regarding Pending CDBG funds and in -lieu funds to maintain affordable housing opportunities in those Will be discussed during the developments listed in Table 29. AHTF meetings in conjunction with Program 2.2.7. 4.1.3 Prepare written communication for tenants On -going and other interested parties about OCHA Section 8 renewals to assist tenants and Information pamphlets informing prospective tenants to acquire additional prospective tenants and understanding of housing law and related landlords about the OCHA policy issues. Section 8 program have been made available in the public lobby. In addition, information about the Section 8 program has been posted on the City website. 4.1.4 Continue to pursue Community Pending Development Grant Funds to facilitate construction of housing for very low- and Research is in progress, and an low- income households. Use of CDBG analysis of the financial feasibility funds may include but shall not be limited of using CDBG funds will be to site acquisition, "off - setting" of land assessed. and/or construction costs. GOAL TUS Apply for US Department of Urban Development CDBG funds and allocate a http: /Avww.city.newpori- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006/i100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 HUUSINIi NEEDS portion of such funds to sub- recipients who provide shelter and other services for the homeless. 5.1.2 As a ..condition of receiving housing funding through the City, the City shall require social service agencies receiving such funds record information on clients they serve and provide an annual audit of their activities. 5.1.3 Cooperate with OCHA to pursue establishment of a Senior/Disabled or Limited Income Repair Loan and Grant Program to underwrite all or.part of the cost of necessary housing modifications and repairs. Loans would be repaid or forgiven on an ability to pay basis. Health and safety deficiencies would receive priority. Modifications for accessibility also would be appropriate. Administration of funds would be the responsibility of the OCHA. Cooperation with OCHA will include continuing City of Newport Beach participation in_ the OC Continuum of Care an_d continuing to provide CDBG funding. 5.1.4 Continue to permit development of senior citizen housing facilities in all residential and commercial zoning districts pursuant to Zoning Code Sections 20.10.020 and 20.15.020(b). rage is or/ i The Action Plan for Fiscal year 2005/2006 has been approved and the City will provide funding to the following organizations to preserve the supply of emergency and transitional housing: Orange Coast Interfaith Shelter, Serving People In Need(SPI% WISEPlace, and M_ecey House. The following organization has been funded to assist homeless battered women and children: WISEPIace On -going Reports are submitted on a quarteriy.basis with each invoice from CBDG recipients. These records are kept on file at the grant administrator's office IMDG Research is in progress, and an analysis of different programs and the financial feasibility of participating in these programs will be assessed. Bayview Landing is a senior affordable housing project consisting of 120.units. All units are age restricted to those 62 vears of aae and older_ 5.1.5 Continue to permit, where appro priate,' On -going development of "granny" units in single - family areas of the City. Consider Code Amendment No. 2003 -001 amending the zoning code to allow (PA 2003 -054) was, by httpJ /w.ww.ciry.newport- beach. ca. us /P1nAgendas/2006 /i100506 -05.htm 12/10/2007 PROGRESS IN MEETING RF' ANAL HOUSING NEEDS rage i y vi /- i http: / /www. city . newport- beach.ca.us/PhiAgendas /2006 /1100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 approval of "granny units" at the staff . City Council May 13, 2003 to level instead of by the Planning grant the Planning Director Commission. approving authority over Second Unit Use Permits, rather than the Planning Commission. 5.1.6 Consistent with the development On -going standards in residential and commercial areas, continue to permit emergency Emergency shelt6ts and shelters and transitional housing under transitional housing are monitored group housing provisions in its Zoning for compliance with the Code. development standards regulations contained in the Zoning Code. 5.1.7 The City of Newport Beach shall On -going investigate. State Housing Opportunities for Persons With AIDS ( HOPWA). On February 9, 2005, the City participated in the 2005 HOPWA Strategy Meeting hosted by the City of Santa Ana, to provide recommendations for the allocation of HOPWA funds for the 2005 program year. As the most populous city in Orange County, the City of Santa Ana receives HOPWA funding from HUD on behalf of the entire County. Authorized uses of these funds include: acquisition, rehabilitation, conversion, or lease of facilities to provide short -term shelter, new construction, project or tenant based rental assistance, short term rent and utility payments, and supportive services. Should the City wish to partner in the acquisition, development, or rehabilitation of affordable housing for persons with HIV /AIDS , the City may request funding at future HOPWA Strategy meetings. 5:1.8 Notify residential developers (upon .On -going application for a discretionary permit) and to interested individuals and families, the Project planners regularly inform following, Table, entitled "Public and developers about affordable Private Resources Available for Housing housing opportunities and and Community Development Activities. programs. able included in Appendix 4 http: / /www. city . newport- beach.ca.us/PhiAgendas /2006 /1100506- 05.htm 12/10/2007 PROGRESS IN MEETING R- ' : NAL HOUSING NEEDS 5.1.9 By December 2003, the City shall analyze and determine whether there are constrairts on the - ' development, maintenance and improvements of housing intended for persons with .disabilities, consistent with SB 520 enacted Jan. 1, 2002. If any constraints, are found, the City will. take subsequent actions within 6 months of the completion of the evaluation. The analysis will include an evaluation of existing land use controls, permit and processing procedures and building codes. If any constraints are found in these areas, the City will initiate actions to address these constraints, including removing the constraints, or providing reasonable accommodation for housing intended for persons with disabilities. Page 20 of 21 Completed As required by SB520, a Constraints Analysis report was completed in January 2004, however due to anticipated changes to the Zoning Code pertaining to "Residential Care Facilities ", the report was postponed until a resolution was adopted. The City has adopted amendments to the Zoning Code which includes the addition of a Federal Exception Permit process as a mechanism for persons to request a reasonable accommodation pertaining to residential care facilities for 7 or more persons within residential zones. Changes have been made to the SB520 Constraints Analysis insistent with the amendments and the report was submitted to BCD on July 20. 2004. C. MITIGATING GOVERNMENTAL CONSTRAINTS In accordance with Senate Bill SB520 and Newport Beach Housing Program 5.1.9, a thorough analysis of constraints on the development, maintenance and improvement of housing for persons with disabilities was conducted in January of 2004. The analysis specifically addresses constraints related to zoning and land use controls, permit and processing procedures, and building codes. Although. a potential constraint was. recognized, the City of Newport Beach complies with both the federal Fair Housing Act (FHA) and the California Fair Employment and Housing Act (FEHA) in providing reasonable accommodations through the use of existing regulatory procedures not specially designed for people with disabilities. A potential constraint may exist at times when there are conflicts between the California Building Code requirements pertaining to access and adaptability for.persons with physical disabilities and the Newport Beach Zoning Code requirements. The City recognizes that a person with disabilities may require special accommodations for retrofitting their existing residential units for. purposes of accessibility and safety. A remedy for dealing with these conflicts between building code requirements for accessibility and adaptability, and the City Zoning Code would be to amend Zoning Code Section 20.60, "Site Regulations ", to incorporate a subsection which would allow the City to utilize a "Director / Staff Approval'. This type of approval is an existing administrative review process and is intended to allow the review and analysis of conflicts and requests for accommodations at the staff level. Staff is exploring this option as part of a review of development standards contained in the zoning code. D. THE GENERAL PLAN UPDATE http: / /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i100506 -05.htm 12110/2007 PROGRESS.IN MEETING Ri 'NAL HOUSING NEEDS Page 21 of 21 In order to accommodate Citys fair share of regional population growth, a significant part of the comprehensive General Plan Update process has focused on identifying areas of the City that may be suitable for future residential development. Since the City is largely built out, most of the options being considered involve redesignating some commercial/office/industrial areas for residential or mixed residentiakommercial uses. Of these, properties in the Airport Area and Newport Center have been identified as having the potential to yield a substantial number of new dwelling units. These two areas, in addition to several others identified as possible new residential sites, were included in the updated General Plan approved by the City Council on July 25, 2006, adding the potential for 1,166 more housing units than the previous General Plan. City Charter Section 423 requires voter approval of General Plan amendments that increase development potential by more than 100 dwelling units, and the General Plan is on the November 2006 ballot.. Future development in these areas would be subject to affordable housing regulations and will yield additional affordable units or generate - additional in lieu affordable housing fees. http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i 100506- 05.htm 12110/2007 EXHIBIT G CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH TO: CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH PLANNING COMMISSION STAFF REPORT PLANNING COMMISSION FROM: City Manager's Office Sharon Wood, Assistant City Manager 949- 644 -3222, swood @ city.newport- beach.ca.us Page 1 of 12 Agenda Item No. 2 June 15, 2006 SUBJECT: General Plan Update: Land Use and Housing Elements PROPONENT: City of Newport Beach Receive public comments on the referenced elements of the Draft General Plan; provide direction to staff, and continue public hearing to June 22, 2006. DISCUSSION: The Planning Commission continued.their and made recommendations to the City additional policy questions, the Circulatior and the format of the Implementation recommendations at their June 13, 2006 reported to the Commission at the meeting. review of the Land Use Element on June 1, 2006, Council regarding the "Other Land Use Areas;' i Element, the Draft Environmental Impact Report Program. The City Council will consider those hearing. The actions of the City Council will be Areas and Issues for Discussion at his Hearina At this hearing, staff recommends that the Planning Commission consider the land use plan for Banning Ranch, revised policies for the Airport Area, and the policy additions and revisions requested by the Planning Commission and City Council at prior hearings on the Land Use Element. Also, staff recommends that the policy comparison table for the Housing Element be reviewed, including the specific policy regarding the inclusionary housing requirement previously discussed by the Planning Commission. Banning Ranch The owners of Banning Ranch have been working with the City on a letter of understanding, through which they would agree on a process and timeline to make the property available for acquisition for open space, while at the same time processing applications for developing a residential village through the City of Newport Beach. The City would commit to including 1,375 dwelling units, 75,000 square feet of commercial space, and 75 hotel rooms in the General Plan, and to working with the property owners on a pre- annexation and development http: / /www. city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /iO6l5O6- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 2 of 12 agreement. Staff expects the letter of understanding to be reviewed by the City Council on June 27. We are asking the Commission to affirm that the development levels listed above should be included in the General Plan. Land Use Policies Staff has consolidated all the land use policy changes in one attachment (Attachment 1). Policies include Transfer of Development Rights, land use policies for the Airport Area, including a new land use category for the Campus Tract, and Newport Center policies on the conversion of hotel rooms and a development agreement requirement for new residential entitlement that does not require replacing other development. The Airport Area policies reflect the change in number of residential units and new land use designation for the Campus Tract requested by the Planning Commission and City Council, as well as additional and revised policies that respond to comments on our General Plan from the Airport Land Use Commission (ALUC). The City Council has directed staff to include policies in the General Plan that will enable Newport Beach to be deemed a "consistent agency" by ALUC; most of these policies appear in the Airport Area section of the Land Use Element. Housing Element The Housing Element Policy Comparison Table (Attachment 2) shows the .changes recommended by the Planning Commission when they considered the Housing Element on March 9, 2006. At that time, the Commission recommended that the inclusionary requirement for housing affordable to lower income households be changed from 20% to 15%. That recommendation was based on the requirements of other cities, the resources available to assist affordable housing development in Newport Beach, and the potential for housing development provided in the updated General Plan compared to an estimate of Newport Beach's share of the regional need for affordable housing over 25 years. The Planning Commission and City Council have reduced the potential for housing development as they have reviewed and adjusted the land use plan during public hearings. Revised Table H30 reflects these changes (Attachment 3). Staff has used these lower residential numbers to recalculate the comparison of Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) goals to housing potential that we provided to the Commission in March (Attachment 4). Following are the two, 25 -year estimates of RHNA goals that were prepared in March. Newport Coast #1 includes the full number of Newport Coast units that was negotiated for annexation, and Newport Coast #2 includes half that amount. Goals for a planning period of 20 years have been added, because that is the General Plan "life" that we refer to most often. httpJ /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i06l506- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 3 of 12 The total number of new units that could be developed pursuant to the revised Land Use Element is 9,286. To achieve the 25 -year affordable goals shown above would require that 20% to 30% of total new units be affordable. Assuming a 20 -year goal would require 16% to 24% affordable. And looking at a more realistic scenario again, which assumes that only the units listed below will be built during the term of this General Plan, 38% to 57% of new units would need to be affordable to achieve the estimated RHNA affordable goals over 25 years. For a 20 -year period, 30% to 45% would be needed. Airport Area Newport Coast # 1 NewDo a t # 2 5 -Year RHNA Goal - City .476 476 5 -Year RHNA Goal — Coast 945 473 Total 5 -Year RHNA Goal 1,421 949 Total 1 -Year RHNA Goal 284 190 x25 x25 Total 25 -Year RHNA Goal 7,105 4,750 Affordable Percent x.40 x.40 25 -Year Affordable Goal 2,842 1,900 Total 20 -Year RHNA Goal 5,680 3,800 Affordable Percent x.40 40 20 -Year Affordable Goal 2,272 1,520 The total number of new units that could be developed pursuant to the revised Land Use Element is 9,286. To achieve the 25 -year affordable goals shown above would require that 20% to 30% of total new units be affordable. Assuming a 20 -year goal would require 16% to 24% affordable. And looking at a more realistic scenario again, which assumes that only the units listed below will be built during the term of this General Plan, 38% to 57% of new units would need to be affordable to achieve the estimated RHNA affordable goals over 25 years. For a 20 -year period, 30% to 45% would be needed. Airport Area 2,200 Banning Ranch 1,375 Mariners' Mile 300 Newport Center 450 Newport Coast 400 Balboa Peninsula Area 250 Total Likely Units 4,975 Regardless of the percent of new units required to be affordable, the City will need a system to implement this requirement. Staff and the City Council Affordable Housing Task Force have been working on an inclusionary housing ordinance, a draft of which is included as Attachment 5. Some notable provisions include Section 20.68.020, which sets forth different percent requirements, depending on which level of affordability is being provided, so that a developer meeting very low- income criteria may provide fewer units than.one meeting moderate - income criteria. Sections 20.68.030 and 20.68.100 allow for the use of credits when a developer provides more than the required percent of affordable units. Section 20.68.040 provides the option of paying fees in lieu of providing affordable units for smaller projects. There are also alternatives, exemptions and waiver provisions. If the Commission favors continuing with the ordinance approach, staff recommends that Implementation Measure 2.1f be revised as follows. Adopt an Inclusionary Housing Ordinance that guides implementation of Housing Element Policy H2.2, including a relationship between affordability criteria and number of units required, alternative means of satisfying the requirement, an in- lieu fee, and waivers for special circumstances. Another approach would be to require developers of housing projects, perhaps of a certain http: / /www. city.newport- beach. ca. us /PhiAgendas/2006 /iO6l5O6- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 4 of 12 size, to prepare Affordable Housing Implementation Plans (AHIPs) to demonstrate how they will meet Newport Beach's inclusionary requirement. This would allow each developer to customize his program for affordable housing. An example of an AHIP provided by Commissioner Tucker is included as Attachment 6. In this example, a number of points are required, and points are awarded for number of affordable units, number of bedrooms, lower income criteria, conversion of market rate units to affordable units, etc. If.the Commission prefers the AHIP approach, staff recommends that Housing Program 2.2.1 be amended to read as follows: Housing Program 2.2.1 Require a proportion of affordable housing developments or levy an in -lieu fee. The City's year planning period is for an average of 20% units to be affordable to very low -, low -, an d households. The City shall either (a) require th ein new residential goal over the five - of all new housing moderate- income payment of an in- lieu fee, , or (b) require the preparation of an Affordable Housing. Implementation Plan (AHIP) that specifies how the development will meet the City's affordability requirement, depending on the following criteria for project size: (imp 2.1) 1. Projects of fifty or fewer units shall have the option of providing the units or paying the in -lieu fee. 2. Projects where more than fifty units are proposed shall be required to- previde- the - tinitsprepare an AHIP. approval of any residential discretionary permits or Tentative Tract Maps. To insure compliance with the 201/6 affordability requirements, the City will include conditions in the approval of discretionary permits and Tentative Tract Maps to require ongoing monitoring of those projects. Finally, staff recommends the following change to Housing Program 3.2.1, in response to comments from the ALUC: Housing Program 3.2.1 Identify the following sites as adequate, which will be made available through appropriate zoning and development standards and with public services and facilities needed to facilitate and encourage development of a variety of housing types to meet City housing goals as identified pursuant to Government Code Section 65583(b): Banning Ranch, Airport Area, Newport Center, West Newport Mess,—Mariners' Mile, West Newport Highway, and the Balboa Peninsula Area. Development of new housing in the Airport Area will be restricted to areas outside the 65 dB CNEL contour as defined in the Airport Environs Land Use Plan for John Wayne Airport. http: / /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us /Ph Agendas/2006Ti061506- 02.htm 12110/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Public Notice: Page 5 of 12 Notice of this public hearing, and subsequent public hearings on the General Plan update and EIR, was provided by a quarter page display advertisement in the Daily Pilot on June 3, 2006. Government Code Section 65091 provides that, when the number of property owners to whom notice would be required to be mailed is greater than 1,000 (which is the case with a comprehensive General Plan update), notice may be provided by placing a one - eighth page advertisement in the local newspaper. Submitted by: Sharon Wood . Assistant City Manager Attachments: Prepared by: Patricia Temple Planning Director 1. Land Use Policy changes 1 Housing Element Policy Comparison Table (previously distributed) 3. Revised Housing Element Table H30 4. March 9, 2006 staff report on Housing Element 5. Draft Inclusionary Housing Ordinance 6. Draft Affordable Housing Implementation Plan http: / /www. city. newport - beach. ca. us iPlaAgendas /2006. 061506- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 6 of 12 Attachment 1 Land Use Policy Changes City -wide LU_ Transfer of Development Rights Consider the transfer of development rights from a property to one or more other properties when: a. The donor and receiver sites are within the same Statistical Area b. The reduced density/intensity on the donor site benefits the City such as the (1) provision of extraordinary open space, public visual corridor(s), parking or other amenities; (2) preservation of an historic building or property or natural landscapes; (3) improvement of the area's scale and development character; and /or (4) reduction of local vehicle trips and traffic congestion; and c. The increment of growth transferred to the receiver site complements and is in scale with surrounding development, complies with community character and design policies contained in this Plan, and does not adversely degrade local traffic conditions and environmental quality. LU 6.15 A mixed -use community that provides jobs, residential, and supporting services in close proximity, with pedestrian - oriented amenities that facilitates walking and enhance livability. Policies Urban Farm and Structure (REFER TO FIGURE LU22) W 6.15.1 Land Use Districts and Neighborhoods Provide for the development of distinct business park, commercial, and airport- serving districts and residential neighborhoods that are integrated to assure a quality environment and compatible land uses. (Imp 1.1, 2.1) LU 6.15.2 Airport Compatibility Require that all development be constructed in conformance with the height restrictions set forth by Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Federal Aviation Regulations (FAR) Part 77, Caltraus Division of Aeronautics and the Airport Environs Land Use Plan (AELUP) for John Wayne Airport. (Imp 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 12.1, 12.2, 19.3) $ttsl Pditt iV-lxed Use Distftft [subarea C °MU-84 H2~ deslgnaiiom Land Uses http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendasi2006/iO6l5O6- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH . W 6.15.23 Priority Uses Page 7 of 12 Accommodate office, research and development, and similar uses that support the primary office and business park functions such as retail and financial services, as prescribed for the "CO -G" designation, while allowing for the re-use of properties for the development of cohesive residential villages that are integrated with business park uses. (Imp 2.1, 12.1) LU 6.15.34 Underperforming Land Uses Promote the redevelopment of sites with underperforming retail uses located on parcels at the interior of large blocks for other uses, with retail clustered along major arterials (e.g., Bristol, Campus, MacArthur, and Jamboree), except where intended to serve and be integrated with new residential development (Imp 2.1, 34.6) Campus Tract (Subarea B. `4biH -BY AO" designation) Land Uses W 6.15.45 Primary Uses Accommodate professional office, irr�viation retail, automobile rental- errier, betels, and rmnparablrancillary retail, restaurant, and service uses that are related to and support the functions of John Wayne Airport, as permitted by the `IE6-8 AO" designation, 6.i 5-25. (Irrip 2.1, 12.1) Strategy W 6.15.56 Economic Viability Provide incentives for lot consolidation and the re -use and improvement of properties located in the "Campus tract," west of Birch Street. (Imp 2.1, 34.6) LU.6.15.+67 Automobile- Rental and Supporting Uses Work with automobile rental and supporting uses to promote the consolidation and visual improvement of auto storage, service, and storage facilities. (Imp 12.1, 34.6) W 6.15.-78 Site Planning and Architecture Encourage and, when subject to redevelopment, require property owners within the Campus Tract to upgrade the street frontages of their properties with landscape, well- designed signage, and other amenities that improve the area's visual quality. (Imp 12.1) Commercial Nodes (Subarea A "CG -C" dasignaHon) LU 6.15.89 Priority Uses Encourage the development of retail, financial services, dining, hotel, and other uses that support the John Wayne Airport, the Airport Area's office uses, and, as developed, its residential neighborhoods, as well as automobile sales and supporting uses at the MacArthur Boulevard and Bristol Street node. (Imp 2.1, 12.1, 34.6) http: / /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us/ PlnAgendasi2006/i061506- 02.htm. 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 8 of 12 Residential Vilisaes (subarea C and subarea s. "MU-B2 H2" desdmahb—N Land Uses LU 6.15.910 Residential and Supporting Uses Accommodate the development of a maximum of 2,200 multi - family residential units, including work force housing, and mixed -use buildings that integrate residential with ground level office or retail uses, in areas and along with supporting retail, grocery stores, and parkl ands. This rnay- o =Residential units may be developed as the replacement of existing buildings, with a maximum of 550 units-or as infill on surface parking lots on properties east of MacArthur Boulevard, provided that the parking is replaced n -site. (Imp 2.1, 12.1, 12.2) Minimum Size and Density W6.15.101 Number and Size of Residential Villages (refer to Figure LU23) Allow development of a maximum of four (4) mixed use residential villages, each centered on a neighborhood park and other amenities (as conceptually illustrated in Figure LU23). The first phase of residential development in each - village rorhoed shall encompass at least 49 5 gross acres of land, exclusive of existing rights -of -way. Theis 48 acres acreage may include multiple parcels provided that they are contiguous or face one another across an existing street. The 18 an, L"airenrent may be w Of a' a Airport fam The "Comprehensive Plan" area shown on Figure LU23 shall be exempt from the 5 -acre minimum, but a comprehensive plan described in Policy LU 6.15.15 shall be required.(Imp 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 12.1, 12.2) LU 6.15.12 Overall Density and Housing Types Require that residential. units be developed at a minimum density of 30 units and maximum of 50 units per net acre. Net acreage shall be exclusive of existing and new rights -of- way, public pedestrian ways, and neighborhood parks. Within these densities, provide for the development of a mix of building types ranging from townhomes to high - rises to accommodate a variety of household types and incomes and to promote a diversity of building masses and scales LU 6.15.4+13 First Phase Development Density Require a rmrtaxna -residential density of 50 units per net acre, averaged over the first phase for each residential village. This shall be applied to 100% of properties in the first 'phase development area whether developed exclusively for residential or integrating service commercial horizontally on the site or vertically within a mixed use LU 6.15.}i14 Subsequent Phase Development Location and Density http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i06l5O6- 02.htm 12/1012007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH'- Page 9 of 12 Subsequent phases of residential development shall abut the first phases or shall face the first phases across a street. The minimum density of residential development (including residential mixed -use development) shall be 30 units per net acre and shall not exceed the maximum of 50 units per net acre. (EmP 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 12.1, 12.2) Strategy and Process W 6.15.1#5. Regulatory Plans Require the development of a regulatory plan for each residential village to coordinate the location of new parks, streets, and pedestrian ways, set forth a strategy to accommodate neighborhood - serving commercial uses and other amenities, establish pedestrian and vehicular connections with adjoining land uses, and assure compatibility with office, industrial; and other nonresidential uses. (Imp 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 15.1) LU 6.15.16 Boll Center and Conexant Development Plans Require the development of -zone comprehensive plan for the Koll Center and Conexant properties, should residential units be proposed on either property. This plan shall defines strategies for the cohesive on -site integration of housing, parking structures, open spaces, and other improvements with existing non - residential structures, in addition to the elements required for all regulatory plans defined by Policy 6.15.14. (Imp 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 15.1) W 6.15.17 Development Agreements Require the execution of Development Agreements for residential and mixed use development projects that use the 550 infill units identified in Policy LU 6.15.9. Development Agreements shall define the improvements and benefits to be contributed by the developer in exchange for the City's commitment for the number, density, and location of the housing units. Design and Development Neighborhood Parks W 6.154318 Standards To provide a focus and identity for the entire neighborhood and to serve the daily recreational and commercial needs of the community within easy walking distance of homes, require dedications and improvement of at least eight percent of the gross land area (exclusive of existing rights -of -way) or one -half acre, whichever is greater, of the first phase . of development in each neighborhood as a neighborhood park. This requirement may be waived by the City where it can be demonstrated that the development parcels are too small to feasibly accommodate the .park or inappropriately located to serve the needs of local residents, and when an in -lieu fee is http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006 /i061506 -02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 10 of 12 paid to the City for the acquisition and improvement of other properties as parklands to serve the Airport Area. In every case, the neighborhood park shall be at least percent of the total Residential Village Area or one -half acre in area, whichever is greater, and shall have a minimum dimension of 150 feet. Park acreage shall be exclusive of existing or new rights -of -way, development sites, or setback areas. A neighborhood park shall satisfy some or all of the requirements of the Parkhrid Dedication Ordinance, as prescribed by the Recreation Element of the General Plan. K1. .111111 111111 LU 6.15.4,619 Location Require that each neighborhood park is dearly public in character and is accessible to all residents of the neighborhood. Each park shall be surrounded by public streets on at least two sides (preferably with on -street parking to serve the park), and shall be linked to residential uses in its respective neighborhood by streets or pedestrian ways. (Imp 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 12.1, 12.2) LU 6.15.20 Aircraft Notification Require that all neighborhood parks be posted with a notification to users regarding proximity to John Wayne Airport and aircraft overflight and noise. On -Sits Recreation and Open Space W 6.1547-21 Standards Require developers of multi- family residential developments on parcels eight acres or larger, to provide on -site recreational amenities. For these developments, 44 square feet of on -site recreational amenities shall be provided for each dwelling unit in addition to the requirements under the City's Park Dedication Ordinance and in accordance with the Parks and Recreation Element of the General Plan. On -site recreational amenities can consist of public urban plazas or squares where there is the capability for recreation and outdoor activity. These recreational amenities may also include swimming pools, exercise facilities, tennis courts, and basketball courts. Where there is insufficient land to, provide on -site recreational amenities, the developer shall be required to pay cash in -lieu that would be used to develop or upgrade nearby recreation facilities to offset user demand as defined in the City's Park Dedication Fee Ordinance. The acreage of on -site open space developed with residential projects may be credited against the parkland dedication requirements where it is accessible to the. public during daylight hours, visible from public rights -of -way, and is of sufficient size to accommodate recreational use by the public. However, the credit for the provision of on -site open space shall not exceed 301/o of the parkland dedication requirements. (Imp 2.1, 3.1, 4.1, 12.1, 12.2, 44.3) Streets and Pedestrian Ways http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendast2006/iO6l5O6- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH LU 6.15.4822 Street and Pedestrian Grid Page 11 of 12 Create a pattern of streets and pedestrian ways that breaks up large blocks, improves connections between neighborhoods and community amenities and is scaled to the predominantly residential character of the neighborhoods. (Imp 3.1, 4.1, 11.1, 21.1) W 6.15.4923. Walkable Streets Retain the curb -to -curb dimension of existing streets, but widen sidewalks to provide park strips and generous sidewalks by means of dedications or easements. Except where traffic loads preclude fewer lanes, add parallel parking to calm traffic, buffer pedestrians and provide short-term parking for visitors and shop customers., (Imp 3. 1, 4.1, 12.2, 21.1, 29.1) LU 6.15.2924 Connected Streets Require dedication and improvement of new streets as shown on Figure LU23. The illustrated alignments are tentative and may change as long as the mutes provide the intended connectivity. If traffic conditions allow, connect new and existing streets across Macarthur Boulevard with signalized intersections, crosswalks, and pedestrian refuges in the median. (Imp 11. 1, 12.2, 21.1) LU 6:15.=1.25 Pedestrian Improvements Require the dedication and improvement of new pedestrian ways as shown on Figure LU23. The alignment is tentative and may change as long as the path provides the intended connectivity. For safety, the full length of pedestrian ways shall be visible from intersecting streets. To maintain an intimate scale and to shade the path with trees, pedestrian ways should not be sized as fire lanes. Pedestrian ways shall be open to the, public at all hours. (Imp 11. 1, 12.2, 21.12) Parking and Loading LU 6.15.22P26 Required Spaces for Primary Uses Consider revised parking requirements that reflect the mix of uses in the neighborhoods and overall Airport Area, as well as the availability of on- street parking. (Imp 2.1) Relationship of Buildings to Street LU 6.15.2327 Building Massing Require that high -rise structures be surrounded with low and mid -rise structures fronting public streets and pedestrian ways or other means to promote a more pedestrian scale: (Imp 3.1, 4.1, 12.1, 12.2) http: / /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us /PhiAgendas/2006/i06l506- 02.htm 12/10/2007 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Page 12 of 12 W 6.15.4528 Sustainable Development Practices Require that development achieves a high level of environmental sustainability that reduces pollution and consumption of energy, water, and natural resources. This may be accomplished through the mix and density of uses, building location and design, transportation modes, and other techniques. Among the strategies that should be considered are the integration of residential with jobs - generating uses, use of alternative transportation modes, maximized walkability, use of recycled materials, capture and re -use of storm water on -site, water conserving fixtures and landscapes, and architectural elements that reduce heat gain and loss. (Imp 3.1, 4.1, 12.2, 21.12, 23.1,25.1-27.1) Newaort Center LU_ Development Agreements Require the execution of Development Agreements for residential and mixed use development projects that use the 450 units identified in Figure LU 21. Development Agreements shall define the improvements and benefits to be contributed by the developer in exchange for the City's commitment for the number, density, and location of the housing units. LU_ Conversion of Hotel' Rooms Consider the conversion of hotel entitlement to residential entitlement when it is demonstrated that no additional vehicle trips will result from the conversion. Hotel rooms existing at the time of adoption of this plan may not be converted to residential use. http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us /PlnAgendas/2006/1061506 -02.htrn 12/10/2007 DRAFT ORDINANCE NO. 2006- AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH, ADDING CHAPTER 20.68 TO THE NEWPORT BEACH MUNICIPAL CODE PERTAINING TO INCLUSIONARY HOUSING REGULATIONS AND AMENDING SECTION 20.03.030 PERTAINING TO DEFINITIONS OF THE NEWPORT BEACH MUNICIPAL CODE WHEREAS, the City of Newport Beach ( "City") is a Charter City, governed by a charter adopted by the citizens of the City; and WHEREAS, it is a public purpose of the City and a policy of the State to achieve a diverse and balanced community with housing available for households of all income levels; and WHEREAS, economic diversity fosters social and environmental conditions that protect and enhance the social fabric of the City and are beneficial to the health, safety and welfare of its residents; and WHEREAS, the lack of affordable housing has a direct impact upon the i health, safety and welfare of the residents of the City; and WHEREAS, State law pertaining to general plans and the Housing Element of the City General Plan require that City ordinances regulate land use development and that the City.and its agencies otherwise use their authority in a manner that provides an adequate supply of housing for .all economic segments of the community; and WHEREAS, the Q.ty ig, experiencing an increasing shortage of.housing affordable to very low -, low- and moderate - income households and will not be able to fully contribute to the attainment of the State housing goals or to retain a healthy environment without additional affordable housing; and WHEREAS, new residential development .does not provide housing opportunities for very low -, low- and moderate- incane households due to the high cost of land in the City; and WHEREAS, as a result, very low -, low, and moderate-income households are de facto excluded from many new neighborhoods, creating economic stratification in the City detrimental to the public health, safety and welfare; and yid WHEREAS, an increasing number of persons in very low -, low, and moderate - income households live in overcrowded or substandard housing and devote an overly large percentage of their income to pay for housing; and WHEREAS, the amount of land in the City - available for residential development is limited; and WHEREAS, the consumption of this remaining land for residential development without providing affordable housing to persons of all income levels would work counter to housing, environmental and planning policies and have a substantial negative impact on the environment and economic climate because (i) housing will have to be built elsewhere, far from employment centers and therefore, commutes will increase, causing increased traffic and transit demand and consequent noise and air pollution; and (ii) City businesses will find it more difficult to attract and retain the workers they need; and WHEREAS, new residential development in the City which does not provide for affordable units aggravates the existing shortage of affordable housing by absorbing the supply of available residential land, reducing the supply of land for affordable housing and increasing the price of the remaining residential land; and WHEREAS, at the same time, new residential development contributes to the demand for goods and services in the City, increasing local service employment at wage levels which often do not permit employees to afford housing in the City; and WHEREAS, Federal and State funds for the construction of new affordable housing are insufficient to fully address the problem of affordable housing within the City; and WHEREAS, the private - .housing market has failed to provide adequate housing opportunities for very low-, low -, and moderate- income households; and WHEREAS, on March 14, 2000 the City Council established an Affordable Housing Task Force that was charged with recommending an appropriate affordable housing program; and WHEREAS, the Affordable Housing Task Force conducted an investigation, held hearings and solicited comments from the community regarding a range of options; and WHEREAS, on the Affordable Housing Task Force recommended this ordinance to the Planning Commission; and $6 WHEREAS, on the Planning Commission held a public hearing on this ordinance and recommended this ordinance to the City Council for adoption; and WHEREAS, the City is aware that there may be times when the inciusionary housing requirements make market -rate housing more expensive; and WHEREAS, in weighing all the factors, including the significant need for affordable housing, the City Council has made the decision that community's interests are best served by the adoption of inclusionary housing regulations; and WHEREAS, to implement the City General Plan, to carry out the policies of the State and federal law and policy, and to ensure the benefits of economic diversity of the residents of the City, it is essential that new residential development in the remaining new growth areas of the City contain housing opportunities to households of very low -, low- and moderate - income, and that the City provide a regulatory framework which ensures development of an adequate supply and mix of new housing to meet the future housing needs of all income segments of the community; and WHEREAS, the City Council finds that it is necessary to adopt an inclusionary housing ordinance to address the City s housing crises. NOW THEREFORE, the City Council of the City of Newport Beach, California, hereby ordains as follows: SECTION 1: Chapter 20.68 of the Newport Beach Municipal Code is hereby added to read as follows: Sections: CHAPTER 20.68 INCLUSIONARY HOUSING REGULATIONS Purpose Inclusionary Housing Regulations Credit Transfers In -Lieu Fees Alternatives Exemptions Adjustments, Waivers Compliance Procedures Eligibility for Affordable Units Affordable Unit Credits 3l° 20.68.11.0 Affordable Housing Trust Fund 20.68.120 Enforcement 20.68.130 Appeals 20.68.010 Purpose The purpose of this Chapter is to: A. Provide a balanced residential community comprised of a variety of housing types, designs, and. opportunities for all social and economic segments, including very low -, low-, and moderate - income households. B.. Promote the City s goal to add affordable housing units to the City's housing stock in proportion to the overall increase in neW housing units. C. Offset the demand on housing that is created by residential development and mitigate environmental and other impacts that accompany residential development by protecting the economic diversity of the City's housing stock, reducing traffic, transit and related air quality impacts, promoting jobs/housing balance and reducing the demands placed on transportation infrastructure in the region. D. Ensure that the limited remaining developable land in the City's planning area is utilized in a manner consistent with the City's housing policies and needs. 20.68.020 Inclusionary Housing Regulations A. Affordability Requirement. Unless otherwise provided in this Chapter, all new residential development projects of eleven or more dwelling units, designed and intended for permanent occupancy, shall construct the following percentage of the. total number of dwelling units within the residential development project as affordable units restricted for occupancy by very low -, low- or moderate - income households: (1) 11.5 percent very low-income households; (2) 20 percent low-income households; or (3) 30 percent moderate - income households. The number of affordable units required for a particular residential development project will be determined only once, at the time of tentative or parcel map approval, or for developments not processing a tentative or parcel map, prior to issuance of a building permit, regardless of the changes in the character or ownership of the residential development, provided the total number of units does not change. If 51 a change in the residential development project design results in a change in the total number of units, the number of affordable units required will be recalculated to coincide with the final approved residential development project B. Calculation. In determining the number of whole affordable units required, any decimal fraction less than 0.50 shall be rounded down to the nearest whole number, and any decimal fraction greater than or equal to 0.50 shall be rounded up to the next whole number. For purposes of calculating the number of affordable units required by this Section, any additional units authorized as a density bonus under California Goverment Code Section 65915(b) (1) or (2) will not be counted in determining the required number of affordable units. C. Design and Distribution of Affordable Units. All affordable units shall reflect the range of numbers of bedrooms provided in the residential development project as a whole and shall be comparable in infrastructure (including sewer, water, and other utilities), construction quality and exterior design to the market -rate units. The affordable units may be smaller in aggregate size and have different interior finishes and features than the market -rate units in the residential development project so long as the interior features are durable, of good quality and are consistent with contemporary standards for new housing. The affordable units shall .be dispersed throughout the residential development, unless clustering is expressly authorized by the City. D. Tenure of Affordable Units. For all affordable units provided pursuant to this.Section, the applicant shall have the option of selling the affordable units at an affordable housing price or renting the affordable units at an affordable rent subject to the terms and conditions imposed on the residential development project and the- provisions contained in the Affordable.Housing Agreement E. Timing. All affordable units shall be constructed and offered for occupancy concurrently with or prior to the construction and marketing of the market -rate units. in phased residential development projects, affordable units may be constructed and marketed in, proportion to the number of market -rate units constructed and marketed in each phase of the residential development project. if the Planning Commission determines that extenuating circumstances exist and that the concurrent construction of affordable units is infeasible or impractical, the Planning Commission may waive the requirements of this t Subsection or impose reasonable conditions to effectuate the intent $$ of this Subsection. F. Duration of Affordability Requirement. Affordable units required by this Chapter shall be legally restricted to occupancy by households of the income levels for which the affordable units were designated for a minimum of 30 years. G. Conditions of Approval. Any tentative map, parcel map, use permit, site plan review, coastal residential development permit, or other discretionary permit approving a residential development project subject to this Chapter shall contain conditions sufficient to ensure compliance with the provisions of this Chapter, including the execution of an Affordable Housing Agreement imposing, among other things, appropriate resale controls and /or rental restrictions on the affordable units. 20.68.030 Credit Transfers An applicant may fully or partially satisfy the requirements of Section 20.68.020 through the use of transferable affordable unit credits created pursuant to Section 20.68.100. Credit certificates shall only be used to satisfy the requirements for affordable units of the income category (i.e., very low -, low -, or moderate - income) and number of bedrooms for which the affordable unit credits are issued. 20.68.040 In -Lieu Fees A. General Requirements. 1. For residential development projects of 11 to 50 dwelling units, the requirements of this Chapter may be satisfied by paying a fee in4leu of constructing all or a portion of the affordable units required by. this. Chapter. _ 2. For residential development of 50 or more dwelling units, the applicant may not pay a fee in -lieu of constructing the required affordablee units. 13. Timing of Payment. For residential development projects that are not phased residential development projects, the in-lieu fee shall be paid at the time of issuance of any building permit for the residential development project. For phased residential development projects, payment of the in -lieu fee shall be made for each portion of the residential development project at the time any building permit is issued for that phase of the residential development project. When payment is phased, the amount of the in- lieu.fee payable under this Section shall be based upon the in -lieu fee schedule in effect at the time the in -lieu fee is paid. ) 3A I C. Amount of Fee. The amount of the in -lieu fee shall be set by resolution of the City Council and the amount of the in -lieu fee may be amended from time to time to reflect changes in residential construction costs and other conditions in the City and the region. D. Partial Payment. Developers electing to provide a portion of the affordable units required by Section 20.68.020 within the residential development project, may pay an in -lieu fee for the remainder of the required affordable units that are not provided. The in -lieu fee shall be paid at the time of issuance of any building permit for the residential development project. 20.68.060 Alternatives A. Proposal. An applicant may propose one of the following alternative Means of compliance with Section 20.68.020 by submitting an application for discretionary approval in accordance with Chapter 20.90. and this Section. B. Off -Site Construction Projects. An applicant may propose to construct some or all of the affordable units required by Section 20.68.020 at a location not physically within the residential development project in -lieu of constructing some or all of the affordable units within the residential development project. The Planning Commission shall approve or conditionally approve the proposal on the basis of the application, plans, materials, and testimony submitted f the Planning Commission finds: That the purpose of this Chapter would be served by implementation of the proposed alternative. 2. That construction of the off -site units in -lieu of constructing on -site units is consistent with the Chapter's purpose. 3. That the off -site units to be constructed are located within the City of Newport Beach and are consistent with the requirements of Section 20.68.020. 4. That it would be infeasible or impractical to construct on -site units. C. Off -Site Rehabilitation Projects. An applicant may. propose to rehabilitate existing off -site units and convert the off -site units to affordable units in -lieu of constructing some or all of the affordable units required to be provided under Section 20.68.020 within the EU residential development project. The Planning Commission shall approve or conditionally approve the proposal on the basis of the application, plans, materials, and testimony submitted if the Planning Commission finds: That the purpose of this Chapter would be served by implementation of the proposed alternative. 2. That rehabilitation of the proposed dwelling units in -lieu of constructing units on -site is consistent with this Chapter's purpose. 3. That the proposed dwelling units to be rehabilitated off -site are located within the City of Newport Beach and are consistent with the requirements of Section 20.68.020. 4. The proposed dwelling units to be rehabilitated off -site are in need of substantial rehabilitation. 5. That the proposed dwelling units to be rehabilitated off -site are not already subject to affordability income restrictions. 6. That it would be infeasible or impractical to construct the on- site dwelling units. 7. That the off-site dwelling units will be substantially rehabilitated, such that the unit' is returned to the City's housing supply as decent, safe and sanitary housing and meet all applicable housing and building code requirements. D. Land Dedication. An applicant may propose to dedicate land to the City or City- designated local non -profit housing. developer in -lieu of construction of some or all of the affordable units required by Section 20.68.020. The Planning Commission shall recommend and the.City Council shall approve or conditionally approve this proposal if the City Council finds all of the following: 1. - That the purpose of this Chapter would be served by implementation of the proposed alternative. 2. That dedication of land in -lieu of constructing units is. consistent with this Chapter's purpose. 3. That the dedicated land is useable for its intended purpose and has the appropriate general plan and zoning designation for the development of affordable housing, is free of toxic t�t 1 substances and contaminated soils, and is or will be fully mproved with infrastructure and adjacent utilities. chat the conditions of approval for the residential levelopment project are adequate to ensure that title to the ledicated land, or leasehights useful for the life of the housing improvements, shall be conveyed to the City or City - designated local non -profit housing developer before a building permit is issued for all or any portion of the residential development project. 5. That all property taxes and special taxes be current before the title is conveyed to. the City or City - designated local non- profit housing developer. 6. That the proposed land dedication meets the following requirements: a. The dedication includes land sufficient to construct, at a minimum, the number of affordable units that the applicant would otherwise be required to construct by Section 20.68.020; and b. The proposed land dedication has an equivalent or greater value than the in -lieu fee that would 'be required to be paid under Section 20.68.040 if applied to the overall project. The value of the proposed land dedication shall be appraised by a certified appraiser selected by the City. The applicant shall pay for all costs and expenses associated with the appraisal. At the time the applicant submits the application provided for in this Section,. the applicant shall deposit the estimated cost and expense for the appraisal as determined by the Planning Director. After the appraisal is prepared, the Planning Director shall provide the applicant with a Notice of Decision regarding the value of the proposed land dedication and a copy of the appraisal. If the applicant disputes the decision of the Planning Director, the applicant shall file an appeal in accordance with Chapter 20.95. At the hearing on appeal, the appellate body shall consider any material provided by the applicant regarding the value of the proposed land dedication. 0 20.68.060 Exemptions A. Natural Disasters. The requirements of this Chapter do not apply to the reconstruction of any structure that has been destroyed by fire, flood, earthquake or other act of nature provided that the reconstruction of the site does not increase the number of residential units. B. Other Govemmental Entities. The requirements of this Chapter do not apply to housing constructed by other governmental agencies. 20.68.070 Adjustments, Walvem The City Council, at its discretion, may waive, wholly or partially, the requirements of this Chapter and approve altemative methods of compliance with this Chapter if the applicant demonstrates, and the City Council finds that either: A. There is no reasonable relationship between the impact of a. proposed development and the requirements of this Chapter, and applying the requirement of this Chapter would take property in violation of the United States or California Constitutions; or B. 'There are special circumstances unique to the residential development that justify the granting of an adjustment or waiver; the residential development would not be feasible without the modifications; a specific and financial hardship would occur If the modification was not granted; and no altemative means of compliance are available which would be effective in attaining the purpose of this Chapter than the relief requested. 20.68.080 Compliance Procedures A. General. Except as provided herein, entry into an Affordable Housing Agreement, in a form approved by the City Attorney, is a condition of any tentative map, parcel map or building permit for any residential development for which this Chapter applies. This Section does not apply to exempt residential development projects or to residential development projects where the requirements of this Chapter are fully satisfied by payment of an in -lieu fee under Section 20.68.040 or land dedication as provided under Section 20.68.050 (D). B. Affordable Housing Agreement The form of the Affordable Housing Agreement will vary depending on the manner in which the provisions of this Chapter are satisfied for a particular residential development. All Affordable Housing Agreements should include, at %.0. ium, the following: A description of the residential development project, how the requirements of this Chapter will be met by the applicant, and whether the affordable units will be rented or owner - occupied; The number, size and location of each very low -, low- or moderate- income units; 3. Inclusionary incentives by the City (if any), including the nature and amount of any local public funding; 4. Provisions and /or documents for resale restrictions, deeds of trust, rights of first refusal or rental restrictions; 5. Provisions for monitoring the ongoing affordability of the units, and the process for qualifying prospective households for income eligibility; 6. Security provisions, such as a cash deposit, bond, or letter of credit, adequate to complete the requirements of this Chapter concurrently with the completion of the construction of the residential development project consistent with Section 20.68.020(E); and C. Recording of Agreement. All Affordable Housing Agreements that are acceptable to the City Attorney must be recorded against the owner- occupied affordable units and the projects containing rental affordable units. Additional rental or resale restrictions, deeds of trust, rights of first refusal and /or other documents acceptable to the City Attorney must also be recorded.. against owner - occupied affordable units. In cases where the requirements of this Chapter are satisfied through the development of off- -site units or off -site rehabilitated units, the Affordable Housing Agreement must simultaneously be recorded against the properly where the off -site units are located and off -site rehabilitated units are located. 20.68.090 Eligibility for Affordable Units No household shall be permitted to occupy an affordable unit designated for a very low -, low -, or moderate - income household unless the City or its designee determines that the household is eligible to occupy the applicable affordable unit based on the household income, as determined in accordance with Title 25 of the California Code of Regulations Sections 6910 through 6932: The developer shall use an equitable selection method established in conformance with the terms of this Chapter, which shall be neutral as to age,. race, religion, sex, creed and ethnic origin or any other impermissible standard established by the United States or State of California Constitution. Additionally, the selection criteria may not distinguish between adults and children, except as provided in Federal and State law for units designated for senior citizens. 20.68.100 Affordable Unit Credits A. Creation. One affordable unit credit shall be issued for each affordable unit constructed in excess of the number of affordable units required to be constructed for the project by Section 20.68.020(A). Affordable unit credits shall be issued by the Planning Director and shall designate a specific income category (i.e., very low -, low -, or moderate - income) and number of bedrooms for which they are issued. B. Ownership and Use of Credits. Affordable unit credits are issued to and become the possession of the project owner, who may then use them to satisfy, the requirements of this Chapter for another residential development project in the City. If a project owner proposes to sell credit certificates, the parties shall first notify the Planning Director, who will document the transfer. ' 20.68.110 Affordable Housing Trust Fund A. Trust Fund. There is hereby established a separate Affordable Housing Trust Fund ( "Fund"). The Fund shall receive all in4ieu fees contributed under Sections 20.68.040 and may also receive monies from other sources. B. Purpose and. Limitations. All monies deposited in the Fund, together with - any .-I interest earnings on such monies, less- reasonable administrative charges or related expenses associated with the administration of this Section including, but not limited to, reasonable consultant and legal expenses related to the establishment and /or administration of the Fund and reasonable expenses for administering the process of calculating, collecting, and accounting for fees, shall be used or committed solely to W ncrease the supply of housing affordable to very low -, low -, and moderate - income households. C. Expenditures. Fund monies shall be used in accordance with City's Housing Element to construct, rehabilitate or subsidize affordable housing or assist other governmental entities, private organizations or individuals to do so. Permissible uses of Fund monies include, but are not limited to: (1) assistance to housing development aS corporations; (2) equity participation loans; (3) grants; (4) pre -home i ownership co- investment; (5) pre - development loan funds; (6) participation leases; (7) other public-private partnership arrangements; (8) the acquisition of property and property rights; and (9) construction of affordable housing including costs associated with planning, administration, and design,. as well as actual building or installation, as well as any other costs associated with the construction or financing of affordable housing. The Fund may be used for the benefit of both rental and owner - occupied housing.. 20.68.120 Enforcement A. Penalty for Violation of Terms. It shall be unlawful for any person, firm, . corporation, partnership or other entity to violate any provisions of this Chapter. A violation of any of the provisions of this Chapter or failing to comply with any of the requirements of this Chapter shall constitute a misdemeanor; except that notwithstanding. any other provisions of this Chapter, any such violation constituting a misdemeanor under this Chapter, may in the discretion of the enforcing authority, be charged and prosecuted as an infraction. B. Legal Action. The City may institute any appropriate legal actions or proceedings necessary to ensure compliance with this Chapter including, but not limited to: (1) actions to revoke, deny or suspend any permit, including a building permit, certificate of occupancy, or discretionary approval; (2) actions to recover from any violator of this Chapter civil fines, restitution to prevent unjust enrichment from a violation of this Chapter, and /or enforcement costs, including attomeys fees; (3) actions to recover on behalf of the tenant; or to the City in the event the tenant cannot be located, any excess rents charged an&or enforcement costs, including attomeys fees; (4) eviction or foreclosure; and (5) any other appropriate action for injunctive relief or damages. Failure of any official or agency to fulfill the requirements of this Chapter shall not excuse any person, Owner, household or other party from the requirements of this Chapter. C. Remedies Cumulative. The remedies provided for herein shall be cumulative and not exclusive and shall not preclude the City from any other remedy or relief to which it.otherwise would be entitled under law or equity. 41 20.68.130 Appeals A. Appeals. Decisions of the Planning Director may be appealed to the Planning Commission and decisions of the Planning Commission may be appealed to the City Council. B. Procedures. Procedures for appeals shall be as prescribed by Newport Beach Municipal Code Chapter 20.85: Appeals. SECTION 2: The following definitions are hereby added to Section 20.03.030 of Title 20 of the Newport Beach Municipal Code to read as follows: "Affordable Housing Agreement" means the agreement entered into pursuant to Chapter 20.68 which provides legal restrictions by which the affordable units .shall be restricted to ensure that the unit remains affordable to very low -, low and moderate - income households, as applicable, for a period of not less than 30 years. With respect to rental units, such rent restrictions shall be in the form of a regulatory agreement recorded against the applicable property. With respect to owner- occupied units, such resale controls shall be in the form of resale restrictions, deeds of trust, and/or other similar documents recorded against the applicable property. "Affordable Housing Price" means a sales price that is no more than 3 times the maximum income level for very tow -, low -, and moderate - income households, as adjusted for household size by the United States Department of Housing and Community Development. [Is this correct?] "Affordable Rent" means an annual rent that does not exceed 30 percent of maximum income level for very low -, low -, and moderate4ncome households, as adjusted for household size by the United States Department of Housing and Community Development. [is this correct?] "Affordable Unit' means an ownership or rental- housing unit, including senior housing, affordable to households with very low -, low -, and moderate4ncomes as defined in this Chapter. "Conversion" means a change of a dwelling unit to a condominium, cooperative, .or a similar form of ownership; or a nonresidential use. "Low - income" means between 50% and 80% of the median in, c:ome, adjusted for actual household size, as determined by the California Department of Housing. and Community Development for Orange County. "Moderate- income" means between 80% and 120% of the median income, adjusted for actual household size, as determined by the California Department of Housing and Community Development for Orange County. i ul i "Residential Development" means detached single - family dwellings, muPtiple dwelling structures, groups of dwellings, condominium or townhouse developments, cooperative developments, mixed use developments that include housing units, and residential land subdivisions intended to be sold to the general public. [Is this term consistent with its, use in other parts of the code ?] "Very low -, low -, and moderate - income" means those income and eligibility levels determined periodically by the California Department of Housing and Community Development based on Orange County median income levels adjusted for family size. Such levels shall be calculated on the basis of gross annual household income considering household size and number of dependents, income of all wage earners, elderly or disabled family members, and all other sources of household income and will be recertified as set forth by local standards, and State and Federal housing law. "Very low- income" means 50% or less of the median income, adjusted for actual household size, as determined by the California Department of Housing and. Community Development for Orange County. SECTION 3: If any section, subsection, sentence, clause or phrase of this ordinance is, for any reason, held to be invalid or unconstitutional, such decision shall not affect the validity or constitutionality of the remaining portions of this } ordinance. The City Council hereby declares that it would have passed this ordinance, and each section, subsection, clause or phrase hereof, irrespective of the fact that any one or more sections, subsections, sentences, clauses and phrases be declared unconstitutional. SECTION 4: The Mayor shall sign and the City Clerk shall attest to the passage of this ordinance. The City Clerk shall cause the same to be published once in the official newspaper of the City, and it shall be effective thirty (30) days after its adoption. SECTION 6. This ordinance was introduced at a regular meeting of the City Council of the City of Newport Beach, held on the day of 2006, and adopted on the i day of 2006, by the following ­­vote, wit: AYES, COUNCILMEMBERS NOES, COUNCILMEMBERS ABSENTCOUNCILMEMBERS 1 tka ATTEST: CITY CLERK EXHIBIT R City Council Regular Meer Page 1 of 22 CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH City Council Minutes Regular Meeting June 27, 2006 -- 7:00 p.m. STUDY SESSION - 5:30 p.m. CLOSED SESSION - 0:66 p.m. r'. BOLL CALL Present: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem Rosaasky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols C. CLOSED SEES )N RFpnuT City Attorney Clauson reported that Council gave authorization for the City to join in litigation with other cities and counties to challenge a decision made about State mandated reimbursements. D. PLEDGE OF AILWHANCE - Council Member Curry E. INVOCATION - Reverend Peter D. Haynes, Saint Michaels & All Angels Episcopal Church . F. PRESENTATIONS Proclamation for Retiring AYSO Commissioner - Recreation. and Senior Services Director Knight reviewed Marce Almaraz's accomplishments and Mayor Webb presented him with a proclamation. Okazaki Exchange Students - Connie Skibba, President of the Newport Beach Sister Cities Association, discussed the student exchange program. The seven students and two chaperones introduced themselves and what they hope to accomplish during the trip. Centennial School District Committee Recognition - Centennial School District. Committee Chair, Tom Anderson, recognized the Committee members in attendance and reported on their activities for the year. He presented Council with the coloring book. He stated that Roger Folk will be signing the coloring. book on July 24 from 11:30 a.m. to 1:30.p.m. at the Central Library. Mayor Webb presented the Committee members with a certificate. Boy Scouts of America Sea Scout Proclamation - Continued to the July 11, 2006 Council meeting. ffm Council Member Daigle requested that the Ad Hoc Committee on Legislative Advocacy consider sponsoring State legislation regarding regulating residential care facilities that have six or less occupants and the concentration of the facilities. She also requested that the Committee consider forming a coalition with other impacted cities where these residential care facilities are Proliferating. She reported that the City currently has 20 facilities and 17 more are currently being http:// www .city.fiewPort- beach.ca.us/.Counc .Agendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.hun 12/1012007 City Council Regular Meet' Page 2 of 22 planned. Council Member Selich requested a future agenda item to update the Quimby Act Fees. Council Member Curry requested that a Charter amendment regarding an domain be placed on the November ballot since the State did not adopt legislation regarding this issue. Mayor Webb announced that, last Wednesday, the Transportation Corridor Agencies celebrated its 20th birthday and presented the City with a plaque. He also announced that he attended the Fire Department's promotional pinning ceremony today for 16 individuals. Mayor Webb reported that the first Concerts in the Park was held last Sunday and reviewed the schedule for the summer. Mayor Webb announced that there are 66 days until the City's 100th Birthday and provided Centennial moments. Mayor Webb reminded the public that there will be vehicle restrictions on Balboa Boulevard starting at noon on July 4. City Manager Bludau announced that the City has sponsored a fireworks display at the Newport Dunes and stated that it will last longer in order to celebrate the City's Centennial. L CONSENT C T TiNDAR 1. . MINUTES OF THE ADJOURNED REGULAR. AND REGULAR MEETING OF JUNE .13, 2006. 1100 -20067 Waive reading of subject minutes, approve as written and order filed. Study Session Minutes Regular Meeting Minutes 2. READING OF ORDINANCES AND RESOLUTIONS. Waive reading in full of all ordinances and resolutions under consideration, and direct City Clerk to read by title only. 0"—"" CE FOR IN'LROD CTION 3 CABLE TELEVISION: ORDINANCE ADOPTING A FRANCHISE AGREEMENT WIT$ COX COMMUNICATIONS. 1421100 -20061 Continued to a future City Council meeting. Supplemental Staff Report Staff Report 4. MULTIPLE VESSEL MOORING SYSTEM PILOT PROGRAM. [100 -20061 Adopt Ordinance No. 2006 -15 related to Moorings. Staff Report 6. CODE AMENDMENT NO. 2006 -004 (PA2006 -078) - AMENDMENT TO CHAPTER 20.68 (HEIGHT LEV11TS) TO ADD AN EXCEPTION FOR LIGHT STANDARDS TO EXCEED HEIGHT LIMITS SUBJECT TO THE REVIEW AND APPROVAL OF A USE PERMIT. [100.20061 Adopt Ordinance No. 2006 -16 approving Code Amendment 2006 -004. htip: / /www:city- newpoit- beach. ca. us/ Counci ]AgendaS/2006/MN06_27- 06.htm 12/lO/2007 City Council Regular Mee Page 3 of 22 Staff Report RESOLUTIOIVC MR Annvmrn�v 6. MEASURE M SEVEN YEAR CIP. [100 -2006] 1) Adopt the Seven -Year Capita] Improvement Program; 2) adopt Resolution No. 2006.47 affirming that the City's Circulation Element does not preclude implementation of the regional Master Plan of Arterial Highways; and 3) direct staff to submit the adopted Capital Improvement Program, Maintenance of Effort certification, to the Orange County Transportation Authority to satisfy the eligibility provisions for Measure M and Congestion Management Programs. Staff Report GENERAL MUNICIPAL ELECTION - NOVEMBER 7, 2006: ADOPTION OF RESOLUTIONS CALLING THE ELECTION AND REQUESTING CONSOLIDATION WITH THE STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION (CANDIDATES ONLY). [391100 20061 Adopt the following resolutions pertaining to the General Municipal Election scheduled for Tuesday, November 7, 2006 pursuant to Section 1000 of the City Charter: a) adopt Resolution .No. 2006 -48 Calling and Giving Notice of the Holding of a General Municipal Election to be Held on Tuesday, November 7, 2006, for the Election of. Members of the City Council as Required by the Provisions of the City Charter; b) adopt Resolution No. 2006 -49 Requesting the Board of Supervisors of the County of Orange to Consolidate a General Municipal Election to be Held on Tuesday, November 7, 2006, with the Statewide General Election to be Held on the Same Date Pursuant to Section 10403 of the Elections Code; and c) adopt Resolution No. 2006 -50 Adopting Regulations for Candidates for Elective Office Pertaining to Candidates Statements Submitted to the Voters at an Election to be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2006. Staff Report S. AWARD OF NON - EXCLUSIVE SOLID WASTE COLLECTION FRANCHISE TO NEWPORT COAST DEMOLITION. [441100.2006] 1) Adopt Resolution of Intention No. 2006 -51 to award a Non - exclusive Solid Waste Franchise to Newport Coast Demolition and to set the public hearing for July 25, 2006; and 2) introduce Ordinance No. 2006.17 granting a Non - exclusive Solid Waste Franchise to Newport Coast Demolition and pass to second reading on July 25, 2006. Staff Report 9. AWARD OF NON - EXCLUSIVE SOLID WASTE COLLECTION FRANCHISE TO INTERIOR REMOVAL SPECIALIST, INC. [441100 -2006] 1) Adopt Resolution of Intention No. 2006 -44 to award a Non - exclusive Solid Waste Franchise to Interior Removal Specialist, Inc. and to set the public hearing for July 25, 2006; and 2) introduce Ordinance No. 2006 -18 granting a Non - exclusive Solid Waste Franchise to Interior Removal Specialist, Inc. and pass to second reading on July 25, 2006. .Staff Report 10. CABLE TELEVISION. ADOPTION OF RESOLUTION, MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING, SETTLEMENT AND MUTUAL RELEASE AGREEMENT AND CONSENT TO TRANSFER AGREEMENT RELATING TO TE%IE WARNER AND ADELPHIA. [421100 -2006] 1) Adopt Resolution No. 2006 -59 consenting to a transfer of a franchise for cable television from Adelphia to Time Warner; and 2) authorize the Mayor or the City Manager to execute any documents relating to the transfer, including but not limited to a Memorandum of Understanding, a Settlement and Mutual Release Agreement, and a Consent to Transfer Agreement. Staff Report httP: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Mee: Page 4 of 22 CONTRACTS AND A REEM OUS 12. AMENDMENT #1 TO A COOPERATIVE AGREEMENT FOR THE ADMINISTRATION OF TOTAL MAXDTUM DAILY LOADS (TIVIDIA) IN NEWPORT BAY (C- 3621). 1381100 -20061 Authorize the Mayor to sign and execute Amendment #1 to the 2003 Cooperative Agreement to fund Nutrient, Fecal Coliform and Toxics Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) Studies & Programs in the Newport Bay Watershed. Staff Report 13. MONITORING STATIONS INSTALLATION - APPROVAL OF PROFESSIONAL SERVICES AGREEMENT WITH GEOMATRI% (C- 3853). 138100 -20061 1) Approve a Professional . Services Agreement with Geomatrix of Newport Beach for water quality monitoring services at a contract price of $62,946.50 and authorize the Mayor and City Clerk to execute the Agreement; and 2) approve a budget amendment (06BA -079) authorizing a transfer of .$62,946.50 from Account 7014- C5100805 (Morning Canyon Stabilization Project) to Account 7014- C5100851 (NCWS: Miscellaneous Watershed Activities).' Staff Report 14. JAMBOREE ROAD REHABILITATION FROM SAN JOAQUIN HILLS ROAD TO FORD ROAD: - AWARD OF CONTRACT (C- 3826). [3811004006] 1) Approve the plans and specifications; 2) award the contract (C- 3826) to All American Asphalt for the total bid price of $1,061,061 and authorize the Mayor and the City Clerk to execute the contract; 3) establish an amount of $100,00o . to cover the cost of unforeseen work; and 4) approve a budget amendment (06BA -082) appropriating $400,000 from the AHRP fund balance to Account No. 7285- C5100832 and $781,061 from the Measure M Turnback fund balance to Account No. 7281- C5100832. Staff Report 15. COAST HIGHWAY CHANNE�rZ TION- CORONA DEL MAR - COMPLETION AND ACCEPTANCE OF CONTRACT (C- 3558). (381100 -2606] 1) Accept the work; 2) authorize the City Clerk to file a Notice of Completion; 3) authorize the City Clerk to release the Labor and Materials bond 35 days after the Notice of Completion has been recorded in accordance with applicable portions of the Civil Code; and 4) release the Faithful. Performance Bond one (1) year after Council acceptance. Staff Report 16. MORNING CANYON STABILIZATION - COMPLETION AND ACCEPTANCE OF CONTRACT (C- 3517). 138110020061 1) Accept the work; 2) authorize the City Clerk to file a Notice of Completion;. 3) authorize the City Clerk to release1he Labor and Materials `bond 35 days after the Notice of Completion has been recorded in accordance with applicable portions of the Civil . Code; and 4) release the Faithful Performance Bond one (1) year after Council acceptance. Staff Report 17. GEOTECHNICAL AND mmmtm C TESTING AND EVALUATION, INSPECTION AND CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT, AND LANDSCAPE DESIGN SERVICES - APPROVAL OF ON -CALL PROFESSIONAL SERVICES AGREEMENTS (C- 3854). 1381100- 200061 1) Approve Professional Services Agreements with Arroyo Geotechnical and LaBelle Marvin Inc. for on -call geotechnical and materials testing and evaluation services and authorize the Mayor and City Clerk to execute the Agreements; 2) approve a Professional Services Agreement with WEC Corporation for on -call inspection and construction management services and authorize the Mayor and City Clerk to execute the h.ttp: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ Cou ncilAgendas/2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12110/2007 City Council Regular Mee Page 5 of 22 Agreements; and 3) approve Professional Services Agreements with TCLA, Inc. and David Volz Design for on -call landscape design services and authorize the Mayor and the City Clerk to execute the Agreement. Staff Report 18. LEGAL ADVERTISING BID FOR FISCAL YEAR 2006.2007. [321100 -20061 Accept the bid of the Daily Pilot and authorize a purchase order- for the one -year period of fiscal year 2006 -2007. Staff Report 19. 2005 -2006 CITYWIDE SLURRY SEAL PROGRAM - AWARD OF CONTRACT (C- 3800). [381100.20061 1) Approve the plans and specifications; and 2) award the contract (C -3800) to Pavement Coatings Company for the total bid price of $471,946 and authorize the Mayor and the City Clerk to execute the contract. Staff Report AUSCELLAN O S 20. DOVER DRIVE, NORTH OF CLIFF DRIVE SIDEWALK - MITIGATED NEGATIVE DECLARATION (C- 3652). [381100 -20061 Adopt Resolution No. 2006 -54 approving the Mitigated Negative Declaration (MND) for Dover Drive Sidewalk Project. Staff Report 21., PURCHASE OF A SIX -POST MOBILE HOIST SYSTEM FOR .THE EQUIPMENT MAINTENANCE DIVISION. [100 -20061 1) Approve the purchase of a six -post, 90,000 pound capacity mobile lifting system and accessories from Automotive Resources, Inc. at a cost of $60,228.96; and 2) approve a budget amendment (06BA -080) to transfer $60,228.96 from unappropriated Internal Service Fund reserves into Account 6110 -9200 to fund the purchase. Staff Report 22. SHORELINE OBSERVATION SYSTEM (SOS). [100 -20061 1) Approve the purchase . and installation of the Newport Beach Shoreline Observation System (SOS); and 2) approve the sole source purchase of cameras and ancillary equipment from ISMS Inc., Shakespeare Composite Structures Mfg., and Pro 911 Systems. Staff Report 23. BUDGET AMENDMENT FOR SIGNATURE VERIFICATION. [100 -20061 Approve a budget amendment (06BA -078) from General Fund Unappropriated Fund Balance, 010 -3605 in the amount of $51,653 to Election Services, 0220 -8080, to pay the cost. for the County of Orange Registrar of Voters to verify the signatures on the Debt initiative and the Greenlight II initiative petitions. Staff Report 27. SOBER LIVING BY THE SEA - USE PERMIT NO. 2005 -031, OFFSITE PARKING AGREEMENT NO. 2005-05 (C- 3836), MODIFICATION PERMIT NO. 2005-133 - 2811 VILLA WAY (PA 2005 -136) (contcl. from 4111106 and 5/23106). [381160 -20061 Continue to August 22, 2006. Staff Report 28. BUDGET AMENDMENT TO ACCEPT A CHECK FROM THE NEWPORT BEACH http .,/ /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 121.10/2007 City Council Regular Meer, Page 6 of 22 LIBRARY. FOUNDATION AND APPROPRIATE FUNDS . FOR FY 2005/2006 EXPENDITURE ACCOUNTS. [100.2006] Approve a budget amendment (06BA -081) to increase revenue estimates by $11,000 in Account No. 4090 -5893 (Library Foundation Donations) and increase expenditure estimates by the same amount in Division 4090 (Foundation). Staff Report Motion by Mmr Pro T m RosandW to approve the Consent Calendar, except for the items removed (11, 24, 25 & 26); and noting the continuance of Item 3. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem. Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols Y4 a �DII_al, 1 11 _ye1, 1 ,: I 11. CONTRACT FOR PURCHASE AND INSTALLATION OF SHADE STRUCTURES AT BONITA CANYON SPORTS PARK (C -3849) (cunt, from 6J13/06). [381100 -2006] Staff Report Recreation and Senior Services Director Knight reported that the shade structures will service the ball field bleachers and, the picnic areas, and explained why the Parks, Beaches, and Recreation Commission did not favor the plan. Discussion ensued amongst Council relative to whether the. shade structures were necessary. Motion by Council M tuber Da1gk to approve the'contract with United Sports Surfacing of America for the purchase and installation of shade structures at Bonita Canyon Sports Park in the amount of $58,706. Emery Mullner, Newport Beach Little League, spoke in support of the shade structures. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem. Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols 24. CERTIFICATION OF THE PETITION ENTITLED "VOTER APPROVAL FOR MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS OVER "AS BUILT CONDITION" OF CITY". [391100 -2008] Staff Report Phil Arst, Greenlight spokesperson, questioned the need for the 30 day delay in order to study the initiative since he believed that this would delay the process. John Nelson expressed his opposition to the Greenlight II initiative. City Attorney Clauson confirmed that the petition is being certified tonight, she has 30 days to come back to Council with a report, and this is enough time for Council to place the initiative on the November ballot. Motion by Council Member Ri to 1) approve the certification of the petition entitled "Voter Approval for Major Developments Over "As Built" Condition of City" from the Registrar of Voters, County of Orange, as presented by the City Clerk; and 2) direct staff to report back to Council on or before Tuesday, July 25, 2006 with the impacts of the initiative on municipal operations pursuant to Council action taken on January 24, 2006 http: / /www.city.n6wport- beach. ca. us/ CouncUAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Mee, Page 7 of 22 and with the necessary actions required by Election Code Section 9215. The motion carried by the following roll call:vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tern Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols 25. NEWPORT ISLAND CHANNELS OLOID PROJECT - CEQA DETERMINATION (C- 3730). (381100 -20061 Staff Report Jim Hilliard, representing the Newport Island Board of Directors, thanked Council and staff for working with them and listening to their concerns. Motion by Mayor Pro Tom Rosansky_ to abandon the project indefinitely. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols 26. ACCEPTANCE .OF. ADDITIONAL URBAN AREA SECURITY INITIATIVE FUNDING TO ENHANCE THE HVIPLEMENTATION OF THE OCILJ COPLINH DATA SHARING PROJECT. (100 -20061 Staff Report In response to Council Member Nichols' questions, Police Chief McDonell explained the purpose of the COPLM Data Sharing Project and which entities share information. Motion by Council Member Nichols, to 1) on behalf of the Integrated Law & Justice Agency of Orange County (ILJAO.C), accept for administrative purposes, Urban Area Security Initiative funding in the amount of $1,000,000 from the cities of Anaheim.and Santa Ana (Grant Administrators) for the.purpose of enhancing the implementation of the COPLINK Data Sharing Project; and 2) authorize the Administrative Services Director to place the funds in the appropriate revenue and expenditure accounts consistent with this action. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member, Curry, Council Member Selich,. Mayor Pro Tern Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols Mayor Webb noted that a majority of the audience is in attendance for a portion of Item 33 (General Plan Update) that relates to rezoning R.2 to R.1 in the West Newport and Peninsula areas: Without objection, he recommended that this portion of the item be taken out of order. 33. GENERAL PLAN UPDATE: LAND USE CIRCULATION AND HOUSING ELEMENTS. (68/100.20061 Staff Report Att. 1- Memo from EIP Associates on Airport Area Policies Att. 2 - Letter from Harbor Day School Att. 3 - Land Use Categories and Table http: / /www.city.newport- beach. cg. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006MIN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Mee' Page 8 of 22 Att. 4 - Land Use Map B &W (Full size color version in City Clerk's Office for viewing) Att. 5 - Revised Housing Element Table H30 Att. 6 - Draft Inclusionary Housing Ordinance Att. 7 - Sample Affordable Housing Implementation Plan (AHIP) Att. 8 - Housing Element Policy Comparison Table (Rill size version in City Clerk's Office for viewing) Supplemental Staff Report Attachment - Complete Set of Draft Land Use Plan Maps (Full size color version in City Clerk's Office for viewing) Motion by Council Member Ridg way to not change the current residential land use designations in the West Newport and Peninsula areas. Mayor Webb opened the public hearing. Council Member Ridgeway explained that the intent of the proposed rezoning was to try to create owner - occupied units. George Shroeder stated that the property owners appreciate Council's motion and the respect of their property rights. He noted that the property owners also want to improve the area and would support more code enforcement and higher fines to make properties compliant. Ed Vandenbossche pointed -out that it is the property owners that call the police on the renters. He stated that he lives there and relies on this source of income. Mayor Webb closed the public hearing. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols 37. COUNCIL BUILDING COMMITTEE RECOMMENDATIONS REGARDING ,CITY HALL PROJECT. PLANNING ISSUES. !36 1100 -20061 Motion by Mayor Webb'to consider Item 37 (City Hall Project Planning Issues) out of order and continue this item in order for a study session to be held so Council can hear opinions and presentations relative to using a park site for the City Hall site. Substitute motion by Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky to reconvene the City Hall Site Review Committee and have the Committee review the proposed site and plan prior to further action by the City Council. Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky stated that the Committee should operate under the same guidelines when it reviewed the other sites, therefore, a presentation by Mr. Ficker to the Committee and providing them with the proposal is not necessary. He added that the Committee would not be criti4uing the existing building at the proposed site and that the site- should never have been taken off the table for evaulation. http: / /www.city.neWport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.hbn 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meet' Yage 9 of 1l Council Member Ridgeway expressed the opinion that the Committee would recommend the site. He pointed out that construction costs are rising and Council has a fiduciary duty to its citizens to move forward. He believed that the site plan and location should be analyzed by the Building Ad Hoe Committee. He believed that this should be done during the regular meeting, not study session. He added that the social and economic impacts to the Peninsula need to analyzed by staff if City Hall is moved. He believed that the City would be going back on its word to the community if it did this. Council Member Curry believed that, even though he is skeptical of the site, Council needs to look at the proposal, compare it to the existing City Hall, and receive answers to many questions about the proposed site. He explained why the Daily Pilot's term "free site" is inaccurate. Council Member Nichols expressed support for having Mr. l}cker present his proposal to Council. He noted that.the site can be rezoned. Council Member Selieh agreed that the site doesn't need to be sent back to the Committee because they would conclude that the site is valid. However, he emphasized that this is a policy matter of whether the City wants to trade parkland for a central location for City Hall. Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky withdrew his motion, but recommended not limiting the presentation to only Mr. FIeker's proposal. Substitute motion by Cmumil NEember to direct staff to, provide a staff report at the July 25 meeting that evaluates the impact of the loss of parkland, the access and traffic issues, and the efficacy of the proposed design; discusses the history behind how the land became a park; and evauuates the property value of the existing site. Council Member Daigle noted that this is now a different process than what has been followed and emphasized that the parties of the Circulation Improvement and Open Space Agreement ( CIOSA) need to also be consulted since this is dedicated open space. Mayor Webb agreed that Mr. l}eker should be allowed to explain his proposal, but suggested that this be done during the study session. He also agreed that anyone should be allowed to make a presentation to Council. Debra Allen, Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commissioner, provided Council with a handout of the plans for the park and reviewed the result of a survey of the Corona del Mar Residents Association. She believed that the decision should be made during a regular meeting and that this is a policy issue. She provided a history of the site and discussed the issues associated with the donor and the concern for losing the current donor money. She believed that, if Council decides to keep it as a park, the City should provide funding to develop it. John Nelson, City Hall Site Review Committee, believed that the Committee .shouldn't review the site because the choice is ultimately Council's. He stated that the City needs a new City Hall and expressed concern about the rising costs. He urged Council to move forward. Bernie Svalsted urged Council to stop procrastinating. He noted that the park issue has been going on since 1996 and provided a history of the parksite and the CIOSA agreement. He believed that staff should be directed to look at the costs and environmental concerns on the proposed site and look into leasing the Corporate Plaza West site for 99 years with the option to buy. George Jeffries stated that he contacted a Cal Tech graduate and discussed the environmental problems that may occur at the existing City. Hall site. He believed that http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgen &s/2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm. 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meer Page 10 of 22 Council should disqualify the existing site pending an independent geotechnical study. Lucille. Kuehn noted that she was an advocate for making the site above the Central Library a park; however, she could make a different choice. She agreed that a new City Hall is needed. Barry Allen reminded Council that the proposed site was already approved to become a park . and that this is being considered because the Daily Pilot created a controversy.. He asked why Council would consider taking .away parkland rather than condemn The Irvine Company's office building for the new City Hall. Nancy Gardner emphasized that the proposed site has already been declared a park and noted that the General Plan states that open space needs to be replaced if it is taken away. Bruce Naught stated that this area is being discussed because it's the center of the City and suggested having a third party conduct a feasibility study on the proposed site. He believed that the existing City Hall site is a good location for a park. Bill Ficker recommended that Council allow him to do a presentation at a Council meeting. He discussed some of the advantages of his proposal, noted that his plan tries. to preserve as much of the parkland as possible for a natural park, and suggested converting the current site to an urban area with open space. Allan Beek noted that the proposed building plan is not relevant to site selection, the City has the power of eminent domain, Mr. Ficker's remarks about the efficiencies of City Hall have been neglected, and no city has made a policy to sell parkland .to make money. He believed that the City shouldn't sell the existing property to build residential units, but should build the park on it instead. Jan Vandersloot noted that he has been involved with the park issue since 1992 and asked that Council abide by the CIOSA agreement. He stated that development agreements are immune from challenges and referendums, and believed that the City needs to provide a comparative view property if the park is taken away. He believed that a geoteehnical study needs to be conducted on the proposed site. Mayor Webb. asked that Council consider having Mr. Ficker make a presentation at the July 11 study session. Amended substitute motion by Council Member to include allowing Mr. Ficker to make a presentation at the July 11 study session. Council Member Selich believed that the policy issue of trading a central location for a dedicated park site needs. to be answered first. He believed that the location was not considered for a reason and pointed out that the park already has plans and funding. He reviewed his point system which concluded that the current site is a superior location over the park site. Substitute motion by rQuacil Member Seli h to 1) based on the site assessment study from the citizen City Hall Site Review Committee, and the written response from The Irvine Company,, affirm that the location of the new city hall and associated civic center will be on the current site; and 2) approve $25;000 for entering into a contract with a new architectural Am to provide three (3) alternative exterior design concepts based on the existing floor plan. Council Member Curry stated that he shares Council Member Selich's concern about trading parkland, but believed that Council should take the extra 30 days and allow the proposal to be aired so people can judge for themselves and .Council can make a decision. Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky pointed out that there has been no discussion on the second part http: / /wvvw.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council xeguiar Meet+ of the motion. assessment study from the citizen City Hall response from The Irvine Company, affirm associated civic center will be on the current site. The motion failed by the following roll call vote: rage i i or za icil Member Selich to 1) based on the site Site Review Committee, and the written that the location of the new city hall and Ayes: Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem. Rosansky, Council Member Ridgeway Noes: Council Member Curry, Mayor Webb, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols City Attorney Clauson suggest that a study session be conducted on July 11 to discuss the alternative site and receive presentations from Mr. Ficker and the Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commission. She indicated that staff can provide preliminary information on what would be required to build the City Hall on the site. Further, on July 25, Council can decide whether to accept the site with a policy decision to trade the park site for the City Hall site. City Manager Bludau expressed concern about the timeline to get the next agenda out and that having a month would be more realistic. He reported that Council directed the City Hall Site Review Committee to not look at any site that would involve condemnation and that the proposed site was the only one they were not permitted to review. He received confirmation that staff can work with the Building Ad Hoc Committee to generate the report. Amendment to the amended motion by Council Member Curry to continue this issue to. the July 25 Council meeting, with staff bringing back a report that discusses the park structure, the history of its designation as a park, the legal history of it becoming a park, the access and traffic issues, the; parking issues, the efficacy of using the park_ as a City Hall, the value and fiscal analysis of the existing site; and the limitations of selling the current site; and, at the July 11 study session, have open discussion about the alternative site and have it include presentations by Mr. Ficker relative to his proposal and the Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commission relative to the proposed park. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tern Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols H. PUBLIC HEARINGS (Continued) Motion by Council Member Cm= to consider the Business Improvement District items (Items 29, 30, 31 & 32) at the same time. 29. CORONA DEL MAR BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT RENEWAL: CONDUCT PUBLIC HEARING AND ADOPT RESOLUTION FOR RENEWAL OF THE BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2006 -2007. [I00- 20061 Staff Report 30. MARINE AVENUE BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT RENEWAL: CONDUCT. PUBLIC HEARING AND ADOPT RESOLUTION FOR RENEWAL OF THE BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2006.2007. [100 - 20061 Staff Report httpJ /www. city. newport - beach. ca. us /CouncilAgendas/2006/M 06- 27- 06.htm 12/10 /2007 City Council Regular Meet+• Page 12 of 22 31. RESTAURANT ASSOCIATION BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT RENEWAL: CONDUCT PUBLIC HEARING AND ADOPT RESOLUTION OF CONFIRMATION FOR RENEWAL OF THE BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2007. [100.2006] Staff Report 32. BALBOA VILLAGE BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT RENEWAL: CONDUCT PUBLIC HEARING AND ADOPT RESOLUTION OF CONFIRMATION FOR RENEWAL OF THE BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2006- 2007. [100.2006] Staff Report Assistant City Manager Wood reported that the City has not received protests for any of the Business Improvement Districts. Mayor Webb opened the public hearing. Hearing no testimony, he closed the public hearing. Motion by Council Member RidoeyM to (Item 29) adopt. Resolution No. 2006 -55 confirming the levy of the Corona del Mar Business Improvement District assessment for the 2006 -2007 fiscal year since the protests represented less than 50 percent of the total assessment amount; (Item 30) adopt Resolution No. 2006 -56 confirming the levy of the Marine Avenue Business Improvement District assessment for the 2006 -2007 fiscal year since the protests represented less than 50 percent of the total assessment amount; (Item 31) adopt Resolution No. 2006 -57 confirming the levy of the Restaurant Association Business Improvement District assessment for the 2006 -2007 fiscal year since the protests represented less than 50 percent of the total assessment amount, 'and (Item 32) adopt Resolution No. 2006 -58 confirming the levy of the Balboa Village Business Improvement District assessment for the 2006 -2067 fiscal year since the protests represented less than 50 percent of the total assessment amount; The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selich, Mayor Pro Tem. Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols Mayor Webb recessed the meeting at 9:40 p.m. and reconvened the meeting at 9:55 p.m. Without objection, Mayor Webb requested that Item 35 (Budget Adoption) be taken out of order. O. CONTINUED BUSINESS (Continued) 35. 2006 -07 BUDGET ADOPTION. [100 -2006] Staff Report City Manager Bludau reported that the proposed operating budget is $164.8 million and the Capital Improvement Program budget is $41.1 million. He noted that four study sessions to review the budget and checklist items were held. Council Member Ridgeway expressed support for the $80,000 budget item for the OASIS Senior Center conceptual plans. Following discussion, it was the consensus of Council to provide $50,000 of funding to the Restaurant Association for the First Annual Newport Beach Restaurant Week, and $9,900 of funding to Michaels Media for the production of Your Newport Today. Mayor Webb noted that he supports providing funding for the Conference for Women, as http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ C6uncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12110/2007 City Council Regular Meer- Page 13 of 22 long as "Newport Beach" is included.in the conference title. Motion by Council Member Rideewav to adopt Resolution No. 2006 -59, approving the City's 2006 -07 Budget, as amended by the approved budget checklist items. Bill Shaver, Friends of OASIS, discussed the condition of the Senior Center and expressed appreciation for the budget allocation; however, he noted that Ed Romeo's previous estimate was $129,000. City Manager Bludau indicated that he talked with Mr. Romeo who deleted some funding items. He noted that Public Works Director Badum believed that $80,000 was sufficient, but pointed out that Council will be approving the architect and can ask for more money at that time if needed. Shari Drewry, Restaurant Association representative, thanked Council for the funding for Restaurant Week. Don Krotee, President of the Newport Heights Improvement Association, thanked Council for. funding the traffic calming measures for the communities of Cliff Haven and Newport Heights. He requested that some of the temporary measures be put into place so the community can provide feedback. Council Member Daigle reported that the Council Member for this district will be making an ongoing commitment to this program. The motion carried by the following roll call vote: Ayes: Council Member Curry, Council Member Selicb, Mayor Pro Tem. Rosansky, Mayor Webb, Council Member Ridgeway, Council Member Daigle, Council Member Nichols 33. GENERAL PLAN UPDATE: LAND USE, CIRCULATION AND HOUSING ELEMENTS. !681100 -20067 Staff Report Att. 1- Memo from EIP Associates on Airport Area Policies Att. 2 - Letter from Harbor Day School Att. 3 - Land Use Categories and Table Att. 4 - Land Use Map B &W (Full size color version in City Clerk's Office for viewing) Att. b -. Revised Housing Element Table H30 Att. 6 - Draft Inclusionary Housing Ordinance Att. 7 - Sample Affordable Housing Implementation Plan (AHIP) Att. 8 - Housing Element Policy Comparison Table (Full size version in City Clerk's Office, for viewing) Supplemental Staff Report Attachment - Complete Set of Draft Land Use Plan Maps (Full size color version in City Clerk's Office for viewing) Land Use Element City Manager Wood discussed the Transfer of Development Rights Policy and reviewed the http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City council Kegular Meetir rage 14 or LL Planning Commission's recommendations. She reported that the approval process is not finalized in the General Plan, but would occur during the zoning process to implement the General Plan. She noted that a General Plan Amendment would not be required with this Policy, as long as the project stays within the development limit set by the General Plan and stays in the same statistical area. Purport Area Policies Council Member Ridgeway reported that he has a conflict in interest and left the dais. Assistant City Manager Wood referenced and discussed proposed Policy LU 6.15.5 relative to the Campus Tract. Without objection, Council Member Daigle requested that a requirement be added to this section that allows for discretionary review by the Planning Commission for automobile uses, even though aesthetic concerns are discussed in LU 6.15.8. Council Member Curry expressed concern that the policy may have a discriminatory effect on the Saunders property and requested that Council continue this policy. in order to receive their input. Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that they have not heard from the property owner and the public hearing is open until Council closes it and takes action on the General Plan. She emphasized that additional changes at this point impacts the analysis that has already been conducted relative to Charter Section 423 and that time may run out to put this on the November ballot. She indicated that, if the Saunders property were used for mixed use residential development, trips would only be reduced if it was developed at a density that would eliminate enough of the existing uses. Assistant City Manager Wood confirmed that Council made a determination relative to the 65 Community Noise Equivalency Level (CNEL) line. Council Member Selich pointed. out that there's 'a limited number of residential opportunities available and that the City should concentrate having them in more desirable areas. He referenced LU 11" and believed that the Campus strip should not have mixed use across from John Wayne Airport (JWA). He agreed that this was discussed previously and that he is not in favor of reversing that decision. Mayor Webb noted that residential use has never been allowed in this tract and the issue was discussed a few months ago and approved by Council. In response to Council questions, Assistant .City Manager Wood confirmed that hotels are Permitted in the airport area under the AO zoning, but she will have the map corrected to reflect this. She indicated that she is not sure whether the 65 CNEL line impacts hotels. She reported that, in an effort to reduce trips and comply with.the Airport Land Use Commission's comments about the noise contour, the number of residential units and the land area were reduced. She emphasized that the idea behind having residential units is to have residential villages and smart growth. It was the consensus of Council to not include mixed use outside the 65 CNEL line, but allow hotels in the AO zoning. Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that policies were generated to respond to Airport Land' Use Commission comments about becoming a consistent agency. She indicated that the Planning Commission made changes relative to the noise contour that were for clarification and not substantive. Council Member Daigle noted that "consistent agency" and "conforming agency" hasn't been defined and expressed concern about what happens if they change the 65 CNEL line. City Manager Bludau reported that Allen Murphy of JWA will provide definitions and told him that they are willing to stipulate that the reference line is the line that exists today. Assistant City Manager Wood reported that the Planning Commission requested that Policy LU 6.15.2 repeat that residential units will not be allowed within the 65 CNEL line. Assistant City Manager Wood reviewed Policies LU 6.15.11 and LU 6.15.16 which deal with http: / /www. city. newport - beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27 -06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meed• Page 15 of 22 the Koll and Conexant properties. She further explained why the, properties are special cases and reported that she is working with the property owners and ROMA Design Group so a staff report can be presented to the Planning Commission on July 6. Regarding the World Premier Investments site, Assistant City Manager Wood reported that the Planning Commission indicated that they would evaluate a policy that allows the City to count a portion of an adjacent, joint use site towards the five acres that are, required for the first phase of a village. She added that the proposal is to have a minimum 10 acres in order to have a village and that a plan will also need to be provided in order to qualify for the first phase. She clarified that the policy would not be specific to this site. Council Member Daigle expressed support for the Koll and Conexant policies and taking a look at the World Premier Investments proposal. Assistant City Manager Wood reviewed the corrections to Policy LU 6.15.17. Phil Bettencourt, representing Brookfield Homes, reported that they are still interested in developing their property at Spruce and Quail, are still preliminarily able to meet the development standards outlined in the General Plan, and can assimilate a new right -of- way. Further,. their project is about 11.5 acres. Sandra Genis, speaking on behalf of Greenlight and SPON, compared .the commercial square footages in Tables Al and A2 of the March 27 draft and the Environmental Impact Report. Assistant City Manager Wood stated that MU -B2 in Table LUl provides options for residential and commercial uses. She reported that language was added to Policy LU 6.15.10 that deals with mixed uses and trips in order to be trip - neutral. She indicated that the square footage depends on. how the property owners choose to use the General Plan entitlements. Phil Arst received clarification from Assistant City Manager Wood that hotel conversions only apply in the Newport Center Area, not the Airport Area. He took issue with possibly creating more .traffic in Newport Center due to the .conversions and that this is not accounted for in the traffic study. He believed that no exceptions should be allowed and that transfer development rights violate Charter Section 423. Newport Center Area Policies Assistant City Manager Wood reviewed the proposed policies and the Planning Commission's addition to the Conversion of Hotel Rooms Policy related to lost revenue/Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) resulting from the conversion. She added that this applies to future .hotel entitlements, not existing hotel rooms, and clarified that this is in addition to the 450 units already authorized. In response to Council questions, Planning Director Temple confirmed that, in order to do the conversion, the property owner would need to amend their site plan. Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that the 450 units are spread throughout Newport Center (Figure LU9). Council Member Selich recommended showing this as multi- family residential instead of mixed use. Phil Arst believed that the conversion of hotel rooms to dwelling units violates Greenlight and that The Irvine Company is getting special dispensation. Sandra Genis asked if the conversion deals with peak trips or average daily trips, and asked that the impacts to water, schools, and parks also be considered. She noted that the City will not receive park fees if subdivisions aren't involved.. Assistant City Manager. Wood reported that the Planning. Commission recommended language that requires a development agreement for conversions of hotel. rooms. She indicated that the municipal code already requires a development agreement for timeshares bttp: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN(6- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meetr rage to or ca and fractional units. She confirmed that the policy already includes language relative to -being traffic neutral; however, if the dwelling units are increased beyond the base level that the General Plan allows, Charter Section 423 would apply. Council Member Selich suggested that the conversion policy be deleted.. Dan Miller, The Irvine Company, stated that they are considering a plan for the San Joaquin area and noted that this would provide them the flexibility to convert some of the entitled hotel rooms to residential units. He stated that they understand that all the issues Will be handled in the development agreement. City Attorney Clauson indicated that, if the conversion was within the permitted units in the General Plan, Charter Section 423 would not apply; however, Mr. Arst is probably correct that Charter Section 423 would apply if there are more than 450 units. Council Member Selich .recommended that additional analysis be included in the General Plan Update relative Charter Section 423. Corona del Mar Assistant City Manager Wood reported that the property.owner of the three properties at the far east end of Corona del Mar on Coast Highway was contacted and agreed to the change of designation for the vacant lots from neighborhood - commercial to multi - family residential, but would like the third lot to remain neighborhood - commercial. Council Member Nichols asked if the residents can vote on the commercial designation along Coast Highway. Assistant City Manager Wood discussed the special policy, for Corona del Mar to allow existing non - conforming structures to remain and added that this has already been discussed by the Planning Commission and Council. It was the consensus of Council to not change the special policy. Harbor Dap School Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that the school would like to expand the facility but not the student population. She reported that staff is recommending that the designation be private - institution with a FAR of .35. There were no objections from Council. Land Use C_atgory Table and Man Senior Planner Ramirez utilized a PowerPoint to explain the land use mapping categories. New ResidentW Subdivision Senior Planner Ramirez reported that the New Residential Subdivision Policy was drafted to limit any new additional dwelling units due to Charter Section 423. Council Member Daigle believed that this policy was due to the Belcourt Project and that this should only pertain to planned communities and not be Citywide Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that every General Plan Amendment becomes a Charter Section 423 issue because the City needs to track any unit added for ten years. She reported that this policy is a cleaner way for the City to ensure they were complying with Charter Section 423 and keeping with the level of specificity in the General Plan today. . Planning Director Temple emphasized that this is not a change since the current General Plan establishes specific dwelling unit limits area -by -area and this policy is currently being applied throughout the City. Assistant City Manager Wood noted that people currently aren't allowed to subdivide single- family lots because the General Plan limits the number of dwelling units. She reported that, for the majority of the.City, resubdividing is not permitted because of how the General Plan is written. Mayor Webb expressed concern about allowing legally merged lots to be exempt from the General Plan and be allowed to resubdivide. Senior Planner Ramirez explained. the http: / /www.city.newport -6 each. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meeti*. _ Page 17 of 22 reasoning behind the Planning Commission's recommendation. He noted that the General Plan doesn't include numbers. City Attorney Clauson clarified that lots can be combined, but cannot be further broken down due to the Subdivision Map Act. She. discussed the process to make the dwelling a legal.dwelling unit, but emphasized that this is on a lot -by- lot basis. Senior Planner Ramirez discussed the mapping designation for the commercial areas in which the YAR is listed on the map. He explained why the anomaly table is still needed. Assistant City Manager Wood confirmed that the amount of entitlement is a certain amount for the whole block and is not calculated by parcel. City Attorney Clauson clarified that a lot line adjustment cannot be done if the number of lots results in more lots than what was started with. It was the consensus of Council to follow the Planning Commission's- recommendation to allow legally merged lots to resubdivide. Dan Miller, The Irvine Company, received clarification from Assistant City Manager Wood that the Planning Commission's recommendation deals with additional units beyond the General Plan. Regarding hotel rooms, she confirmed that they would be already counted in the General Plan if the units were authorized. Jan Vandersloot agreed with the no resubdivision policy and applying it Citywide which is similar to the current General Plan. Sandra Genis received clarification from Assistant City Manager Wood that the anomaly table (Table A2) is still being finalized. She further. clarified that Table Al has been replaced by the information shown graphically on the map and is no longer needed, and Table A2 will be in the body of the Land Use Element. Circulation Element Assistant City Manager Wood reported that, at Riverside and Coast Highway, it may be feasible to add a second eastbound. turn lane (Figure CEM. She stated that this would amend Policy 2.1.1 and one of the intersections would change to Level of Service D (LOS D). She noted that this would nqt be an amendment over what the City has today. There were no objections from Council. Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that, at Dover and Coast Highway, a fourth westbound through lane would cause the loss of the. free right. turn lane from westbound Coast Highway onto Dover. Further, the City would need significant right -of -ways to accomplish the improvements. She indicated that staff feels this is infeasible and is not recommending the improvement. She confirmed that this will leave Dover to operate at LOS E and that the bridge was not designed to be widened. Jan Vandersloot believed that LOS D can be achieved at Dover Drive by restriping the highway to get the fourth lane. He asked why the right turn lane is needed and why the solution is in the Circulation Element if it isn't feasible. Mransportation/Development Services Manager Edmonston reported that the current plan is substandard by Caltrans standards and that therels no room to restripe for the fourth lane. He explained that the centerline cannot be moved from Dover to McDonald's because that.is where the third eastbound lane will eventually be located. Without objection, it was the consensus of Council to allow LOS D at Riverside and Coast Highway, and LOS E at Dover and Coast Highway. Assistant City Manager Wood reported that staff has learned that some of the right -of -way at Campus and Bristol maybe available after JWA expands and the remainin right- of-way would be located at the end of the County golf course. She indicated that the improvement httpJ /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27 -06:htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meer Page 18 of 22 to create a third southbound right turn lane and a fourth northbound through lane is feasible and would make it LOS D instead of LOS E. With the exception of Council Member Nichols, no other Council Member wished to consider six lanes in Corona del Mar at Goldenrod and Marguerite. Assistant City Manager Wood confirmed that the intersections being considered to have . LOS E are Coast Highway/Marguerite, Coast Highway/Goldenrod, Coast ".Highway /Dover, and the shared intersections with Irvine since their standard is LOS E. Sandra Genis expressed concern with how land use and traffic coordinate, specifically with the mixed use concept. She referenced the PPE Study and noted that recent versions of PPE's trip generation do not include information on mixed use sites. She believed that this means that there will be more intersections at LOS E. . Jan Vandersloot asked why the City is accepting Irvine's. LOS E standard and believed that the standard should, be LOS D. Phil Arst noted that there is no updated Circulation Element and expressed concern about the mixed use concept. He stated that he has not seen allowances in the traffic study for the density bonuses. He emphasized that Greenlight measures peak hour trips and that these calculations should be included in the traffic study. Without objection, the Campus and Bristol intersection plan was accepted by Council Assistant City Manager Wood noted the goal of having 20% of all units be affordable housing, however, staff and the Planning Commission is recommending 15% because of the added opportunities for residential development in the proposed General Plan. She confirmed that the City will still meet the Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) goals over the 20 year period, but if not, the City can redo the Housing Element every five years. Regarding how to implement the inclusionary requirement, Assistant City Manager Wood indicated that the City can adopt an inclusionary housing ordinance or require developers to prepare an Affordable Housing Implementation Plan (AHIP). She reported that the Planning Commission recommended that the AHIP be used so that projects of 50 units or less can prepare the AHIP or pay an in lieu fee, and projects of over 50 units would be required to prepare an AHIP. Sandra Genis believed that including Banning Ranch in the totals is problematic, noted that there is no mention of second family units, and urged Council to adopt the inclusionary housing ordinance. Assistant City Manager Wood clarified that the only instance in which the Housing Element is suggesting no density bonus is for the 15% or 20% that are required to be. affordable housing and reviewed State law about developers who agree to provide affordable units. Phil Arst expressed concern that the maximum number of dwelling units is not stated in the report and that the main focus seems to be on affordable housing. He asked that the City use its current entitlements to justify affordable housing. In response to Mayor Webb's questions about Banning Ranch, Assistant City. Manager Wood indicated that they are talking with the property owner and hope to bring an agreement before Council at the July 11 Council meeting that.would allow the City to purchase the site in 4 to 5 years for development as shown in the General Plan. Without objection, it was the consensus of Council to choose the 15% amount of affordable htip: / /www. city: newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006fMN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meet; housing and to require AHIP. Page 19 of 22 Jan Vandersloot believed that five years is not enough time to purchase Banning Ranch. L. PUBLIC COMMENTS Jan Vandersloot believed that the report that was issued to the General Plan Advisory Committee (GPAC) in December 2002 by the Chamber Group should be included in the Environmental Impact Report (EIR) comments. M. ORAL REPORTS FROM CITY COUNCIL ON COMMITTEE ACTIVITIES - None N. PLANNING COMMISSION AGENDA AND ORAL STATUS REPORT 34.. PLANNING COMMISSION AGENDA FOR JUNE 22, 2006. [100 -20061 Staff Report Action Agenda Planning Director Temple reviewed the following Planning Commission items: Macklin Residence - 6 Barrenger Court (PA2006 -088); Steadfast Investment Properties - 4343 Von Farman Avenue (PA2005 -293); and General Plan Update: Land Use Element and Maps. O. CONTINUED BUSINESS (Continued) 36. APPOINTMENTS TO BOARDS &COMMISSIONS. [100 -20061 StaffReport City Clerk. Harkless read the.ballot votes for the Board of Library Trustees as follows: Theresa Chase (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols, Mayor Webb) City Clerk Harkless announced that Theresa Chase has been reappointed to the Board of Library Trustees. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the City Arts Commission as follows: Gilbert Lasky (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols, Mayor Webb) City Clerk Harkless announced that Gilbert Lasky has been reappointed to the City Arts Commission. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the Harbor Commission as follows: Timothy Collins (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols, Mayor Webb) John Corrough (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols, Mayor Webb) Tom Houston ( Selich, Rosansky) Scott Ramser (Ridgeway, Daigle) Karen Rhyne (Curry, Mayor Webb) Mark Sites (Nichols) City Clerk Harkless announced that Tim Collins and John Corrough have been reappointed to the Harbor Commission, and second ballots will be distributed to vote between Tom Houston, Scott Ramser, and Karen Rhyne. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commission as follows: httpJ /www. city. newport- beach. ca. us/ Coun6ilAgendW2006 /MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meeti- Page 20 of 22 Barbara Durst - Taylor (Nichols) Marie Marston (Ridgeway, Daigle, Mayor Webb) Robert Rush (Nichols) Gregory Ruzicka (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Ridgeway, Daigle, Mayor Webb) Cristine Trapp (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols, Mayor Webb) Jack Wu (Curry, Selich, Rosansky) City Clerk Harkless announced that Gregory Ruzicka has been reappointed and Cristine Trapp has been appointed to the Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commission, and second ballots will be distributed to vote between Marie Marston and Jack Wu. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the Harbor Commission as follows: Tom Houston (Selich, Rosansky) Scott Ramser (Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols) Karen Rhyne (Curry, Mayor Webb) City Clerk Harkless announced that third ballots will be distributed to vote between Tom Houston, Scott Ramser, and Karen Rhyne since four votes are required for appointment. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commission as follows: Marie Marston (Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols, Mayor Webb) Jack Wu (Curry, Selich, Rosansky) City Clerk Harkless announced that Marie Marston has been appointed to the Parks, Beaches and Recreation Commission for a term expiring June 30, 2009, since she received . the least amount of votes between the three appointees. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the Harbor Commission as follows: Tom Houston (Selich) Scott Ramser (Ridgeway, Daigle, Nichols) Karen Rhyne (Curry, Rosansky, Mayor Webb) City Clerk Harkless announced that fourth ballots. will be distributed to vote between Scott Ramser and Karen Rhyne since four votes are required for appointment. City Clerk Harkless read the ballot votes for the Harbor Commission as follows: Scott Ramser (Ridgeway, Daigle) Karen Rhyne (Curry, Selich, Rosansky, Nichols, Mayor Webb) City Clerk Harkless announced that Karen Rhyne has been appointed to the Harbor Commission. S38. NEWPORT RIDGE PARK AND CRESTRIDGE PARK — DECISION REGARDING ACCEPTANCE OR REJECTION OF ALL OR PARTS OF AN HLREVOCABLE OFFER. OF DEDICATION (IOD). [100.2006] Staff Report Council Member Curry explained why he is recommending Option 3 of Attachment F and http: / /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas )2606/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meetk Page 21 of 22 believed that Option 1 would generate litigation against the City. Council Member Daigle noted that there is no written policy on how to handle field use on a facility that the City assumes ownership of and is already regularly used. Regarding Council questions about improving the ball field and the budget allocation, City Attorney Clauson clarified that the cost associated with the Newport Coast Community Center is only to relocate the field and not replace the grass. She indicated that she is not sure how many acres the ball fields encompass because the legal descriptions have not been finalized. City Manager Bludau reported that the current field is not up to City standards and noted that the turf and grass need to be replaced. Council Member Ridgeway agreed that the baseball leagues cannot use the fields because of the current condition of the grass and how they're configured. He believed that Option 1 is consistent with the Irrevocable Offer of Dedication GOD) policy and, if the City is going to provide for the youth of the community, it needs to take over at least the baseball fields. Dan Wampole, Newport Ridge Homeowners Association, agreed that the grass is not good for playing sports. He indicated that the Association would prefer Options 4 or 6, but can support Option 3. He added that there should be a City sidewalk along Lot C, similar to the public accessway mentioned in Option 1, and requested that the Association be allowed to fence in the private family recreation area. He noted that Option 1 would get the City into litigation. He stated that they would agree to the Option 3 operating agreement having a provision to prohibit signs that said "Private Park" or 'No Trespassing". Mayor Pro Tem Rosansky expressed concern about finalizing anything without reviewing the final .operating agreement. Mr. Wampole noted that Option 3 has a provision for the City to accept the IOD at anytime in the event the Association . does not comply. He requested that Council approve Option 3 upon receiving an acceptable operating agreement. By a straw vote of 4 (Curry, Selich, Rosausky, Nichols) to 3 (Ridgeway, Daigle, Mayor Webb), Council agreed to proceed with Option 3. In response to Council questions about Option 3, Mr. Wampole discussed how they, believe they will expand field use by 50 %: He also reported that the Association wasn't thinking about renovating the fields at this time, and the public will be allowed to use the restroom facilities if field use is only expanded 50%. Council Member Daigle expressed concern about how the Association is going to maintain the fields. Council Member Curry believed that Mr. Wampole is trying "to get Field 2 upgraded for community use and that upgrading the fields is the City's option. Mayor Webb directed staff to bring this issue back to Council at the August 8 meeting R An. O iRNMENT . at 1:15 am. on Wednesday, June 28, 2006 The agenda for the Regular Meeting was posted on June 21, 2006, at 3:25 p.m. on the City Hall Bulletin Board located outside of the City of Newport Beach Administration Building. The supplemental agenda for the Regular Meeting was posted on June 23, 2006, at 2:00 pm. on the City Hall Bulletin Board located outside of the City of Newport Beach Administration Building. Recording Secretary httpJ /www.city.newport- beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htm 12/10/2007 City Council Regular Meeti- Mayor City Clerk Page 22 of 22 http: / /www. city. newport - beach. ca. us/ CouncilAgendas /2006/MN06- 27- 06.htin 12/10/2007 1 DRAFT ORDINANCE NO. 2006- AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH, ADDING CHAPTER 20.68 TO THE NEWPORT BEACH MUNICIPAL CODE PERTAINING TO INCLUSIONARY HOUSING REGULATIONS AND AMENDING SECTION 20.03.030 PERTAINING TO DEFINITIONS OF THE NEWPORT BEACH MUNICIPAL CODE WHEREAS, the City of Newport Beach ("City") is a Charter City, governed by a charter adopted by the citizens of the City; and WHEREAS, it is a public purpose of the City and a policy of the State to achieve a diverse and balanced community with housing available for households of all income levels; and WHEREAS, economic diversity fosters social and environmental conditions that protect and enhance the social fabric of the City and are beneficial to the health, safety and welfare of its residents; and WHEREAS, the lack of affordable housing has a direct impact upon the health, safety and welfare of the residents of the City; and WHEREAS, State law pertaining to general ,plans and the Housing Element of the City General Plan require that City ordinances regulate land use development and that the City and its agencies otherwise use their authority in a manner that provides an adequate supply of housing for all economic segments of the community; and WHEREAS, thQ..Gjty it, experiencing. an increasing shortage of.housing affordable to very low -, low- and moderate- income households and:will not be able to fully contribute to the attainment of the State housing goals or to retain a healthy environment without additional affordable housing; and WHEREAS, new residential development .does not provide housing opportunities for very low -, low- and moderate - income households due to the high cost of land in the City; and WHEREAS, as a result, very low -, low, and moderate - income households are de facto excluded from many new neighborhoods, creating economic stratification in the City detrimental to the public health, safety and welfare; and k WHEREAS, an increasing number of persons in very low -, low, and moderate- income households live in overcrowded or substandard housing and devote an overly large percentage of their Income to pay for housing; and WHEREAS, the amount of land in the City _available for residential development is limited; and WHEREAS, the consumption of this remaining land for residential development without providing affordable housing to persons of all income levels would work counter to housing, environmental and planning policies and have a substantial negative impact on the environment and economic climate because (i) housing will have to be built elsewhere, far from employment centers and therefore, commutes will increase, causing increased. traffic and transit demand and consequent noise and air pollution; and (10 City businesses will find it more difficult to attract and retain the workers they need; and WHEREAS, new residential development in the City which does not provide for affordable units aggravates the existing shortage of affordable housing by absorbing the supply of available residential land, reducing the supply of land for affordable housing , and increasing the price of the remaining residential land; and WHEREAS, at the same time, new residential development contributes to the demand for goods and services in the City, increasing local, service employment at wage levels which often do not permit employees to afford housing in the City; and WHEREAS,. Federal and State funds for the construction of new affordable housing are insufficient to fully address the problem of affordable housing within the City; and WHEREAS,- the private - housing market has failed to provide adequate housing opportunities for very low -, low -, and moderate- income households; and WHEREAS, on March 14, 2000 the City Council established an Affordable Housing Task Force that was charged with recommending an appropriate affordable.housing program; and WHEREAS, the Affordable Housing Task Force conducted an investigation, held hearings and solicited comments from the community regarding a range of options; and WHEREAS, on the Affordable Housing Task Force recommended this ordinance to the Planning Commission; and 3S WHEREAS, on the Planning Commission held a public a hearing on this ordinance and recommended this ordinance to the City Council for adoption; and WHEREAS, the City is aware that there may be .times when the inclusionary housing requirements make market -rate housing more expensive; and. WHEREAS, in weighing.all the factors, including the significant need for affordable housing, the City Council has made the decision that community's interests are best served by the adoption of inclusionary housing regulations; and WHEREAS, to implement the City General Plan, to carry out the policies of the State and federal law and policy, and to ensure the benefits of economic diversity of the residents of the City, it is essential that new. residential development in the remaining new growth areas of the City contain housing opportunities to households of very low -, low- and moderate- inoome,. and that the City provide a regulatory framework which ensures development of an adequate supply and mix of new housing to meet the future housing needs of all income segments of the community; and WHEREAS, the City Council finds that it is necessary to adopt an inclusionary housing ordinance to address the City's housing crises. NOW THEREFORE, the City Council of the City of ..Newport Beach, California, hereby.ordains as follows: SECTION 1: Chapter 20.68 of the Newport Beach Municipal Code is hereby added to read as follows: V, CHAPTER 20.68 INCLUSIONARY HOUSING REGULATIONS See Ions: 20.68.010 Purpose 20.68:020 Inclusionary Housing Regulations 20.68.030 Credit Transfers 20.68.040 In -Lieu Fees 20.68.050 Altematives 20.68.060 Exemptions 20.68.070 Adjustments, Waivers 20.68.080 Compliance Procedures 20.68.090 Eligibility for Affordable Units 20.68.100 Affordable Unit Credits V, 20.68.110 Affordable Housing.Trust Fund 20.68.120 Enforcement 20.68.130 Appeals 20.68.010 Purpose The purpose of this Chapter is to: A. Provide a balanced residential community comprised of a variety of housing types, designs, and opportunities for all social and economic segments, including very low -, low -, and moderate- income households. B. Promote the City's goal to add affordable housing units to the City s housing stock in proportion to the overall increase in new housing units. C. Offset the demand on housing that is created by residential development and mitigate environmental and other impacts that accompany residential development by protecting the economic diversity of the" City's housing stock, reducing traffic, transit and related air quality impacts, promoting jobs/housing balance and reducing the demands placed on transportation infrastructure in the region. D. Ensure that the limited remaining developable land. in the City's planning area is utilized in a manner consistent with the City's housing policies and needs. 20.68.020 Inclustonary Housing Regulations A: -.Affordability Requirement. Unless otherwise provided An this Chapter, all new residential development projects of eleven or more dwelling units, designed and intended for permanent occupancy, shall construct the following percentage of the total number of dwelling units within the residential development project as affordable units restricted for occupancy by, very low -, low- or moderate- income households: (1) 11.5 percent very low- income households; (2) 20 percent low- income households; or (3) 30 percent moderate-income households. The number of affordable units required for a particular residential development project will be determined only once, at the time of tentative or parcel map approval, or for developments not processing a tentative or parcel map, prior to issuance of a building permit, regardless of the changes in the character or ownership of the residential development, provided the total number of units does not change. If 51 a change in the residential development project design results in a change in the total number of units, the number of affordable units required will be recalculated to coincide with the final approved residential development project. B. Calculation. In determining the number of whole affordable units required, any decimal fraction less than 0.50 shall be rounded down to the nearest whole number, and any decimal fraction greater than or equal to 0.50 shall be rounded up to the next whole number. For purposes of calculating the number of affordable units required by this Section, any additional units authorized as a. density bonus under California Government Code Section 65915(b) (1) or (2) will not be counted in determining the required number of affordable units. C. Design and Distribution of Affordable Units. All affordable units shall reflect the range of numbers of bedrooms provided in the residential development project as a whole and shall be comparable in infrastructure (including sewer, water, and other utilities); construction quality, and exterior design to the market -rate units. The affordable .units may be smaller in aggregate size and have different inferior finishes and features than the market -rate units in the residential development project so long as the interior features are durable, of good quality and are consistent with contemporary standards for new housing. The affordable units shall be dispersed throughout the residential development, unless clustering is expressly authorized by the City. D. Tenure of Affordable Units. For all affordable units provided pursuant to this Section, the applicant shall have. the option of selling the affordable units at an affordable housing. price or renting the affordable units at an affordable rent subject to the terns and conditions imposed on the residential development project and the provisions contained. in the Affordable Housing Agreement. E. Timing. All affordable units shall be constructed and offered for occupancy concurrently with or prior to the construction and marketing of the market -rate units. in phased residential development projects, affordable units may be constructed and marketed in proportion to the number of market -rate units constructed and marketed in each phase of the residential development project. If the Planning Commission determines that extenuating circumstances exist and that the concurrent construction of affordable units is infeasible or impractical, the Piarining Commission may waive the requirements of this i Subsection or impose reasonable conditions to effectuate the intent $$. of this Subsection. F. Duration of Affordability Requirement. Affordable units required by this Chapter shall be legally restricted to occupancy by households of the income levels for which the affordable units were designated for a minimum of 30 years. G. Conditions of Approval. Any tentative map, parcel map, use permit, site plan review, coastal residential development permit, or other discretionary permit approving a residential development project subject to this Chapter shall contain conditions sufficient to ensure compliance with the provisions of this Chapter, including the execution of an Affordable housing Agreement imposing, among other things, appropriate resale controls and /or rental restrictions on the affordable units. 20.68.030 Credit Transfers An applicant may fully or partially satisfy the requirements of Section 20.68.020 through the use of transferable affordable unit credits created pursuant to Section 20.68.100. Credit certificates shall only be used to satisfy the requirements for affordable units of the income category (i.e., very low -, low-, or moderate - income) and number of bedrooms for which the affordable unit credits are issued. 20.68.040 In -Lieu Fees A. General Requirements. 1. For residential development projects of 11 to 50 dwelling units, the requirements of this Chapter may be satisfied by paying a fee in -lieu of constructing all or a portion of the affordable urds required by this. Chapter. 2. For residential development of 50 or more dwelling units, the applicant may not pay a fee in-fieu of constructing the required affordable units. B. Timing of Payment For residential development projects that are not phased residential development projects, the in -lieu fee shall be paid at the time of issuanoe,of any building permit for the residential development project. For phased residential development projects, payment of the in-lieu fee shall be made for each portion of the residential development project at the time any building permit is issued for that phase of the residential development project. When payment is phased, the amount of the In -lieu fee payable under this Section shall be based upon the in-lieu fee schedule in effect at the time the in -lieu fee is paid. ) 3`` j C. Amount of Fee. The amount of the in -lieu fee shall he set by resolution of the City.Council and the amount of the in4ieu fee may be amended from time to time to reflect changes in residential construction costs and other conditions in -the City and the region. D. Partial Payment. Developers electing to provide a portion of the affordable units required by Section 20.68.020 within the residential development project, may pay an in -lieu fee for the remainder of the required affordable units that are not provided. The in -lieu fee shall be paid at the time of issuance of any building permit for the residential development project. 20.68.050 Alternatives A. Proposal. An applicant may propose one of the following aftemative means of compliance with Section 20.68.020 by submitting an application for discretionary approval in accordance with Chapter 20.90 and this Section. B. Coif -Site Construction : Projects. An applicant may propose to construct some or all of the affordable units required by Section 20.68.020 at a location not physically within the residential development project in -lieu of constructing some or all of the affordable units within the residential development project. The Planning Commission shall approve or conditionally approve the proposal on the basis of the application, plans, materials, and testimony submitted if the Planning Commission finds: That the purpose of this Chapter would be served by implementation of the proposed alternative. 2. That construction of the off -site units in -lieu of constructing e - on -site units is consistent with the Chapter's purpose. 3. That the off site units to be constructed are located within the City of Newport Beach and are consistent with the requirements of Section 20.68.020. 4. That it would be infeasible or impractical to construct on -site units. C. Cuff- -Site Rehabilitation Projects. An applicant may propose to rehabilitate, existing off -site units and convert the off -site units to affordable units in=lieu of constructing some or all of the affordable units required to be provided under Section ,20.68.020 within the iN residential development project. The Planning Commission shall approve or conditionally approve the proposal on the basis of the application, plans, materials, and testimony submitted if the Planning Commission finds: T. That the purpose of this Chapter would be served by implementation of the proposed alternative. 2. That rehabilitation of the proposed dwelling units in-lieu of constructing units on -site is consistent with this Chapter's purpose. 3. That the proposed dwelling, units to be rehabilitated off -site are located within the City of. Newport Beach and are consistent with the requirements of Section 20.68.020. 4. The proposed dwelling units to be rehabilitated off -site are in need of substantial rehabilitation. 5.. That the proposed dwelling units to be rehabilitated off -site . are not already subject to affordability income restrictions. 6. That it would be infeasible or impractical to construct the on- site.dwelling units. 7. That the off -site dwelling units will be substantially rehabilitated, such that the unit is returned to the 'City's . housing supply as decent, safe and sanitary housing and meet all applicable housing and building code requirements. D. Land Dedication. An applicant may propose to dedicate land to the. City or City - designated local non -profit housing.. developer in -lieu of construction of some or all of the affordable units required by Section 20.68.020. The Planning Commission shall recommend and the City Council shall approve or conditionally approve this proposal if the City Council finds all of the following: t. That the purpose of this Chapter would be served by implementation of the proposed altemative. 2. That dedication of land in -lieu of constructing units is consistent with this Chapter's purpose. 3. That the dedicated land is useable for its intended purpose and has the appropriate general plan and zoning designation for the development of affordable housing, is free of toxic,i tk1 t substances and contaminated soils, and is or will be fully improved with infrastructure and adjacent utilities. That the conditions . of approval for the residential development project are adequate to ensure that title to the dedicated. land, or lease/rights useful for the life of the housing improvements, shall be conveyed to the City or City - designated local non -profit housing developer before a building permit is Issued for all or any portion of the residential development project. . 5. That all property taxes and special taxes be current before the title is conveyed to the City or City- designated local non- profit housing developer. 6. That the proposed land dedication meets. the following requirements: a. The dedication includes land sufficient to construct, at a minimum, the number of affordable units that the applicant would otherwise be required to construct by Section 20.68.020; and 1 b. The proposed land dedication has an equivalent or I greater value than the in -lieu fee that would be required to be paid under Section 20.68.040 if applied to the overall project The value of the proposed land dedication shall be appraised by a certified appraiser selected by the City. The applicant shall pay for all costs and expenses associated with the appraisal. At the time the applicant submits the application prpAged for in this Section,. the applicant shall deposit the estimated cost and expense for the appraisal as determined by the Planning Director. After the appraisal is prepared, the Planning Director shall provide the applicant with a Notice of Decision regarding the value of the proposed Nand dedication and a copy of the appraisal. If the applicant disputes the decision of the Planning Director, the applicant shall file an appeal in accordance with Chapter 20.95. At the hearing on appeal, the appellate body shall consider any material provided by the applicant regarding the value of the proposed land dedication. W, 20.68.060 Exemptions A. Natural Disasters. The requirements of this Chapter do not apply to the reconstruction of any structure that has been destroyed by fire, flood, earthquake or other act of nature provided that the reconstruction of the site does not increase the number of residential units. B. Other Governmental Entities. The requirements of this Chapter do not apply to housing constructed by other governmental agencies. 20.68.070 Adjustments, Waivers The City Council, at its discretion, may waive, wholly or partially, the requirements of this Chapter and approve alternative methods of compliance with this Chapter if the applicant demonstrates, and the City Council finds that either A. Then: is no reasonable relationship between the impact of a proposed development and the requirements of this Chapter; and applying the requirement of this Chapter would take property in violation of the United States or California Constitutions; or, B. There are special circumstances unique to the residential development that justify the granting of an adjustment or waiver, the residential development would not be feasible without the modifications; a specific and financial hardship would occur if the modification was not granted; and no aftemative means of compliance are available which would be effective in attaining the purpose of this Chapter than the relief requested. 20.68.080 Compliance Procedures A General. Except as provided herein, entry into an .Affordable Housing. Agreement, in a form approved by. the City Attorney, is a condition of any, tentative map, parcel map or. building permit for any residential development for which this Chapter applies. This Section does not apply to exempt residential development projects or to residential development projects where the requirements of this Chapter are fully satisfied by payment of an in4eu fee under Section 20.68.040 or land dedication as provided under Section 20.68.050(D). B. Affordable Housing Agreement. The form of the Affordable Housing Agreement will vary depending on the manner in which the provisions of this Chapter are satisfied for a particular residential development: All Affordable Housing Agreements should include, at t j a minimum, the following: A description of the residential development project, how the requirements of this Chapter will be met by the applicant, and whether the affordable units will be rented or owner - occupied; 2. The number, size and location of each very low-, low- or moderate- income units; 3. inclusionary incentives by the City (if any), including the nature and amount of any local public funding; 4. Provisions and/or documents for resale restrictions, deeds of trust, rights of first refusal or rental restrictions;. 5. Provisions for monitoring the ongoing affordability of the units, and the process for qualifying prospective households for income eligibility 6. Security provisions, such as a cash deposit, bond, or letter of credit, adequate to complete the requirements of this Chapter_ concurrently with the completion of the construction of the residential development project consistent with Section 20.68.020(E); and C. Recording of Agreement. All Affordable Housing Agreements that are acceptable to the City Attomey must be recorded against the owner- occupied affordable units and the projects containing rental affordable units. Additional rental or resale restrictions, deeds of trust, rights of first refusal and /or other documents acceptable to the City Attorney must also be recorded.. against oHmer- occupied affordable units. In cases where the requirements of this Chapter are satisfied through the development of off -site units or off -site rehabilitated units, the Affordable Housing . Agreement must simultaneously be recorded against the property where the off -site units are located and off -site rehabilitated units are located.. 20.68.090 Eligibility for Affordable Units No household shall be permitted to occupy an affordable unit designated for a very low-, low, or moderate- income household unless the City or its designee determines that the household is eligible to occupy the applicable affordable unit based on the household income, as determined in accordance with Title 25 of the California Code of Regulations Sections 6910 through 6932. The developer shall use an equitable selection method established in conformance with the terms of JA this Chapter, which shall be neutral as to age,.race, religion, sex, creed and ethnic origin or any other impermissible standard established by the United } States or State of California Constitution. Additionally, the selection criteria may not distinguish between adults and children, except as provided in Federal and State law for units designated for senior citizens. 20.66.100 Affordable Unit Credits A. Creation. One affordable unit credit shall be issued for each affordable unit constructed in excess of the number of affordable units required to be constructed for the project by Section 20.68.020(A). Affordable unit credits shall be issued by the Planning Director and shall designate a.specific income category (La., very low -, low-, or moderate - income) and number of bedrooms for which they are issued. B. Ownership and Use of Credits. Affordable unit credits are.issued to and become the possession of the project owner, who may then use them to satisfy the requirements of this Chapter for another residential development project in the City. If a project owner proposes to sell credit certificates, the parties . shall first notify the Planning Director, who will document the transfer. 20.68.110 Affordable Housing 'Trust Fund A. Trust Fund.. There is hereby established a separate Affordable Housing Trust Fund ( "Fund's. The Fund shall receive all in -lieu fees contributed under Sections 20.68.040 and may also receive monies from other sources. B. Purpose and Limitations. All monies deposited . in the Fund, together. with . any.-interest earnings on such monies, less - reasonable administrative charges or related expenses associated with the administration of this Section including, but not limited to, reasonable consultant and legal expenses related to the establishment and/or administration of the Fund and reasonable expenses for administering the process of calculating, collecting, and accounting for fees, shall be used or committed solely to increase the supply of housing affordable to very low -, low -, and moderate4ncome households. C. Expenditures. Fund monies shall be used in accordance with City's Housing Element to construct, rehabilitate or subsidize affordable housing or assist other governmental entities, private organizations or individuals to do so. Permissible uses of Fund monies include, but are not limited to: (1) assistance to housing development j ay j `� J r; (2).egkjity participation loans; (3) grants; (4) pre -home co- investment; (5) pre - development loan funds; (6) leases; m other public-private partnership arrangements; (8) the acquisition of property and property rights; and (9) construction of affordable housing including 'costs associated with planning, administration,- and design,' as well as actual building or installation, as well as any other costs associated with the construction or financing of affordable housing. The Fund may be used for the benefit of both rental and owner - occupied housing. 20.68.720 Enforcement A. Penalty for Violation of Terms. It shall be unlawful for any person, firm, corporation; - partnership or other entity to. violate any provisions of this Chapter. A violation of any of the provisions of this Chapter or failing to comply with any of the requirements of this Chapter shall constitute a misdemeanor; except that notwithstanding any other provisions of this Chapter, any such violation constituting a misdemeanor under this Chapter, may in the discretion of the enforcing authority, be charged and prosecuted as an infraction. B. Legal Action: The City may institute any appropriate legal actions or proceedings necessary to ensure compliance with this Chapter Including, but not limited to: (1) actions to revoke, deny or suspend any permit, including a building permit, certificate of occupancy, or discretionary approval; (2) actions to-recover from any violator of this Chapter civil fines, restitution to prevent unjust enrichment from a violation of this Chapter, and /or enforcement costs, including attorneys fees; (3) actions to recover on behalf of the tenant, or to ,. the City in the event the tenant cannot be located, any excess rents........,._, charged and/or enforcement costs, including attorneys fees; (4) eviction or foreclosuretand (5) any other appropriate action for injunctive relief or damages. Failure of any official or agency to fulfill the requirements of this Chapter shall not excuse any person, owner, household or other party from the requirements of this Chapter. C. Remedies Cumulative. The remedies provided for herein shall be cumulative and not exclusive and shall not preclude the City from any other remedy or relief to which it.otherwise would be entitled under law or equity. 20.68-130 Appeals A. Appeals. Decisions of the Planning Director may be appealed to the Planning Commission and decisions of the Planning Commission may be appealed to the City Council. B. Procedures. Procedures for appeals shall be as prescribed by Newport Beach Municipal Code Chapter 20.95: Appeals. SECTION 2: The following definitions are hereby added to Section 20.03.030 of Title 20 of the Newport Beach Municipal Code to read as follows: "Affordable Housing Agreement° means the agreement entered into pursuant to Chapter 20.68 which provides legal restrictions by which the .affordable units shall be restricted to ensure that.the unit remains affordable to very low -, low-, and moderate - income households, as applicable, for a period of not less than 30 years. With respect to rental units, such rent restrictions shall be in the form of a regulatory agreement recorded against the applicable property. With respect to owner - occupied units, such. resale controls shall be . in the form of resale restrictions, deeds of trust, and/or other similar documents recorded against the applicable property. "Affordable Housing Price" means a sales price that is no more than 3 times the maximum income level for very low -, low -, and moderate - income households, as adjusted for household size by the United States Department of Housing and Community Development [Is this correct?] "Affordable Rent" means an annual rent that does not exceed 30 percent of maximum income level for very low-, low -, and moderate4ncome households, as adjusted for household size by the United States Department of Housing and Community Development Us this correct?] "Affordable Unit" means an ownership or rental - housing unit, including senior housing, affordable to households with very low -, low -, and moderate - incomes as defined in this Chapter. "Conversion" means a change of a dwelling unit to a condominium, cooperative, or a similar form of ownership; or a nonresidential use. "Low-income" means between 50% and 80% of the median income, adjusted for actual household size, as determined by the California Department of Housing and Community Development for Orange County. .. "Moderate- income" means between 80% and 120% of the median income, adjusted for actual household size, as determined by the California Department of Housing and Community Development for Orange County. N'"t "l "Residential Development" means detached single - family dwellings, multiple dwelling structures, groups of dwellings, , condominium or townhouse developments, cooperative developments, mixed use developments that. include housing units, and residential land subdivisions intended to be sold to the general public. [Is this term consistent with its use in other parts of the code?] "Very low -, low -, and moderate - income" means those income and eligibility levels determined periodically by the California Department of Housing and Community Development based on Orange County median income levels adjusted for family size. Such levels shall be calculated on the basis of gross annual household Income considering household size and number of dependents, income of all wage earners, elderly or disabled family members, and all other sources of household income and will be recertified as set forth by local standards, and State and Federal housing law. "Very low- income" means 50% or less of the median income, adjusted for actual household size, as determined by the California Department of Housing and Community Development for Orange County. SECTION 3:. If any section, subsection, sentence, clause or phrase of this ordinance is, for any reason, held to be invalid or unconstitutional, such decision shall not affect the validity or constitutionality of the remaining portions of this ordinance. The City Council hereby declares that it would have passed this ordinance, and each section, subsection, clause or phrase hereof, irrespective of the fact that any one or more sections, subsections, sentences, clauses and phrases be declared unconstitutional. SECTION 4: The Mayor shall sign and the. City Clerk shall attest to the passage of this ordinance. The City Clerk shall cause the same to be published once in the official newspaper of the City, and it shall be effective thirty (30) days after its adoption. SECTIONS: This ordinance was introduced at a regular meeting of the City. Council of the City of Newport Beach, held on the ; day of • . 2006, and adopted on the_ day of 2006, by the following vote, to wit: AYES, COUNCILMEMBERS NOES,COUNCILMEMBERS ABSENT COUNCILMEMBERS ;\a ATTEST: CITY CLERK �h 1--D1tiv10 -7 -4*-15 arozz Enq,neer; nq Group, Inc. 52 j.i December 11, 2007 City Council City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92663 Subject: North Newport Center Project - Peer Review and Measure S Evaluation Honorable Mayor Rosansky and members of the City Council: Orosz Engineering Group, Inc (OEG) has been retained by the Greenlight PAC to conduct a peer review of the supporting traffic engineering studies that have been published relative to the subject project. We have also been asked to review the project in light of the Measure S thresholds and to review the methodology in the transfer of square footage proposed. The following is a summary of the documents included in the peer review and evaluation that the City has produced for the Planning Commission and City Council's use in reviewing the proposed project. • Newport Center Trip Transfer Traffic Study; November 7, 2007 • North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study; November 6, 2007 • Planning Commission Staff Report— North Newport Center Planned Community (PA2007 -151) 500 -600 Bilk Newport Center Drive, 42000 Bilk San Joaquin Plaza; November 15, 2007 • Addendum to City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update EIR The peer review focused on the primary issue of equality of the transfer of existing uses and . entitlements to the proposed project in terms of square footage and traffic volume. Secondarily, the analysis provides and opinion on the applicability of the Measure S thresholds requiring an election to determine the merits of the project. This letter report and evaluation has been prepared by Mr. Stephen Orosz, PE, PTOE. As principal of . OEG, Mr. Orosz, has over 25 years experience in the field of transportation planning and traffic engineering. Mr. Orosz holds a bachelor in science degree in Civil Engineering with emphasis on Transportation. He is a registered Traffic Engineer and Civil Engineer in the State of California. He also has been certified by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) as a Professional Traffic Operations Engineer (PTOE). During the course of,his professional career, Mr. Orosz has not only prepared numerous traffic impact analyses for developers, individuals and municipalities, he has conducted many similar peer reviews for developers, municipalities and interested individuals /groups. As such, OEG is qualified to conduct the peer review of the technical documents associated with this project. Mr. Orosz has also recently reacquainted himself with the study area after having worked in the transportation profession in and around the City of Newport Beach between 1980 and 1987. Mr. Orosz resume is attached for additional qualifications and background. City of Newport Beach December 11, 2007 Page 2 Summary of Findings In brief, OEG has identified numerous miscalculations in the complex traffic analysis that result in the project as proposed not being consistent or equal to the transferred land uses. Further based on these miscalculations in the square footage and traffic generation for the proposed project, the thresholds Identified in Measure S appear to be exceeded. The following material issues and inconsistencies have been identified with the subject supporting documents that lead to these conclusions. 1. The trip generation rates used to estimate the City Hall traffic have been understated. 2. The AM peak hour traffic has not been considered in the traffic equality calculations. 3. City Hall trip generation has not been included in the traffic analysis. 4. Hotel trip generation has not been included in the traffic analysis. 5. Increases In existing Fashion Island development have been identified in the traffic analysis, but are not discussed anywhere else in the documentation. 6. When the AM peak hour is considered, the actual amount of equivalent development is 160 TSF less than proposed. The proposed project results in 160 TSF of office uses over and above that consistent with the General Plan. 7. The amount of equivalent SF calculation is suspect. 8. The project would add at least 179 more peak hour trips than currently envisioned. 9. The project will create significant impacts at three intersections during the peak hours. 10. The project is not traffic neutral, or consistent, or equivalent and the analysis is Incomplete. Analysis The following analysis expands on these points and provides a reference document for the analysis conducted. Newport Center Trip Transfer Traffic Study; November 7, 2007 1. There appears to be a double counting of the office square footage in the use of the eliminated office space in Table 1 and the way the trip rates were calculated for the office uses. Footnote 4 in Table 1 states that there are 408 TSF (thousand square feet) of existing development. Further the table removes 8.289 TSF of office uses and seeks a trip credit in the calculations. The double counting and inclusion of the eliminated SF of office leads to a under estimation of office traffic in the future compared to the existing conditions. 2. The footnote used in assigning the trip generation rate for the City Hall is not correct. Footnote 5 states that the "ITE land use code 750 Office Park (emphasis added) is most representative of the City Hall (in both function and magnitude)." This is an incorrect statement. Two other ITE land use codes 730 and 733 Government Office Building (emphasis added) state that these two uses are, representative of City Hall traffic patterns. The magnitude of the facilities used to document the trip rates (ITE Land Use Codes 730 and 733) are 52 TSF and 104 TSF, essentially bracketing the proposed City Hall at 72 TSF. The net result of using either of these two ITE land uses is that the estimated traffic for the City Hall increases and the net transferable office square footage decreases. The ITE Land Use Code descriptions are attached to this report. M City of Newport Beach December 11, 2007 Page 3 Further, one other ITE land use code would be more appropriate.than the one selected in the analysis and that is ITE land use code 715 Single Tenant Office Building (emphasis added). The size of the facilities used to develop these trip rates (ITE Code 715 identifies an164 TSF average) is closer to the proposed City Hall (72 TSF) than the Office Park trip rate (ITE Code 750 which identifies a 370 TSF average). The net result of using either of these two ITE land uses is that the estimated traffic for the City Hall increases and the net transferable office square footage decreases. 3. An even more critical error in this data noted in Table 1 is the lack of comparison of the AM peak hour traffic volumes. The health club, quality restaurant and hotel uses have dramatically lower AM peak hour traffic volumes than the office uses that are being compared. When the AM peak hour traffic comparison is conducted, the amount of equivalent office uses that can be considered for transfer to the concept of traffic neutrality and equality decreases significantly. In summary, these inconsistencies with the analysis included in the Trip Transfer Study significantly increase the City Hall traffic during the AM and PM peak hours and results in the inconsistency in the AM peak hour traffic volumes. The resultant increase in the AM peak hour traffic proposed exceeds the Measure S thresholds of 100 peak hour trips. North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study November 6, 2007 1. In the trip generation Table 1, there is some missing key, information. The hotel room traffic that is being utilized to be transferred to the office uses is not documented in the project trip generation table. This is a key element in the transfer proposal that would affect the amount of square footage to be considered equivalent. 2. The City Hall trip generation is missing from the Table 1 totals. This would significantly increase the net amount project traffic. 3. The new addition of Shopping Center square footage is not documented anywhere else in the project discussion. Based on our preliminary research, the amount of development in Fashion Island in the General Plan has been accounted for. The amount of square footage of development proposed (72 TSF) exceeds the 40 TSF threshold in the Measure 5 criteria. Further, the 121 peak hour trips exceed the 100 peak hour trip threshold. 4. The whole trip transfer assumption was that the unbuilt /removed uses were equivalent to the proposed uses. The current information in Table 1 demonstrates that during the PM peak hour the proposed project generates 27 more trips than the transferred uses. Similarly during the AM peak hour, the proposed uses generate 179 more trips than the transferred uses. The increases in peak hour traffic confirm that the proposed project is not consistent or equal to the approved uses. 5. The general office trip rates are correctly based on the regression equation provided by ITE. However, the City Hall trip rate used in the analysis also qualifies to be based on the regression equation, not an average rate for the same reasoning presented by the applicant. The apparent selective use of the regression equation is not the normal standard of care in the traffic profession. In summary, these inconsistencies in the analysis included for the Traffic Phasing Ordinance do not demonstrate that the existing entitlements are equal or equivalent to the proposed project. The project as proposed exceeds both the square footage and traffic thresholds contained in the Measure S. City of Newport Beach December 11, 2007 Page 4 Planning Commission Staff Report— North Newport Center Planned Community (PA2007 -151) 500 -600 Blk Newport Center Drive, 42000 Elk San Joaquin Plaza; November 15, 2007 1. While the statement in the Transfer of Development Rights section correctly notes that the PM peak hour is a period when the highest amount of congestion is found, this is not the complete test when the evaluation of equality in transfers of development rights is being considered. To make a complete finding of traffic neutrality and equality, all time periods of the day must be tested — AM peak hour, PM peak hour and daily traffic. Even though the PM peak hour may experience the most congestion, a project proposal that would increase AM peak hour traffic by approximately 200 vehicles during the AM peak hour and could result in increased traffic impacts. Further as required by Measure S, a project that proposes an increase in traffic greater than 100 vehicles during a peak hour triggers the Measure S process. 2. In following the calculations to determine the transferable square footage in the staff report, the staff notes that initially (based on just square feet of use) a total of 235,161 SF plus the 72,000 SF of city hall could be transferred. The staff report continues to note that although 235,161 SF is equivalent based on SF, the amount to be transferred through the comparison of PM peak hour trips is 30 TSF less (for a total of 205,161 SF plus the City Hall). However, the staff report does not go to the next step to check equivalency for potential transfer— the AM .peak hour. When the AM peak hour trip equivalency is tested, the amount available to transfer and to be considered equal or consistent would be approximately 165 TSF less than currently proposed (40 TSF plus the 72 TSF for the City Hall). Therefore, the project as proposed would be exceeding the 40 TSF threshold for Measure S by proposing an increase of 165 TSF. 3. The calculations determining the potential amount of transferable square feet is not clear. The first item 30 hotel rooms from the original Four Seasons entitlement equates to a generic 1000 SF per room conversion. The 100 room expansion entitled with GPA 97 -3D has a very specific square footage as part of the GPA project. The last entry is the confusing one. This relates to a generic 65 hotel room allocation based on the 2006 General Plan. The square footage for this conversion does not use the 1000 SF per room allocation approved for this purpose, but uses the higher specific rate of 1,425 SF per room based on the detailed GPA. This apparent mis- calculation results in an additional 27,625 SF potential transfer. In summary, these inconsistencies in the Planning Commission Staff Report make the analysis included faulty as the proposed project would be found not consistent, traffic neutral or equal to the proposed transfer of land uses. Addendum to City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update EIR 1. The project environmental analysis in Table 4 describes the potential project impacts that can be expected to occur with the approval of the project. The analysis in Table 4, page 3 -40 and 3-41 indicate that the project as proposed creates project specific impacts two intersections during the PM peak hour and one intersection in the AM peak hour under the existing Plus Growth Plus Approved Plus Cumulative Plus Project conditions. The technical studies provided in.support of the project indicate that the project creates new significant impacts and would exceed the impact thresholds set forth in Measure S. 2. The addendum contradicts itself on page 3-42 in the paragraph under Table 5 that states "that . the project would not result in any new impacts or increase the severity of a previously identified significant impact as previously analyzed in the General Plan EIR." The analysis City of Newport Beach December 11, 2007 Page 5 contained in the previous table (Table 4) identifies three intersections that would result in traffic significant traffic impacts as described in the City's General Plan — impact of 0.01 or greater at LOS E or F. The critical review of the complex traffic analysis has found several inconsistencies within the documentation being used to evaluate this project. The inconsistencies identified are both within each of the technical documents and potentially with the General Plan. This review has also demonstrated that the proposed Transfer of Development proposed is not equivalent, traffic neutral or consistent. The absence of critical analysis and data to provide the decision makers with all of the information necessary to make an informed decision is not possible at this time. A representative from DEG will be available at the City Council Hearing on December 11, 2007 to address these issues more completely. Sincerely, Stephen A. Orosz, P , PTOE Orosz Engineering Group, Inc. Attachments MGuiding Principles The recommended approach for estimating trip generation for a proposed development is based on the following principles. When the Trip Generation data plot contains more than 20 data points and a regression curve and equation are provided, use of the regression equation is recommended. A regression equation with an R2 of at least 0.75 is preferred because it indicates the desired level of corre- lation between the trips generated by a site and the value measured for an independent variable. For the same reason, a weighted average rate is preferred when the standard deviation is less than or equal to 110 percent of the weight- ed average rate. The value of the independent vari- able for the study site must fall within the range of data included to use either the rate or equation. Otherwise local data are needed. Supplemental local data are sug- gested when the data plot has less than six data points. The number of trips determined by either the rate or the equation should fall within the cluster of data points (i.e., the range of trip values) found at the study site's independent variable value. Otherwise, additional local data are needed. use �fU'y;` SSii7i L"4" %1 i,'g3tE F�JTTdf>�e provi`.ied • indepe relent vm iab:e is within ranoz" of, data and • either the data plot has at least 20 points_ • or R2 > 0.76, equation falls within data cr.,: -tee in punt and standard deviation > 11(}% of weighted average rate Use Vdbigtrfe Average Fame - 4'dtrerr: • at le st thn? -a da -a points • independent vartabte is w thir, range of data • standard deviation 110% c* weigtttea average rate • R2 < 0.75 or no equation tsrovid -d • weighted average rats: fails within data cl:nter in plot Collect Loc.PJ Data:,Wlerr: ♦ study site is nest cotnpaftils with FM E farad use'ccd?e definition * only 1 or 2 data points; prefernbty -when fae cr!ewe data Points * independent variable does not fall within range of data d nei sveightea average rate line or fitted cute fall within data d1uster ac!riza of deve;cpmear;t In order to put these principles into practice, two alternative approaches are available to the analyst. The highlighted box in this section pre- sents a checklist for choosing between using the weighted aver- age rate, using the regression equa- tion, and collecting local data. A detailed step -by -step approach `or estimating trip generation is pre- sented in section 3.4 of this chaplet. Recommended Procedure for Estimating Trip Generation A step -by -step procedure is shown below for determining how best to estimate trip generation using data contained in Trip Generation. The procedure is also outlined with simplified tent in the flow chart in figure 3.1. Step 1: Is the development under analysis consistent with the desorption of the land use code in Trip Generation and with the described or presumed characteris- tics of development sites for which data points are provided? If yes, proceed to step 2. If no, collect local data for the land use being anahzed and establish a local rate. Refer to chapter 4 for guidelines. Caution: The analyst should exer- cise caution before dying to quantify the trip generation effects of isolated and rrinor changes in characteristics of a particular land use. Trip Generation data are com- piled firom a wide range of sources with a potentially high variability in site characteristics within the bounds of the land use code defini- tion. Trip Generation does not pro- vide information on the secondary characteristics of the surveyed sites and therefore any analysis of the j3 Land Use: 715 Single Tenant Office Building Description A single tenant office building generally contains offices, meeting rooms and space for file storage and data processing for a single business or company, and possibly other service functions, including a restaurant or cafeteria. General office building (Land Use 710), corporate headquarters building (Land Use 714), office park (Land Use 750), research and development center (Land Use 760) and business park (Land Use 770) are related uses.. Additional Data The average vehicle occupancy for the ten studies where information was submitted was approximately 1.1 persons per automobile. The vehicle occupancy rates ranged from 1.03 to 1.14 persons per automobile. The sites were surveyed from the 1970s to the late 1990s throughout the United States. Trip Characteristics The trip generation for the a.m. and p.m. peak hours of the generator typically coincided with the peak hours of the adjacent street traffic; therefore, only one a.m. peak hour and one p.m..peak hour, which represent both the peak hour of the generator and the peak hour of the adjacent street traffic, are shown for single tenant office buildings. Source Numbers 89, 92, 212, 262, 273, 279, 303, 304, 322, 323, 324, 327, 407, 510 Trip Generation, 7th Edition 1173 Institute of Transportation Engineers 4 Land Use: 730 Government Office Building Description A government office building is an individual building containing either the entire function or simply one agency of a city, county, state, federal, or other governmental unit. This type of building differs from a government office complex (Land Use 733) in that it is not a group of buildings that are interconnected by pedestrian walkways. Additional Data Peak hours of the generator— The weekday a.m. peak hour typically coincided with the peak hour of the adjacent street traffic. The weekday p.m. peak hour was between 1:00 p.m. and 2:00 p.m. The sites were surveyed in 1970 and 2002 in California and Oregon, respectively. Two of the sites were city halls. Source Numbers 11,579 Trip Generation, 7th Edition 1199 institute of Transportation Engineers {b Land Use: 733 Government Office Complex Description A government office complex is a related group of buildings where a variety of functions of a city, county, state, federal, other governmental unit, or multiple governmental units are carried out. This complex differs from a government office building (Land Use 730) in that it is a group of buildings that are interconnected by pedestrian walkways. Additional Data The sites were surveyed in 1967 and, 1999 in California. Source Numbers Trip Generation, 7th Edition 1240 Institute of Transportation Engineers A. Land Use: 750 Office Park Description Office parks are usually suburban subdivisions or planned unit developments containing general office buildings and support services, such as banks, savings and loan institutions, restaurants and service stations, arranged in a park- or campus -like atmosphere. General office building (Land Use 710), corporate headquarters building (Land Use 714), single tenant office building (Land Use 715), research and development center (Land Use 760) and business park (Land Use 770) are related uses. Additional Data Some of the regression curves plotted for this land use may produce illogical trip end estimates for small office parks. When the proposed site size is significantly smaller than the average -sized facility published in this report, caution should be used when applying these statistics. For more information, please refer to Chapter 3, "Guidelines for Estimating Trip Generation; of the ITE Trip Generation Handbook. The sites were surveyed from the 1970s to the 1990s throughout the United States, with many conducted in New York. Trip Characteristics The trip generation for the a.m. and p.m. peak hours of the generator typically coincided with the peak hours of the adjacent street traffic; therefore, only one a.m. peak hour and one p.m. peak hour, which represent both the peak hour of the generator and the peak hour of the adjacent street traffic, are shown for office parks. Source Numbers 4, 15, 160, 161, 184, 185, 193, 253, 268, 300, 301, 356; 550 Trip Generation, 7th Edition 1248 Institute of Transportation Engineers 1-7 "RECEIVED AFTER AG Christopher W. Garrett � yyyyyy�1aa;7yy'1> Sf>o Direct Dial: (619) 236 -2627 San DI aleoTht� s11Tg9 -337` christopher.garrett @iw.com Tel: (619) 236 -1234 Fax: (619) 696.7419 www.lw.com LATHAM &WATKINSLLP December 18, 2007 VIA PERSONAL DELIVERY Honorable Mayor Selich and Members of the City Council City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Blvd. Newport Beach, CA 92663 FIRM /AFFILIATE OFFICES Barcelona New Jersey Brussels New York Chicago Northern Virginia Frankfurt Orange County Hamburg Paris Hong Kong San Diego London San Francisco Los Angeles Shanghai Madrid Silicon Valley Milan Singapore Moscow Tokyo Munich Washington, D.C. Re: North Newport Center Planned Community (PA2007 -151) Dear Mayor Selich and Members of the City Council: On behalf of The Irvine Company, I am submitting the attached comments and exhibits in response to letters submitted to the City Council on December 11, 2007, regarding the project proposed by The Irvine Company for North Newport. Center. I respectfully request that the City include this letter and its attachments in the record of proceedings for the project. Please contact me with any questions you may have about the following information. Sincerely,) ^ U` top her W. Garrett t LATHAM & WATKINS LLP Attachments SU613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Membe city council • December 18, 2007 Page 2 - LATHAMaWATKI NSLLP TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION............................................................................. ............................... 4 II. DISCUSSION .................................................................................... ............................... A. The Project Review Process Has Allowed for Ample and Meaningful Public Participation ............................................ ............................... 5 B. The Project Does Not Reduce Housing ................................. ............................... 6 1. The Statutory Requirement for No Net Loss in Residential DensityDoes Not Apply ............................................ ............................... 7 2. The Addendum's Housing Analysis Is Valid ............ ............................... 7 C. The Housing Element Is Valid and Does Not Negate the Project's Consistency with the General Plan ........................................ ............................... 8 1. The Project Complies with the Consistency Requirements Applicableto the City ................................................ ............................... 9 2. The Housing Element Complies with State Law ....... ............................... 9 a. The Housing Element Provides an Inventory of Sites for Residential Development and Lists Actions to Make Those Sites Available ...................... ............................... 9 b. The HCD's Comments Request Clarification but Do Not Indicate that the Housing Element Is Invalid ...................... 10 C. The Project Demonstrates the Validity of the Housing Element Despite Potential Deficiencies due to City Charter Section 423 .................. ............................... 12 3. The Statute of Limitations Bars a Collateral Attack on the HousingElement ..................................................... ............................... 13 a. A 90 -Day Statute of Limitations Applies to Challenges to a General Plan ....................... ............................... 13 b. The Same Statute of Limitations Also Applies to a Collateral Attack on a General Plan ............ ............................... 14 C. A Time - Barred Collateral Attack Would Impermissibly "Exalt Form over Substance" ............................. 14 d. The Collateral Attack on the Housing Element Is Over a Year Late .......................................... ............................... 15 4. Mr. McClendon Has Failed to Show a Nexus Between the Project and the Alleged Inadequacy in the Housing Element ................ 15 a. A Challenge Cannot Simply Point Out Deficiencies in the General Plan ...................................... ............................... 15 b. No Nexus Between the Project and the Alleged Deficiency in the Housing Element Exists Because the Project Helps the City Meet State Housing Goals............................................................ ............................... 16 D. The Addendum's Climate Change Analysis Complies with CEQA .................. 16 1. The General Plan EIR Met the City's CEQA Obligations ..................... 17 SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Membe City Council December 18, 2007 Page 3 LATHAM&WATKINS«P 0 2. CEQA Does Not Trigger a Subsequent or Supplemental EIR..................................................:........................ ............................... 18 a. CEQA Does Not Trigger a Subsequent or Supplemental EIR Because There Is No "New Information" ................................................ ............................... 20 (1) Climate Change Is Not New Information ....................... 20 (2) New Information Within the Meaning of Section 21166 Must Be Specific to the Project.............................................. ............................... 21 (3) Legislative Mandates Are Not New Information...................................... ............................... 22 (4) CARB Has Not Released New Information ................... 22 b. There Are No Substantial Changes in the Project that Will Require Major Modifications of the GeneralPlan EIR ......................................... ............................... 23 3. The Addendum Addresses the Project's Impact on Climate Change..................................................................... ............................... 23 E. The Project Satisfies the Three Separate Requirements for Traffic Under CEQA, the Traffic Phasing Ordinance, and the General Plan ................. 25 1. The Project Satisfies CEQA's Requirements for Traffic Analysis................................................................... ............................... 26 2. The Project Satisfies the Traffic Phasing Ordinance's Requirements for Findings and Approval ............... ............................... 27 3. The Project Satisfies the General Plan's Requirement that a Transfer of Development Rights Be Traffic Neutral .............................. 27 F. The Project Is Consistent with the Land Use El ement ........ ............................... 28 1. The Project Is Compatible with Objectives, Policies, General Land Uses, and Programs .......................... ............................... 28 2. The Project Provides for Mixed Use that Is Compatible with the Land Use Element ..................................... ............................... 29 G. City Charter Section 423's Public Vote Requirement Does Not Apply Because the Project Does Not Require a General Plan Amendment......................................................................... ............................... 31 III. CONCLUSION ............................................................................... ............................... 31 IV. LIST OF EXHIBITS ....................................................................... ............................... 33 SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 4 LATHAM &WATKINSLLP I. INTRODUCTION On December 18, 2007, the City Council for the City of Newport Beach will hold its second hearing on the North Newport Center Planned Community Development Plan and associated approvals for a project proposed by The Irvine Company. The project implements the City's General Plan by adopting conforming mixed -use zoning for the North Newport Center area and provides significant public benefits through the approval of a Development Agreement with the City. Public benefits include: • A four -year option for the City to purchase a site in Newport Center Block 500 to build a new, 72,000 - square -foot City Hall, plus use of 300 to 375 parking spaces. • Approximately $27 million for the City to apply toward construction of a new City Hall facility, regardless of location. • $11 million for the City to use as follows: One half of the $11 million will be earmarked as a matching challenge grant to apply toward contributions to the construction of the Oasis Senior Center. The balance will be applied to any qualified park use as determined by the City. • Dedication to the City of the roughly three -acre open space parcel north of San Miguel Drive, between Avocado Avenue and MacArthur Boulevard. • Dedication to the City of the four -acre Lower Castaways site for open space or environmental use. • $2.5 million of additional traffic improvements and new traffic signals in the Newport Center area, over and above required traffic mitigation. • Over $1 million in water quality enhancements in Fashion Island. The City Council held its first public hearing on the project on December 11, 2007. A letter signed by John McClendon of Leibold, McClendon & Mann, on behalf of the Greenlight group and others, was hand delivered to the City Council shortly before the meeting. The letter was over 170 pages long and included a CD of additional material. In summary, the letter sought denial of the project and was critical both of the City's Housing Element and of the environmental assessment conducted for the project. The letter also asserted that the project should be subject to Section 423 of the City Charter, thereby requiring a public vote. In addition, a second letter on behalf of the. Greenlight group and others was submitted by Orosz Engineering Group, Inc. concerning traffic. Neither Mr. McClendon nor a representative of Orosz Engineering appeared or submitted written comments at any of the previous public meetings concerning this project. As detailed below, the project complies with state and local environmental and land use laws, is consistent with the General Plan, and epitomizes the mixed -use development approved SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Member City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 5 LATHAM &WATKINS«P in the General Plan and encouraged within the City. The Irvine Company therefore respectfully requests that the City Council approve the project. H. DISCUSSION A. The Project Review Process Has Allowed for Ample and Meaningful Public Participation The project implements the General Plan and advances mixed use in an important commercial and community center. In keeping the importance of the project area to the community, the public review of the project has proceeded over the course of more than six weeks. Milestones in the project review process were: • A joint study session where The Irvine Company presented the project to the City Council and the Planning Commission on October 30, 2007 • A Planning Commission hearing on the project on November 15, 2007 • A Planning Commission hearing on the project on November 29, 2007 • A City Council hearing on the project on December 11, 2007 The public review process will conclude with the second City Council hearing on December 18, 2007. Starting with the joint study session, the City provided the public with written information on the project. At each of the Planning Commission hearings, the City also provided the public with staff reports analyzing all aspects of the project, including issues relating to housing, environmental impacts, and traffic analysis. The numerous public comments made at the second Planning Commission hearing on November 29, 2007, reflect the accessibility of information on the project before that the hearing. Several articles about the project in the local press demonstrate the City's and The Irvine Company's willingness to engage the public in review of the project. For example, John Heffernan, former Newport Beach mayor, noted in a Daily Pilot piece that he had expressed concerns with the project in October and November. John Heffernan, Opinion, Irvine Co. Housing, Office Deal Worthwhile, Daily Pilot, Dec. 10, 2007, available at http: / /dailypilot.com (Ex. 1). After expressing those concerns, Heffernan had reviewed the project's "development agreement in detail, spoken with representatives of the Irvine Co. and also with Mayor Steve Rosansky and Mayor Pro Tem Ed Selich, who were the chief negotiators for the city, about a number of [his] concerns." Id. Once Heffernan learned more about the project, he concluded that the project "will ensure that [Newport Center] continues to attract and remain a site for economic growth and vitality in the future." Id. SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 6 LATHAM&WATKINSLLP Other members of the community also reviewed the project carefully, as evidenced by a joint opinion piece by the president of the Newport Beach Chamber of Commerce, a community activist involved in Stop Polluting Our Newport ( "SPON "), and a former Newport Beach City Council member also involved in SPON. Richard Luehrs, Jan D. Vandersloot & Jean Watt, Commentary, City- Irvine Co. Plan Beneficial, Daily Pilot, Nov. 30, 2007, available at http: / /dailypilot.com (Ex. 2); Alicia Robinson, Group Fights City Hall Move, Daily Pilot, June 27, 2007, available at http: / /dailypilot.com (Ex. 3). These three community members wrote the opinion piece the day after the second Planning Commission hearing, stating that although they "have rarely seen eye -to -eye on key issues," they had "decided to come together to support the Newport Center mixed -use plan and development agreement because we believe that this proposal provides the unique and right opportunity for the community ...." Id. These opinion pieces not only reflect broad -based support for the project but also demonstrate that the project review process has allowed for timely and meaningful public participation. Mr. McClendon's characterization of the project as "being processed with such unseemly haste" is disingenuous. The reality is that Mr. McClendon and his clients had ample opportunity to comment during a six -week period before it first opposed the project at the City Council's hearing on December 11, 2007. B. The Project Does Not Reduce Housing Mr. McClendon mischaracterizes the project by saying that through the associated zoning amendment, the project reduces the number of residential units available for development in Newport Center from 450 to 430. This is simply wrong. The General Plan allocates 450 residential units for development in specified areas of Newport Center. City of Newport Beach, Cal., General Plan 2006 Update, at 3 -15 (adopted July 25, 2006) (hereafter "General Plan"). Mayor Steve Rosansky (now a Councilmember) and Councilmember Ed Selich (now Mayor) explained the origin of this number in an opinion piece on December 8, 2007. Ed Selich & Steve Rosansky, Opinion, Community Commentary: Details oflrvine Co. Deal, Daily Pilot, Dec. 8, 2007, available athttp://www.dailypilot.com (Ex. 4). This number reflects a recommendation that the citizen's General Plan Advisory Committee made and that the voters approved in 2006. Id. This number does not reflect a request by The Irvine Company or other property owners in Newport Center. Id. The project in no way reduces the number of residential units permitted for development in Newport Center under the General Plan. Instead, the project actually implements the General Plan by giving The Irvine Company the vested right to construct 430 residential units on property that it owns in Newport Center Block 600. The remaining 20 residential units permitted under the General Plan are available for future development in other parts of Newport Center. Indeed, another property owner in Newport Center has indicated an interest in constructing those 20 residential units. Those 20 residential units remain available for development and are SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 7 LATHAM &WATKINSLLP completely unaffected by The Irvine Company's project. No reduction in permitted residential units has therefore occurred. The project provides the detailed implementation procedures and approvals necessary for construction of 430 housing units. No additional discretionary approvals will be needed for the construction of these units, other than the approval of a subdivision map should the units be developed as condominiums. The development agreement for the project will.give The Irvine Company the vested right to build these units "by right," as long as the units meet the detailed standards and regulations in the North Newport Center Planned Community Development Plan, which the City is processing as part of the project approval. The Statutory Requirement for No Net Loss in Residential Density Does Not Apply Mr. McClendon claims that the project violates the statutory requirement that a city not reduce residential density unless it makes written finding supported by substantial evidence that: (1) the "reduction is consistent with the adopted general plan, including the housing element" and (2) the "remaining sites identified in the housing element are adequate to accommodate the jurisdiction's share of the regional housing need pursuant to Section 65584." See Cal. Gov't Code § 65863 (Deering 2007). Since the project does not reduce the residential density allocated to Newport Center, the no net loss in density rule does not apply. Mr. McClendon's claim that the project violates the no net loss in density rule is therefore wrong by its own terms. 2. The Addendum's Housing Analysis Is Valid The City prepared the North Newport Center Addendum to the Environmental Impact Report for the City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update (the "Addendum ") in compliance with the California Environmental Quality Act ( "CEQA "), as discussed below. Mr. McClendon contends that the Addendum improperly failed to discuss the impact of "the reduction of the residential density within Newport Center" "on the supply of residential units available within and without the City." But since the project does not reduce the residential density available in Newport Center, the Addendum did not need to include such as discussion. Again, Mr. McClendon's contention is wrong on its face. Mr. McClendon also maintains that the project involves new information or changed circumstances relating to housing that requires a new environmental impact report ( "EIR ") rather than the Addendum to analyze the project. Mr. McClendon claims that new information or changed circumstances exist because the project involves development of only 430 residential units even though the General Plan permits 450 residential units in Newport Center. The Irvine Company's application to develop only 430 residential units, however, in no way presents new information or changed circumstances. The General Plan continues to permit 450 residential units in Newport Center, and the remaining 20 residential units permitted under the General Plan are still available for future development. The project therefore does not SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council December 18, 2007 Page 8 LATHAM &WATKINS«o propose any changes to the General Plan's designations for residential development in Newport Center. Furthermore, no new information or changed circumstances affect the validity of the City's previously certified finding that the EIR for the City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update (the "General Plan EIR ") adequately analyzed permitting 450 residential units in Newport Center. In the absence of new information or changes circumstances, Mr. McClendon's challenge to the Addendum's housing analysis is unsubstantiated. Mr. McClendon also asserts that the Addendum's housing analysis is flawed because the project does not propose to develop any affordable housing in Newport Center. CEQA, however, does not include any substantive affordable housing requirements. The project's provision of affordable housing (which will be conveniently located within walking distance of Newport Center and will be implemented in compliance with CEQA) therefore has no bearing on the validity of the Addendum's housing analysis. C. The Housing Element Is Valid and Does Not Negate the Project's Consistency with the General Plan As detailed below, the project in this case is consistent with the General Plan. Mr. McClendon contends, however, that the project is invalid because the General Plan's Housing Element is deficient and because the project is linked to that deficiency by reducing residential density in Newport Center. This argument is insupportable for several reasons. First, as described above, the project in no way reduces the number of residential units in Newport Center permitted by the General Plan. Second, as discussed below, the Housing Element is indeed valid because it complies with state law. Regardless of the Housing Element's validity, Mr. McClendon cannot challenge the project based on alleged problems with the.Housing Element because: (1) the statute of limitations for challenging the Housing Element has run and (2) the project does have a nexus to alleged deficiencies in the Housing Element. Mr. McClendon's decision to use The Irvine Company's project as a platform for attacking the Housing Element as noncompliant reflects a common phenomenon. As a fellow at the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California recently noted in a comprehensive analysis of state housing element law, "[n]oncompliant housing elements make attractive legal targets for parties who seek to invalidate local land -use or redevelopment decisions —even though some of these parties are pursuing ends that do not always support housing development." Paul G. Lewis, California's Housing Element Law: The Issue of Local Noncompliance 3 (Public Policy Inst. of Cal. 2003) (Ex. 5). SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Sellch and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 9 LATHAM&WATKINSLLP 1. The Project Complies with the Consistency Requirements Applicable to the City Charter cities such as the City are exempt from the requirement that zoning be consistent with the general plan, unless the charter city requires consistency by its charter or by local ordinance. Cal. Gov't Code § 65803; see also City oflrvine v. Irvine Citizens Against Overdevelopment, 25 Cal. App. 4th 868, 874 (Ct. App. 1994); Garat v. City of Riverside, 2 Cal. App. 4th 259, 281 (Ct. App. 1991), overruled on other grounds in Morehart v. County of Santa Barbara, 7 Cal. 4th 725, 743 n.I l (1994). Here, neither the City's charter nor a local ordinance requires consistency with the general plan. The California Development Agreement Statute (California Government Code Sections 65864- 65869.5), however, prohibits approval of a development agreement unless the "legislative body finds that the provisions of the agreement are consistent with the general plan and any applicable specific plan." Cal. Gov't Code § 65867.5 (Deering 2007). In this case, the approvals associated with the project include approval of a zoning amendment and a development agreement. The following discussion therefore proceeds as though the consistency requirement applies to all approvals associated with the project. 2. The Housing Element Complies with State Law State law requires every city to adopt a housing element as part of its general plan. Cal. Gov't Code § 65302(c). The housing element must comply with several state statutory provisions, including guidelines adopted by the California Department of Housing and Community Development ( "HCD "). Id. § §65580 - 65589.8. The HCD guidelines, however, are advisory rather than mandatory. Id. § 65585(a). In addition, courts require only that a city "substantially complies" with state statutory requirements. Cal. Gov't Code § 65587(b); accord Hoffmaster v. City of San Diego, 55 Cal. App. 4th 1098, 1111 (Ct. App. 1997); Hernandez v. City of Encinitas, 28 Cal. App. 4th 1048, 1067 -68 (Ct. App. 1994). The courts will not examine the housing element on its merits. Hernandez, 28 Cal. App. 4th at 1067 -68. The courts have defined "substantial compliance" as "`actual compliance in respect to the substance essential to every reasonable objective of the statute,' as distinguished from `mere technical imperfections of form. "' Camp v. Bd. of Supervisors, 123 Cal. App. 3d 334, 348 (Ct. App. 1981) (quoting Stasher v Harger- Haldeman, 58 Cal. 2d 23, 29 (1962)). a. The Housing Element Provides an Inventory of Sites for Residential Development and Lists Actions to Make Those Sites Available In this case, the City's Housing Element complies with the statutory requirements for a housing element. As Mr. McClendon notes, a housing element must include, among other things, an "inventory of land suitable for residential development," that contains a `listing of properties by parcel number or other unique reference." Cal. Gov't Code §§ 65583(a)(3), SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selieh and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 10 LATHAM &WATKINSLLP 65583.2(a) -(b). The housing element must also "identify actions that will be taken to make sites available during the planning period." Id. § 65583(c)(1). Mr. McClendon contends that the City's 1998 -2008 Housing Element does not include the inventory of land suitable for residential development or a list of actions that will be take to make sites available during the planning period. The Housing Element, however, explicitly contains this information. The Housing Element contains the inventory of lands suitable for residential development, including site - specific designations of parcels available for residential development, on pages 5 -34 to 549 of the General Plan. The Housing Element also identifies specific policies and programs to make sites available for residential development during the planning period of 1998 -2008. These policies and programs appear on pages 5 -71 to 5 -72 of the General Plan. Mr. McClendon thus appears to have ignored the actual language of the Housing Element. b. The HCD's Comments Request Clarification but Do Not Indicate that the Housing Element Is Invalid Mr. McClendon asserts that the Housing Element is invalid because HCD has found the Housing Element to be out of compliance with state requirements for housing elements. But a finding of noncompliance, if it were made, does not automatically invalidate a housing element. Instead, a finding a compliance simply creates the benefit of a rebuttable presumption of the housing element's validity in a court challenge. Cal. Gov't Code § 65589.3. In its statutorily - provided review pursuant to California Government Code Section 65585(h), HCD reviewed the City's Housing Element within the required 90 -day period, which ran from HCD's receipt of the adopted Housing Element. HCD then reported its findings to the City. Although HCD has asked for clarification from the City on several issues relating to the Housing Element, and although HCD did not make an express finding of substantial compliance during the 90 -day review period, HCD did not indicate during this review period that the Housing Element failed to include components which were essential to comply with specified state law housing element requirements. Thus, an analysis of the validity of the Housing Element in this case does not simply stop with noting that HCD's website indicates a status of noncompliance. The analysis must recognize that the City and HCD did engage in the review process pursuant to California Government Code Section 65585(h), and that HCD provided the City with its findings regarding the Housing Element. Since receiving those findings from HCD, the City has collaborated with HCD to address the questions and comments contained in HCD's review. Careful examination of HCD's comments reveals that HCD's concerns do not necessarily reflect that the Housing Element is invalid. Rather, those comments ask for clarification on key issues. And as discussed in the next section, The Irvine Company's project directly addresses these concerns by demonstrating the City's ability to implement state housing goals. SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 77 LATHAM&WATKINSLLP The key letter that Mr. McClendon cites is from Cathy Creswell, Deputy Director of HCD, to Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner at the City, dated September 10, 2007 (Ex. 6) ( "September 2007 Letter "). The first comment on the Housing Element reads. Newport Beach should be diligent in monitoring the potential impacts of Charter Section 423 as identified in Housing Program 2.3.1. Should monitoring reveal that residential projects are being subjected to the voter approval process, the City must take the appropriate steps (in a timely manner) to remove governmental constraints and provide adequate sites. The revisions also indicate the City is continuing to work on a comprehensive zoning ordinance update, which when completed,.will establish zoning designations consistent with the new land -use designations established as part of the general plan update. Id. at 1. Although this comment recommends that the City diligently monitor the effects of City Charter Section 423 and directs the City on how to respond to that monitoring, the comment does not indicate that the Housing Element is invalid. The second comment on the Housing Element reads: The John Wayne Airport and Newport Center areas offer the greatest residential development potential during the remainder of the planning period, through a variety of development strategies, including mixed -use, infill and reuse. Therefore, as described in the Department's previous review ... the element must demonstrate these strategies are realistic and viable such that they can accommodate Newport Beach's remaining share of the regional housing need, particularly for lower- income households. VIO This comment does not state that the City's strategies for maximizing residential development in the John Wayne Airport and Newport Center areas are invalid. The comment instead sets forth the standard that HCD will use to evaluate the efficacy of those strategies in the future. The third comment calls for expanded analysis of the land suitable for residential development but does not indicate that the City's inventory of land suitable for residential development is fundamentally flawed. Id. at 3. The fourth comment states that the City's strong reliance on a combination of mixed -use and redevelopment to accommodate its remaining housing needs "must be complemented with strong programs and implementation actions to facilitate such development (i.e., specific commitment to provide regulatory and/or financial incentives and promote the development of underutilized and/or mixed -use sites)." Id. at 3. Again, this comment does not state that the SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 12 LATHAMaWATKI NSLLP City's focus on using mixed -use and redevelopment is invalid. The comment instead provides examples of appropriate programs and implementation actions to ensure successful mixed -use development and redevelopment in the future. Id. The final comment acknowledges that the City is working on a comprehensive zoning ordinance update and provides recommendations for that update. Id. The comment underscores that the City must "demonstrate that in addition to `reviewing' residential projects, they can actually receive final approval during the time period which the zoning ordinance is being updated." Id. The final comment ties back to the first comment by stating that if any of "the City's new land -use controls will impede residential development; the element must include a program to mitigate and/or remove any identified constraints." Id. The final comment, like the first comment, directs the City on how to respond to future issues with the City's new land use laws. Id. Mr. McClendon also cites the City's lack of an Inclusionary Housing Ordinance and its acknowledgment in its annual housing implementation report that it needs to produce more affordable housing units as evidence that the Housing Element is invalid. These issues do not relate, however, to whether the Housing Element meets the statutory requirements to be valid. Furthermore, Mr. McClendon does not provide any evidence that the programs and policies in the Housing Element do not comply with state law. C. The Project Demonstrates the Validity of the Housing Element Despite Potential Deficiencies due to City Charter Section 423 The City's ability to address HCD's concerns through approval of the project itself confirms the validity of the Housing Element. First, the project will not be "subjected to the voter approval process," which is responsive to HCD's first comment regarding the potential for City Charter Section 423 to constrain residential development. September 2007 Letter, at 1 (Ex. 6). The City's action on the project demonstrates that the City is attempting to implement Section 423 in a manner that consistent with the state housing law requirements for the Housing Element and the provision of housing within the City. Second, the project represents the first step in the City' ongoing process to develop "zoning designations consistent with the new land -use designations established as part of the general plan update." Id. Indeed, the standards for mixed -use residential development contained in the North Newport Center Planned Community Development Plan (the "Development Plan ") can serve as a guide for undertaking the zoning update in others areas of the City encouraged by HCD. Third, the Development Plan, the Development Agreement, and the Affordable Housing Implementation Plan ( "AHIP ") associated with the project are examples of "strong programs and implementation actions to facilitate" mixed -use and redevelopment to accommodate the City's remaining housing needs. The project therefore directly responds to HCD's recommendations regarding such programs and implementation actions. Id. at 2. SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members • City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 13 LATHAM &WATKINSLLP Fourth, the Development Plan will assist the City in demonstrating to HCD that mixed - use and redevelopment are viable options within the City. The Development Plan also addresses HCD's comments about expanding the discussion of providing HCD with an expanded analysis of the land suitable for residential development. Id. . Last, the project directly address HCD's comments regarding the City's new land use controls. The project, which the City is processing concurrently with the zoning contained in the Development Plan, serves as an example of residential development that will be able to "actually receive final approval during the time period which the zoning ordinance is being updated." Id. at 3. Additionally, the project demonstrates how the City's new land use controls do not "impede residential development" in Newport Center. Id. In sum, the project reflects the validity of the Housing Element by directly addressing HCD's concerns and providing the City with its first opportunity to approve residential development in conjunction with approval of new zoning that conforms to the City's recently updated General Plan. I The Statute of Limitations Bars a Collateral Attack on the Housing Element a. A 90 -Day Statute of Limitations Applies to Challenges to a General Plan Even if the Housing Element were not valid, Mr. McClendon's challenge to the project based on alleged inadequacy of the Housing Element is time - barred. California Government Code Section 65009(c)(1)(A) establishes a mandatory 90 -day limitations period to file and serve an action to "attack, review, set aside, void, or annul a decision of a legislative body to adopt or amend a general plan or specific plan." Cal. Gov't Code § 65009(c)(1)(A) (Deering 2007). The section explicitly provides that the 90 -day limitations period applies to "an action attacking a general plan or mandatory element thereof on the basis that it is inadequate." Id. The mandatory elements of a general plan include a housing element. Id. § 65302. Section 65009(a) explains the rationale behind the 90 -day limitations period. The section states that "there currently is a housing crisis in California and it is essential to reduce delays and restraints upon expeditiously completing housing projects." Id. § 65009(a)(1). The section also states that "a legal action or proceeding challenging a decision of a city ... has a chilling effect on the confidence with which property owners and local governments can proceed with projects." Id § 65009(a)(2). The section goes on to declare that legal actions that challenge "the implementation of general plan goals and policies that provide incentives for affordable housing, open -space and recreational opportunities, and other related public benefits, can prevent the completion of needed developments even though the projects have received required governmental approvals." Id. The 90 -day limitations period is therefore necessary to "provide certainty for property owners and local governments" regarding land use decisions. Id. § 65009(a)(3). SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2807 Page 14 LATHAMaWATKINSLLP Consistent with this express legislative intent, Section 65009(e) bars "any further action or proceeding" that challenges a general plan or its elements after the limitations period has run. Id. § 65009(e). b. The Same Statute of Limitations Also Applies to a Collateral Attack on a General Plan The California Court of Appeal has affirmed that a challenge to a land use approval cannot serve as a forum for a time - barred collateral attack on a general plan or mandatory general plan element. In A Local and Regional Monitor v. City of Los Angeles ( "ALARM'), the petitioner challenged an EIR for an office building, known as the "phase IA project." 16 Cal. App. 4th 630, 634 (Ct. App. 1993). The petitioner alleged that the project was inconsistent with the city's general plan because the housing, circulation, and land use elements of the general plan were inadequate. Id. at 637. The city had approved updates to the general plan about 11 months before the petitioner filed its action. Id. at 649. The court held that the 90 -day limitations period under Section 65009 barred the petitioner's action. Id. at 648 -49. The court explained that the limitations period applied because "plaintiff is really using the phase IA project as a vehicle to make an untimely collateral attack on the city's general plan itself." Id. at 648. The court went on to conclude that "to the extent that plaintiffs arguments are a thinly veiled challenge to the claimed inadequacy of the city's circulation, housing, and land -use elements, they are also time - barred ...." Id. In Garat, the petitioners challenged two zoning enactments on the grounds that they were inconsistent with the general plan because the general plan was invalid. 2 Cal. App. 4th at 281. The court held that the challenge could not proceed on the grounds that the general plan was deficient. Id. at 289. The court ruled that a "direct attack on the validity of the City's general plan, inasmuch as it is an attack on `a general plan or mandatory element thereof on a basis that is inadequate,' is subject to" limitations period set forth in Section 65009(c). Id. C. A Time - Barred Collateral Attack Would Impermissibly "Exalt Form over Substance" In Honig v. San Francisco Planning Department, a petitioner challenged a building permit based on alleged deficiencies in an associated variance that had been approved more than 90 days before. 127 Cal. App. 4th 520, 524 (Ct. App. 2005). The court found that the "attack on the building permit is, in reality, nothing more than a challenge to the variance." Id. at 528. The court then noted that the "variance had been approved by the zoning administrator, and there is no doubt that petitioner's challenge to the variance was subject to Government Code section 65009." Id. The court also noted the "important legislative purpose of permitting the rapid resolution of legal challenges to local zoning and planning decisions." Id. The court thus ruled that the 90 -day limitations period under Section 65009 barred the challenge to the building permit. Id. at 527 -28. The court reasoned that it "would exalt form SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Seiich and Members City Council . December 18, 2807 Page 78 LATHAM&WATKINS«P over substance to refuse to apply that section to a challenge to a different zoning or planning decision where that decision rested entirely on the variance." Id. at 528. Although Honig did not involve a challenge based on an allegedly inadequate general plan or mandatory general plan element, it involved a challenge to one land use decision based on alleged deficiencies in a separate land use decision subject to Section 65009. The court's reasoning in Honig therefore applies to a challenge based on an allegedly inadequate mandatory general plan element. And based on that reasoning, allowing such a challenge after the 90-day limitations period would impermissibly "exalt form over substance." Id. d. The Collateral Attack on the Housing Element Is Over a Year Late Here, Mr. McClendon has launched a collateral attack on the Housing Element by arguing that the project cannot be approved because the Housing Element is invalid. This collateral attack falls outside the 90 -day limitations period for challenging the Housing Element, which the City Council approved on July 25, 2006. City of Newport Beach, Cal., Resolution No. 2006 -76 (July 25, 2006). Consistent with ALARM, Garat, and Honing, Section 65009(c)(1)(A) bars Mr. McClendon's collateral attack on the Housing Element. The alleged inadequacy of the Housing Element therefore cannot serve as a basis for challenging the project. 4. Mr. McClendon Has Failed to Show a Nexus Between the Project and the Alleged Inadequacy in the Housing Element a. A Challenge Cannot Simply Point Out Deficiencies in the General Plan Even if Mr. McClendon's collateral attack on the Housing Element had merit and was not time - barred, their challenge cannot proceed because they have failed to show a connection between the project and the alleged deficiencies in the Housing Element. The California Court of Appeal has ruled that a plaintiff cannot challenge an agency action simply by pointing out deficiencies in the general plan. Flavell v. City of Albany, 19 Cal. App. 4th 1846, 1852 -53 (Ct. App. 1993); Garat, 2 Cal. App. 4th at 297 -98. The plaintiff bears the burden to establish a "nexus" between the agency action and the alleged deficiencies in the general plan. Flavell, 19 Cal. App. 4th at 1852; Garat, 2 Cal. App. 4th at 297 -98. The plaintiff cannot simply point out inadequacies in the general plan. Flavell, 19 Cal. App. 4th at 1852 -53; Garat, 2 Cal. App. 4th at 297 -98. It must, in addition to this, establish that the deficiencies "have resulted in certain consequences" and explain how those consequences affect the agency action. Flavell, 19 Cal. App. 4th at 1852 -53; accord Garat, 2 Cal. App. 4th at 297 -98. Similarly, in Flavell, the petitioner challenged an ordinance establishing residential off - street parking requirements based on the argument that the ordinance was invalid because it was part of a general plan rendered invalid by failure to revise the housing element in a timely SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 16 LATHAM &WATKINSLLP manner. 19 Cal. App. 4th at 1852 -53. The court rejected the argument, finding that the petitioner "has made no showing as to how the inadequacy of failing to timely revise the element would have any bearing or effect on the ordinance." Id. at 1853. In Garat, the plaintiffs challenged an city ordinance protecting agriculture lands from "premature" development and requiring the city to develop a general plan for areas within the city's sphere of influence that the city's existing general plan did not already cover. Garat, 2 Cal. App. 4th at 271. The plaintiffs based the challenge in part on the argument that the ordinance was invalid because it was part of a general plan with several deficiencies. Id. at 297- 98. The alleged deficiencies were with the housing element for improperly omitting quantitative objectives for affordable housing, the land use element for improperly omitting standards of building intensity for non - residential uses, the noise element for improperly omitting noise contours for local industrial plants, and the circulation element for not accounting for recent land use changes. Id. at 298. Since the plaintiffs provided no explanation of a nexus between these alleged deficiencies and the ordinance, the court rejected them as a basis for invalidating the ordinance. Id. at 297 -98. b. No Nexus Between the Project and the Alleged Deficiency in the Housing Element Exists Because the Project Helps the City Meet State Housing Goals Mr. McClendon points to only one connection between the alleged deficiencies in the Housing Element and the project —the reduction in the number of residential units available for development in.Newport Center. As discussed above, Mr. McClendon has mischaracterized the project, which in no way reduced the number of residential units available for development in Newport Center. Therefore, Mr. McClendon has failed to establish the nexus necessary to challenge the project based on alleged deficiencies in the Housing Element. Moreover, the project actually responds to HCD's concerns about the Housing Element by implementing the City's mixed -use and redevelopment housing goals. The project also responds to HCD's interest in seeing the City approve residential development at the same time that it updates its zoning in conformance with the General Plan. Given the beneficial effect of the project with respect to the City's housing requirements, no nexus between the project and alleged deficiencies in the Housing Element exists. D. The Addendum's Climate Change Analysis Complies with CEQA Mr. McClendon has argued that the Addendum fails to analyze the project's impact on climate change. What Mr. McClendon fails to understand is that the General Plan E1R satisfactorily met the City's CEQA obligations for reviewing environmental impacts, and in preparing the Addendum, the City does not intend, nor is it authorized, to duplicate the exhaustive environmental review conducted in preparation of the General Plan E1R. Mr. SD16138323 Honorable Mayor Sellch and Mambo ra�s City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 17 LATH AM&WATKINSLLP McClendon argued, without putting forth any authority, that: (1) the General Plan EIR is deficient because it did not inventory the project's projected greenhouse gas ( "GHG ") emissions, (2) the General Plan EIR is deficient without "a significance determination for the project's greenhouse gas emissions," and (3) that new information is now known that triggers a new EIR. These allegations are false. The General Plan EIR satisfies all of the requirements of CEQA, and it is appropriate to rely on the Addendum because: (1) the requirements for a new EIR are not triggered, and (2) the information about climate change submitted by Mr. McClendon was known at the time that the General Plan EIR was certified. The only triggers for a new EIR are the introduction of changes in the project, changes in the circumstances of.the project, or new information that was not known and could not have been known at the time the General Plan EIR was certified that is specific to the particular project. Nothing has changed since the certification of the General Plan EIR. Mr. McClendon offered no new information specific to the project: It merely reiterated the general understanding that climate change poses a global threat, and it outlined some of the effects that could occur in California in general. Mr. McClendon fails to submit any material to support whether or not the impact of this mixed -use project has changed since the General Plan EIR or whether the impact will be different compared to the existing housing, office, commercial and other buildings now used by the future residents and occupants of the North Newport Center. Mr. McClendon claimed that an EIR is required as a result of new information in the form of "interim guidelines" from the California Air Resources Board ( "CARB ") "as well as other legislation." Although it is unclear to what guidelines or legislation Mr. McClendon is referring, neither item is considered within the CEQA guidelines to be new information unless it is specific to the particular project. Nonetheless, even though CEQA did not require an analysis of GHG emissions, the City exercised its discretion and addressed climate change in the Addendum. The Addendum addresses the project's cumulative impact on climate change. The analysis concluded that the cumulative impact of GHG emissions resulting from the project would be offset by the benefits of the proposed mixed -use development, which would reduce vehicle traffic and improve accessibility. 1. The General Plan EIR Met the City's CEQA Obligations Mr. McClendon confuses the obligations of the City under CEQA when it claims that the General Plan EIR and Addendum are deficient under CEQA. The General Plan EIR was comprehensively prepared and certified by the City in accordance with CEQA. With regards to impacts on air quality, the City implemented the maximum feasible mitigation measures. In the absence of changes in the project, changes in the circumstances of the project, or new information that was not known and could not have been known at the time of certification, a new EIR was not authorized, so the Addendum was prepared and attached to the General Plan EIR. The Addendum is not a new EIR that must duplicate the review undertaken by the General Plan EIR. SD\613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2887 Page 18 LATHAMaWATKINS«P The numerous claims of Mr. McClendon regarding the inadequacy of the Addendum are misplaced because the General Plan EIR satisfied the CEQA requirements. The General Plan EIR "considered all phases of the project," was "prepared with a sufficient degree of analysis to provide decision - makers with information which enables them to make a decision which intelligently takes into account environmental consequences," "included a discussion of potential energy impacts of proposed projects," considered "indirect and secondary effects," considered whether the "environmental effects may be significant," and adopted all feasible mitigation measures. The General Plan EIR was required to and did address all of the requirements under CEQA. Inventorying all GHG emissions was not and is not a requirement under CEQA. Without submission of new information about the project's impact, a new EIR is not authorized. 2. CEQA Does Not Trigger a Subsequent or Supplemental EIR An addendum suffices to meet the City's CEQA obligations. Although CEQA sets a relatively low threshold for preparation of an initial EIR, once an EIR has been certified by the lead agency, much more is required to trigger the preparation of a subsequent or supplemental EIR under California Public Resources Code section 21166 ( "section 21166 "). Section 21166 states that no subsequent or supplemental EIR shall be required unless one or more of the following events occurs: (a) Substantial changes are proposed in the project which will require major revisions of the environmental impact report. (b) Substantial changes occur with respect to the circumstances under which the project is being undertaken which will require major revisions in the environmental impact report. (c) New information, which was not known and could not have been known at the time the environmental impact report was certified as complete, becomes available. Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21166. If a project does change, if its circumstances change, and/or if new information becomes available, the CEQA Guidelines (Cal. Code Regs. tit. 14, § 15000 et seg.) require that the lead agency determine whether to prepare a subsequent EIR, supplemental EIR, or an addendum to an EIR. CEQA Guidelines § 15162(b); § 15164(a). Even if a subsequent or supplemental EIR is unnecessary, an "addendum" to a previously certified EIR will be prepared if "some changes or additions are necessary but none of the conditions described in section 15162 of the Guidelines) calling for preparation of a subsequent Under the CEQA Guidelines, three factors can necessitate the preparation of a subsequent or supplemental EIR: SD 613832.3 Honorable Mayor Sellch and Members City Council December 18, 2007 Page 78 LATHAM &WATKINS,o 0 EIR have occurred." CEQA Guidelines § 15164(a). An addendum to an EIR need not be publicly circulated, but will be attached to the previously certified EIR. CEQA Guidelines § 15164(c). A lead agency's decision not to prepare a subsequent or supplemental EIR will be upheld so long as "`the [administrative] record as a whole contains substantial evidence to support a determination that the changes in the project [or its circumstances] were not so `substantial' as to require `major' modifications to the EIR. "' River Valley Preservation Council v. Metropolitan Transit Dev. Bd., 37 Cal. App. 4th 154, 166 (Ct. App. 1995), quoting Bowman v. City of Petaluma, 185 Cal. App. 3d 1065, 1075 (Ct. App. 1986). In applying this standard, a reviewing court must resolve any doubt in favor of the lead agency. River Valley Preservation Council, 37 Cal. App. 4th at 168, citing Laurel Heights Improvement Ass'n v. Regents of Univ. of Cal. 6 Cal. 4th 1112, 1135 (Ct. App. 1993). Pursuant to section 15162, the City has determined, on the basis of substantial evidence in the light of the whole record, that the project does not propose substantial changes to the . project contemplated by the General Plan EIR, no substantial changes would occur which would require major revisions to the General Plan EIR, and no new information of substantial importance has been revealed since the certification of the General Plan EIR. Therefore, an addendum was prepared rather a subsequent or supplemental EIR. (1) Substantial changes are proposed in the project which will require major revisions of the previous EIR or negative declaration due to the involvement of new significant environmental effects or a substantial increase in the severity of previously identified significant effects; (2) Substantial changes occur with respect to the circumstances under which the project is undertaken which will require major revisions of the previous EIR or negative declaration due to the involvement of new significant environmental effects or a substantial increase in the severity of previously identified significant effects; or (3) New information of substantial importance, which was not known and could not have been known with the exercise of reasonable diligence at the time the previous EIR was certified as complete or the negative declaration was adopted, shows any of the following: (A) The project will have one or more significant effects not discussed in the previous EIR or negative declaration; (B) Significant effects previously examined will be substantially more severe than shown in the previous EIR; (C) Mitigation measures or alternatives previously found not to be feasible would in fact be feasible and would substantially reduce one or more significant effects of the project, but the project proponents decline to adopt the mitigation measure or alternative; or (D) Mitigation measures or alternatives which are considerably different from those analyzed in the previous EIR would substantially reduce one or more significant effects on the environment, but the project proponents decline to adopt the mitigation measure or alternative. CEQA Guidelines §§ 15162(a); 15163(ax1). SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members • City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 20 LATHAMaWATKINSL- a. CEQA Does Not Trigger a Subsequent or Supplemental EIR Because There Is No "New Information" Under section 21166(c), a subsequent or supplemental EIR will be required if "[n]ew information, which was not known and could not have been known at the time the environmental impact report was certified as complete, becomes available." Mr. McClendon describes the possible effects of global warming on the state of California (the "State "). However, the facts and theories it uses to describe the effects of climate change are not new. More significantly, Mr. McClendon fails to present any new information showing that the GHG emissions that are expected in the area where this project would be built will either have a significant impact on GHG emissions or that it will have a more severe impact than shown in the General Plan EIR or the Addendum. Further, neither climate change, legislative mandates, nor CARB's "interim guidance" are new information pursuant to section 21166. (1) Climate Change Is Not New Information The phenomena of global climate change and its effects is not "new information." Various entities have studied and regulated GHG emissions for a long period of time. For example, the State has had legislation regulating GHG emissions from cars and trucks (AB 1493) since 2002. Further, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a creation of the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme established in 1988, has issued four assessment reports (1989, 1995, 2001, and 2007) each evaluating the state of global research on climate change and its effects. As recently pointed out by the U.S. Supreme Court in its decision in Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 1438 (2007), as early as 1978 Congress enacted the National Climate Program Act, 92 Stat. 601, which required the President to establish a program to study global climate change. These studies and legislative actions demonstrate that the phenomenon of global climate change itself is not "new information" because they were widely available before certification of the General Plan EIR. See No Oil, Inc. v. City of L.A., 196 Cal. App. 3d 223, 234 n.8 (Ct. App. 1987) (study prepared before EIR was certified but submitted to City after certification of EIR was not "new information" under . section 21166). Recently, the view that global climate change is not new information was endorsed. by Sacramento Superior Court Judge Marlette in Natural Resources Defense Council v. Reclamation Board ("NRDC'). (Sacramento Super. Ct. Case No. 06 CS 01228, Apr. 28, 2007) (Ex. 7). In NRDC, Judge Marlette wrote that the concept of global climate change and its potential effects on the Sacramento -San Joaquin Delta was not "new information" under section 21166 for an addendum to an EIR prepared in mid -2005. He added, "[a]s respondent and real parties have demonstrated, such concepts were known to petitioners, the public at large, and presumably to California public agencies. as well, prior to mid -2005, the date of the Addendum to the SEIR." NRDC, at 9 (Apr. 30, 2007). SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council . December 18, 2007 Page 21 LATHAMaWATKI NSLLP Likewise, the possibility that the project might produce GHG emissions was certainly known at the time that the City prepared its General Plan EIR. (2) New Information Within the Meaning of Section 21166 Must Be Specific to the Project Mr. McClendon has not introduced new information that would trigger the requirement for a supplemental or subsequent, or site - specific EIR. None of the material submitted to support Mr. McClendon's assertion the project will cause a significant impact on climate change indicates whether or not the proposed mixed -use infill development will have an increased level of GHG emissions, in comparison to existing housing, office, commercial and other building now used by the future residents and occupants of the North Newport Center and the buildings this project will tear down or replace. As the court in Fund for Environmental Defense noted, "the term `significant effect' on the environment is defined in the Guidelines as `a substantial, or potentially substantial, adverse change in any of the physical conditions within the area affected by the project ... Cal. Code Regs., tit. 14, § 15382, italics added. The record does not reflect an adverse change in any of the physical conditions within the area of the [project] site." 204 Cal. App. 3d 1538, 1552 (Ct. App. 1988) (emphasis in original). Likewise, Mr. McClendon has added nothing to the record that "reflects an adverse change in any of the physical conditions within the area" of the project site. In the NRDC case, the court also found that even assuming that "the scientific and political consensus regarding the existence and potential effects of climate change has grown significantly since" the time the EIR was certified, "the petitioners have not presented any real new information that has emerged regarding the specific effects that are to be expected in the area" where the project was being built. NRDC, at 9 (Apr. 30, 2007). The court found unconvincing the petitioners' citations to "generalized information regarding the potential effects of climate change on the State or the Delta region as a whole ... rather than projections that are specific to the project site itself." Id. This point is important because it places a significant burden on Mr. McClendon to point to evidence that shows a particular project's significant impact, rather than just a generalized effect 2 Mr. McClendon failed to meet this burden. While they offer material to support their argument that the impact of GHG emissions on global climate change is neither uncertain or speculative of (all of which was known in 2006), they offer no evidence to show the impact of the project has changed, let alone whether its impact is certain and significant. .Z Attorney General Brown's office successfully defended the Reclamation Board's action in the NRDC case, despite the fact that it was prosecuting the County of San Bernardino for not including global climate change in its General Plan Update EIR at the same time. A recent article quoted Deputy Attorney General Susan Durbin as agreeing that the question of whether a subsequent or supplemental EIR is required on the issue of global climate change is factually distinguishable from that found when initially preparing an EIR: "The [River Islands] case was factually distinguishable from what we're doing in San Bernardino," Durbin said. "We do actually think about these things." Dennis Pfaff, A Legal Step Back for Environmental Activist, Daily Journal, Apr. 30, 2007. SD%13832.3 Honorable Mayor Sellch and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 22 LATHAMaWATKINSLLP (3) Legislative Mandates Are Not New Information Mr. McClendon alleges vaguely that "other legislation that became effective January 1, 2007' should have triggered further review under section 21166. Presumably, the "other legislation" to which Mr. McClendon refers is the "Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006" . ( "AB 32 "). Another piece of legislation, Senate Bill No. 97 ( "SB 97'), was passed in August, 2007. SB 97 is a legislative mandate to the Resources Agency to adopt CEQA guidelines "for the feasible mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions or the effects of greenhouse gas emissions" by 2010. Although Mr. McClendon does not specify what the legislation is, it is clear that legislative mandates that do not pertain to this particular project are not new information within the meaning of section 21166. In May, 2007, a Napa County trial court judge "fail(ed) to see how a mere legislative mandate for the creation of regulations could have triggered review under section 21166." American Canyon Cmty. United far Responsible Growth v. City ofAm. Canyon (Napa County Super. Ct., No. 26- 27462, May 22, 2007) (Ex. 8). The court in American Canyon, which was addressing the question of whether the AB 32 was new information pursuant to section 21166, also went on to say that "new legislation requiring creation of state regulations certainly does not pertain to" a particular project or its effects. Here, as in American Canyon, "the other legislation" referred to by Mr. McClendon, which is probably AB 32 or possibly SB 97, does not pertain to this particular project or its effects. Moreover, the passage of AB 32 in 2006 is also not "new information" about global climate change (or a significant change to the circumstances of the project). Governor Schwarzenegger set additional, more rigorous emissions reduction targets than those found in AB 32 through his Executive Order S -3 -05 in June 2005 (Ex. 9), over one year before AB 32 was passed ten months before the General Plan EIR was certified. (4) CARB Has Not Released New Information Mr. McClendon vaguely refers to "some interim guidelines" adopted by CARB "to be used by local agencies in analyzing global warming impacts." Similar to the vague reference to "other legislation," it is not clear what the "interim guidelines" are. For the purpose of the discussion here, the "interim guidelines" to which Mr. McClendon refers are either the "Proposed Early Actions to Mitigate Climate Change in California" that was released on April 20, 2007 (Ex. 10), or else the November 16, 2007, CARB staff report entitled "California 1990 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Level and 2020 Emissions Limit' (Ex. 11). Neither document is a regulatory proposal let alone regulatory requirements for General Plans or CEQA documents. Neither document offers guidance to the City in assessing the impact of GHG emissions from the Project. The Early Actions discusses recommendations for three discrete actions involving: (1) the mix of fuel sold by fuel providers in the state, (2) the use of refrigerants in automobile air conditioning systems, and (3) statewide standards for capturing methane in landfills. The staff report merely established the 1990 GHG emissions level and the 2020 GHG emissions limit. SIN613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council . December 18, 2087 Page 23 LATHAMaWATKI.NS«r That these documents are not mandatory guidelines is abundantly clear by the fact that both documents reiterate the fact that an overall plan will not be adopted until 2009. These documents are merely early steps in developing the comprehensive strategy for reducing GHG emissions to the 1990 levels, as mandated by AB 32. An analogy can be made to the NRDC case. In NRDC, the California Attorney General, representing the Reclamation Board, successfully argued that the possibility of global warming was not "new information" which should have triggered a supplemental EIR under CEQA, because the possibility of global warming was known at the time the original EIR was prepared. Likewise, the CARB documents are not new information. They merely discuss a very limited set of three recommendations and set the baseline GHG emissions limit for 2020 at the level of emissions in 1990. Under CEQA Guidelines section 15162, such information would not result in the project having any new or different environmental impact than those already studied in the General Plan EIR prepared by the City. Further, to the extent that CARB issues its regulatory guidelines during the development and operation of the project, the project can mitigate GHG emissions by complying with the law. b. There Are No Substantial Changes in the Project that Will Require Major Modifications of the General Plan EIR . Mr. McClendon does not, because he can not, make the argument that there are substantial changes in this project or the circumstances of this project that will require major modifications to the General Plan EIR. The proposed mixed -use development was contemplated during the 2006 certification. Consequently, the project would not generate any new air quality impacts not already identified in the General Plan EIR. The project is in conformance with the assumptions set forth in the General Plan EIR. Therefore, implementation of the project would not result in any new impacts or increase the severity of a previously identified significant impact as previously analyzed in the General Plan EIR. 3. The Addendum Addresses the Project's Impact on Climate Change Mr. McClendon is mistaken in its assertion that the "Addendum fails to analyze and mitigate the project's global warming impacts." The Addendum addressed greenhouse gases for the project even though there is no regulatory guidance or requirement to do so. More significantly, the Addendum addressed the environmental impacts of the proposed development at North Newport Center and concluded that any impact of the project on climate change is mitigated by the design characteristics of the proposed mixed -use development, which encourages job/housing proximity. In August 2007, the California Energy Commission issued a white paper entitled "The Role of Land Use in Meeting California's Energy and Climate Change Goals" (CEC- 600 - 2007 - 008 -SF, Aug. 2007) (Ex. 12), which explained that accessibility and mixed -use projects are factors that reduce GHG emissions. Approval of this project would allow for mixed -use design, which promotes a reduction in greenhouse gases by reducing daily trips and improving accessibility to jobs, homes, and retail. SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor SeliCh and Member City Council . December 18, 2007 Page 24 LATHAM&WATKINS«P The Addendum's qualitative analysis and assessment is a good faith effort to make a meaningful attempt to further the goals of AB 32 and SB 97 in the absence of regulatory guidance on how to address the potential impacts of GHG emissions on climate change. The City exercised its discretion, consistent with CEQA Guidelines section 15145, and determined that undertaking an expensive and speculative quantitative analysis for the purpose of making a significance determination would not be cost - effective or meaningful. This decision was made based on the following facts: (1) the lack of regulatory guidance would make any determination . by the City overly speculative, (2) there is no new information about the project to legitimately evaluate the project's impact on climate change, (3) certification of the General Plan EIR and Addendum did not require any specific quantitative analysis of greenhouse gas emissions, and (4)) the mitigation implemented pursuant to the General Plan EIR for air quality.impacts is already the maximum technologically feasible. Although Mr. McClendon insists, without providing authority, that the City was required to conduct an exhaustive quantitative analysis of GHG emissions, it is not clear that this approach would be either cost - effective or meaningful without comprehensive guidance developed pursuant to AB 32 and SB 97. Calculating a project's baseline for GHG emissions is complicated if not impossible. First, it may be impossible to determine how much of a project's GHG emissions were occurring previously but are subsequently attributed to the project. For example, a family that moves into a project area might have been commuting 100 miles a day, and they may continue to commute 100 miles a day. However, the project would show a net gain of 100 vehicle miles traveled. Second, due to California's focus on energy - efficiency, its residents have lower GHG emissions than residents of other states. If out -of -state residents move to the project area, they might actually be reducing their global impact, yet a quantitative analysis would show a net gain. Finally, the new construction of the project may replace older, inefficient buildings, yet the new project may not register this decrease. If anything, this assertion by Mr. McClendon that the City's approach is not meaningful merely highlights the need for regulatory guidance related to CEQA detailing how to address potential impacts of GHG emission. The City recognized that the analysis of GHG emissions within the CEQA process is speculative and that there is no substantial evidence available to legitimately evaluate the issue in such a way as to make it cost - effective and meaningful. This is especially true with regards to a programmatic EIR such as the General Plan EIR. As written, AB 32 does not state that GHG emissions reductions will be required pro rata from every segment of the economy. Rather, CARB is charged with meeting the statewide emissions reduction limit "in a manner that minimizes costs and maximizes benefits for California's economy, improves and modernizes California's energy infrastructure and maintains electric system reliability, maximizes additional environmental and economic co- benefits for California, and complements the state's efforts to improve air quality." Cal. Health & Safety Code § 38501(h). SIN613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 26 LATHAMaWATKINS«P E. The Project Satisfies the Three Separate Requirements for Traffic Under CEQA, the Traffic Phasing Ordinance, and the General Plan Mr. McClendon contends that the City's traffic analysis.for the project is inadequate. The analysis that Orosz Engineering Group, Inc. conducted on behalf of their clients (the Greenlight group and others), however, fails to recognize that three separate requirements for traffic apply to the project under CEQA, the City's Traffic Phasing Ordinance ( "TPO "), and the General Plan's policy for transfer of development rights in Newport Center. Each of the three requirements entails a distinct traffic analysis. The City has complied with each of the three requirements, as evidence by its preparation of three technical documents containing traffic assessments. The following table summarizes the three separate requirements for traffic under CEQA, the TPO, and the General Plan. The table also identifies the technical document containing the traffic assessment for each requirement. State or Local Law Traffic Requirement Technical Document The project will not result in new significant traffic impacts not disclosed in the General Plan EIR, consistent with North Newport Center CEQA CEQA's program EIR Addendum to the EIR for the framework. City of Newport Beach Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21666 General Plan 2006 Update (Deering 2007); Cal. Code Regs. tit. 14, §§ 15162, 15164, 15168 (2007). The project complies with the requirements for findings and North Newport Center Traffic TPO approval set forth in the TPO. Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study (Austin -Foust City of Newport Beach, Cal., Associates, Inc., Nov. 6, 2007) Mun, Code ch. 15.40 (2007). A transfer of development Newport Center Trip Transfer rights "will not result in any Traffic Study GENERAL PLAN adverse traffic impacts." (Austin -Foust Associates, Inc., General Plan, at 3 -97. Nov. 6, 2007) SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Sellch and Members City Council . December 18, 2007 Page 26 LATHAM&WATKINSLLP The Project Satisfies CEQA's Requirements for Traffic Analysis The City prepared the Addendum to.analyze whether the project's implementation of the General Plan would create any significant impacts not already analyzed in the General Plan EIR, which the City prepared as a program EIR consistent with CEQA Guidelines Section 15168. The Addendum analyzed whether the project would create any significant traffic impacts not already analysis in the General Plan EIR. The Addendum did so by referencing the North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study, dated November 6, 2007, as well as the Newport Center Trip Transfer Traffic Study, dated November 7, 2007. The City retained Austin -Foust Associates, Inc. to conduct these independent studies of the project's effect. Notably, these two studies included a methodology and thresholds for determining a significant impact that was the same as that set forth in the General Plan EIR traffic analysis methodology and thresholds. The City found based on substantial evidence that this methodology satisfied CEQA when it certified the General Plan EIR on July 25, 2006. The North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study therefore appropriately used this methodology to determine whether the project would create any significant traffic impacts which were not already analyzed in the General Plan EIR. Based on the North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study's use of the methodology approved of the General Plan EIR, as well as the significance standards established in the General Plan EIR, the Addendum found that the project would not introduce any significant traffic impacts not already contemplated in the General Plan EIR. Orosz Engineering contends that the Addendum drew the wrong conclusion about whether the project's traffic impacts were significant, but this contention simply boils down to a disagreement between experts. When faced with a disagreement between experts in an administrative mandamus case, a court will apply the substantial evidence test. See Cal. Civ. Proc. § 1094.5 (Deering 2007). Under that test, the court will uphold the city's factual determination if the city has supported that determination with substantial evidence. Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21168; see also Laurel Heights Improvement Ass'n v. Regents of Univ. of Cal., 47 Cal. 3d 376, 409 (1988) ( "Laurel Heights I "). "Substantial evidence" means "enough relevant information and reasonable inferences from this information that a fair argument can be made to support a conclusion, even though other conclusions might also be reached." Cal. Code Regs. tit. 14, § 15384(a) (2007). Substantial evidence includes facts, reasonable assumptions predicated on facts, and expert opinion supported by facts. Cal. Pub. Res. Code §§ 21080(3), 21082.2(c). "[I]n applying the substantial evidence standard, `the reviewing court must resolve reasonable doubts in favor of the administrative finding and decision. "' Laurel Heights 1, 47 Cal. 3d at 393. Here, Orosz Engineering has simply disagreed with Addendum's conclusions about whether the project will introduce significant traffic impacts not already analyzed in the General Plan EIR. The Addendum did so using the methodology and standards that the City approved when it certified the General Plan EIR. Orosz Engineering has provided no reasons for not SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 27 LATHAM &WATKINSLO treating the Addendum's use of the previously approved methodology and standards as substantial evidence. The Addendum's analysis therefore constitutes substantial evidence validating the City's determination that the project will not create significant traffic impacts not already recognized in the General Plan EIR. The Project Satisfies the Traffic Phasing Ordinance's Requirements for Findings and Approval The TPO contains requirements for traffic analysis and project approval distinct from those of CEQA or the General Plan. See City of Newport Beach, Cal., Mun. Code ch. 15.40 (2007). Notably, the TPO does not require a finding that a transfer of development rights will not result in any adverse traffic impacts. Therefore, criticism that the North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study inadequately addresses trip transfers is irrelevant. A proper assessment of the project's compliance with the TPO involves confirming that the North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study uses the methodology provided for in Appendix A to the TPO and confirming that the project meets the TPO's requirements for findings and approvals. The North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study documents its adherence to the methodology provided for in Appendix A to the TPO, and Orosz Engineering does not provide evidence to the contrary. And as detailed below, the project meets the requirements for findings and approval under TPO Section 15.40.030(B)(2), which applies to "a Comprehensive Phased Land Use Development and Circulation System Improvement Plan with construction of all phases of the project not anticipated to be complete with sixty (60) months of project approval." Id. § 15.40.030(B)(2). The City has provided detailed findings on how the project meets the requirements for findings and approval under TPO Section 15.40.030(B)(2) in the City Council resolution approving the North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study. Neither Mr. McClendon nor Orosz Engineering have challenged the validity of these TPO findings, and they have not provided reasons not to treat the North Newport Center Traffic Phasing Ordinance Traffic Study as substantial evidence supporting those TPO findings. The City has therefore supported its TPO findings and approval with substantial evidence, and it has validly determined that the project complies with the TPO. 3. The Project Satisfies the General Plan's Requirement that a Transfer of Development Rights Be Traffic Neutral General Plan Policy LU 6.14.3 permits the transfer of development rights in Newport Center, "subject to the approval of the City with the finding that the transfer is consistent with the intent of the General Plan and that the transfer will not result in any adverse traffic impacts." General Plan, at 3 -97. The City retained Austin -Foust Associates, Inc. ( "Austin- Foust ") to conduct an analysis of whether the project's transfer of development rights would result in any adverse traffic impacts. Austin -Foust documented its analysis in a study entitled the Newport Center Trip Transfer Traffic Study and dated November 7, 2007. SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 28 LATHAMaWATKI NSLLP Austin -Foust used PM peak hour trips to measure whether the transfer would result in any adverse traffic impacts. As Joe Foust of Austin -Foust explained at the November 29, 2007 Planning Commission hearing, the City has always used PM peak hour trips in Newport Center to measure transfers of development rights permitted by the General Plan. In other words, the City has always interpreted its General Plan policy for transfer of development rights in Newport Center to require no adverse traffic impacts as measured by PM peak hour trips. And the City has continued to interpret the policy in this way by incorporating this measurement method into the procedures for analyzing transfers of development rights contained in the updated zoning for North Newport Center. Austin -Foust found that project's transfer would not result in any adverse traffic impacts based on PM peak hour trips. Based on Austin - Foust's independent analysis, the City found the project's transfer of development right will not result in any adverse traffic impacts. Mr. McClendon and Orosz Engineering now challenge the City's finding based on their objection to Austin - Foust's use of PM peak hour trips to measure traffic impacts, despite the City's long - standing interpretation of its General Plan policy for transfer of development rights as depending on PM peak hour trips. Orosz Engineering's challenge to Austin - Foust's Newport Center Trip Transfer Traffic Study again breaks down to a disagreement between experts. A court will apply the substantial evidence test to resolve such a disagreement. See Cal. Civ. Proc. § 1094.5 (Deering 2007). Under that test, the court will uphold the city's factual determination as long as it is supported with substantial evidence. Cal. Pub. Res. Code § 21168; see also Laurel Heights 1, 47 Cal. 3d at 409. As noted above, "`the reviewing court must resolve reasonable doubts in favor of the administrative finding and decision. "' Laurel Heights 1, 47 Cal. 3d at 393. Here, Orosz Engineering has simply disagreed with Austin - Foust's analysis, which is based on the City's long - standing interpretation of its General Plan policy for transfer of development rights as depending on PM peak hour trips. Orosz Engineering has provided no reasons for rejecting Austin - Foust's analysis as substantial evidence. Austin - Foust's analysis therefore qualifies as substantial evidence properly supporting the City's determination that the project's transfer of development rights will not result in any adverse traffic impacts. F. The Project Is Consistent with the Land Use Element The Project Is Compatible with Objectives, Policies, General Land Uses, and Programs Although Mr. McClendon focuses on the project's alleged inconsistency with the Housing Element, The Irvine Company also wishes to address how the project is consistent with the Land Use Element in the General Plan by being compatible with its objectives, policies, general land uses, and programs. SD \613832.3 Honorable Mayor SeBCh and Members City Council • December 18, 2887 Page 28 LATHAMaWATKINSLLP The California Subdivision Map Act provides that a finding that a subdivision is consistent with a general plan requires only that the project be "compatible with the objectives, policies, general land uses, and programs specified in" the general plan.. Cal. Gov't Code § 66473.5 (Deering 2007). The California Court of Appeal has interpreted this provision as requiring that any project (including but not limited to subdivisions) be "in agreement or harmony with the terms of the applicable plan, not in rigid conformity with every detail" of the general plan. San Franciscans Upholding the Downtown Plan v. City of San Francisco, 102 Cal. App. 4th 656, 678 (Ct. App. 2002) (internal quotations omitted); accord Families Unafraid to Uphold Rural El Dorado County v. Bd. of Supervisors, 62 Cal.AppAth 1332, 1336 (Ct. App. 1998); Seguoyah Hills Homeowners Assn v. City of Oakland, 23 Cal. App. 4th 704, 718 (Ct. App. 1993); Greenebaum v. City. of L.A., 153 Cal.App.3d 391, 406 -407 (Ct. App. 1984). Thus, "state law does not require precise conformity of a proposed project with the land use designation for a site, or an exact match between the project and the applicable general plan." San Franciscans, 102 Cal. App. 4th at 678; accord Families, 62 Cal. App. 4th at 1336; Seguoyah Hills, 23 Cal. App. 4th at 717; Greenebaum, 153 Cal. App. 3d at 406 -407. In turn, a city's findings that a project is consistent with the general plan "can be reversed only if it is based on evidence from which no reasonable person could have reached the same . conclusion." ALARM, 16 Cal. App. 4th at 648; accord Endangered Habitats League, Inc. v. County of Orange, 131 Cal. App. 4th 777, 782 (Ct. App. 2003). 2. The Project Provides for Mixed Use that Is Compatible with the Land Use Element In keeping with the requirements for consistency described above, the project provides for mixed use that is "compatible with the objectives, policies, general land uses, and programs specified in" the General Plan. Cal. Gov't Code § 66473.5. First, the project is compatible with General Plan Policy LU 3.3's provision for "expanded retail uses and hotel rooms and development of residential in proximity to jobs and services, while limiting increases in office development" in Newport Center and Fashion Island. General Plan, at 3 -3. The project also includes 430 new residential units "in proximity to jobs and services" that are already located in Newport Center and Fashion Island and thus promotes the policy's mixed -use goals. The project is also compatible with General Plan Policy LU 3.3 because it includes 75,000 square feet available for retail and hotel in Fashion Island. By providing for new retail or hotel square footage, the project offers the "expanded retail uses and hotel rooms" called for in General Plan Policy LU 3.3. The office component of the project will not create new office campuses. Instead, the project involves condensing and expanding existing office campuses. Adding to existing office campuses advances the mixed -use goals in General Plan Policy LU 3.3. Limiting office uses only to existing office campuses also advances the General Plan Policy Overview for Newport Center and Fashion Island, which states that "[o]ffice development would be limited to the expansion of existing rather than new buildings." Id. at 3 -97. SDN613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members City Council . December 18, 2007 Page 30 LATHAM &WATKI NS«P The project satisfies the requirement of more specific goals and policies contained in the General Plan as well. The project meets General Plan Goal LU 6.14's objective that Newport Center and Fashion Island be a "successful mixed -use district that integrates an economic and commercial. centers [sic] serving the needs of Newport Beach residents and the subregion, with expanded opportunities for residents to live close to jobs, commerce, entertainment, and recreation, and is supported by a pedestrian - friendly environment." Id. at 3 -97. The project meets this objective by providing for new residential development amidst office, retail, and hotel uses. The project also satisfies the two General Plan land use policies specific to Newport Center and Fashion Island. The project satisfies General Plan Policy LU 6.14.1, which calls for providing "the opportunity for an additional anchor tenant, other retail, and/or entertainment and supporting uses that complement, are integrated with, and enhance the economic vitality of existing development," by allowing for development of 75,000 square feet available for retail and hotel in Fashion Island. Id. The project also satisfies General Plan Policy LU 6.14.2, which calls for providing "the opportunity for limited residential, hotel, and office development in accordance with the limits specified by Tables LU 1 and LU2. (Imp 2.1)," by following the limits in Tables LU 1 and LU2 and by restricting office uses to existing office campuses. Id Members of the public have agreed that the project complies with the General Plan. As stated previously, John Heffernan, a former Newport Beach mayor concluded after careful review of the project that the "development agreement implements land uses authorized by the new voter - approved general plan." Heffernan (Ex. 1). He also concluded that the transfer of development rights was "authorized by our new general plan." Id. As also stated previously, the president of the Newport Beach Chamber of Commerce, a community activist involved in Stop Polluting Our Newport ( "SPON "), and a former Newport Beach City Council member also involved in SPON "decided to come together" to support the project in part because they found that it "complements civic and community uses already found in Newport Center." Luehrs, Vandersloot & Watt (Ex. 2); Robinson (Ex. 3). Larry Tucker, a former Newport Beach Planning Commissioner and a key member of the advisory committee to the City for its General Plan 2006 Update, also submitted a comment letter to the City supporting the project because it promotes the General Plan's "threshold planning concept" that "[r]esidential units were an appropriate use in certain areas of Newport Center." Larry Tucker, Comment Letter, at 2 (Nov. 13, 2007) (Ex. 13). He noted that the project implements General Plan residential density established by "a multi -year planning process that was undertaken on a City wide basis through a litany of public meetings." Id In email correspondence with current Newport Beach Planning Commissioner Barry Eaton, Mr. Tucker also explained that the project, by implementing residential, office, and retail uses, advances General Plan Policy LU 2.4, which calls for accommodating "uses that maintain or enhance Newport Beach's fiscal health and account for market demands, while maintaining and improving the quality of life for current and future residents. General Plan, at 3 -7; see also SD1613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Members city Council • December 18, 2007 Page 31 LATHAM &WATKI NS«P Email from Larry Tucker to Barry Eaton (Nov. 29, 2007) (Ex. 14) ( "Tucker Email "). Tucker also noted that General Plan Policies LU 6.14.1 and 6.14.2 allow "for the possibility of new office uses since that is a permitted use in Newport Center" by permitting reallocation of retail development to other uses and by providing for office development subject to certain limits. Tucker Email (Ex. 14). Finally, Tucker stated that allowing for the transfer of developments rights reflects the ongoing policy of maintaining flexibility and accounting for market demand within Newport Center. Id. Tucker found that the "continuation of that policy made sense and still does," particularly in the context of only "a moderate increase" in office uses in Newport Center. Id. These public comments reveal that reasonable people have shared the City's findings that the project is compatible with the General Plan. A City's findings that the project is consistent with the General Plan "can be reversed only if it is based on evidence from which no reasonable person could have reached the same conclusion." ALARM, 16 Cal. App. 4th at 648; accord Endangered Habitats League, Inc. v. County of Orange, 131 Cal. App. 4th 777, 782 (Ct. App. 2003). The evidence listed above indicates that the project is "compatible with the objectives, policies, general land uses, and programs specified in" the General Plan. See Cal. Gov't Code § 66473.5. The project should therefore withstand any legal challenge to the City's findings on consistency. G. City Charter Section 423's Public Vote Requirement Does Not Apply Because the Project Does Not Require 'a General Plan Amendment In November 2000, the City's electorate approved the "Greenlight" measure enacted as City Charter Section 423. This section requires a public vote on projects that necessitate a General Plan amendment and which would increase peak hour traffic trips, residential density, or general development intensity above existing permitted levels in excess of specific thresholds. City of Newport Beach, Cal., Charter § 423 (2007). As discussed above, the project in this case is consistent with the General Plan and therefore does not require a General Plan amendment. City Charter Section 423 therefore does not apply, and the City Council can properly approve the project without a public vote. III. CONCLUSION The project proposed by The Irvine Company implements the City's General Plan by providing for consistent mixed -use zoning in North Newport Center, in addition to a substantial and broad array of public benefits ranging from funding for a new City Hall to significant water quality improvements. The City has provided the public with ample opportunity to comment on the project over the course of more than six weeks. The City's second City Council hearing on the project, SD\613832.3 Honorable Mayor Selich and Membem City Council • December 18, 2007 Page 32 LATHAM &WATKINSLLP scheduled for December 18, 2007, follows one joint study session, two Planning Commission hearings, and a City Council public hearing. The project serves as a benchmark for mixed use with a significant residential component by implementing a significant portion of the General Plan's residential development allocations for Newport Center with no reduction in the General Plan's residential density. By including approval for 430 residential units and an affordable housing plan concurrently with approval of zoning to conform to the General Plan, the project advances the City's housing goals and addresses HCD's comments on the City's Housing Element and its relationship to City Charter Section 423. In addition, the City has confirmed in compliance with CEQA that the project introduces no new significant environmental effects not already accounted for in the General Plan EIR, which serves as a program EIR for the project. The City has also confirmed that the project meets each of the three separate requirements for traffic that apply to the project under CEQA, the TPO, and the General Plan policy on transfer of development rights. Given the project's compliance with state and local law, significant contribution to mixed -use development in an important commercial and community center, and considerable public benefits, The Irvine Company respectfully asks the City Council to approve the project. The approval would constitute a valid exercise of the City Council's authority made in the best interests of the citizenry. SD\613832.3 Honorable mayor Selich and Members City Council • December 18, 2887 Page 33 LATHAM&WATKINS«P IV. LIST OF EXHIBITS Exhibit Description 1. John Heffernan, Opinion, Irvine Co. Housing, Office Deal Worthwhile, Daily Pilot, Dec. 10, 2007, available at http: / /dailypilot.com. 2. Richard Luehrs, Jan D. Vandersloot & Jean Watt, Commentary, City- Irvine Co. Plan Beneficial, Daily Pilot, Nov. 30, 2007, available at http: / /dailypilot.com. 3. Alicia Robinson, Group Fights City Hall Move, Daily Pilot, June 27, 2007, available at http: / /dailypilot.com. 4. Ed Selich & Steve Rosansky, Opinion, Community Commentary: Details of Irvine Co. Deal, Daily Pilot, Dec. 8, 2007, available at http: / /www.dailypilot.com. 5. Paul G. Lewis, California's Housing Element Law: The Issue of Local Noncompliance 3 (Public Policy Inst. of Cal. 2003). 6. Letter from Cathy Creswell to Greg Ramirez (Sept. 10, 2007). 7. Natural Res. Defense Council v. Reclamation Bd. ( "NRDC") (Sacramento Super. Ct. Case No, 06 CS 01228, Apr. 28, 2007). 8. American Canyon Cmty. United for Responsible Growth v. City ofAm. Canyon (Napa County Super. Case No. 26- 27462, May 22, 2007). 9. Cal. Exec. Order S -3 -05 (June 2005). 10. Cal. Air Res. Bd., Proposed Early Actions to Mitigate Climate Change in California (Apr. 20, 2007). 11. Cal. Air Res. Bd., California 1990 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Level and 2020 Emissions Limit (Nov. 16, 2007). 12. Cal. Energy Comm'n, The Role of Land Use in Meeting California's Energy and Climate Change Goals (CEC- 600 - 2007 - 008 -SF, Aug. 2007). 13. Larry Tucker, Comment Letter (Nov. 13, 2007). 14. Email from Larry Tucker to Barry Eaton (Nov. 29, 2007). SD\613832.3 EXHIBIT 1 Pant Version :: • D IVAS • Pilotwft Pub b Meoety, December 10. 20F 1= PM Par Opinion MAILBAG: Page l of 2 Irvine Co. housing, office deal worthwhile In october and November I outlined my concerns about a pending development agreement between the Wine Co. and the. city regarding future development in Newport Center. The proposal is for the city to grant to the Irvine Co. entitlement for 430 new housing units and almost 280,000 square feet of new office development (mostly through the transfer of development rights authorized by our now general Man}. In exchange.-the Irvine Co. would pay the city almost $43 million. The development agreement implements land uses authorized by the new voter- approved general plan. I reviewed the pending development agreement in detail, spoken with representatives of the Irvine Co. and also with Mayor Steve R=Wsky and Mayor Pro Tern Ed Selich, who were the chief negotiators for the city, about a number of my concerns. I considered the development agreement In terms of what appears to be a loaning 1=1 real estate sector recession and Crow much near-tarn money will be paid to the city under the agreement Given the market for new housing and receding local office rental market, I Wove Rosansky and Sekh have negotiated an advantageous agreement for the city. I am also mindful of the long -term outlook and first -class development reputation of the Irvine Co. In our city, which is evident by their quality work In Newport Center and Newport Coast. My comdusion Is that the terms of the development agreement are close to or at current market conditions, the payment schedule Is beneficial, therefore the City Council should approve the agreement at its meeting Dec. 11. I am confident the Irvine Co. will use these now development rights to metre well conceived Improvements to Newport Center. i believe their efforts will ensure that the center continues to attract and remain a site for economic growth and vlft In the future. And regardless of what happens with the BIN FI&Ar Initiative in February, a future city half in Newport Center can now become a reality, although I still strongly favor the Central Library site. Expansion affects corridor cities .lulpJ /www.dailypilot comlardcles/2=/12/l 1/%*don/dpt- mai1iog1211.prt 12/I U200'I EXHIBIT 2 0 0 Daily�Pilot City - Irvine Co. Plan Beneficial Commentary by Richard Luehrs„ Jan D. Vandersloot and Jean Watt Daily Pilot November 30, 2007 It may surprise you to see our names on the same opinion piece. In fact, over the years, although we have held a healthy respect for one another, we have rarely seen eyo-to -eye on key issues. Until now. The recently proposed Newport Center mixed use plan and development agreement presented by The Irvine Co. to the community, City Council and Planning Commission achieves many key goals that will benefit out entire city: • Continues the renaissance of Newport Center and provides the opportunities it needs to remain the economic engine ofNewport Beach-, • Provides $27 million of non- taxpayer money to build a new City Sall, regardless of final location, including keeping it at its current location on the Peninsula • Provides significant finding for the rebuilding of the Oasis Senior Center. • Complements civic and community uses already found in Newport Center. • Is the nuns[ environmentally - friendly site compared to the proposed location behind the central library. It will be up to our elected officials and the community to decide which makes the best sense for a city hall, and their decision should be guided by the facts about which site is the most beneficial to the city. We decided to come together to support the Newport Center mixed -use plan and development agreement because we believe that this proposal provides the unique and right opporturoity for the futu m of our community — and more specifically, Newport Center — while providing significant finding for important community infiastrucdue, including a city hall in which we can all take great pride. RICHARD LUEHIRS is pnWderaand CEO. of Me Newport Reach Chamber of Commerce. JAN D. VANDERSLOOT is a community ac&vht JE"WATT is a fermerNewpart Bead* Cut}* Coundl member. EXHIBIT 3 Pubrsbed Wednesday. Juno 27, 200711:45 PM PDT Politics . Group fights city hall move Debate over the use of a 12.8 -acre parcel heats up with slogans coming from Stop Polluting Our Newport and Bill Ficker. By Alicia Robinson . Three members of a prominent Newport Beach environmental group will head the opposition to a ballot measure that would build a new city hall next to the central library. Allan Beek, Jan Vandersloot and Jean Watt of Stop Polluting Our Newport are organizing the fight against the city hall measure. N would change the city charter to say city hall — now on the Balboa Peninsula — will be bull on a 12.8 -acre, city -owned parcel on Avocado Avenue that has been promised as a park since 1992. So far the battle is one of slogans. Bill Ficker, leading proponent of the city hall measure, is peddling the. idea of "city hall in the park," while opponents hope to convince voters that "parks are priceless." Stop Polluting Our Newport "has been on record in favor of having the park and not a city hall on that site for a year or more," Beek said Wednesday. He sees lots of holes in Ficker's plan. For instance, he said, "They're choosing to .build on one of the worst possible sites around. There are massive grading requirements." City leaders already are looking into property just a block away where an Orange County Transportation Authority facility is, and Beek argues Chars a better alternative. He and his backers are drafting a letter they'll send, first to members of Stop Polluting Our Newport and the slow- growth group Greenlight. A second letter will urge the community at large not to sign city hall ballot petitions. Ficker said he's not surprised to have opponents, and he thinks their arguments are largely without merit. For example, people have piled the park property "unbuildable" because of drainage problems that also afflict the library. But Ficker, an architect, said he, has inspected the library basement and not seen signs of flooding, and his studies of the park land show "it's an excellent site on which to build." Some are not choosing sides in the battle. Though City Council members Lesle Daigle and Don Webb and Mayor Steve Rosansky voted to consider the park land for city hall, only Webb has signed the ballot petition, and none of the three plan to campaign for it. Greenlight will not get formally involved either, said group spokesman Phil Arst, though individual members may work against the ballot measure. http : / /www.dailypiloLcom/articles/ 2007/ 06 /28 /polities/dpt- cityha1128.prt 17/1612007 :: Print Version:: 0 • Page 2 of 2 It is the second time in three years that Newport Beach voters face a ballot measure pitting a park against some other hand use. Leaders on both sides seem a little disturbed that things have come to this. "I guess what bothers me is why people would be to cynical," Ficker said. "I don't know why of all people (Stop Polluting Our Newport] would attack the democratic process" For Beek, the debate is extremely close to home. "My own brother and I are on opposite sides, and I don't quite understand where hey coming from," he said. • ALICIA ROBINSON, may be reached at (714) 966 -4626 or at alicia.robinsol7@latimes.com. CLOSE WINDOW j h4: / /www.dailypilot. com /arficies/ 2007 / 06/28 /politics/dpt- dtyhaII28.prt 12/16/2007 EXHIBIT 4 :: Print Version:: Page 1 oft P,jAd.d SA fly. eemmbw 8.2W 10M PM PST OpMlon COMMUNITY COMMENTARY: Details of Irvine Co. deal By Ed Selich and Steve Rosansky Last November, after years of public discussion, the voters of this city approved a new General Plan, which allows 450 residential wits to be developed in Newport Center. These units were not requested by The Irvine Co. or any other property Owner but were recommended by the citta ens' advisory cDmm es, GPAC, to allow Newport Center to have more diverse uses and reduce traffic_ The proposal for residential development in Newport Center will implement the wishes of the electorate who voted for such uses. The council also included In the new General Wan a provision that a property owner who develops residential units in Newport Center must sign a development agreement A development agreement is a negotiated agreement whereby the city receives an Increased level of public benefit in retum fen giving a developer certain long -term assurances that the developer may construct Its project -.The CIty.Council Development Agreement Negotiating Committee, assistant city manager, city attorney and outside [so counsel for the city (who spe"fzes in drafting development agreements) have negotiated a draft development agreement with The Irvine Co. Currently, the development agreement provides the following benefits to the city. A four -year option for the city to acquire an approximately 53,000,square-foot site for a city W building in the 500 block for $145 a square foot, based upon an appraisal commissioned by the may, A four -year option to acquire the right to use between 300 to 375 parking spaces in a parking structure to be constructed in the 500 block on a pro rata cost basis for the number of spaces acquired; Payment of $27.09 million to the city with $13.045 million due at the first building permit, the balance spread over the remaining residential building permits. This money can be used for a city hall wherever it is constructed or any other municipal purpose. Payment to the city of $112 million in park fees. Up to $5.6 million bD be paid at the award of a contract for construction of the new Oasis Senior Center on a matching basis to what the corrununtty raises for Oasis, with the unmatched balance, ti any. available to the city for any Park purpose: $15 million in road Improvements in Newport Center above those required by traffic impact fees; Dedication W the city of the 3-scre vacant parcel north of San AfVW at Avocado to the city bupJ /dailyp ilatcom/ articImCO07/ 12/ 10 /opinion/dpt- commentnyl2O9.prt 12/10/2007 :: Print Version :: Page 2 of if a new city hen is constructed in Newport Center, Payment of tragic impact fees under a new higher fee schedule; Provision of affordable housing units to meet state low requirements. No new entitlement other than what was approved in our recent General Plan or what e>osts on the ground today is proposed. A team of traffic engineers has carefully reviewed the plan for potential traffic generation and has found Bee proposed development adds no net new traffic over that allowed by the General Plan. The draft development agreement win be put into final form only after the important step of receiving public Input. That input may well result in revisions to the agreement. The draft development agreement has already been publicly discussed at a john meeting of the Planning Commission and the City Council and at two meetings of the Planning Commission. It has now been referred to the City Council for at least two more public meetings. At each meeting; the pubes has been and will be encouraged to comment on any aspect of the development agreement The draft development agreement and staff report are available on the ciVs website at www.city.neewport heach.ca.us. There has been some criticism that this development agreement does not bring enough public benefit to our city. That s the standard which the City Council will use to determine If this development agreement is.worlhy of our approval. As far as we have been able to determine, no city has negotiated a development agreement with this level of public benefit If anyone reading this knows of one, please make the City Council aware of IL Finally, it is important to note that this agreement does not bind the City to the 500 block for a City hell. It merely gives the city the option to go there if the City Hati in the Pack initiative does not pass. ED SELICH is a Newport Beach city councilman. STEVE ROSANSKY is the mayor of Newport Beach. [ CLOSE WINDOW http: / /daibTgoLcom/articlesl 2007 /12(10/opkion/dpt- taryl209pxt 12!1012007 EXHIBIT 5 • • California's Housing Element Law: The Issue of Local Noncompliance . . Paul G. Lewis 2003 PUBLIC POLICY INSTITUTE OF CALIFORNIA 0 Library of Congress Cataloging -in- Publication Dana Lewis, Paul George, 1966 - Californias housing element law: the issue of local noncompliance 7 Paul G. Lewis. p, cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN: 1- 58213 -069 -8 1. Discrimination in housing — California. 2. Housing policy - California.d. Public Policy Institute of California. II. Title. HD7288.76.U52C25 2003 363.5'09794 —dc21 2002154992 Copyright ® 2003 by Public Policy Institute of California Ali rights reserved San Fmndsco, CA Short sections of text, not to exceed three paragraphs, may be quoted without written permission provided that full attribution is given to the source and the above copyright notice is included. PPIC does not take or support positions on any ballot measure or state and federal legislation nor does it endorse or support any political patties or candidates for public office. Research publications reflect the views of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the staff, officers, or Board of Directors of the Public Policy institute.of California. 0 Foreword It is no secret that affordable housing is scarce in California. Even with record low mortgage rates and plenty of demand, the lack of conveniently located, relatively low -cost housing has frustrated planners and consumers alike. What is less well known is that many local governments have been out of compliance with California's housing element law, which was designed to help local officials plan for adequate housing in their communities. In his latest look at local governance in California, Paul Lewis addresses the question of why so many cities and counties have been unable or unwilling to meet the state requirements for housing. Lewis analyzes a long list of reasons why a city would be out of compliance with -the law, including shortages of available land, explicit antigrowth policies, and an aversion to affordable housing among wealthy communities. His findings do not support the view that only the richest communities were out of compliance; in fact, smaller cities with older housing and those with strict growth controls were more likely to be noncompliant. He then takes a closer look at communities in the metropolitan areas of San Diego, Los Angeles, and the San Francisco Bay Area to identify the relationship between noncompliance and housing production. His results will come as a surprise to some. During the 1990s, noncompliant communities were just as likely to expand their housing stock as communities that complied with the law. Furthermore, when other factors were held constant, noncompliance was not a significant predictor of the rare of multifamily development. After reviewing the policies of others states with comparable approaches, Lewis identifies three basic problems with California's housing element law' First, it often goes against the grain of local politics by asking cities to plan for the needs of the wider region, not just those of current city residents. Second, it may represent a mismatch of goals and policy tools. Specifically, it attempts to tackle the problems of overall i • housing underproduction with a process - oriented approach developed to prod cities and counties into planning for their share of affordable units. Third, the statute itself is I unwieldy, embraces multiple objectives, and is difficult for nonexperts to understand. Lewis concludes that the time is ripe for policymakers and affected interest groups to seek a more workable, transparent, and straightforward approach to housing. These policymakers may need to resolve whether their major goal is a sheer increase in residential construction or an equitable distribution of affordable housing. Lewis warns that using a fair -share planning approach as a tool to encourage overall housing production places an unrealistic Burden on a fairly fragile policy. David W. Lyon President and CEO .Public Policy Institute of California 0 Summary California is generally perceived as producing less housing than would be expected or desired judging by its population and job gains. The statewide plan developed by the Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) predicts that a continuation of current.trends will lead to underproduction of needed housing by approximately 60 percent — likely leading in turn to a further upward spiral of home prices and rents as well as lower homeownership rates. This shortfall particularly hurts low- income families, which have more difficulty in paying the price or rent premium that results from undersupply. Some observers argue that local governments' lack of enthusiasm for new housing in their communities is a large source of this problem. This report investigates California's housing element law, the major tool the state government uses to ensure that city and county land -use regulators are planning appropriately for new housing development. Enacted in original form in 1969, the housing element law requires that all cities and counties in California engage in detailed planning for their residential needs by including housing as an element of their comprehensive plans. The housing element process is intended to focus the attention of city policymakers on identifying land sites for housing, and on policy actions that would make it easier or less expensive to provide additional housing units. The motivation.for this study is the high degree of local noncompliance with the law. I begin by examining which types of city governments tend to have their housing elements deemed 'out of compliance" by HCD staff. A second major goal is to determine whether such noncompliance can be linked statistically to a lower subsequent production of new housing. The report also reviews California's implementation of housing element law and compares it to the experiences of other states. How the Housing Element Process Works The housing element is the only part of local general plans that is subject to substantial oversight by the state. The stare's interest in local housing elements has been justified by the fact that housing is enshrined in stare law as a matter of "vital statewide importance." Nevertheless, housing elements in and of themselves rarely cause new housingto be built; in a market economy, private developers (or nonprofit builders of affordable housing) construct nearly all new housing units. The housing element requirement is often called a "fair -share" housing law, with the term generally referring to a regional process by which each local community works to accommodate a fair proportion of the region's housing need. Regional councils of governments (which are. planning councils representing the cities and counties in a given metropolitan area) work from state estimates of regional housing need and assign a housing unit goal, or allocation, to each city and . unincorporated county area in their region. Cities and counties are then expected to update their housing elements to plan for quantified objectives for housing units over the next five years. Unlike in some states with fair -share approaches, in California housing production itself has received as much emphasis as the geographic distribution of housing for lower -income families. This state's broader notion of fair share probably has resulted from its long - standing problem of housing affordability and underproduction, which limits the opportunities of not only the poor but also the middle class. The housing element statute requires that local planners address and reduce governmental constraints on the development of housing for all income levels. Such constraints may include local growth controls, strict building codes, developer fees, and permit procedures. California law requires that local governments revise their housing elements periodically. In the current round of revisions, San Diego (in 1999) was the first region where localities were required to update their plans. In 2000 and 2001, cities and counties in the Southern California region and the San Francisco Bay Area undertook these updates, with the • 0 requirement extending to the Bakersfield, Fresno, and Sacramento areas in mid -2002 and to the rest of the state's regions by the end of 2003.1 Once a local update has been drafted, HCD reviews it to gauge whether the plan can enable the targeted number of units — including specific amounts of housing for households of very low, low, moderate, and "above moderate" incomes. If so, HCD terrifies the housing element. If not, the jurisdiction may change its plan to incorporate HM's suggestions. If the element is adopted without satisfying HCD—or fails to be updated at all —the city or county is regarded as noncompliant. That judgment limits its eligibility for certain state and federal funds for affordable housing and renders it more vulnerable to lawsuits that can halt development in the community. There have been frequent conflicts between state and local policymakers over housing element compliance. Testing Competing Explanations for Local Noncompliance One of the most contentious aspects of the housing element requirement is the fact that nearly four cities in ten and a quarter of counties are out of compliance with the law.2 Large majorities of jurisdictions in the state.have been noncompliant at some point. Explanations of this fact differ dramatically. Some communities have argued that state or regional projections fail to reflect powerful local realities, such as a lack of vacant land, which can make it difficult to identify a sufficient physical capacity to accommodate projected housing needs. Other observers argue that local noncompliance more frequently reflects an aversion to new housing—particularly affordable units —on the part of upper - income communities. Overt antigrowth policies or . 1 Here, Southern California includes cities in the counties of Imperial, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura; the Bay Area includes titles in Alameda, Contra Costa, Main, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano, and Sonoma Counties. 2This tally of noncompliant jurisdictions includes those whose housing element is overdue, as well as those found noncompliant after HCD review. In both cases: the housing element is legally noncompliant. A 0 • regulatory postures on the part of local governments— sometimes imposed on local governments by their voters --are also seen as a culprit. Still another possibility is that many jurisdictions fail to meet the housing element requirement because they lack the requisite planning capacity or experience. State officials periodically seek ways to; increase compliance with housing element law by penalizing noncompliant local governments. Housing advocates have long argued that sanctions should be stronger and that housing law needs more emphasis on results and less on process. Senate Bill 910, which passed the California Senate in 2001 but later died in the assembly, would have required that the state controller fine noncompliant cities. By contrast, local officials seek to protect local autonomy over land use —long one of the major pillars of home rule —. and complain of distant state authorities who fail to understand local conditions. This study examines the distinctions between cities that have been able to attain housing element compliance from those that have not. Measures of city characteristics are drawn primarily from the U.S. Census, and measures of local land -use policies and growth controls are drawn from a PPIC mail survey of local planners in the late 1990s.. A simple comparison of cities in the regions that have recently been reviewed by HCD indicates that noncompliant communities are, on average, smaller and have older housing. In the rest of the state, where cities have had about a decade to reach compliance since their last housing element revisions were due, few cities were noncompliant The simple comparison indicates that these few laggard communities tend to be wealthier and less ethnically diverse than compliant cities. . .The results of a more sophisticated statistical analysis reveal the determinants of no in a more systematic way. This analysis involved cities in the Southern California region, San Diego County, the San Francisco Bay Area, and the 18 -county Central Valley. Evidence was strong that cities' residential growth policies held a particularly important role for the HCD reviews. For example, cities whose planning directors report that the review process for new development proposals has been getting longer experience more trouble in attaining compliance. Each viii 0 0 restrictive growth policy that has been adopted by the city approximately doubles the odds that it will be found noncompliant. An older housing stock is also associated with a greater likelihood of noncompliance. Cities with older housing maybe mote settled and have a mote established community character, they are also likely to contain less vacant land. Cities with smaller populations are also mote likely to be noncompliant, all else equal. Governments of larger cities may have a greater capacity to undertake the broad range of planning efforts needed to reach compliance and may also be mote insulated from the political pressure of homeowners. An additional finding is that the length of time that has elapsed since the deadline for submitting an updated housing element is one of the most statistically significant predictors of compliance. Specifically, the results indicate that each month that has passed since the region's deadline tenders a city approximately 5 percent mote likely to teach compliance. Even controlling for all these factors, cities in the Bay Area, Central Valley, and Inland Empire were more likely to be noncompliant than other cities. It is also interesting to note that the compliance status of individual communities tends to persist over time. Although many cities were able to attain compliance as the 1990s wore on, it remained the case that noncompliance in 1991, after the past round of revisions in the coastal metropolitan areas, was a fairly good predictor of noncompliance in 2002. Assessing the Relationship Between Compliance and Housing Production Defenders of the housing element requitement tend to argue that local governments that comply with the law, by demonstrating adequate plans, enable mote housing to be built. Using data from the 1990s, I examine whether a city's compliance status in 1991 helps to predict the petcentage increase in the city's housing stock by 2000. The analysis again controls for a variety of other city characteristics that might be expected to influence the level and type of housing growth. Because of • data limitations, this analysis focuses only on cities in the Southern California, San Francisco Bay Area, and San Diego tegions. Using Census data on the number of housing units in each city, I find no detectable relationship between housing element compliance and the percentage increase in housing across these communities during the 1990s. Thus, for all the potential merits and benefits of housing element compliance, one must look to other factors to explain why some cities experience rapid housing development and other cities experience little. The analysis suggests that a city's demographic characteristics, its position in the urban hierarchy, and its physical capacity to accommodate new buildings are better predictors of housing growth. . Although the housing element statute, as a fair -share approach, is especially concerned with increasing the production of affordable housing, we unfortunately lack any comparable infbtmation fbt all cities about the production of affordable units. However, data from the Construction Industry Research Board do allow an analysis of multifamily housing production. Multifamily housing includes apartments and condominiums, the types of housing gmetally most relevant for those at the lower to middle levels of the income distribution, particularly in the coastal metropolitan areas where housing is expensive. Multifamily units teptesented only about one - quattet of the new units produced in the 1990s. The results of this analysis once again show that housing element noncompliance as of 1991 is not a significant predictor of the rate of multifamily development when other relevant factors are held constant. Rather, cities that were job centers and that had fewet senior citizens as, of 1990 tended to experience faster rates of multifamily housing development. Finally, the report investigates whether housing element compliance affected the mix of housing developed in the 1990s--multifamily versus single - family— despite its lack of effects on the rate of increase. I examine the relationship between compliance and the percentage share of new housing units that were multifamily units. Here there is evidence of a significant association of compliance with the outcome in question. Cities with noncompliant housing elements developed new housing that was weighted mote toward single - family units. Holding constant for • 1 11 • other city and county characteristics, a noncompliant housing element was linked to an 8 percentage point lower proportion of multifamily housing among the newly built units. The results imply that cities with compliant housing elements are willing to substitute multifamily (more affordable) units for a share of single- family units. Nevertheless, it is striking that one can detect no measurable relationship between compliance and overall housing production. Rethinking the Housing Element Approach Discussions of problems with the current housing - element law among California policymakers and housing advocates have led to a number of reform proposals in recent years.. However, most of these proposals take the housing element approach —a state review of local, plans for future housing needs —more or less as a given. A fundamental question may be whether the various goals and values that California polirymakers hold dear— increased housing production, an equitable distribution of housing responsibility across communities, special attention to the housing needs of low- income groups, local autonomy and home rule, environmental protection, and more --can all be accommodated within this area of law, or whether there are tensions among them. A secondary question is whether the current approach is the most effective use of resources to further these goals. Enticing communities to accommodate housing would not be such an uphill battle if they perceived that doing so would be in their financial self-interest. Thus, creating a component of the state fiscal system that rewards local governments for'the addition of housing units, particularly affordable units, may result in less conflict and more cooperation. The Jobs /Housing Balance Incentive Program, passed in 2000, has elements of such a "rewards for performance" approach. Revenue.sources that are distributed to localities on a population basis, such as the Vehicle License Fee subvention, also create indirect incentives for cities and counties to accommodate housing. Other states, including some with equally strong traditions of home rule as California, have also wrestled with issues of inadequate housing production, mandated fair shares for jurisdictions, and state oversight-of local planning. In New jersey, for instance, production of affordable 0 0 housing rests mainly with the profit motives of private developers; they can propose a 'builder's remedy" by including a share of affordable units in otherwise market -rare projects.that would normally exceed local zoning limitations: The quasijudicial state agency overseeing local housing plans also allows communities to transfer to other jurisdictions up to half of the affordable units they are expected to produce, in exchange for a payment to the "receiving" municipality. In Massachusetts, developers of affordable projects have access to a Comprehensive Permit Law that enables them to proceed through a streamlined local review process, avoiding many of the intermediate reviews that other proposed developments must go through. Builders whose projects are denied by this local process have the option of appealing to a statewide board, the Housing Appeals Committee, which can overturn the local decision and order the project to be permitted. In Oregon, the state's Land Conservation and Development Commission imposes minimum zoning densities on residential land for cities and counties in the Portland metropolitan area: The localities in this region are also required to write plans so as to allow at least half of future residential units to be in multifamily projects. As in these other states, California's housing element requirement has often gone against the grain of local policymaking because it asks cities to plan for the needs of the wider region, not just the needs of .current city residents. Indeed, the philosophy behind fair -share housing policy is that the so- called police power of local governments to regulate land use should be directed toward the general welfare of the region, not just the general welfare of the specific locality. Those involved in California's debate over housing policy often note how long and detailed the housing element statute is. Highly detailed statutes are often evidence of widespread disagreement on a given policy, as waves of `reform" occur in which opposing interests seek to have their specific concerns addressed and preserved in law. In the case of the housing element statute, the result is an unwieldy law that is often difficult for outside observers to comprehend in its entirety or details. In the 33 years since the housing element statute was enacted, the search for an adequate supply of housing in California has only become more elusive. It may be a ripe occasion for policymakers and affected xii 0 0 interests to seek an approach to housing policy that is more workable, transparent, and straightforward, with measurable barometers of. substantive local success or failure.- In so doing, policymakers will need to resolve whether the major goal of such a law is a sheer increase in residential construction or an equitable distribution of affordable housing. Using a fair -share planning approach as a tool to encourage overall housing production may place an unrealistic burden on a relatively ftagile policy. xiu Contents Foreword...... .................. .............. m Summary...... ............................... v Figures....... .. ............................... xix Boxes........ ............................... xxi Tables ......... ......... ...................... xxm Acknowledgments . ............................... xxv 1. INTRODUCTION ........................... I Controversies over Local Governmenr Noncompliance with rhe Law . ............................... 2 Recenr Legislarive Proposals and Reform Efforts ......... 7 Plan of the Report ............................ 10 2. WHAT IS THE HOUSING ELEMENT LAW AND HOW HAS IT BEEN IMPLEMENTED? ............ 11 Introducrion: A Fair -Share Housing Law ............. 11 Origins: Housing as a New Componenr of Local Planning .. 13 The 1970s: Elaboration of the Housing Elemenr Requiremenr ............................ 14 The 1980s and 1990s: The Presenr Sysrem Takes Shape .... 16 Regional Allocation Process ...................... 16 Update Process for Local Housing Elements .......... 18 Growing Contentiousness over Housing Elemenr Requirements and Compliance ................. 21 Concerns over Lirigarion ....................... 22 Are Needs Met? ............................ 24 Concerns over Projections and Regional Allocarions ... 24 The Currenr Revision Cycle: The Controversy Cont inues .............................. 27' The Defense of Housing Elemenr Law ............... 30 Senare Bill 910 (2001 -02) ....................... 132 Conclusion ... ............................... 34 W 0 0 3. WHY DO SO MANY COMMUNITIES HAVE NONCOMPLIANT HOUSING ELEMENTS? ........ 35 Why Cities? . ............................... 35 Four Sets of Factors Potentially Affecting Compliance ..... 36 Community Social Status and Exclusion ............. 37 Local Land -Use Characteristics and Vacant Land ....... 38 The Resources of the Local Government ............. 40 Local Politics and Residential Growth Policies ......... 41 Timetable for Housing Element Updates Influences Compliance Status ......................... 43 Comparing Compliant and Noncompliant Cities: A 75 Preliminary Profile ........................ 44 Probing Further: A Statistical Model of Noncompliance .... 48 Key Findings of the Multivariate Analysis ............. 51 Some Caveats ............................... 53 Conclusion ... ............................... 55 4. DOES HOUSING ELEMENT COMPLIANCE MEAN THAT MORE HOUSING IS PRODUCED? .......... 57 Housing Element Compliance, Circa 1991 ............ 57 Measuring Housing Growth Rates Using Census Data ..... 59 Controlling for Other Factors ..................... 60 Results of the Analysis of Total Housing Unit Growth ..... 64 Analysis of Multifamily Development Using Construction Industry Data ............................ 65 The Mix of New Housing Development .............. 67 Reconciling These Findings ...................... 68 Conclusion .. ............................... 68 5. CAN STATES ENSURE ADEQUATE LOCAL PROVISION FOR HOUSING DEVELOPMENT? ...... 71 Alternative Approaches within the Context of the Current Housing Element Law ...... " ................ 71 More Penalties and Prescriptions for Local Governments .. 71 Self- Certification Based on Performance ............. 72 Subregional Allocations and Joint Housing Elements .... 73 Encouraging Transfers of Housing Allocations among Jurisdictions . .....:....................... 74 Another Approach: Rewards for Performance ......... 75 Xvi Relevant Experiences from Other States 76 New Jersey 76 Massachusetts ...:....................... 79 The Portland Region ......................... 82 Conclusion .. ............................... 84 6. CONCLUSION ............................. 87 Goals in Conflict ............................. 87 Equitable Distribution or Sheer Production? .......... 88 A Mandate in a Vacuum? ...................... 89 Devil in the Details ............................ 89 Appendix A. Multivariate Analyses. of Housing Element Noncompliance .. 91 B. Multivariate Analyses of the Rate and Mix of New Housing Production in the 1990s ......................... 95 Bibliography ... ............................... 101 About the Author 107 Related PPIC Publications .......................... 109. nii Figures 1. 1. Cities' Housing Element Compliance Status, as of September 25, 2002 ........................ 4 1.2. Counties' Housing Element Compliance Status, as of September 25, 2002 ........................ 5 4.1. Cities' Housing Element Compliance Status, as of December 31, 1991 58 xix 0 0 0 0 Boxes 1. 1. State Law: Does Housing Production Conflict with Other Goals? ............................. 9 2.1. A Creative Way to Help Meet Housing Goals ........ 30 2.2. A Housing Element Challenge in Folsom ........... 31 2.3. Other Important Provisions of SB 910, As Amended ... 34 Ell • • Tables 1. 1. Schedule for Third Revision of Local Housing Elements . ............................... 6 3.1. Comparison of Compliant and Noncompliant Cities in the San Diego, Southern California, San Francisco Bay Area, Fresno, Kem, and Sacramento Regions ..:..... 45 3.2. Comparison of Compliant and Noncompliant Cities in the Remainder of the State .................... 47. 3.3. Variables Used to Predict Housing Element Noncompliance ............................. 50 3.4. City Characteristics That Are Statistically Associated with Noncompliance ........................ 52 4.1. Percentage Growth Rates for Housing in Cities in the San Diego, Southern California, and San Francisco Bay Area Regions, 1990 -2000 ..................... 59 4.2. Comparison of Housing Development in Compliant and Noncompliant Cities in the San Diego, Southern California, and San Francisco Bay Area Regions ....... 60 A.1. .Logistic Models of Housing Element Noncompliance as of September 2002 ......................... 92 A.2. Summary Statistic for Continuous Variables in the Preceding Models .......................... 93 B.1. Regression Model of Housing Unit Growth in the 1990s; with County Fixed Effects ................ 96 B.2. Regression Model of Multifamily Development Growth in the 1990s, with County Fixed Effects ........... 97 B.3. Regression Model of Share of Housing Development That Is Multifamily, with County Fixed Effects ........ 98 B.4: Summary Statistics for Continuous Variables in the Preceding Models ............................ 99 IR 0 0 Acknowledgments I thank Professors Scott Bollens of UC Irvine and Dowell Myers of USC, as well as Tracy Gordon, Hans Johnson, Fred Silva, and Mark Baldassare of PPIC, for reading a drafr of this report and offering helpful suggestions. At the Department of Housing and Community Development, Deputy Director Cathy Creswell and her staff helped me understand the housing element process and obtain information. At an early stage of the project, Alex Amoroso (Association of Bay Area Governments), Mark Stivers (Senate Committee on Housing and Community Development), Peter Detwiler (Senate Local Government Committee), and Dan Flynn (California Assembly) also provided useful perspectives on the issues involved. Some of the data and information necessary for the analysts in this report were collected or prepared by Elisa Barbour, Khanh D. Bui, Rachel Flood, Hugh Louch, and Max Neiman. Peter Richardson and Joyce Peterson improved the prose and presentation. Although all of these people made important contributions, the author is solely responsible for any errors of fact or interpretation. 0 0 1. Introduction California is generally perceived as producing less housing than would be expected or desired judging by its population and job gains. The state's most recent statewide housing plan, fot example, finds that developers will need to produce an avetage of 220,000 housing units pet, year through 2020 to meet projected demand. Achieving such production levels will be a challenge, the plan notes, since even in tecent boom years only 150,000 or so new unirs received building petmim Since 1970, Califotnia has never produced 220,000 housing units for mote than two consecutive years (Myers, 2001, p. 388). The state plan, published by the Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), predicts that a continuation of current trends will lead to underproduction of needed housing by approximately 60 petcent— likely leading in turn to increasing home prices and tents as well as lower homeownetship rates (HCD, 2000, p. 3; Myers and Park, 2002). This lack of housing supply particulatly hurts the poor, who have difficulty in paying the price or tent premium that results from undersupply. Two of thtee low- income tentet households in California pay mote than half their income to put a toof over their heads (Little Hoover Commission, 2002, p. i): Some observers argue that local governments' lack of enthusiasm fot new housing in their communities is a large source of this problem, although evidence is far from definitive on.this point (see Lewis and Neiman, 2002). This report examines California's housing element law, the major means by which the state government tries to ensure that local land -use regulators are dealing with unmet housing needs and planning appropriately for new housing development. The state requites that each city and county write (and periodically revise) a general plan to guide its future growth. The housing element is one of the seven requited elements of the general plan; its purposes are to identify current and future local housing needs of all income groups and.to ensure the 0 0 preparation of a detailed schedule, consistent with broader community planning goals, for meeting such needs. The housing element is the only part of local general plans that is subject to substantial oversight by the state. The law provides that housing elements are to be revised every five years, although the legislature allowed localities to postpone their updates throughout the 1990s because of budgetary shortfalls. HCD, relying on Finance Department population projections, assigns a target number or goal for additional units to each region of the state. In a process called the Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA), the council of governments (a planning body representing the cities and counties in a given metropolitan area) must allocate this total number of housing units among the cities and unincorporated county areas in its region. HCD then reviews whether city and county housing plans conform with statutory requitements —in other words, whether the local housing elements seem likely to enable each community to meet its goal for new units. This report focuses on several key issues regarding this process of housing element revision and review. Among the topics analyzed are: . • California's implementation of the housing element law and how it compares with other states' approaches to local housing planning, • Which types of municipal governments fail to comply with the law, and • Whether local compliance appears to make a diffetence in terms of the rates of new housing development across cities. Controversies over Local Government Noncompliance with the Law The city and county housing element updates have become a battleground for state and local policymakets. Some state officials argue that local governments are not energetic enough in planning $t housing and are trying to deflect their fait share onto other jutisdictions. For their part, local officials often claim that the RHNA "quotas" that they have been assigned are poorly justified, unrealistic, and untesponsive to the physical limitations of their communities. "Typically, as soon as 0 0 these numbers are proposed, they, are challenged by local governments as far exceeding local realities," a representative of the League of California Cities writes (Carrigg, 2002). Local officials also argue that affordable housing production is stymied by both high land costs and the lack of state and federal funds for this purpose. This intergovernmental debate is hardly new. A decade ago, the previous round of housing element updates led to similar contentiousness and calls for reform (Jackson, 1994; Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993; Senate Committee:on Housing and Land Use, 1995). Once a local update has been drafted, HCD reviews it to gauge whether the plan can enable the targeted number of units — including specific amounts of low- and moderate -income housing. If so, HCD certifies the housing element. If not, the jurisdiction may change its plan to incorporate HCD's suggestions. But if the element is adopted without satisfying HCD =or fails to be updated at all —the city or county is regarded as "out of compliance." Noncompliant communities are ineligible for certain affordable housing programs administered by HCD, such as the federal Home Investment Partnerships Program and portions of the Community Development Block Grant program, and the state jobs /Housing Balance Improvement Incentive Grant. Noncompliant jurisdictions are also much more vulnerable to lawsuits on development matters. In some cases, judges have ordered noncompliant local governments to reftain from issuing any new building permits until the matter is resolved. Noncompliant housing elements make attractive legal targets for parties who seek to invalidate local land -use or redevelopment decisions---even though some of these parties are pursuing ends that do nor always support housing development (Richards, Watson & Gershon, 1998; Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, pp. 73 -74). Thus, although HCD reviews of local housing elements are officially "advisory," most cities and counties go to some length to achieve the department's certification, especially since the law instructs judges to presume a local housing element legally valid if it has been certified by HCD (Warner et al., 1997). Compliance with housing element law is certainly not universal. As of September 25, 2002, about one -third of all cities and more than one- fifth of all counties have had their housing elements . judged noncompliant by HCD staff, and some have been so for many years. Other localities are overdue in submitting their draft housing elements to HCD, which also renders them noncompliant with the law (see Figures 1..1 and 1.2). At some points in the past, large majorities of jurisdictions in the state have been noncompliant. The disappointing levels of compliance among counties and especially cities have led housing advocates and some state legislators to argue that some localities are sidestepping their responsibility to ameliorate the shelter needs of Californians. Since housing has long been treated as a matter of statewide concern by the state legislature acid the courts, the potential for intergovernmental conflict is high. State officials Self -cerh 1% Housing element due 5% :ompllance 33% Figure 1.1— Cities' Housing Element Compliance Status, as of September 25, 2002 In col Housing element due Under review by 5% Figure 1.2— Counries' Housing Memet r Compliance Status, as of September 25, 2002 periodically seek ways ro beef up compliance with housing elemenr law or penalize noncomplianr local governments, whereas local officials seek ro prorect local autonomy over land use— long .one of the major pillars of home rule —and complain of distanr stare aurhoriries who fail ro understand local realiries. In the currenr period, California communiries have been undertaking the third revision of the required local housing elements. To reduce the burdens on HCD in reviewing local housing elements, the law specifies a staggered schedule of housing elemenr updates.. In 1999, San Diego was the firsr region where localiries were required ro update rheir plans. In 2000 and 2001, the process rook place in the Sourhern California region and the San Francisco Bay Area. The requiremenr mended ro the Fresno, Bakersfield, and Sacramenro regions in mid- 2002, and to the rest of the state's regions by the end of 2003 (see Table 1.1). In discussing compliance, this study uses the September 25, 2002, report on local compliance status from HCD, except where noted. The Table 1.1 Schedule for Third Revision of Local Housing Elements Counties Affected (Includes all Cirics Council of Governments %thin Each County) Revision Dace San Diego Association of Governments San Diego December 31, 1999 Southern California Association of Imperial December 31, 2000 Gwernmcnts Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino Ventura Association of Bay Area Governments Alameda December 31, 2001 . Comm Carta Main Napa San Francisco San Mateo Santa Clan Solmo Sonoma Council of Fresno County Government Fresno June 30, 2002 Kern County Council of Governments Kern June 30, 2002 Sacramento Area Council of Sacramento June 30, 2002 Governments Suner Yolo Yuba (plus dries of Lincoln, Rocklin, and Roseville in Placer County) Association of Monterey Bay Area Montaq December 31, 2002 Governments Santa Cruz An other local governments All remaining D=mber 31, 2003 SOURCES: HCD websiw,, 2001 California Sa utes, Chapter 85. 0 0 compliance status of individual jurisdictions can change as new tevisions ate submitted and HCD reviews them. t At present, although the state's major metropolitan areas have already gone through the third round of housing element updates, other parts of the state are at an earlier stage of the process, and their compliance status. in many cases teflects the. outcomes of the prior round of updates io the early 1990s. These timing issues will become important in the statistical analysis of local compliance status in Chapter 3. Recent Legislative Proposals and Reform Efforts All groups are dissatisfied with current hawing element requirements. " —Staff report for Senate Committee on Local Government (1993) Housing advocates have long argued that sanctions should be stronger and that housing lawneeds mote emphasis on results and less on process. Senate Bill 910, which passed the state senate in 2001 but died in the assembly, would have requited that the state controllet fine noncompliant cities. In its otiginal, mote punitive form, the bill would have widened penalties for noncompliant jurisdictions to include ineligibility for certain state transportation funds and directed state courts to presume that noncompliant housing elements are invalid. As a result, that bill would have opened up such jurisdictions to mote litigation from housing tights' organizations and developers. Discussing the original version of the.bill, a nonprofit housing developer argued that transportation funds were used "as a bargaining chip, because, frankly, why should a city get money for transportation projects to make travel easier if it isn't going to provide housing? It seems to me that the two components should have always worked together" (quoted in Bishop and Matema, 2001). Proponents of the bill also argued that the tougher state tequitements could lead to a 'good cop, bad cop" relationship that would help local officials argue against I Readcrs can view the most recent compliance status report ax http: / /www.hccLm. gov /hpdA=/plan/he/stanmpdf. neighborhood opposition to affotdable and other housing projects. One developer said, "I think the local politicians will be relieved of the controversy that seems to suttound residential development, because they will defet to state mandate" (quoted in Bishop and Matetna, 2001). Some central city interest groups also supported the bill as a way to prompt suburban jurisdictions to share more of the burden of affordable housing. Opponents — including some legislators —saw the original bill as too punitive in its approach to local governments. The League of California Cities also argued that other state and federal mandates and policies hinder the ability of localities to accommodate additional housing. These mandates and policies include agricultural land pteservation efforts, endangered species rules, and open space acquisition putchases (see Box 1.1). Although SB 910 attracted the largest amount of attention, a number of other bills proposing changes in the housing element process were considered in the 2001 -02 legislative session. For example, SB 2292 (Dutra), which was recently signed into law, requires that local governments retain the residential zoning densities that they refer to in their approved housing elements., Cities and counties that "downzone" (teduce the allowable density of) residential land must transfer the "lost" density elsewhere in the community to make up for the loss in potential housing units. SB 1634 (Figueroa) would have tequited that regional planning councils, in making RHNA allocations to local governments, seek to improve the geographic balance of employment and housing in each region. AB 2863 (Longville), supported by the League of California Cities and the California State Association of Counties, would have eased definitions of "substantial compliance" under the housing element law and broadened the definition of what constitutes a "residential unit" that can count toward fulfilling a localiry's housing goals. Howevet, neither SB 1634 not AB 2863 was ever given a committee hearing, and both. bills died. . In reaction to the flurry of proposed legislation, a group of lawmakers and stakeholders, calling itself the Housing Element Reform Working Group, began meeting in Sacramento to discuss possible revisions to the law. The working group included interested legislators Box 1.1 State Law: Does Housing Production Conflict with Other Goals? The slate housing element law calls on cities and counties to adopt plans and zoning that can accommodate their projected housing needs. However, stale law also includes other requirements that may constrain the ability of localities to accommodate housing (bishop and Materna, 2001; Carrigg, 2002; Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995). For example: • Habitat conservation plans for threatened and endangered spades cover millions of acres in California. • Williamson Act contracts, which grant lower property tax assessments to farm owners who agree to restrict their land to agriculture or related open space activities, cover about one -third of all privately held land In the state. • To receive a subdivision map, builders of housing developments of greater than 500 units must demonstrate that there will be sufficient water supply in the area far the next 20 years. • The California Coastal Commission exercises additional land -use authority In she coastal zone. • Cities and counties are also required to plan for transportation and congestion management, air qualat5 and seismic safety; each of these.goals may conflict with the desire to construct more housing in a given area. • Cities wishing to annex land for additional housing development must have the annexation approved by the Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO). By stale law, LAFCOs are charged with ensuring efficient service delivery patterns and must work toward restricting discontiguous development. • Slgnificanl deveopmenl projects, and govemment actions that may encourage development are subject to lengthy environmental Impact reviews . and possible litigation under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). At the stale level, determination of housing needs and allocations are given a statutory exemption from CEQA. But cities and counties updating their housing element are given no such exemption. and staff along with important stakeholders such as the League of California Cities, regional councils of governments, and the California Building Industry Association. The group attempted to move toward greater consensus on various issues and disputes relating to housing element preparation and review. Many of their ideas became part of SB 910 as it was amended in the assembly (to be discussed in Chapter 2). Legislators involved in the discussions agreed to hold all relevant housing element bills in committee until the reform working group had a chance to move toward agreement on some basic reforms. But consensus proved elusive. Plan of the Report With policy reforms under discussion and concerns about housing production high, the time is ripe for serious study of housing element compliance. To introduce the issues and institutions involved, Chapter 2 traces the history of the housing element law in California, discusses its challenges and controversies, and summarizes the current housing element process. . Chapter 3 examines why jurisdictions fail to submit housing elements that are acceptable to HCD. For example, some communities have argued that state or regional projections fail to reflect powerful local realities, such as a lack of vacant land on which to accommodate housing. Other observers argue that local noncompliance more frequently reflects an aversion to new housing — particularly affordable units --on the part of upper - income communities. Antigrowth policies or regulations — sometimes imposed on local governments by their vote__ are also seen as a culprit. Still another possibility is that many jurisdictions fail to meet the housing element requirement because they lack the requisite planning capacity or experience. Chapter 4 addresses the relationship of housing element compliance to housing production. Is it true that compliant jurisdictions add housing — particularly multifamily development —at a faster rate, after one rakes into account other local characteristics that affect the level of housing production? Although the housing element law involves a requirement to plan rather than to build housing, it presumably was passed under the premise that effective housing planning would lead to more residential production. Chapter 5 discusses reforms that have frequently been suggested for housing element law and compares California's experiences and rules to those of other states that review local housing planning and have fair - share requirements, such as Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Oregon. A brief consideration of the experiences of these other states in pursuing similar policy goals may be instructive at this important juncture in the legislative history of housing elements in California. Finally, Chapter 6 offers concluding observations and calls for a reconsideration of California's approach to local housing production. to 2. What Is the Housing Element Law and How Has It Been Implemented? This chapter presents a policy history of the housing element law in California and discusses how the policy is currently carried out. After offering a brief introduction to the purposes of the housing element law, I focus on its origins and development, the process by which it has been implemented, and ongoing debates regarding its effectiveness and possible reforms. Housing element policy had a somewhat inauspicious start in the state, and its processes and institutional responsibilities were not fully worked out for approximately a decade following the 1969 passage of the law. Once the law began to take its present shape, an .extended policy debate ensued, often pitting local governments and advocates of local flexibility against HCD, homebuilders, and affordable housing advocates. This stalemate has continued to the current day, with the state now in the midst of the third wave of mandated updates of local housing elements. Introduction: A Fair -Share Housing Law Enacted in 1969, the original housing element law requires that all cities and counties in California engage in detailed planning to meet their housing needs. Housing elements do not, in and of themselves, cause new housing to be built, as this activity rests with private developers (or nonprofit builders of affordable housing). Rather, the housing element process is intended to focus the attention of dry policymakers on policy actions that they might take to make it easier or less expensive for additional housing units to be built. For example, local plans may call for reducing or eliminating fees on affordable housing construction, rewarding developers of certain types of projects by allowing them to build at higher densities than would otherwise be permitted, or requiring that all housing developments above a certain size reserve a portion of units for low- or moderate - income households. The housing element requitement is sometimes referred to as a "fait - share" housing law. A number of other states and metropolitan areas have developed fait -share housing legislation, with the term generally refitting to a regional process by which each local community works to accommodate a fait proportion of the region's housing need. Fait -share plans "determine where housing, especially low- and moderate -income units, should be built within a region according to such criteria as placing housing where it will expand housing opportunity, where it is most needed, and where it-is most suitable" (Listokin, 1976, p. 1). Jurisdictional fait -share goals are typically defined using a formula that includes such factors as gtowth rates in households and jobs, socioeconomic status measures, and often some measure of the local carrying capacity fot new housing. From 1977 to 1983, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) offeted matching funds to regions that engaged in the creation of Areawide Housing Opportunity Plans (Btownlow, 1991, p. 1).l California was an early innovator in the fait -share housing field. Its law on the topic is mote than three decades old, although it did not take its current, relatively strict form until 1980. Unlike in some states with fait -share approaches, in California housing production itself has received as much emphasis as the geographic distribution of housing for lowet- income.families. This state's broader notion of fait share probably has resulted from its long- standing problem of housing affordability and underproduction, which limits the opportunities not only of the poor but also of the middle class (Calavita, Grimes, and Mallach, 1997). Thus, the fait -shate approach taken by California allocates among localities goals not only for l In 1968, Congress required that Federal planning subsidies for metropolitan planning be contingent on preparation of a regional housing plan, which led many urban regions to develop early fair -share plans. By die 1970s, many housing activists argued that fait -share plan adoption should be required for cities of regions to qualify for federal housing subsidies. HUD did nor: requite this, but did award subsidy bonuses for metropolitan areas that developed fait-share plans (Llstokin, 1976, pp� xvi, 6)• 12 subsidized or "affordable" units but also for moderate - income and `above moderate" units —that is, the entire projected housing need. The philosophy behind such allocation strategies is to serve as a warning to localities to readjust their zoning ordinance if it does not allow for their allocated growth share. The units also scree as a growth management technique alerting communities to the level of future growth they can expect and enabling them to plan properly to handle development (Usmkin, 1976, p.. 169). In addition, because there is a widespread perception among local officials in California that housing development is fiscally burdensome, the state has used housing element law as a way to encourage planning for balanced land -use development —that is, attention to residential as well as commercial development. Some argue that the state's system for financing local governments encourages the opposite, since cities' dependence on local sales tax revenues, and lack of control over property tax allocation, may cause local policymakers to favor retail development over housing. Origins: Housing as a New Component of Local Planning Until 1969, land use and circulation, (transportation) were the only elements.of local general plans required by California law. Housing, along with other topics such as open space, was sometimes dealt with in optional general plan elements by ambitious cities and counties. In 1969, then- Assemblymember Pete VViIson successfully carried a bill to require that each city and county prepare a housing element. This law made local housing a mandatory element of local general planning and required that HCD develop guidelines for local governments to follow in preparing housing elements. In 1971, legislation was added requiring that localities follow HCD guidelines for the preparation of housing elements.2 2According to the Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs (1974, p. 59), the change to the smmre was necessary because the 1969 law "had inadvertently referred to these `mandato ry guideline as 'regulations,' and the attorney general interpreted this as requiring that regulations be adopted" in accordance with the state's cumbctsorare riles on administrative procedures. Such rule- making would be interpreted as a state mandate 13 0 1 0 In 1970, additional legislation passed requiring that HCD prepare a statewide housing element; such action was necessary for the state to take advantage of federal funds for comprehensive planning assistance. The law required that HCD develop one- and five -year housing development goals "needed to house all residents of this state" (quoted in Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs, 1974, p. 50). Notably, however, this activity was organized separately from the more comprehensive statewide planning efforts of the Office of Planning and Research. The 197Os:. Elaboration of the Housing Element Requirement In the early years of the housing element requirement, the state government devoted little in the way of resources or attention to guiding or evaluating local housing plans. Governor Ronald Reagan's administration, for example, was see n as unenthusiastic about the very existence of the Department of Housing and Community Development, and it tried unsuccessfully to merge it with other state agencies (Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs, 1974). Budgetary commitments to housing element activities (and to HCD generally) were low during this period. HCD budgeted only $17,000 —the equivalent of one full -time employee —to updating the statewide housing element. in 1974 -75, for example, and approximately two- thirds of HCD's small budget was devoted to inspection of manufactured housing. A senate select committee complained that HCD had had little public input into the preparation of the statewide housing element. Moreover, it maintained that HCD had refused to purchase Census data that would allow detailed computation of housing needs for each locality. The committee also pushed the department to separate the issue of production goals for the state from the problem of affordability that would requite teimbursement of the local housing element process. Since the legislature had appropriated no money for local housing element preparation, HCD had concluded that it could not adopt 'regulations.* 14 • . • shortfalls for low- income residents (Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs, 1974, pp. 54 -55). Furthermore, HUD complained that California's statewide housing element performance was "less than exemplary," as the state had prepared.only a draft needs analysis and work program by October 1973 (Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs, 1974, p. Al2): This document called, for the production of 225,000 units per year statewide, as well as rehabilitation and replacement efforts for existing housing. At this time, the League of California Cities was calling for an augmented planning role for HCD, in coordination with housing planning that local governments were undertaking. "We believe that the future of DHCD ... must include a strengthening, rather than a weakening, of its functions.. In the area of housing, its role should embody an institurionalization of a strong state role in helping to provide for the housing needs of all segments of the people of California" (Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs, 1974, p. A19). A 1975 law (AB IM called upon HCD to adopt housing element guidelines and to review dry and county housing elements, resulting in a set of detailed standards in 1977. These guidelines stressed the regional fair -share concept (Warner et al., 1997; Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p• 18). During the administration of Governor Jerry Brown (1975 - 1983), statewide planning, including housing planning, became more active and central to the mission of the administration. Arnold Stemberg, Brown's director of Housing and Community Development, had represented low- income advocacy groups as an attorney, and he took advantage of the provisions in the housing element law allowing the department to develop guidelines for the implementation and enforcement of the statute. The department also took a more aggressive posture toward the fair -share goals implied in housing element law, by which each local government is expected to help solve regional housing shortfalls, particularly for low - and moderate - income households. 15' The 1980s and 1990s: The Present System Takes Shape A new law, Chapter 1143 of the Statutes of 1980, resolved the issue of HCD oversight. HCD's guidelines were deemed as advisory, but localities were requited to consider HCD comments before adopting the local housing element (Warner et al., 1997; Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, P. 18). Local housing elements were requited to a include a needs analysis, a discussion of resources and constraints in meeting those needs, statements of goals and specific policies regarding housing, as well as quantified objectives tot construction, conservation, and rehabilitation to move toward the goal. `This mandate aims at ensuting that each community accepts responsibility for the housing needs of not only the resident population but also of those households who might reasonably be expected to live within the jurisdiction were a variety and choice of housing appropriate to their needs available" (HCD, 1988, p. 1). In other words; the concept of fait share was fully enshrined in state law (Senate Committee on Housing and Lend Use, 1995, p. 25). This statute also introduced the local duty to review and update local housing elements every five years (Richards, Watson & Gershon, 1998). Regional Allocation Process The regional allocation of housing needs was also developed much mote fully during this period. HCD began to assign housing goals to each region, using state Department of Finance projections regarding future household growth. HCD adjusts these goals to account for the amount of vacant housing in the region and the expected need for replacement units. HCD also takes into account advisory comments from the region's council of governments (COG), an association of city and county officials that is responsible for regional planning. Each COG then prepares a regional housing needs assessment. In. rural parts of the state that lack COGS, HCD itself performs the RHNA analysis. The first two mandated cycles of the RHNA were in 1981 and in 1984 -1986 (HCD, 1988). The stated reasons for the regional needs 16 • . • assessment are to allow consideration of regional issues, distribute responsibilities equitably among jurisdictions, and relieve local governments of some of their data - gathering burdens (HCD. 1988, p. 4). The RHNA process is specifically exempted from the California Environmental Quality Act. The regional housing need is pegged to at least the level of projected household growth, although "major economic events" may justify a . revision to a lower number (HCD, 1988, p. 11). Under the stature, several factors must be considered in the COG's allocation of housing growth goals to specific localities: • Market demand for housing (vacancy rates, housing prices, household structure, construction, absorption, etc.), • Employment opportunities (current and projected), • Availability of suitable sites (including residentially zoned as well as nonresidentially zoned land that could be used, and the possibility of redevelopment for housing or for increased densities of housing), • Availability of services (including current and future capacity, transportation, medical and recreational facilities, etc.), Commuting patterns (time, length, transit availability), • Type and tenure of housing need (including a consideration of special populations, such as large households, the elderly, students, and the military), and .• Farmworker housing needs. Planners are also directed to avoid aggravating existing concentrations of low -income households in certain commtmitics. The reasoning HCD cites for this requirement presents an interesting perspective on housing development: The basic philosophy behind housing element law is that citizens of all economic levels should have the opportunity to live where they choose in deem% safe, and sanitary housing.... Some CODs have adopted [allocations) which plan lot the same percentages of households in each income group in each locality. This apptoach is based on the position that all areas are equally suitable fot each income group. The apptoach also reflects the view that the 17 0 current income difference bctween localities reflect the effects of put governmental actions, such owning and capital improvements planning, and that housing opportunities for underreptesenred income groups should be promotcd in governmental planning activities WD, 1988, pp. 23 -24). In other words, the regional needs assessment is to be used not only to help enable the production of needed amounts of housing in a region but also as a device to redistribute the burdens of lower - income households more equitably across geographic areas. It is likely that many of the controversies over housing element development are rooted in the desire of some localities to preserve their existing character, while their COG and HCD attempt to move them toward a mix of residents more representative of the entire region. Still, HCD guidelines do point out that in larger and more complex regions, there may be good reasons to deviate from the general goal of having each jurisdiction approximate the diversity of its region. For example, HCD (1988, p. 24) notes that the age and differentiation of the larger regions often lead to geographic clusterings of socioeconomic groups, such as retirement communities and college- student neighborhoods. It is important to note, however, that the actual weighting scheme in evaluating these various factors is to be designed by the COG itself (HCD, 1988, pp. 20-21; Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995, p. 5). In short,, there has been no uniform, required method for assigning housing goals to local governments. Update Process for Local Housing Elements A locality may revise its need ftom the number given to it by the COG, but the city of county is required to cite findings, backed by data, to justify its revised goal. "A local revision may be used in a locality's housing element even if the COG. has disapproved it. In such a case, however, DHCD may be less likely to consider the element to be in compliance with the housing element law" (HCD, 1988, p. 14). A city or county housing element must provide analysis of local housing needs, resources, and constraints relevant to the production of housing, and a five -year polity program detailing actions that the local government plans to take to address its housing needs. Although there is a great deal of local discretion in preparing housing elements, there are 18 also 'elaborate statutory provisions" to comply with, which is not the case for other portions of the general plan (Curtin, 2000, p. 10). The state's interest in local housing elements has been justified by the fact that housing is enshrined in state law as a matter of vital statewide importance. In determining housing needs, local planners must consider data regarding the existing number of households and housing units, the number of households overpaying for housing, and overcrowding, rehabilitation, and replacement needs. The local government must provide an estimate of various households considered to have special needs, such as the disabled, senior citizens, large households, farmworkers, female- headed families, and homeless persons. The city or county is also required to note any existing assisted - housing projects that may be at risk of losing their subsidized status during the time period covered by the housing element update. For many communities, identifying a sufficient physical capacity to accommodate projected housing needs is a major challenge. Localities are required to provide a detailed land inventory, summarizing the number of acres zoned for various types of residential development (single - family, multifamily, mobile homes, emergency shelter, farmworker housing, and mixed use) and for nonresidential uses. Local planners must specify the density range and dwelling unit capacity for these various zones and include information on the availability of services and infrastructure (HCD, n.d.). The local government's five -year action plan must identify a sufficient set of potential sites for future housing development that could accommodate the community's need "by right" —that is, without requiring a conditional -use permit or imposing vague conditions on potential homebuilders.3 HCD advises local officials that although a shortage of buildable land may make accommodating new housing units more complicated, it does not relieve a locality of its responsibility to provide adequate sites for new residential development. "If a locality does not have sufficient 3A conditional -use permit allows specified land uses (e.g., a mobile home park) in areas zoned for other types of uses (e.g., single -family homes), subject to additional local government discretion. 19 9 0. existing suitable sites to meet these needs, programs such as changes in land use, annexation, upzoning, or a second unit ordinance would be appropriate" (HCD, 1988, p. 53). Redevelopment policy and infrastructure improvements are also to be addressed as possible ways increase development potential (Rawson, 2000). From the standpoint of local officials, however, other policy considerations may conflict with such intensification of land uses, such as a lack of water or sewer capacity (often not under the control of the city or county), traffic congestion, conflicts with existing industrial activities, or seismic hazards. Each city and unincorporated county area, then, faces a housing element update in which it is expected to plan for construction needs and produce quantified objectives for housing units over the next five years. These objectives are further categorized by household income: • Very low (0 to 50 percent of regional median income), • Other lower (50 to 80 percent), Moderate (80 to 120 percent), and • Above moderate (120 percent or higher). The number of needed units so identified, however, "are simply goals, not mandated acts" (Curtin, 2000, p. 11). In other words, a local housing element is hardly a self - enforcing policy and does not, in itself, create or mandate new housing. Nevertheless, the housing element statute does require that local planners address governmental constraints on the development of housing for all income levels. For example, zoning and land -use controls, building codes, developer fees, and permit procedures must be discussed, as well as local government plans to overcome or reduce public- sector barriers to housing production (Rawson, 2000). Local planners must also assess "nongovernmental constraints ".to housing production, such as land and construction costs and.the availability of financing. Finally, a set of miscellaneous topics noted in the statute must be addressed, including efforts to involve the public in the housing element update, the potential for energy conservation in new housing development, and consistency with other elements of the general plan. Going beyond a listing of objectives, the housing element must derail what programs and policies the local government foresees undertaking to 20 implement the plan, including efforts to provide sufficient sites for all types of housing (which may involve changes in zoning or subdivision requirements), participation in state and federal subsidy programs for affordable housing, incentives and regulatory concessions for residential developments, efforts to conserve the existing affordable housing stock and preserve units that are at risk of losing their subsidies, programs to promote equal housing opportunities, and efforts to address and remove governmental constraints on housing construction (HCD, n.d.). The city or county must send a draft of its housing element to HCD for review and consider the department's findings on the draft. The department `considers the element to be in compliance only if every one of the statutory requirements is met" (HCD, 1991, p. 1). After the city council or county board of supervisors officially adopts the housing element, HCD again reviews it for its compliance with the law.4 Because of the detailed requirements of the statute, housing elements are subject to close scrutiny by the courts (Curtin, 2000, p. 27). Growing Contentiousness over Housing Element Requirements and Compliance During the late 1980s and early 1990s, when local governments were completing housing element updates, grassroots opposition to growth and development burgeoned in many parts of California, particularly in coastal regions. In this atmosphere, writing plans that focused on how to accommodate more housing became an increasingly contentious process. Compliance with the housing element law, as measured by HCD's certification of city and county revisions, has been spotty at best. In 1991, only 19 percent of localities were certified as being in compliance by the department, although this proportion grew to 37 percent by 1993 4Even if the department give$ the opinion that the draft elcmcnt complies with the law, the city or county must officially adopt the clement before the jurisdiction is considered to be in compliance Although most local governments in such a situation quickly adopt the approved draft element, some communities dclay in their adoption or decide to submit a new draft to reflex new local concerns or political changes. 21 and to 52 percent by 1995 (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993; Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995). The greatly increased rates of compliance were traceable in large part to an active program of technical assistance, combined with legal pressure, by HCD. HCD worked with the attorney general's office to inform 47 delinquent localities that their housing element revisions were overdue and that they faced possible legal action. According to Timothy Coyle, then- director of HCD, "Many communities around the state ... had failed to submit any evidence of a local housing element for, in some cases, as many as 15 years" (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 32). Still, as Coyle and others affirmed, some of those noncompliant jurisdictions had actually experienced rapid rates of housing development, including affordable housing: Thus, the procedural burden of preparing a housing element may have been the major obstacle for many of these communities in their lack of compliance. Coyle told a Senate committee, "You can draw no correlation between housing element compliance and housing production" (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 37). Nevertheless, two years later Coyle testified that the jurisdictions that were in compliance accounted for a disproportionate percentage of the building permits issued in the state — particularly multifamily permits (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995, p. 31; see also Little Hoover Commission, 2002, p. 18). Concmu over Litigation According to some observers, a fear of litigation is a major motivator for local governments in expending time and resources on housing elements. Not only housing advocates but also growth opponents, and sometimes school districts and other overlapping jurisdictions, have used noncompliant housing elements as a litigation strategy in seeking to overturn local land -use decisions. The planning director of Long Beach testified in 1993 that the housing element "is the only element that is prepared defensively, rather than as a guide to local policy and decision - making. In most cities, the housing element is prepared as a joint effort by the city attorney and the planning department to make slue that the 22 • 0 document is defensible in court" (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 62). The penalties for localities can be seiious.5 Nevertheless, it is important to point out that Section 65589.3 of the Housing Element statute is an important line of defense for local governments that have received HCD certification of their housing elements. Added in 1990, this section establishes the "rebuttable presumption" that HCD's finding of compliance means that the locality has drawn up a legally valid plan for its housing. In a legal case, the housing element law requites only "substantial compliance," rather than perfection, which according to attorney Michael Colantuono "does a good job of protecting localities from frivolous challenges to their housing elements" (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p• 37). Because courts have sometimes found localities to be in substantial compliance even when HCD has failed to certify their housing elements, some observers have suggested that HCD's teview is mote stringent than necessary under the law. After the second round of housing element revisions, and the suspension of housing element funding in the 1992 -93 state budget, a variety of interest groups began an effort to reform the housing element statute. Two major legislative hearings were held, with many voices ctiticizing the existing policy regime (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993; Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995). Reform discussions were geared at streamlining the planning process for housing elements and making the RHNA process mote attuned to local government concerns and capacity for growth. These discussions also emphasized perfermmce in accommodating housing rather than the process of housing element planning (Wanner et al., 1997). Nevertheless, aside from some relatively minor new legislation, 5 "A prudent locality can manage this risk only by keeping its housing element up to date and building a voluminous record to ensure the element is legally defensible. Those communities which have failed m do so, often for budgetary reasons, have run significant tisks and some have paid a significant price.... If a city loses such a case.... its land -use authority will be suspended... , it will have Just 120 days to prepare a new dement often necessitating the retention of consultants, and it will likely pay not only its own legal fees, but those of its opponents.... During the preparation of a new element, nothing gets built, not even housing, without a court order. . . ." (Michael Colanmono, quoted in Senate Committee on Local Government 1993, pp. 75-76, legal citations omined.) 23 0 1 0 "six years of reform discussions led nowhere," and no major reforms cleared the legislature (Richards, Watson & Gershon, 1998). . Are Needs Met? Local governments tend to miss their housing unit goals, often by a wide margin. In particular, the low-and moderate - income segments of housing needs are typically unmet —not surprisingly given the frequent need for deep subsidies to fund such projects. In 1988, for example, the Bay Area Council, a business group, found that only one of the nine counties in the San Francisco Bay Area was on pace to attain even half its goals for production of low - and moderate - income units (even using a generous definition of affordable units). Napa County experienced a production of only 52 affordable units between 1980 and 1988, compared to a specified need of 3,906 units (Bay Area Council, 1988b). A more recent study of 40 fast- growing Bay Area jurisdictions found that only 34 percent of affordable housing goals were met in those communities with certified housing elements; only 9 percent of affordable housing goals were met in noncompliant jurisdictions (Dodge, 2002). Thus, the preparation of housing elements, whether compliant or not, is no guarantee that needed housing units will be built. Many fewer units may be approved, or even proposed, whether due to shifting demand, homebuilder preferences to build fewer and more expensive units, land prices in excess of what builders wish to pay, or government actions that reduce project size for reasons not contemplated in the housing element. Concerns over Projections. and Regional Allocations The regional, allocation of housing needs has also become the subject of increasing debate and conflict in-recent decades. Some of the concerns relate to the projections used as the basis for regional and local housing goals. A 1995 analysis by senate committee staff echoed the concerns of many COG personnel and local officials in observing that the. Department of Finance's projections "are strictly mechanical and do not consider local planning factors such as local growth policies, habitat 24 L preservat ion, clean air, and traffic congestion" (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995, p. 19). In the current round of revisions, some commentators further argue that the Department of Finances projections of population increase and household formation--- and, thus, projected housing needs —may be too high because of the tendency of new immigrants to have larger households .6 Another potential problem with the projections is the likelihood of decreasing birthrates among women in Latino and Asian groups in post - immigrant generations (Hill and Johnson, 2002). Over time and across generations, Latino families more closely approximate die trends among white and African American families toward fewer children, fewer persons per household, and more homeownership. Overall, the complex changes in California's demography are consistent with any number of very different arguments about future housing needs (Myers, 2001). Some local officials have argued that population projections in regional transportation plans (mostly drawn up by COGS) should be the basis of housing need calculations, but existing state law requires the use of Department of Finance projections in preparing local housing elements. Some celebrate the flexibility of COGS in weighting factors differently in the RHNA process; others see this as an example of inconsistency that merits further state guidelines (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995, p•.23). One criticism leveled at COGS involves their projections of future increases in jobs —upon which housing needs are, in part, based. Some of this criticism has come from 6Some observers daim that large household sizes are due to 'doubling up" in otherwise unaffordable housing, but even when controlling for income, foreign -horn Latinos live in significantly larger households (i.e., more persons in the housing unit) than the native-born (Myers, 2001, p. 389). Moreover, household crowding is explained almost entirely by demographic factors (such as nativity and poverty), whereas local housing market conditions have little relationship to crowding (Moller, Johnson, and Darr ia, 2002). In brief, immigrant households, particularly among Latinos, are much more likely to be crowded, measured as more than one person per room. This is a major. isms for housing needs assessment, since local governments must examine data on local housing crowding in assessing their current need for additional units. As Myers (2001, p. 392) [totes, 'Crowded housing highlights the dilemma for planners. If the situation is not viewed as a problem by the affected cultural group, should planners still treat it as a problem ?" 25 advocates of increased housing production. In the 1980s, for example, the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) projected that the nine - county Bay Area would add about 473,000 new jobs between 1988 and 1995. On that basis, the Bay Area Council argued, ABAG's regional housing goal of 288,000 over that period was about 50,000 units too low, assuming a standard of 1.4 workers pet household (Bay Area Council, 1988a). However, from the standpoint of local governments, job growth projections are sometimes seen as unrealistically high. Some local officials have called for a mediation process as part of the RHNA procedure, possibly with some third party evaluating disputes between local governments and COGS regarding the allocation of housing goals (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 2). Some objections to RHNA outcomes ate the result of disagreement with the decisionmaking of COGS, which ultimately reflects a political process. One ctitic argued that COG allocation processes allow objections by local governments after the initial allocation, but the communities that can do the staff work to mount a serious objection tend to be large cities with large staff resources. In this case, the objection continues, the unwanted units are likely to be reallocated to smaller and politically weaker communities, which are often older, pootet, or built -out inner suburbs (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995, pp. 56-57). The zeto -sum quality of RHNA allocations puts COGS, which are constituted.as cooperative organizations of local governments, in a difficult position. They ate left to carry out a state mandate while still feeling pressure from their local government members who feel that their housing allocations are excessive. HCD officials have said that the COG is the level at which intraregional disputes should be worked out, but given their weak political basis, most COGS have not been able to take a strong, autonomous approach. "Without independent authority, regional agencies have little wherewithal to overcome fundamental conflicts between local and statewide intetests" (Barbour, 2002, p. 65). Or, as a senior planner fot the Association of Bay Area Governments put it, 'From ABAG's perspective, the process has been a serious political liability for a voluntary membership organization" (Senate Committee on local Government, 1993, p. 48). 26 Assembly Bill 438 (Totlakson), signed into law in 1998, does allow ,the RHNA process to be further decentralized within a region. If a county and all the cities within it (or a joint powers authority or subtegional agency established by the COG) request to undertake the allocation of housing goals within a subregion, then the COG is obliged to turn that responsibility over to this smaller body, after assigning the subregion its proportionate share of the region's housing goal. This option has not yet been widely utilized, perhaps because of time constraints dutng the current cycle of housing element revisions (see Richards, Watson & Gershon, 1999). The Current Revision Cycle: The Controversy Continues Concerns about the housing element law were never fully tesolved after the previous round of housing element updates ended in the early 1990s. But the topic largely fell ftom the tadat screen in the middle of the decade, because of the state's difficulty in emerging from the recession and its associated budget problems. With state funding of housing element activity postponed during the period of budget exigencies, requited housing element update activity was suspended for six fiscal years, from 1992 -93 until being resumed in 1998 -99. Stopgap legislation was passed during this period to extend the deadlines for regions and localities to undertake their updates. When the process started up again, however, the old disagreements quickly resurfaced, even as housing problems in much of the state had become mote acute. According to planning expert William Fulton (1999, p. 114), "Most people involved in the housing element ptocess agree that the law is ineffective: it is overly bureaucratic and exacting, has too many loopholes, and even a good housing,element is no guarantee that affordable housing will actually be built in any given community. But attempts to reform the law have failed repeatedly in recent years." One of the political tensions involved in housing element policy, Fulton argues, is standoffbetween housing interests (both for - profit developers and antipoverty nonprofits), who are prominent and influential at the state level, and local governments, who often see the 27 housing element law as unwarranted and clumsy meddling by state government in home rule, since land -use policy has long been the almost exclusive purview of local governments. Many local officials did not look forward to another cycle of revisions of local housing elements. In fact, both the League of California Cities and the California State Association of Counties opposed funding the RHNA mandate at all unless the statute was reworked; in turn, the governing board of the state's largest COG, the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG), voted to oppose state funding for the RHNA unless the local jurisdictions of the region no longer opposed it (Richards, Watson & Gershon, 1998). RHNA was funded despite these protests. After SCAG completed its allocation process in 2000, local governments in Riverside and San Bernardino Counties sued HCD as well as SCAG, arguing that the housing unit goals assigned to the Inland Empire were unrealistically and inequitably large. Although inland communities hold most of the vacant land in the metropolitan region, they argued that an unwillingness to accept housing among the coastal counties of Orange, Los Angeles, and Ventura led to excessive units being?ssigned to Riverside and San Bernardino. This case, which went before a Riverside County Superior Court judge in January 2002, represents perhaps the largest breakdown of intergovernmental relationships during the current round of housing element updates and has drawn particular scrutiny to the RHNA process. In short, the argument is that the regional allocation can become highly politicized and works to the detriment of less - powerful jurisdictions (Little Hoover Commission, 2002, p. 19). Elsewhere, officials in the San Luis Obispo region indicated publicly that they consider the RHNA goals assigned to that area completely unattainable (Lyons, 2002a, 2002b). More generally, some county government officials argue that it does not make planning sense for counties to be "treated like cities" in the'housing element process, given the greater capacity of incorporated cities to accommodate new growth. Counties are limited in their ability to provide city-like services, and often seek to protect resource and agricultural lands from intrusion by urban uses (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p• 89). T . In the Bay Area, for example, Napa, Sonoma, and Solano Counties all attempt to direct growth away from farmland and open space and into cities. A Napa County supervisor notes, "Consider the fact that we're an agricultural county, and the fact that the state always laments the loss of agricultural land, and the fact that HCD equates agricultural land and open space as land available for housing. There is a huge disconnect there" (quoted in Shigley, 2002, p. 1). In Napa County, the unincorporated area was assigned 28 percent of the housing unit goals for the entire county; unincorporated Sonoma received 30 percent of that county's allocation. HCD officials, in turn, point out that it is up to the regional council of governments to allocate housing goals among cities and counties in the region, and the state would prefer that housing be developed where infrastructure is available and sprawl is minimized . COG planners note that.housing goal allocations were based in large part on projected job growth, and some counties seem uninterested in restricting commercial development even as they bemoan a lack of capacity to take housing (Shigley, 2002, pp. 14 -15).7 Another major, debate has concerned the extent to which localities can count rehabilitation or subsidization of existing housing units for low -income households toward their housing element goals. Affordable housing advocates and developer groups have argued that new construction is the primary need, and the alteration of existing private - market units to subsidized or affordable units does little to ameliorate the overall supply problem in California. local governments make the case that rehabilitation is overtly encouraged by the statute and is often the most efficient way to make affordable units available, particularly in fully developed communities. AB 438 of 1998 does allow a local government to count certain types of rehabilitation of substandard units toward its housing element goal, although its provisions.are quite restrictive.a 71n Napa, city and county officials have formed a working group to see whether some of the county's housing unit goals can.be shifted to cities, perhaps in exchange for allowing cities to annex some industrially zoned land near the county airport. Transfers of housing allocations between jurisdictions are permitted under changes to the law in the 1990s, but the requitcments on such "trades" are relatively strict (Curtin, 2000, P. 10. Spot example, the housing units in question must be unfit for human habitation before the renovation, the units must be made affordable to low- and very -low -income 29 0 0 Local officials have also argued that they should be able to count the creation of shared living facilities, such as congregate care units for seniors, toward theit housing goals. Generally, HCD has counted new dwellings as housing units.only if they each contain their own kitchen. Some communities have converted older motels into affordable apartments, installing kitchenettes in the process to meet housing -unit requirements (see Box 2.1). Box 2.1 A Creative Way to Help Meet Housing Goals several communities in Cafdornia have acquired (or helped fund the acquisition) of old motels for conversion Into affordable residential units. This may present a seemingly simpler method to generate new housing that taunts toward housing element goals, without perceptibly increasing the density of the existing community. Poterofally, the renovation of the motel may actually improve the neighborhood. Nevertheless, motel conversion too has its complications. Kitchens must be Installed In each unit for it to qualify as a housing unit, given the existing interpretation of the housing element statute. But major modifications to an older building may necessitate costly construction changes to make the building more accessthle, because of the requirements of the Americans with Disabilities Aot. Planners may find that the converted motel violates local parking or fire Code requirements for residual dwellings unless further major renovations are made. School fees may need to be paid, and seismic safety upgrades made. If the motel conversion displaces existing low-income tenants using the motel as temporary hcrue g, the city or developer will likely have to pay for their relocation. Finally, there is the ever - present issue of local growth pofifics; neighbors— including nearby businesses worried about a loss of motel customers —may object to the conversion (discussion draws from "Motel Comrereion," 2002). The Defense of Housing Element Law Housing advocates and public- intetest law films often defend the necessity of the housing element law while still recommending reforms. They point out that the housing element law and other state requirements for local comprehensive planning emerged in large part occupants, and former occupants most be given priority to move into the rehabilitated dwellings. 'Cities and counties are also now permitted to "buy down" marker rate apartments (of at least 16 units) to make them affordable to low- income occupants for ar least 30 years. Such local government efforts toward affordability covenants, rehabilitation, and preservation of at -risk units can be credited for up to 25 percent of the community's housing goals. There are also stria time deadlines to implemenring these programs (Rkliards, Watson & Gershon, 1999). 30 0 0 from frustrations with local exclusion of affordable housing or multifamily units (see Box 2.2 for an example). A representative of Catholic Charities tested that the housing element is often the driving force for localities to create policies to increase affordable housing opportunities (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 14). An attorney for Legal Services of Northern California argued that local officials in at least four Sacramento area communities were able to use the state's requirements to convince "not in my back yard" neighborhood groups that sites had to be made available for homeless shelters and transitional housing (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, pp. 118 - 119). And a senior attorney for the Legal Aid Society of Alameda County pointed to specific instances where the housing element requirement generated local policy changes: As a result of the process, I've seen the City of Alameda lift its prohibition on multifamily affordable housing development and commit funds to affordable Box 2.2 - A Housing Element Challenge fn Folsom Folsom is a rapidly developing suburban dry In Sacramento County, growing from 11,003 residents in 1980 to 51,884 in 2000. The city had a net increase of 8,550 housing units during the 1990s, according to U.S. Census data, but failed to add affordable housing; home prices were the highest In the county. Housing activists argued that the city was Ignoring Its responsibilities to the state and the region. Sued by legal Services of Northam California In 2001 for Its noncompliant housing element and lack of progress toward affordable housing goals, the city entered a settlement in 2002- Under terms of.the agreement, Folsom is to rezone 128 acres of land to create a 'land bank° for the possible construction of up to 2,900 affordable unila. The city also agreed to add an affordable housing set -aside rewirement for new developments and create an Impact fee for nonresidential growth to generate money for an affordable housing trust fund . At a May 2002 community meeting to receive input on the city's new development goals, 400 residents attended an emotional meeting, "wlfh some audience members clutching signs demanding a'total recall' of the City Council (Hecht, 2002). Although local officials assured the residents that no decisions had been made on where to locate the rezoned land, and stressed 8iat the affordable units would house groups such as teachers, firefighters, and retail clerks, many attendees were not reassured. One homeowner argued. This is America. These are our homes. These are our imreslments. I donl need crime. Put It in your neighborhood' (Hecht, 2002; also draws upon Padmanablsan, 2002, and other Sacramento Bee articles). 31 . housing development; I've seen the City of HeArlsburg commit to expand in sewer capacity and inuease densities; I've seen the City of East Palo Alm abandon demolition of affordable units until it identifies the resources to replace them: and I've seen the County of Madera commit to forming a joint housing authority with the City of Madem to facilitate affordable housing development (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 108). Likewise, in,a 2002 report, the Little Hoover Commission (p. 18) called for an "assertive stance" by the state on the housing element law. The commission took the position that "communities have more opportunities than they recognize or acknowledge" to enable housing development, pointing to such policy options as streamlined permitting procedures, public - private partnerships, and subsidized water and sewer fees for affordable housing projects (p. ii). The commission argued for stiffening penalties against noncompliant jurisdictions, "a longer wait" in the competition for transportation and park bond funds, and a limitation on use of redevelopment agency funds (p. iii). Senate Bill 910 (2001 -02) As noted in Chapter 1, the most recent debate over housing element law in California centered over Senator Joseph Dunn's proposal to strengthen the state's hand in dealing with local governments with noncompliant housing elements. Aker passing the senate by a vote of 22 to 12, SB 910 was held in the assembly for much of 2001 and 2002 as a Housing Element Reform Working Group met to artempt to decide on a consensus approach. As the deadline for taking action on the bill approached, it was amended in a number of ways. The groups representing cities and counties still balked at certain provisions in the resulting bill, however. Ultimately, the bill died in the assembly, as that chamber refused to suspend the deadline for the bill to emerge from the policy and fiscal committees. Although it did not pass, the bill galvanized debate on the issue and may be resuscitated in new form in a future legislative session. SB 910 sought to alter the existing approach to noncompliance under the housing element statute in two major ways: 1. SB 910 required that the state controller fine cities and counties that either (a) fail to submit an adopted housing element within 32 six months of their deadline, (b) fail to revise their housing elements, if found noncompliant by HCD or a court, or (c) have their compliance certification rescinded by HCD because they fail to take the actions called for in the housing element. The fine was set at $5,000 per month, or 25 cents per month per resident of the jurisdiction, whichever is greater. Fines would accrue to a Housing Supply Account, to be appropriated by the legislature to assist multifamily developments. State courts could reduce fines in mitigating circumstances, such as if . noncompliance were due to procedural rather than substantive problems. 2. If a court finds a housing element noncompliant, SB 910 would have directed it to (in addition to any remedy it orders) levy the fine specified above and also award attorney's fees to the plaintiff, if the plaintiff is a public - interest organization. Courts trying housing element cases would be instructed to give HCD's findings of noncompliance "great weight." These provisions distressed representatives of local government, who considered the bill too punitive. They were countered by arguments that the primary shortcoming of the existing.housing element statute is its lack of a "stick" to encourage or compel local comphance.9 Beyond the penalties for noncompliance, however, numerous elements in the bill were provisions that had been sought by local and regional officials to smooth the process of regional housing needs distribution. Some of the more important elements are summarized in Box 2.3. These provisions 91ndecd, some of the matt exclusive communities in California can apparently thumb their noses at the issue of housing element compliance. policy practitioners contacted by the author generally agreed that in largely built -out cities with little development activity occurring, no sizeable low- incomc population, and no active redevelopment effom the local govemment appears largely immune from litigation under Elie housing element law. With no open land zoned for multifamily development of available at reasonable land prices, no nonprofit developers could propose a project that could become the basis of a coon challenge. The mclwiw communities also may not mind that their noncompliant housing element disqualifies them from certain housing - assistance programs, given that they probably do not wish to have subsidized housing in the first place. 33 0 Box 23 Other Important Provisions of $B 910, As Amended 0 • In allocating housing needs to the various regions of the state. HOD would he required to consider a region's population projections under its. regional transportation plan, along with projections by the state Department of Finance. A process would beset in place for resolving disagreements in situations where the Department of Finance projections and the regional projections differ by a substantial amount. To pbe with the three -year cycle of regional transportation planning, housing element updates would be required every six years, rather than the current five. . • COG formulas for allocating housing needs to cities and counties would be required to consider new factors, such as localities' previous performance in meeting needs, issues of jobslhousing balance, opportunities for irdill development, lands protected under open space or farmland programs, federal and state laws restricting development, Intracoumy, agreements to steer growth into cities, and opportunities to maximize use of public transportation. • Localities would be allowed to petition for a revised share of regional housing need. If the request is accepted, and the adjustments amount to less than 7 percent of regional needs, the units In question would be redistributed proportionately to all other local governments. • Public involvement requirements would be enhanced throughout the housing element planning process. However, in reviewing local housing elements, HCD would not be allowed to consider objections to local plans by groups or individuals If the point in question were not raised during the pudic comment period (unless it is based on new information or an amendment to the element). seemed likely to make what is already a detailed. and complex housing element statute even more so. Conclusion The inability to come to consensus over SB 910, despite attempts to include all relevant stakeholders in discussions over the bill, illustrates the long- simmering standoff between state and local officials. Housing element policy and enforcement has become a prominent source of intergovernmental antagonism. Given the different perspectives regarding the reasons for widespread local noncompliance with housing element law, it is important to investigate which community characteristics might contribute to noncompliance. The next chapter addresses this question. 34 3. Why Do So Many Communities Have Noncompliant Housing Elements? One of the most contentious aspects of the housing element requitement is the fact that a large percentage of communities are not compliant with the law —nearly four cities in ten and more than a quartet of counties.r As discussed in previous chapters, the perspectives as to why noncompliance is widespread differ dramatically between housing advocates and state officials, on die one hand, and defenders of local governments on the other. This chapter examines compliance status among the state's tides to provide a more informed basis fnt evaluating why local governments are noncompliant I use measures of tides' social and demographic characteristics, land -use patterns, and local policy measures to identify factors that distinguish compliant and noncompliant communities. Why. Cities? Although counties ate also critical in meeting housing needs, the an concentrates on cities for a set of practical reasons. First, most . population and housing growth occurs in cities. During the 1990s, 82 percent of the state's population increase occurred in cities that existed as of 1990; population within city boundaries increased by an additional 12 percent as a result of 18 new municipalities that incorporated between the 1990 and 2000 Census. [This tally of noncompliant jurisdictions includes those whore housing element is overdue as cored as those found noncompliant afar HCD review. In both cases, the housing element is legally noncomplimL 35 0 0 Second, statistical considerations make rigorous analysis of counties problematic. There are only 58 counties in the state (one of which, San Francisco, is also a city), which reduces the leverage of statistical analysis. By comparison, there are nearly 480 cities in California. More important, Census demographic data on counties pertain to the county as a whole, whereas county housing elements pertain only to unincorporated areas. One would thus expect that the characteristics of the unincorporated areas have a very major influence on the county's housing policies and, ultimately, compliance. Some counties have numerous unincorporated areas in far -flung locations, each of which may be quite distinct from the others. In short, there is a "units of analysis" problem in studying county compliance with the housing element law. Finally, studying cities allows for use of PPIC's. extensive existing database on city characteristics. Compiled over several years for other projects, this dataset includes not only Census variables but some measures of city budgetary revenues and political and policy attributes. A 1998 -99 mail survey of local planning officials on urban development topics also permits an analysis of local government policies and . perspectives on growth.2 I have combined these earlier databases with HCD's list of cities' compliance status to examine relationships between community conditions and housing element compliance. Four Sets of Factors Potentially Affecting Compliance At least four different reasons are given for cities failing to comply with housing element law to HCD's satisfaction. Note that these four reasons are not mutually exclusive; all may apply to some degree. 2The survey of planning directors was jointly undertaken by the author and Max Neiman of the University of California, Riverside. It specifically addressed local residential poscia and growth management and achieved a response tare of 76 patcent in the major regions of the state in which it was undertaken (the Central Valley, Southan California —here including San Diego and Santa Barbara as well as the Los Angela ama—and the San Francisco Bay Area). The survey was initially undertaken for purposes not involving housing dements, and the tam "housing dement" was not mentioned in the questionnaire. This means that respondents probably had little reason to let that controversial topic influence their response. For more details on the survey and its results, see Lewis and Neiman (2000). 36 • Community Social Status and Exclusion "Although they won't say so publicly, some of these cities don t care what their assigned (bousinggoall numbers are. They just won't do it because they don't want low- income housing in their jurisdictions. " senator Joseph Dunn, quoted in Wisckol (2002). Senator Dunn authored SB 910 in an attempt to hold local governments more responsible for noncompliance. In the newspaper interview quoted above, he articulated forcefully what some critics of local housing policies have long implied: that cities are reluctant to snake the necessary plans to accommodate sufficient housing - particularly multifamily or affordable developments -- because of a desire for social exclusion. Such exclusion, highlighted in some national studies, is often thought to rest on the attempts of upper - income, homeowner - dominated communities to insulate their cities from lower - income populations or rental housing more generally. Whether rooted in a desire to cluster with neighbors of similar charact eristics, or in racial, ethnic, or socioeconomic snobbery, these efforts are associated with what is often called a NIMBY ( "not in my backyard ") attitude. It is also possible for low- income or diverse communities to pursue NIMBY policies, however. The exclusionary approach to land -use policy is often associated with homeowners' fears of reduced property values if rental or affordable housing is permitted in the neighborhood. It is also often linked with the aspirations of suburbanites to associate with people of similar socioeconomic status and to separate themselves from the perceived problems of large central cities. For example, the mayor of Menlo Park, a Silicon Valley community, has been quoted as saying that his city's residents "desire to have neighbors who live in homes similar to their . own" (Nguyen, 2001). To understand the connection between community status and housing element compliance, one can examine such characteristics as the city's median household income, the homeownership rate, or the 37 0 0 -percentage of the population that is white and non - Hispanic. Homeownership rates are of particular interest, because some authors have attributed local anrigrowth policies to cartel -like behavior on the part of homeowners, who wish to boost their housing values by restricting the supply of new housing (Brueckner, 1995). Fischel (2001) argues that homeowners intense desire to protect the value of their main asset —their home — underlies most local land -use policies. Local Land-Use Characteristics and Vacant Land "Same cities are land - forked with growingpopulations and little available land- other cities are facing booming jab markets with high -paid workers where the competition for housing drives the price of the smallest cottage over half a million dollars. " —Letter from the League of California Cities and California State Association of Counties to Senator Joseph Dunn, opposing SB 910: Many city governments argue that they lack sufficient land resources to accommodate the number of new housing units required under.their allocations from the regional COG. This argument can be quite powerful. Many older communities, often inner -ring suburbs, are essentially "built out," meaning that they lack any substantial vacant land on which to construct new buildings. In such circumstances, cities with significant housing unit goals are left with the more difficult, conflict- ridden, and potentially expensive options of rezoning existing neighborhoods for higher - density housing or using redevelopment ;,powers to change current land uses so as to include more housing units. In a meeting at HCD's Division of Housing Policy Development, department staff indicated to the author that the requirement to provide a sufficient inventory of appropriately zoned land sites perhaps does the most to "trip up" local governments.in their quest for compliance; many localities prove unable or unwilling to produce such an inventory. The staff indicated, however, that local governments often have an inflexible 38 0 notion of vacant residential land, as many cities have vacant sites that are zoned for industrial or commercial use and could be rezoned to accommodate housing. Highly developed communities may also be dominated by single- family residential areas that could accommodate additional units. For example, such cities could adopt a more liberal policy on secondary ( "in -law ") units3 or could "upzone" single - family areas, where appropriate, to allow more apartments and condominiums. Nevertheless, it is also true that many of such older, inner communities in California have already felt the painful externalities of high density, as their populations have grown so rapidly as to create traffic and parking problems and strain public services. Such communities are often at the receiving end of immigration and other demographic changes, and communities like Santa Ana have expressed concerns about fire hazards and sanitation problems resulting from a profusion of apartments--often overcrowded -end legal or illegal secondary units in an already dense built environment (Perkes, 2002). Several variables can shed light on the perspective that local land -use characteristics affect housing element compliance. Such measures could include the population density of the city and the age of its housing stock (likely to be indicative of a lack of "fresh' land sites in many communities). Although there is no database of vacant land in communities statewide, the survey of local planning officials provided a helpful surrogate measure. Respondents were asked to rate the importance of land supply as a constraint on housing development in their city, on a 1 -to-5 scale.4 31r has long been stare policy to ease local restrictions on secondary units. Most recently, AB 1866 (Wright), signed into law in 2002, requires that local governments provide for ministerial approval of applications (meaning that no discretionary reviews are allowed) for secondary units dur meet the local ordinance. . 4AIchough the measure is somewhat subjective, it is reassuring to note that it is highly associated with another measure of local developable land. In a 1998 survey of California city managers, respondents were asW to indicate whether their city was built our (meaning it had 'little or no vacant land available*). This (dichotomous) measure from the city manager survey is correlated with the five -point measure from the planner survey of the constraint posed by low land supply at r = .45 (prob. < 0.000). 39 0 0 The Resources of the Local Government "My y clients are typically smaller communities without the staff apertise or other resources of the state } largest cities and counties, and complying with the Housing Ekment statute can be a Herculean task for these communities. " = Michael Colantuono (a city attorney), quoted in Senate Committee on Local Government (1993, p. 67). From almost any perspective, engaging in a full -scale revision of a local housing element is a long and complex process, calling for considerable staff time and capabilities. Many communities spend considerable.sums to engage outside consultants to prepare housing elements. For small cities, those without many professional staff, or those that are fiscally strained, resource limitations may significantly . hinder the preparation of adequate and timely housing element. Furthermore, virtually all observers of the housing element law agree that "performance" in producing housing for low- and moderate - income households depends on the availability of subsidized housing funds.. In particular, units for very-low- income families are almost impossible to build without heavy subsidies. Both the federal and state governments cut back housing assistance after a peak in the 1970s, and competition for such fiords has since been very keen. Few communities can support housing subsidies from their own general -fund budgets, although some larger or wealthier jurisdictions do engage in some local funding of affordable housing. Thus, a lack of local government resources is seen as hindering genuine local efforts at compliance. HCD staff counter that the department has put considerable time and resources into technical assistance, with a particular effort at helping small cities and counties attain compliance. In some cases, HCD staff analysts have been dispatched to communities and taken the lead in - helping the locality to prepare its initial draft. They indicated that small, rural communities often have an easier time reaching compliance than larger cities, because the former are often more enthusiastic about future growth. A number of city characteristics may be relevant in measuring local government resources and planning capacity. These include the city's 40 0 0 population size, planning staff resources, and revenue base. Staff resources are implied by local planning officials' responses to a question regarding the degree to which "lack of personnel to review.projects" plays an important role in "constraining or slowing residential development in your city." Fiscal resources are measured as the city's own- source, general revenues per capita.5 As a secondary fiscal measure, I estimate the percentage share of locally generated property taxes devoted to the municipal government (as opposed to school districts, the county, or other local governments). It is often thought that cities with a larger share of local property tax revenues will be more accommodating to residential development, because such development will come closer to paying its way. Local Politics and Residential Growth Policies "7 want housing in the community, burl want it to reflect the amount that can be served... IV have to throw out all our growth - management policies (m meet the city's assigned housinggoall ... 7 think the voters would throw out the City Council " —Allen Settle, Mayor of San Luis Obispo, quoted in Lyons (2002b). A city's social status, land -use characteristics, and government resources may well affect its chances of achieving housing element compliance. But local growth policies and development decisions are ultimately political choices made in the context of a city's political traditions. One aspect that HCD staff members review in examining local housing elements is whether the community has taken full account of the "governmental constraints" on housing development and whether the city has a plan of action to reduce or overcome those constraints. 5This is essenrially a snc¢suce of total revenues per capita, from which are subtracted incergov nmental funds and "functional" or "enterprise" revenues, such as current service charges. 41 Evidence from a previous PPIC study indicates that antigrowth politics and efforts to manage or shape growth have emerged in strong form in a fairly small number of California communities, in a weaker or more sporadic form in many others, and not at all in some cities (Lewis and Neiman, 2002). Residential growth- management policies and citizen initiatives that seek to slow growth, along with lengthy city permitting or approval processes, may give HCD reviewers cause For concern. More indirectly, specific controversial development projects, or a history of disputes between city officials and citizen groups on growth issues, may contribute to community rancor that makes officials wary of advancing a plan for additional housing development. Where growth is a hot - button issue, production and affordability goals may take a back seat to political exigencies, which in turn could lead to a thumbs down from HCD housing element reviewers. The survey of local planners provides several measures of local government policies and orientations toward growth and housing; specific items will be explained as they are introduced in the analysis. One of the most important measures is a count of the number of overtly restrictive growth- management policies pursued by the,city. Such policies include: • A substantial recent reduction of residentially zoned land, • Annual limits on building permits, on housing units, or on multifamily dwellings, • A formula for allowable numbers of new housing units, • An official "population ceiling" for the community, or • A moratorium on building permits or water or sewer connections.6 One might assume that an antigrowth approach simply reflects community status, one of the other potential causes of housing element noncompliance. But the earlier PPIC study indicates that local 6The survey also measured whether the city had any of nine other forms of residential growth management. However, these other policies are less overtly ratrictive of residential growth and showed no evidence of effects an housing element noncompliance in regression analyses. For a discussion of the various measures, see Lewis and Neiman (2002), Chapter 3. 42 socioeconomic status was only a weak predictor of whether a community engages in testtictive tesidential policies (Lewis and Neiman, 2002). Timetable for Housing.Element Updates Influences Compliance Status An initial step in analyzing which characteristics ate related to noncompliance involves compating compliant and noncompliant cities across several dimensions. Before undertaking this comparison, however, it is important to point out a potentially severe complication for this exercise: Not all local governments are on the same schedule fot updating their housing elements and having them reviewed by HCD. The Ftesno, Bakersfield, and Sacramento tegions, at this writing, were the most recent metropolitan areas to be scheduled fot updates and reviews (see Table 1.1). Thus, localities in these areas, where housing element revisions were due by June 30, 2002, have had only a few months to receive a favorable opinion from HCD, and some jutisdictions have yet to submit their revision. Cities in the San Francisco Bay Area have had about nine months and those in the SCAG region neatly two years to attain compliance, compared to nearly three years in the San Diego region. By contrast, localities elsewhere in the.state had not faced a housing element revision deadline fot over a decade, as of HCD's September 25, 2002, report on compliance status, on which this analysis is based. Thus, such cities have had a great deal of time to work with the department and bring theirr housing elements into compliance. Comparing all cities in the state that are compliant to those that are noncompliant, then, might be akin to comparing apples with oranges. In the regression analysis below, I will make special efforts to control statistically for such scheduling differences. Statewide, fewer than half of the jurisdictions that have submitted draft elements for review since 1999 are in compliance, whereas the vast majority of jurisdictions whose status teflects pte -1999 housing elements are compliant. 43 Comparing Compliant and Noncompliant Cities: A Preliminary Profile With this caveat in mind, this section compares compliant and noncompliant localities in the regions that have already been required to undertake housing element revisions in this round (San Diego, SCAG, San Francisco Bay Area, Ftesno, Kern (Bakersfield), and Sacramento regions). A second comparison is then undertaken for cities in the other portions of the state. Included in the noncompliant category ate those cities that have received an opinion of noncompliance from HCD as well as cities that are overdue in submitting their draft housing elements to the department. For many years, the departments compliance status report referred to such localities as having an "obsolete' housing element, although they ate now referred to mote gently as being "due." Legally, they are not in compliance. Table 3.1 presents the profile of compliant cities and noncompliant ones for the regions that have already been involved in housing element updates. The three measures of community status all indicate that noncompliant cities tend to be of slightly higher status. These comparisons are mildly supportive of the "social exclusion" perspective on housing element noncompliance. Nevertheless, the differences are not great, and statistical testing indicates that none of the socioeconomic characteristics ate statistically significantly higher in noncompliant than in compliant communities. Regarding local land -use characteristics, the housing stock of noncompliant cities tends to be older than that in compliant cities.. This difference is statistically significant. Otherwise, there is no support in this comparison fot the argument that a lack of vacant land underlies noncompliance. Noncompliant cities in these regions actually have lower population densities, on average, than compliant cities, and their planners are no more likely to say that land supply has constrained residential growth. In this simple comparison, the "lack of tesoutces" reason for noncompliance receives little support. Although noncompliant communities ate significantly smaller in average population size, they 44 0 Table 3.1 Comparison of Compliant and Noncompliant Cities in the San Diego, Southern California, San Francisco. Bay Area, Fresno, Kern, and Sacramento Regions Compliant Noncomplant Community Status %homeownership 602 62.7 %white and non- Hispanic 48.0 51.5 Median household income, $ 54,780 59,913 Land -Use Characteristics Population per sq. mi * 15,111 4,322 Supply of land constrains development, per planning director (five -point scale) 3.8 3.6 Median year homing bar (as of 1990) * ** 1969 1965 Resources and Capactry . Population* 64,160 46,788 No. of planning staff per 10,000 population 1.9 2.1 (Dry own -sou¢: general revenues per capita, 1993,$ 507 593 Cityls % share of property tax revenues* 11.5 13.1 Local Policies/politics No. of restrictive growth - management policies (our of seven possible) 0.52 0.72 City requires that residential projects include affordable component, % 32.3 34.3 Citizen initiatives have slowed growth, according to planning director, % 18.3 18.2 Level of cirizen opposition to growth, according ro planning director (five- poinrscale) 2.7 2.8 SOURCES: Author calculations based on data from the 2000 Census, the 1990 Census, a 1998 -99 mail survey of city planning dirraws, and the HCD compliance list as of September 25, 2002. NOTES: *p < 0.1; * * *p < 0.01. Aurrisks indicate statistically significant . differences in means between compliant and noncompliant ciries, using a two- railed r- Mr. Demographic measures are for 2000, except for median year of housing. For population comparison, cities of over one million residents are omitted. For city own - source general revenue comparisons, cities of kiss than 1,000 residents are omitted to reduce the influence of extreme oudiers in the comparisons. Geographic makeup of regions is lured in Table 1.1. There are 299 cities with usable homing element status dam in these regions, although sample sizes are smaller for survey -based items because of survey nonrespome. . 45 have toughly the same number of planners pet 10,000 residents as compliant cities, and they also receive more own - source revenues than compliant cities. The percentage share of local property tax revenues is also greater in noncompliant cities, despite kequently expressed arguments that a greater share of the property tax base would make cities more accommodating of housing. Finally, the comparison finds muted differences between compliant and noncompliant cities regarding local growth policies and politics. None of the four measures from the planners' survey shows significant diffetences between the two groups of municipalities, although the average noncompliant city has about 0.2 additional restrictive growth - management policies. Table 3.2 repeats this comparison, but this time fat cities in parts of the state that had not yet been requited to submit housing element updates. Such regions constitute only a small share of the state's population and include the Central Coast area, portions of the Central Valley, and the rural north and mountainous counties of the state. In these tegions, only a small share of cities were noncompliant (16 percent), which is perhaps not surprising since most had had about a decade to attain compliance. In these parts of the st ate, differences among the compliant and the (telatively few) noncompliant communities tend in many cases to be starker. For example, all three measures of community status are highs, at a statistically significant level, in the noncompliant communities. Likewise,, most measures of local growth policy and politics show substantial differences between the two sets of communities, although this comparison can be only suggestive, as most cities in these regions were not sent the planner survey.? The average noncompliant city has substantially mote gtowth - management policies and a much higher level of citizen opposition to growth and use of citizen antigrowth initiatives than the average compliant city. The comparison between compliant and noncompliant cities is again murky when it comes to local land -use 71n the regions discussed in Table 3.2, only cities in the Central Valley and Santa Barbara Counry "old have received the survey. Of the 125 cities compared in the table, 48 responded to the survey. 46 Table 3.2 . Comparison of Compliant and Noncompliant Cities in the Remainder of the State Mean Value Complianr Noncompliant Community Status %homeownership" 57.2 62.1 %white and non - Hispanic"` 60.9 73.7 Median household income, $ "" 35,341 44,441 Land Use Characteristic Population per sq. mi. 2,686 2,648 Supply of land constrains development, pct planning director (five-point scale)a 2.5 3.1 Median year housing built (as of 1990) 1966 1967 Resources and Capacity Population 20,307 245261 No. of planning staff per 10,000 population° 1.7 2.4 City own - source general revenues per capim, 19935 $ 466 478 Gty's % share of property tax revenues 14.8 15.4 Loral PoliciesMolitics No. of restrictive growth - management policies (out of seven possible)2— 0.43 2.57 City requires that residential projects include affordable component, %a 19.5 14.3 Citizen initiatives have slowed growth, according to planning director, 95a "' 2.5 42.9 Level of citizen opposition to growth, according to planning director(fuve- poinr scalela— 2.3 3.9 SOURCES: Author calculations based on data from the 2000 Ccosus, the 1990 Census, a 1998 -99 mail survey of city planning directors, and the HCD compliance list as of September 25, 2002. NOTES: "'p c 0.05; " " "p c 0.01. Asterisks indicate statistically significant differences in means between compliant and noncompliant tides, using a tiro- tailed r- resr. Demographic measures are for 2000, except for median year of housing. For city own-source general revenue comparisons, cities of less than 1,000 residents are omitted to reduce the influence of extreme oudies in the comparisons. This table relates to cities in all pass of the state not covered 6y Table 3.1. Them are 125 tides with usable housing element scams data in then regions, although sample sires are considerably smaller for survey-based items because the survey was not directed at cities in some pans of the stare and planners from some cities did not respond. aLimimd number of planner survey responses in these regions make comparisons on these items less reliable. 47 0 1 • characteristics and local government resources and capacity. Here, none of the differences are statistically significant. A decade after these cities were initially asked to submit their last updates to HCD, only a relative handful of laggard communities were .unable to reach compliance. The simple comparison indicates that such cities tended to be relatively well -off and, so far as we can tell, experienced substantial local turmoil over residential growth. Probing Further: A Statistical Model of Noncompliance The comparison above is suggestive, but provides only a simple sketch of noncompliant communities. To examine more systematically the factors that are associated with noncompliance, I undertook a multivariate analysis. Tables presenting the detailed results of the final estimations are in Appendix A. This section describes the analytic approach and the next section summarizes the most relevant results. The logistic regression method used is able to identify the relationship of various city characteristics to noncompliance, while holding constant each of the other characteristics represented by variables in the model. As suggested above, the four types of city characteristics of interest include measures of community social status, local land -use and development characteristics, resources of the city government, and measures of local growth policy and politics. Cities whose housing elements are overdue for HCD review are again treated as noncompliant.8 I analyzed compliance as of September 25, 2002. Cities under review by HCD as of that date are dropped from the analysis. A set of preliminary analyses helped identify which specific variables measuring these characteristics would be most likely to contribute to an 8An additional (ordered logit) model was estimared to ecamine housing element compliance on a three -point scale: in compliance, overdue, and out of compliance. The results of this model werc very similar to the results discussed for the dichotomous mpsure (complian[/troncomplian[). . 48 0 explanation of noncompliance. The variables ultimately used in the model are listed and described in Table 3.3.9 I used two techniques to control for differences that relate to the characteristics of the region rather than of the city itself. First, I account for the "timing issue" by including a measure of the number of months that elapsed since the deadline for sending housing element updates from the city's region to HCD. This variable will indicate whether the simple passage of time makes it more likely that cities will be able to reach compliance. Second, indicator variables are used to denote cities in particular areas. I control for location in the San Francisco Bay Area, the 18 -county Central Valley region, and the Inland Empire (Riverside and San Bernardino Counties). The Bay Area had gone through the review process quite recently. The Inland Empire was engaged in a legal dispute with SCAG and HCD over its housing allocation numbers. Both regions have low compliance rates. Cities in the Central Valley face challenges of rapid growth, relative poverty, and, often, fiscal constraint. The measures of local policy —such as the number of strict growth controls and degree of planning staff shortages--are taken from the PPIC mail survey of planning directors in the Bay Area, Central Valley, and metropolitan Southern California (including Santa Barbara County as well as the SCAG and San Diego regions). For this reason, the analysis must exclude cities outside those regions. (The excluded regions account for a small part of the state's population,) Likewise, the 24 percent of cities in those regions whose planning directors did not respond to our survey cannot be included. . 9Mexsuring socioeconomic status at the city level creates some difficulties in such a model because of the high collinearity among such measures as income, education, race, and homeownership: After some exploration, I decided to include two relevant vatiables: the homcownerahip rare of the city and the percentage of the population composed of non - Hispanic whims. These variables capture two important measures of status and diversity, respectively, that might affect (oral housing policies, but the vatiables are not roo highly correlated to disentangle (r - .44). Where median income was substituted for homeownership, results did not differ greatly. There was also no evidence that the proportion of the population composed of Hispanics, African Americans, or Asians was related to noncompliance. 49 0 • Table 3.3 Variables Used to Predict Housing Element Noncompliance Variable Definirion/Nores • owner - occupied % of housing units owner- occupied • white % of city residents who are white and non - Hispanic • recreational housing % of housing units that arc for recreational or seasonal use Population density Natural logarithm of the city's population per sq. mi. . Age of housing Age of median housing unit, in years, as of 1990 Low supply of land . Planning director's response, on a fiv poinr scale, to statement that supply of land for residential growth is an important factor in constraining growth in the city Population Narm-A log of city population Own -source revenues Natural log of own-source revenues per capita (defined as total revenues minus intergovernmental revenues and minus current service charges), 1993 % of property tax % of locally generated property rest revenues that Now to the municipal government Lade of planning staff Planning directors response, on a five -point scale, to statement thar a lark of personnel to review project proposals is an important factor in constraining growth in the city Longer review process Planning diromes response regarding whether the time required to complere the review of residential projects in the city has been shortened, stayed the same, become somewhat longer, or become much longer (four -point scale) Overt growth restrictions Number of the following policies adopted in the city. annual liruits on total building permits, annual limits on residential units authorized, annual limits on multifamily dwelling units built, recent substantial reduction inland zoned residential, policy linking local residential growth rare to a formula or external growth rare, formal population ceiling, moratorium on development or on . warerlsewer hookups Affordability set -aside = 1 if planning director indicates that city has a policy to require residential developments to include affordable housing Initiatives /neighborhoods Planning directors response, on a four -point scale, regarding whether important city policies affecting residential growth have mostly been enacted by the council without neighborhood pressure, enacted by the council as a result of neighborhood pressure, enacted both by the council and the voter initiative process, or enacted pretty much exclusively as a result of initiatives Inland Empire location = I if city is in Riverside or San Bernardino Counties Bay Area location = 1 if city is in the jurisdiction of the Association of Bay Area Governments 50 Table 3.3 (continued) .Variable DefunitioniNores Central Valley location = 1 if city is in the counties of Butte, Colusa, Fresno, Glenn, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Shasta, Smnislaus, Soviet, Tehama, TulamgYolo, or Yuba Months since deadline Number of months elapsed between the dace when the city's housing element updare was due and September 2002 SOURCES: Information on low supply of land, lack of planning staff, review of residential proposals, number of oven restrictions, affordability ser- asides, and initiadved neighborhoods measures is derived from a 1998 -99 PPIC survey of city planning directors. Own -source revenues and percentage of property tax arc calculated From California Stare Controller dam. Months since deadline was calculated by the author. Age of housing is from the 1990 Census: All other variables arc derived from the 2000 Census, Key Findings of the Multivariate Analysis Table 3.4 summarizes the variables that showed a statistically significant relationship with city noncompliance. (For more detailed results, please consult Appendix A.) The results indicate that many city characteristics that one might expect to come into play.iu'rcpd to housing element preparation are not, in fact, associated with whether cities comply with the housing element law, once one controls for other relevant features of the city. However, a number of patterns do stand out in this analysis. First, the measures of local housing polity seem ofkey importance. Cities whose planning directors report that the review process for new development proposals has been getting longer, and cities with more overt growth controls, experience more trouble in attaining compliance. For example, each restrictive growth policy that has been adopted approximately doubles the odds that the city will be found noncompliant, This relationship is perhaps not surprising, because HC staff pay close attention to local government constraints on housing development. Communities that see themselves as a city of single- family homes may have difficulty in showing how they plan to accommodate the number and variety of units necessary to meet their housing goal. • 1 • Table 3A City Characteristics That Are Statistically Associated with Noncompliance Whether cities requite new housing projects to include affordable housing is a significant predictor of compliance.10 HCD reviewers may take such "inclusionary" housing policies inro.account as a way to overcome barriers to the production of new units for low- or moderate - income households. All else equal, cities with larger populations are mote likely . than others to teach compliance. This relationship may indicate that large local governments have the resources necessary to complete a successful housing plan. On the other hand, there is no evidence that the fiscal strength of the city or the size of its planning staff influences the probability of compliance. Larger population size may also indicate that Mrhis result is significant only when controlling for whether the planning director feels that-voter initiatives and neighborhood pressure have been a major source of slow - growth policies. I do not include this latter variable in the main model because 14 percent of survey respondents answered "don't know; which merits thar such cities most be dropped from the analysis. 52 As Characteristic Increasedoccurs, Probability of Variable Noncompliance... Age of housing Increases City population Decreases Longer review process Increases Overt growth rcavicriom Increases City requires affordability set -aside Dccreasesa Months since housing element due Decreases Inland Empire location Increases San Francisco Bay Area location Increases Central Valley location Incenses NOTES: The variables are defined in Table 3.1. Variables listed in Table 3.1 but not in this table were not related to noncompliance ar a statistically significant level, defined as p <.I. a "City requires affordability set- aside Is statistically significant only in the model that controls for "slow growth pressure from initiatives! neighborhoods.- Whether cities requite new housing projects to include affordable housing is a significant predictor of compliance.10 HCD reviewers may take such "inclusionary" housing policies inro.account as a way to overcome barriers to the production of new units for low- or moderate - income households. All else equal, cities with larger populations are mote likely . than others to teach compliance. This relationship may indicate that large local governments have the resources necessary to complete a successful housing plan. On the other hand, there is no evidence that the fiscal strength of the city or the size of its planning staff influences the probability of compliance. Larger population size may also indicate that Mrhis result is significant only when controlling for whether the planning director feels that-voter initiatives and neighborhood pressure have been a major source of slow - growth policies. I do not include this latter variable in the main model because 14 percent of survey respondents answered "don't know; which merits thar such cities most be dropped from the analysis. 52 0 0 the city government is more insulated from the pressure of homeowners and more subject to the influence of progrowth business elites, who are likely to be in favor of additional housing. As Fischel (2001) shows, small local governments are more likely to be attuned to the interests of. homeowners, who are risk - averse regarding new development because so much of their wealth is typically tied up in their home value. An older housing stock is also associated with a greater likelihood of noncompliance. Cities with older housing may be more "settled" and have a more established community character; they are also likely to contain less vacant land. Similarly, older housing indicates that there has been less new housing construction in recent decades, and thus the community may have come to expect a slow pace of change.11 Finally, the regional context within which each city plans for housing matters a great deal for compliance rates. As discussed, the timing of housing element revision deadlines differs among the state's regions. The measure of the length of time that has elapsed since the deadline for submitting an updated housing element is one of the most statistically significant predictors of noncompliance. Specifically, the results indicate that each month that has elapsed since the region's deadline renders a city approximately 5 percent more likely to reach compliance. Location in the Bay Aiea, the Inland Empire, or the Central Valley is also associated with noncompliance, even after controlling for the various city characteristics. Municipalities in each of these areas of the state show more difficulty in attaining compliance.12 Some Caveats The above analysis presents a useful clarification of the community characteristics that underlie noncompliance. Nevertheless, the analysis ilI use the age of the city's housing stock as of 1990, rather than as of 2000, to avoid the statistical problem of endogeneity. That is, a noncompliant housing element may lead to less new construction; thus, one should not, in turn, use "old housing° to predict noncompliance. By using a measure of housing age from a decade ago to represent past community characteristics, one is on firmer footing in predicting ttureat compliance status. 12The implicit comparison is to cities in other regions included in the analysis. Spo ifically, these include cities in San Diego, l.os Angela, Orange, Imperial, Ventura. and Santa Barbaro Counties. 53 • • has its limits. First, the dependent variable— housing element compliance —is a dichotomous, or "yes /no; measure that may capture local housing policy in only a rough way. Simple dichotomies often make for more uncertain statistical estimations than more "continuous" variables, such as the number of housing units produced or the number of policies passed. I did attempt to analyze noncompliance using a three - point scale (in compliance, overdue, out of compliance) that provides an additional category (overdue) that might be viewed as an intermediate case between compliance and noncompliance. However, results did not differ much from those just discussed.13 In defense of the dichotomous measure, housing element compliance or noncompliance is worthy of attention in and of itself, because of its importance to cities for the legal defensibility of their general plans and their ability to compete for affordable housing funds. Still, those interested in a more encompassing explanation of local residential policies should supplement this report with other sources ;14 Second, this analysis is of compliance status at a particular point in time —a "snapshot." Although the analysis controls for region and for the amount of time that the city has had to reach compliance, it cannot take into account all factors that might complicate compliance. For example, Marin County and its cities Collectively decided to prepare a countywide housing analysis and housing element updates. All the jurisdictions in the county were subsequently overdue, and by September 2002 all had submitted draft housing elements judged nonoompliany except for two localities whose housing plans were under review by HCD. Finally, although it is tempting to assert that factors such as small populations or a large number of growth controls "cause" noncompliance, I have not put forward any behavioral model of either 131n the ordered logit model of these three compliance statuses, the same.variables were significant (and with the same signs), except for city population size. which was insignificant, and Central Valley lutation, also insignificant. The overall fit of the ordered logic model was less satisfactory than the dichotomous model discussed above. 14For example, Lewis and Neiman (2002, Chapter 5) present the results of other statistical analyses of local residential growth- management policies and local antigrowth politics. HCD (2001) presents an analysis of local development fees and charges that affect the cost of new housing. 54 0 1 0 local government activity or HCD reviews that pins down what leads to noncompliance. Moreover, over a long time horizon, the direction of causality may be muddled. Cities that have a noncompliant housing element may attract less rental housing or fail to qualify for affordable . housing grants from the federal or state governments. These factors, in turn, may make it even mote difficult for the community to attain compliance in the next revision period. Conclusion Among the reasons that observers have suggested for widespread noncompliance with the housing element law are the exclusionary sentiments of uppet - status communities, the lack of vacant land available for housing in many cities, the lack of resources of the local government to address the issue, and the antigrowth politics or antihousing policies of some towns. In the regions that have been subject to HCD reviews for updated housing elements over the past three years, a simple comparison of compliant and noncompliant cities indicates that few of these arguments receive dear -cut support. Noncompliant cities have older housing and smaller populations but are actually lower in population density than compliant cities. Most other community characteristics do not dearly distinguish the two sets of cities. In the remainder of the state, where cities have had about a decade to teach compliance since their last housing element revisions were due, few cities are noncompliant. The simple comparison indicates that the few laggard communities do tend to be wealthier and less ethnically diverse than compliant cities. A mote sophisticated analysis can isolate which local characteristics ate most important for noncompliance. Such a model teveals that among the factors that best predicted noncompliance were an older housing stock, mote restrictive growth policies and review ptocesses, a smallet. population, and a Bay Area, Genital Valley, or Inland Empire location. The most important predictor of all, however, was simply the time elapsed since the most recent housing element revision was due. Time may not cure all ills, but it does allow many jurisdictions additional opportunities to prepare a housing element that is acceptable to HCD reviewers. . 55 0 Thus, there is at least some evidence that several factors that have been posited to playa role in noncompliance -- -local land -use and building characteristics, the size of the city, and municipal growth politics —do have some influence. In the current round of updates, evidence was strong that cities' residential growth controls and review processes held a particularly important role for the HCD reviews. By contrast, local characteristics that some have suspected play a major role----such as local homeownership rates, revenue bases, or population densities —do not show a clear link to noncompliance. In short, it is difficult to argue that any simple set of characteristics is determinative of how likely cities are to attain compliance. 56 4. Does Housing Element Compliance Mean That More Housing Is Produced? Do local governments that comply with the housing element law, by adequately planning for future residential needs, actually enable more housing to be built in California? Moreover, does compliance help predict the types of housing built, such as the mix between single- family and multifamily development? If the answer to these questions is no, the resources that state and local government currently devote to housing element compliance and review might be better directed to other policy efforts to improve housing production. Using data from the 1990s, this chapter offers a statistical analysis of whether a city's compliance status in the early part of the decade helps to predict the percentage increase in the city's housing stock by 2000. Although data are not available to specifically study the development of affordable units, one can examine the growth of multifamily housing and the share of housing developed that is multifamily. The analyses control for a variety of other city characteristics that might influence the level and type of housing growth. The quantitative estimates are reported in Appendix B; this chapter reports the results for a general audience. Housing Element Compliance, Circa 1991 To make this analysis possible, the Department of Housing and Community Development made available its housing element compliance report for cities and counties as of December 31, 1991. This .period was chosen because jurisdictions in the most populous parts of the state —the Southern California, San Diego, and Bay Area regions —had completed their second round of housing element updates by that point and had received HCD's judgment as to whether their plans were 57 0 0 compliant. Moreover, the 1991 date is proximate in time, to the 1990 Census, allowing use of data from that year as a "starting point." Accordingly, this analysis focuses only on communities in these three regions, where most of the state's population resides and which tend to have the most controversies and difficulties regarding housing element compliance. Compliance rates for cities in 1991 were poor, as Figure 4.1 illustrates. Only one - quarter of cities statewide were in compliance, with 59 percent being declared either noncompliant by HCD or overdue or `obsolete" because of the lack of any updated housing element in time for the deadline. In the wake of these low compliance rates, HCD and the attorney general's office mounted a sustained effort to encourage more cities and counties to meet their legal responsibilities. This campaign was fairly successful, as the percentage of communities attaining compliance grew substantially. Ho elem Under rev by HCt 16% Housing element 25% it of compliance 42% Figure 4.1- Cities' Housing Element Compliance Status, as of December 31, 1991 58 There tends to be some persistence in compliance status. There is a moderate, statistically significant degree of correlation (r = .31) between noncompliance in 1991 and noncompliance a decade later, in 2001. In other words, although many cities attained compliance status as the 1996s wore on, it remained the case that noncompliance after the second round of revisions was a fairly good predictor of noncompliance after the third round. Measuring Housing Growth Rates Using Census Data The first analysis in this chapter draws upon U.S. Census data to examine the rate of growth in housing units between 1990 and 2000. Because communities of different sixes are likely to have very different amounts of housing built, I examine the percentage increase in the number of housing units in each city between 1990 and 2000. Table 4.1 provides summary statistics regarding this measure of housing increase. The percentage increase in housing units will serve as a dependent variable (that is, the phenomenon that I seek to explain) in a quantitative analysis. Because some very small cities experienced extreme rates of housing change, the analysis is limited to communities with at least 2,500 residents, to avoid skewing the results. The main issue of interest is whether a connection exists between a city's compliance status as of 1991 and its rate of housing growth Table 4.1 Percentage Growth Rates for Housing in Cities in the San Diego, Southern California, and San Francisco Bay Area Regions, 19904000 Average increase in housing units 11.4 Median increase In housing units 4.9 Standard deviation 18.3 Largest rate of increase 196.3 (B=tW00d) Late= race of decease —9.7 (La Habra Heights) SOURCE: Author calculations are from die 2000 Census and the 1990 Census. NOTE: Data focus only on cities of 2,500 or greater population. 59 • through the 1990s. At first blush, there is surprisingly little evidence of such a link, as Table 4.2 reports. A simple comparison shows that the average noncompliant city in the relevant regions (San Diego, Southern California, and San Francisco Bay. Area) actually increased its housing stock about 1.5 percent more than the average compliant city. The median noncompliant city, however, saw about 1.7.,percent fewer new housing units constructed than the median compliant city (which indicates that some noncompliant cities with very high rates of housing development pushed up the mean for that group). In neither calculation are the differences, statistically significant, however. Although interesting, one cannot draw confident conclusions from this simple comparison of compliant and noncompliant cities. Housing growth rates could be expected to differ among communities for many other reasons —for example, the location of the city, its attractiveness to new residents and developers, and its demographic characteristics. Table 4.2 Comparison of Housing Development in Compliant and Noncompliant Cities in the San Diego, Southern California, and San Francisco Bay Area Regions %Increase in Honing Units, 1990 -1000 Housing Element Status as of 1991 Average City Median City No. of Cities Compliant 9.0 5.7 48 Noncomolianr '10.5 4.0 173 NOTES: Data are limited to dries of 2,500 or greater population. Differences benvicen compliant and noncompliant cities are statistically insignificant, using either a t -test for difkience of means, or a Kruskal- Wallis rest for different of medians. Controlling for Other Factors To account for the wide variety of factors that might affect housing growth rates across cities, it is possible to estimate a multivariate regression model that controls for such characteristics while assessing whether housing element compliance status has its own independent relationship with housing growth. In such an analysis, it is important that all of the relevant city characteristics be included in the analysis, since bias can result from improperly omitted variables. 60 A useful way to account for some of an area's housing market .characteristics that may not be easy to measure is to include a control for the county in which each city is located.. That is the approach taken in this analysis.' Thus, such factors as the county's population growth trend, its location in the path of urban growth, county government growth policies, or other unobserved countywide factors are taken into account. At the city level, several local characteristics are included to inform the predictions about housing growth. I focus on measures of city characteristics as of 1990, as these ate "baseline" factors that could be expected to influence housing development trends in the 1990s. The variables included in.the analysis are described below. 1. Housinggrvwth in the prior decade Communities in urban regions tend to persist in their tendencies to differentiate themselves (Farley, 1964; Neiman, 1980). One can expect that cities with rapid rates of increase in housing in the 1980s would continue to grow quickly, although perhaps not at an equal rate, through the 1990s. Cities that grew slowly or shrank would likely continue to stagnate. This variable is measured as the percentage increase in total housing units in the city between 1980 and 1990. 2. Population size:. It is reasonable to expect that large cities grow at a different rate than small cities, all else equal. The natural logarithm of the city population is used because of the highly skewed distribution of city populations. In addition, the ten communities of less than 2,500 population in these tegions, and the two cities of greater than a million population, are dropped because the unique characteristics of very large and very small cities tended to hinder the analysis. 3. Population demiry: Higher densities indicate that the city probably has less vacant land to accommodate additional growth and that new growth may be mote likely to cause spillovers such as traffic of 'Specifically, w=cy -level fixed effects are included in the model for all cities except San Francisco, which is the only city In its county. 61 0 0 parking problems. Density is measured as the logarithm of persons pet square mile, again because of the skewed distribution. 4. Urbanization status: Cities in urbanized areas may find it mote challenging to accommodate new housing because of a lack of vacant land of conflicts with existing residents and businesses. This variable is an indicator, set to equal 1 in cities in Census- identified urbanized areas as of 1990 and 0 otherwise. 5. Age of the housing stock: Cities with an older housing stock may be mote settled communities that have experienced less recent pressure for new development. The variable is the number of years elapsed since the median housing unit in the city was built, as of 1990. 6. Household income: Cities with high- income households are likely to have high land costs, and developers may tend to propose mostly single - family luxury homes. Wealthier communities may also have mote political resources to mobilize in opposition to new development. The variable is the median household income in the 1990 Census (measured for the 1989 calendar year). 7. Seniorcitizenr. Communities with high proportions of seniors may experience less ptessure for new home construction. A large share of seniors implies that there are smaller households and probably less new household formation. The variable is the percentage of petsons age 65 and over in the city population in 1990. 8. Technical workers: As an engine of California's growth, high -tech industties might be expected to play an especially important tole in housing demand. However, aerospace, also a high -tech industry, experienced major declines in employment, so the effects on housing increases may not be straightforward. The variable measures the percentage of the local (working) population employed in technical occupations, as classified in the 1990 Census. 9. job -to- worker ratio: Cities that are 'job centers," with a high ratio of local employment to resident workers, might be expected to attract mote interest from homebuyets and developers. This variable, detived from the Census Transportation Planning Package, is the natural logarithm of the ratio of jobs within the city to workers living in the city, as of 1990. 62 0 0 10. Commuting time:. Cities in which many workers must commute long distances are apt to be less attractive and may experience less pressure for home construction, all else equal. The variable measures the average one -way commute time, in minutes, of workers living in the city in 1990. . 11. Distance to urban centers: Isolated municipalities located far from urban job centers ate likely to be less attractive to potential residents and housing developers. A computerized mapping program was used to calculate the straight -line distance between the city in question and the nearest of a set of traditional urban central cities in California.2 12. Housing element noncompliance: The major variable of interest is whether the city was found to be compliant with the housing element statute, according to HCD, in December 1991. This is an indicator variable, with compliant cities set to equal 0 and those found noncompliant, those overdue, or those having "obsolete" housing elements set to equal 1.3 Numerous other city characteristics were tested in other versions of the model predicting housing development. These included such measures as the housing vacancy rate in 1990, the percentage of housing units not connected to sewers, the percentage of recreational housing units, controls for central city or rural status, the average number of persons per household, and the percentage of various ethnic groups in the community. Each was dropped from the analysis when it proved persistently unrelated to housing growth rates. The effects of compliance 2The central cities chosen to represent historic metropolitan centers were Bakersfield, Chico, Fresno, 1,m Angeles, Merced, Modesto, Monterey, Oakland, Redding, Sacramento, San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Santa Barbara, Santa Crud Stockton, and Visalia. The mapping program calculated distance between each city in California and the ne matone of these central cities, using mapping cootdimates (where a unit of I is equivalent to appruximarely 60 miles). 31 also estimated a differenr model in which cities char had overdue or "obsolete" housing elements were represented by a separate indicator variable from those that were overtly found noncompliant. This estimation strategy was based on the theory that being lare with a housing element.may not demonstrate as serious a problem as being overtly noncompliant However, no substantive differences in results were found from those reported here, with one exception to be discussed below. 63 • 0 status on housing development are not influenced by the inclusion or - exclusion of these variables.' Results of the Analysis of Total Housing Unit. Growth Detailed results of the model, which accounts for 64 percent of the variation in housing growth across cities, are listed in Appendix Table B.1. For our main purposes in this chapter, however, it is easy to summarize the findings: There is no evidence ofa detectable relationship between housing element compliance and the percentage increase in housing actors these cities during the 1990s. If noncompliance were a good predictor of slow housing growth, all else equal, one would expect to find a negative, statistically significant relationship between noncompliant housing elements and the percentage housing increase. However, the analysis shows a positive, insignificant relationship. Thus, for all the potential merits and benefits of housing element compliance, one must look to other factors to explain why.some cities experience rapid housing development and other cities experience little. The analysis suggests that certain demographic characteristics, measures of a community's position in the urban hierarchy, and the physical capacity,of the city to accommodate new buildings are better able to predict housing growth.. For example, cities with higher population densities as of 1990 added housing at a slower rate in the decade that followed, as did those with older housing stock at the start of the period. These results indicate that growth in the 1990s moved away from older, denser communities. At the same time, cities with larger populations, those that were far away from urban centers, and those with long commute times also experienced slower rates of housing growth. Cities with higher -income populations grew more slowly, perhaps 'Cart was also taken to choose measures of community demographics that were not excessively intercotrelated. The median household income of the city, included here, is a good proxy for the overall status of the community., Other socioeconomic variables, such as the unemployment rate, poverty rue, or homeownership rate, are closely associated with median income, but these variables do not show as much association with housing growth. Again, the (non)significance of housing dement compliance is not affected by the exdusion of these variables. 64 because land was more costly or zoned for lower densities. Perhaps surprisingly, the percentage of technical workers among local resident workers was negatively related to the rate of housing increase, quite possibly a reflection of the severe declines that would occur in aerospace and related industries in the early 1990s. The best predictor of housing growth, however, was the city's rate of housing increase in the previous decade. Within any given county, cities that grew quickly in the 1980s were the ones that tended to add to the housing stack quickly in the 1990s.5 After accounting for these trends, housing element compliance as of 1991 provides no additional information about cities' rates of housing growth. Analysis of Multifamily Development Using Construction Industry Data It is useful to consult other data sources as a check for the above analysis, which uses Census data on the number of housing units in each city. I therefore gathered data from the Construction Industry Research Board (CIRB) on the number of housing units constructed in each city in the period from 1991 through 2000. This data source has the additional benefit of being broken down by whether the units built were single - family or multifamily. In most cities in the San Diego, Southern California, and Bay Area regions, single - family units clearly predominated. In fact, in an average city in these three regions, only 27 percent of the new units were multifamily.6 Not surprisingly, therefore, there is a very strong correlation (r = 0.90) between our Census measure of housing unit increase and the CIRB data on increases resulting from single- family construction? When I ran the same regression model as was used for the 5Thc county-level fixed effects were also significantly related to housing growth rata, indicating the regional character of housing markers. 61f data from all cities in these regions are aggregated, the share of units that were multifamily among all new units was somewhat higher, at 33 percent (28 percent in cities statewide). This is because cities that had the highest numerical increases in housing units tended also to have higher shares of multifamily development. 7SpeacsUy, the variable used wu the ratio of newly wnstmcted single- family units in the city to all housing units existing in that city as of 1990. 65 0 0 Census measure in the CIRB single- family increase data, results were thus largely similar. Again, no relationship between housing element compliance and housing development was apparent As a fair -share approach to housing, the housing element statute is specifically concerned with increasing the production of affordable housing. Unfortunately, comparable information for all cities about the production of affordable units appears to be nonexistent. However, the CIRB data allow us to examine multifamily housing production. Multifamily housing includes apartments and condominiums, the types of housing generally most relevant for those at the lower to middle levels of the income distribution, particularly in the coastal metropolitan areas where housing is very expensive. Moreover, analysts have been particularly concerned that multifamily production has plummeted in California since the 1980s. "Whereas multifamily housing accounted for between 45 and 49 percent of total housing construction during the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s, last decade it fell to 25 percent of the already depressed total" (Myers and Park, 2002, p. 2). Thus, the second regression analysis featured in Appendix B examines the determinants of increases in multifamily housing. The dependent variable is the ratio of newly constructed multifamily units (from 1991 through 2000) to all units existing in the city in 1990.8 The results of this analysis again show that housing element noncompliance as of 1991 is not a significant predictor of multifamily development, once other relevant factors are held constant. Although at least the relationship is negative (indicating that noncompliance is linked to a smaller multifamily increase), it is near zero and not statistically significant. Rather, demographic and land -use characteristics of the community are better predictors of multifamily development. Cities $Some readers may wonder why the measure is based on the ratio of new multifamily units to aQ existing units, rather than existing mufnfumdy units. The reason is straightforward. Cities with a very tiny number of existing multifamily units (say, rwo) could add a negligible number of new multifamily units over the decade (say, another two). If one uses the existing number of multifamily units as the denominator, then such cities arc unfairly credited with a huge proportionate increase (in this example, 100 percent). The ratio used in the analysis better characterizes the role of multifamily development in augmenting each city's housing stock. 66 with more senior citizens as of 1990 tended to experience slower rates of multifamily housing development. Cities with more jobs per worker saw more rapid multifamily development. The Mix of New Housing Development Finally, it is possible that housing element compliance could affect the mix of housing developed — multifamily versus single - family — despire its lack of effects on the rare of increase. The third regression analysis shown in Appendix B examines this issue; the dependent variable in this case is simply the percentage than ofnew housing units that were multifamily units, according to the Cl RB. data. Here there is a significant association of compliance with the outcome in question. The results show clearly that cities with noncompliant housing elements develop new housing that is weighted more toward single- family units. In fact, holding constant for all the other city characteristics treated in the model, a noncompliant housing element is linked to an 8 percentage point lower proportion of multifamily housing among the new units. This reduction is considerable, given that the average city saw multifamily units account for only 27 percent of new housing. The only other variables that are clearly related to this proportion are the median income of the city, its job-to-worker ratio, and its rare of housing growth in the prior decade. Cities with lower median incomes and more jobs per worker saw a higher percentage of multifamily development. Cities with slow growth rates in the 1980s also experienced a share of multifamily development that was higher than in those that grew quickly (although the relationship was substantively small). Thus, cities with compliant housing elements in 1991 experienced a more balanced mix of new housing development in the 1990s. In a further rest, I examined whether cities that had overdue or obsolete housing elements in 1991 performed as poorly in their housing mix as those judged noncompliant by HCD reviewers. The results indicated that it was the cities overtly deemed noncompliant, rather than the cities 67 • with overdue or obsolete plans, that had the heavier proportion of single - family housing rather than multifamily.9 Reconciling These Findings What does it mean to say that housing element compliance is not linked to the rate of multifamily development but is linked to the proportion of housing developed that is multifamily? One interpretation, consistent with the fait -share approach of housing element policy, is that thorough housing planning diversifies the mix of new residential development in the community. Units that developers might have preferred to build as detached homes lot that neighborhood groups might have preferred to see become detached homes) are constructed as apartments or condos instead, quite possibly because of an emphasis in the housing element on finding sufficient sites for multifamily development. The results imply that cities with compliant housing elements, although they may not be willing or able to accommodate mote total housing units, are willing to substitute multifamily (more affordable) units for a share of single- family (market - rate) units. The 8 percentage point estimate of that substitution effect in this analysis has a similar order of magnitude to the 10 or 15 percent affotdable housing set -aside that many cities requite of some new developments through local inclusionaty housing policies. Conclusion Much attention and resources are given to housing elements, in part because there is an assumption that noncompliant cities are those that artificially slow the rate of increase to the housing stock Compliance status from a decade ago, however, was not a good predictor of the rate of subsequent new housing development in cities in the San Diego, Southern California, and Bay Area tegions. Rather, housing market and 9Specifimlly, the regression analysis included two indicator variables: one for cities found noncompliant and one for overdue or obsolete cities. Results shoved that all else equal, noncompliant cities experienced about an 8.7 percentage point lower share of multifamily development than compliant cities. Those with overdue or obsolete housing elements had a smaller negative (-2.5 percentage points) but statistically insignificant relationship with the percentage of new housing that was multifamily. 68 demographic factors outweigh compliance status in contributing to variations in.growth rates. The pace of neither single - family not multifamily development is associated with compliance status. Does this nonfinding imply that the resources devoted to the preparation of housing elements are a wasted effort? Not necessarily. It is probably a healthy exercise for local governments to plan for growth and to assess where various types of new housing may be accommodated in the community. It is possible that the very requitement that all local governments prepare housing elements means that more attention is paid to housing needs and mote housing is built statewide, regardless of whether individual communities ate found to be compliant or noncompliant. One cannot be sure, then, that there would not be deleterious effects on housing production if the requitement were eliminated. Moreover, this analysis does not attempt to sort out the relationship of compliance status to production of affordable units, which receive particular emphasis in housing element law. Indeed, when examining the proportion of all units constructed from 1991 through 2000 that were in multifamily developments —most likely to be affordable —we do find that multifamily construction tends to displace a significant portion of single - family construction in cities with compliant housing elements. Nevertheless, it is quite striking that one can detect no measurable relationship between compliance and overall housing production. Cities that made efforts to comply with the housing element statute may have played host to a wider mix of new housing but did not accommodate mote units overall, at least in the 1990s.10 California policyntakets concerned about housing production, and local constraints on housing, may wish to think about other potential policy approaches. The next chapter describes some alternatives. 10A reader of an earlier draft of this report commenced that compliance tutus at the end of the 1990s might better predict housing production razes in that decade. The idea is that many cities that were noncompliant in 1991 eventually gained compliance, and also that municipal policies measured by HCD in the 2000s were likely in effect and influencing housing development in the 1990s. However, when 1 substituted March 2001 housing element compliance status in these regressions for 1991 compliance status, It showed insignificant effects on all measures of housing development in the 1990s 69 0 1. 0 5, Can States Ensure Adequate Local Provision for Housing Development? Given the turmoil over housing element law in California and its apparent lack of success ingenerating more housing; a discussion of alternative policy approaches seems warranted. This chapter does not recommend any single policy change but is intended to help illustrate the. array of options available to state policymakers. It begins by discussing changes that have been suggested by groups in recent years. Sometimes, however, a broader perspective on a policy problem is useful, and therefore the second part of the chapter examines the experiences of three other states in crafting policies that attempt to shift local planning and land -use activities in a more housing - friendly direction. The successes and failures of these states hold potential lessons for California. Alternative Approaches within the Context of the Current Housing Element Law Discussions of problems with the current housing element law among California policymakers and housing advocates have led to a number of proposals in recent years to change tactics. What most of these reform proposals have in common, however, is that they take the housing element approach —state review of local plans —more or less as a given. More Penalties and Prescriptions for Local Governments One approach sees the problem as a lack of serious consequences for local governments that fail to meet the requirements of existing housing element law. Myers and Park (2002, p. 5) argue that "the state needs to place greater weight on localities' production of total housing 71 • •, construction, including a share of multifamily housing, and that emphasis needs to be backed with stronger teeth than at present." Thus, for example, it has been suggested (as in Senate Bill 910) that financial penalties be levied against noncompliant local governments, or that their eligibility for certain state or federal grants be rescinded. The attorney general could bring legal action against communities that persistently fail to comply. Another approach of this type seeks to prescribe local land -use regulation, under the assumption that localities, left to their own devices, will fail to provide housing opportunity. Thus, the state could impose "inclusionary zoning" requirements on all communities, under which all housing developments of a certain size must reserve a share of units for low- or moderate -income households. Other suggestions have included requiting minimum zoning densities in certain areas (such as that near public transit), or a blanket exemption of affotdable housing projects from local zoning or growth controls (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993, p. 112). Innovative approaches to ptomoting affotdable housing need not be state- ptesctibed, however. Some cities, for example, have developed an "affatdable housing overlay" as part of their zoning ordinance that allows a developer to claim a density bonus if his or her proposed project meets affordability standards. Self - Certification Based on Performance Self - certification is the idea of granting authority to local governments to approve their own housing plans without state oversight if they meet certain criteria involving demonstrated housing production. This approach was popular among local government representatives in the mid -1990s (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995). As Mark Pisano, longtime executive director of the Southern California Association of Governments, argued in 1993: Local governments should be allowed to self - certify their housing element reforms. Self-oertification should be linked to a performance review at the subregional or regional level. The right of a third party to request a review should be also allowed. Any conflicts arising from the review should be resolved through a subregional mediation process, thereby ensuring a timely 72 1. 0 0 tesolution of disputes. if mediation is unsuccessful, [HCDI tsmuld review the housing element performance under question (Senate Committee on Local Govetnment, 1993, p. 42). Similarly, Janet McBride, a senior planner for ABAG, testified, "Communities which show a record of success in providing their 'fair share' of housing should be exempt from outside scrutiny of their housing element" (Senate Committee on Local Government, 1993,.p. 49). As a result of these discussions, the legislature passed a pilot program, AB 1714, in 1995. That law allowed communities in the San Diego region to self - certify their housing elements if they had met their fair - share housing needs in the period since the previous housing element revision. According to HCD's housing element status reports, only a few cities in San Diego have availed themselves of this option to date. The pilot program will sunset in 2009 unless the legislature acts to conimue it. Some have cautioned that basing self- certification on strict measures of prior performance may make such an approach somewhat inflexible. During an economic recession of the type the state experienced in the early 1990s, for example, housing production slumped because,of the economy, and few jurisdictions would have been able to meet even 75 percent of their assigned housing goals. Alternative suggestions for measuring performance include assessing whether the jurisdiction has issued a share of permits above the regional average or has approved a certain share (say, 90 percent) of proposed housing projects that are consistent with the local general plan (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995). Subregional Allocations and Joint Housing Elements A number of commentators have suggested that jurisdictions in a subregion should decide collectively how to divide up that area's housing allocations. This approach has been advocated specifically for smaller counties in large mettopofitan, regions, and some have suggested setting up joint - powers authorities as an intergovernmental arrangement to adopt joint housing elements and suballocate fair shares. The aim would then be.forjobs /housing balance within each subregion — probably a 73 more tractable approach than seeking balance within each jurisdiction (Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, 1995, pp. 64-65,79). Subregional allocation has already occurred in some cases; for example, in the decision by SCAG to allow Orange County governments to formulate allocations within that county. It is quite possible, however, that making subregional allocation more widespread would not solve the political problem of how to divide an unwanted responsibility among jurisdictions. Rather, it may merely create a new political arena to haggle over the issue at a smaller geographic level. A provision allowing for greater allocation to subregions was insetted into SB 910, the housing element reform bill, in 2002. Encouraging Transfers of Housing Allocutions among Jurisdictions A number of local government representatives have sought the ability for localities to "trade" or transfer their allocations with each other, presumably in exchange for payments or other considerations. The argument is that housing may be accommodated more easily or economically in some jurisdictions than others, and allowing transfers would enable more flexibility for localities in meeting their housing obligations. For example, a small suburb with limited,.expensive vacant land could transfer its allocation to a nearby community with more or cheaper vacant land or an active housing redevelopment policy, thereby possibly allowing a greater toral number of units to be developed. Section 65584.5 of the government code, passed in 1994, enables transfers among jurisdictions under certain circumstances. This legislation followed two years of debate over the topic, during which various stakeholder groups agreed on a compromise. Nevertheless, the provisions for transfer are quite strict and constrained. The entities engaged in the transfer must both have compliant housing elements, and the "donor" entity must have met at least 15 percent of its housing goals. The transfer agreement must include plans to construct the units within three years (or else the units revert to the donor community), and the COG must review it. The percentage of a community's housing goals to 74 be transferred may not exceed the petcentage of its goal that the community has already satisfied (Cuttin, 2000, p. 11). At issue is whether transfers violate the spirit of fait -share housing policy, which aims at an equitable distribution of responsibilities across jurisdictions. Opponents, including some housing advocate groups, argue that wealthy communities that eschew low -cost housing will be allowed to buy their way out of their responsibilities to their region if widespread transfers are permitted. Another Approach: Rewards for Performance Enticing communities to accommodate housing would not be such an uphill battle if they perceived that doing so would be in their financial self - interest. Thus, creating an element of the state fiscal system that rewards local governments for the addition of housing units, particularly affordable units, would be an approach likely to result in less conflict and mote cooperation. The existing Jobs /Housing Balance Incentive Program, passed in 2000, has elements of such a "rewards for performance" approach. Until it was defunded when the state budget went into deficit, the program authorized devoting $100 million in grants to local governments that demonstrate increased issuance of building permits, if they have adopted housing elements that are in compliance with state law. The housing bond passed by voters in November 2002 earmarks $100 million to continue funding this program. Senate Bill 423, enacted in late 2002, provides some specific instructions on how the funds ate to be allocated. To provide cettainty for local governments, a continuing rather than one -time source of funds for such an approach may be necessary. For example, a regional fund could be established for such purposes as transportation improvements and open space ptotection, with funds awarded to cities and counties that clearly demonstrate that they are taking actions (beyond planning) to accommodate their fait share of units, particularly affordable units. The fund could be financed through a regional impact fee on commercial development in job - heavy, housing - poor areas (Lewis, 2002). Others have suggested recalibrating the local fiscal system so that localities would be rewarded directly (i.e., by formula) for increases in 75 population or housing units. For example, there have been discussions of distributing a portion of local sales tax revenues to cities and counties on the basis of local populations, rather than the "point of sale" of retail transactions. AB 680 (Steinberg), which failed to emerge from. the state legislature in 2002, took such an approach, Of course, such a wide - ranging reform of local finance raises many concerns and conflicts unrelated to housing policy, and thus far such efforts have not succeeded. It is worth noting that state subventions of Vehicle License Fee (VLF) revenues are awarded to localities through a population -based formula. Local officials have expressed worries that the state's current budget crisis may threaten the existence of the so- called VLF backfill, which attempts to ensure that cuts to the VLF in the late 1990s do not result in decreased allocations to localities. Loss of all or some VLF revenues would further reduce local incentives to provide new housing. Relevant Experiences from Other States Other states, including some with equally strong traditions of home nde as California, have also wrestled with issues of inadequate housing production,. mandated fair shares for jurisdictions, and state oversight of local planning. But the approaches taken differ widely from California's, and their experiences may be worth considering. This section briefly sketches the approaches taken in New Jersey, Massachusetts, and . Oregon.1 New Jersey Along with California, New Jersey likely has the most sustained experience with policies that involve state oversight of local housing policy? At fast glance, New Jersey's policy posture toward fair -share !The focus here is only on contemporary policies Char have some analogies ro the California situarion. A comprehensive ezaminarion would need to include the now - defunct New York Stare Urban Development Corporarion (UDC), a powerful state agency with the power m override local zoning to build subsidized housing projects in the law 1960s and early 1970s. Irs zoning override power was larer stripped by char state's legislature. and the UDC ultimarely became insolvenr in the mid- 1970s. 2This discussion of the New Jersey ezpttience is based upon Calavita a A (1997), Haar (1996), Hughes and VanDomn (1990), Listokin (1976), and Weinstein (1993), as well as the websire of the Council on Affordable Housing. 76 9 0 housing production appears similar to California's. The state's 566 municipalities are required to prepare housing elements, are allocated an obligation of low- and moderate- income housing needs, and a state enrity—in this case a Council on Affordable Housing (COAH), created by the legislature in 1985 — reviews local plans. At a more basic level, however, there are serious differences between the two states' approaches. Most important, New Jersey's requirement of a fair -share responsibility on localities to provide a reasonable amount of housing within their region was mandated by judicial acrion —the famous Mount Laurel decisions of 1975 and 1983. The state's supreme court justices drew upon state constitutional language to assert that municipalities had an obligation to admit affordable housing, thus providing more legal ammunition than California's statutory housing element requirement. The court's motivation was largely concern about racial and socioeconomic exclusion in the suburbs, given New Jersey's stark distinctions between older, largely African American central cities and more affluent suburbs. An initially reluctant state legislature followed up on the court's prodding by passing a Fair Housing Act in 1985 that created COAH to oversee the process, thereby removing most of the direct judicial supervision of contested municipal housing policies. In terms of the law's actual implementation, the major salient differences between New Jersey's approach and California's include the following. 1. The fair -share allocation process is state - directed, with no COG involvement, and pertains only to low- and moderate -income housing needs, not "above moderate" needs. These affordability brackets have stricter definitions in New Jersey, however, with the low -income category basically equivalent to California's very- low -income bracket, and the moderate category equivalent to California's low -income grouping. 2. Municipalities are not obligated to have COAH review their housing elements. However, localities that choose to approach COAH and have their housing plans certified as adequate are . shielded from lawsuits by builders for a six-year period. 77 3. Municipalities can meet part of their affordable housing obligations by rehabilitating existing units.. Congregate housing facilities for the disabled can also be counted toward the obligation. 4. The major mechanism for the construction of affordable units is through the so- called "builder's remedy," under which.a developer offers to construct affordable units that go some way toward meeting a community's obligations, in exchange for certain local concessions. These projects ordinarily are 80 percent market rate units and 20 percent low - and moderate - income units. The concession given to the developer is typically a density bonus allowing construction of more market -rate units than would otherwise be allowed under local zoning, and in some cases local government offsets of the cost of the affordable units : Communities that have not met their affordable housing obligations and have not had their housing elements certified by COAH are often approached by for -profit builders proposing such an arrangement, which can be ordered by a court or agreed to by the municipality in a settlement. To avoid such suits, many local governments adopt an "inclusionary housing" ordinance, providing for a routine affordability set -aside of 20 percent of units in any development of a threshold size. During a building boom in the late 1980s, an estimated 15 percent of all developments in New Jersey included such an affordability set - aside (Calavita et al., 1997, p. 127). 5. As a quasijudicial agency, "COAH has adopted a massive body of regulations governing nearly every element or program ... through which a New jersey locality might seek to comply with the Mount Laurel mandate" (Calavita et al., 1997, p. 119). 6. Municipalities in New jersey are allowed to "trade" up to half, their obligated number of affordable units to another jurisdiction that agrees to build the units (or, more commonly, to renovate dilapidated units), under so- called Regional Contribution Agreements. The "sending" jurisdiction, generally a suburb, must pay the "receiving" jurisdiction, usually an older 78 central city, at least $20,000 per unit, although higher amounts can be negotiated. Some view this aspect of the New Jersey system as a "sellout of the original aim of distributing housing opportunity widely. But other analysts note that the trading system has the merit of effectively serving as a tax on those communities that choose to avoid their affordable housing obligations (Hughes and VanDoren, 1990). Thus, the entire community that "benefits" from such exclusion must pay for it; contrast this to the mechanism of the builder's remedy, in which the costs of new affordable units may be cross - subsidized by the market -rate units in the same project, meaning that new entrants to a community effectively pay for the city's past exclusionary behavior. The trading system also has fiscal benefits for distressed central cities. Although a large amount of subsidized housing has been produced under the Mount Laurel system in New Jersey, it has been faulted on a number of counts. Most notably, the emphasis in most builder's remedy developments has been on purchase housing, not rentals, meaning that the lowest - income households often cannot take advantage of the set - asides because they cannot afford a down payment or do not have good credit. Thus, studies have indicated that a typical occupant of a subsidized suburban Mount Laurel unit is a young white family that already lived in suburbia and simply has not yet achieved its full earnings potential. On the other hand, a major advantage of the New Jersey approach is its standardized procedure for meeting local fair -share housing goals—a process that after more than 15 years of operation is becoming routine. The builders remedy approach uses the profit motive of developers to accelerate implementation and to develop far more.housing units than would have otherwise been allowed under local zoning. Massachusetts The first strong fair -share policy approach to housing development anywhere in the country was probably Massachusetts's Comprehensive 79 0 0 Permit Law.3 The law was enacted in 1969 and aimed at opening up the suburbs to affordable housing. It has often been viewed as an attack upon "snob zoning." The Massachusetts law is typically referred to as "4011" in that state because of its chapter location in the state legal code. . Its main strategy is to radically simplify the review process for developers seeking to build residential projects in which at least 25 percent of the units have long -term affordability restrictions. Developers proposing such projects can apply to the municipality for "comprehensive" building permits, through a local Zoning Board of Appeals. If successful, the comprehensive permit issued by the zoning board cuts through local building restrictions and overrides land -use regulations that are inconsistent with providing affordable housing; the zoning board can effectively overturn local zoning in some cases. This enables the builder to use one relatively streamlined process to receive an entitlement to build the project. This local zoning board is charged with bringing to the table all the relevant municipal departments and agencies that have an interest in the housing development for comments and concerns (such as the planning board, fire department, etc.), and with conducting a series of public hearings to air community concerns. The hearings must begin within 30 days of receipt of the developer's application for a comprehensive permit, and the board must decide whether to award the permit within 40 days after the public hearings conclude. Although state environmental and other statutes still apply, local authorities must use the principle of meeting local needs in any denial of conditions that they impose upon the project (such as density or height testtictions). The community is not allowed to impose conditions that tender the proposed project uneconomical to the builder. Furthermore, developers whose projects ate denied by this local process have the option of appealing to a statewide board, the Housing Appeals Committee (HAC), which can overturn the local decision and order that the project 3This discussion of the Massachusetts process draws upon numerous recent articles in the Boston Gate by housing reporter Anthony Flint, materials fmm the websim of the Massachusetts Department of Housing and Community Development and the Citizens Housing and Planning Association, as well as early perspectives on die law by I.ismkin (1976). W be permitted. A developer can also appeal a local decision if conditions imposed upon the project threaten its economic feasibility. However, the developer may only appeal if the locality in which they wish to build has failed to meet certain housing affordability thresholds :l Ordinarily, the RAC first encourages the applicant and the municipality to engage in a mediation process to see if issues can be resolved without a HAC review. In the initial period after passage of the 40B law, progress was very slow, as there were court challenges to the law and frequent proposals in the legislature to weaken it. By 1972, there had been only 35 applications to local authorities for comprehensive permits, and only a few appeals to the state HAC. After six years of operation, the law had resulted in the construction of only about 1,100 new housing units, although more than 3,000 others were planned or pending (Ustokin 1976s pp. 100 -103). More recently, there has been a pronounced increase in the number of projects proposed under the law, with about . 5,000 units produced between 1990 and 1997. Between 1970 and 2001, about 25,000 units in 170 communities had been approved (Massachusetts DHCD, 2001). According to Flint (2002), "Because many towns have put the brakes on all growth and buildable land is scarce, developers say going the 40 -B route — generally large, dense projects that are 25 percent affordable under state guidelines —is the only way to do business these days." However, a disproportionate number of the recent 40B applications have been projects for senior citizens only, which local officials often look upon more favorably. The law is also limited in that it does not apply to many commercial developers. To have the fight to seek a comprehensive permit, the developer must be either a nonprofit or a Gmited4ividend company, and the project must initially receive approval from a federal or state subsidized housing program. In recent years, the Federal Home Loan Bank of Boston has provided substantial subsidies to developers in the program, which has helped boost construction. Although 40B 4The city is exempted from an appeal if at least 10 pa r of in housing units are in projects subsidized for low- and moderaro-income residents, or if such affordable units constiture at least 1.5 percent of the 6tyls land area zoned for residential, industrial, and commercial uses. Few jurisdictions in Massachusetts mat these arena. 81 applications have become more numerous lately, the law has not succeeded in easing that state's.vety serious housing shortage. The law has contributed to a much wider geographic distribution of subsidized housing, with the proportion of subsidized units outside large cities in Massachusetts rising from 31 percent in 1972 to 63 percent in 1997 (Citizens Housing and Planning Association, 2001). A state task force there recently proposed more radical state oversight of local planning, such as overturning local caps on growth (Flint, 2001). Given the shortage of housing subsidies in contemporary California (Little Hoover Commission, 2002), adapting the current Massachusetts statutory provisions to California is unlikely to bear immediate results in terms of housing production. The 40B law reflects its origins as a civil- rights-oriented provision rather than a measure to increase housing production across the board. However, if a California version were to relax the requirement that the affordable units be subsidized by a state or federal source, and perhaps reduce the required share of affordable units to 15 or 20 percent of the project total, it would open comprehensive permitting to a far wider array of projects. Many developers in urban and suburban California already have built projects in which 15 percent or so of the units are affordable and cross- subsidized, in effect, by the market -rate units. Such approaches are mandated by some cities' inclusionary housing requirements. In California, the right of appeal to a statewide board (or perhaps more appropriately, a regional board) could be allowed if the local government has a noncompliant housing element. The Portland Region . Oregon is well -known for undertaking state -level review of local housing plans.5 In 1973, at the governor's urging, the legislature passed a law requiring that local governments prepare comprehensive plans and establishing a state - level, quasijudicial Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) to review them. One of the initial 14 statewide goals developed by LCDC concerned housing opportunity. The LCDC goal required that, as in California, localities inventory 5'Me Portland disc ion draws upon Hammond (2002), Knaap and Ndaon (1994 Chapter 3), Lewis (1996, pp. 179 -182), and Toulan (1994). 82 9 0 residential land and develop plans to encourage the building of an adequate number and mix of housing units for households in various income brackets (Knaap and Nelson, 1992, p. 77). In LCDC's initial reviews of local housing plans, every jurisdiction of more than 5,000 population in the Portland metropolitan area except the central city itself saw its housing elements rejected because they provided for an insufficient range of housing types and prices. The area's regional government, the Metropolitan Service District (since renamed Metro) attempted to resolve this state -local conflict by enacting an . Areawide Housing Opportunity Plan—a fair -share allocation plan that distributed federal housing subsidies in relation to local needs. The plan withered when federal housing funds dried up in the early 1980s, but LCDC adopted the broad outlines of the Metro plan as its own regulation, later codified into state law by the legislature. As adopted, the so -called Metropolitan Housing Rule applies only to the Portland region, which contains about half the state's population. The rule prescribes local land -use mixing, requiring that local government plans within Metro's boundaries allow for at least 50 percent of new residential units to be multifamily or attached housing units. It sets out a "10 -8-6" formula, which requires that the largest municipalities in the region zone for an average of at least ten dwelling units per buildable acre, whereas almost all the remaining suburbs must zone for at least eight units per acre. Five very small cities were given.a quota of six units per acre. Despite local government objections to the new rule, strong support at the state and regional level along with support from an unusual alliance of environmentalists and homebuilders led to the implementation of the plan in virtually every Pordand-area community. The authority of LCDC to fiscally sanction uncooperative localities no . doubt helped speed up the process. The amount of land zoned for multifamily housing increased fourfold to more than one- quarter of net buildable acres. By 1991, vacant residential land in the Portland region allowed for the development of 54 percent multifamily units, and some rapidly growing suburbs, such as Beaverton, heavily exceeded the 50 perceni minimum. 83 • 1 0 During the boom of the 1990s, apartments proliferated in the suburbs of Portland, which helped lead to the recent finding that households below the poverty line in that metropolitan area became less concentrated in the central city and more likely to locate in suburbia by the time of the 2000 Census. Although neighborhood objections to multifamily housing continue in the Portland area, according to one homebuildet, "nobody has been able to keep [multifamily housing) totally out. The reason is because of the [metropolitan housing) rule. Without that, 1 am sure it would have followed the same pattern the test of the country did" (quoted in Hammond, 2002). However, no systematic study of the rule has attempted to determine the degree to which it assists in housing affordability or socioeconomic mixing. Another aspect of Oregon's statewide planning system, the requitement for urban growth boundaries around each metropolitan area, directs growth pressures inward and Probably helps account for the sharp spikes in densities in the Portland region. After all, the increased zoning densities under the Metropolitan Housing Rule do not require that builders propose projects at such densities. In a different tegulatory regime, developers might have found it mote profitable to build lower - density housing in the existing suburbs while also rapidly expanding low - density housing beyond the urban fringe. Conclusion There have been numerous proposals to reform housing element law in California, involving penalties for noncompliance, mote self - certification, or transfers of allocations across communities. Most suggested reforms, however, would proceed within the current approach: state review of local housing plans. A mote fundamental shift would be to directly reward effective performance by ditecting funds to localities on the basis of the numbet and mix of new units developed. The experiences of Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Oregon all offer' different expetiences regarding fait -share planning and state review of local housing policy. Even if none of these approaches is completely appropriate to the California context, some combination of the . 84 0 1 0 innovations attempted elsewhere — comprehensive permitting, state or regional boards of review or appeals, minimum zoning densities, or the builder's remedy —may be worthy of consideration in California. 85 0 0 6. Conclusion Many factors appear to complicate efforts by local governments to reach housing compliance. In some cases, local policies restricting growth or an older housing stock hinder compliance, although it also appears that communities that have remained persistently noncompliant tend to be high - status cities. When it comes to sorting out the effects of noncompliance, however, there is, no solid evidence that noncompliant cities experience a slower rate of housing development than compliant cities, holding all else constant. Thus, given the substantial controversy over the existing housing element law, it is worth considering alternative policy approaches, some of which were discussed in Chapter 5. An important question sitting astride the whole issue is whether the various fundamental values that California policymakers hold dear — increased housing production, an equitable distribution bf housing responsibility across communities, special attention to the housing needs of low -income families, local autonomy and home rule, environmental protection, and more —can all be accommodated within housing element law, or whether there are tensions among them. A secondary question is whether the current approach —state review of local planning for future housing needs —is the most effective use of resources to further these goals. Goals in Conflict Although other states have experimented with different approaches to state review of local housing plans, California has continued with its own approach to housing elements. As in the other states, California's housing element requirement has often gone against the grain of local policymaking because of its regionalist orientation: It asks cities to plan for the needs of the wider region, not just the needs of current city residents. Indeed, the philosophy behind fair -share housing plans is that the local "police power" to regulate land use should be directed toward 87 0 0 the general welfare of the region and not just the general welfare of the specific locality (Listokin, 1976, p. 19). Equitable Distribution or Sheer Production? Beyond this conflict over the local tole, there are mote fundamental value conflicts in housing element policy in California. It took shape in the 1970s in an eta in which there was increasing concern with civil tights and the ability of minorities and low -income families to have an opportunity to live in suburbia, not just in innet -city or rural enclaves. Most of the fait -share plans developed by regions or states in this time period had such equal- opportunity goals. Housing element policy was also concerned with improving the local planning ptocess —a major policy goal for the state through much of the post -Wotld War II era. In mote recent decades, Califomia.policymakers have also become very concerned with overall residential production and the need to increase housing supplies, particularly but not exclusively at the low- and moderate- income levels. Thus, polieymakets have increasingly turned to the housing element process as a tool to ensure adequate housing production throughout the state. But it is not clear that a fait -share allocation and planning process is necessarily the best tool for this job. In the contemporary period, many of the most racially and socioeconomically diverse jurisdictions in California are suburbs (Sandoval, Johnson, and Tafoya, 2002), although there remain numerous pockets of privilege in which low- income and minority populations ate largely absent. In many cases, a greater number of affordable units could feasibly be produced in areas where there ate already sizeable low- income populations than in the wealthier jurisdictions, where land prices ate likely to be much higher. Thus, the goal of maximizing housing production can conflict with the goal of allocating a region's needs as fair shares to each municipality. A scheme to allow widespread trading of housing allocations to other jurisdictions, as in NewJcney, could reduce this conflict, but many housing advocates and policymakers have little sympathy for allowing. high- status communities to escape what is seen as their responsibilities to as 0 0 the broader society.' What the conflict implies, perhaps, is that different tools are necessary to enhance overall production from the tools necessary to encourage equal housing opportunity across jurisdictions. A Mandate in a Vacuum? Then, too, there are the conflicts between the housing element law's single- minded pursuit of increased housing and other state laws that tend to raise barriers for housing production. As already noted, open -space and coastal protections, environmental impact review, congestion management, and farmland preservation are also all encouraged under California law and are not always easily reconciled with housing element provisions that seek to identify many land sites for future housing construction. The state's new law requiring that local governments identify a 20 -yeaf supply of water for new housing developments before approving them also sends a different signal from housing element policy. These potential conflicts with environmental or growth - management goals were recognized even by an early observer of fair -share housing policies: Fait share basically accepts growth, it merely warns to direct it in a rational and equitable manner. The nongrowth or phased - growth philosophy questions whether growth, especially rapid growth, should be mlented. This approach is therefore in contradiction with the rcgional allocation philosophy (Listokin, 1976, p. 137). Devil in the Details Those involved in the debate over housing policy often note how long and highly detailed the housing element statute is. Indeed, when the relevant legal code is downloaded from the Internet and printed, it stretches out over 27 pages. Highly detailed statutes are often evidence of widespread disagreement on.a given policy, as waves of "reform° occur 1Nm Jersey's Regional Contribution Agreements "shifted the rationale of the Mount Laurel dourine away from the broad goal of ending geographic segregation surrounding inner -city minorities and toward the raw provision of low -income housing.... (Homeowners in the sending jutisdictions) are amenable, it turns out, to paying a form of ransom, through taxes, that preserves local control of new entrants while allowing lower-income housing to be built elsewhere" (Haar, 1996, p. 114). 89 in which opposing interests seek to have their concerns addressed and protections preserved in law. What has resulted, in the case of the .housing element statute, is an unwieldy law that is often difficult fot outside observers (including this researcher) to comprehend in its entirety or details. In the 33 years since the housing element statute was enacted, the search for an adequate supply of housing in California has become only mote elusive. It may be a ripe occasion for policymakers and affected interests to regroup and reconsider the goals and approaches of state housing law, seeking an approach that is more wotkable, transparent, and straightforward, with measurable barometers of success or failure. In so doing, policymakets will need to resolve whether the mayor goal of such a law is a sheet increase in residential construction or an equitable distribution of affotdable housing. Using a fait -shate planning approach as a tool to encourage overall housing production may place an unrealistic burden on a relatively fragile, ptocess- otiented policy. 90 • • Appendix A Multivariate Analyses of Housing Element Noncompliance This appendix reports the results of logistic regression analysis of city characteristics that might be expected to influence whether a city complies with housing element law. Chapter 3 discusses the general logic behind the analysis, and Table 3.3 describes the variables and data sources. The dependent variable is a dichotomous measure of noncompliance, equal to 1 if the city is noncompliant and 0 if compliant. If the city's housing element draft is overdue, it is legally noncompliant and is treated as such. Cities under review by HCD at the time of the September 25, 2002, compliance report are dropped from the analysis. The table reports "odds ratios," which represent the change in odds that an average city will be noncompliant, given a one -unit increase in the variable of interest. Odds ratios above 1.0 indicate an increased. probability, and those below 1.0 a reduced probability, of noncompliance. Table A.1 provides results of a main model and an alternative model. The only difference is that the alternative model includes a measure of the degree to which the city planning director feels that the policies affecting residential growth rates have resulted from popular pressure by neighborhoods or voter initiatives (using a four -point scale). However, quite a few planners responding to the survey answered "don't know" or skipped this question, which results in the loss of 41 cities from the analysis. Thus, I am more confident in, the results of the main model. Table A.2 provides summary statistics for the variables in the models. 91 N oO N ' d h 0 q rl C O z 8 N � i� .5 �o W O I� N O W n n O S 0 0 0 S C C O O C CC C C C O C 0 0 0 0 0 N V1 t C O N .+ u> u> W .....yy.. m t W t N �N t-, b .. N mm� •+cd IO IO t"C 0 NPR t�1 t�yV1,N t�1P W tv�M1 V10 N POGO O PPOaO .-. C C .. O C -+ � .. ^ N O• .+ (!� N eN 0 "' 1� 0 W IMPS �O, O� K01, `d; 00 �z0000 O C O C O O O O O O O O O O O O Nt �b Ili N<a bH1 V;C Wti1bV q o o eJ q. o r C N V i Z N N q �C���CO���NeV O'Z t�1 K1�C •`�O u c 0 a "c E0 'ell 1 C ,k1 gA' .9 , o z o V .RL q= :� sq O Oi.�.0 C p 0 Ws OOa�+ �a ag��Uo ZVviVVC3Z 92 .a O p O� 3 z3F� ri 'S C 3 8 e 1'! V 0 E e g R V •� V 6 Q s °z Table A.2 Summary Statistics for Continuous Variables in the Preceding Models Standard Minimum Maximum v rie61r Mtn Deviation Value Value %of residents whim non - Hispanic 49.5 23.8 1.0 . 91.2 % recreational housing units 1.4 4.1 0 34.9 Population density (natural log) 8.1 0.9 3:7 10.1 Age of median housing unit (years to 1990) 30.2 8.7 11 59 Supply of land constrains growth (five - point scale) 3.5 1.4 1 5 Population (natural log) 10.4 1.2 6.1 14.0 Per capita own -source revenues (named log) 6.1 0.6 4.7 8.4 City's % share of local property tax revenues 13.2 7.4 0 47.6 Lack of planning staff wnsmains growth (five -point scale) 2.2 1.1 1 5 . Review of residential proposals gating longer (four -point scale) 1.9 0.7 1 4 No. of overt growth restrictions (of possible seven) 0.7 1.0 0 5 Slow - growth policies resulting from initiatives. neighborhoods (four -point scale) 1.6 0.8 1 4 No. of months since housing element revision due . 35.7 40.3 3 117 NOTE: Values are only for cities included in model in Table A.1 93 0 0 Appendix B Multivariate Analyses of the Rate and Mix of New Housing Production in the 1990s This appendix tepons the results of ordinary least - squares regression analyses of city characteristics that might influence the rate of growth in housing units between 1990 and 2000 and the mix between single - family and multifamily units. The general logic behind the analysis is discussed in Chapter 4, where the section entitled "Controlling fot Other Factors" describes the independent variables employed, virtually all of which are derived from Census sources. An exception is the measure of housing element noncompliance, derived from an HCD compliance status report dated December 31, 1991. The dependent variable in the first regression (Table B.1) is the percentage change in the number of housing units in the city between the 1990 and 2000 Censuses. The dependent variable in the second tgression (Table B.2) is the ratio of newly constructed multifamily units (1991 -2000) to total existing units (in 1990). The dependent variable in the third regression (Table B.3) is the percentage share of newly built units that are multifamily units. The source of the data ognew construction of housing units is the Construction Industry. Research Board. The analysis is limited to cities in the regions covered by the San Diego Association of Governments, the Southern California Association of Governments, and the Association of Bay Area Governments. These tgions had completed their second round of housing element revisions by 1991. Finally, Table B.4 provides summary statistics foi the variables in the models. 95 Table B.1 Regression Model of Housing Unit Growth in the.199os, with County Fixed Effects No. of cities 202 Prob. > F 0.000 Adiusted R squared 0.64 NOTES: Dependent variable is the percentage increase in total housing units (1990 - 2000). Analysis is of cities in the San Diego Association of Governments, Southern California Association of Governments, and Association of Bay Area Govemments and is limited to cities that were incorporated and had a population of at least 2,500 in 1990. Robust standard errors are calculated. County fixed effects are used for all counties except San Francisco and are statistically significant (F = 4.421, p =.000). 96 %Growth in Housing Units Independent Variable Cod.. t -Value P >Itl Housing growth in prior decade 0.174 5.64 0.000 Population size (log) —1.412 —1.73 0.085 Population density (log) —3.216 —1.68 0.096 Urbanized 4.943 —0.28 0.779 Age of housing stock —0.214 —2.16 0.032 Median household income —0.000 —1.88 0.062. % of residents age 65+ —0.243 —1.07 0.285 % of workers in technical occupations —1.079 —1.85 0.065 Joblworker ratio (log) 0.561 0.42 0.678 Average commure time —0.618 —2.08 0.039 Distance from urban center —8.927 —2.97 0.003 Noncompliant housing element 1.473 1.03 0.303 Bo 83.958 3.24 0.001 No. of cities 202 Prob. > F 0.000 Adiusted R squared 0.64 NOTES: Dependent variable is the percentage increase in total housing units (1990 - 2000). Analysis is of cities in the San Diego Association of Governments, Southern California Association of Governments, and Association of Bay Area Govemments and is limited to cities that were incorporated and had a population of at least 2,500 in 1990. Robust standard errors are calculated. County fixed effects are used for all counties except San Francisco and are statistically significant (F = 4.421, p =.000). 96 Table B.2 Regression Model of Multifamily Development Growth in the 1990s, with County Fixed Effects . No. of cries 200 Prob. > F 0.005 Adiusted R- souared 0.23 NOTES: Dependent variable is the ratio of newly constructed multifamily units (1991 -2000) to the rural number of housing units in 1990. Analysis is of cities in the San Diego Association of Governments, Southern California Association of Governments, and Association of Bay Area Governments and is limited to cities that were incorporated and had a population of at Icast 2,500 in 1990. Robust standard errors are calculated. County fixed effects are used for all counties except San Francisco and me statistically significant (F = 1.779, p - .041). 97 Ratio of New Multifamily Units to Existing Units Independent Variable Coef. t -Value P>jtj Housing growth in prior decade -0.000 -0.17 0.868 Population size (log) -0.005 -0.89 0.374 Population density (log) -0.008 -0.78 0.435 Urbanized 0.009 0.59 0.558 Age of housing stock -0.001 -1.26 0.210 Median household income -0.000 -1.25 0.213 • of residents age 65+ -0.001 -2.09 0.038 • of workers in technical occupations -0.001 -0.69 0.494 Job/worker ratio (log) 0.021 145 0.015 Average commute time -0.000 -0.11 0.911 Distance from urban center -0.010 -0.70 0.485 Noncompliant housing dement -0.006 " -1.44 0.151 80 0.211 1.62 0,106 No. of cries 200 Prob. > F 0.005 Adiusted R- souared 0.23 NOTES: Dependent variable is the ratio of newly constructed multifamily units (1991 -2000) to the rural number of housing units in 1990. Analysis is of cities in the San Diego Association of Governments, Southern California Association of Governments, and Association of Bay Area Governments and is limited to cities that were incorporated and had a population of at Icast 2,500 in 1990. Robust standard errors are calculated. County fixed effects are used for all counties except San Francisco and me statistically significant (F = 1.779, p - .041). 97 0 0 Table B.3 Regression Model of Share of Housing Development That Is Multifamily, with County Fixed Effects % of New Housing Units That Are Multifamily Independent Variable Coef. r -Value P>111 Housing growth in prior decade -0.083 -2.30 0.023 Population sin (log) 1.650 0.70 0.484 - Population density (log) 4.804 1.26 0.210 Urbanized -4.259 4.62. 0.535 Age of housing stock -0.085 -0.30 0.766 Median household income -0.000 -2.96 0.004 % of residents age 65+ -0.229 -0.72 0.474 %of workers in technical occupations 0.288 0.17 0.868 Joblworker rado(log) 12.379 3.09 0.002 Average commure time -0.545 -1.19 0.235 Distance from urban center 0.658 0.07 0.946 Noncompliant housing element -8.106 -2.18 0.031 B0 19.049 0.44 1 0.660 No. of tides . 200 Prot. > F 0.000 Adjusted R- squared 0.36 NOTES: Dependent variable is the percentage share of housing units developed (1991 -2000) that are multifamily units. Analysis is of cries in the San Diego Association of Governments, Southern California Association of Governments, and Association of Bay Am Governments and is limited to dries that were incorporated and had a popuWon of at least 2,500 in 1990. Robust standard errors are calculated. County fixed effects are used for all counties except San Francisco and are statistically significant (F - 1.759, p = .044). 98 0 0 Table B.4 Summary Statistics for Continuous Variables in the Preceding Models NOTES: Values are only for cities included in the model in Tables B.1, B.2, and B.3. Commute time is measured in minutes, distance from urban center is measured in mapping units. PA Standard Minimum Maximum . Mean Deviation Value Value Dependent Variables % housing growth in 1990s 9.6 13.7 -9.7 73.8 Ratio of new multifamily units to total 0.02 0.03 0 0.28 - 1990 units % of new housing units that are 29.0 24.7 0 98.4 multifamily lndependent Variables % housing growth in prior decade 25.3 39.7 -7.0 389.8 Population size (log) 10.4 1.1 7.9 13.6 Population density (log) 8.3 0.8 5.2 10.1 .Age of housing stock (to 1990) 24.7 0.7 4 51 Median household income 43,900 18,489 1$635 130,734 % of residents age. 65+ 11.6 6.2 3.5 47.9 % of workers in technical occupations 3.7 1.3 0 7.9 Joblworker ratio (log) -0.1 . 0.5 -1.8 1.8 Average commute time 24.8 4.1 14.1 40.5 Distance from urban center 0.4 0.4 0 3.2 NOTES: Values are only for cities included in the model in Tables B.1, B.2, and B.3. Commute time is measured in minutes, distance from urban center is measured in mapping units. PA 0 0 THIS RAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY • Bibliography Barbour, Elisa, Metropolitan Growth Planning in California, 1900 -2000, Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, California, 2002. Barbour, Elisa, and Paul Lewis, Development Priorities in California Cities. Results from a PPIC Survey, Occasional Paper, Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, California, 1998. Bay Area Council, "ABAG Underestimates Regional Housing Needs," Housing and Development Report, Vol. 1, No. 4, September 1988(a), P. 1. Bay Area Council, "Fair Share Housing Production: How Has the Bay Area Performed ?" Housing and Development Report, Vol. 1, No. 4, September 1988(b), p.'3. Bishop, Amanda, and Jessica Matema, "Housing Bill Pressures Cities," San Francisco Business Times, October 15, 2001. Brownlow, Judith, FairShare Housing. A Partially Annotated Bibliography, Council of Planning Librarians, 1991. Brueckner, Jan, "Strategic Control of Growth in a System of Cities," Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 57, 1995, pp. 393 -416. Calavira, Nico, Kenneth Grimes, and Alan Mallach, "Inclusionary Housing in, California and New Jersey: A Comparative Analysis," Housing Polky Debate, Vol. 8, No. 1, 1997, pp. 109 -142. Carrigg, Dan, "Balancing Housing and Growth Pressures with Limited Resources: It's Time for Leadership," Western City, Vol. 78, No. 4, April 2002, pp. 13,15-16,18-22. Citizens Housing:and Planning Association, Recommendations to Improve Chapter 40B, the Massachusetts Comprehensive Permit Law, Boston, Massachusetts, 2001. Curtin, Daniel J., Jr., California Land Use and Planning.Law, 20th ed., Solano.Press Books, Point Arena, California, 2000. 101 Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), Developing a Regional Housing Needs Plan, State of California, Business, Transportation, and Housing Agency, Sacramento, California, 1988. Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), Status of Local Housing Elements (Period of October 1, 1990 through December 31, 1990), State of California, Business, Transportation, and Housing Agency, Sacramento, California, February 1991. Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), Raising the Roof California Housing Development Projections and Constraints, 1997 -2020, State of California, Business, Transportation, and Housing Agency, Sacramento, California, May 2000. Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), Pay To Play: Residential Development Fees in California Cities and Counties, State of California, Business, Transportation, and Housing Agency, Sacramento, California, 2001. Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD), "Housing Element Review Worksheet," State of California, Business, Transportation, and Housing Agency, Sacramento, California, n. d. Dodge, Shannon, San Francisco Bay Area Housing Crisis Report Card, Greenbelt Alliance and Nonprofit Housing Association of Northern California, San Francisco, California, June 2002. Farley, Reynolds, "Suburban Persistence," American Sociological Review, Vol. 29, February 1964, pp. 38 --47. Fisehel, William A., The Homevoter Hypothesis How Home l4dues Influence Local Government Taxation, School Finance, and Land- Use Policies, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 2001. Flint, Anthony, "Report: Housing Inhibited by Rules," Boston Globe, December 16, 2001, p. B1. Flint, Anthony, "Worries Develop as Town Expands: Affordable Housing Projects Piling Up," Boston Globe, February 10, 2002, p. B 1. Fulton, William, Guide to California Planning, 2nd ed., Solano Press Books, Point Arena, California, 1999. 102 Haar, Charles M., Suburbs under Siege. Race, Space, and Audacious Judger, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, 1996. Hammond, Betsy, "Income Groups Intermingle," The Oregonian, May 15, 2002, p. Al. Hecht, Peter, "Emotional Hearing on Folsom Housing," Sacramento Bee, May 14, 2002. Hill, Laura E., and Hans P. Johnson, Undemanding the Future of CaGfornians'Fertility. The Role oflmmigrants, Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, California, 2002. Hughes, Mark Alan, and Peter M. VanDoren, "Social Policy Through Land Reform: New Jerseys Mount Laurel Controversy," Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 105, No. 1, 1990, pp. 97 -111. Jackson, Carlos, "Realistic Housing Element Law Needed," California County, September /October 1994, pp. 23 -34. Knaap, Gerrit, and Arthur C. Nelson, The Regulated Landscape: Lessons on State Land Use Planning from Oregon, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, Cambridge, Massachusetts; 1992. Lewis, Paul G., Shaping Suburbia. How PoGticallmtitutions Organize Urban Development, University of Pittsburgh Press, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 1996. Lewis, Paul G., "Creating a `Home' for Good Housing Policy," Western City, Vol. 78, No. 8, August 2002, pp. 16-17, 22, 52. Lewis, Paul G., and Max Neiman, Residential Development and Growth Control Policies: Survey Results from Cities in Three CaNfornia Regions, Occasional Paper, Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, California, 2000. Lewis, Paul G., and Max Neiman, Cities Under Pressure. Local Growth Controls and Residential Development Polity, Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, California, 2002. Listokin, David, Fair Share Housing Allocation, Center for Urban Policy Research, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey, 1976. Little Hoover Commission, Rebuilding the Dream: Solving California} Affordable Housing Crisis, Milton Marks "Little Hoover" Commission 103 on California Scare Organization and Economy, Sacramento, California, 2002. Lyons, Silas, `County headers Oppose Scare's Housing Mandate," San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 10, 2002a, p. Al. Lyons, Silas, "Raising the Roof in SLO County: Communities Struggle with Agency's Housing Demands," San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 27, 20026, p. Al. Massachusetts Department of Housing and Community Development (Massachusetts DHCD), "Chapter 40B: Frequently Asked Questions," February 2001, available at www.state.ma.us /dhcd/ Ch40B /FAQ.hrm (downloaded March 28, 2002). Moller, Rosa Maria, Hans Johnson, and Michael Dardia, What Explains Crowding in California ? California Research Bureau, Sacramento, California, February 2002. "Morel Conversion," archives of an online discussion among municipal planners, posted by the League of California Cities, downloaded April 23, 2002, available at http : / /www.cacities.org/doc.asp ?id =3896. Myers, Dowell, "Demographic Futures as a Guide to Planning. California's Larinos and the Compact City, "Journal oftheAmerican PlanningArsociation, Vol. 67, No. 4, 2001, pp. 383 -397. Myers, Dowell, and Julie Park, The Great Housing Collapse in California, Fannie Mae Foundation, Washington, D.C., May 2002. Neiman, Max, "Zoning Policy, Income Clustering, and Suburban Change," Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 61, 1980, pp. 666 -675. Nguyen, Hang, "Cities Dismayed by Affordable Housing Measure," LOS Angeles.Times, April 20, 2001, p. A3. Padmanabhan, Sekhar, "Judge Affirms Folsom Housing Pact," Sacramento Bee, April 9, 2002, p. Bl. Perkes, Courtney, "O.C. Homes Among Most Crowded in the Nation," Orange County Register, June 16, 2002. Rawson, Mike, "Housing Element Law," California Housing Law Project, Sacramento, 2000, available at hrrpd /www.housingadvocares. org/pdf/site/facts/HousingElementLaw.pdf 104 • 1. 1 • Richards, Watson & Gershon, "The Housing Element Statute: A Status Report," Los Angeles, California, March 1998, available at http: // www.rwglaw.com/Articies/Articies3l2. Richards, Watson & Gershon, "New Housing Element Legislation: The End of Mandate Suspension," Los Angeles, California, January 1999, available at http: / /www.rwgiaw .com /Articles /Articies4l4. Sandoval, Juan On6imo, Hans P. Johnson, and Sonya M. Tafoya, "Who's Your Neighbor? Residential Segregation and Diversity in California," California County, Vol. 4, No. 1, August 2002. Select Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs, California Senate, Department of Housing and Community Development v. Housing Needs of the People of the State of California, Senate Publications, Sacramento, California, 1974. Senate Committee on Housing and Land Use, California Senate, Housing Element Law: A Summary Report from the Special Hearing, Senate Publications, Sacramento, California, March 27, 1995. Senate Committee on Local Government, California Senate, Housing Element Law: A Summary Report from the Interim Hearing, Senate Publications, Sacramento, California, December 8, 1993• Shigley, Paul, "Rural Counties Question Housing Policy," California Planning cr Development Report, Vol. 17, No. 2, February 2002, pp. 1, 14-15. Toulan, Nohad, "Housing as a State Planning Goal," in Carl Abbott, Deborah Howe, and Sy Adler, eds., Planning the Oregon Way (Chapter 5), Oregon State University Press, Corvallis, Oregon, 1994. Warner, Karen, J. Alfred Dichoso, Maureen Markham, Michael McLaughlin, and Candace Stowell, "New Approaches to the Housing Element: Case Studies from California, Nevada, and Washington State,. Conference Proceedings, American Planning Association Conference, San Diego, 1997, available at http: / /www.asu.edu/caed/ proceedings97 /warner. hrml. Weinstein,.Alan C., "Exclusionary Zoning in the Suburbs: The Road from MountLaurel to Chester," Zoning and Planning Law Report, Vol. 16, No. 3, 1993, pp. 105 -112. 105 Wisckol, Martin, "Affordable Housing Lacking: 12 O.C. Cities Don't Have Requited Plans," Orange County Region, April 18, 2002. 106 • About the Author PAUL G. LEWIS n U Paul G. Lewis is a research fellow and director of the Governance and Public Finance program at the Public Policy Institute of California. He has authored or co- authored numerous reports, journal articles, and other publications on local government structure, local sales taxes, urban development, transportation policy, regional governance, and local voter turnout. He has also presented his findings on these topics to a variety of governmental bodies and civic organizations. He holds an A.B. in political science from Indiana University and an M.A. and Ph.D. in politics from Princeton 107 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY Related PPIC Publications. Who Pays for Development Fees and Exactions? Marla Dresch and Steven M. Sheffrin Cities Under Pressure: Local Growth Controls and Residential Development Policy Paul G. Lewis and Max Neiman Local Economic Development in Southern Cakforma's Suburbs: 1990- 1997 Max Neiman, Gregory Andranovich, and Kenneth Fernandez Building California} Future: Current Conditions in Infrastructure Planning Budgeting and Financing Michael Neuman and Jan Whittington Homelarness in California John M. Quigley, Steven Raphael, and Eugene Smolensky PPIC publications may be ordered by phone or from out website (800) 232=5343 [mainland U.S.] (415) 291 -4400 [Canada, Hawaii, overseas] www.ppic.org 109 r , . ■li � � iiv A E September 10, 2007 Mr. Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92658 -8915 Dear Mr. Ramirez: RE: Review of the City of Newport Beach's Revised Housing Element Thank you for submitting revisions to Newport Beach's housing element. Pursuant to Government Code Section 65585(b), the Department is required to review draft housing elements and report the findings to the locality. A series of telephone conversations with you facilitated the review. The revised adopted element addresses some of the findings described in the Departments November 2, 2006 review. For example, the draft revisions indicate that Measure °S° (Section 423 of the City Charter) will not impact the development of the sites identified in the inventory (Table H -30 and Appendix H5) due to the increased densities/ intensities established as part of the recent comprehensive general plan update (approved by the voters in November of 2006). Newport Beach should be diligent in monitoring the potential impacts of Charter Section 423 as identified in Housing Program 2.3.1. Should monitoring reveal that residential projects are being subjected to the voter approval process, the City must take the appropriate steps (in a timely manner) to remove governmental constraints and provide adequate sites. The revisions also indicate the City is continuing to work on a comprehensive zoning ordinance update, which when completed, will establish zoning designations consistent with the new land - use designations established as part of the general plan update. However, according to the revised element, the John Wayne Airport and Newport Center areas offer the greatest residential development potential during the remainder of the planning period, through a variety of development strategies, including mixed -use, infill and reuse. Therefore, as described in the Departments previous review, and discussed with you, the element must demonstrate these strategies are realistic and viable such that they can accommodate Newport Beach's remaining share of the regional housing need, particularly for lower- income households. 0 Mr. Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner Page 2 0 Include an inventory of land suitable for residential development, including vacant sites and sites having the potential for redevelopment, and an analysis of the relationship of zoning and public facilities and services to these sites (Section 65583(a)(3)). The inventory of land suitable for residential development shall be used to identify sites that can be developed for housing within the planning period (Section 65583.2). Given that most of the sites listed in Appendix H5 are developed with existing uses; the element must be expanded to describe the condition and age of existing development and describe the realistic potential for these uses to be discontinued and replaced with housing this planning period. The expanded analysis should describe the City's experience in facilitating redevelopment and mixed -use development of non-. residentially zoned sites, including current market conditions, and redevelopment trends. Please refer to the Department's November 6, 2006 review. Also, as discussed with you and described in the Department prior review, given the City's strong reliance on a combination of mixed -use and redevelopment to accommodate its remaining housing need, Policy H.2.3 must be complemented with strong programs and implementation actions to facilitate such development (i.e., specific commitment to provide regulatory and/or financial incentives and promote the development of underutilized and/or mixed -use sites). Under a separate cover, examples of program implementation actions from other jurisdictions that have or are currently relying on mixed use and recycling development strategies will be sent to you. The elements analysis of the identified sites in the John Wayne Airport and. Newport Centers areas must be expanded to include the following: • A description of the impact of parcel size on development feasibility, capacity, and affordability. • An analysis that demonstrates mixed -use development or stand alone residential uses are realistic and viable development strategies for those sites identified in Appendix H5. • An indication whether redevelopment, recycling, or intensification of a site would require lot consolidation to allow additional residential development. + A clarification that the noise and height restrictions set forth in the JWA Airport . Environs Land Use Plan (AELUP) (page 5-35) will not impact the projected residential buildout capacities described in Table H30 for the identified sites listed in Appendix H5. 2. Analyze potential and actual governmental constraints upon the maintenance, improvement, and development of housing for all income levels. The analysis shall also demonstrate local efforts to remove governmental constraints that hinder the locality from meeting its share of the regional housing need in accordance with Section 65584 (Section 65583(a)(4)). 0 Mr. Greg Ramirez, Senior Planner Page 3 E Land -Use Controls_. According to the draft revisions, City staff is currently working on a comprehensive zoning ordinance update to address inconsistencies between recently established general plan land use designations and outdated zoning categories. As indicated in the element, the City Council adopted a resolution (as an interim measure) that allows projects to be "reviewed" in spite of this general planizoning inconsistency (page 5-66). However, the element must be expanded to demonstrate that in addition to "reviewing" residential projects, they can actually receive final approval during the time period which the zoning ordinance is being updated. In addition, the element should also include a timeline for completing the zoning ordinance update. Finally, as indicated in the Departments prior review the element must describe and analyze how implementation of allowed density, building setbacks, height provisions, parking; and open space requirements of all newly established zoning categories, particularly the Planned Community (PC) zone, will facilitate and encourage housing for all income groups. Should the requisite analysis determine the City's new land -use controls will impede residential development, the element must include a program to mitigate and/or remove any identified constraints. The Department is committed to assisting the City of Newport Beach in bringing its housing element into compliance and would be pleased to provide any additional assistance necessary, including another meeting in Newport Beach. If you have any questions, or wish to schedule a visit, please contact Don Thomas, of our staff, at (916) 445 -5854. Sincerely, EXHIBIT 7 0 0 NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL, et al., v. RECLAMATION BOARD OF THE RESOURCES AGENCY OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA, et al., Case No. 06 CS 01228: The following shall constitute the Court's tentative ruling on the petition for writ of mandate, set for hearing in Department 19 on Friday, April 27, 2007. The tentative ruling shall become the final ruling of the Court unless a party wishing to be heard so advises the clerk of this Department no later than 4:00 p.m. on the court day preceding the hearing, and further advises the clerk that such party has notified the other side of its intention to appear. In the event that a hearing is requested, oral argument shall be limited to no more than 20 minutes per side. I. Introduction In this action, petitioners challenge respondent Reclamation Board's approval of two permits (specifically, Permits Nos. 18018 -1 and 18018 -2), referred to in this action as the "fill and encroachment permits ". Both permits are related to the development-of a large area of land, known as the River Islands at Lathrop project, located on the Stewart Tract in Lathrop, California. The project area lies within the region known as the Sacramento -San Joaquin Delta. The so- called "fill permit" (Permit No. 18018 -1), a copy of which is in the administrative record lodged with the Court (A.R. pages 13405 - 13412), allowed the permittees (the real parties in interest) to place fill between pre - existing federal project levees on the outer edge of the Stewart Tract and an interior private levee recently constructed by the developers, with the goal of constructing a so- called "super levee" approximately 300 feet in width. The so- called "encroachment permit" (Permit No. 18018 -2), a copy of which is not in the administrative record, apparently because it has been approved but not yet actually issued, defines flood control easements over a portion of the new super levee and (by excluding much of the top of the levee from the easements) permits the developers to place structures on top of another portion of the levee. Petitioners' claims in this action are two -fold. Primarily, they allege that respondent Reclamation Board violated the California Environmental Quality Act ( "CEQA') in various respects when it approved the permits. In addition, they allege that the Board violated applicable state regulations requiring easements on and adjacent to levees when it approved the encroachment permit. Real parties in interest made a motion to dismiss the petition on the ground that it was moot because work on the super levee had been completed, and on the further ground that petitioner's real litigation objective, which was to block all development of the Stewart Tract, could not be achieved through any relief that could be granted in this action. On April 13, 2007, the Court denied the motion to dismiss. Some of the arguments advanced in support of the motion to dismiss have been repeated in real parties' opposition to the petition. Since the Court addressed those arguments in ruling on the motion to dismiss, those arguments will not be addressed here. 0 0 II. Preliminaa Evidentiary Issue— Motion to Strike Respondent has made a motion to strike certain documents from the administrative record and to preclude petitioners from citing to or relying upon such documents in their argument. The documents are found at pages 22317, 22320, 22321, 22327 and 22328 of the administrative record, and appear to be copies of a -mail, communications between respondent's counsel and various members of respondent's staff. Respondent's motion is denied on the ground that respondent has not demonstrated that it made any reasonable effort to ensure that no privileged materials were disclosed in the administrative record, and did not move promptly to secure the return of the documents once they were included in the record. (See, State Compensation Insurance Fund v. WPS, Inc. (1999) 70 Cal. App. 0 644, 653.) The record in this case was lodged on January 19, 2007. On February 23, 2007, petitioners filed their opening brief, in which they cited to and relied upon some of the documents that are the subject of this motion. Nevertheless, respondent did not promptly meet and confer with counsel for petitioners on this issue, and did not file a motion regarding the documents until March 23, 2007, with hearing set for the same day as the hearing on the merits of the petition, April 27, 2007. Moreover, as petitioners point out, there are other documents in the record that could legitimately be considered to be privileged and confidential, but which are not included in this motion, and respondent itself has cited at least one document in its brief (A.R. l 1215) that might be considered confidential and privileged on the same basis as the documents at. issue here. The present motion, therefore appears to have been brought for tactical reasons rather than to redress a real, inadvertent waiver of privilege. III. Summary of Petitioners' Claims The petition for writ of mandate states six separate claims, expressed in the petition as separate causes of action. The first four allege violations of CEQA and may be summarized as follows: 1. First Cause of Action: Respondent violated CEQA by failing to assume a lead agency role in its approval of the fill and encroachment permits, and by failing to prepare a full subsequent or supplemental Environmental Lnpact Report. 2. Second Cause of Action: Respondent violated CEQA by failing to make findings on the approval of the fill and encroachment permits until after. it had reached a decision on the project. 3. Third Cause of Action: Respondent violated CEQA by failing to make required findings for each of the significant environmental impacts of the fill and encroachment permits. 4. Fourth Cause of Action: Respondent violated CEQA by failing to comply with the CEQA regulatory Guidelines, which are applicable to respondent's actions through its own regulations. The remaining two causes of action allege that respondent's approval of the encroachment permit violated its own regulations relating to levees. Those two causes of action may be summarized as follows: 5. Fifth Cause of Action: Respondent violated regulations prohibiting construction of new structures within an adopted plan of flood control on a levee section or within ten feet of a levee "toe ", as defined in the regulations. 6. Sixth Cause of Action: Respondent violated regulations requiring the dedication of a flood control easement upon, over and across the property to be occupied by proposed flood control works, including the area within the proposed floodway, the levee section, and the area ten feet in width adjacent to the landward levee toe. IV. Standard of Review Because a hearing was required before respondent before approval of the permits, the petition for writ of mandate is brought under Code of Civil Procedure section 1094.5. A lengthy administrative record has been lodged with the Court. In general, the standard of review applicable to this matter is whether respondent abused its discretion, either by failing to proceed in the manner required by law, by failing to support its decision with adequate findings, or because the findings are not supported by substantial evidence in the record. (See, Save San Francisco Bay Association v. San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission (1992) 10 Cal. App. 0 908, 919.) The precise application of this general standard of review to petitioner's claims varies somewhat from one claim to another; thus, the Court will describe the applicable standard of review in its discussion of each claim. V. Discussion A. Petitioners' CEQA Claims L First Cause of Action Petitioners' first cause of action alleges that respondent violated CEQA by failing to assume a lead agency role in its approval of the fill and encroachment permits, and by failing to prepare a full subsequent or supplemental Environmental Impact Report before approving the permits. Petitioners' claim has two aspects. First, they allege that further environmental review was required because the project had changed by virtue of the omission of a key element of the flood control and protection plan. Second, they allege that further review was required to take into account new information regarding the impact of climate change on the region in which the project is located. In order to evaluate this claim, it is necessary to place respondent's actions in the context of the entire River Islands at Lathrop project. The levees which were the subject of respondent's actions were merely one part of a much larger project to develop the Stewart Tract into a residential, commercial and recreation center. The project has been in the works in one form or another since at least 1989, but took its current form in 2002. At all times relevant to this action, the laboring oar in the environmental review of the project under CEQA has been assigned to the City of Lathrop, which acted as the so- called "lead agency" under CEQA. In this role, the City prepared a full EIR for all of the aspects of the project in its original form in 1995 -1996, and another full EIR in 2003 after the project changed into its current form. The latter document was entitled a "Supplemental EIR" (referred to herein as "SEIR "); a copy of the SEIR is in the record in this action. (See, A.R. 7296 - 9230.) The adequacy of those documents under CEQA is not at issue in this action. As an agency that had 0 discretionary approval power over one aspect of the larger project, namely, the super levees, respondent acted as a so- called "responsible agency" under CEQA. (See, 14 C.C.R. section 15381.) Given the location of the project, flood control and protection have been a major concern, from the outset. Accordingly, the developers proposed a flood protection system that featured, as relevant to this case, a system of levees that included the so- called "super levees" that are at issue here, as well as a system of improvements on an undeveloped flood plain and water channel area adjacent to the project known as "Paradise Cut ". The SEIR analyzed the environmental impacts of constructing this flood protection system. The SEIR recognized that constructing levees around the developed area of the project had the potential to increase flood stage elevations in downstream areas during severe flood events. This was because the developed area occasionally had flooded during severe events in the past, but no longer would; thus, the waters would have to go elsewhere, potentially putting more pressure on downstream levees. The SEIR concluded, however, that the actual impact would be less than significant, largely because the improvements, to the Paradise Cut area, which would create additional flood storage capacity and increase flood flows, would be constructed in tandem with the removal of the developed area from the flood plain. (See, for example, the following sections in the SEIR: Project Description, Section 3.4.2, . regarding Flood Protection elements of the project, A.R. 7676 -7686; discussion of Impact 4.8 -m, Hydrology and Water Quality — Surrounding Flood Stage Elevations, A.R. 7968 -7972; and discussion of Cumulative Impacts, A.R. 8271.) After the certification of the SEM the developers of the River Island project proposed to change the sequence of construction of the flood protection system. Specifically, the developers proposed to first build a portion of the levee system around the initial area to be developed, thus removing the developed area from the flood plain, and construct the Paradise Cut improvements later. Apparently, this change was felt to be necessary because the levee system only required approval by a stake agency (respondent Board), while the Paradise Cut improvements had to be approved by a federal agency (the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers), and the federal process was likely to take substantially more time than the state process. The developers therefore presented a "phasing" proposal to the City. Still acting as the lead agency for the project, the City determined that this change made the project sufficiently different that it should perform a review of its environmental effects under CEQA. The City therefore prepared and certified a document entitled "Addendum to Subsequent Environmental Impact Report ", dated July 1, 2005. (A.R. 7114 - 7179.) The Addendum to the SEIR analyzed the flood - related effects of removing the developed area of the project from the flood plain without building the Paradise Cut improvements at the same time and concluded that the impacts that had been considered to be less than significant in the SEIR would remain less than significant under the new phasing. This conclusion was based on a . number of factors, including the fact that only a portion of a "cross levee" projected to be built on the Stewart Tract would be constructed in phase 1, that only a portion of the area eventually to be developed was being taken out of the flood plain in phase 1, and that soil being removed from the phase 2 area in order to construct the levees for phase 1 would create extra flood storage capacity in the interim period. (See, A.R. 7152- 7153.) Following the certification of the Addendum to the SEM the developers proceeded to seek permission from respondent to build the super levees through the permits at issue here. During the course of the administrative proceedings related to the permits, petitioners appeared before respondent and raised the concerns they have raised in this action: whether building the super levees without building the Paradise Cut improvements at the same time would create a significant risk of downstream flooding; and whether the potential effects of climate change (global warming) had been considered adequately in analyzing the environmental impacts of the project. Petitioners asked respondent to perform a new CEQA environmental review of the effects of the super levees. Respondent did not do so. Instead, respondent determined that it was acting as a responsible agency under CEQA, rather than a lead agency, and on that basis determined that it was entitled to rely on the environmental review of the project the City of Lathrop had done as the lead agency in the SEIR and the Addendum to the SEHL Respondent thus approved the fill and encroachment permits without a new environmental review. (See, respondent's Resolution 06 -26, "Resolution Adopting Findings Related to Encroachment Permits No. 18018 -1 & 18018- 2", approved July 21, 2006, A.R. 12378 -12379 (the text of the resolution); A.R. 13324; 13349 (excerpts from the transcript of the Board meeting at which the resolution was adopted, including the final vote); 13355 -13356 (Minutes of Board's July 21, 2006 meeting).) In this action, petitioners argue that CEQA required respondent to perform its own review of the potential environmental impacts of the super levees, because there had been two significant developments in relation to the project since the time of the prior environmental review in the SEIR and the Addendum to the SEIR. The first such development is alleged to be that the project approved by respondent does not include the Paradise Cut improvements, which "recent information indicates... may never be implemented. ". (Petition, paragraph 28.) The second such development is alleged to be new information regarding the effects of climate change on the Delta showing that the project either will have significant new impacts not discussed in earlier reviews, or that significant impacts previously examined will be substantially more severe than shown in previous reviews. (Petition, paragraphs, 29 -30.) The governing statute under CEQA is Public Resources Code section 21166, which provides that when an environmental impact report has been prepared for a project, no subsequent or supplemental EIR shall be required by a lead agency or any responsible agency unless one or more of the following events occurs: (a) substantial changes are proposed in the project which will require major revisions of the EIR; (b) substantial changes occur with regard to the circumstances under which the project is being undertaken which will require major revisions in the EK (c) new information becomes available, which was not known and could not have been known at the time the EIR was certified as complete. With regard to petitioners' claim that the project has changed by virtue of the alleged omission of the Paradise Cut improvements, the standard of review is that the court will uphold the agency's decision if the administrative record as a whole contains substantial evidence to support the determination that the changes in the project or its circumstances were not so substantial as to require major modifications to an EIR previously done for the project. This is a relatively deferential standard that reflects the fact that an in -depth review of the project already has taken place. (See, Santa Teresa Citizen Action Group v. City of San Jose (2003) 114 Cal. App. 4th 689, 703.) The reviewing court may not substitute its judgment for that of the agency, and must resolve reasonable doubts in favor of the agency's decision. (See, A Local and Regional Monitor v. City of Las Angeles (1993) 12 Cal. App. 4th 1773, 1 800.) The agency's decision is presumed to be correct, and the challenger has the burden of demonstrating otherwise. (See, Evidence Code section 664; State Water Resources Control Board Cases (2006) 136 Cal. App. 0 674, 723.) 9 0 Having applied that standard of review to this first aspect of petitioners' claim, the Court finds that respondents decision not to perform its own environmental review in connection with approval of the fill and encroachment permits is supported by substantial evidence in the record. That evidence consists of the City's SEIR and the Addendum to the SEIR. The latter document in particular concluded that deferring the Paradise Cut improvements to a later phase would not change the impact of the project on surrounding flood elevations as previously analyzed in the SEIR. The Addendum to the SEIR was not challenged by these petitioners (or any others); in fact, petitioners admit in the petition that the time for any such challenge has passed. (See, Petition, paragraph 27.) Thus, under the CEQA and the CEQA regulatory Guidelines, which have the force of law, the Addendum to the SEIR is conclusively presumed to comply. with CEQA for purposes of its use by responsible agencies such as respondent, and the information therein may constitute substantial evidence in the record to support the agency's action on the project if its decision is challenged in court. (See, Public Resources Code section 21167.2; 14 C.C.Rsections 15231; 15121(c).) The only exception to this rule is where the provisions of Public Resources Code section 21166 are applicable, that is, where there has been a substantial change in the project. Petitioners have not demonstrated that such a change occurred here. To the extent that deferral of the Paradise.Cut improvements was a substantial change to the project, that change already has been analyzed in the Addendum to the SEM a document that is now conclusively presumed to have complied with CEQA. Petitioners have not demonstrated that any of the factors upon which. the Addendum to the SEIR relied in reaching its conclusion have changed, such as partial construction of the "cross levee ", removal of only a portion of the eventual development area from the flood plain, or excavation of some phase 2 areas to provide material for building the levees. Respondent therefore was not required to do a new analysis of the effects of deferring the improvements. Although petitioners now attempt to allege a subsequent change to the project based on the theory that the Paradise Cut improvements have been omitted, or will never actually be built, there is no evidence that this is so. In fact, all of the substantial evidence is to the contrary. The Addendum to the SEM which is the most recent evidence of the scope of the project, shows that the Paradise Cut improvements are still part of the project, although deferred to a second phase. (See, A.R. 7132.) No evidence in the record has been cited to show that the developers have cancelled their plans to build the improvements. Instead, the record shows that the developers are currently seeking approval to build them from the federal agency with jurisdiction over that portion of the project, and that the federal agency will perform its own environmental review of the improvements under federal law. (See, for example, A.R. 11477; 11776 -1 1777.) In contrast, petitioners have cited only to a few testimonial statements in the record expressing a view, or concern, that the Paradise Cut improvements might be delayed for years as a result of this process, or possibly never built at all. (See, for example, A.R. 9808.) By themselves, such statements are nothing more than speculation and therefore are not substantial evidence that the improvements will not be built. (See, Citizen Action to Serve All Students v. Thornley 0990) 222 Cal. App. 3d 748, 756:) To the extent that petitioners claim that the projected delay in obtaining approval for.the Paradise Cut improvements is itself a change in the project not analyzed in the Addendum to the SEM it is worth nothing that the-analysis contained therein does not appear to rely on any particular timetable for constructing the improvements. The Addendum merely states that the improvements will be constructed in phase 2, without indicating in any way when that will occur. Thus, its conclusion regarding no change in impact does not appear to depend upon timing, but rather on the other factors related to the construction of phase l of the project noted above. Unless those factors change (and, as noted above, petitioners have not demonstrated that they have), the Addendum's conclusion apparently would hold indefinitely. Petitioners may feel that this conclusion is wrong, but it is beyond challenge now. The Court therefore finds that petitioners have not demonstrated that there has been any substantial change in the project related to the Paradise Cut improvements such that respondent was required to perform its own environmental review of the impact of the super levees pursuant to Public Resources Code section 21166. hi their reply brief, petitioners shift ground somewhat, arguing that the relevant change . in the project for purposes of analysis here is not just the deferral of the Paradise Cut improvements, but the fact that the super levees themselves were not part of the phasing proposal the City analyzed in the Addendum. Instead, petitioners argne that the project as analyzed therein consisted only of building a new interior ring levee, which would protect the area to be developed, and which would be physically separate and distinct from any existing levees, while leaving all activities related to strengthening or altering existing levees (i.e., the construction of . the super levees) to phase 2, along with the Paradise Cut improvements. Thus, they argue, when the developers applied for the fill permit they had changed the project yet again, and such change required respondent to perform a new environmental review because the flood - related effects of the super levees would be significantly greater than those of the interior ring levee alone. The Addendum does contain langnage suggesting that only the construction of an interior ring levee, and not the super levees at issue here, was contemplated and analyzed by the City at that time. (See, for example, A.R. 7135-7136,7149, 7153 - 7154.) Even the project description the developers submitted in support of their application for the fill permit suggests as.much, by referring to the super levees as part of "Phase 2A" of the project, and not the "Phase 1" discussed in the Addendum. (See, A.R. 11300.) There is thus some evidentiary support in the record for the concept that the project had changed yet again. Before addressing the merits of this issue, the Court must resolve the question of whether this issue is properly before it. First, with regard to alleged significant changes in the project, the petition does not allege that the super levees themselves amounted to such a change; it concentrates entirely on the alleged omission of the Paradise Cut improvements. (See, Petition, paragraphs 1, 28.) Second, petitioners' opening brief did not present the argument that the super levees themselves were the significant-change in the project, except possibly in very cursory form; once again, they concentrated on the alleged omission of the Paradise Cut improvements. The alleged omission of the Paradise Cut improvements also was the focus of petitioners' presentation at respondent's public hearing on the permits. (See, e.g., A.R. 115394 1540; l 1549; l 1565.) Detailed argument and citations to the record focusing on the super levees themselves as a significant change in the project occurring after the certification of the Addendum appears for the first time in the reply brief. Ordinarily, points raised for the first time in a reply brief need not be considered by the court. (See, Reichardt v. Hoffmann (1997) 52 Cal. App. 0 754, 764.) Nevertheless, in this case the Court finds that it would be in the interests of justice to address and resolve petitioner's claim, because it is without merit. As noted above, Public Resources Code section 21166(a) requires an agency to prepare a subsequent or supplemental environmental impact report where "f slubstantial changes are proposed in the project which will require major revisions of the environmental impact report." Here, .petitioners have not demonstrated that construction of the super levees is so significant a • • change in the project beyond the interior ring levees that were analyzed in the Addendum that major revisions of the Addendum would be required. Petitioners' allegation that such changes occurred is based on the theory that construction of the super levee increased potential downstream flood impacts, which is in turn based on the following chain of logic' the pre- existing federal project levees were likely to fail during severe flood events, thus sending flood waters onto the Stewart Tract; such waters therefore would not increase downstream flood elevations and consequent pressure on downstream levees; strengthening the federal project levees into super levees means that they will no longer fail; thus, flood elevations during severe events will increase downstream, and levee failures and flooding are more likely to occur downstream as a result. This is the manner in which petitioners presented the issue to respondent at the public hearing on the permits. (See, e.g., A.R. 11547-11548; 11569.) This chain fails at the first link, because substantial evidence in the record does not support the concept that the pre- existing levees were likely to fail, but rather indicates the contrary. With regard to those pre - existing levees, the Addendum states: "...a breach of these levees is considered unlikely because it has never occurred before, and because the existing levees are at least 4 feet above the elevation of the 200 -year flood.", (A.R. 7153 - 7154.) If the levees were not likely to fail in any event, then strengthening them would not create a significant new risk to downstream locations. The administrative record as a whole therefore contains substantial evidence to support the determination that any change in the project in the form of the construction of the super levees was not so substantial as to require major modifications to the . prior environmental review done for the project (See, Santa Teresa Citizen Action Group v. City of San Jose (2003) 114 Cal. App. 4th 689, 703.) With regard to petitioner's claim that new information regarding the effect of climate change on the Delta should have compelled respondent to do its own further environmental review of the super levees, three requirements must be satisfied in order to trigger preparation of a new EIR. Those requirements are: l) new information of substantial importance becomes available; 2) such new information was not known and could not have been known at the time the EIR was certified; and 3) the new information shows either that the project will have one or more significant effects not previously discussed or that significant effects previously examined will be substantially more severe than shown in the EIR. If any one of these three requirements is not satisfied, the agency is prohibited from requiring a subsequent EIR. (See, A.Local and Regional Monitor v. City of Los Angeles (1993) 12 Cal. App. 4th 1773, 1800.) In this case, the alleged new information petitioners rely upon all relates to the projected impact of climate change on conditions in the Delta region, particularly projections regarding more frequent and more severe flood episodes. Five sources of that new information are cited in petitioners' brief: L The California Department of Water Resources California Water Plan Update, dated December, 2005. (Petitioners cited this report in a letter briefing submitted to respondent, providing a URL at which the report could be found on the Internet, but the report itself apparently was not submitted to respondent and it is not in the record before this Court.. See, Supplemental A.R. 22392.) 2. The CalEPA Climate Action Team Report to Governor Schwarzenegger and the California Legislature dated March 2006. (Again, petitioners cited this report in a letter briefing 0 0 submitted to respondent, providing a URL at which the report could be found on the Internet, but the report itself apparently was not submitted to respondent and it is not in the record before this Court. See, Supplemental A.R. 22392.) 3. Testimony of California Department of Water Resources Director Lester Snow to the Subcommittee on Water Power, Committee on Resources of the U.S. House of Representatives, April 6, 2006. (See, A.R. 11658-11660.) 4. California Department of Water Resources Report entitled "Progress on Incorporating Climate Change into Management of California's Water Resources ", dated July 2006. (See, A.R. 11991- 12347, and, in particular, Section 2.6.2.3: Flooding Risk in the Sacramento -San Joaquin Delta, A.R. 12077 - 12081; Chapter 6: Climate Change Impacts on Flood Management, A.R. 12245 - 12283.) 5. A statement by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, which is working on a federal Environmental Impact Statement for the Paradise Cut improvements, that it will consider climate change and its effects on California hydrology and that existing analyses in the EIRs for the River Islands project will not be sufficient. (A.R. 11904.) Petitioners' claim that the information presented in these materials required respondent to perform a new environmental analysis of the impacts of the super levees is not persuasive for two reasons. The first reason is that the concept that climate change is occurring and will have an impact on the hydrology of the Delta in general, and on the frequency and severity of flood episodes in particular, is not really "new information" under Public Resources Code section 21166. As respondent and real parties have demonstrated, such concepts were known to petitioners, the public at large, and presumably to California public agencies as well, prior to mid -2005, the date of the Addendum to the SEIR. If the City should have taken such matters into account in the Addendum to the SEIR but did not, such failure, if any there was, is now beyond review now under CEQA. (See, Public Resources Code section 21167.2.) Of course, another way of posing the issue is to say that the issue of climate change as related to this specific project could have been presented to the City at that time, but apparently was not, by petitioners or . anyone else. The second reason petitioners' claim is unpersuasive is that even if it is assumed that the scientific and political consensus regarding the existence and potential effects of climate change has grown significantly since mid -2005, petitioners have not presented any real new information that has emerged regarding the specific effects that are to be expected in the area of the Delta where this project is being built. The studies or documents petitioners cite primarily contain generalized information regarding the potential effects of climate change on the State or the Delta region as a whole, or projections that relate to other areas of the Delta with conditions that differ significantly from those at the project site, rather than projections that are specific to the project site itself. At most, petitioners have argued that these generalized studies suggest that certain higher - severity events analyzed in the SEIR and the Addendum to the SEIR (such as 1-in -100 year or 1 -in -200 year floods) are likely to be more frequent than may have been assumed in those documents, which in turn would lead to more significant effects from the project than have been analyzed. 7 The problem with this argument is that it is based on two propositions, only one of which appears to be supported by information in the cited studies. The first proposition is that there will indeed be an increase in the frequency of such events. The Department of Water Resources December 2005 study apparently does suggest that this may be the case, with, for example, 1 -in -100 year events potentially becoming 1 -in -10 year events. (See, petitioner's opening brief, page 32, footnote 117.) The second proposition is that a general increase in the frequency of certain events necessarily results in an increase in the impact of this particular project, located on this particular site. On this point, however, petitioners have not presented any specific new information which .would permit the increase in high - severity events to be quantified for this site, for this project, in a way that could lead to a conclusion that overall impacts of the project would be significantly increased as the result of climate change. This is true as to both 1 -in -100 year and 1 -in -200 year events, which petitioners specifically cite in their brief For example, with regard to 1-in -100 year events, in relation to which the effects of the project have been found to be less than significant, petitioners do not cite any specific new information tending to demonstrate that an increase in the frequency of such events, by itself, would make the impact more severe. Second, in the case of "extremely rare" 1-in -200 year events that the City's SEIR and Addendum thereto recognize could have discrete impacts when they occur (such as the potential for increased water flow velocities causing significant erosion to levees), but which, because of their rarity and the conservative nature of the hydraulic model used for analysis (see, A.R. 7972), are evaluated in an overall sense as less than significant, there is, again, no quantification of the potential increase in such events that would lead to the conclusion that the impact must now be seen as more significant. The Court therefore finds that petitioners have not demonstrated that significant new information has become available with regard to climate change and its effect on this particular project, such that respondent should have performed a full environmental review under CEQA before approving the fill and encroachment permits. This ruling is a narrow one, and is not a ruling that the effects of potential changes in climate are not a proper subject for consideration under CEQA. Petitioners have made a persuasive showing that there is a growing consensus on the issue that has caused state environmental agencies to give it closer attention. As the projected effects of climate change become clearer and can be related to specific sites, there is little doubt that those effects will have to be factored into the analysis of many projects under CEQA. The present ruling in no way detracts from that reality. All the Court is deciding here is that, applying CEQA as it exists, and applying, as it must, a standard of review in which the public agency's actions are presumed to be in accordance with law and reasonable doubts are to be resolved in its favor, petitioners have not demonstrated that significant new information had become available with regard to the effects of climate change on this project between the certification of the Addendum to the SEIR and the approval of the fill and encroachment permits that was sufficient to require additional environmental review under Public Resources Code section 21166. 2. Second Cause of Action hi the second cause of action, petitioners allege that respondent violated CEQA in several respects when it adopted its findings with regard to the prior environmental review of the River Islands project in connection with the approval of the fill and encroachment permits. (See, 10 • 1 11 • respondent's Resolution 06 -26, "Resolution Adopting Findings Related to Encroachment Permits No. 18018 -1 & 18018 -2 ", approved July 21, 2006, A.R. 12378 - 12379.) Petitioners' claim has three aspects. First, they allege that respondent improperly failed to make any findings regarding compliance with CEQA until after it had reached its decision to approve the permits, and then made the findings as a post -hoc rationalization of the decision already taken. Second, they allege that respondent improperly relied upon its staff to review the City's SEIR and Addendum to the SEIR and failed to perform its own independent review and consideration of those documents. And third, petitioners allege that the record lacks substantial evidence to support the findings respondent adopted. The first two aspects of petitioners' claim raise the issue of whether respondent complied with the law in the procedure it followed in considering and approving the permits. Those contentions therefore raise issues of law, on which the Court exercises its independent judgment (See, Galante Vineyards v. Monterey Peninsula Water Management District (1997) 60 Cal. App. 4'" 1109, 1117.) As stated above, respondent's action is presumed to be in accordance with the law, and the challenger has the burden of demonstrating otherwise. (See, Evidence Code section 664; State Water Resources Control Board Cases (2006) 136 Cal. App. 46 674, 723.) The Court has reviewed the record as it relates to the manner in which respondent. proceeded in considering and approving the permits, and has exercised its independent judgment on the evidence in the record. On the basis of such evidence, the Court finds that the record does not support petitioners' contention that respondent made after- the -fact findings and failed to perform its own independent review and consideration of the earlier environmental documents. Instead, the record demonstrates that respondent addressed this matter at two separate public meetings, first considering evidence relating to the .permits and making findings, and thereafter having the findings put into formal written form to. be adopted at the second meeting. Thus, the record shows that at the first public meeting, on June 16, 2006, respondent heard and considered testimony from its own staff and outside witnesses on two primary.topics: that the action it proposed to take (approval of the super levees) would not have a significant effect on Delta hydrology; and that prior environmental reviews by the City of Lathrop (which had been reviewed by respondent's stag had already reached the conclusion that the project would not have a significant effect on Delta hydrology. On the basis of that testimony, respondent determined that CEQA had been complied with (thus implicitly determining that no further environmental review was required), and directed staff to prepare formal written findings which would be adopted at a subsequent public meeting. (See, e.g., A.R. 11480, 11549-11553; 11586 -1 1592; 11630; 11641 -1 1643.) The record further shows that at the second public meeting, on July 21, 2006, respondent formally adopted the written findings that had been prepared by its staff counsel. (See, e.g., A.R. 13349.) Taken as a whole, therefore, the record demonstrates that respondent considered the evidence before making its decision on the permits, made the CEQA findings when making that decision, and thereafter confirmed the findings in written form. The fact that the individual members of respondent Board appear to have relied. on staff recommendations and testimony regarding the City's prior environmental review, rather than reading the SEIR and the Addendum to the SEIR themselves, does not amount to a violation of CEQA. The substance of those prior r documents was before respondent through the staff recommendation and testimony. Petitioners have not demonstrated that the substance or findings of the prior environmental documents were in any way misrepresented to the members of respondent Board. Respondent was free to adopt or reject the staff recommendation, and heard and considered contrary testimony from representatives of petitioners and others. Thus, the Court does not find that respondent failed to independently consider the substance of the prior environmental review in making its decision. Petitioners attempt to attack the findings by arguing that there is no evidence in the record to demonstrate that the Addendum to the SEIR actually had been received and considered by the Board's Environmental Review Committee, which made the staff recommendation regarding CEQA compliance, prior to the date of the approval of the permits. In support of this argument, petitioners cite to the staff report for the June 16, 2005 meeting (A.R. 11286-11288), and to the Environmental Review Committee memorandum dated February 6, 2006 (A.R. 11323- 11329), and to certain internal e-mail communications (such as the July 20, 2006 message at A.R. 22328), which were the subject of respondent's separate motion to strike. None of these documents specifically list the Addendum to the SEIR as being among the documents that had been reviewed. This omission may be curious, but the Court does not find it to be determinative, because the substance of the Addendum's conclusions, if nothing else, clearly was before respondent when it approved the permits. At the June 16, 2006 hearing, Sean Bechta, a representative of EDAW, the entity that performed the environmental review of the River Islands project on behalf of the City of Lathrop, specifically testified as to the existence and conclusions of the Addendum. (See, A.R. 11586-11592.) Petitioners have not demonstrated that this testimony in any way misrepresented the substance of the Addendum; in fact, it is confirmed by the Addendum, which is in the record before the Court. Thus, respondent was not deprived of the information contained in the Addendum that was relevant to the issues before it. Thus, even if the Court were to find that respondent technically erred by acting without having the Addendum in its possession, any such error was not prejudicial. An error is prejudicial where it results in the omission of material information necessary to informed decisionmaking and informed public participation. (See, County ofAmador v. El Dorado County Water Agency (1999) 76 Cal. App. 0 931, 946.) Here, accurate information regarding the conclusions of the Addendum was before respondent (and was aired at a public hearing) when respondent acted. Moreover, since the Addendum was never challenged in court, respondent was legally bound to accept its conclusions in the absence of changes in the project or significant new information. Thus, respondent could not.have reached any different conclusion regarding further environmental review based on the facts present here. Finally, respondent's written findings were not mere "boilerplate ", but instead, succinctly described what was done: that the permits were approved after a thorough review of the environmental effects of the project, including that which had been done in connection with the SEIR and the Addendum to the SEIR. Nor did the findings amount to a mere post hoc rationalization of a decision already taken; instead, they reflected in writing the rationale respondent and staff articulated on the record at the June 16, 2006 meeting. (See, La Costa Beach Homeowners' Association v. California Coastal Commission (2002) 101 Cal. App. 0 804, 819 -820.) Petitioners therefore have not demonstrated that this procedure violated the law. The third aspect of petitioners' claim in the second cause of action, that respondent's findings are not supported by substantial evidence, is very similar to the claim set forth in the fast cause of action, and is subject to the same standard of review discussed in connection with 12 • s that cause of action. In light of the Court's ruling on the first cause of action, no extended discussion is necessary here. As discussed above, respondent's finding that CEQA had been complied with through the City's environmental review of the River Islands project is supported by substantial evidence in the form of the SEIR and the Addendum to the SEIR. Moreover, as noted above, respondent heard and considered testimony from its own staff and outside witnesses to the effect that approval of the permits would not create any new or additional environmental impact. Such testimony is substantial evidence in support of respondent's findings, notwithstanding the fact that there also may be contrary evidence in the record; the Court does not re -weigh the evidence in applying the substantial evidence test. (See, Laurel Heights Improvement Association v. Regents of the University of California (1988) 47 Cal. 3d 376, 393.) 3. Third Cause of Action In the third cause of action, petitioners allege that respondent violated CEQA by not making written findings with a brief explanation supported by substantial evidence in the record for each of the significant effects identified in the EIR within its jurisdiction. Presumably. this is a reference to effects that had been identified in the City's prior environmental review documents. Petitioners specifically mention significant impacts that had been identified related to seismic hazards, corrosive soils and the shrinking and swelling of soils. (See, Petition, paragraph 40.) In their briefing, petitioners argue that respondents findings, as expressed in its July 21, 2006 Resolution, lack sufficient specificity to satisfy CEQA, being "wholly conclusory" and thereby failing to "disclose the analytic route the agency traveled from evidence to action ". (Petitioners' opening brief, page 38:1 1 -16, citing Village Laguna of Laguna Beach, Inc. v. Board of Supervisors (1982) 134 Cal. App. 3d 1022, 1034-1035.) This argument is not persuasive. The findings clearly disclose that respondent approved the fill and encroachment permits without a new environmental review after reviewing the CEQA documents prepared by the City of Lathrop and finding that those documents had covered all potential environmental impacts related to the super levees. As described above in connection with the Court's ruling on.the first cause of action, in the absence of siguificant changes to the project or significant new information, respondent was legally required to do so. The findings expressed in the Resolution adequately describe this process and therefore meet.the requirement that they be sufficiently specific to reveal the analytic route respondent traveled from evidence to final action. (See, Topanga Association for a Scenic Community v. County of Los Angeles (1974) 11 Cal. 3d 506, 515.) Even if a more detailed .presentation could have been done, the rule applicable to CEQA findings is that technical perfection is not required; instead of looking for an exhaustive analysis, courts look for adequacy, completeness and a good faith effort at full disclosure. Respondent's findings satisfy that standard. Petitioners further argue that even if the findings are sufficiently specific, they are not supported by substantial evidence. Here, petitioners focus on the statement in the Resolution that respondent's Environmental Review Committee had "...determined that all environmental impacts within the responsibility of the.Board had been mitigated or avoided ". (A.R. 12378.) The argument is based upon citations to documents in the record that petitioners contend demonstrate the following: that the Committee made its determination only one day after receiving the EIR, and therefore did not have sufficient time to review the City's environmental documents before making its determination; that the Committee acted prematurely because it made its recommendation before knowing the true scope of the project (i.e., the work to be done under the 13 • 0 fill and encroachment permits); and that all the Committee really determined was that a prior EIR had been done, not whether it actually dealt with the relevant impacts. (See, record evidence cited in petitioners' opening brief, page 39, footnotes 135 -136.) The Court notes that the cited evidence does not necessarily prove the points petitioners advance. More fundamentally, however, petitioners' argument is somewhat beside the point As set forth above, the Addendum to the SEIR specifically found that building levees to remove a portion of the area to be developed from the flood plain without building the Paradise Cut improvements at the same time would not cause any significant environmental impacts in terms of hydrology and flooding. Those are the impacts within the responsibility of respondent. The Addendum is therefore substantial evidence in support of the challenged finding that all environmental impacts within the responsibility of the Board had been mitigated or avoided. This is true no matter what the Environmental Review Committee did. The issue petitioners raise regarding seismic hazards, corrosive soils and the shrinking and swelling of soils requires a more extended discussion. In the SEM the City identified each of these impacts as being significant before mitigation, and less than significant after mitigation. In each case, the mitigation measure that reduced the impact to less than significant was the requirement that a design -level geotechnical study should be completed for each project development, specifically including each levee segment, before a construction permit (referred to in the SEIR as a "grading permit ") was issued. The issues to be addressed specifically in the geotechnical studies are set forth in the SEIR. (See, SEM Summary of Impacts 4.7-e, 4.7 -f and 4.7 -g, p. 2- 37 -2 -38, A.R. 7606 -7607; and 4.7- 21-4.7-22, A.R. 7907- 7908.) The Addendum to the SEIR found that the new phasing scenario for the project would not change the analysis of impacts in these areas. (See, Addendum to SEM p. 3 -7, A.R. 7147.) Thus, the Addendum carved forward the conclusion that impacts in these areas would be less than significant if mitigated as set forth in the SEM i.e., through preparation of geotechnical studies. Respondent's findings, as expressed in. its July 21, 2006 Resolution, state, on the basis of the City's CEQA documents and other substantial evidence it received and considered, that all environmental impacts within its area of responsibility had been "...mitigated or avoided as the result of changes, alterations and mitigation. measures incorporated into the project". (See, A.R- 12378-12379.) Because respondent was, in effect, acting on the construction permit for the super levees, this finding must be interpreted, in connection with the three impacts at issue here, as a finding that such impacts had, in fact, been mitigated to it level of less than significant through the preparation of geotechnical studies addressing the areas of concern set forth in the SEIR. The issue before the Court, then, is whether that finding is supported by substantial evidence in the record in the form of such geotechnical studies. Where, as here, an administrative decision is challenged as being unsupported by substantial evidence in light of the record as a whole, it is the challenger's burden to demonstrate that the administrative record does not contain sufficient evidence to support the decision. A one -sided presentation that recites only the evidence that supports the challenger's position is not the demonstration contemplated by this rule. Instead, if petitioners contend that some particular issue of fact is not sustained, they are required to set forth in their brief all the material evidence on the point and not merely their own evidence. Unless this is done, the error is deemed to be 14 0 0 waived. (See, State Water Resources Control Board Cases (2006) 136 Cal. App. 4r' 674, 749- 750.) Petitioners' presentation on this issue is not in accordance with the rule. In their opening brief, petitioners cite only to evidence that they contend supports their position that impacts related to potential earthquakes and soil stability had not been addressed. (See, petitioners' opening brief, page 41 and footnotes 141 -143.) No reference is made to any evidence that might support the finding, even though the evidence petitioners cite appears to make reference to some such materials, including the following: a Preliminary Levee Evaluation for the project prepared by ENGEO, Inc., dated March 26, 2002 (see, A.R. 5561); ENGEO, hic.'s Response to Review Comments on the preliminary levee evaluation and a preliminary geotechnical study for the project, dated May 11, 2005 (see, A.R. 5561 - 5581); additional geotechnical studies referred to in the previous document that were projected to be done thereafter; and a revised slope stability model for the cross levee (see, A.R. 21210). There may well be other materials relevant to these issues somewhere in the 22,000+ page administrative record, but petitioners mention none, not even for the purpose of refuting them. Any error in respondent's findings is therefore deemed to be waived. Moreover, at least one of the documents petitioners cite does not really support their . position that seismic impacts, at least, have not been mitigated or avoided. The March 28, 2006 e-mail message from Ryan Olsen to Ron Heinzen states: "I understand that much of the existing levee will be buttressed and built up to a width of approximately 300 feet Where this is the case, we feel that this will provide adequate protection even.in the case of an earthquake." (See, A.R. 21210.) Finally, without addressing the evidence that might support the finding and demonstrating that it does not, in fact, do so, petitioners, at most, have shown that there is a disagreement among experts on the issue of whether these particular impacts have been mitigated. It is not the task of the courts to re -weigh evidence and resolve disputes over the adequacy of mitigation measures. (See, Laurel Heights Improvement Association v. Regents of the University ofCaiifornia (1988) 47 Cal. 3d 3765 393.) The Court therefore finds that petitioners have not demonstrated that respondent violated CEQA in any of the ways alleged in the third cause of action. 4. Fourth Cause of Action The fourth cause of action alleges that respondent violated its own regulations by failing to comply with CEQA in approving the permits. Respondent's regulations incorporate the CEQA regulatory guidelines and make them applicable to its actions. (See, 23 C.C.R. 191.) Thus, to the extent that respondent violated CEQA regulatory guidelines, it also violated its own regulations. This cause of action contains nothing new of substance relating to alleged violations of CEQA that has not been discussed and resolved in connection with the first three causes of action. The Court's ruling on this cause of action is therefore embraced within its rulings on the first three causes of action, set forth above. B. Petitioners' Regulatory Claims: Fifth and Sixth Causes of Action The fifth and sixth causes of action may be analyzed together, because both allege that respondent violated applicable law when it granted the encroachment permit (Permit No. 18018- 15 2). The alleged violation of law is two -fold: l) respondent did not require dedication of a flood control easement over the entire super levee plus ten feet beyond the landward levee "toe'; 2) respondent's requirement of a limited easement will have the effect of allowing structures to be built on top of a portion of the levee, which is prohibited by law unless respondent grants a variance. As noted above, there is no actual Permit No. 18018 -2 in the administrative record. Although respondent has approved the permit on the record at a public meeting, the physical permit apparently has not yet been completed by respondent's staff. Nevertheless, it is possible to determine the terms of the permit from the record. (See, A.R. 11873- 11900: Transcript of respondent's hearing dated June 26, 2006 and Minutes thereof.) Essentially, respondent decided to require an easement made up of two "zones ", denominated Zone A and Zone B. Zone A was described as consisting of the "...typical Reclamation Board easement consistent f sic]'of a three -to -one water -side slope, 20400t crown width, two -to -one slope on the levee along the land side down to the original ground, plus a ten - foot easement beyond that...." (A.R. 11873.) Zone B was described as an "...excavation easement that would allow us to reach, since there's being placed over top of what the Board is responsible for, would allow us to reach the area that is required in the Board's regs as defined by Zone A at anytime in the future." (A.R. 11874.) No encroachments or structures would be permitted in Zone A, while non - habitable structures would be permitted in Zone B (subject to removal in case of need to excavate). (A.R. 11900.) The parties agree that the effect of approving this proposal was that a large part of the top of the super levee was not covered by the easement, and thus would not be considered to be within respondent's regulatory jurisdiction; meaning that structures such as houses could be built on that portion of the levee top without respondent's approval. Resolution of the claims contained in the fifth and sixth causes of action requires the Court to interpret and apply the applicable law, specifically, respondent's own regulations regarding flood control easements and structures on levees. Petitioners' contentions therefore raise issues of law, on which the Court exercises its independent judgment. (See, Galante Vineyards v. Monterey Peninsula Water Management District (1997) 60 Cal. App. 0 1109, 1117.) Even so, courts may give great weight to an administrative agency's interpretation of its own regulations where the subject matter is technical, obscure, complex, open - ended, or entwined with issues of fact, policy and discretion. (See, Simi Corp. v. Garamendi (2003) 109 Cal. App. 48' 1496, 1504 -1505.) The agency's interpretation of the regulations is not entitled to any particular weight, however, where it is clearly erroneous or unauthorized. (See, Overaa Construction v. California Occupational Safety and Health Appeals Board (2007) 147 Cal. App. 4'h 235, 244245.) The law governing easements and structures on flood control levees is found in regulations promulgated by respondent Easements are governed by 23 C.C.R. section 120(ax5), which provides that when levees are "constructed, reconstructed, raised, enlarged or modified ", the builder shall provide respondent with a permanent easement, which must include "...the levee section, and the area ten (10) feet in width adjacent to the landward levee toe if the area is not presently encumbered by a board easement." 16 0 0 Structures on levees are governed by 23 C.C.R. section 113(b)(6)(a), which states that structures "...may not be constructed on a levee section or within ten (10) feet of a levee toe." (Respondent has authority to grant a variance under 23 C.C.R. section 1 L) The term "levee section" is defined in 23 C.C.R. section 4(r) to mean "the physical levee structure from the landward toe to the waterward toe ". The term "levee toe" is defined in 23 C.C.R. section 4(s) to mean "the point of intersection of the levee slope with natural ground ". Applying this law to the action respondent took with regard to the easement, the Court finds that respondent did not comply with the law. By placing fill in between the existing federal levees and the internal private levee to create a larger "super levee ", the developers either "reconstructed ", "enlarged" or "modified" the existing levee. That reconstruction /enlargement/modification resulted in a new levee with a new landward toe. Under the plain meaning of the cited regulations, respondent should have required the builders to provide an easement over the entire physical levee structure from one toe to the other, and ten feet beyond the new landward toe. Respondent did not do so. Instead, it retained an easement over only a portion of the enlarged levee, apparently on the theory that the easement was proper as long as it still covered the whole of the original federal levee. The regulations not only provide no explicit support for this approach, they explicitly seem to rule it out, by providing that an easement must cover the entire physical levee structure when a levee is "enlarged ". That is exactly. what occurred here. There is no regulatory exception permitting easements over only a portion of larger levees. For similar reasons, respondent did not comply with the law when it effectively permitted structures to be built on a portion of the top of the super levee. The plain meaning of the applicable regulations is that no structures may be built on the physical levee structure from one toe to the other. The only apparent exception would be where a variance is properly granted. There is no regulatory exception for enlarged or oversized levees. To the extent that respondent's decision in this situation represents an administrative interpretation of the applicable regulations, the Court finds that it is clearly erroneous and unauthorized because -it contravenes the plain meaning of the regulations. Such interpretation is therefore entitled to no particular weight or deference. Moreover, there is no evidence in the record that respondent ever has applied the easement regulations in this manner in any other, situation. To the extent that there is any evidence in the record regarding respondent's interpretation of the regulation before granting this permit, it is to the contrary. See, for example, the testimony of respondent's Chief Engineer at respondent's November 15; 2002 meeting (A.R. 1477 - 1489); and the document entitled "Staff Discussion — Landside Levee Embankment Fill ", dated December 8, 2003 (A.R. 13599). C. Defenses of Riaeness and Laches In addition to arguing that this matter is moot, real parties in interest assert two other defenses to the petition. The first defense is based on the contention that this matter is not yet ripe, because petitioners' challenge, insofar as it relates to the flood - related impacts of the super levees, must be seen as actually directed at the still -to-be completed environmental review of the Paradise Cut 17 0 0 improvements. This contention is not persuasive. Petitioners' challenge is narrowly focused on the approval of the fill and encroachment permits. The issues petitioners have raised regarding easements and structures on the super levee are entirely separate from any issue of hydrology or flood - related impacts. Moreover, this defense is essentially moot as to petitioner's CEQA claims in light of the Court's ruling that they have not prevailed on those claims. The second is based on the allegation of ]aches, and asserts that petitioners unreasonably delayed in challenging the project until the developers. had spent significant sums on it in reliance on respondent's approval of the fill permit, in particular, on the construction of the super levee. Even though it appears to be true that a considerable expenditure has been made, the Court finds that (aches does not provide a basis for denying the petition. It is really only petitioners' CEQA claims that could have in any way put general development expenditures or those made to construct the super levee at risk, since it was only those claims that theoretically could have resulted in that work having to be stopped or undone. Petitioners have not prevailed on those claims. The Court's ruling regarding the regulatory claims, on the other hand, affects only what can be done on top of the super levees. There is no showing that the real parties in interest have spent any significant sums on development atop the levees. Thus they have not shown that petitioners' regulatory claims should be barred by laches. VI. Conclusion . For the reasons set forth above, the Court finds that petitioners have not demonstrated that respondent violated CEQA in connection with its approval of the fill and encroachment permits. The Court therefore denies the petition for writ of mandate with regard to petitioner's CEQA claims. The Court does find, however, that respondent violated applicable regulatory law in connection with its approval of the encroachment permit when it failed to require an easement over the entire physical levee structure from one toe to the other, and ten feet beyond the new landward toe, and thereby permitted structures to be built atop a portion of the levee. The petition for writ of mandate is therefore granted with regard to petitioners' regulatory claims. In the event that this tentative ruling becomes the final ruling of the Court, counsel for petitioners is directed to prepare the final order and judgment granting the petition in part and denying it in part, as set forth above, and an appropriate writ of mandate, according to the procedures set forth in.Rule of Court 3.1312. 18 EXHIBIT 8 ....... ............................... .... SUPERIOR COURT FOR THE STATE OF CALffORNIA, COUNTY OF NAPA AMERICAN CANYON COMMUNITY UNITED FOR RESPONSIBLE CROVrM Pelitiow. VS. CITY OF AMERICAN CANYON. BY AND THROUGH THE CITY COUNCIL, et al., Defendants, LAKE STREET VENTURES, LLC. et al- Real Parties -in- Loosest. 1-r 1 LcnnJ AupaNa 1 m"K t'LANNmu, at Al, Petitioners, V3. CITY OF AMERICAN CANYON. BY AND THROUGH THE CITY COUNCI4 iK al., Defendanu. LAKE STREET VENTURES, LLC, et al.. Reel Parties -In- Interest. Case No.: 26 -27462 Order Diachasging the Writ of Mandate Case No.: 26.27534 Order Dischmging tlae Writ of Mandate Ovda INsdaFft tltwrit afMwAmc Ce WK 2547462 m 2637511 s'd - -- • • JIMODUMON in these eombdated actions, Petitioners American Canyon Comeuunity United for . Responsible Growth (Am Can) and Citizens Against Poor Planning and Stacy Su (CAPP) (Collectively the Citizen Groups) petitioned this court for a writ of mandate to direct the City of American Canyon by and through the City Council (the City), to set aside and void all of its approvals, resointions and permits relodng to the lam Junction Project Phase II (the Project). The Count bad denied the petitions. but the Citizen Groups appealed that decision, which was ultimately reversed by the Court of Appeal in Amarkan Cmryon Comstmmiry United jor. Responsible Growth Y. City ofAmeriem Canyon (20067 145 Cal[App.4th 1062. The court of Appeal remanded the matters back to this court with insnuctioas "to issue a writ of nw xh to requiring the City to comply with Public Resources Code section 21166 and its own zoning code, consistent with the views expressed in the opldon.•t (Id at p. 1085.) This court did issue the writ of mandate as instructed by the court of Appeal and ordered the City to file a return to the writ to show compliance therewith. On April 26, 2007, the City filed a return to the writ of mandate indicalingthat an April 24,2W7, after a dnly noticed public hearing at which doeomemary evidence and public testimony were received, the City to- approved the Pr4ectafter approving and certifying an addendum (the Addendum) to theprevioualy certified mitigated negative declaration (MND), as . weir as approval of the various land use permits at issue. The CAPP petitioners object to the return on the basis that the Addendum is legally insdequmto stgmn he decision tc m approve OieProjem- Their clnllenge to tiw colon came on for hearing before the tout on May 14.200- Having read and considered all the papers Sled and heard oral arginrem. the court took the matter wrier submission.ard now rules as follows: The CAPP petitioners object to the adequacy of the Addendum on three bases:. (1) it fails to adequately analyze cumulative impacts within the regional market aces; (2) the tiaflic analysis does not include a newly identified tenant in the Project, spacificadly a Chevron gas station with 12 fueling stations; and (3) it fails to analyze the project's impact on climate change. The court will address each of these challenges below. All finder statunory mferatw we to the Public Resources Cade necks otbetwise speeined. ONa n*xtNs Wet Will ofmowm On Was. 26.27462 and 26 -21534 I STANDARD Of MIEW In reviewing the City's return to the writ, the issue before the court is whether it was appropriate under CEQA for the City to have re-approved the Project without requiring the Preparation - of an EM or subsequent negative declaration addressing the proposed changes, potential impacts that wine am previously aftessed in the MND. The stanutury guidance on this ism is found in section 21166. under which an agency is prohibited from requirins a subsequent ElIt (or negative declamfion� unless one or more of the following events occur. O(A) Substantial changes are proposed in the project which will require major revisions of the environmental impact report [or negative declaration]. (b) Substantial changes occur with respect to the circumstances under which the project is being undertaken which will require major revisions in the environinemid, impact report [or negative declaration]. (c) New information, which was not known and could not have bow known at the time the envftoomeoW impact rqm was certified as complete, becomes available." (&rockted mdo-Ad added) As applied to this cow, the WgRaing events set forth in Section 21166 can be paraphresed as a dauip in the Project or circumstagim surrounding the Project, or new WOrmatiOn that was not known and could not have been known, which requires Preparation of an EIR or modification of the negative declaration because the change or new information reveals an additional impact, dimct or indfiect, that vvill.resuit in a Potentially substantial adverse change in the physical isMyommun. BY TO-qPmvmg the Project without requiring additional environmental review, the City implicitly determined that the changes in the Project would M milt in SigIlificaut Impacts not Previously addressed in the MND. It is this determination that mum be supported by substantial evidence in order for the.writ to be properly discharged a this time. In general, substantial evidence has been defined as 'Wkvam evidence that a MsOnSbIC mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion." (&sftM v. Stare Persomml Bd (1977) 74 CaLApp.3d 302.307.) The CEQA Guiddines define substantial evidence as "enough relevant information And reasonable inferences front this (kder DLCbf*" ft Wrk of MWWM CM Mm 2f 57462 &W 2&27SU e•41 information that a fair argument can be made to support a Conclusion, even though oilier conclusions might also be reached .... Argument, speculation, unsubstantiated opinion or narrative, evidence which is clearly erroneous or inaccurate. or evidence of social of economic impacts which do not contribute to or are not caused by physical impacts oo the environment does not constitute substantial evidence.... Substantial evidence . shall include facts, reasonable assumptions predicated upon fsem, end expert opudon supported by facts. (14 Col. Code Rep. § 15384.) When faced with this type of review under CEQA, the cow is to resolve all reasonable doubts and uwnf)icm in the evidence in favor of the administrative decision. (Loevel Heights &WmvementAnn. v Regents of UnInraftyofCallforda. mpro. 6 CaL4th at p. 1135.) Moreover, courts must indulge all reasonable inferences fcom the evidence that world support the agency's desermimtions. (Save Our Perdnsula Committee v. Morrrerey County Bd of Supervisors (2081) 87 Cal. App. 4th 99.117.) WAIVER OF OBJECTLONS Before addressing the CAPP Petitioners' objections, the court first addresses the argument made by Real Parties in Interest, Wal -Mart Stomas, Joe. and Lake Street Ventures, LLC ("Real Partiesj that pedtioneus have waived their objections by failing to comply with their burden of presenting in their briefdte evidence supporting the City's deserminatiom (See Megaplex -Free Alameda v. City ofAlanseda W) 149 Ca1.App.41h 91.) The court in Alegapks held that the citizen group challenging a finding that [tote of the section 21166 events had oocutte d bon the burden of demonstrating to the court that tint is insufficient evidence in the, record to justify the City's action. (/d at p. 113.) To do so, the court field, "they must satforth in their brief all the material evidence on the point' Ud at pp. 113 -114.) "A failure to do so is deemed a concession that the evidence supports the findings. [Citation.) The meson for this is that If the appellants fail to present us with all the relevant evidence, than the appellants coma/ carry their burden of showing the evidence was insufficient to support the agency's decision because support for that decision may lie In the evidence the appellants ignore.' (Citation.] This failure to present all relevant evidence on the point'is fatal.'" [Citation.] 'A reviewing ocurt will 'As confirmed by the Court of Appel, seeton 21166 also applies when the initial enviranmenui doaaem was a negative declaration. rather tun am SIR (See Amsrioon Comlon Comewmay Unaadfor Rasparrlsle Growth w CTy ofAmarkm Caaymc sap % 145 CWAppAth d pp. 1071.1072.) Order DbAnglag 9u Writ ofhlandere Case Nos. 26.27461 and 26-27534 • ! M indeperhdermly review the record td make up for appellett's faihre to cagy his birder.'" [Cifation.j (ld at p. 114.) In response to this argument by Real Parties, the CAPP petitioners argued at the May 14 2007 hearing in this case that the Megaplex can is procedurally distinguishable since it was up on appeal after en initial petition for writ of mandate and that the psocedural roquirmearof setting forth the evidence in support of the City's decision does not apply here where it is the City's burden to show compliance with the writ of mandate. The parties have not cited, nor has the court found arty authority specifically addressing 'be respective burdens of proof on return fimn a writ of mandate. The CEQA Guidelines require the court to "retain jurisdiction over the public ageucy's proceedings by way ofa return to the peremptory writ until the court has determined that the public agency has complied widr dos division." U 21169.9.). Because the trial cow has to deterotn whether, there is compliance, it is arguable that it is the trial wart's burden to review the entire recwd, rather than the petitioner's burden to set forth supportive evidence. Regardless of the applicable btudens of proof; to the extent their is a procedural deficiency in the petitioners' challenge to the return, the court opts to overlook it and continues on to address the: substantive issues raised by their objections. THE 9EIM 'IONS 1. Imuff ieot Aaalyaia of Crmti x&e Impacts. Out of die reasons the Corot of Appeal reversed the denial of the writ of mandate was that the City had failed to adequately consider urban decay impacts in area outside the city limits. The Addendum relied on by the City this time around rectifies that problem. The CAPP PetitiOnm argue thaEthe Addendum is nevettheless.deficien in its analysis of die market region cumulative impacts. Mote specifically, they allege that "die combined.effects of the planned . . White Slough Supercenter in Vallejo [which includes another Wal-Mart Superceater approximately 4 miles from the Projedl. the Ameicon Canyon Supercener, and the looming closure of the cmroatVallejo Wal -Mart Discount Stop are not analyzed in the Addendum. The co rt'disapecs. . Contrary to petidosers' argunrern, the Addendum does address the cumulative potential for urban decay Mridu the defined market region. Appendix E to the Addendum provides a rather extensive analysis of the potential for sum closures resulting not just from the subject chat Dish" Me Wdt of moodek Cam Nix. 2627462 and 2617534. c•d i Project, but also reasonably foreseeable future projects, including the proposed Vanejo Wal -Mart Suparcenter.. The urban decay discussion is based on physical observation and derailed market data analysis. The discussion addresses the plajmed closure of the current Vallejo wal -Mart, which the evidence reflects is already in contract to be re- leased to the Nome Depot. The discussion concludes that because of anticipated growth in the community and because numerous retail categories are currently underserved in the market region, any Stores closing as a result of Project and other planned projects will most likely be re4enaned within short periods of time, thus minimizing any potential for urban decay. This analysis was also positively poor reviewed by Dr. Otandier from Stanford University. . The court fu rOw disagrees with petitioners that the market area described in the Addendum is "inadequate and entirely subjective." The City was required to consider the cumulative environmental impacts of otber past, present and reasonably foreseeable retail Projects in the market area served by the proposed superaaur. (See Bakersfield CUtums for t Ow COmm'el v. City ofBd wV%rld (2004) 124 Cal.App.41h 1184, 1218.) Page 7 of CBRE's urban decay analysis in Appendix E explains that the expert determined the Supercenter's market area by mapping the locations of all exisumg and planed Wal -Mart stones to determine ` from which communities people would frequent the American Canyon store. The market area dwy determined included not only the City of American Canyon, but also the surrounding cities of Vallejo and Benicia. Presumably, a person from m community with an existing Wel -Mar4 such as Napa or Fairfield, is not likely to drive to die American Canyon Wal -Mart. Nothing about the market area detaminatioa.appeersto the court to be inadequate or inappropriately subjective. Based on the foregoing, the court finds that the urban decay aralyscs set forth in the Addendum and Appendix E constitute relevant evidence that a reasorrahle mind could accept as adequate to support the.conclusion that the changes in the Project wil l not result in significant urban dway impacts requiring supplemeaW emviroaarental review. (Sce Hosford v. Slew Persomnet Bd, supra 74 Cal.App.3d at p. 307.) . 2. Imsdegaate Tm is Analysis. Another reason the Court of Appeal reversed the denial of the writ of mandate was that the previous traffic analysis relied on by the City was based on inaccurate identification of the size and type of retail proposed in the Project. The coat finis that the current traii'nc analysis is Ordet D6dwpaj tiro WritorManAae Case Nos. 2621462 Nd2a -M34 6 band on An accurate identification Of the size and type of all commercisi development prapow& And the CAPP petitioners do not coated the issue. What the CAPP petitioners do argue, however, ffi - is that the trac analysis in the Addendum is deficient bemuse, although it acknowledges the Proposed Chevron On Station with 12 fading stations. it does not analyze the station's traffic generating coonlmdon. Again, the court disagrees. Although the written analysis does act separately discuss the impact of the Chevron (;es Station wom the station's traffic contribution is clearly included in the overall Wculatiorn, which am then discussed in terms of the total additional traffic contribution. And the City's decision was not based on jug one traffic study- The Addiendum includes a traffic study by DKS, an independent traffic study by KHA, DKS' peer review of KRA's traffic study, and Omni- Means' peer review ot both 'DKs, traffic 9L* and KHA's trafft study. it is clarified throughout the reports that the studies foam an The diffuerm in rmft generated find the original project and die revised project, which replaces &a originally proposed 196,000 square feet Of shopping earder with 173,015 of Wal-Mart Supmenter plus 13,781 square fm' of outdoor garden center (and 7,625 square fed of outdoor seasonal mks graze); 39,225 square feet of ShOPPUIS center, 3 SwAm bey oil change shop and 12 fueling position gas station. All three GM)w "ties concluded that the chftQ9S to the Project would not result in significant impacts dud were not adequately addressed in the MND. . The owd finds that these traffic studies and the peer reviews thereof carsduft relevant evidence that a reasonable mind could accept as adequate to support the conclusion that the clianges in the Project will not result in significant ftfflc impgod Fo*ddog m1pplements, environmental Fcvicw- (Set Rolf rd Y. Swe-Personari Rd, SWPA 74 Cal.App3d at p. 307.) I Lack of Analysis of Impods.en Climate ChgW really. petition= argue that the Addendum is inadequate because it does not include I to analysis of the Project's greenhouse gas emissions and global warming impacts. The oM agape, disept&s. In reversing On denial of the w& dw COW of Anal did WE indicne that the City had aTcd in failing to Specifically address chmste chaW impacts. And petitioners have Wed to Provide any authority cur=dY requiring the City to have mukrtaken such an analysis at this stage 0f the proceedings, Nor bas the court found any such authority. Order DwAsWMtkW,k*(MwdW . Caw Nm 2647462 &W 2627534 ..J 0 Under the writ of mandate, the City was required to comply with section 21166. Under section 21166, the City was prohibited from requiring an E1R orattbsequent negative declaration unless one of the three events listed in the statute has occurred. Petition= seem to be suggesting that the now legislation AB 32 should have triggered farther review pursuant to section 21166. However, as explained in petitioners' brI4 AB 32 simply "charges the California Air Resources Board to develop regulations on how the state would address climate change impacts." While it Is possible that the promalption of new climate chap regulations may trigger further environmental review of projects undergoing section 21166 scrutiny in the future, the court fails to see howw a mere legislative mandate for the creation of regulations could have triggered review under section 21166 in the City's re- approval of this Project. If petitioners are attempting to classify AB 32 as "new information" that could not have been known, the court does not agree that it is the type of new information contemplated, by section 21166. CEQA Guideline 15162, which augments section 21166. darif es that the "new information" must slaw saanothing about the particular project's effu ts, i.e., that the project will have me or mote significant effects not discussed in the previous negative declaration lVew legislation requiring creation of state regulations certainly does not pertain to this particular Project or its ePkct& Thus, the court concludes that AB 32 is not the kind of "new information" contemplated by section 21166 Per these reasons, the court firms that the CAPP petitioners' objection regarding' climate change are not well taken. CQj CLUSION The CAPP petitioners' objections notwithstanding, it appears to the rout that the City has adequately complied with the writ of mandahe and :that its decision to re-approve the Project was not an abuse of diactetion or contrary to law. Thus, the court hereby discharges the writ of mandate and dissolves the March 20, 2007 order reconfirming the stay. Dated: Sz�lo? layinofid A.C3uadegni,Judge thdw olw"ft ae writ OrMmMaa C r hen 2627462 and 26 -27534 9 -.J CERTIFICATE OF MAILING Napa Courts Civil, Probate, Crbrrh, Appeals, ftW Chime AMERICIW CANYON COMMUNITY UNRED FOR RESPONSIBLE GROWrK Petitioner, UI CRY OF AMERICAN CANYON, BYAND THROUGH THE C17Y COUNCIL, at aL, DeAendaras, LAKE STREET VENTURES, LLC, at aL, Real Pwbn- In -InWwL LEAD CASE NO„ 29,27182 CITl2ENS AGAINST POOR NG, et aL, CASE NO.: 2847684 pamlonem vs. CITY OF AMERICAN CANYON, BY AND THROUGH THE CITY COUNCIL, at aL, DWandanta, LAKE STREET VENTURES, LLC, at al.; Reel Parti ft4wMterek Brea S. Jolley Herum, C'aMras & am" 2291 West Mena Lane. Suite 8100 Stoddon, CA 95207 Kypros G. Hostetler Law OMM of William D. Roes 320 South Land Avenue, Suite 300 Los ftelea, CA 90071 -2810 0 TMo0iy M. Taybr Somach, Sknmoru & Dunn 818 Sbdh Street, Thlrd Floor Saorarnento, CA 96814 Arthur Friedman F Embe Mrcederoro Rkhter Center , LLP 7e' Floor San Fmrt*c% CA 94111 V#Ilwn D. Ron Low.OlFicere dWMam D. Rosa 520 South Grand Averwe Suite 900 Los Angeles, CA 90071 -281A 1-Aereby c orW that i am 'not a party to this cause and that copies of the attached ORDER DISCHAROM THE VMT O MAMDATE ma8ed {ttrat class postage pry paW to the above pestles M Napa, CaRtomia on.this. date and that thiw cermate Is executed et Nepa, Caftmb this dabs. =107 Pkid-n DATE Deputy Court Executive O ffkm 2 i 4 i EXHIBIT 9 Office of the Governor ofthe State of California • Page 1 of 2 Office of the Governor ARNOLD THE PEOPLE'S GOVERNORER EXECUTIVE ORDER EXECUTIVE ORDER S -3 -05 06/01/2005 WHEREAS, California is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change; and WHEREAS, increased temperatures threaten to greatly reduce the Sierra snowpack, one of the State's primary sources of water; and WHEREAS, increased temperatures also threaten to further exacerbate California's air quality problems and adversely impact human health by increasing heat stress and related deaths, the incidence of infectious disease, and the risk of asthma, respiratory and other health problems; and WHEREAS, rising sea levels threaten California's 1,100 miles of valuable coastal real estate and natural habitats; and WHEREAS, the combined effects of an increase in temperatures and diminished water supply and quality threaten [ alter micro - climates within the state, affect the abundance and distribution of pests and pathogens, and result in variations in crop quality and yield; and WHEREAS, mitigation efforts will be necessary to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adaptation efforts will be necessary to prepare Californians for the consequences of global warming; and WHEREAS, California has taken a leadership role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions by: implementing the California Air Resources Board motor vehicle greenhouse gas emission reduction regulations; implementing the Renewable Portfolio Standard that the Governor accelerated; and implementing the most effective building and appliance efficiency standards in the world; and WHEREAS, California -based companies and companies with significant activities in California have taken leadership roles by reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, including carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide an. hydrofluorocarbons, related to their operations and developing products that will reduce GHG emissions; and WHEREAS, companies that have reduced GHG emissions by 25 percent to 70 percent have lowered operating eosu and increased profits by billions of dollars; and WHEREAS, technologies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions are increasingly in demand in the worldwide marketplace, and California companies investing in these technologies are well - positioned to profit from this demand, thereby boosting California's economy, creating more jobs and providing increased tax revenue; and WHEREAS, many of the technologies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions also generate operating cost savings to consumers who spend a portion of the savings across a variety of sectors of the economy; this increased spending creates jobs and an overall benefit to the statewide economy. NOW, THEREFORE, 1, ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER, Governor of the State of California, by virtue of the power invested in me by the Constitution and statutes of the State of California, do hereby order effective immediately: http: / /gov.ca. gov / index .php ? /print- version/executive- order /1861/ 12/17/2007 Office of the Govemor of the of California • Page 2 of 2 I. That the following greenhouse gas emission reduction targets are hereby established for California: by 2010, reduce GHG emissions to 2000 levels; by 2020, reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels; by 2050, reduce GHG emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels; and 2. That the Secretary of the California Environmental Protection Agency ( "Secretary") shall coordinate oversight of the efforts made to meet the targets with: the Secretary of the Business, Transportation and Housing Agency, Secretary of the Department of Food and Agriculture, Secretary of the Resources Agency, Chairperson of the Air Resources Board, Chairperson of the Energy Commission, and the President of the Public Utilities Commission; ant 3. That the Secretary shall report to the Governor and the State Legislature by January 2006 and biannually thereaftt on progress made toward meeting the greenhouse gas emission targets established herein; and 4. That the Secretary shall also report to the Governor and the State Legislature by January 2006 and biannually thereafter on the impacts to California of global warming, including impacts to water supply, public health, agriculture, the coastline, and forestry, and shall prepare and report on mitigation and adaptation plans to combat these impacts; and S. That as soon as hereafter possible, this Order shall be filed with the Office of the Secretary of State and that widespread publicity and notice be given to this Order. Ibl WITNESS WHEREOF I have here unto set my hand and caused the Great Seal of the State of California to be affixed this the fast day of June 2005. /s/ Arnold Schwarzenegger Governor of California http: / /gov.ca.gov/ index .php ? /print- versiontexecutive- order /1861/ 12/17/2007 EXHIBIT 10 0 California Environmental Protection Agency Air Resources Board PROPOSED EARLY ACTIONS TO MITIGATE CLIMATE CHANGE IN CALIFORNIA April 20, 2007 F- L GLOSSARY OF TERMS AND ACRONYMS AB 32 — Assembly Bill 32, the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 CAT — Climate Action Team, a committee of multiple state agencies led by the Secretary of Cal /EPA CO2 — carbon dioxide; a byproduct of fossil fuel combustion, cement production, and other natural processes CIE — cost effectiveness, the dollars expended per ton of greenhouse gases reduced CNG — compressed natural gas E -10, E-86 — blends of gasoline and ethanol consisting of 10% ethanol (E -10) or 85% ethanol (E -85) GHG - greenhouse gas or gases; defined in AB 32 as carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, Hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride; also known as "the Kyoto six' GWP — global warming potential, the relative warming of a greenhouse gas as compared to carbon dioxide which has a GWP of 1.0. HFC — Hydrofluorocarbons; a class of compounds typically used in air conditioning systems and as propellants H&SC — (the California) Health and Safety Code LCFS — Low Carbon Fuel Standard MMTCO2E — million metric tons (of) carbon dioxide equivalent (gases) MVAC —motor vehicle air conditioning (systems) NMOC — non - methane organic compounds, volatile hydrocarbons that react with nitrogen oxides in the atmosphere to form ozone; also referred to as ozone precursors NOx — oxides of nitrogen, a combustion product that reacts with volatile hydrocarbons in the atmosphere to form ozone; NOx is also a precursor to certain forms of particulate matter such as ammonium nitrate and to highly irritating substances such as nitric acid mist or droplets PFC — perfluorocarbons, a chemical mostly used in the semiconductor industry PM — particulate matter SF6 — sulfur hexafluoride; a chemical emitted from various industrial processes i • EARLY ACTIONS TO MITIGATE CLIMATE CHANGE IN CALIFORNIA 1. SUMMARY This document describes the Air Resources Board (ARB or Board) staffs analysis and recommendations for discrete early action measures to reduce global warming emissions. These measures will become part of the State's comprehensive strategy for achieving greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions under Assembly Bill 32, the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (AB 32 of the Act). AB 32 creates a comprehensive, multi -year program to reduce GHG emissions in California, with the overall goal of restoring emissions to 1990 levels by the year 2020. (see Figure 1.) The Act recognizes that such an ambitious effort requires careful planning and a comprehensive strategy. By January 1, 2009 the Board must design and adopt an overall plan to reduce .GHG emissions to 1990 levels. The Board has until January 1, 2011 to adopt the necessary regulations to implement that plan. Implementation begins no later than January 1, 2012 and the emissions reduction target must be fully achieved by January 1, 2020. As part of this comprehensive effort, the Board is empowered to use traditional command and control methods and to adopt and implement market -based compliance mechanisms provided certain criteria are met. Alongside this deliberate approach, AB 32 recognizes that immediate progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions can and should be made. Accordingly, the Act requires ARB to identify a list of "discrete early action greenhouse gas reduction measures" by June 30, 2007 (Health and Safety Code section 38560(a)). Once on the list, these measures are to be developed into regulatory proposals, adopted by the Board, and made enforceable by January 1, 2010. This schedule is very accelerated compared to most regulations developed by the Board. The ARB received more than 70 suggestions from stakeholders for early action measures. Those within ARB purview were carefully reviewed by staff. Those under the jurisdiction of other agencies were forwarded to the appropriate Climate Action Team member(s) for consideration. The suggestions covered a wide range of ideas including a low carbon fuel standard (LCFS), replacement of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) in fire suppression systems, a green ship incentive program, waste management methods, water management methods, and renewable energy initiatives. Some of the proposed strategies require new legislation to implement, some require subsidies, some are already being developed, and some require additional effort to evaluate and quantify. Two summary tables of stakeholder suggestions are attached (A — Stakeholder Suggestions under ARB Jurisdiction and B — Stakeholder Suggestions for the CAT Forwarded from the ARB). The ARB staff appreciates all of the suggestions that have been received so far and looks forward to additional public comments in response to this document. 3 0 0 Figure 1 Comprehensive Multiyear Program Established by AB 32 mno Vfflno 2007 2008 2009 2010 List early actions Mandatory reporting Scoping plan Early I actions effective 2011 2012 2020 GHG limits I and measures operative GHG limits and measures adopted Reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels Staff is proposing that ARB actively pursue 36 separate measures during calendar years 2007, 2008 and 2009 (see Figure 2 and Tables 1, 2 and 3 below). Three new GHG -only regulations are proposed to meet the narrow legal definition of "discrete early action greenhouse gas reduction measures° in Section 38560.5 of the Health and Safety Code (see Table 1 - Group 1). These include the Governor's Low Carbon Fuel Standard, reduction of refrigerant losses from motor vehicle air conditioning maintenance, and increased methane capture from landfills. These actions are estimated to reduce GHG emissions between 13 and 26 MMTCO2E annually by 2020 relative to projected levels. If approved for listing by the Governing Board, these measures will be brought to hearing in the next 12 to 18 months and take legal effect by January 1, 2010. ARB is initiating work on another 23 GHG emission reduction measures in the 2007- 2009 time period, with rulemaking to occur as soon as possible where applicable (see Table 2 - Group 2). These GHG measures were drawn from three separate sources. Some were identified in the March 2006 Climate Action Team Report and are already underway. This group also includes strategies ARB staff has identified since March 2006 — such as cooler automobile paints and tire inflation requirements — that could be developed relatively quickly and produce significant GHG reductions. The Group 2 4 measures also reflect .stakeholder input. Group 2 measures are expected to yield at least 20 MMTCO2E of reductions by 2020, with reductions for several measures still to be quantified. Finally, ARB staff has identified 10 conventional air pollution control measures that are scheduled for rulemaking in the 2007 -2009 period (Table 3 — Group 3). These control measures are aimed at criteria and toxic air pollutants, but will have concurrent climate co- benefits through reductions in CO2 or non -Kyoto pollutants (i.e., diesel particulate matter, other light- absorbing compounds and/or ozone precursors) that contribute to global warming. These measures were drawn from ARB's annual rulemaking calendar, ARB's Diesel Risk Reduction Plan, the Goods Movement Emissions Reduction Plan, and the State Implementation Plan. Group 3. reductions in terms of MMTCO2E are still being quantified. The Group 1, 2 and 3 measures will reduce GHG emissions between 33-46 MMTCO2E by 2020 relative to projected levels. Existing ARB regulations will contribute an additional 30 MMTCO2E (e.g., AB 1493). These estimates exclude the benefits from reducing diesel particulate matter, ozone precursors and other pollutants since the CO2 equivalent effects are yet to be determined. Together, these measures will make a substantial contribution to the overall 2020 statewide emission reduction goal of approximately 174 MMTCO2E. ARB is not the only state agency undertaking early action measures. The Climate Action Team has been hard at work identifying additional GHG reduction strategies that can be accomplished or initiated in the 2007 -2009 period. Those actions are briefly summarized in Section 6 of this report and will be described further in a separate Cal /EPA document. AB 32 requires that all GHG reduction measures adopted and implemented by the Air Resources Board be technologically feasible and cost- effective. The law also requires that GHG measures have neither negative impacts on conventional pollutant controls nor any disproportionate socio- economic effects (among other criteria). ARB staff is making a presumption, based on currently best available information, that all of the measures it is proposing to pursue will meet all of the legal requirements. of AB 32. If additional information or analysis reveals that a particular measure cannot meet one or more of these requirements, it will not be put into effect. The actual design or features of each measure may also change based on public comments and /or what is learned during the regulatory development process. 5 0 E Figure 2 Early Actions to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions ARB ADOPTED REGULATIONS. Vehicle Climate Change Standards Criteria and Air Toxic Controls EARLY ACTIONS TO REDUCE GHGS CALENDAR YEARS 2007, 2008, 2009 ARB MEASURES GROUP Discrete Early Action Measures . GROUP 2 Additional Greenhouse Gas Reduction Strategies GROUP 3 Criteria and Air Toxic Control Measures CLIMATE ACTION TEAM MEASURES (See separate CaIIEPA report) 0 Table 1 Group 1 — ARB Discrete Early Action Measures .Per Health & Safety Code Section 38560.5 Number Sector Description 2020 Reductions (M Reductions CO2E 1 -1 Trans ortatiorr Low Carbon Fuel Standard LCFS 10-20 1-2 Transportation Reduction of HFC -134a emissions from non - professional servicing of motor vehicle air conditioning systems MVACs 1 -2 1 -3 Waste Improved landfill methane capture 2-4 Group 1 Total Reductions 13 -26 Notes on Table 1: Measure 1 -1 subsumes two prior measures from the March 2006 Climate Action Plan: Alternative Fuels — Biodiesel Blends° and "Alternative Fuels — Ethanol in Gasoline" that were jointly estimated to achieve 4 MMTCO2E by 2020. Table 2 Group 2— Additional GHG Reduction Measures Underway or to be Initiated by ARB in 2007 -2009 Period 2020 Reductions Number Sector Description MMT CO2E Manure management (methane digester 1 2 -1 Agriculture protocol) 2 -2 Agriculture Electrification of stationary agricultural engines 0.1 2 -3 Commercial Specifications for commercial refrigeration >7.3 Reduction of perfluorocarbons (PFCs) from the 0.5 2-4 Commercial semiconductor industry Reduction of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) from 2 -5 Commercial foam productionhnstallation including extruded TBD polystyrene and block foam 2 -6 Education Guidance /protocols for local governments to TBD facilitate GHG emission reductions 2 -7 Education Guidance /protocols for businesses to facilitate TBD . GHG reductions Detection, repair, and recycling equipment for 0,7 2-8 Electricity sulfur hexafiuoride SF 2 -9 Energy Efficient Light-covered paving, cool roofs and shade trees TBD Replacement of high global warming potential 2 -10 Fire Suppression (GWP) gases used in fire protection systems with 0.1 alternate chemical (s) 2 -11 Forest Forest rotocol TBD 2 -12 Oil &Gas Reduce venting/leaks from oil and as s stems 1 2 -13 Transportation I Strengthen light-duty vehicle standards i 4 0 0 Table 2, continued . Number Sector Description 2020 Reductions MMT COzE 2 -14 Transportation Heavy -duty vehicle emission reductions, efficiency improvements 3 2 -15 Transportation Cool automobile paints 1.2 to 2.0 2 -16 Transportation Port Electrification 0.5 2 -17 Transportation Transportation refrigeration, electric standby 0.1 2 -18 Transportation Enforce federal ban on HFC release during serviceldismantli of MVACs 0.1 2 -19 Transportation Truck stop electrification with incentives for truckers TBD 2 -20 Transportation Tire inflation program TBD 2 -21 Transportation Promote telework olidesfincentives TBD 2 -22 Transportation Require low GINP refrigerants for new MVACs TBD 2 -23 Transportation Add AC leak tightness test and repair to Smog Check TBD Group 2 Total Reductions 19.6 to 20.4 Notes on Table 2. Some of the estimated 2020 reductions listed reflect new information and/or refinements since the March 2006 Climate Action Report. Some measures from that Report have been disaggregated and others have been combined based on ARB staff's preliminary assessment of how best to proceed. Particulate matter related benefits are not included in the right -hand column since those have yet to be quantified. Table 3 Group 3 — ARB Air Pollution Controls for 2007 -2009 Adoption With Potential GHG Reductions or Other Climate Co- Benefits Number Sector Description Hearing Date 3 -1 Transportation Diesel - Commercial harbor craft rule 2007 3 -2 Transportation Diesel — Privately owned on -road trucks 2008 3 -3 Transportation Diesel — Vesselspeed reductions 2007 or 2008 3-4 Transportation Diesel — Offroad equipment (non -a ricultural ) 2009 3 -5 Transportation Diesel — Port trucks 2007 3-6 Trans ortafion Diesel — Vessel main engine fuel specifications 2008 3 -7 Transportation Standards for off-cycle driving conditions 2007 3-8 Fuels Gasoline dispenser hose replacement 2008 3 9 Fuels Portable outboard marine tanks 2007 or 2008 3 10 Fuels Evaporative standards for aboveground tanks 2007 Notes on Table 3., The CO2- equivalent emission reductions from these measures are not identified because the science to characterize the net climate effects of particulate matter and ozone precursors is still developing. There is reasonable expectation that these measures will yield some reductions of GHG emissions. 0 0 2. RECOGNITION OF VOLUNTARY EARLY EMISSION REDUCTIONS AB 32 requires ARB to ensure that entities that have voluntarily reduced their greenhouse gas emissions prior to the implementation of GHG emission limits and GHG reduction measures receive "appropriate credit' for early voluntary reductions (see Health & Safety Code section 38562(b) (3)). To fulfill this requirement, the ARB staff is working on methods to recognize voluntary early actions by industry, government and individuals. Staff believes that the leadership shown by many businesses and local governments needs to be acknowledged and supported. The first step in this effort is to quantify and document voluntary emission reductions that rise beyond "business as usual," but this is not trivial. This verification also needs to be based on methods that demonstrate real, permanent and surplus (relative to regulatory requirements) GHG reductions. To get started, ARB intends to officially review and approve sector- specific and project- specific emission calculation protocols as they become available. Some reporting protocols have already been published by the California Climate Action Registry and many more are in the pipeline. ARB is also working on interim guidance for quantification, documentation and verification of greenhouse gas emission reductions. Eventually, ARB will define the process for translating voluntary emission reductions into creditable reductions consistent with the broader AB 32 implementation strategy. ARB intends to adopt rules for awarding GHG reduction credit and the process for submitting credit requests. This regulation will be developed with .full opportunity for public input, starting in mid -2007 with a public workshop. Staff are already considering the criteria for receiving credit, amounts of credit given, and uses to which credits may be applied. Issues to be explored include what types of actions count (e.g., in -state only or out -of- state), how far back in time voluntary actions will be considered, the level of documentation required, and criteria for determining additionality and permanence. The parameters of the program will evolve during the regulatory development process as the ARB gathers information about voluntary measures through workshops, public comment, and hearings. While the ARB cannot provide precise details about how voluntary reductions will be credited, the staff is committed to ensuring that all parties who voluntarily reduce their GHG emissions beyond business. as usual receive appropriate credit as required by AB 32. 3. PREVIOUSLY ADOPTED ARB REGULATIONS Existing ARB regulations are expected to yield significant GHG reductions between now and 2020. These include the greenhouse gas emission standards for motor vehicles (per AB 1493, Pavley) as well as several diesel risk reduction measures. Regarding the latter, the greatest GHG reductions are expected to come from ARB's anti - idling controls and from the electrification of various diesel engines such as agricultural pumps. More detail on these measures is provided below. 0 0 3.1 VEHICLE CLIMATE CHANGE STANDARDS (AB 1493) AB 1493, Pavley, Chapter 200, Statutes of 2002, required ARB to achieve the maximum feasible and cost - effective reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from passenger vehicles and light -duty trucks. These vehicle standards were adopted by ARB in September 2004 and are scheduled to take effect in the 2009 model year. Staff estimates an emissions savings of approximately one MMTCO2E by 2010 and 30 MMTCO2E by 2020. This analysis demonstrated that operating cost savings will more than offset the incremental costs of improved technologies, resulting in consumer savings of $5 billion annually by 2020. ARB's request for a federal waiver to implement its motor vehicle regulations is currently pending before the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Concurrently, ARB is defending its legal authority to impose such standards in federal court. AB 32 requires – should the federal waiver be denied or should ARB lose the lawsuit brought against it by the automakers – that ARB adopt alternative regulations to control mobile sources of greenhouse gas emissions to achieve greater or equivalent reductions (see Health & Safety Code section 38590). 3.2 DIESEL RISK REDUCTION MEASURES ARB has adopted numerous regulations to reduce diesel particulate matter (PM) since 2001. In addition to the direct health benefits associated with these rules, these regulations will produce important climate protection benefits. Black carbon is a major component of diesel PM and has a significant net warming effect. In addition, some of the diesel rules result in fleet modernization, fuel switching, and/or greater fuel savings, which further promote greenhouse gas emission reductions. Twenty diesel risk reduction measures have been adopted between October 2001 and November 2006,. including rules for low - sulfur diesel fuels, diesel truck operational idling limits, transit bus rules, garbage truck rules, school bus replacements and retrofits, stationary diesel engine rules, agricultural engine rules, portable engine rules and border truck inspection protocols. The scientific community has not yet determined the precise global warming potential (GWP) for diesel PM as compared to carbon dioxide. Nevertheless, reductions in PM emissions are expected to provide important near -term climate benefits. Preliminary estimates of the 100 -year horizon global warming potential of diesel PM range from 500 to 1200 (relative to CO2). This means that 1 kilogram of diesel PM contributes much more to global warming than 1 kilogram of CO2 over the 100 -year timeframe typically used to evaluate climate change impacts. This is the case even though diesel PM has a much shorter atmospheric lifetime than CO2 (weeks versus hundreds of years) and has some components that cause cooling rather than warming of the atmosphere. Thus a comprehensive program to address climate change will need to address a suite of pollutants —CO2 as well as other global warming pollutants. California is well positioned 10 0 0 for that eventuality, given its aggressive control programs for criteria and toxic air pollutants. ARB has identified and committed to additional measures that will reduce emissions of diesel PM, as shown in Table 3. These measures are not included in Group 1 (early action measures per Health and Safety Code Section 38560.5) because, as discussed previously, diesel PM does not currently have a well - defined GWP and thus is not readily incorporated into the AB 32 reduction framework. In addition, although some of the diesel PM reduction measures will have COz co- benefits (particularly those that reduce total fuel combustion) it may prove to be the case that they would most effectively be implemented by entities other than the ARB. Other diesel PM reduction measures are expected to result in a small CO2 increase. Thus, ARB determined that these measures are not appropriate for inclusion on the Group 1 list. Nonetheless, they are expected to result in a real -world climate benefits in the aggregate and should be recognized as part of ARB's overall effort. Ozone and its precursors (oxides of nitrogen and volatile hydrocarbons) are also considered to be climate changing gases. Accordingly, ARB's efforts to control ozone should have a beneficial climate effect. However, the science to quantify the net impact of these pollutants on the global climate is still evolving and definitive estimates are not possible at this time. Instead, only qualitative assessments can be made. 4. DISCRETE EARLY ACTION MEASURES AB 32 requires that on or before June 30, 2007, ARB shall publish and make available to the public a list of discrete early action greenhouse gas emission reduction measures that can be adopted and made enforceable before January 1, 2010. The law further requires that such measures achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost - effective reductions in GHGs from (the pertinent) sources or categories of sources, in furtherance of achieving the statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit for 2020 (see Health & Safety Code section 38560.5.). Elsewhere in the statute, AB 32 requires that every GHG reduction measure adopted by ARB satisfy additional criteria such as no relaxation in conventional air pollutant controls. ARB staff used the latter requirements as screening criteria. 4.1 STRATEGY IDENTIFICATION Potential Measures - To come up with a preliminary list of discrete early action measures, ARB staff considered many information sources including: • the Climate Action Team (CAT) Report, • stakeholder suggestions, • strategies identified at ARB's International Symposium on Near -Term Solutions for Climate Change Mitigation held on March 5-7, 2007, • ideas developed by ARB staff, and 11 • various sources of information such as the Carbon Disclosure Project, the California Climate Action Registry, projects certified by the United Nations Clean Development Mechanism, and compilations of cost- effective mitigation strategies identified by international sources including the European Commission. Screening Criteria - To select specific measures for listing as "discrete early action measures," ARB staff applied the screening criteria below. These criteria reflect the language in AB 32 as well as additional practical considerations. ARB staff believes a common and objective basis is important for selecting early action measures. The screening criteria were: • Whether the strategy can be adopted by ARB in calendar year 2009 or earlier. • Whether the strategy can be legally effective by January 1, 2010. • Whether the strategy relies on readily available mature technologies or options that have already been successfully demonstrated at an acceptable cost. • Whether the potential lifecycle GHG emission reductions are of sufficient magnitude to warrant the resources required to adopt and implement a regulation. • Whether the strategy can be developed and implemented with available resources. • The potential for adverse impacts on criteria or toxic emissions. • The potential for disproportionate impacts on low- income communities or other disadvantaged sectors. • The potential for disproportionate impacts on small businesses. • Significant loss of benefits due to leakage. • Coordination opportunities with related actions that may have been taken or are planned by other entities Including local agencies, the U.S. EPA, and intemational agencies such as the European Commission. The most important considerations to ARB staff were the potential GHG reductions achievable by each measure and the likelihood of its being made enforceable by January 1, 2010. To the extent possible, staff considered the maturity of the enabling technology and the estimated cost per avoided ton of COZ equivalent emissions. GHG reduction strategies that could potenfially interfere with conventional air pollufion controls or have disproportionate effects were non - starters. Technical Feasibility and Cost Effectiveness - As noted above, AB 32 requires that each GHG reduction measure adopted by ARB be technologically feasible and cost - effective. "Technologically feasible" is not defined in the statute. The ARB's assessment of technological feasibility for GHG emission reduction strategies is expected to be similar to that which has been applied to traditional regulations: 1) a given mitigation strategy has been successfully demonstrated in the same or very similar application; 2) a mitigation strategy has been demonstrated in a related application such that technology transfer is plausible; or 3) with further advances and a sufficiently ample phase -in period, existing technologies will offer an effective mitgaton strategy. 12 The ARB interprets "cost - effectiveness" (CIE) consistent with the statutory definition in AB 32 as the number of dollars expended per metric ton of CO2E gases reduced. The potential cost - effectiveness of the measures assessed for early actions varies widely, both in magnitude and in terms of certainty. When fully developed, each strategy is expected to meet a yet- to -be- determined cost - effectiveness threshold that the Board must establish as necessary to achieve the overall goals of AB 32 and that is equitable relative to the GHG reduction achieved. It is premature to establish a CIE ceiling at this time. The staffs recommendation of a proposed early action measure simply indicates the staffs presumption that the selected strategy is or can be made to be a cost - effective regulatory proposal for reducing GHGs. 4.2 DESCRIPTION OF SELECTED STRATEGIES This section describes the proposed discrete early action measures in greater detail. These measures were selected because they fully met the following criteria: • The measure can be enforceable by January 1, 2010. • The anticipated GHG emission reductions are of sufficient magnitude to warrant the resources needed to design and adopt the measure. • The measure is likely to be technically feasible and cost - effective. • The ARB is the appropriate agency to implement the measure. • The measure is unlikely to result in adverse impacts on criteria or toxic emissions, or disproportionate impacts on low- income communities or on small businesses. Low Carbon Fuel Standard - Will require fuel providers (including producers, importers, refiners, and blenders) to ensure that the mix of fuels they sell in California meets, on average, a declining standard for greenhouse gas emissions that result from the use of transportation fuel. Transportation accounts for over 40 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in California. Reducing GHG emissions from this source category is vital in achieving the goals of the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006. Understanding this challenge, the Governor signed Executive Order S -01 -07 on January 18, 2007, which established the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) in California. Amongst other directives, Executive Order S -01 -07 requires ARB to consider the LCFS as part of its list of discrete early action items for AB 32. The LCFS as an early action would establish a "carbon content' standard for transportation fuels linked to the fuel's impact on GHG emissions. The goal is to reduce the "carbon intensity" of California's vehicle fuel by at least 10 percent by 2020. Carbon intensity refers to GHG emissions per unit of energy, in units such as grams of CO2E per British Thermal Unit, used to power a vehicle. Currently, California relies on petroleum -based fuels for 96 percent of its transportation fuel needs. Greenhouse gas emissions result from each step of the petroleum refining process, from pumping crude oil out of the ground through vehicle tailpipe emissions. The LCFS will be measured on a lifecycle basis (sometimes called "well -to- wheel" in 13 0 0 reference to petroleum products) to capture all emissions from fuel consumption and upstream processes. To reduce greenhouse gas emissions, suppliers will need to bring lower carbon intensity fuels to the market. Lower - carbon fuels include biofuels such as ethanol and biodiesel, as well as hydrogen, electricity, compressed natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas and biogas. Restrictions on High Global Warming Potential (GWP) Refrigerants -Would restrict the use of high GWP refrigerants for non - professional recharging of leaky automotive air conditioning systems. Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) are a class of compounds that include 10 individual substances. They are used as substitutes for chlorofluorocarbons (CFC), which were identified as ozone depleting substances under the Montreal Protocol.. Major applications of HFCs are in refrigeration, air conditioning, foam, solvent, aerosol propellants and fire protection. Although they may be suitable replacements for CFCs in terms of stratospheric ozone depletion, HFCs are potent GHGs. Specifically, HFC -134a, used nearly universally in motor vehicle air conditioning systems, has a GWP of 1300 as compared to COZ (with a GWP of 1). The focus of this strategy is to eliminate the unnecessary releases of HFC -134a when cans are used to recharge leaky MVACS. However, realizing that HFC -134a cans for MVACS is not the only burden on the environment, the proper repair of leaky MVACS during professional servicing and the mitigation of HFC -134a impacts from other applications and products are also under evaluation by ARB staff as part of the Group 2 strategies. The California GHG emissions inventory suggests that high -GWP GHGs constitute about 3.5 percent of the total CO2 equivalent emissions in 2002. Reducing some of these compounds is the goal of a suite of strategies in the March 2006 Climate Action Plan. Specifically, the Climate Action Plan identified five HFC reduction measures that have total potential reductions of approximately 9 MMTCO2E in 2020. These measures are interrelated and include: • Mitigation of impacts of refrigerant available at retail for servicing MVACS (as the proposed early action discussed in this section). • Requirement of low -GWP refrigerants in new MVACS. • Improvements in stationary refrigeration and air conditioning (RAC). • Potential inclusion of a refrigerant leak test and repair in California's Smog Check Program. • Enforcement of the federal ban on release of HFCs during servicing and dismantling of MVACS. The discrete early action measure recommended here addresses one of the five HFC reduction measures. ARB staff is working on the remaining measures, but needs additional time and information to bring them to completion. In addition, the ARB is investigating strategies targeted at the reduction of other classes of high -GWP GHGs, namely very high -GWP ozone depleting substances, which may have significant contributions to global warming and that present opportunities for mitigation. 14 Landfill Methane Capture - Would set statewide standards for the installation and performance of active gas collection/control systems at municipal solid waste (MSW) landfills. Biological decomposition of organic waste contained in MSW landfills leads to the production of landfill gas, consisting primarily of carbon dioxide, methane, and trace amounts of non - methane organic compounds (NMOC). Methane is a potent greenhouse gas having approximately 21 times the GWP of CO2. NMOCs are precursors to ozone formation, can be toxic, and some are odorous. In some instances, . .the gas may migrate laterally underground and accumulate in nearby structures on or near the MSW landfill, posing as a potential fire or explosive hazard. If uncontrolled or inadequately controlled, landfill gas eventually migrates to the surface where it could present an odor problem or adversely impact air quality. Currently, the California Energy Commission estimates GHG emissions from California's MSW landfills to be approximately 8.4 MMTCO2E. MSW landfills are regulated by local air district rules who impose federal New Source Performance Standards and Emission Guidelines (CFR Part 60 Subparts WWW and Cc) and the National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Rollutants (40 CFR Part 63 Subpart AAAA). The federal regulations require emission controls when an MSW landfill reaches a design capacity of 2.75 million tons or greater and an NMOC emission rate of 55 tons per year or more. The federal regulations apply primarily to large MSW landfills. There are no consistent statewide standards for smaller and other uncontrolled landfills. The proposed early action measure addresses this issue. The California Integrated Waste Management Board ( CIWMB) estimates that about 94 percent of the total waste -in -place in California is contained in landfills having active gas collection systems in which the gas is collected and routed to a control device, such as a flare or engine where the methane is combusted. About 41 landfills were identified by CIWMB as not having emissions controls. As part of the Climate Action Team's strategy for reducing GHG emissions from MSW landfills CIWMB proposed: 1) the installation of emission control systems, 2) increasing energy recovery from landfill methane, and 3) increasing landfill methane capture efficiencies.. Based on the implementation of these three strategies, CIWMB estimated total GHG emissions reductions of 1.0 MMTCO2E for 2010 and 3.0 MMTCO2E for 2020. Of the three landfill methane capture strategies mentioned above, the requirement for installing emission control systems at uncontrolled landfills is being considered for a discrete early action. In addition, ARB staff is also proposing to expand the scope of this early action to include efficiency and emissions control resulting in total reductions on the order of 2 to 4 MMTCO2E by 2020. In developing the control measures, ARB staff will work closely with CIWMB staff. CIWMB is developing a guidance document for landfill operators and regulators that will recommend technologies and best management practices for improving landfill design, construction, operation and closure for the purpose of reducing GHG emissions. 15 The other two strategies will require more time to implement and additional investigation to resolve issues. To encourage the installation of landfill gas -to- energy (LFGTE) projects, permitting, criteria pollutant offset, and landfill gas pretreatment issues must first be addressed. In addition, the California Energy Commission is funding a study to improve overall estimation of GHG emissions and reductions from MSW landfills. This study is not expected to be completed until 2009. ARB staff is closely monitoring the progress of the study and participating on the study's technical advisory committee. 4.3 PROCESS FOR GOING FORWARD AB 32 sets two milestones for discrete early action measures. First, the Board must approve a list of such measures by July 1, 2007. Second, the measures must be legally enforceable by January 1, 2010 (see Health & Safety Code section 38560.5). The ARB staff has already conducted one public workshop on proposed discrete early action measures. A second public workshop is scheduled for April 23, 2007 in Sacramento. A final staff report responding to the last round of public comments will be released on May 22, 2007. The public hearing before ARB's Governing Board is scheduled for June 20-21, 2007 in Los Angeles (location TBD). Assuming the Board approves the proposed list, staff will immediately begin the rule development process. Staff anticipates bringing all three measures to the Board for adoption toward the end of calendar year 2008. That will ensure sufficient time for processing through the Office of Administrative Law so that the rules can be legally enforceable by January 1, 2010. 5. OTHER GHG MEASURES TO BE'UNDERTAKEN IN THE 2007 -2009 PERIOD Discrete early action measures are only one part of ARB's efforts to reduce greenhouse gases and other climate changing pollutants in the near term. ARB staff is working on additional GHG regulations to be adopted in late 2009 or early 2010, which will just miss the January 1, 2010 enforceability date for "discrete early action measures° in AB 32. In addition, ARB staff are working on several non - regulatory measures such as guidance documents and protocols to spur the public, local government and businesses into positive action. These activities have been categorized as "Group 2" measures. Group 2 strategies include the remaining ARB GHG reduction actions proposed in the Climate Action Team report that were not ready for adoption as discrete early actions, stakeholders suggestions, and new ideas identified by ARB staff. Examples of strategies in this category include port electrification, and the use of cool materials to increase vehicle and building energy efficiency. Staff anticipates bringing these measures to the Board for adoption within the next three years. Some may begin implementation as rules prior to January 2010 but many will not. Further examination by ARB staff over the next year is expected to yield additional viable candidates for regulatory adoption and possible candidates for non - regulatory actions that the ARB can promote and encourage. 16 6. THE ROLE OF TRADITIONAL AIR POLLUTION CONTROLS A number of .stakeholders have commented that ARB's conventional air pollution controls should also be considered early action measures, even though they do not address the specific greenhouse gases identified in AB 32. In support of this position, stakeholders point to extensive scientific evidence that black carbon and ozone have climate changing effects. Staff is aware of that information and agrees that conventional air pollution controls make an important contribution to climate protection. Accordingly, staff has listed all the pertinent ARB rulemakings for criteria and toxic air contaminants scheduled for public hearings in 2007, 2008 and 2009 as "Group 3" measures. Group 3 consists of regulations being developed primarily for criteria or toxic pollutant control purposes, but that are also expected to have climate co- benefits. Such regulations fall into two categories. The first category includes measures under ARB's Diesel Risk Reduction Plan. Examples include proposed regulations for port trucks and proposed requirements for the use of cleaner fuels in ocean -going vessel main engines. The second category includes strategies expected to provide GHG co- benefits by reducing conventional pollutants that may also contribute to atmospheric warming. 7. EARLY ACTIONS BY OTHER STATE AGENCIES Many other State agencies are taking proactive steps. to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. For example, the Climate Action Team report identifies near term GHG strategies for the Department of Food and Agriculture (e.g., enteric fermentation), the Public Utilities Commission (e.g., California solar initiative), the Resources Agency.and Energy Commission (e.g., municipal utility combined heat and power), the Department of Transportation (e.g., congestion reduction measures), and many others. In addition, stakeholders have submitted many more suggestions for potential strategies. The proposals outside of ARB's jurisdiction were referred by ARB staff to the appropriate Climate Action Team member or members for their consideration. A summary of those suggestions and their current status are appended to this document as Attachment B. Cal /EPA is currently assembling a separate document on early actions to be undertaken by Climate Action Team members. 8. EDUCATION EFFORTS Many stakeholders emphasized the need for expanded education and outreach efforts regarding how the public can reduce the GHGs associated with everyday activities. ARB agrees that well crafted public education efforts have the potential to achieve real world emission reductions. The results of such efforts can be difficult to quantify, and at this point ARB is not prepared to list them as °reduction measures" in the context of this report. The ARB staff will, however, actively pursue a number of public education efforts in coordination with CaIEPA, the Climate Action Team, and other interested parties. Such efforts will include establishing a product labeling. program and identifying best practices for consumers, developing California- specific GHG footprint calculators, and exploring the development of an eco- driver training program. 17 0 0 Attachment A STAKEHOLDER SUGGESTIONS UNDER ARB JURISDICTION ID No. Description of Strategy Status A-1 Low carbon fuel standard Assigned to Group 1 A-2 Reduction in emissions of HFG134a from non - professional servicing of Assigned to Group 1 motor vehicle air conditioning systems A-3 - Replacement of HFGs in fire protection systems Assigned to Group 2 A-4 . Heavy-duty efficiency Improvements: energy efficient tires, improved aemdynam ics Assigned to Group 2 A -5 Transportation refrigeration units - electric standby Assigned to Group 2 Require that large truck stops provide electric Infrastructure, and provide incentives for Assigned to Group 2 A-d truck operators to use zero emitting technologies Proposed regulation to establish allowable speeds for ocean -going vessels Assigned to Group 3 A-7 defined in coastal waters A-8 Proposed requirements for the use of cleaner fuels in ocean-going vessel main Assigned to Group 3 Principles of a G02 Market: a) make the market comprehensive instead of secloral; A-9 b) auction permits instead of giving them away to corporations; c) preserve the public Deferred to Souping. Plan trust aspect of the resource by including a per capita equity component A-10 Study public trust allocation of G02 permits Deferred to Scoping Plan A-11 Fix price for carbon i.e. carbon tax and/or include high GWP GHGs in trading Deferred to Scoping Plan A -12 Waffiemal system for concrete slab foundations Deferred to Scoping Plan A-13 Change the price signal - suggest a vehicle license tee /car lax Deferred to Sceping Plan corresponding to fuel efficiency A -14 Demonstrate use of shoreside generators as bridge to electrical hook-up Deferred to Scoping Plan A -15 Green ship incentive program Deferred to Scoping Plan Adoption of requirements for low carbon fuel vehicle sales and low carbon fuel . Deferred to Sceping Plan X16 infrastructure for transportation fuels and light-duty vehicles Reduction in emissions of HFC -134a from non - professional servicing of motor vehicle A -17 ale conditioning systems by setting up a financial incentive for consumers to recycle Deferred to Scoping Plan the partially -discharged refrigerant cans Adopt requirements and incentives for truck owners and operators to A-18 adopt °SmartWay" technology for medium and heavy -duty Deferred to Scopirg Plan trucks/goods movement measures A -19 Anti-idling requirement for cargo handfing equipment al ports Deferred to Scoping Plan A-20 Require the electrification of airport ground support equipment Deferred to Scoping Plan A-21 Require the electrification of construction equipment at urban sites Deferred to Scoping Plan A -22 Adopt a regulation and /or incentive program to take advantage of emerging hybrid - Deterred to Sceping Plan electric technology for medium duty delivery trucks A -23 Requirements for alternative fuel vehicle sales fuel distri bution Deferred to Scoping Plan A -24 I Ethanol imports from Brazil and biodiesel imports), could be part of the E10185 Deferred to Scoping Plan A -1 0 0 Attachment B STAKEHOLDER SUGGESTIONS FOR THE CAT FORWARDED FROM THE ARB ID No. Applicable Description of Proposed Early Action or Strategy Department Assigned SecroHs) Relatively inexpensive energy savings measures with short pay back times for cement industry BTH B-1 Cement (e.g., encourage the use of cleaner blends of cement that are less carhoMrdensive) Explore a greenhouse gas and mercury emission performance standard for cement facMies B-2 Cement equivalent to the level achievable through conversion from Mal to natural gas BTH (22% 1.2MMTC01E and 3045% 1200-7800 Ibs Hg par year) B-3 Commercial Renewable diesel fuel plant CEC Efficiency standards— the CEC should adapt water efficiency standards for irrigation equipment CEC B-4 Commercial and for new, residential and nonresidential construction Increase building insulation standardafnsulation improvements CEC B-5 Commercial (potential incentives to solve market falses) Application of leak detection system for locating fugitive methane leakage from gas transmission CIWSAB B-6 Commercial pipes and storage device, and landfills eta B-7 Commercial HVAC IIM to improve efficiencies of existing and new commercial buildings CEC B$ Commercial A goal to bring curbside recycling to every household (single and mutll- family) by 2010 call B-9 Commemial A goal to require commercial enterprises to obtain recycling services by 2010 CWMB Material specific disposal Irons to require all Californians to limit their disposal of recyclable B-10 Commercial materiels such as cardboard. paper, or construction and demolition debris, regardless of whether it CpN1118 is collected by a refuse company or sell-hauled to the landfill Embedded Energy - The CPUC should allow investor -owned energy uttikles to invest in water use CEC B-11 Commercial effcency measures as a way to reduce the associated energy use B-12 Commercial Mandatory fiwniscent light bulbs (e.g.. Australia) CEC B-13 Commercial Ban of sales of incandescent tight bulbs CEC B-14 Commercial Ice Bear peak power demand etrMlg techrologyfor AIC CEC B-15 Commercial Free provision and installation of solar panels for residential and commercial buildings CEC Biogas (anaerobic digestion) technology: capture off-gases from covered lagoons (e.g., asides), CEC B-16 Commercial plug flow, or complete ml operations for in -site power generation purpose B-17 Commercial Increase average thermostat temperature to reduce AIC use CEC Urban CeAifcation - The Department of Water Resources (DWR) should establish an urban 8.18 Commecial certification program to assure compliance with urban water conservation Best Management DWR Practices (BMPs) contained in the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) regarding urban water conservation in Caliromia Water measurement • The Department of Water Resources should create a water use database DWR B-19 Commercial and a system for reporting water deliveries and diversions CEC adoption of regulations to implement Senate Bill 1368's greenhouse gas emissions CEC B-20 Electricity performance standard for new long-term commitments to baseload genereion B-21 Electricity Renewable power CECfCPUC B-22 Electricity Better incentives for renewable energy CECICPUC B-23 Electricity Incentin im community choice aggregation with high RPS CPUC &27 Electricity .. From net- metering to sole compensation CEC 8-28 Electricity Increased damandsideananagement(OSM) for power CECICPUC 0 7 Attachment B STAKEHOLDER SUGGESTIONS FOR THE CAT FORWARDED FROM THE ARB ID No Applicable Description of Proposed Early Action or Strategy Department Assigned Sector(s) B -29 Electricity Stmamfne/rstebase transmission investments from renewable power rich areas CECICPUC (Tehachapi, Imperial Valley, etc...) , Forests (encourage reforestation): promote sustainable forestry, ban clear cubing, enforce higher Ca1Fire B-30 Forest restocking ratios, and incentivae better forest practices B31 Forest Thin National Forests to encourage growth and increase carbon uptake by fever trees CaIFIre a) Begin the process for reviewing and adopting the Registys forest Protocols B-32 Forest b) Recognize the early actions of Registry members CaIFIreIARB c) Coordinate with odw agencies with jurisdiction over forest and land-based activities to develop guidelines and accounting methods for achieving reductions from the forest sector B33 Industry Reduced fouling and improved efficiencies of large water - cooled systems (chemical + biocide) CEC B34 Multiple Water and climate- encourage local actions DWR B35 Multiple State support for local efforts ARB Streamline reporting for small factlbles- suggest a stepped approach to include small emitters in ARB 8 -311 Multiple CA Climate Action, Registry UNDER REVIEW BY B-37 Multiple Help local agencies avoid `Death by Success' THE CAT B38 Multiple GHGs in General Plans and CEOA ARB/Resources UNDER REVIEW 8Y B49 Other Technology gram program for reducing GHGs THE CAT B40 Residential Standards for stand by electric use (for appliances that are plugged in, using less electricity) CEC B41 Residential Water conservation DWIUCECfCPUC B42 Residential Water supply planning DWR B43 Residential Water re -use DWIUSWRCB B44 Transportation Improve transportation system efficiency BTWCalTrans 845 Transportation Increased public transport BTH B46 Transportation Transportation pricing policies CEC CEC adoption of minimum tire efficiency standards pursuant to AB 844 for transportation fuels CEC B47 Transportation and fight- dutyvehicles Bog Transportation Entry es tot anversm conga .g. ; mum be coupled Iman good Public CECIARB •- As of March 2, 2087. The majority of the suggestions were provided at the January 22, 2007 ARE Public Workshop on Discrete Early Actions. '• - Carrmns = California Department of Transportation; CEC - California Energy Commission; CNYMB = California Integrated Waste Management Board; CPUC = California Public Utilities Commission; CDFFP = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; DWR = Department of Wooer Resources; DTSC = Department of Toxic Substances Control; OEHHA = Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment; WRCS = Water Resources Control Board ME EXHIBIT I I Staff Report California 1990 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Level and 2020 Emissions Limit Public Release Date: November 16, 2007 This document has been prepared by the staff of the California Air Resources Board. Publication does not signify that the contents reflect the views and policies of the Air Resources Board. The Air Resources Board will consider this document at a noticed public meeting tentatively scheduled for December 6 -7, 2007. Primary Author Jamesine Rogers Contributina Authors Kevin Eslinger Larry Hunsaker LinYing Li Neva Lowery Johnnie Raymond Klaus Scott Marc Vayssieres Reviewed by: Webster Tasat, Manager, Emission Inventory Analysis Section Richard D. Bode, Chief, Emission Inventory Branch Linda C. Murchison, Ph.D., Chief, Planning and Technical Support Division Lynn M. Terry, Deputy Executive Officer Supporting Divisions Planning and Technical Support Division Research Division Stationary Source Division Acknowledgements Staff of the Air Resources Board wishes to express their appreciation to the many stakeholders that were an integral part of developing the 1990 emissions level through workshops, technical discussions, and conference calls. The following organizations in particular were critical to the success of this effort, both in their technical advice and their constructive participation throughout the process: California Energy Commission; California Integrated Waste Management Board; California Public Utilities Commission; California Department of Forestry & Fire Protection.; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; U.S. Energy Information Administration; U.S.D.A. Forest Service; California Climate Action Registry; Lawrence Berkeley National Lab; University of Califomia- Berkeley; Western States Petroleum Association; Waste Management, Inc.; Los Angeles County Sanitation District; Portland Cement Association; Californians Against Waste; Natural Resources Defense Council; Environmental Defense; and, Sacramento Municipal Utilities District. 0 Staff Report 0 California 1990 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Level and 2020 Emissions Limit TABLE OF CONTENTS . EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1- STAFF RECOMMENDATION 1 tl- BACKGROUND 1 III. OVERVIEW OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE 1990 EMISSIONS A. Which gases are included? .................................................................... B. Which global warming potentials are used?-------------------------------- •- - - - - -3 C. What types of emissions are included? ................................ _ .............. 4 D. What key sectors and categories were reviewed and updated ? - - -5 E. How does the proposed 1990 emissions estimate differ from previous California estimates? 8 F. Is the inventory consistent with international and national guidelines? .................................................. ...•--•--• •----•-- -•--•--•------•------•---•----9 G. What was the review and update process? ......................................... 11 H. What was the public process? .................... ------------- •--•--•--•---•--•----------• -11 I. What issues were raised in the public process? ,----------- •--- •-- •-------- - -•_11 J. What documentation is available on the methods used to quantify the emissions estimates? ........................................................ 12 IV- ESTIMATING THE 1990 EMISSIONS LEVEL 13 A. Emissions estimates and quantification methods for key sectors and categories. 15 B. Emissions estimates for other sectors 25 V. PRELIMINARY 2020 GREENHOUSE GAS PROJECTIONS 26 VI- CONCLUSIONS VII- REFEREN .List of Appendices Appendix A -1. 1990 1'nventory by IPCC Summary Categories Appendix A -2. 1990 Inventory by IPCC Category Appendix B. Carbon Flux Table and Diagram Appendix C. California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 List of Tables and Fissures Tables Table 1. Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) IPCC Second Assessment Report (SAR) Table 2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector in 1990 (433 MMTCO2e Gross Emissions) Table 3. Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector in 2004 (484 MMTCO2e Gross Emissions) Table 4. Differences in ARB and CEC 1990 Emissions Estimates for Sectors and Key Categories Table 5. Emissions Inventory Categories within Each Sector Figures Figure 1. 1990 Gross Emissions by Greenhouse Gas Figure 2. 1990 Greenhouse-Gas Emissions by Sector (427 MMTCO2e Net Emissions) Figure 3. 2004 Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector (480 MMTCO2e Net Emissions) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (the Actor AB 32, Nunez, Statutes of 2006, chapter 488) requires the Air Resources Board (ARB or Board) to determine the statewide greenhouse gas emissions level in 1990 and to approve a statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit, equal to that level, to be achieved by 2020. ARB staff is recommending that the Board approve 427 million metric tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MMTCO2e) as the total statewide aggregated greenhouse gas 1990 emissions level and 2020 emissions limit: This staff report discusses the development of the 1990 statewide emissions level and provides a summary of the key emissions sources, the methodologies used to calculate the emissions, and the sources of data. More detailed documentation is provided on -line at hftp://www.arb.ca.gov/r-c/ccei/emsinv/emsinv.htm. The Act establishes a comprehensive program to reduce greenhouse gases by 2020 and identifies several major requirements that ARB is or will be implementing: • Adopt and implement a list of discrete and early action greenhouse gas reduction measures (done); • Approve a statewide 1990 emissions level that becomes California's statewide 2020 emissions limit (due January 2008); • Adopt mandatory greenhouse gas reporting rules for significant greenhouse gas sources (due January 2008); • Adopt a Scoping Plan for greenhouse gas emission reductions to achieve the 1990 emissions level by 2020 (due January 2009); and, • Adopt emission regulations to achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost - effective reductions. In January 2007, Assembly Bill 1803 transferred responsibility for developing and maintaining the State's greenhouse gas inventory from the California Energy Commission (CEC) to ARB. Using the CEC greenhouse gas inventory as a starting point, ARB staff determined the State's 1990 greenhouse gas emissions level by conducting a comprehensive review of all greenhouse gas emitting sectors. The seven sectors are: Transportation, Electricity Generation, Industrial, Residential, Agriculture, Commercial, and Forestry. ARB staff gathered data from State and federal agencies, international organizations, and California industries to estimate the total statewide 1990 greenhouse gas emissions level. Californ ia facility- specific information for 1990 emissions was used where available. Upon approval by the Board, the 1990 emissions level becomes the 2020 emissions limit, which represents an aggregated emissions limit for California. For purposes of the AB 32 Scoping Plan, it serves as the target to be achieved by 2020. For purposes of Scoping Plan development, ARB staff has estimated the State's greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 without the implementation of additional greenhouse gas reduction strategies. This 2020 "business -as- usual" estimate is approximately 600 MMTCO2e and is based on economic forecasts that use growth factors to project emissions. The difference between the 2020 business - as -usual estimate and the 1990 emissions level is California's emission reduction goal. The 2020 business -as -usual forecast will be further refined as the Scoping Plan is developed. The 2020 emissions limit, as defined by the 1990 emissions level, remains in effect until amended by the Board. If additional information becomes available that would significantly alter the total emissions for 1990, staff will bring a revised 1990 emissions level back to the Board for consideration. ii 0 • I. STAFF RECOMMENDATION The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (AB 32, Nunez, Statutes of 2006, chapter 288) requires the Air Resources Board (ARB or Board) to approve by January.l, 2008, the statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit for 2020 based on the 1990 emissions level. Over the past year, ARB staff has undertaken a comprehensive review and update of the 1990 emissions estimates using the best available scientific, technical, and economic information. These emissions estimates were developed through an extensive public process, including technical workshops. ARB staff has estimated the statewide 1990 emissions level to be 427 MMTCO2e and is recommending the Board approve this level as the statewide 1990 greenhouse gas emissions level to be achieved by 2020. Once adopted, the 2020 emissions limit will remain in effect until amended. If new information becomes available that would significantly alter total emissions for 1990, staff will bring a revised 1990 emissions level to the Board for consideration. II. BACKGROUND The.Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (the Act) establishes a comprehensive program to realize real, quantifiable, and cost- effective reductions in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. The Act directs ARB to: • Adopt and implement a list of discrete and early action greenhouse gas reduction measures (done); • Approve a statewide 1990 emissions level that becomes California's statewide 2020 emissions limit (due January 2008); • Adopt mandatory greenhouse gas reporting rules for significant greenhouse gas sources (due January 2008); • Adopt a Scoping Plan for.greenhouse gas emission reductions to achieve the 1990 emissions level by 2020 (due January 2009); and, • Adopt emission regulations to achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost- effective reductions. This staff report discusses the development of the 1990 emissions level that sets the statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit for 2020. It is an aggregated statewide limit that provides the target level that must be achieved through regulatory measures, market mechanisms or other actions that will be contained in the Scoping Plan. The Scoping Plan is scheduled to be taken to the Board in late 2008. III. OVERVIEW OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE 1990 EMISSIONS LEVEL The statewide 1990 greenhouse gas emissions level of 427 MMTCO2e is based on the net amount of greenhouse gases emitted to and removed from the air. The gross statewide emissions in 1990 were 433 MMTCO2e with forestry sinks offsetting approximately 7 MMTCO2e, resulting in net emissions to the atmosphere of approximately 427 MMTCO2e (see Table 2). The 1990 emissions level is a compilation or inventory of the amount and type of greenhouse gases emitted by different sources on an annual basis. In addition to setting California's 1990 emissions level and 2020 emissions limit, ARB now has overall responsibility for the State's annual greenhouse gas emissions inventory. In September 2000, the Legislature passed Senate Bill 1771. It required the California Energy Commission ,(CEC) to determine the statewide greenhouse gas emissions inventory by January 2002 and update it every five years thereafter. In 2006, Assembly Bill 1803 transferred responsibility for updating the statewide greenhouse gas inventory to ARB commencing January 1, 2007. In January 2007, ARB staff began an intensive review of the CEC's California greenhouse gas emissions inventory for the years 1990 to 2004, with particular focus on the 1990 emissions estimates. Staff has updated and evaluated the 1990 emissions inventory and ensured its consistency with national and international guidelines for greenhouse gas inventories. The remainder of this section summarizes the key components of the 1990 emissions inventory. A supplemental document titled "California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory, 1990 to 2004" will discuss emissions estimates for 1990 to 2004. A. Which oases are included? Pursuant to the Act, the inventory includes the following Kyoto greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N20), sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), and per Fluorocarbons (PFCs). These greenhouse gases are referenced in the international guidance on the .development of national inventories provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the authoritative scientific body on climate change. The greenhouse gases included in the inventory absorb infrared radiation, directly impacting the atmosphere's ability to trap heat. Three of these greenhouse gases, CO2, CH4, and N20, may be emitted naturally or through human activities (e.g., the combustion of fossil fuels). The other three, SF6, HFCs, and PFCs, are synthetically produced for industrial purposes. 0 0 Almost 90 percent of the total greenhouse gas emissions in the 1990 inventory were in the form of CO2, as shown in Figure 1. Carbon dioxide accounted for 389 MMTCO2e of the total statewide gross greenhouse gas emissions of 433 MMTCO2e. Gross greenhouse gas emissions estimates only include the greenhouse gases emitted to the atmosphere, and exclude removals from the atmosphere. The remaining emissions were comprised of CH4, N2O, halogenated gases (including substitutes for ozone - depleting substances (ODS)), and SF6. Methane and N2O emissions totaled 24.9 MMTCO2e and 16.1 MMTCO2e, respectively. Emissions of SF6 were 2.6 MMTCO2e. Halogenated gas emissions were minimal in 1990, estimated at approximately 0.6 MMTCO2e. Many of the halogenated gases are substitutes for ODS, which are being phased out under the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. Because the Montreal Protocol came into force only shortly beforehand in 1989, emissions of ODS substitutes were relatively small in 1990. Figure 1.1990 Gross Emissions by Greenhouse Gas CH4 6% B. Which atobal warmina.Potentials are used? Halogenated gases <1% SF6 1% Each greenhouse gas has a different capacity to trap heat in the atmosphere, with some more effective at trapping heat than others. To account for this difference, IPCC developed the metric of a global warming potential (GWP) for each gas. The GWP allows comparison of the global warming influence of different greenhouse gases relative to CO2. Total greenhouse gases can then be expressed as CO2 equivalents or CO2e. In developing the greenhouse gas inventory for 1990, staff used the GWPs in IPCC's Second Assessment Report for consistency with national and international inventories. All international inventories, including the U.S. inventory, use GWPs from the Second Assessment Report per international consensus (USEPA 2007). The GWPs used to estimate the 1990 emissions level are referenced in Table 1. Table 1. Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) IPCC Second Assessment Report (SAR) Greenhouse Gas SAR GWP 100 years CO2 1 CH4 21 N20 310 HFC -23 11,700 HFC -125 2,800 HFC 134a 1,300 HFG-143a 3.800 HFG-32 650 CF4 6 500 C2F6 9,200 SF6 23,900 Source: IPCC Second Assessment Report Since GWPs are indexed to CO2, they allow for the conversion of different greenhouse gas emissions into the same emission unit, carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2e). Carbon dioxide equivalents represent the total impact (radiative forcing) of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, making it possible to determine the climate change impact of one greenhouse gas versus another. The 1990 greenhouse gas emissions level is expressed in total CO2e. It is calculated as follows: CO2 Equivalent in million metric tonnes = (Million metric tonnes of a GHG emitted )"(GWP of the GHG) C. What types of emissions are included? The inventory includes emissions of the six greenhouse gases from all known anthropogenic and biogenic sources within California, as well as emissions from imported electricity and transmission and distribution line losses as required by the Act. The total emissions for any given year is the net sum expressed in CO2e emissions to the atmosphere ( "positive" emissions) and removals from the atmosphere ( "negative" emissions) due to sequestration of carbon by forests and rangelands within the State's boundaries. Anthropogenic emissions are emissions resulting directly from human activities, such as the combustion of fuels in transportation and industrial activities, as well as process emissions from industrial activities. They are also the result of human influence on natural processes and processes subject to human control. The burning of fossil fuels is the largest single source of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in California. Because increases in anthropogenic greenhouse 0 0 gas emissions have substantially increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, anthropogenic emissions are the primary focus of the inventory (IPCC 2007). Biogenic emissions are emitted as part of the natural biogeochemical cycling of carbon. These emissions include, for.example, CO2 released as plants decompose or bum. Natural processes, such as photosynthesis, remove CO2 from the atmosphere and may store carbon in plant tissues for long periods of time (sequestration). In the 1990 inventory, forest - related biogenic emissions and removals are tracked in the Forestry sector. The difference between the biogenic CO2 emissions to and removals from the atmosphere, known as the net flow of atmospheric CO2, indicates whether Forestry is net source or sink of CO2. Biogenic CO2 flux estimates, or the net flow of atmospheric CO2, are detailed in Appendix B. D. What kev sectors and categories were reviewed and updated? The 1990 emissions level is the sum total of emissions and removals from all sectors and categories in the inventory. The inventory is divided into seven broad sectors defined by areas of economic activity within California. These sectors include: Agriculture; Commercial; Electricity Generation; Forestry; Industrial; Residential; and, Transportation. Each sector contains different types of emission sources called categories. For example, the Industrial sector contains the cement, landfills, and petroleum refining categories. Roughly 85 percent of California's greenhouse gas emissions in 1990 can be found in three sectors: Electricity Generation, Industrial and Transportation. Staff primarily focused their review and update efforts on five sectors (Agriculture, Electricity Generation, Forestry, Industrial, and Transportation) and three categories within the Industrial sector (cement, landfills, and petroleum refining). Emissions from all seven sectors are listed below in Table 2 and Figure 2. A detailed discussion of the review of the seven sectors is described in Section IV. 0 0 Table 2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector in 19901 (433 MMTCO2e Gross Emissions) Sector Total Emissions MMTCO2e Percent of Total Gross Emissions Agriculture 23.4 5% Commercial 14.4 3% Electricit Generation 110.6 26% In -State 49.0 11% Imports 61.6 14% Forest (excluding sinks ) 0.2 <1% Industrial 103.0 24% Cement 8.1 2% Landfills 6.3 I r Petroleum Refining 32.8 8% Residential 29.7 7% Transportation 150.7 35% Forestry Sinks 1 -6.7 Figure 2.1990 Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector (427 MMTCO2e Net Emissions) Raskh 79 cores r is 3% Ele Wvty Garreratior OI SWO 11% Elec fty (Im,_. —, 14% Transpwiaifon Agnaftn 5% trial 36 The majority of 1990 emissions are tied to fuel use activities, ranging from transportation to electricity generation to heating buildings. In fact, emissions from fuel combustion comprise more than 80 percent of overall 1990 statewide 1 The remaining 1.3 MMTCO26 are from unspecified fuel combustion and ODS substitute use, which could not be attributed to an individual sector. Percents may not total 100 due to rounding. z Percents do not total 100. Less than one percent of the inventory is due to unspecified fuel combustion and ODS substitutes, which is not attributed to an individual sector (1.3 MMTCO2e in 1990). greenhouse gas emissions. The primary fuels combusted were natural gas and gasoline .3 In -state Electricity Generation, Residential and Industrial sectors accounted for almost 90 percent of the natural gas combusted statewide in 1990, while the Transportation sector consumed almost all (98 percent) of the State's gasoline.in 1990. California's economy and population have grown since 1990, resulting in increases in greenhouse gas emissions for some sectors. Table 3 and Figure 3 reflect the relative contributions of each sector to the State's overall greenhouse gas emissions in 2004. Table 3. Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector in 2004" (484 MMTCO2e Gross Emissions) Sector ons e Percent.of Total Gross Emissions Agriculture 6°/E Commercial 10.2 3% Electricity Generation 25% In -State 12% Imports 13% Forestry (excluding sinks <1% Industrial 96.2 20% Cement 9.8 2% Landfills 5.6 1% Petroleum Refining 34.9 7% Residential 29.1 6% Transportation 182.4 38% Forestry Sinks -4.7 ' Comparison among fuels uses heat content (e.g., BTUs /scf natural gas: BTUstgal gasoline) as a common metric among different fuels. Heat content factors are primarily from the California Energy Balance (CALEB) database, EIA and U.S. EPA. ° The remaining 16.0 MMTCO2e are from unspecified fuel combustion and ODS substitute use, which is not attributed to an individual sector. Percents may not total 100 due to rounding. 0 0 Figure 3. 2004 Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sectors (480 MMTCO2e Net Emissions) Residential 6% comma fal 3% Bl tacdy Generagan (Iee) ,2% Electricity Generation (Imports) 13% E. Agriculture 6% Tmnsportatwn 36% IndustrW 20% The 1990 emissions level is based on the most recent data and methodologies available. The CEC and Climate Action Team (CAT) also produced estimates of the 1990 emissions level based on the best available data at the time their estimates were made. The CEC estimated the level to be 413 MMTCO2e (duVair 2007). Per Executive Order S -3 -05, the CAT, which is made up of representatives from several state agencies, was required to implement greenhouse gas emission reduction programs and report on the progress made toward meeting the statewide targets specified in S -3 -05. The CAT sponsored development of a 1990 level using similar estimation methods and data sources to the CEC, with some slight differences in the input data. The CAT's estimated 1990 level was 426 MMTCO2e, which is similar to ARB's updated 1990 level (CAT 2006). Staff was able to characterize the CEC inventory using similar sectors and categories as the ARB inventory. However, it was not possible to do this same characterization with the available inventory information from the CAT report. Table 4 therefore presents a comparison of only the ARB and CEC inventory emissions estimates. s Percents do not total 100. Roughly three percent of the inventory is due to unspecified fuel combustion and ODS substitute use, which is not attributed to an individual sector (16.0 MMTCO2e in 2004). 0 0 Table 4. Differences in ARB and CEC 1990 Emissions Estimates for Sectors and Key Categories Sector 1990 Emissions (MMTCO2e) ARB CEC Agriculture 23.4 31.1 Commercial 14.4 15.3 Electricity Generation 110.6 89.2 In -State 49.0 45.2 imports 61.6 44.0 Forest (excluding sinks 0.2 0.2 Industrial 103.0 79.5 Cement 8.1 4.8 Landfills 6.3 8.1 Petroleum Refinln 32.8 27.9 Residential 29.7 29.6 Transportation 150.7 177.8 While the numbers are similar, these estimates have important differences. Emissions from individual sectors differ between CEC and ARB estimates by up to 30 percent due to updated data, methodologies, and differences in included and excluded emissions. Staff treated carbon stored in landfills differently than CEC by separately tracking stored carbon instead of considering it an emission sink within a landfill. In addition, the ARB estimate only includes intrastate aviation, whereas the CEC and CAT estimates include both interstate and intrastate flights. Staff also included emissions from international shipping and related port activities in California waters, whereas the CEC and CAT excluded all emissions from international ships. If ARB treated these sectors in the same manner as the CEC, an additional 7 MMTCO2e would be added to the updated 1990 emissions level. Additional details on differences between the CEC's and ARB's estimates of 1990 emissions are described in Section IV of the report. F. Is the inventory consistent with international and national Guidelines? The 1990 California inventory is consistent with international and national guidelines and protocols to the greatest extent possible. Consistency maximizes the comparability of the.inventory with inventories from other.states and nations. This is important to facilitate the future linkage of California's program with regional, national, and. international greenhouse gas emission reduction programs. IPCC develops the standard international guidance for emissions inventories. Nations that have adopted the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change must prepare and report their emissions and sinks of CO2, CH4, N2O, 0 1 0 SF6, PFCs, and HFCs using IPCC methodologies to ensure comparability among national inventories. The IPCC guidelines delineate the sectors and processes for which nations must report their anthropogenic emissions and sinks, and 'how they should report these emissions. They also describe different methodologies to estimate both emissions and uncertainties, depending on the available . data sources. The guideline documents include: The Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (IPCC /UNEP /OECD /IEA 1997); Good Practice Guidance. and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Inventories (IPCC 2000); and, Good Practice for Land Use, Land -Use Change and Forestry (IPCC 2003), among others. IPCC recently published updated guidelines to incorporate new sources, additional greenhouse gases, and improved methodologies, 2006 Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (IPCC /UNEPNVMO 2006). . The U.S. EPA is the lead agency for preparing and developing the national greenhouse gas inventory. The U.S. EPA supplements the widely applicable IPCC methodologies with more U.S. - specific and /or updated methodologies and data as feasible, and uses published emission factors and activity data when available. ARB staff used the IPCC guidelines for its overall approach and sector -speck guidance in developing the 1990 inventory. The guidelines allow for use of state - specific data and methodologies rather than the more generic international ones when available. Staff used California - specific data and methodologies, as appropriate. International guidance also recommends excluding bunker fuel emissions for all international aviation flights and marine vessel voyages from emissions inventories (IPCC /UNEPNUMO 2006). In.an effort to be consistent, we propose to exclude these emissions from the 1990 emissions level, with the exception of marine bunker fuel use in California waters. As discussed above, we are also proposing to exclude greenhouse gas emissions from interstate flights, which is consistent with the international approach of including only those flights within a, jurisdiction's borders. California's inventory differs from the IPCC guidelines and U.S. EPA greenhouse gas inventory in two ways. The Act requires that ARB include imported electricity in the 1990 inventory. International and the U.S. inventories do not. The proposed inventory also contains emissions from all ships, including intemaflonally- flagged ships, occurring within California waters provided that either their origin or destination is a California ports 6 For purposes of calculating emissions from ships, California waters extend to 24 nautical miles from the coast. 10 0 0 G. What was the review and update process? Staff updated the inventory through an extensive process to ensure inclusion of the.best available economic, technological, and scientific data. The process began when ARB received the statewide greenhouse gas inventory from the CEC in December 2006 per Assembly Bill 1803. CEC staff had developed a comprehensive detailed inventory of statewide greenhouse gas emissions for 1990 through 2004 (CEC 2006). ARB staff devoted eight months to an extensive review of this inventory, including the data sources and methodologies used for each sector and category. The process focused on four sectors (Agriculture, Electricity Generation, Forestry and Transportation) and three categories in the Industrial sector (cement, landfills, and petroleum refining). Staff made updates and improvements to the data, methodologies, and calculations in consultation with agencies and stakeholders to ensure use of the best data and methodologies and consistency with international and national guidelines. H. What was the public process? The review and update process included four public workshops and nine technical discussions on the inventory. Staff held an initial workshop in late 2006, a preliminary technical discussion in early 2007, a workshop on updates in June 2007, and a workshop to discuss the draft inventory in August 2007. There have also been several technical workgroups on the emissions estimates associated with electricity generation, cement, landfills, and petroleum refining in conjunction with the development of the mandatory reporting regulation for greenhouse gases. I. What issues were raised in the public process? Although many topics were discussed during workshops and technical discussions, three were particularly challenging when developing the 1990 inventory: forestry, landfills, and electricity generation. Forestry. The 1990 forestry emissions estimate uses data on greenhouse gas emissions and sinks estimated by the CEC, which are based on the results of a remote - sensing and GIS -based analysis of forest data. These data represents the best available, peer- reviewed data for the Forestry sector. During the public review of the greenhouse gas emissions data for forestry, the U.S. Department of Agriculture — Forest Service (USDA -FS) developed a draft inventory of carbon sequestration for national forests using a different methodology. The California Department of Forestry and Fire (CaIFIRE) and the USDA -FS believe the CEC - based methodology used to calculate forest carbon sequestration may underestimate the amount of vegetation statewide, and therefore underestimate CO2 sinks. ARB has formed an interagency workgroup with participants from CaIFIRE and USDA -FS, as well as CEC and U.S. EPA, to investigate these additional data sources and methods. The results will be incorporated in future 11 0 0 greenhouse gas emissions estimates and included in the Scoping Plan process as available. Landfills. The landfill industry requested that staff alter the inventory methodology to count the carbon stored in landfills in the form of wood products and other carbon - bearing material as a sink when defining the 1990 level. Staff acknowledges that carbon is stored in landfills. However, the inventory methodology recognizes carbon sequestration at the point where carbon is removed from the atmosphere (i.e., photosynthesis in living vegetation). Counting it again when wood products are stored in landfills would constitute a double counting of sequestered CO2. Staff has proposed to calculate and track the amount of carbon stored in landfills, but not count it as a sink when calculating the 1990 emissions level. The landfill industry and environmental organizations also recommended using different landfill gas collection efficiencies and surface cap oxidation factors than the currently used U.S. EPA default values. A wide range of estimates for these factors exist in the literature and from site - specific tests. To provide a better basis for calculating landfill emissions, staff is working with the California Integrated Waste Management Board (CIWMB) and CEC to obtain improved data on landfill gas collection efficiencies through a CEC- sponsored research study. in the meantime, the proposed inventory continues to use the U.S. EPA default values since rigorous, scientifically -based measurement data on collection efficiency and landfill cap oxidation factors are not currently available. Electricity generation. The inventory uses the same methodology developed and used by CEC, including its fuel mix assumptions, to calculate emissions from unspecified imported power (out -of -state power from an unknown fuel type). An electric power provider recommended that the inventory use a different set of assumptions regarding the types and amount of fuel associated with unspecified imported electric power from the Pacific Northwest. ARB staff has based its final estimates for unspecified imported power in 1990 on the findings and recommendations of CEC staff. ARB staff will continue to work with the CEC and California Public Utilities Commission to obtain improved information on emissions from electricity generation for future years. J. What documentation is available on the methods used to nuantify the emissions estimates? ARB staff has produced extensive documentation on the methods used to develop the emissions inventory for 1990, as well as for the years 1991 to 2004. Detailed calculations and methods can be found on -line at htto_/l www. arb. ca .gov /cc/ccei /emsinv /emsinv.htm. This online documentation consists of over 12,OOO.pages and includes the following for every emission source estimate for years 1990 to 2004: basic calculation equations and 12 0 0 references to models, activity data, emission factors, GWPs, and other constants. It also includes the sources of each of these inputs. IV. ESTIMATING THE 1990 EMISSIONS LEVEL The amount and types of emissions in any given year are driven by California's economic and population demands. In 1990, California had over 29 million people and an economy that was one of the world's largest with a gross state product of approximately $1 trillion, equaling 13 percent of the U.S. gross . domestic product (BEA 2007). As a result, transportation and electricity demand to meet Californ ia's economic and population needs were responsible for the largest quantities of greenhouse gases, with transportation accounting for over 35 percent of total emissions and electricity demands for another 26 percent. A summary of the 1990 emissions estimates for all categories in each sector is included in Table 5. A detailed summary of the 1990 inventory and the complete 1990 emissions inventory are included in Appendices A -1 and A -2, respectively. In estimating the 1990 emissions, staff relied on a variety of information sources, most of which provide data at the state or regional level. They used emission factors primarily from the IPCC, U.S. EPA, and stakeholders. Fuel use and electricity generation data were taken from the California Energy Balance (CALEB) report, Energy Information Administration (EIA), the CEC's Quarterly Fuel and Energy Report and Petroleum Industry Information Reporting Act Data, and stakeholder input. Staff also used models where appropriate, such as EMission FACtors (EMFAC) 2007 model, which is ARB's transportation emissions model for on -road emissions, U.S. EPA models for agriculture, and the IPCC First -Order Decay model for landfills. The 1990 emissions inventory therefore is primarily a top -down inventory since it relies on these statewide or regional data sources for its emissions estimates. For example, staff followed the top -down approach of using statewide fuel use from certain emissions sources to estimate their CO2 emissions. For the . categories where data was available, staff used a bottom -up approach, relying on facility- specific data to estimate emissions. Additional information on estimation methods. may be found on -line in 12,000 pages of documentation in which calculations and data sources are detailed (hftp:/Iwww.arb.ca.Qov/cc/cceilemsinv/em sinv. htm). 13 0 0 Table 5. Emissions Inventory Categories within Each Sector Sector Category's 1990 Emissions MMTCO2e s Agriculture Agricultural Energy Use 4.5 Agricultural Residue Burning 0.1 Agricultural Soil Management 6.7 Enteric Fermentation 6.7 Manure Management 5.0 Rice Cultivation 0.4 Commercial CHP: Commercial (UTO) 0.4 Communication 0.1 Domestic Utilities 0.3 Education 1 A Food Services 1.9 Health Care 1.3 Hotels 0.7 National Security 0.6 Offices 1.5 Retail & Wholesale 0.7 Transportation Services 0.03 Not Specified 5.6 Electricity Generation (Imports) Specified Imports (generating plant known 29.6 Uns edfied Imports (generating plant unknown 31.0 Transmission and Distribution (SF6) 1.0 Electricity Generation (Instate) CHP: Commercial and CHP: Industrial 15.2 Merchant Owned 2.3 Utility Owned 29.9 Transmission and Distribution (SF6 ) 1.6 Forestry Forest and range management 0.2 Industrial CHP: Industrial (UTO) 9.7 Flaring 0.2 Landfills 6.3 Manufacturing 32.0 .Mining 0.03 Oil & Gas Extraction 14.6 Petroleum Marketing 0.02 Petroleum Refining 32.8 Pipelines 1.6 Wastewater Treatment 3.2 Not Specified 2.6 Residential Household Use 29.7 Transportation Aviation 5.1 Water -home Marine Vessel 2.2 On read 138.0 Rail 2.3 Not Specified 3.0 l Combined Heat and Power (CHP) refers to cogeneration units supplying electric power and/or useful thermal energy. UTO is useful thermal output from CHP. e Emissions in each sector not otherwise accounted for are categorized as "Not Specified ". a Emissions may not add up to total gross emissions in 1990 due to rounding. 14 0 • A. Emissions estimates and quantification methods for key sectors and categories The 1990 inventory emissions estimates are based on in -depth analyses of the CEC's inventory and appropriate updates by staff to include the best scientific, technological, and economic data available. The review and update process included all sectors and categories listed in Table 5. The process placed special emphasis on the sources of greenhouse gas emissions discussed below, in order of highest to lowest emissions. Emission estimates, methodologies, data sources, and updates from the CEC inventory are listed. In addition, there is a brief discussion of where inventory methods might be improved in the future as staff continues to develop annual inventories. 1. Transportation Emissions Estimate. The Transportation sector is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases, emitting roughly 35 percent of California's greenhouse gases in 1990. It includes all on -road vehicles (passenger cars, light duty trucks, heavy duty vehicles, and motorcycles), as well as airplanes, trains., and ships. Key exclusions are interstate and international flights, as well as ships operating outside of California waters. Transportation emitted 150.7 MMTCO2e of greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4 and N20) in 1990. Passenger vehicles, which include passenger cars and light -duty trucks, accounted for more than 70 percent of all transportation emissions, emitting 108.5 MMTCO2e. Most of the transportation emissions were CO2. As a result, the Transportation sector was also the largest emitter of CO2 in 1990: 143.1 MMTCO2e. This estimate does not include emissions from international and interstate aviation, as well as marine fuel use outside of California waters. Since fossil fuel combustion primarily produces CO2 and relatively little CH4 and N20, transportation accounted for a small fraction of statewide CH4 emissions, 1.0 MMTCO2e, despite the large volume of fossil fuels used in vehicles statewide. It is, however, the second largest source of N20 with 6.7 MMTCO2e, the majority of which is from on -road vehicles. Older technology catalysts, which were designed to reduce criteria pollutant emissions from on -road vehicles, produced N20 through incomplete reactions with combusted fuel. Methodology. To quantify on -road emissions, staff used EMFAC 2007 and scaled the direct EMFAC outputs to fuel sales data for all emissions (notably CO2, carbon monoxide, total hydrocarbons, CH4, and NOx). Scaling EMFAC outputs to fuel sales enabled the transportation inventory to remain consistent with the top -down approach used for fuel combustion emissions in the rest of the inventory.. Nitrous oxide for gasoline vehicles was determined from a linear regression correlating NOx with N20 based on tailpipe emissions test data. For diesel vehicles, N20 emissions were based on a per - gallon emission factor from diesel tailpipe emissions test data. 15 For CO2 emissions from airplanes and trains, staff followed the 2006 IPCC methodology, which multiplies the amount of fuel purchased within California by its energy content, carbon content, and a combustion efficiency assumption (IPCC /UNEP/WMO 2006). Staff used a similar approach for CH4 and N2O emissions from airplanes and trains, applying the latest U.S. EPA emission factors to available fuel data. More specific data was available for the marine vessel inventory, which staff calculated using activities and emission rate data for ship emissions that occurred in California waters (within 24 miles of California's coastline) including en transit, port, harbor, docking, and other activities. Appropriate Second Assessment Report GW Ps were used in all calculations to determine final emission estimates. Updates from CEC Inventory. Scaling EMFAC 2007 outputs to the original fuel sales data was a significant update to the previous statewide inventory compiled by CEC, resulting in a vehicle - class - specific inventory for most on -road emissions. Further updates include the recalculation of N2O emissions improvements in marine vessel estimates, which now use ARB's high resolution goods movement data to determine emissions occurring in California waters, instead of following a strictly fuel sales -based approach. Data Sources. Staff obtained on -road gasoline, on -road diesel, and aviation gasoline fuel sale numbers from the State Board of Equalization. Fuel sales data generally correlate fairly well with fuel use. These numbers are also referenced in the Federal Highway Administration Highway Statistics annual reports and CALEB. Nearly all other fuel data (carbon content, fuel use, etc.) are from the CALEB report, which cites EIA's State Energy Consumption, Price, and Expenditure Estimates database, as well as EIA's Petroleum Marketing reports. Carbon dioxide calculation methodologies for airplanes and trains are from IPCC guidance, while on -road source emission factors come from EMFAC. For airplanes and trains, N2O and CH4 emission factors are from the U.S. EPA ship statistics and emissions currently included the inventory (fuel use as well as CO2, CH4 and N2O) are from ARB's goods movement information database. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. Staff is investigating the feasibility of updating EMFAC 2007 to directly calculate emission outputs for on -road vehicle N2O emissions. Staff is also considering updating airplane, train, and ship emissions based on new activity and emissions data. 2. Electricity Generation Emissions Estimate. The Electricity Generation sector is the next largest emitter of greenhouse gases in 1990, emitting 110.6 MMTCO2e. It consists of power plants and cogenerators that generate electricity for on -site use and for sale to the power grid. Power plants typically produce electrical power to serve the grid. Cogenerators produce electricity and non - electricity useful thermal outputs, such as steam and /or hot air. The Act specifically requires that estimates shall include 16 greenhouse gas emissions from both in -state generated power and the generation of imported electricity delivered to and consumed in California. Emissions from transmission line losses of electricity, as well as SF6 emissions from transmission equipment, are also included. Almost 30 percent of the electricity produced in -state in 1990 used renewable energy sources, such as biomass, solar, wind, hydropower, and geothermal (Schnapp 2007). The remainder relied on fossil fuels and nuclear power. California imported 40 percent of its electricity in 1990 to meet statewide demand. Imported electricity emitted more than 50 percent of the CO2 emissions from this sector, 60.3 MMTCO2e versus 47.3 MMTCO2e from in -state generation. Electricity generation was a relatively minor source of CH4 and N2O, emitting 0.1 MMTCO2e of CH4 and 0.4 MMTCO2e of N2O. This sector uses SF6 as an electrical insulator in the transmission and distribution of electricity. The quantities of SF6 released to the atmosphere during these applications are small, but its GWP is the highest of the greenhouse gases in the inventory. As a result, in 1990, statewide SF6 emissions from electricity generation were 2.6 MMTCO2e. Methodoloay. Emissions from the Electricity Generation sector are based primarily on fuel use data obtained from the EIA. Emissions of SF6 from leaks in electrical transmission equipment are from the U.S. EPA national emissions inventory, prorated to California based on electricity generation. Staff calculated fuel combustion emissions by multiplying the heat content of fuel by its relevant emission factors and constants. For imported power, staff used plant -specific data for known (specified) imports. The remaining unspecified imports are based on region - specific emission factors assumptions for the Pacific Northwest and Pacific Southwest regions. Staff used CEC assumptions about fuel use for both regions. Cogeneration facilities, also known as Combined Heat and Power (CHP) plants, use some fuel for electricity generation and the rest to generate steam and other useful thermal outputs. To reflect this practice, staff only used the fraction of the fuel that each cogeneration facility reported as combusted for electricity generation to estimate electric power emissions. Emissions associated from the combustion of the remaining fuel are listed as Useful Thermal Output in the inventory and not counted under the electricity generation sector. Updates from CEC Inventory. Significant updates from the earlier CEC inventory were the inclusion of geothermal and additional waste -to- energy data for calculating emissions from in -state power, line losses in the calculation of greenhouse gas emissions from imported power, and gross imported electricity used instead of net imports (gross imports minus exports). 17 Data Sources. All fuel use data is from the EIA. National SF6 emissions are from the U.S. EPA. Emission factors, fuel heat content, and GWPs are from U.S. EPA, EIA and IPCC. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. SF6 emissions estimates can be improved with California-specific data, which staff is currently working to obtain. Staff is also developing better methods for dividing the cogeneration emissions between respective uses. Staff is working with CEC, CPUC, and other stakeholders to improve the estimate of emissions from unspecified imports of electricity. 3. Petroleum Refining Emissions Estimate. The petroleum refining category emitted 32.8 MMTCO2e in 1990. More than 99 percent of these emissions were CO2, including 32.6 MMTCO2e, from fuel combustion and fuels used as feedstocks. Methane and N2O emissions were relatively small, 0.2 MMTCO2e and 0.02 MMTCO2e, respectively. This category includes the 21 major refineries and minor refineries located throughout California. Major refineries (50,000+ barrels per day of crude capacity) typically receive and process petroleum crude into its component parts for sale as fuel or for use as other petroleum -based products (e.g., waxes, lubricants, etc). Minor refineries may also refine crude or work with residual oil and other heavy residuals from major refinery outputs to make asphalt or other petroleum -based products. The primary sources of greenhouse gas emissions at refineries are emissions from cogeneration units, hydrogen production, combustion emissions associated with distillation and other refining processes, catalyst regeneration in fluidized catalytic cracking units (FCCU), and fugitive emissions. Methodology. Staff calculated fuel combustion emissions by multiplying the heat content of fuel by its relevant emission factors and constants. Hydrogen production emissions were estimated using hydrogen generation rates. Fugitive CH4 emission estimates from refineries were derived from data in ARS's criteria pollutant database, the California Emissions Inventory Development and Reporting System (CEIDARS). Updates from CEC Inventory. Western States Petroleum Association provided staff with improved hydrogen production data. Staff updated emission estimates from the combustion of catalyst coke and.petroleum by dividing "coke" into catalyst coke and petroleum coke based on data from the CEO's Petroleum Industry Information Reporting Act (PIIRA) database. PIIRA contains data on fuel used by refineries in the State. Data Sources. Publicly available datasets from the CEC and EIA provided improved data on fuel use. Fugitive emissions are from CEIDARS, which obtains M 0 its data jointly from the local air districts and ARB calculations. The emission factors used in calculating emissions estimates are from U.S. EPA, EIA, and IPCC guidance. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. Staff is working to obtain additional data regarding the fuel used for hydrogen production. Additionally, refineries may provide data currently missing on fuel (e.g., refinery gas, naphtha, etc.) that they may export to other facilities for hydrogen production. Staff is investigating emission factor updates for CO2 from the regeneration of FCCU catalysts. 4. Agriculture The Agriculture sector was one of the smaller greenhouse gas emitters in 1990, emitting 23.4 MMTCO2e. It includes agricultural energy use, agricultural soil management, agricultural residue burning, enteric fermentation, manure management, and rice cultivation. The sector emits a relatively small amount of CO2 emissions compared to other sectors. The largest CO2 emission source is fuel combustion in agricultural equipment (4.5 MMTCO2e). This sector, however, includes the largest emitter of CH4, enteric fermentation (animal digestion) which emits 6.7 MMTCO2e of CH4 in 1990: Agricultural energy use, agricultural residue burning, manure management, and rice cultivation emitted an additional 4.9 MMTCO2e of CH4. Agriculture was also the largest source of N2O in California in 1990. Agricultural soil management (processes that increase soil nitrogen availability) was responsible for 88 percent of N2O emissions within the agriculture sector and 40 percent of all N2O emissions statewide. Discussion of methodologies, data sources, and future improvements for this sector will focus on agricultural soil management, enteric fermentation, and manure management since they are the highest emitting categories in this sector. Agricultural Soil Management Emissions Estimate. Agricultural soil management was the highest emitter of N2O in 1990, emitting 6.6 MMTCO2e of N2O and 0.1 MMTCO2e of CO2. This category consists of agricultural activities that increase soil nitrogen availability including: applying fertilizers and manure; growing nitrogen fixing crops; retaining crop residuals; liming of soils; depositing waste by domestic and grazing animals; and, cultivating histosols (soils with high organic matter content). Emissions of N2O from managed soils occur as a result of nitrification and denitrification in soil. Methodology. Staff calculated N2O emissions using an emission factor model, which is based on the 2006 IPCC guidelines and the guidance from the U.S. EPA's Emissions inventory Improvement Program for greenhouse gases. Staff adapted the parameter values used by CEC staff to make them California - specific. For example, the residue -to -crop mass ratio and the fraction of residue applied were adjusted down for some crops to match the estimated residue 19 0 0 tonnages for agricultural burning in California. Staff multiplied applied tons of limestone and dolomite by the dolomite and limestone emission factors to estimate CO2 emissions since CO2 is emitted to the atmosphere when the limestone and dolomite applied to agricultural soils degrades. Updates from CEC Inventory. Improvements for estimating N2O emissions from agricultural soil management included computational improvements and updated emission factors. Data Sources. Activity data are from CEC emission inventory spreadsheets, which are primarily from the California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA). Fertilizer usage data is from Fertilizing Materials Tonnage Reports, published by CDFA. Crop production data is from USDA National Agriculture Statistics Services. The animal population data used to estimate manure production were from the national greenhouse gas inventory spreadsheets (U.S. EPA 2007). Staff estimated histosols cultivation acreage based on the expert judgment of two California State soil scientists (CEC 2006). The amounts of limestone and dolomite applied to cropland soils are from the CDFA annual . fertilizing materials tonnage reports and annual editions of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Minerals Yearbook. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. Staff will evaluate the feasibility of using process -based models to quantify N2O emissions. Emission factor models cannot capture the emission variations from a wide range of agro - ecosystems, since N2O emissions from nitrification and denitrification processes are driven by many factors, such as climate, soil, and agricultural practices. Enteric Fermentation Emissions Estimate. Enteric fermentation is the microbial fermentation process in an animal's digestive system that produces CH4, which is in turn exhaled or burped by the animal. This process is the largest statewide emitter of CH4 in 1990, emitting 6.7 MMTCO2e of CH4, most of which was released by domesticated ruminant animals. Methodoloqv. Staff used the U.S. EPA enteric fermentation emissions methodology to calculate California-specific emissions, consistent with 2006 IPCC guidance. The majority of enteric fermentation emissions are from dairy and beef cattle. Staff used a more detailed methodology to estimate emissions for domesticated cattle (except bulls) that employs several models and calculations. A less detailed methodology provided emissions estimates for other livestock, because overall these animals contribute a relatively small amount of the total enteric fermentation CH4 emissions. 20 Updates from CEC Inventory. Updates from the CEC inventory estimates of enteric fermentation emissions centered on improved emission factors and data inputs obtained from U.S. EPA. Data Sources. The original source of the animal population data, except for horses, is from the U.S. Department of Agricultural (USDA) National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). Horse population data is from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Output from the University of California, Davis AAMOLLEY model provides cattle digestible energy and CH4 conversion rates by population category. Staff calculated the gross energy factor using IPCC recommended methods. For "other livestock" animal types, such as sheep and swine, staff obtained the emission factors from the 2006 IPCC guidance. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. Staff is investigating potential improvements to the enteric fermentation methodology. As research results emerge, and as the IPCC and U.S. EPA improve methodologies, the inventory will be updated to reflect those improvements. Manure Management Emissions Estimate. The manure management category emitted 5.0 MMTCO2e in 1990, the majority of which was CH4 emissions. This sector includes the storage of livestock or poultry manure in liquid systems. The storage or treatment of manure waste in anaerobic conditions, such as liquid slung in a pond or lagoon, promotes anaerobic decomposition of organic material, which. produces CH4 emissions. Small amounts of N2O are also produced through nitrification and denitrification. When manure is handled as a solid, it tends to decompose aerobically, primarily producing N2O and little or no CH4. Nitrous oxide emissions from manure managed in pasture, range, and paddock or as daily spread is included in the agricultural soil management category. Methodology. Staff used the U.S. EPA emissions calculation methodology for manure management to calculate California-specific emissions. The methodology considers animal population and location, amount of dry versus liquid manure, CH4 and N2O emission factors, and other inputs. It is consistent with 2006 IPCC guidance and recommendations. Updates from CEC Inventory. Updates from the earlier CEC inventory estimates emissions from manure management centered on improved emission factors and data inputs obtained from U.S. EPA. Data Sources. Animal population data, except for horses, is from the USDA NASS. Horse population data is from the FAO. Staff obtained all factors used to 21 0 0 estimate CH4 and N2O emissions from U.S EPA's inventory spreadsheets and reports. Future improvements to Annual Inventories. As research results emerge, and as the IPCC and U.S. EPA improve methodologies, staff will update future time series inventories. 5. Landfills Emissions Estimate. Landfills are the second highest emitter of CH4 statewide, releasing 6.3 MMTCO2e as a result of the degradation of organic waste. Anaerobic decomposition of landfilled waste forms roughly an even mix of CO2 and CH4 as a byproduct of degradation. Methane emissions from landfills are the chief pollutant of concern for this category. The CO2 generated from landfills, whether through oxidation in cover material or through landfill gas combustion, is considered biogenic and accounted for in the atmospheric CO2 flux (see Appendix B). The landfills included in the inventory are only those landfills in California that receive or have received organic waste. Landfills receiving only ash or inert construction debris are not considered since they do not emit CH4. A large fraction of landfill carbon, including organic waste, cannot degrade and may be permanently sequestered in the landfill. Landfills may install or expand a gas collection system to capture landfill gases in an effort to comply with local, state or federal regulations. Captured gas may be flared, filtered, or combusted for electricity production. Some landfills do not generate enough gas for effective combustion and simply vent the gas. Gases that are not captured escape through the surface or migrate out through other means. Methodology. Staff used the IPCC Mathematically Exact First -Order Decay Model, which calculates the amount of carbon that degrades over time in a landfill. The amount of landfill carbon before degradation is based on national and California waste characterization studies and 2006 IPCC factors that convert each waste type into carbon mass. Staff received the total amount of waste deposited into landfills (waste -in -place data) from CIWMB for 1990 and prior years. All of these data served as inputs into the IPCC model. Staff surveyed landfills in the State to improve the model output results, augmenting model estimates with actual measured landfill gas collection levels. Collection efficiencies and oxidation factors for gas migration through the cover soils used defaults of 75 percent and 10 percent, respectively. Staff combined these defaults with the model output to determine total amount of CH4, that was released. 22 Updates from CEC Inventory. CEC relied on CEIDARS data for landfill CH4, which is based on local air district - specific methods. Staff updated emissions estimates by using waste data obtained from CIWMB in conjunction with IPCC models to obtain a consistent, statewide estimate that incorporates all the latest data available. Data Sources. Waste -in -place data is from the CIWMB. Rainfall for each landfill, which influenced landfill decay rates, is based on data from CIWMB and the Natural Resources Conservation Service. The decay model itself is from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines (Mathematically Exact First -Order Decay Model). Waste characterization comes from U.S. EPA (national data) and CIWMB (California- specific data) studies, while carbon content and sequestration factors come from U.S. EPA, CEC, and 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The default collection efficiency of 75 percent is from U.S. EPA. The default oxidation factor of 10 percent for gas migration through the surface cap is from 2006 IPCC Guidance. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. Staff is currently working to obtain more landfill- specific survey data to better improve estimates. Staff hopes to improve the default collection and oxidation values through studies focused on these areas. 6. Cement Emissions Estimate. The cement category includes all cement manufacturers in California. Emissions result from the processing of raw materials into clinker, as well as the combustion of fuel to heat kilns. Clinker is one of the key ingredients used to produce cement, releasing CO2 in the process. The production of clinker produced 4.6 MMTCO2e in 1990. Carbon dioxide was also emitted, along with small quantities of CH4 and N2O, when fossil fuel was combusted to heat kilns, emitting 3.5 MMTCO2e. Carbon dioxide emissions from clinker production accounted for unrecycled cement kiln dust (CKD). Methodology. Staff calculated CO2 emissions from clinker production by first multiplying clinker production data with a clinker CO2 emission factor, and then by a CKD correction factor. The CKD correction factor is calculated based on the known amounts of CKD leaving the kiln, the bypass dust leaving the kiln, and a CKD factor (IPCC /UNEP/WMO 2006). Staff calculated fuel combustion emissions by multiplying the heat content of fuel by its relevant emission factors and constants. Updates from CEC Inventory. Staff used known amounts of clinker production, cement kiln and bypass dust data, and fuel use data, which are all based on facility- specific surveys aggregated to a statewide total. CEC used a default correction factor for CKD, because data on the amounts of CKD were not available. CEC also used clinker production data from the USGS, whereas ARB 23 i • staff used plant - specific aggregated clinker production data provided by the Portland Cement Association (PCA). Data Sources. PCA provided California - specific data on clinker production, cement kiln dust, bypass dust leaving the kiln system, and fuel use from a cement plant survey for 1990, 1995, 2000, and 2005. ARB staff interpolated missing data for the intervening years, upon PCA's recommendation. The clinker emission factor and the factor for cement kiln dust are IPCC factors (IPCC /UNEPIWMO 2006). Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. ARB staff would like to obtain cement plant - specific data on the mass of individual inputs (i.e., carbonates) consumed in the kiln to produce clinker. These data would be used to improve the CO2 emissions resulting from clinker production in future time series inventories. 7. Forestry and Rangelands Emissions Estimate. The Forestry sector is unique, because it not only includes CO2, CH4, and N2O emissions from disturbances on forests and rangelands, such as harvest, fire, and land use conversion, but also includes removals of atmospheric CO2 by photosynthesis, which is then bound (sequestered) in plant tissues. The inventory balances the CO2 emissions and atmospheric removals of CO2 by vegetation through an atmospheric CO2 flux approach (Appendix B). The sector's emissions are therefore the sum total of greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere and CO2 removals by photosynthesis. In 1990, this sector removed more CO2 from the atmosphere than it emitted. As a result, it was a net sink, removing 6.7 MMTCO2e from the atmosphere in 1990. Emissions from the Forestry sector due to management of forests and rangelands accounted for less than one percent of all CH4 and N2O emissions statewide in 1990. Methodoloay. For forests and rangelands, staff estimated CO2 removals and emissions from changes in forest and rangeland biomass with products developed by Winrock for CEC (CEC 2004). The products used satellite imagery and empirical relationships between tree canopy cover and biomass to estimate changes in biomass overtime. Increases in biomass are associated with removals of CO2 from the atmosphere, while decreases indicate wood harvesting and emissions from fires (CO2, CH4, and N2O) and harvest events (CO2 and CH4). Winrock provided data for 1994 -2000. Staff used scaling factors based on forest land area trends from CalFIRE and USDA -FS to extrapolate data for the remaining years (1990 -1993 and 2001 - 2004). Emissions associated with soil disturbance and residue oxidation resulting from harvest activities are accounted for in the inventory. When wood is harvested, a portion of the tree biomass is converted to wood products. The wood products serve as 24 0 reserves of carbon, some of which degrade slowly over long periods of time to CO2 and CH4 in landfills and composts. Staff estimated emissions from the statewide disposal of wood products as part of the landfill category. Updates from CEC Inventory. Forest and rangeland greenhouse emissions are reported by individual gas (CO2, CH4, and N2O) and emission source (e.g., fire, soil disturbances, etc.). CEC combined these gases and sources. The Forestry sector inventory now includes emissions from the decomposition of wood products disposed in landfills, and emissions from composting operations. Emissions from landfilled and composted urban greenwaste are now reported under the landfills category, pending further data on atmospheric CO2 removals by urban forests. Woody and non -woody crop biomass annual stock changes have been removed from the inventory pending further study. Data Sources. Staff used products developed by Winrock for the CEC PIER program to estimate CO2 removals and greenhouse gas emissions for forests and rangelands. Data on wood product use in the State is from WOODCARB model output provided by the USDA -FS Forest Products Laboratory. CIWMB provided data on wood product disposal in landfills. The decay rates used to model CO2 and CH4 generation from landfilled wood product decomposition are from the U.S. EPA. Future Improvements to Annual Inventories. ARB is partnering with land management agencies and the research community to investigate the feasibility of using products from the USDA -FS Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program to better estimate biomass and carbon stocks and stock changes on forested lands. The FIA represents a robust standard for forest inventories, and serves as the basis for the U.S. EPA forest lands greenhouse gas inventory. Trees in urban areas account for a small but increasing fraction of forest cover in the State. Future inventories may include an inventory of urban forest stocks and stock changes. Future editions of the inventory could also include soil organic carbon, which makes up a large carbon reservoir on forested lands, rangelands and croplands, as data and models become available. Improvements to forecasting for this sector beyond land area trends will involve assessments of climate forcing and future human activities affecting biomass stocks, such as forest management. These assessments will also be needed to develop forecasts for other categories of managed land, such as croplands and urban areas. B. Emissions estimates for other sectors The remaining statewide greenhouse gas emissions in 1990 were from sectors and categories not discussed above, but included in Table 5. Staff reviewed the CEC estimates for these emissions sources and, as appropriate, updated the 25 • 0 input data, emission factors, and methodologies to reflect the best available data and estimation methods. Commercial and Residential sectors are discussed briefly below since they are not part of the four sectors examined above. The Industrial sector is also mentioned since it is much broader than the three industrial categories (landfills, cement, and petroleum refining) discussed previously. The Commercial sector emitted 14.4 MMTC.O2e, while the Residential sector emitted 29.7 MMTCO2e in 1990. The Commercial sector includes emissions from all commercial activities statewide, as listed in Table 5. The Residential sector contains emissions from households. Staff combined fuel use data and improved emission factors from the IPCC to calculate emissions in both sectors. This approach is the same as that used by the CEC. Greenhouse gas emissions for both sectors were due to fuel combustion. Fuel was burned to prepare food, heat buildings, provide hot water and steam, and supply energy for natural gas transmission through pipelines. As a result, the Commercial sector emitted 14.4 MMTCO2e of CO2 and 0.06 MMTCO2e of CH4 in 1990. The Residential sector produced 29.1 MMTCO2e of CO2 and 0.5 MMTCO2e of CH4. Both sectors emitted very little N2O as a by- product of fuel combustion. The Industrial sector, which includes cement production, landfills and petroleum refining, emitted a substantial amount of greenhouse gases in 1990, 103.0 MMTCO2e. More than 70 percent of these emissions are due to fuel combustion. V. PRELIMINARY 2020 GREENHOUSE GAS PROJECTIONS As ARB develops the Scoping Plan, which identifies actions for reducing greenhouse gases to the 1990 level, it will be necessary to estimate a projected 2020 business -as -usual statewide emissions estimate of total greenhouse gases. Business -as -usual emissions estimates are the levels anticipated to occur in the absence of additional policies and measures.aimed at reducing future emissions. Projections are based on forecasted demographic and economic growth. A 2020 business -as -usual forecast will be included in the 2008 Scoping Plan. For Scoping Plan development, staff has calculated a preliminary net business - as -usual emissions estimate for 2020, which is approximately 600 MMTCO2e. The difference between the proposed 1990 emissions level and ARB's preliminary estimate of 2020 emissions is therefore 173 MMTCO2e. This number will be refined in the final Scoping Plan. 0 0 0 VI. CONCLUSIONS Staff estimates that the 1990 statewide emissions level was 427 MMTCO2e. Staff proposes that the Board approve 427 MMTCO2e as California's greenhouse gas emissions limit for 2020. The total reductions needed to achieve a level of 427 MMTCO2e by 2020 are determined from the difference between the projected 2020 business -as -usual emissions level and the proposed 2020 limit of 427 MMTCO2e. Staff developed a preliminary estimate of approximately 600 MMTCO2e for the 2020 business - as -usual projection. This 2020 business -as -usual estimate will continue to be assessed during development of the Scoping Plan in 2008. Staff will continue to work to improve our greenhouse gas inventory methods and data as we develop annual greenhouse gas inventories. If additional information becomes available that would significantly alter the total emissions for 1990, staff will bring a revised 1990 emissions level back to the Board for consideration. 27 • . r VII. REFERENCES Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) (2007) Gross Domestic Product by State. ham: / /www.bea.gov /bea /regional /asp /default.cfm ?series =SIC. Accessed August 31, 2007 California Energy Commission (CEC) (2004) Baseline Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Forest, Range and Agricultural Lands in Ca lifornia. CEC- 500 -04- 069F California Energy Commission (CEC) (2005) Development of Energy Balances for the State of California. CEC- 500 - 2005 -068 California Energy Commission (CEC) (2006) Inventory of California Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 9990 to 2004. CEC- 600 - 2006 - 013 -SF California Energy Commission (CEC) (2007) Integrated Energy Policy Report. CEC- 100- 2007 - 008 -CTF Climate Action Team (CAT) (2006) Climate Action Team Report to Governor Schwarzenegger and the Legislature . duVair, P. (2007) Personal Communication from Pierre duVair (California Energy Commission) to Webster Tasat, California Air Resources Board. November 8, 2007 EMFAC (2007) EMission FACtors 2007 Model. hftp://www.arb.ca.aov/msei/onroad/onroad.htm IPCC /UNEP /OECD /IEA (1997) Revised 9996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Paris IPCC (2000) Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. 16"' session of the IPCC Plenary held Montreal, Canada, May 2000 IPCC (2003) Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land -Use Change, and Forestry. 21s' session of the IPCC Plenary held in Vienna, Austria, November 2003. IPCC /UNEP/WMO (2006) 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. IGES. Japan IPCC (2007) Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change S. Solomon, D. Oln, M. 28 Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller,eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA Lawrence Berkeley National Lab (LBNL) (2006) California Energy Balance (CALEB) Database. CALEB version 1.50 July 2006. Developed by the Energy Analysis Department, Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Schnapp, R. (2007) Personal communication (data submittal) between Larry Nunsaker of the California Air Resources Board and Robert Schnapp of the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Summer 2007 Thorneloe, S.A. (2007) U.S. EPA's Research to Update Guidance for Quantifying Landfill Gas Emissions. Proceedings of the Eleventh International Waste Management and Landfill Symposium. Cagliari, Italy U.S. EPA (2007) Inventory of US Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990- 2005. April 15, 2007 00 EXHIBIT 12 PF L� THE ROLE OF LAND USE IN MEETING. CALIFORNIA'S ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE GOALS CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION H GC O a w w U. .u. a V) J Q Z lz August 2007 CEC- 600 - 2007 - 008 -SF E DISCLAIMER CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION Panama Bartholomy Gina Barkalow Gerry Bemis Nancy McKeever Suzanne Phinney, D.Env. Julia Silvas Joanne Vinton Principal Authors Lorraine White Manager, 2007 Integrated Energy Policy Report Pat Perez Manager SPECIAL PROJECTS OFFICE Roselle Shapiro Deputy Director FUELS AND TRANSPORTATION DIVISION B.B. Blevins Executive Director This report was prepared by a California Energy Commission staff person. It does not necessarily represent the views of the Energy Commission, its employees, or the State of California. The Energy Commission, the State of California, its employees, contractors and subcontractors make no warrant, express or implied, and assume no legal liability for the information in this report; nor does any party represent that the uses of this information will not Infringe upon privately owned rights. This report has not been approved or disapproved by the California Energy Commission nor has the California 'Energy Commission passed upon the accuracy or adequacy of the information in this report Bartholomy, Panama, Gerry Bemis, Gina Barkalow, Nancy McKeever, Suzanne Minney, Julia Silvas, and Joanne Vinton. 2007. The Role of Land Use in Meeting California's Energy and Climate Change Goals. California Energy Commission. CEC- 600 -2007- 008-SR. 0 0 Table of Contents ExecutiveSummary ......................... .............................................. ..............................� Examples of Better Land Use Planning ...................................................... ..............................2 Findings and Recommendations ................................................................... ..............................4 Findings.......................................................................................................... ..............................4 Recommendations............................................................................................ ..............................5 CHAPTER 1: Introduction ............................................................... ..............................9 Growth in Vehicle Miles Traveled ................................................................ ..............................9 Process.......................................................................................... .............................34 LandUse Planning .......................................................................................... .............................10 California Regional Blueprint Planning Program ...................................... .............................34 Organizationof This Report ......................................................................... .............................11 Blueprint Learning Network ......................................................................... .............................34 CHAPTER 2: Land Use, Energy, and Climate Policy Context ..... .............................13 Energy in Blueprint Planting — Current and Potential ............................ .............................34 ExecutiveOrder 5- 3- 05 .................................................................................. .............................13 Sacramento Blueprint Project ................................................................... .............................35 ClimateAction Team ..................................................................................... .............................13 San Diego Association of Governments ................................................ .............................37 Measures to Improve Transportation Efficiency ................................. .............................14 SanFrancisco Bay Area ............................................................................ .............................38 SmartLand Use .......................................................................................... ................:............14 LocalGovernment ........................................................................................... .............................40 AssemblyBill 32 .............................................................................................. ....:........................14 Leagueof California Cities ....................................................................... .............................40 PetroleumReduction Goal ............................................................................. .............................15 California State Association of Counties .............................................. .............................40 AssemblyBill 1493 ......................................................................................... .............................15 Low Carbon Fuel Standard .......................................................................... .............................15 Historical and Projected VMT, Gasoline Demand, and Population ... .............................16 CHAPTER 3: Land Use and Energy: Trends and Drivers ........... .............................20 VehicleMiles Traveled ................................................................................... .....................:.......20 Densityand Mixed Use ................................................................................. .............................20 Jobs - Housing Balance ..................................................................................... .............................22 SocialEquity ..................................................................................................... .............................22 AgingPopulation ............................................................................................. .............................23 Residential Design and Energy Consumption ........................................... .............................23 LocalGovernment Funding ........................................................................... .............................24 PropertyTaxes ............................................................................................ .............................24 StateSales Tax ............................................................................................ .............................24 CHAPTER 4: Land Use and Transportation Planning Opportunities to Reduce Energy Demand and Greenhouse Gas Emissions ................... .............................27 Current Approach to Land Use and Transportation Planning ............ .............................27 Regional Transportation Planning Process ................................................ .............................27 Local Land Use Planning Process ............................................................... .............................29 StateLand Use Planning ................................................................................ ............................29' California Environmental Quality Act ................................................... ...............:.............30 California Transportation Plan ............................................................... .............................30 Housing Element Updates ................:....................................................... .............................31 CaliforniaWater Plan ................................................................................ .............................31 StormwaterPlans ....................................................................................... .............................32 CHAPTER 5: Integrating Transportation and Land Use Analysis, Planning, and Process.......................................................................................... .............................34 California Regional Blueprint Planning Program ...................................... .............................34 Blueprint Learning Network ......................................................................... .............................34 Energy in Blueprint Planting — Current and Potential ............................ .............................34 Sacramento Blueprint Project ................................................................... .............................35 San Diego Association of Governments ................................................ .............................37 SanFrancisco Bay Area ............................................................................ .............................38 LocalGovernment ........................................................................................... .............................40 Leagueof California Cities ....................................................................... .............................40 California State Association of Counties .............................................. .............................40 0 0 Institute for Local Government ................................................................ .............................41 Non - California Initiatives ............................................................................. .............................41 Massachusetts Greenhouse Gas Emissions Policy .............................. .............................41 Oregon Land Conservation Program ...................................................... .............................42 New Jersey State Development and Redevelopment Plan and Smart Growth Program..........................:.............................................................................. ...............:.............43 Maryland Economic Growth, Resource Protection, and Planning ... .............................43 Portland Metro Regional Transportation and Land Use Planning . .............................44 CHAPTERS: Infrastructure Funding ............................................ .............................46 National............................................................................................................ ..............................4 6 The Center for Clean Air Policy Federal Highway Bill Reauthorization Effort ......... 46 California.......................................................................................................... .............................47 StrategicGrowth Plan ................................................................................ .............................47 Congestion Pricing and Demand Management ......................................... .............................50 CHAPTER 7: Electric Utilities' Role in Land Use .......................... .............................53 UtilityInfrastructure Planning and Development ................................... .............................53 Long -Term Planning for Utility Infrastructure ..................................... .............................53 LineExtension Policies .............................................................................. .............................53 Inclusion of Utility Infrastructure in CEQA Documents .................... .............................54 Local Land Use Planning and Development ............................................ .............................55 SouthernCalifornia Edison ...................................................................... .............................55 San Diego Gas and Electric .................................... ............................... Pacific Gas and Electric .......................................... ............................... MunicipalUtilities .................................................... ............................... New Development Opportunities ................................. ............................... .............57 .............58 CHAPTER 8: Land Use Planning Research and Development .. .............................60 Land Use and Transportation Research .................................................... .............................61 Possible Areas of Future Transportation Research ............................. .............................62 Scientific Research and Modeling Tools to Better Understand Land Use, Energy, and Environmental Relationships ............................................ .............................64 Examples of Current PIER - Funded Land Use, Energy, and Environmental Research 65 Areas for Possible Future PIER - Funded Land Use, Energy, and Environmental Research........................................................................................................ .............................66 CHAPTER 9: Staff Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations ......................72 Findings............................................................................................................. .......................:.....72 Conclusions...................................................................................................... .............................73 Recommendations........................................................................................... .............................74 CHAPTER 10: References ............................................................. ...........:.................79 Appendix: 2006 Energy Report Update: Policy Recommendations Update ......... 81 Require Local Governments to Adopt Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Plans .....81 Promote and Facilitate Efficient Land Use Practices That Save Energy and Reduce GreenhouseGas Emissions ............................................................................ .............................81 Provide New Tools and Conduct Research to Assist Local Government's Energy and Greenhouse Gas Reduction Planning Efforts ......................:............. .............................82 For the 2007 IEPR, the State Should Analyze the Role of the State's Infrastructure Planning and Financing Activities in Promoting Smart Growth ............... .............................83 ii List of Figures Figure 1. Historical and Projected Population, VMT, and Fuel Demand ......................... 17 Figure 2. Priority Research Areas ......................:........................................... .............................65 List of Tables Table 1. Statewide Allowable VMT Growth Rates in 2020. Relative to 2005 ...................18 Table 2. Additional Daily Travel Miles in Privately Owned Vehicles (POV) and Transit - Business -as -Usual and High - Density Urbanization Scenarios, California, 2000 to 2025 ......................................................................................................... .............................21 Table 3. Key Statistics Comparing Base Case Scenario 2050 and Regional Preferred Scenario2050 .................:...................................................................................... .............................36 Table 4. Strategic Growth Funds ...................................................................:. .............................50 iii • Abstract Land use profoundly affects energy use in this state. The configuration of California's towns, cities and rural areas affects how Californians use energy in their homes, the sources of that energy, the energy used in transportation, and even the amount and sources of energy that the state uses to provide water. Because energy use is so closely tied to greenhouse gas production, the passage of California landmark climate change laws and policies have prompted state, regional and local planners to incorporate energy considerations into land use and transportation planning. The first efforts in this direction suggest that the planning process itself is key to success, but more work needs to be done to quantify both how land use planning decisions can affect energy use, how the planning process itself affects the outcome, and how plans are actually implemented. New land use /transportation policies, initiatives, and actions at all levels of government in California could provide major energy and greenhouse gas emissions reductions. The passage of the Governor's Strategic Growth Infrastructure Bond package represents an opportunity to influence the energy efficiency and environmental friendliness of communities through project funding criteria. Blueprint planning efforts underway by regional governments are identifying new growth scenarios that would, if adopted, change future land use patterns and reduce the levels of vehicle miles traveled by Cali- fornia residents. Local governments are stepping up to the climate change challenge and developing plans to support state goals. Utilities are playing a small but growing role in collaborative planning efforts with local governments. Efforts like the above need a variety of regulatory changes, tools, incentives, and research to maximize. their potential effectiveness. The body of research on the impact of land use on energy use and climate is relatively small, with a substantial portion of the present work focusing on transportation. However, this research area is receiving significantly more attention with the growing interest in climate change. The California Energy Commission is dedicating significant resources to studying opporhuuties and barriers to integrated energy planning. KEYWORDS: Land use planning, IEPR, Integrated Energy Policy Report, land use planning models, energy infrastructure, global climate change, blueprint planning, role of land use in climate change, role of utilities in land use planning, land use planning research. iv Executive Summary California's land use patterns shape energy use in the state, which in turn contributes to the production of greenhouse gases. These patterns include the excessive use of land per household, separation between houses, the location of transit lines and jobs, development at low densities, and site designs that require more and longer automobile trips to meet everyday needs. The state's population is expected to grow by 24 million additional residents by 2050, bringing the total population to 60 million. Supplies of gasoline, crude oil, and natural gas, on the other hand, could decline during this timeframe. How future land use patterns and vehicle use develop will affect not only California's ability to achieve its ambitious energy and climate change goals, but its ability to preserve residents' quality of life. Recent California laws and policies set the stage for how the state will develop its land, use energy, and emit greenhouse gases in the future. Governor Schwarzenegger s Executive Order S -3 -05 established greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for 2010, 2020, and 2050; Assembly Bill 32 (Niifiez and Pavley, Chapter 488, Statutes of 2006) established a legally binding 2020 greenhouse gas emission reduction target. Transportation accounts for about 40 percent of California's 2004 total greenhouse gas emissions; gasoline represents 70 percent of transportation's total greenhouse gas emissions and 27 percent of overall greenhouse gas emissions. For this reason, the state has initiated efforts to reduce petroleum use, reduce emissions from light -duty vehicles, reduce the carbon intensity of fuels, improve transportation energy efficiency, and embrace smart land use and intelligent transportation strategies. Population growth, gasoline consumption, and vehicle miles traveled are interrelated and may grow in similar or diverging paths depending on the success of the above initiatives. Measures to reduce the growth rate of vehicle miles traveled will be particularly important. Land use patterns play a direct role in the rate and growth of vehicle miles traveled, influencing the distance that people travel and the mode of travel they choose. Residential density may have the most profound effect on travel behavior, with higher, density reducing vehicle miles traveled per capita. Balancing jobs and housing in a given area may also reduce vehicle miles traveled per capita by shortening commute distances. In addition, the type of housing that California's aging population chooses (for example, smaller units closer to services) may affect whether Californians drive more or less as they age. While a correlation exists between land use and driving patterns, more research is needed to establish causality. State Propositions 13 and 218 have reduced the role of property -based taxation as a local government revenue source and have thus encouraged local governments to turn to large retail establishments to strengthen their tax bases. Such retail establishments, typified by "big box' stores, commonly require substantial vehicle travel on the part of consumers and require large amounts of energy to heat and cool. Opportunities exist at all levels of government for integrated land use and transportation planning that would reduce energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions. At the local level, general plans and zoning codes are incorporating more growth management and energy measures. At the regional level, hundreds of millions of dollars are spent annually on transportation, land use, and air quality planning, and coordinating these efforts will reduce energy demand. At the state level, laws, policies and plans (the California Environmental Quality Act, the California Transportation Plan, housing element updates, the California Water Plan, and stormwater plans) can be used as levers to effect sustainable land use patterns. Examples of Better Land Use Planning A number of exemplary programs to encourage better land use planning exist at the state, regional, and local levels in California, and examples outside the state are also plentiful. California's Regional Blueprint Planning Program provides funding to help regional governments create more efficient land use patterns. The Blueprint Learning Network helps coordinate state and regional agencies to share experiences and best practices in making better infrastructure investment decisions. Energy is not a stated component of blueprint planning but is beginning to be addressed. For example, both the Southern California and Sacramento Area Associations of Governments are evaluating the risk of long -term disruption in transportation fuels that could result from fuel scarcity or damage to major fuel delivery infrastructure, and in June 2007 the Blueprint Learning Network hosted a two -day workshop on "Land Use, Energy and Climate." By enabling citizens to recommend better land use patterns and governments to make, better land use decisions, blueprint planning could reduce future vehicle miles traveled. For instance, projections to 2050 showed that the scenario preferred by Sacramento stakeholders and adopted by the regional governing body could use 46 percent less new land, reduce vehicle miles traveled by 12.3 miles per household per day, and produce 15 percent less carbon dioxide and particulate matter per capita, as compared to the business -as -usual case. However, as promising as these projections are, this level of reduced vehicle miles traveled falls short of reductions needed to meet the state's greenhouse gas emissions reductions goals. A similar planning effort in the San Francisco Bay Area showed that the smart -growth land use scenario, as compared to the business -as -usual case, could reduce the area's urban footprint by 16,000 acres (2 percent), reduce per capita water consumption by 50 gallons per day (17 percent), and, increase the proportion of new affordable housing from 16 percent to 41 percent of all new units. Plans being, developed in other states may be instructive to California. Oregon, New Jersey, and Maryland are conducting similar smarter land use planning efforts, some of which are specifically targeted toward greenhouse gas emission reductions. Regional programs in Portland, Oregon, and Salt Lake City are using stakeholder - developed land use scenarios to generate better land use plans that are already showing reductions in vehicle miles traveled: Portland residents decreased their daily per capita. vehicle miles traveled by 11 percent between. 1996 and 2002, while the nation and California both increased vehicle miles traveled. California local governments are increasingly responding to the growing concern for climate change. Scores of California cities have signed on to the National Conference of Mayors Climate Change Program and are being assisted by the California League of Cities and the California State Association of Counties, as well as other groups, in developing local climate action plans. Infrastructure funding policies directly and indirectly affect transportation and land use. California has a unique opportunity to direct infrastructure investments contained in the Governor's Strategic Growth Plan and approved by voters in November 2006. Funding criteria for Propositions 1B, 1C, 1D, and 84 will determine the extent to which bond monies contribute to better land use and reduce vehicle miles traveled. The state should initiate a collaborative effort to include the Energy Commission, Caltrans, and local and regional planning entities to develop "allowable' vehicle miles traveled growth goals. This would establish the degree to which local and regional jurisdictions could allow growth to occur while contributing to greenhouse gas emission reduction goals. Electric utilities in California are playing a larger and more explicit role in land use planning. Spearheaded by the California Energy Commission, utilities are actively planning for new large -scale infrastructure (for example, intrastate transmission lines). through the Senate Bill 1059 (Escutia, Chapter 638, Statutes of 2006). On a more local scale, how transmission lines are extended could influence the character of growth, its implicit energy demand, and even, to some extent, the sources of energy available to it. California Public Utilities Commission Rules 15 and 16 govern the provision of natural gas and electricity to new residences; although density is not considered under these rules, a de facto incentive to create high - density units may exist. New Jersey has taken an innovative approach to this matter by issuing regulations that specifically integrate smart growth principles into utility service policies. Anyone building in state - determined non -smart growth areas must pay the full cost of utility line extensions. Utilities are becoming more engaged in local land use planning and have a unique opportunity to help plan new developments from inception, particularly on former military bases, where large expanses of land are becoming available for residential and commercial development. Utilities are involved in redevelopment planning at El Toro Marine Corps Air Station,, Treasure Island, and Hunters Point, for example. Pacific Gas and Electric Company's involvement with the latter two was the springboard for its Sustainable Communities Program. For all aspects of future land use and transportation, research and development remains critical to reducing energy use and vehicle miles traveled and meeting climate change targets. The 2006 Integrated Energy Policy Report Update charged the Energy Commission's Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) Program with providing tools and conducting research to assist the energy and greenhouse gas reduction planning efforts of local governments. A number of currently funded projects support this charge. In the next year, more than $2 million will be allocated for sustainable communities research. This funding will support initiatives designed to better understand the interaction between energy demand and environmental design principles, to identify infrastructure design impacts on energy and the environment, and to identify design improvements that would reduce energy use in California. Land use modeling tools are critical to these initiatives. The Energy Commission is also funding transportation research through PIER, with projects designed to reduce petroleum consumption and greenhouse gas emissions through increased vehicle efficiency and lower carbon fuels. Creation of new, and validation of existing, transportation modeling tools used in these and similar research efforts are important elements. Understanding the role of smart communities —those that employ information technology to change how the community uses its physical space —in reducing vehicle miles traveled will also be beneficial. 0 0 Caltrans is developing improved, more integrated transportation models that will allow for improved evaluation.of smart growth and should continue to do so. Focused research is needed to maximize the benefits of smart growth and mode transfer from automobiles to mass transit. Technologies that facilitate this transfer need more research to determine the appropriate mix of strategies to reduce vehicle miles traveled. Findings and Recommendations Staff identified the following key findings and conclusions that the state and the Energy Commission should consider for reducing energy use and greenhouse gas emissions related to land use. Findings • With approximately 40 percent of California's greenhouse gas emissions attributed to the transportation sector, significant efforts to reduce vehicle miles traveled are needed to meet the state's greenhouse gas emission reduction goals. The state must find a way to not only reduce the current 3 percent annual growth rate in vehicle miles traveled, but begin to implement steps that will eventually reverse it. • The research reviewed shows that increasing a community or development's density and accessibility to job centers are the two most strongly correlated factors for reducing vehicle miles traveled through design. More research is needed as to how these factors cause the reductions. • Even when using commendable current collaborative efforts to reduce vehicle miles of travel by implementing smart growth principles, efforts fall far short of the reductions needed in vehicle miles of travel needed to meet greenhouse gas emissions goals. • Existing tax polices, largely developed in response to Proposition 13 (1978), incentivize and promote commercial sprawl. That form of land use development provides local governments with much needed revenue for public services and infrastructure but at the expense of smart growth strategies. The state should consider tax policies to encourage regionally coordinated, energy -aware planning. • Confronting issues such as housing, transportation mobility, economic development, and local climate change planning requires a regional approach, one that will protect the fiscal interests of urban, suburban, and rural communities while simultaneously lowering energy use. • While the state has limited land use authority, it does have some key leverage points (California Environmental Quality Act, housing elements, and others) that can be used to assist local governments in reducing energy use and greenhouse gas emissions that result from land use planning choices. Thus, while land use authority is nearly completely vested with local government, the state can use the disbursement of transportation and housing funds to motivate collaborative planning at a regional level. • The state - sponsored Blueprint Planning Program has engaged nearly all of the state's metropolitan planning organizations in long -range land use planning efforts. Several of these organizations are now adopting plans to better coordinate land use and transportation development. The plans strive to accommodate housing needs, reduce vehicle miles traveled, and identify priority planning areas. The plans are in early stages of implementation and may require technical, financial, and regulatory assistance to achieve their goals. With some guidance, these same plans could link energy and greenhouse gas analyses into the long -term growth planning process.. • Other states and regional governments have adopted preferred growth scenarios that better coordinate land use and transportation development while accommodating housing needs, reducing vehicle miles traveled, and identifying priority planning areas. Some of the states and regions have channeled financial and technical assistance to the identified priority planning areas in efforts to support the plan goals. • Infrastructure funding policies influence the design and use of infrastructure projects. The Governor's Strategic Growth Plan contained numerous programs to encourage energy - efficient, climate - friendly land use, but project criteria (where they exist) for many of the programs contain no energy or climate considerations. The next federal transportation bill could significantly bolster the blueprint planning effort if it mandates energy and climate considerations. • Utilities have historically played only a limited role in land use planning efforts. Coordinated planning between a utility and local government can produce many mutual benefits in terms of demand management, infrastructure deployment, distributed electricity generation, and installation of renewable energy production. California investor -owned utilities have begun to engage with local and regional governments in mutual planning efforts, but these partnerships are prevented from reaching their full potential since the utilities cannot recoup the costs of their efforts. • Understanding of land use impacts on energy demand, electricity generation and transmission, and on greenhouse gas emissions are in the early stages of exploration. Further research and development is necessary to explain and quantify the impacts land use has on energy systems, including: the causality (rather than the established correlation) of land development patterns and per capita vehicle miles traveled, the potential for low energy design principles, and the use of community—scale distributed and renewable generation technologies. There is a need for research to develop modeling and decision - support tools to allow the integration of energy considerations into future research and planning efforts. The Energy Commission is engaging in a new area of research that will look at the integrated relationships among land use, human behavior, urban design, environmental impacts, and energy under its new sustainable communities research program. Recommendations 1. The state should adopt a statewide growth management plan that is built from required local regional plans and align state planning, financing, infrastructure, and regulatory land use policies and programs to the plan. .2. The state should require regional transportation planning and air quality agencies to adopt 25 -year and 50 -year regional growth plans that provide housing, transportation, and community services for expected population increases while reducing greenhouse gas emissions to state - determined climate change targets. The state's policies and programs that influence land use growth patterns should encourage climate - friendly and energy - efficient development. To do this, there must be a concentrated and collaborative process to identify where, and in what way, long -term growth should, and should not, occur in the state. Confronting issues such as housing, transportation mobility, economic development, and local climate change planning requires a regional approach, one that will protect the fiscal interests of urban, suburban, and rural communities while simultaneously lowering energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, any state plan should be composed of regional plans, developed 0 0 by local governments, in a process facilitated by regional agencies. Once regional plans are adopted, the state should build a statewide growth management plan-that is wholly developed from the regional plans. Upon adoption of such a plan, state policies and programs should be modified to align with and support the plan. To allow for programs and development projects to mature, while also keeping the state and regional plans up- to- date, the plans should be updated every 10 years. • The Air Resources Board should adopt regional greenhouse gas emission reduction levels to guide regional growth management plans in their AB 32 scoping plan. The Board should include in the scoping plan clear guidance on greenhouse gas emissions accounting for urban land use activities and a local government protocol for assessing and tracking greenhouse gas emissions in jurisdictions. • The Climate Action Team's Land Use Subgroup should convene a proceeding to develop recommendations for measuring and reducing vehicle miles traveled. • The Legislature should pass legislation that requires local governments to develop regional growth management plans that will accommodate 25 years and 50 years of housing, transportation, and community service growth needs while meeting Air Resources Board -set regional greenhouse gas emission targets. The legislation should: • Require regional growth management plans to be adopted through a joint process between a region's municipal planning organizations (MPOs) and/or council of governments (COGs) and the local air quality management districts (AQMDs). • Require local governments to adopt the portion of the regional plan and greenhouse gas emission reduction target that affects their jurisdiction into their general plans. The plans should clearly identify areas where growth and development should and should not occur. • Require MPO /COGs and AQMDs to incorporate the plan and targets into their planning, financing, and regulatory programs. • Require the Governors Office of Planning and Research to collect the regional growth management plans and combine them to create a statewide growth management plan. • Require state agencies to modify all programs and policies that affect land use, including but not limited to, planning, financing, capital outlay, and compliance, to incorporate and support the statewide growth management plan. Colleges, universities and state buildings should also be required to be consistent with the growth management plan. • Require that the regional and statewide plans, and the local governments, MPO /COGs and AQMDs adoption of them, shall be updated on 10 -year schedule. 3. State infrastructure financing should encourage development that is concurrent with the state'sgreenhousegas emission and energy consumption goals. Infrastructure funding policies influence the design and use of local government infra- structure and development projects. The state should build upon the Governor's Strategic Growth Plans numerous programs to encourage energy efficient, climate friendly land use by requiring that all state financing for infrastructure incorporate energy and climate considerations. 0 0 • The Legislature should pass legislation for all remaining Strategic Growth Plan bond programs to incorporate climate change and energy consumption reduction measures. • If the state adopts growth management legislation as described above, all state infra- structure planning, financing, and compliance programs should only allow resources, financial, technical, or otherwise, to be spent for development of projects in identified growth areas. • The Legislature should pass legislation that requires that all state infrastructure planning, financing, and compliance programs should only allow resources, financial, technical, or otherwise, to be spent for development of projects in complete consistency with regional blueprints. • The Legislature should pass legislation that requires that all state infrastructure planning, financing, and compliance programs not allow resources, financial, technical, or otherwise, to be spent for development of projects in areas not consistent with existing regional blueprints. 4. The state should expand efforts to provide technical and financial assistance to regional agencies and local governments to facilitate climate friendly and energy - efficient planning and development. Land use impacts on energy demand, energy generation, and transmission and on greenhouse gas emissions are in the early stages of exploration. Further research and development is necessary to explain and quantify the impacts land use has on energy systems. There is a need for research to develop and update existing modeling and decision- support tools to allow the integration of energy considerations into future research and planning efforts. Many local governments and regional agencies state that access to information and a lack of funding prevent them from implementing climate friendly and energy - efficient development plans and programs. • The state should continue to fund the Blueprint Planning Grant program and Blueprint Learning Network to assist regional agencies and local governments in developing regional growth management plans. The grant program should include energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission reduction as primary outcomes of the blueprints developed within the program. • Upon passage of the above described growth management legislation, the grant program and network should be modified to support development of the regional growth management plans as specified in the legislation. • The Legislature should pass legislation that implements the Proposition 84 Sustain- able Communities Program. The program should focus on assisting regional and local governments in developing, implementing, and incorporating into existing policies the above mentioned growth management plans, blueprints, and climate action plans. • The Energy Commission should convene a group of stakeholders, both within and outside state government, to update its Energy Aware Planning Guide to provide guidance for local governments attempting to adopt local growth management and climate action plans. • Using the Energy Commission's new Sustainable Communities research program and the California Department of Transportation's existing research efforts as the base, the state should convene a land use research group to identify research needs, carry out research, and develop and disseminate tools and resources to land use stakeholders. CJ 5. State government should be a model for climate friendly and energy - efficient development patterns. The state, with the passage of AB 32, possessing the knowledge of what will be necessary to meet the state's climate change and energy goals and attempting to influence land use practices outside of its authority, has an obligation to model appro- priate behavior in its own land use practices. While AB 857 provided the framework for guiding state agency land use practices, there is no recourse for agencies that do not comply. Currently, the Governor's Office of Planning and Research has authority only to collect annual reports of agencies self- reported compliance with the law. • The Legislature should pass legislation that builds upon AB 857's intentions by adding greenhouse gas emissions reduction and energy consumption as priority planning goals of the state. The legislation should require that state agencies engaging in or financing the development of infrastructure or capital outlay projects report on the project's compliance with state planning policies during each stage of its administrative and legislative budget approvals. The legislation should requite that projects that do not meet the state planning priorities should not be funded except in situations where compliance would be proven infeasible by the sponsoring agency. • The Climate Action Team Land Use Subgroup should develop greenhouse gas emissions reduction and energy efficiency guidelines for state agency programs that affect land use. State agencies should adopt the guidelines to the greatest extent feasible. 6. The state should determine the extent to which state and local tax policies affect and guide land use practices and correct polices that encourage growth inconsistent with the state's growth management plan. Existing tax polices, largely developed in response to Proposition 13, promote_ residential sprawl and increase vehicle miles traveled and greenhouse gas emissions. The state should thoroughly review the effect of tax policy on land use patterns in the state. • The Governor's Office of Planning and Research, working with local governments, the building community, the university system, and other stakeholders, should study the effects of state and local tax policy on land use practices in the state. The report should contain recommendations for changing identified tax policy that leads to detrimental land use practices. 7. California's utilities should play an active role in regional and local government planning and development efforts at both the plan and project level to encourage climate friendly and energy- efficient development in their service areas. The state's investor -owned utilities (IOUs) and municipal utilities need to play a signif- icant role in planning and development programs and projects. IOUs have stated that their ability to do so is hamstrung by current energy efficiency program time constraints. • The California Public Utilities Commission should allow utility- incentive and technical- assistance programs with longer lead times to enable greater collaboration with developers and local governments. 8. The state should work with its Congressional delegation to ensure that future federal highway and other transportation and land use related legislation. and programs include energy and climate change considerations. CHAPTER 1: Introduction California's land use patterns have significantly shaped our use of energy and the associated production of greenhouse gases. With the state's population expected to grow by 24 million additional residents by 2050, how the state manages that growth will determine whether it meet its energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction goals. The energy choices embedded in the location and design of the new homes, schools, industries, offices, and transportation infrastructure that will be planned and built over the next 50 years to accommodate California's new residents will last into the next century. These choices will determine California's future energy demand and will affect the degree to which the climate is changed by human forces. Many of the policies currently being pursued to reduce the use of energy and the production of GHG associated with land use are directed at the transportation sector and are technology- based, such as the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) and the state's GHG regulations for vehicles (AB 1493). If the state is to meet its energy and GHG emission reduction goals, it must also maximize the emission reduction potential from smart land use development. Growth in Vehicle Miles Traveled Most urban growth over the last 30 years has been characterized by travel- inducing features: low - density a lack of balance and accessibility among housing, jobs, and services; inefficient infrastructure design; and a focus on single - occupancy vehicle travel. This growth pattern has resulted in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) by California residents increasing at a rate of more than 3 percent a year between 1975 and 2004, markedly faster than the population growth rate over the same period, which was less than 2 percent.' This increase in VMT correlates to an increase in petroleum use and GHG production and has led to the transportation sector being responsible for 41 percent of the state's GHG emissions in 2004.2 The California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) estimates that VMT will continue to increase at nearly 3 percent per year for the foreseeable future. Even with ARB's greenhouse gas regulations and implementation of the LCFS, the increase in GHG emissions from the increased travel will outweigh the policies' combined benefits. The state, along with regional planning organizations and.local government, must address VMT growth, and the most effective way to do so is through better land use planning and development. However, VMT growth reductions alone will still not be sufficient to meet the state's ambitious GHG reduction goals. Fortunately, smart growth has the potential to reduce energy through many avenues, not just transportation. 'State of California, Departmentof Finance, RacelEthnic Population with Age and Sex Detail, 1970 -2004. Sacramento, CA, December 1998 and United States Government, Federal Highway Authority, Highway Statistics 1975 -2004, Washington D.C., 2005. 2 State of California, California Energy Commission, Inventory of California Greenhouse Gas Emission and Sinks: 1990 -2004, Sacramento, CA, December 2006, CEC- 600 -2006 -013, p. 8. Land Use Planning Smart growth is defined in many ways. The organization Smart Growth America has a six -bullet point definition,3 and the Congress for New Urbanism Charter gives a 27- point definition of its ideal of smart growth.' The Association of,Bay Area Governments gives a broad definition of it as "development that revitalizes central cities and older suburbs, supports and enhances public transit, romotes walking and bicycling, and preserves open spaces and agricultural lands." Practically, most smart growth efforts and metrics have focused on smart growth's ability to reduce VMT. While this report focuses on the land use/ transportation connection, the Energy Commis- sion recognizes the multiple interactions between land use patterns and energy use. As the 2006 Integrated Energy Policy Report Update noted, "By including energy demand, supply, and infrastructure as central factors in the land use planning equation, the State and local governmerits can make intelligent use of all resources and meet energy related goals. Broadening the definition of smart growth to encompass all energy saving strat- egies is a first step in that direction. Increasing onsite production of renewable energy, using distributed electricity generation (DG), orienting residences in relation to the sun, increasing shading, incorporating roofs that reflect heat, and installing energy efficient appliances are a few non - transportation related strategies that would fall under a broader definition and produce significant energy savings. "6 Land use choices that result in lower energy use and VMT reductions are possible and examples are beginning to emerge across the state. Partnerships, involving the state, regional planning organizations and local governments, are developing plans for regional transportation and land use development that are projected to result in less VMT growth than if current or "business -as- usual" growth plans are adopted. The development and effective implementation of these new, collaborative "blueprint" plans could lead to growth that provides adequate housing and jobs for California's increasing population and helps meet the state's climate and energy goals while maintaining and enhancing quality of life. Blueprint planning is discussed in more detail in Chapter 5. The ability of regional planning agencies and local governments to develop, adopt and implement new land use plans will depend greatly on government (both state and federal) and utility activities, policies, and assistance (both technical and financial). While the state has very limited land use authority, the policies it develops in regard to new infrastructure, utility funding, environmental review, and housing allocation are a few of the leverage points that the state can use to assist local governments in growing in an energy - efficient and climate - friendly manner. In addition to policies and financing, there is a significant need to understand the effects of current development practices and the potential for better practices to inform land use decision making. One example is the need to augment tools that allow the state to quantitatively assess the impacts of growth decisions and create tools and analytical models to help regional and local agencies develop and implement more energy- efficient plans. The California Energy Commission (Energy Commission) and other agencies are 'Smart Growth America, "What is Smart Growth ?" available online at http://www.smartgrowthamerica.org/whatissg.html. ' "Charter of the New Urbanism," available online athttp: / /camorg /charter. 'Association of Bay Area Governments, "What is smart growth ?" available online at http:/ /www.abag.ca.gov/ planning /smartgrowth /whatisSG.himI State of California, California Energy Commission, Integrated Energy Policy Report, Sacramento, CA, 2006, p. 73. 10 9 0 beginning to address this need, but more resources must be invested in land use planning and to assess the effectiveness of the state's current and future land use policies. Organization of This Report The following chapters examine: Land use, energy, and climate policy context; • The role of land use in the state's generation, demand for and use of energy and emission of GHGs; • Possible growth scenarios and their associated impacts; • The role of regional planning organizations and utilities in shaping energy -aware land use plans; • Opportunities for the state to change infrastructure and development policies to better facilitate energy - efficient and climate - friendly growth, and • The current state of land use, energy, and climate research and future research needs. Staff findings and recommendations are provided at the end of the report. The appendix provides the current status of the land use and energy policy recommendations made in the 2006 Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR) update. 11 0 0 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY 12 0 0 CHAPTER 2: Land Use, Energy, and Climate Policy Context A number of recent laws and policies will significantly impact the way in which the state develops its land, uses energy, and emits GHGs. This section discusses the various state policies that will influence and direct California's efforts to reduce energy and climate impacts resulting from land use. Executive Order S -3-05 On June 1, 2005, Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed Executive Order S -3 -05, establishing GHG emissions reduction targets for 2010, 2020 and 2050. The Order established targets to: reduce 2010 emissions to 2000 levels; reduce 2020 emissions to 1990 levels; and to reduce 2050 emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels. The order directed the Secretary of the California Environmental Protection Agency (CaIEPA) to coordinate efforts to meet these targets. Climate Action Team As directed by Executive. Order S -3 -05, the Secretary of CaIEPA created the Climate Action Team (CAT) to coordinate implementation of the Governor's GHG reduction targets. The CAT is composed of, but not limited to, representatives from the following agencies: Business, Transportation, and Housing (BTH) • 'Department of Food and Agriculture • Resources Agency • Air Resources Board • California Energy Commission • Integrated Waste Management Board • California Public Utilities Commission The CAT has developed and is refining a list of more than 40 strategies to meet the goals of the Executive Order, including strategies to reduce the carbon intensity of vehicular travel and to reduce VMT. Specifically included in VMT reduction strategies are "Measures to Improve Transportation Energy Efficiency" and "Smart Land Use and Intelligent Transportation," both to be implemented by BTH through Caltrans. These strategies build on current efforts to provide a framework for expanded and. new initiatives, including incentives, tools, and information that advance cleaner transportation and reduce climate change emissions. On April 20, 2007 the CAT. produced a document titled Climate Action Team Proposed Early Actions to Mitigate Climate Change in California. This draft document refines and updates earlier estimates of strategies to reduce GHG emissions. Combined, the two updated BTH strategies are expected to eliminate 19 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (COZ) equivalent per year by 2020.' This represents nearly 11 percent of the total reductions needed to meet the 'State of California Environmental Protection Agency, Climate Action Team Proposed Early Actions to Mitigate Climate Change in California, Draft for Public Review, Sacramento, CA, April 20, 2007, p.7. 13 Governor's 2020 targets The Energy Commission is playing an integral role in these efforts, with Chairman Pfannenstiel chairing the CAT's Land Use Subgroup. Measures to Improve Transportation Efficiency CAT measures relating to transportation energy include the following: • Incorporating energy efficiency and emissions reduction measures into the policy framework governing land use and transportation, including the framework for developing energy elements in state transportation and regional planning documents. • Better coordination on cross - agency climate change and energy policy framework to ensure a concerted effort and synergy among state agencies' climate change emission reduction activities. • Increasing incentives and accelerating technology applications to improve transpor- tation system productivity and move toward cleaner and more efficient vehicles, especially for the public sector fleet. • Enhancing outreach and educational programs to bring a coordinated message of sustainable transportation and root causes of climate change emissions. Diversifying transportation energy infrastructure and advancing measures to slow the growth rate. of vehicle miles traveled and excessive reliance on petroleum. Smart Land Use "Smart" land use' is an umbrella term for strategies, that integrate transportation and land -use decisions. Such strategies generally encourage jobs /housing proximity, promote transit- oriented development, and encourage high- density residential/ commercial devel- opment along transit corridors. These strategies develop more efficient land -use patterns within each jurisdiction or region to match population increases, and workforce and socioeconomic needs for the entire population. Assembly Bill 32 AB 32 (Nunez and Pavley, Chapter 488, Statutes of 2006) was signed into law by Governor Schwarzenegger on September 27, 2006. The act requires ARB to do the following: By July 1, 2007, to adopt a list of discrete, early action measures that can be implemented by regulation before January 1, 2010. By January 1, 2008, to establish a statewide GHG emissions cap for 2020, based upon 1990 emissions. • By January 1, 2008, to adopt mandatory reporting requirements for significant sources of GHG emissions. 'State of California Environmental Protection Agency Report to Governor Schwarzenegger and the Caeifornia Legislature, Sacramento, CA, 2006, p. 64. The CAT has coupled Smart Land Use and Intelligent Transportation. As noted on the Depart- ment of Energy's Web page, intelligent transportation systems encompass abroad range of wireless and wire line communications -based information and electronics technologies. When integrated into the transportation system's infrastructure, and in vehicles themselves, these technologies relieve congestion, improve safety and enhanct American productivi ty. This report has limited discussion of ITS measures as they are not directly related to land use. ITS research areas are discussed in Chapter 8, however, since regional planning organizations are beginning to assess such measures to reduce congestion and emissions. 14 0 • By January 1, 2009, to adopt a plan indicating how emission reductions will be achieved from significant GHG sources via regulations, market mechanisms and other actions. • By January 1, 2011, to adopt regulations to achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost - effective reductions in GHGs. AB 32 gives wide authority to ARB to take action to reduce GHGs from all "significant sources." Right now, ARB does not plan to regulate land use and will depend on the CAT to make recommendations on land use matters. Petroleum Reduction Goal In a joint report submitted to the Legislature and Governor in August 2003, the Energy Commission and the ARB presented an overarching strategy to reduce California's dependence on petroleum fuels for transportation energy. Based on the use of reduction measures that were shown to be technically feasible and cost - beneficial, the agencies proposed a goal to reduce on -road petroleum fuel demand to 15 percent below 2003 levels by 2020. The key recommendations to achieve this goal were to increase new vehicle fuel economy and increase the use of non - petroleum fuels (alternative fuels). The Energy Commission incorporated this goal and key recommendations into its 2003 Integrated Energy Policy Report, which was adopted in December 2003. Assembly Bill 1493 AB 1493 (Pavley, Chapter 200, Statutes of 2002) directs the ARB to achieve the maximum feasible and cost - effective GHG reductions from light -duty motor vehicles. ARB adopted a rule limiting emissions from passenger cars and light -duty trucks according to a schedule that begins in the 2009 model year and is fully implemented by model year 2016. This rule is currently being challenged in court by automobile manufacturers that argue that ARB has exceeded its regulatory authority. Assuming the rule adopted under AB 1493 is fully implemented and gasoline use reduction is accomplished in the manner modeled by the Energy Commission staff for the 2005 Integrated Energy Policy Report, the reductions in emissions will be equivalent to reducing gasoline consumption in 2020 to a rate of 31 percent above 1990 gasoline consumption (and associated GHG emissions levels). If the automobile manufacturers win their lawsuit and the ARB rulemaking is reversed, gasoline demand from light -duty vehicles (and associated GHG emissions) is expected to exceed 1990 levels by 46 percent in 2020. Low Carbon Fuel Standard The Governor's Executive Order 5- 01 -07, signed on January 18, 2007, calls for a reduction in the carbon intensity of fuel used on California roadways. The objective is to achieve at least a 10 percent reduction in the carbon intensity of California fuels used in passenger vehicles by 2020. The Executive Order directs the Secretary of the CalEPA to oversee development of a "life -cycle carbon intensity protocol" for measuring carbon intensity. Participants in the protocol development include the Energy Commission, ARB, University of California (UC) scientists, and other state agency staffs. This analysis will become part of the state Implementation Plan for alternative fuels as required by AB 1007 (Pavley, Chapter 371, Statutes of 2005) and will be submitted to the ARB for consideration as an "early action" item under AB.32. Potential low- carbon fuels include biodiesel, hydrogen, electricity, compressed natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, liquefied natural gas, and biofuels. 15 0 0 The ARB completed its review of the LCFS protocols for adoption as an early action in June 2007. After being adopted as an "early action' by the ARB, theregulatory process at ARB is underway to put the new standard into effect. It is expected that the regulatory process will be completed no later than December 2008. GHG emissions reductions from the low- carbon fuel requirement have yet to be determined and may vary depending on the results of the court challenge to AB 1493. Early action rules are expected to become effective in 2010. One provision of the rulemaking implementing AB 1493 allows for an alternative com- pliance option to meet its requirements. The low- carbon fuel standard may be used by fuel suppliers and /or automobile manufacturers to meet a portion of the AB 1493 requirements. If an alternative compliance strategy is used, then the low- carbon fuel standard may not achieve fuel use reductions beyond those attributable to AB 1493. This concern is discussed below, based on the report, A Low - Carbon Fuel Standard for California; Part 1: Technical Analysis, May 29, 2007, authored by Alexander Farrell of UC Berkeley and Daniel Sperling of UC Davis." Historical and Projected VMT, Gasoline Demand, and Population Figure 1 shows California's growth in VMT, population, and gasoline and on -road diesel consumption, all indexed to their 1990 value. Values plotted reflect growth from 1990. As stated above, this is the year that AB 32 GHG control measures are required to be met by 2020. Thus, Figure 1 can be used to view the historical growth in transportation fuel use (and associated GHG emissions) relative to the historical growth in population and VMT and the degree of reduction needed to return to 1990 levels. Also plotted in Figure 1 are projected gasoline and on -road diesel use, population growth, and VMT projected by Energy Commission staff for the 2005 Integrated Energy Policy Report. The model used to generate this data incorporates existing conditions and business -as -usual assumptions about where and how people travel. Transportation fuel use is plotted both with and without the effect of the AB 1493 rule, and one line shows the result with AB 1493 and with the low- carbon fuel standard, assuming it is entirely additive to reductions obtained by implementing AB 1493. One observation from Figure 1 is that during 1990 to 2004, and as projected to about 2008, California's transportation fuel use grows more slowly than its population or VMT. This implies that Californians are driving vehicles with increasing fuel efficiency. A second observation from Figure 1 is that transportation fuel use under business -as- usual conditions is growing steadily and is expected to be more than 150 percent of 1990 levels by 2025. This growth trend closely matches projected population growth rates. "In the LCFS report, four options for a compliance schedule are provided in Table 2 -2. Staff's analysis is based upon the linear compliance option of Table 2 -2. 16 9 c m 0 LL 0 n e `o m Y a 0 0 Figure 1. Historical and Projected Population, VMT, and Fuel Demand Historical and Projected Population, VMT and Fuel Demand, with and without AB 1493 and including Low Carbon Fuel Standard (all values scaled to 100% in 1990, AB 32 Goal for 2020) 190 °,G -------------- ---- --- ---- --- -...__._._... -- ---------- ------ - -.___ 180 °b �. Future VMT with AS 1493 '• AFuture VMT without AS 1493 ♦�A x 170% ..... ----- .... ............................... ------------------------- - ✓.►..._. ...._....... ............... ..... Projected Population w .A •x 160 °,G ----. _----- -� ..... --- ........:_ ... --- ..--- ...----------- P i -- - -- -- ---- _--- --'- ------------- ---��- A. 150%----- ....---- .------ ............._ --- ..... --- - - - -- ........ ... ------ + dissoi 8xxi t ?Marc Ochant AB 4433 140 - --- ------------ --- -- ------ ---------+:�- ----... ,)1' . �:�' ...t Fnture 5aseiine+ d'aasei fact 130 °,G .... ............................... A' ,- . .. .y. .s- .a- u. es -?? .... damn ;,6 sio! AF 144a ....... VMT 120% ....._ .................. .. .X" ....... .... - -- ... Population X' ,of °• a datmand with AS 1493 A Low s ' 'r`• ?: --- -- --- -- -- - -- --- Carbon Fuel Standard, linear' ... 110%-_` .... ............................... compliance option 100% x� (assumes fully additive) AS 2078 Petroleum C= :as,�•i;; e+ a ^lx;s;ei iv;; rit:wpa ,:l R ------- 80% ,ty �0 00 0ry 0p � 00 ^0 0^ry 0^a No 00 ti ry,yL l � ^N N ^ `0 0 o0f'0 '0R0 ry0.y0 ry0.y`L ry0 ryoy0 ry0.y0 `Lobo Source: Energy Commission staff, 2007 Since GHG emissions from gasoline are such a large fraction of total state GHG emissions (27 percent), it is likely that these emissions will have to be controlled to meet the goals of AB 32. The goals have yet to be established for specific energy end -use sectors such as transportation, but the overall goal represents about a 29 percent reduction in projected 2020 emissions. This percentage can be used to compare the historical and projected gasoline demand. From Figure 1 it can be seen that the gallons of transportation fuel used in 2004 grew 20 percent above 1990 usage. Projected usage in 2020 is about 45 percent over 1990 consumption, if the AB 1493 rule is not approved by the courts, and about 31 percent if the rule is upheld and implemented on the schedule adopted by ARB. Figure 1 also shows the effect of the LCFS, assuming implementation of the "linear' compliance schedule and assuming that these reductions are fully additive to fuel use reductions accomplished by AB 1493 and the Zero Emissions Vehicle Program. The LCFS technical report shows annually decreasing carbon intensity ", but the effects of the LCFS are projected only to 2020. Staff assumed that the linear decrease in Figure 1 continues until 2025. The additive effect of these strategies reduces future transportation "Table 2 -2 of the LCFS technical report. 17 fuel consumption such that by 2025, transportation fuel consumption is only about 15 percent above 1990 consumption This indicates that even with AB 1493 and the LCFS, further efforts would be needed to reduce the transportation sector's fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions to their 1990 levels by 2020 as required by AB 32. The degree to which transportation GHG emissions must be reduced is uncertain given the status of several approaches to reduce transportation GHG emissions. However, it is apparent that reduced VMT growth will be required to meet GHG reductions goals. It is imperative that land use planning and infrastructure investments place a high priority on reducing VMT growth. Meeting Executive Order 5- 3 -05's long -term goal, which requires a reduction by 2050 to 80 percent below 1990 emissions levels, would certainly require nearly carbon -free transportation and strong actions to reduce VMT. If both AB 1493 and the LCFS are fully implemented (and also fully independent from one another) by 2020, California's overall VMT could increase by more than 50 percent over 2005 levels while GHG emissions from the on -road sector would be back to their 1990 levels since more miles could be driven with since emissions per mile would be much less. If AB 1493 becomes fully effective but the LCFS is not implemented, the allowable 2020 VMT increase is about 18 percent over 2005 levels. If AB 1493 is blocked by ongoing court action and if the LCFS is likewise blocked, 2020 VMT would have to decrease about 15 percent from 2005 levels to return this sector to its 1990 GHG emissions levels. These are preliminary values that need to be more carefully developed using a statewide stakeholder process. Furthermore, as the ARB implements AB 32 requirements, they may require sectors subject to state -level actions to attain levels below their 1990 GHG emissions levels due to those sectors that do not fall within state - level jurisdictions. A visible transportation sub - sector that may not be subject to state - level action, and which is growing at the greatest rate, is jet fuel use. Table 1. Statewide Allowable VMT Growth Rates in 2020 Relative to 2005 With AB 1493 and LCFS w..e+f}vsk6M With AB 1493 but without LCFS Without AL 1493 or LCFS Source: Califomia Energy Commission staf f, 2007 M 0 0 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY 19 0 0 CHAPTER 3: Land Use and Energy: Trends and Drivers Many researchers have studied the relationship between land use and energy. This section examines the various trends that impel land use related energy use and some of the drivers shaping current development patterns. These trends and drivers are critical to understanding how different. land use patterns can affect VMT and energy use. Vehicle Miles Traveled As previously noted, VMT has been growing by 3 percent a year, and Caltrans expects similar growth into the future. Caltrans modeling estimates assume current population growth rates and the continuation of current development and transportation practices. Research on the effect of land use practices on transportation patterns suggests that different development patterns could reduce VMT growth rate. A 2002 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study 12 compared the impacts of compact and sprawling counties on transportation patterns. Sprawl was defined as: • A population widely dispersed in low density residential development. • A rigid separation of homes, shops, and workplaces. • A lack of distinct, thriving activity centers, such as strong downtowns or suburban town centers. A network of roads marked by very large block size and poor access from one place to another. Sprawl was measured for 83 of the nation's largest metropolitan areas. The research suggests that counties with an inverse proportion of the above sprawl characteristics had significantly less average vehicle ownership, daily VMT per capita, annual traffic fatality rate, and maximum ozone level days. At the same time, shares of work trips by transit and walk modes increased to a significant degree. Density and Mixed Use Researchers Ewing and Cervero have examined the variables that have a significant effect on the overall VMT and vehicle trips of individuals and households, mostly, through their effect on the distance people travel and modes of travel they choose." Their research suggests that of the many factors that can be used to quantitatively analyze development and transportation interactions, density may have the most significant relationship to travel and transportation outcomes. Controlling for other factors, the difference between low and high density U.S. metropolitan areas is more than 40 percent daily per capita VMT. They found that doubling of neighborhood density can be expected to result in approximately a 5 percent reduction in both vehicle trips and VMT per capita. "Ewing R., R. Pendall, and D. Chen, "Measuring Sprawl and Its Impact," Smart Growth America/ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C., 2002. "Ewing R. and R. Cervero, 'Travel and the Built Environment," Transportation Research Record, Vol. 1780, pp. 87-114,20011. 20 0 0 According to the research, accessible, highly dense, mixed -use communities result in shorter length of vehicle trips. Of particular note was the difference between centrally located developments and development along the outskirts of established areas. Areas of high accessibility —such as center cities14— seemed to produce substantially lower VMT than dense mixed -use developments in the exurbs." They found that trip frequencies seemed to depend mostly on socioeconomic and demographic factors,, but overall VMT and vehicle trips declined as accessibility, density, and /or land -use mixing increased. As Dr. Reid Ewing noted in the June 26, 2007, Energy Commission workshop, "a smart growth development plan that increases average density by 30 percent, emphasizes infill, and mixes land uses to a high degree would be expected to reduce regional VMT by about 15 percent per capita over 30 years at an average metropolitan growth rate." A San Francisco Bay Area study found that, all else being equal, "(e)very 10 percent increase in the number of retail and service jobs within 4 miles of one's residence is associated with a 1.68 percent reduction in shopping and personal- service VMT... (Also,) a doubling of accessibility to retail and service activities was associated with a 13.7. percent decline in daily hours spent getting to and from shops and consumer- service outlets" (p. 483) .16 The results of a 2002 travel model that compared VMT between high- density and business- as -usual growth scenarios showed that miles traveled in privately owned vehicles (POV) would be 7.5 percent less in a high - density growth development than a business -as -usual development (see Table 2, below). Also, transit miles traveled were 39 percent more.17 Table 2. Additional .Daily Travel Miles in Privately Owned Vehicles (POV) and Transit - Business -as -Usual and High - Density Urbanization Scenarios, California, 2000 to 2025 Business -as -usual POV Miles 163,957 Transit Miles 5,857 High- density POV Miles 151,582 Transit Miles 3,157 Difference — Absolute POV Miles 12,375 less Transit Miles 2,300 more . Difference — Percent POV Miles 7.5 percent less Transit Miles 39.0 percent more Source: Burchell, Robert W., et al., 2002, Costs of Sprawl -2000, Transit Cooperative Research Program, Washington, DC, TCRP Report 74 (modified from Table 11.30). 14 A city's downtown and adjacent neighborhoods. " Prosperous Waal communities beyond the suburbs that become commuter towns for an urban area. 16 Cervero, Robert and Michael Duncan, 2006, Which Reduces Vehicle Travel More: Jobs - Housing Balance or Retail - Housing Mixing? Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn 2006, Vol. 72, No. 4. " Burchell, Robert W., George Lowenstein, William R. Dolphin, Catherine C. Galley, Anthony Downs, Samuel Seskin, Katherine Gray Still, and Terry Moore, 2002, Costs of Sprawl -2000. Transit Cooperative Research Program, Washington, D.C., TCRP Report 74. 21 0 0 Jobs - Housing Balance The length and number of work trips seem to be growing because of an imbalance between the availability and affordability of housing with the number and earning power of jobs.1B In the San Francisco Bay Area, average commuting vehicle miles grew by 23 percent between 1980 and 1990 as rising housing prices forced more and more people to move farther out and commute into San Francisco. If jobs were brought into balance with housing, "(all) things being equal, every 10 percent increase in the number of jobs in the same occupational category within 4 miles of one's residence (would be) associated with a 3.29 percent decrease in daily work -tour VMT. " 19 A balance of jobs and housing may reduce daily work VMT, which is important in managing congestion, but work trips account for a small and shrinking percentage of total travel. According to the National Household Travel Survey 2001 Highlights Report, 45 percent of daily trips were made for family and personal reasons, such as shopping and running errands, 27 percent were made for social and recreational purposes, and 15 percent were made for commuting to work.20 "Nonwork is the major reason for travel even in peak travel periods. It may also be linked to the rapidly increasing numbers of commercial vehicles in service"(p. 2).21 In contrast, Hand y22 believes that the data showing increases in non -work VMT are convincing but not conclusive. Nevertheless, non -work VMT is a large portion of travel, which may not respond to traditional methods of reducing VMT in the same way. Transit - oriented developments, for example, may be more successful if they are designed to facilitate non -auto errand trips as well as transit commutes. The relationships between possible explanations and travel behavior are complex, and researchers are just beginning to try to understand them. Social Equity The jobs /housing balance could have a disproportionate effect on low -income households. As jobs move from center cities to outlying areas, low- income communities typically found in the more urbanized areas will have farther to commute and will likely have fewer transportation options. California workers are more likely to work outside the central city than those in other western metropolitan areas. 23 Fuel costs could represent a greater proportion of a low- income budget as compared to moderate or high - income budgets. If low- income workers migrate to the suburbs, again lack of transportation alternatives would make it difficult for this population to reduce VMT. "Cervero, Robert, 2003, "Growing Smart by Linking Transportation and Land Use: Perspectives from California," Built Environment Vol. 29 No. 1, pp. 66 -78. 19 Cervero, Robert and Michael Duncan, 2006, "Which Reduces Vehicle Travel More: Jobs - Housing Balance or Retail - Housing Mixing?. ', Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn 2006, Vol. 72, No. 4, p. 482. ' U.S. Department of Transportation and Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2003, NTHS 2001 Highlights Report, BTS03 -05, Washington, D.C. 21 Nelson, Dick and John Niles, January 9-13,2000, "Observations on the Causes of Nonwork Travel Growth," Transportation Research Board 79th Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., Paper No. 00 -1242. u Handy, Susan, Andrew DeGarmo, and Kelly Clifton, 2002, Understanding the Growth in Non - Work VMT, Southwest Region University Transportation Center, Center for Transportation Research, TexasA &M University System, Texas, Research ReportSWUTC /02/167802 -1. "Sanders, Steve, 2001, A Strategic Scan of Smart Growth Issues in California. 22 Aging Population As of July 1, 2005, an estimated 78.2 million Americans were between the ages of 45 and 54.24 The greatest growth in California population for the years 2005 -2015 will be in the 45 -54 age group (just over 1.5 million), followed by the 55 -64 age group (about 1.4 million), and the 65+ age group (about 1.3 million) 2' Researchers are not sure if.these groups will drive more or less as they age. Retired people tend to travel less, but better health and mobility could mean that they will travel more.26 Surveys of home buyers over the age of 45 showed that home buyers' highest priorities are good access to shopping, family, friends, and medical care. If home buyers move, it will be to smaller houses with smaller yards.27 Market assessments conducted in 2003 and updated in 2005 to inform the Sacramento Blueprint Base Case conditions agree with these findings.28 Residential Design and Energy Consumption Studies have shown that the type of housing (such as multifamily) and the size of a house have strong relationships to residential energy use. "Residents of single - family detached housing, for example, are expected to consume 22 percent more primary energy than those of multifamily housing and 9 percent more than those of single - family attached housing "29 (p. 62). In addition, the type of housing (such as multifamily) and the size of the house have a strong relationship to the density of development. Housing in compact areas is more likely to be multifamily and smaller than housing in sprawling areas. Depending on the household, energy consumption could be about 13 percent less in a compactly developed area. At least two other studies have validated the relationship between higher density and lower energy use, as discussed by McGeogh et al. (2004) in their review of sustainable urban design features.30 However, the relationship between higher density and lower energy use may not be linear. One study indicates that if cities are too noisy and the local air quality is poor, instead of using natural ventilation people will use their air conditioners.31 Another study also suggests that if cities become too dense, in addition 24 http://www.census.gov/Press- Release /www /releases /archives / facts_ for_ features _special_editions /006105.html. ' Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, Opportunities and Challenges for the California Economy, California Economic Growth Chapter 2, ' Handy, Susan, Andrew DeGarmo, and Kelly Clifton, 2002, Understanding the Growth in Non - Work VMT, Southwest Region University Transportation Center, Center for Transportation Research, Texas A &M University System, Texas, Research Report SWUTC /02/167802 -1. 2' International City /County Management Association (ICMA) with Geoff Anderson, 1998, Why Smart Growth: A Primer, Smart Growth Network and ICMA. ' Levy, Stephan, 2004, "Growth Trends and Market Analysis for the Sacramento Region', Center for the Continuing Study of the California Economy, Palo Alto, CA Prepared for SACOG, Sacramento, CA. 29 Rong, Fang, 2006, Impact of Urban Sprawl on U.S. Residential Energy Use, University of Maryland, http: / /hdl.handle.net /1903/3848. ' McGeogh, U, D, Newman, and J. Wrobel, (2004) "Model for Sustainable Urban Design: With Expanded Sections on Distributed Energy Resources," Prepared for the Oak Ridge National Laboratory by the Sustainable Energy Planning Office of the Gas Technology Institute; released February 28, 2004, GTI Pro)ect # 303803 -23. Available online at http: / /www.necsc.us /docs/ ORNL_Design_Final. pdf "Cooper, J. T. R., and A. Smyth. 2002. "Energy trade0offs and market responses in transport and residential land Ouse patterns: Promoting sustainable development policy." Urban Studies 38(9):1573-1588. 23 ! • to reduced use of natural ventilation, the need for electric lighting goes up, and the use of natural lighting goes down. 'Z Further research is needed to understand the implications of urban noise, air pollution, density, and other land use characteristics on building energy use, especially air conditioning and electric lighting. Local Government Funding Land use patterns, and the VMT resulting from them, are influenced by the tax revenues available to local governments. One of the largest impediments to local governments' embracing of energy - efficient and climate - friendly growth patterns is the structure of local- government finance. Property Taxes Before Proposition 13 (1978), local property taxes were a primary source of revenue for local governments. They were individually levied according to the city, county, school district, and state's assessed value. Each entity could independently assess the value of a property and levy a tax based on that value. Overall tax rates were often in the range of 2 percent to 3 percent of a property's assessed value. Once enacted, Proposition 13 restricted the property tax rate to 1 percent of assessed value, and it prohibited reassessment of property except when it was sold. Thereafter, annual tax increases could amount to no more than 2 percent or the rate of inflation; whichever was less. Proposition 13 significantly cut local tax revenue as compared to the prior period and altered the way local governments fund public services and infrastructure. hi particular, it encouraged cities and counties to impose heavier exactions — sometimes known as developer fees or impact fees —to pay for roads, sewers, parks, and schools. Other revenue demands, particularly education, have also crowded the property -tax base, making it less available for local government purposes and reducing incentives to improve the base through residential development. In 1992 and 1993, facing a $14 billion shortfall in revenue, the Legislature shifted billions of dollars in local property tax revenues to schools to meet the state's minimum funding obligation to schools under Proposition 98. The shifted property taxes went into a fund established by the Legislature called the Educational Revenue Augmentation Fund. State Sales Tax Local governments receive 1 / 7 of the state sales tax for sales in their local districts. So in addition to exacting fees on developers, local governments also started encourages development that Increased sales tax revenue, such as shopping malls, car dealerships, and hotels. By contrast, land uses that produce only property taxes and have a high public service cost, such as moderately priced housing, became less desirable. This caused counties and cities to favor sales tax - generating retail development rather than ' Koen Steemers (2003), "Energy and the city: density, buildings and transport," Energy and Buildings 35(1): 3 -14. This paper discusses land use affects on both transport and energy use, particularly in the UK context. It points out that increasing density does not necessarily produce energy savings; in fact, moderately high densities (more on the order of European cities than Asian ones) may be the best from an energy standpoint. The authors point out that the two are linked — that in a city where the noise and pollution from cats is minimized, the buildings can be opened up, replacing powered ventilation, cooling and lighting with passive ventilation, cooling and lighting. 24 0 0 property- tax -bound residential uses, a circumstance commonly referred to as "the fiscalization of land use." As a result of these tax policies, local land use planning and decision making may demonstrate a bias toward tax revenue - driven development. Such development often may pit one community against another in an effort to attract businesses that generate sales tax. Local competition for retail and auto malls rarely balances community housing needs with the benefits of non -retail business and industry and may exacerbate trans- portation and associated environmental problems. The competition for the sales tax revenue can lead to local governments in the region offering escalating incentives to attract retail establishments, often through waiver of fees, favorable zoning, and other means. This competition for expected sales tax revenue is commonly referred to as "the race to the bottom." 25 • 0 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY 26 0 0 CHAPTER 4: Land Use and Transportation Planning Opportunities to Reduce Energy Demand and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Land use and transportation planing are linked and must be viewed together to under- stand how they can jointly reduce energy demand and GHG emissions. This chapter provides an overview of relevant programs, policies, and required plans that affect current land use and transportation planning, and some of the state policy documents that either do or could effect reductions in both energy demand and GHG emissions. The processes and plans discussed in this chapter are in place and can become part of a state effort to better integrateland use, transportation and energy resource management. Current Approach to Land Use and Transportation Planning Authority for transportation and land use planning is divided unevenly among state, regional, and local governments. Cities, counties, and "metropolitan planning organi- zations" (MPOs) spend hundreds of millions of dollars annually on transportation, land use and air quality planning.' Much of this planning is done to allocate hundreds of billions of dollars of federal and state transportation funds via "metropolitan transpor- tation plans" (MTPs). This planning effort involves every MPO in the state, along with air district and local government partners. It can contribute in a coordinated way to successful improvements in energy demand reduction and GHG emission reductions or it can produce transportation funding plans and general plans' that will work against resource efficiency for many years to come. Air quality, housing, employment, open space, farmland, fuel demand and mobility, and global warming are some of the quality - of -life factors that depend on coordination among MPOs and local governments and are directly affected by the allocation of transportation dollars. Regional Transportation Planning Process Several mandatory transportation infrastructure, mobility, and funding reports and air quality management reports affect transportation decision - making in California. These include: • Regional Transportation Plans (RTPs). RTPs meet. the long -term (25 -year planning horizon) transportation needs of the metropolitan population. The plans outline the development of mass transit, highway, airport, port, railroad, bicycle, and pedestrian facilities. RTPs can promote construction of roads or transit to areas previously less accessible thereby inducing growth into undeveloped land and/or they can help to reduce pressure to grow outward by enhancing mobility within and 'Metropolitan planning organizations are often also the "Council of Governments." MPO is a federal designation related to responsibility for preparing the RTP (see next page) and RTIP (see next page) and receiving and allocating transpor rn tation funding. Councils of Govement are joint powers agencies established to analyze the relationship between policies in one subject area and its impact upon other regional issues. SACOG, SANDAG and SCAG, for example, are all both the COG and the MPO. ABAG and MTC are separately the COG and the MPO, respectively, serving the Bay Area. `A document containinga statement of development policies including a diagram and text setting forth the objectives of the plan. The general plan must include certain state mandated elements related to land use, circulation, housing, conservation, open space, noise, and safety. 27 adjacent to the established urban footprint. RTPs are updated once every seven years. The level of sophistication of models, quality of data, and planning that contributes to RTPs varies widely throughout California. • Regional Transportation Improvement Plans (RTIPs). Also produced by MPOs, RTIPs lay out short -term projects and funding in priority order. RTIPs are given to Caltrans to constitute a state plan. RTIPs link funding to projects and can affect the value of land thereby inducing investment either within or near the existing urban footprint or in outlying areas. • State Transportation Improvement Plan (STIP).' STIPS are the aggregate of all of the individual RTIPs with the projects identified by Caltrans in its Inter - Regional Transportation Improvement Program (MP) into one document. Projects within the STIP receive 75 percent of the STIP funds, Caltrans controls only 25 percent of the STIP funds through ITIP projects, and MPOs control 75 percent of the funds. • State Air Quality Management Plan (AQMP). AQMPs are produced by Air Quality Management Districts (AQMD) to project future air quality and address necessary measures.to attain or maintain federal and state health -based ambient air quality standards. RTPs and RTIPs integrate the transportation plans of all of the cities and counties within their jurisdictions. Once the RTIPs are funded and set into motion, transportation fuel demand is essentially set for many decades. Transportation energy consumption associated with the actions included in the RTIP can then only be affected by changes in end -use technology or regulatory intervention. Federal air quality regulations also affect the transportation planning process. When a metropolitan area does not meet National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), federal Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) require local AQMDs to work with MPOs to develop plans that bring RTIPs and the projected air pollution emissions from those projects into conformity with CAAA. The CAAA allow the U.S. Environmental Protec- tion Agency to impose sanctions or penalties, such as blocking federal highway funds and imposing more stringent pollution offsets, when projects do not conform. The urgent need to reduce vehicle emissions to attain conformity drives the effort to reduce the number and length of vehicle trips, which is the only, albeit indirect, land -use- linked transportation energy conservation program in place today. MPOs are also developing other plans that could affect future land use planning. For example, the Southern California Association of Governments 2006 State of the Region Report included an extensive discussion of energy and a guest editorial by Ronald Cooke on "The Energy Defensive Economy: Challenges Ahead for Local Government," which discussed oil depletion, how it would affect local government, and recommendations for local government action n 'The STIP is funded with both federal (70 percent) and state (30 percent) dollars. Although the amount varies each year, about $1.5 billion -$2.0 billion total is allocated annually for the projects prioritized in the STIP. rs Southern California Associationof Governments, The State of the Region 2006, accessed at http: / /www.scag.ca. gov/ publications/ pdf / 2006/ SOTR06 / SOTR06- EnergyExcerpt.pdf W 0 0 Local Land Use Planning Process Local governments hold the majority of land use authority in California and express their legally enforceable policies through required general plans and zoning codes. State law requires these general plans to address land use, circulation, housing, open space, conservation, safety, and noise. State law does not require general plans to address energy although a few cities and counties have adopted an energy element making its provisions mandatory within their jurisdiction. In 2003, of the nearly 500 cities and counties in California that prepare general plans, 52 had energy elements of which only 5 had been written since 2000.37 By 2006, 7 of the original 52 had been dropped and 11 more added for a total of 56 general plan energy elements. Some of the dropped elements may have become part of the required land use element or simply discarded. Over the same time intervals, local governments in California have adopted many more growth management elements in their general plans. Growth management elements are not required by the state but once adopted become enforceable. By 2003, of the same 500 cities and counties in California, 80 had adopted growth management elements, with 25 of these dated 2000 or later. Between 2003 and 2006, 10 more growth management elements were adopted and 7 dropped for a total of 83. These statistics are significant because they indicate that local governments are investing in managing energy and growth, which greatly affects energy demand. They also indicate that less than 20 percent of the cities and counties currently are likely to be addressing energy within their adopted General Plans. Along with energy and growth management elements, many cities in California have adopted urban growth boundaries (UGBs). UGBs are mapped lines that separate an urban area from its surrounding greenbelt of open lands. UGBs help protect open land, and they encourage infill and higher densities, which in turn support more3public transit. In California, UGBs can be established by voters or by city council action. Issues such as housing, transportation and congestion, economic development and air pollution and reducing GHGs lend themselves to, and in some cases require, a more regional approach. City and county boundaries and. authority can limit an agency's ability to affect change as it may require collaboration from regional peers to effectively attain its policy goals. An example of this is the adoption of smart growth principles by a city attempting to reduce sprawl by limiting low- density development on its boundaries. If the city's regional partners do not support the city's efforts by adopting similar policies and allowing the same kind of low- density, sprawling development in its jurisdiction, then the region will still suffer from the negative impacts of the development. State Land Use Planning The state has typically played a limited role in direct land use planning, rather conducting activities that more indirectly influence land use decisions. State officials prepare functional plans to guide department programs, decisions and projects. The Governor's Office of Planning and Research (OPR) is responsible for collection of the state's functional plans. "The California Planners' Book of Lists 2005, Governor's Office of Planning and Research, Sacramento; CA. Compiled from results of 2004 survey of local governments. 38 Greenbelt Alliance, Urban Growth Boundaries, www. greenbelt .org /downloads /about /ugb.pdf F] 0 0 The state took a major step toward encouraging smarter growth with the passage of AB 857 (Wiggins, Chapter 1016, Statutes of 2002), which laid out three planning priorities for state agencies: promote infill development and social equity in existing communities; protect and conserve environmental and agricultural resources; and achieve more efficient use of land, transportation, energy, and public resources outside the infill areas. AB 857 also requires the Governors Environmental Goals and Policy Report (EGPR) to be consistent with these planning priorities. The EGPR is intended to provide a 20- to 30- year overview of state growth and development as well as articulate the Governor's environmental goals and policies including, but not limited to, land use, population growth and distribution, development, the conservation of natural resources, and air and water quality. The EGPR forms the basis for judgments about major state investments and capital projects, including the allocation of state resources through the budget and appropriations. process. The EGPR addressed the issues and initiatives relating to climate change as of the date of its preparation. The EGPR was transmitted by OPR to the state Legislature on November 10, 2003, but was never finalized or formally approved, as required by Government Code Section 65046. Additional areas where the state plays a role (albeit indirect) in land use planning include the California Environmental Quality Act updates (OPR), the California Transportation Plan (Caltrans), housing element updates (Department of Housing and Community Development), the California Water Plan (Department of Water Resources), stormwater planning (State Water Resources Control Board), and infrastructure construction and financing. California Environmental Quality Act The California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) requires state and local agencies to identify and reduce, if feasible, the significant, negative environmental impacts of land use decisions. The documents prepared under CEQA (Environmental Impact Reports, or EIRs) rarely address energy consequences or greenhouse gas emissions. In late 2006, the Center for Biological Diversity filed a lawsuit against the city of Banning, seeking to overturn the approval of a large housing development because the city did not evaluate the effect of GHG emissions from the increased vehicle trips on global warming. The California Attorney General and others sued San Bernardino County in April 2007 for, allegedly, violating CEQA by failing to address the impact of GHG on climate change in the county's new 25 -year general plan EIR. CPR's State Clearinghouse coordinates the state -level review of environmental documents under CEQA and provides technical assistance on land use planning and CEQA matters. OPR is responsible for updating CEQA, as appropriate. CEQA guidelines do not currently state if and how emissions of CCZ are to be evaluated. The ARB; as the implementing agency for AB 32, has not issued any guidance to cities or counties on how GHG emissions and AB 32 should be evaluated in CEQA documents. The Association of Environmental Professionals (AEP) has prepared a draft white paper on how to analyze GHG emissions and global climate change in CEQA documents. A range of possible approaches are identified; however, critics have stated that it is premature for local governments to define significance thresholds, quantify emissions, and mandate mitigation measures for GHG emissions without guidance from the state. California Transportation Plan The California Transportation Plan (CTP) is a long -range transportation policy plan that provides for the movement of people, goods, services, and information at a statewide/ interregional level. The CTP offers a blueprint to guide future transportation 30 0 0 decisions and investments that are intended to ensure California's ability to compete globally, provide safe and effective mobility for all persons, better link transportation and land use decisions, improve air quality, and reduce petroleum energy consumption. The CTP provides a vision for California's transportation system and explores major trends that will likely influence travel behavior and transportation decisions over the next 20 -plus years. In the context of these future trends and challenges, it provides goals, policies, and strategies to reach the vision. To fulfill the CTP's vision of improved mobility and to reduce congestion, the Schwarzenegger Administration launched a comprehensive transportation mobility initiative — "GoCalifornia." GoCalifornia is a mobility action plan designed to decrease congestion, improve travel times, and increase safety, while accommodating future growth in the population and the economy. It provides a roadmap to target transportation dollars to those improvements and investments that yield the greatest benefit for all Californians now and in the future. How these actions are carried out will likely affect future land use patterns and VMT. Housing Element Updates State law requires each city and county to adopt a general plan containing at least seven elements including housing. Unlike the other mandatory general plan elements, the housing element, required to be updated every five years, is subject to detailed statutory requirements and mandatory review by the state Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD). HCD is charged with reviewing local housing elements for compliance with state law and to report its written findings to the local government. . Housing element law requires local governments to adequately plan to meet their existing and projected housing needs including their share of the regional housing need. HCD must assess a Regional Housing Need Plan (RHNP) to ensure it promotes the following objectives: • Increase the housing supply and the mix of housing types, tenure, and affordability in all cities and counties within the region in an equitable manner. • Promote infill development and socioeconomic equity, protect environmental and agricultural resources, and encourage efficient development patterns. • Promote an improved intraregional relationship between jobs and housing. California Water Plan The electricity used to pump and treat water for delivery to California customers and its subsequent use by those customers represents about 20 percent of the total electricity used in the state per year.' The California Water Plan is the state's strategic plan for managing water resources statewide. It is updated every five years by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR). The Water Plan is a key element in the Governor's Strategic Growth Plan. The last update, released in 2005, outlined two key initiatives: • Promote integrated regional water management through regional partnerships and diversified management strategies. • Maintain and improve statewide water management systems. " http: / /www. energy .ca.gov / 2005publications/CEC- 100 - 2005 - 007 /CEC -100- 2005 -007- CMF.PDF 31 • • The 2005 Water Plan stated that "DWR will work with other state agencies to develop and help implement strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the state in accordance with the goals established by Executive Order S- 03 -05. DWR will provide expertise to help identify means of energy savings for the storage, conveyance, distribution, and use of water. DWR will describe the energy use characteristics of various resource management strategies in the next California Water Plan." California Water Plan Update 2009 will track and report progress on action plan items and initiatives, and will address the potential impacts of climate change. The update will be prepared with 16 other state agencies. Delivery of water from California's State Water Project (SWP) represents the largest single use of electrical energy in the state. It accounts for 2 to 3 percent of all the electricity consumed in California.' In a letter to Senator Don Perata in April 2007, DWR Director Lester Snow stated that the agency has filed an intent to register with the California Climate Action Registry and will perform a complete assessment of its GHG emissions and move to reduce those emissions .41 Stonnwater Plans In early 2005, the State Water Resources Control Board adopted sustainability as a core value for all California Water Boards' activities and programs and directed California Water Boards' staff to consider sustainability in all future policies, guidelines, and regulatory actions. One of the outcomes of this is low- impact development (LID). Unlike traditional stormwater management, which collects and conveys storm water runoff through storm drains, pipes, or other conveyances to a centralized storm water facility, LID takes a different approach by using site design and storm water management to maintain the site's pre - development runoff rates and volumes. The goal of LID is to mimic a site's predevelopment hydrology by using design techniques that infiltrate, filter, store, evaporate, and detain runoff close to the source of rainfall. LID is seen as an alternative to conventional storm water management. This can reduce the amount of stormwater needed to be treated as well as recharging groundwater supplies, which can reduce the need to import energy intensive water supplies. As pointed out at the Energy Commissions June 26, 2007, workshop, hard surfacing and flood control have changed the stormwater runoff pattern within the Chino Basin of California, resulting in the loss of more than 40,000 acre -feet per year that otherwise would have been recharged to groundwater.42 The energy value of the lost storm water was, on average, 2250 kWh per acre -foot. 4° http: / /energy.ca.gov /pier /iaw /industry /water.html 4t Departmentof Water Resources, Letter to the Honorable Don Perata, Senate Presidentpro Tem, April 13, 2007 "Dr. Robert W ilkinson, University of California, presentation at the June 26, 2007, workshop on "Land Use, Energy, and Climate Change." 32 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONAL LY 33 CHAPTER 5: Integrating Transportation and Land Use Analysis, Planning, and Process California Regional Blueprint Planning Program The Regional Blueprint Planning Grant Program43 was initiated in 2005 by the Secretary of Building, Transportation and Housing and is managed by Caltrans. This grant program, distributing nearly $5 million annually in regional blueprint planning grants, is intended to better inform regional and local decision - making. The program involves the proactive engagement of all segments of the population, as well as critical stakeholders in the community, business, academia, developers, construction, and environmental organization, to foster consensus on a vision and preferred land use pattern in a given region. It is anticipated that the regional blueprint planning grants will build capacity for regional collaboration and integrated planning that will in turn enable regions to plan to accommodate all their future growth, thereby reducing sprawl. Regional blueprint planning is underway in 14 of 18 MPOs within California.44 Two key goals of the program are to: • Foster a more efficient land use, pattern that (a) supports improved mobility and reduced dependency on single- occupant vehicle trips, (b) accommodates an adequate supply of housing for all incomes, (c) reduces impacts on valuable habitat, productive farmland, and air quality, (d) increases resource use efficiency, and (e) results in safe and vibrant neighborhoods. • Provide consumers more housing and transportation choices. Blueprint Learning Network The Business, Transportation and Housing Agency established the Blueprint Learning Network (BLN) to work with the MPOs and Councils of Government (COGs) to further advance regional blueprint planning. BLN is a team that includes, but is not limited to: the Resources Agency, Caltrans, the California Department of Housing and Community Development, the California Center for Regional Leadership (CCRL), and the University of California at Davis. The program helps state agencies make better infrastructure investment decisions and lead to a better quality of life in California based on the environment, economy, and equity. The purpose of the BLN is to work with regional teams (MPOs and stakeholders) in a series of workshops on overcoming the challenges and obstacles to effective regional blueprint planning. Energy in Blueprint Planning — Current and Potential Energy was not a stated component of the Blueprint Planning Grant Program. However, MPOs have been independently working on energy issues to understand the risk imposed to regional mobility from energy supply disruptions, peak oil, cost increases, and emission regulation changes, including GHG emission reduction. For example, the executive director of the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) hosted a "Peak Oil Seminar" to discuss risk associated with long -term disruptions in "State of California, Departmentof Transportation, California Regional Blueprint Program, 2005 Grant Application Package, Sacramento, CA, 2005. " Presentation,.Blueprint Leaning Network annual meeting, November 29-30,2006, Anaheim, CA. 34 0 0 transportation fuels to the Los Angeles' basin.' Sacramento's MPO has published an energy issue paper and article in the Regional Report to inform citizens and decision makers about the possible scope of the issue.' SANDAG has partnered with the Energy Commission to update its Regional Energy Plan to incorporate the state's electricity sector "loading order, "" Renewables Portfolio Standard, GHG goals, and other state polices that have been enacted since 2002 into its long -range planning efforts. Energy Commission staff is developing relationships with the BLN to better integrate energy and GHG planning into the blueprint planning process. The California investment in regional blueprint planning could have tremendous benefits to both transportation and building energy savings and GHG gas emissions reduction. Of key importance is that blueprint plans are the joint product of MPO and local government collaboration. MPOs hold transportation planning and funding authority. Cities and counties possess land use authority. The MPO Board of Directors is composed of elected officials from the cities and counties of the MPO's jurisdiction. The MPO, then, is an ideal forum to build consensus and political will, deploy legal authority to take action and schedule funding to implement land use, transportation, and energy plans. Below are descriptions of four of the leading blueprint projects for various sized regions Sacramento Blueprint Project In 2002, the Sacramento Area Council of Governments ( SACOG) board of directors created the Blueprint Project in response to the region's projected congestion and poor air quality. Citizens and elected officials worked together, using the I- PLACE3S interactive computer software and extensive outreach, to improve land use and transportation decision making. All cities and counties of the Sacramento region voluntarily chose to participate in Blueprint. Many began to implement local portions of the results in advance of the final adoption, and several SACOG members are integrating the Blueprint policies into the update of their general plans. Ultimately, the region's elected leaders, city and county planning departments, developers and citizens will use the detailed technical data developed during the study to make land use decisions that will influence how ggrrowth will happen now and in years to come. Blueprint data and maps will be used by the public and the SACOG to make choices about the transportation projects that will best serve the region as it changes. Developing the Regional Blueprint Study To begin the project, a detailed long -term "base case" scenario was developed. The base case provided data and maps depicting the region in 2050, assuming the present regional growth patterns, transportation system, air quality, and other parameters were not significantly changed and growth proceeded according to market projections based upon the status quo. The base case was used as a benchmark from which to compare net ' "Peak Oil Seminar," personal conversation with Mark Pisano, Executive Director, SLAG, November 2006. 46 Sacramento Area Council of Governments, Regional Report, FebruaglMarch 2007, Sacramento, CA, 2007, (pp. 4-8). ' The loading order is used to ensure that the most desirable electricity option is used first. The loading order consists of decreasing electricity demand by increasing energy efficiency and demand response, and meeting new generation needs firstwith renewable and distributed generation resources and, second, with clean fossil- fueled generation. 35 0 0 change created by the other scenarios. The sprawl, air pollution, traffic congestion, and VMT projected by the base case were considered unacceptable to the participants of the initiative's public forums. 48 A series of 37 neighborhood, county, and regional level workshops ultimately produced a set of regional scenarios. All levels of scenarios compared to and contrasted with the base case with at least three alternative development scenarios and allowed workshop participants to make changes and assess the net results. The relationships between mobility, employment, housing, open space, air quality, fuel demand, and land use options over time (to 2050) were quantified and discussed. Regional population and job growth projections were held constant among all the scenarios; each scenario accommo- dated the same number of new people (about 1.5 million by 2050) and the same number of new jobs (about 750,000 by 2050). A "preferred scenario' was ultimately developed, analyzed, and unanimously adopted by. the 31 locally elected city and county officials that make up the SACOG Board of Directors. Land Use Related Transportation Fuel Demand Findings The base case scenario required 661 square miles of new land to be developed to accommodate growth, most of which would occur in outlying areas where land is cheaper and homes and lots can be large. The preferred scenario, on the other hand, required 46 percent less new land to be developed than the base case. Much of the new housing and jobs was located in already developed areas, either on vacant parcels or on less desirable existing properties. The preferred scenario reduced CO2 and particulate emissions by about 14 percent compared to the base case scenario. VMT dropped lower than the 2005 per household number (41.7 miles per day) down to 34.9 miles per day even with an additional 1.7 million people. Table 3 compares the two scenarios. Table 3. Key Statistics Comparing Base Case Scenario 2050 and Regional Preferred Scenario 2050 VMT per household per 47.2 34.9 12.3 fewer miles per day (excludes commercial household per day, vehicles) a 2576 reduction People Living in Areas with 26% 53% 27% increase Good Mix of Jobs and Housing Growth Near Transit 5% New Jobs 41% New Jobs 36% more new jobs near transit 27o New Housing 387o New Housing 3676 more new homes near transit Additional Urbanized 666 square miles 304 square miles 362 fewer square Land miles urbanized Daily Vehicle Minutes of 81 minutes 67 minutes 14 fewer minutes Travel (per household per per day (more than day) two 40 hour work weeks per year) Per Capita Carbon Dioxide I Set at 1007o 85% of Base Case 15% less than the 'Mary Lynn Vellinga, "Forum favors anew direction for development", The Sacramento Bee, Saturday, May 1, 2004. 0 0 0 and Small Particulate Base Case per Emissions from vehicles capita (includes commercial vehicles) Source: SACOG, Blueprint Program, 2005. SACOG is using the public input, data, and maps developed from the regional blueprint as the basis for its federally mandated.2007 Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP), now in process. This MTP will produce a prioritized list of transportation projects to expend $42 billion for the six - county Sacramento Region over the next 20 years. A wide selection of mobility options and estimated costs were provided to citizens in a large series of well- attended public workshops, similar to the Blueprint workshop series. Outcomes are being used to direct the development of the MTP. The Sacramento Blueprint Project is an excellent example of the degree to which collaborative planning could reduce the need to travel. It is important to understand that population growth is outpacing the rate at which land use options alone can reduce VMT. So, increased engine efficiencies and cleaner fuels are also a critical part of reaching the GHG targets for absolute reductions back to 1990 levels that are needed to meet 2020 GHG emissions reduction goals, as shown in Table 1. San Diego Association of Governments In 2004, the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) Board of Directors unanimously adopted the 'Regional Comprehensive Plan" (RCP) for the San Diego region. The RCP serves as the strategic framework for how the region can grow in a smarter, more sustainable manner to the year 2030..The RCP is based on three guiding principles: • Better connect transportation and land use plans using smart growth principles. • Use transportation and land use plans to guide environmental and infrastructure decisions. • Use collaboration and incentives to implement regional goals. One of the key components of the RCP is the Regional Energy Strategy (RES), prepared by the San Diego Regional Energy Office and adopted by SANDAG in 2003. Energy indicators based on goals of the RES have been included in the performance monitoring for the.RCP each year. Smart Growth Map The Urban Form chapter of the RCP calls for the development of a smart growth map. In June 2006, the SANDAG Board accepted the first -ever "Smart Growth Concept Map" in the San Diego region. The concept map identifies locations within the region that can support smart growth and transportation investments and will be used to identify transportation and transit needs in the 2007 RTP. It also will be used to determine eligibility to participate in the region's long -term $280 million Smart Growth Incentive Program (SGIP) funded through TransNet, the half -cent sales tax approved by voters in 1987 to finance transportation improvements. The Smart Growth Concept Map contains almost 200 existing, planned, or potential smart growth locations in seven categories of smart growth "place types" identified in the RCP. About 40 percent of the areas on the map qualify as "existing/planned" smart growth areas, and the remaining 60 percent represent potential smart growth areas. The 37 map is dynamic and will be updated periodically to reflect changes in local land use plans or regional transportation plans that may influence the designations of the smart growth locations. 2007 Regional Transportation Plan Update The RCP recommends that the next update of the regional transportation plan (RTP) incorporate smart growth principles from the RCP, placing an emphasis on public transit and other modes of transportation associated with smart growth. SANDAG is updating the RTP, with adoption of the 2007 RTP update scheduled later this year. Smart growth areas will receive higher priority for transportation investments, lending additional support to the smart growth principles contained in the RCP. The RTP Update calls for the development of a regional climate action plan. This plan will be developed as part of the update to the RES. San Francisco Bay Area Smart Growth Strategy /Regional Livability Footprint Project In 1999, San Francisco Bay Area regional agencies responsible for transportation planning, environmental protection, and regional planning came together to promote and nurture smart growth efforts in the region. At the same time, the Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development, a coalition of 40 organizations representing business, the environment, social equity, and government, began an ambitious effort to develop public consensus and support for a "regional livability footprint," that is, a preferred land -use pattern that could direct the Bay Area toward a more sustainable future. In 2000, the regional agencies and the Bay Area Alliance combined their outreach efforts and created the "Smart Growth Strategy/ Regional Livability Footprint Project 49" From 2000 to 2002 in numerous meetings, stakeholders conceptualized how future growth should occur in their individual neighborhoods and counties, and in the region as a whole. Business -as -usual growth to 2020 would convert 83,000 acres (more than twice the size of San Francisco) of undeveloped land to urban use and result in insufficient housing within the nine Bay Area counties for the number of workers expected by 2020. Housing would be needed outside the Bay Area, requiring 45,000 acres in neighboring counties, significantly increasing VMT. By contrast, the smart growth land -use scenario, calling for compact, mixed -use communities that are dose to transit lines and employment centers, would increase the urbanized footprint of the Bay Area by less than 16,000 acres, or 2 percent, and provide substantially more housing. The scenario increases the proportion of new housing affordable to very low- and low -income households, from 16 percent to 41 percent. The smart growth scenario emphasized development in cooler, bayside parts of the region, and in multifamily units, thus lowering heating and cooling demand. This combination of changes is expected to result in a 17 percent reduction in water consumption —down from a current 300 gallons a day to an average 250 gallons a.day —in new housing units. Under the smart growth scenario, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission estimates the number of public transit riders to increase by one -third over current levels. The ability to provide more housing in cooler parts of the Bay Area instead of outlying areas would not only reduce VMT but would also reduce energy demands for heating "Bay Area Joint Commission, Smart Graavth Strategy Regional Livability Footprint Project: Shaping the Future of the Nine - County Bay Area. Final Report, Bay Area, CA, 2002. 0 0 0 and cooling. hh the Bay Area, each mile from the coast is associated with a 1 degree increase in temperatures' FOCUS FOCUS, short for the Focusing Our Vision initiative, follows up on the 2002 livability project. It is a regional planning effort partially funded by a Blueprint grant and led by the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) in coordination with the Bay Area AQMD and the Bay Conservation and Development Commission (BCDC). Local governments in the nine county San.Francisco Bay Area can apply for regional designation of an area within their community as a priority development area (PDA). Forty -nine Bay Area jurisdictions have submitted PDA applications and indicated a need for over $20 billion in infrastructure funding. One of the recommendations of the recently developed Bay Area Climate Protection Program is that climate change issues be integrated into the FOCUS program and that climate change criteria be included in the ranking of priority areas for incentive funding. 1 Metropolitan Transportation Commission Initiatives The Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) draft proposal for the 2035 RTP is assessing the feasibility of a 10 percent reduction in VMT per capita (from current VMT) and a 40 percent reduction in transportation CO2- MTC and its partners anticipate smart land use will be important in reaching these goals 52 MTC is developing "wedge" strategies to bridge short -term and long -term CO2 goals. The strategies address land use, vehicle efficiency, smart driving, and transit use and will be evaluated during the RTP update process. MTC is also implementing a "transit- oriented development" (TOD) policy designed to promote cost - effective transit, ease regional housing shortages, create vibrant communities, and preserve open space. San Luis Obispo Council of Governments ( SLOCOG) Blueprint Planning The SLOCOG Regional Blueprint (Community 2050) is a joint effort of the regional government, air district, Local Area Formation Commission and the San Luis Obispo County Planning Department. The SLOCOG Blueprint will use scenario planning methods, UPLAN and I- PLACE3S land use planning tools, and public workshops to address relationships among housing, the economy, employment, the environment, agricultural protection and transportation. The results will be used as the basis for the "regional transportation plan" (RTP). SLOCOG's member city and county governments will be encouraged to integrate the Blueprint and RTP principles and policies into their planning documents. As part of the Community 2050 process implementing Blueprint Planning. SLOCOG convened a "Regional Smart Growth Leadership Event" in April 2007 to engage stakeholders in a regional dialogue on smart growth and new urbanism. "Association of Bay Area Governments, Bay Area Air Quality Management District, Bay Conservation and Development Commission and Metropolitan Transportation Commission, Comments on Committee Workshop /Staff Report, June 29, 2007. 51 Association of Bay Area Governments, Bay Area Air Quality Management District, Bay Conservation and Development Commission and Metropolitan Transportation Commission, Bay Area Regional Agency Climate Protection Program—CONSOLIDATED RECOMMENDATIONS, May 4, 2007, accessed at http:/ /www.mtcca.gov /planning /dimate/ JPC -C 1 im a t eProtect ionProgram.pd f. "Joint Policy Committee - Regional Planning Program, Comments submitted on the June 26, 2007 workshop m the Role of Land Use in Meeting Cal ifomia's Energy and Climate Change Goals, July 18, 2007. 0 0 • Local Government There are many efforts in local governments throughout California to incorporate smart growth, address climate change concerns, and reduce energy demand. By implementing innovative voluntary strategies, local communities can both reduce greenhouse gas emissions and prepare for the consequences of climate change that are already underway. Two statewide entities supporting local government efforts are described below. League of California Cities The League of California Cities is an association of California city officials who work together to enhance their knowledge and skills, exchange information, and combine resources so that they may influence policy decisions that affect cities. The California League of Cities is considering the adoption of a policy and guiding principles on climate change that incorporate the following topics:" • Energy efficiency in buildings and new residential or commercial developments • Use of alternative fuels or low emission vehicles in city fleets • CEQA • Updating general plans to reflect climate change impacts • Water supply impacts from climate change • Land use planning * Recycled content procurement policies The League has endorsed the United States Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement. This agreement (1) calls on the federal government to ratify and implement the necessary policies to meet the Kyoto Protocol's U.S. GHG emissions reduction targets of 7 percent below 1990 levels by 2012 and (2) commits signatories to the same targets for their cities and to achieving the targets through the. following transportation and land use policies (but not limiting signatories exclusively to these policies): Inventory global warming emissions in city operations and in the community, set reduction targets, and create an action plan. • Adopt and enforce land use policies that reduce sprawl, preserve open space, and create compact, pedestrian- friendly urban communities. • Promote transportation options such as bicycle trails, commute trip reduction programs, incentives for car pooling, and public transit. California State Association of Counties The California State Association of Counties (CSAC) represents all 58 counties in the state. CSAC has adopted a policy recognizing the need to encourage more strategic growth and target infrastructure investments to promote such action.54 It is in the process of developing a policy on climate change and has convened a working group to discuss the role counties should play and to consider and identify where CSAC could develop climate change policy statements. CSAC believes that counties are more than Si California League of Cities website, www.cacities.org. 54 California State Association of Counties, Comment Letter on Energy Commission Draft Report: The Role of Land Use in Meeting Cal ifomia's Energy and Climate Change Goals, July 5, 2007. 40 0 0 just another stakeholder group in the climate change debate; rather, they are a vital partner and should be active participants in the discussions and dialogue in the development of GHG emissions reductions strategies. CSAC recommends that state policy recommendations with respect to growth consider the following principles: • Incentives for regional blueprint and countywide plans must be provided. • New development in designated urban areas must evaluate all costs associated with, development on both the city and .the county. • Analytical methodologies, thresholds of significance and other standards must be established before CEQA can be used as a tool to address climate change. . • Baselines must be established and technical information and data provided for local jurisdictions to evaluate current policies and develop additional policies and actions. Institute for Local Government The Institute for Local Government serves as a source of independent research and information for California's communities and their leaders. It is the nonprofit research affiliate of the League of California Cities and the California State Association of Counties. The Institute specializes in addressing issues of topical and practical concern to local agencies in California. A key aspect of this involves developing practical "nuts and bolts" materials that help local officials formulate policies that meet the needs of their communities. To assist local officials, the Institute for Local Government recently launched a new "Climate Action Program .i55 The Institute is working closely with the League of California Cities and the California State Association of Counties on climate action activities with a wide range of local officials and staff. The program will: • Provide information and access to strategies that local officials can use in their communities to address climate change. This will include climate action resources, best practices, and case studies. A "climate action network" will actively link local officials to a variety of climate change programs and resources. • Create incentives for local officials to set high goals for energy efficiency and climate change programs. This includes developing a certification and awards program for exemplary local efforts, along with criteria and a method to certify three tiers of local 'best practices" to combat global warming. Non- California Initiatives Many states and cities have efforts to reduce fuel use and GHG emission in place. A few of these are described below. Massachusetts Greenhouse Gas Emissions Policy The Commonwealth of Massachusetts Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs Greenhouse Gases Emissions Policy requires that certain projects undergoing review by the Massachusetts Environmental Policy Act (MEPA) Office quantify GHG emissions generated by proposed projects and identify measures to avoid, minimize, or 'California Institute for Local Govemmentwebsite, www.ca - ilg.org /climatechange. 41 mitigate such emissions. A project will be subject to this policy if an environmental impact report (EIR) is required for the project and if it falls into one or more of the following four categories: • The commonwealth or a state agency is the proponent. • The commonwealth or a state agency is providing financial assistance. • The project is privately funded but requires an air quality permit from the Department of Environmental Protection. • The project is privately funded but will generate 3,000 or more new vehicle trips per day for office projects; 6,000 or more vehicle trips per day for mixed -use projects that are 25 percent office space; or 10,000 vehicle trips per day for other projects. An advisory group has been convened to develop a standardized quantification and reporting protocol, and upon completion MEPA will require the quantification of green- house gas emissions. The analysis will include both "direct' GHG emissions (for example, stack and fugitive emissions from the proposed operation) and "indirect' emissions (for example, emissions from vehicles driven by employees and generating plants supplying electricity to the proposed operation). In addition to the quantification of project - related GHG emissions, MEPA will also require that proponents consider a project alternative in the EIR that incorporates measures to avoid, minimize, or mitigate such emissions. Possible mitigation measures could include: • Energy efficiency improvements in buildings. • Layout of the site and building orientation to make best use of natural light, natural heating and cooling, and solar energy potential. • Incorporation of low impact development techniques (including green roofs) to reduce the amount of asphalt and provide greater shading. • Transportation demand management, including locating the project near mass transit, access to shuttle or bus services (preferably using alternative fuels), ridesharing programs, bicycle and pedestrian accommodations, and provision of Zipcar spaces. • On -site renewable energy and combined heat and power generation. • Use of clean and alternative fuels. • Establishment of systems for on -site reuse and recycling of construction and demolition materials and recycling of occupant waste materials. Oregon Land Conservation Program Oregon's statewide land -use planning program, originated in 1973 under Senate Bill 100, was passed to provide protection for farm and forest lands, conservation of natural resources, orderly and efficient development, coordination among local governments, and citizen involvement. The Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) administers the program. A seven - member volunteer citizen board known as the Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) guides the DLCD. Oregon's LCDC, assisted by DLCD,.adopts state land -use goals and implements rules, assures local plan compliance with the goals, coordinates state and local planning, and manages the coastal zone program. 42 • 0 Under the program, all cities and counties have adopted comprehensive plans that meet mandatory state standards. The standards are 19 statewide planning goals that deal with land use, development, housing, transportation, and conservation of natural resources. Goal 13, energy conservation, addresses energy efficient land use planning and buildings and Goal 14 addresses urbanization. Periodic review of plans and technical assistance in the form of grants to local jurisdictions are key elements of the program. Oregon's statewide goals are achieved through local comprehensive planning. State law requires each city and county to adopt a comprehensive plan and the zoning and land - division ordinances needed to put the plan into effect. The local comprehensive plans must be consistent with the statewide planning goals. Plans are reviewed for such consistency by the LCDC. If approved, the plan then becomes the controlling document for land use in the area covered by that plan. New Jersey State Development and Redevelopment Plan and Smart Growth Program. The New Jersey State Planning Commission developed and approved the State Development and Redevelopment Plan (State Plan) and the State Plan Policy Map. The State Plan provides a vision for state growth intended to preserve and enhance the quality of life for the state's residents. The State Plan is the result of hundreds of public forums, where the plan's goals, strategies, policies, and application were discussed. This bottom -up approach to planning was designed to encourage consistency between municipal, county, regional, and state plans to create a meaningful, up -to -date, and viable State Plan. The New Jersey State Plan coordinates planning activities and establish statewide planning objectives in the following areas: land use, housing, economic development, transportation, natural resource conservationf a griculture and farmland retention, recreation, urban and suburban redevelopment, historic preservation, public facilities and services, and intergovernmental coordination.` The State Plan provides a balance between growth and conservation by designating planning areas that share common conditions with regard to development and environmental features: Areas for Growth: Metropolitan planning areas. • Areas for Limited Growth: Fringe planning areas, rural planning areas, and environ- mentally sensitive planning areas. In these planning areas, planning should promote a balance of conservation and limited growth. Environmental constraints affect development and preservation is encouraged in large contiguous tracts. • Areas for Conservation: Fringe planning areas, rural planning areas and environ- mentally sensitive planning areas. Maryland Economic Growth, Resource Protection, and Planning The Maryland Economic Growth, Resource Protection, and Planning Act of 1992 (the Planning Act) was enacted to organize and direct comprehensive planning, regulating, and funding by state, county, and municipal governments to advance a specific economic growth and resource protection policy. The policy is organized around seven s New Jersey State Smart Growth Programwebsite, http: / /www.state.nj.us /dca /osg/ 43 r � statutory vision statements that must be pursued in county and municipal comprehensive plans, where priorities for land use, economic growth, and resource protection are estab- lished. The visions must also be followed by the state in undertaking its various programs. Both state and local funding decisions on public construction projects must adhere to the visions. The Act also established an Economic Growth, Resource Protection, and Planning Commission (the Commission) to oversee, study, and report on progress toward implementing the visions. The state of Maryland reports that the work of state, county, and municipal governments, as well as that of the Commission from 1992 to 2002, has succeeded in the widespread integration of the visions in local and state government plans and actions.' The work accomplished under the Act helped to give shape and form to Maryland's smart growth program. The 1997 Maryland General Assembly passed five pieces of legislation and budget initiatives -Priority Funding Areas, Brownfields, Live Near Your Work, job Creation Tax Credits and Rural Legacy —known collectively in Maryland as "Smart Growth." The Maryland Smart Growth Program has four goals: • Support existing communities by targeting resources to support development in areas where infrastructure exists. Save the most valuable natural resources before they are forever lost • Save taxpayers from the high cost of building infrastructure to serve development that has spread far from our traditional population centers. • Provide Marylanders with a high quality of life, whether they choose to live in a rural community, suburb, small town, or city. Smart Growth directs the state to target programs and funding to support established communities and locally designated growth areas, and to protect rural areas. The. Priority Funding Areas Act provides a geographic focus for the state's investment in growth - related infrastructure. Portland Metro Regional Transportation and Land Use Planning In 2000, Portland Metro completed a planning process meant to look 50 years into the regions future (from 1990 to 2040), dubbed "the 2040 Growth Concept." The Portland area expected a large increase in population by 2040, which according to past trends would have meant a large increase in the "urban growth boundary" which defines the boundary between urban and rural areas in Portland. The impending growth clashed with what Portland residents value: access to natural beauty and comfortable communities. Regional projections showed that under existing land use policies, land used for urban development would increase more than 50 percent in the region. Metro is the regional government of the Portland Metropolitan area. It coordinates land use policies in the 27- jurisdiction region and writing binding development policies. Metro undertook a major public involvement campaign for the 2040 planning process. It mailed livability questionnaires to every household in the region (over 500,000), conducted dozens of workshops and forums, and provided a variety of public education tools, including distributing videos and maps about the planning at local businesses. This process was important because the planning decisions are being based on the values of Portland area residents. "Maryland Smart Growth Program Website, http:JJ www .mdp.state.md.us /smartintro.htrn 44 0 The 2040 Growth Concept being planned for in Portland consists of only a modest increase in the urban growth boundary, while at the same time making more efficient use of existing urban land, protecting natural resources and green spaces, supporting regional centers, and ensuring a balanced transportation system. The most important focus has been protecting residents' access to nature through efficient use of urban infrastructure. Metro released a report on performance measures in 2004. Development projects and policies have focused on urban and regional centers. Annual land converted to urban use was 40 percent lower in 2002 than it was in 1999. Metro acquired 8,000 acres of parks and open space through a 1995 bond measure, and 60 percent of the population is located within one - quarter -mile of a park. One of the most striking statistics concerned its transportation system: while the nation experienced a 6 percent increase in per capita vehicle miles traveled, Portland residents have decreased their VMT by 11 percent per capita between 1996 and 2002. ' http: / /www. metro- region.org /library_docs/ trans/ preliminaryresearchfindings.pdf. 45 CHAPTER 6: Infrastructure Funding Infrastructure funding policies and decisions can affect energy demand in many ways. The provision of roads, bridges, and tunnels can affect the efficiency of travel, the type of travel, and the demand for travel as well as cause many environmental impacts, such as bisecting habitat. The construction of power lines can determine the viability of renewable sources of energy generation, whether a new development can turn on the lights, and which power plants might come online first. Sewer lines are a key prerequisite for new development, and the State Water Project, as noted previously, is one of the largest infrastructures in the world, using up to 3 percent of the state's electricity to provide Californians with the water they need to drink, grow crops, conduct business, and water their lawns. Infrastructure funding comes. from the federal, state, and local levels. The funding policies and project choices made at any of these levels can determine the. long-term energy and climate impacts of a community's infrastructure for decades. For instance, funding policies that support mixed -use, transit- oriented, and dense communities can reduce energy use, commute time, and GHG emissions while increasing transit ridership. The Bay Area MTC has determined that locating housing and hence population closer to existing points of transit access will have a greater positive impact on transit ridership than new investment in transit infrastructures' Dense, mixed -use development may support small, locally serving renewable energy systems that require less transmission and related efficiency losses. To give another example, building a transmission system that can handle intermittent generation from wind resources is a necessary first step to large -scale deployment of wind generation. The following sections discuss infrastructure funding at the national, state, and local level. National The Center for Clean Air Policy Federal Highway Bill Reauthorization Effort The Center for Clean Air Policy (CCAP) is leading a partnership to try to integrate land use, energy, and climate considerations into the next Federal Highway bill. CCAP is attempting to: (1) build a partnership focused on adding travel demand strategies to the national climate policy debate and (2) create a linkage between federal climate legislation and the reauthorization of the Surface Transportation Bill (SAFETEA -LU) in 2008. In February 2007, CCAP kicked -off a policy discussion about integrating climate change mitigation strategies into the next U.S. federal transportation bill (hence Green — Transportation Equity Act, or Green -TEA) and addressing travel demand in national climate policy, by hosting a web -based seminar attended by more than 40 U.S. transpor- tation and land use experts. CCAP is asking all interested parties to support the effort by providing a summary of how the effort is valuable to their own specific interests. The Energy Commission has been tracking CCAP's efforts and providing information when available. In particular, CCAP is interested in the SACOG blueprint program as an example of how climate change and energy can be successfully integrated into Federal Highway funding decisions. If CCAP and the interested parties are successful in integrating green planning requirements into the federal highway bill, California's MPOs "Bay Area Joint Vision website, (http://www.bayareavision.org/focus/houEingemphasis.html) M 0 will have increased responsibility and funding power to implement their blueprint plans, and the state should have substantial help reducing VMT growth, energy demand, and GHG emissions from transportation. California Strategic Growth Plan In November 2006, California voters authorized the passage of infrastructure bonds totaling about $40 billion dollars. The largest portion ($19 billion) is allocated for traffic congestion relief and public transportation. But significant dollars are allocated to other areas as well: school repairs and expansion ($10.4 billion); water quality improvements and natural resource protection MA billion); levee improvements and flood control ($4.1 billion); and affordable housing ($2.85 billion). The state has a major opportunity to direct these infrastructure investments toward land use choices that consider energy and climate change. The Planning and Conservation League (PCL), with other organizations, is leading a "greening the bonds" effort. PCL has identified 10 principles to guide bond implementation, one of which encourages smart growth and makes cities more livable: Current state law (AB 857, 2002) requires that "any infrastructure associated with development" must use land efficiently, avoid leapfrog development, be located only in areas planned for growth with existing essential services, and minimize ongoing costs to taxpayers. Any proposed infrastructure bond must follow these requirements in AB 857, and should help achieve, not undermine, our state's land use objectives. The infrastructure bonds should create financial and regulatory incentives for growth patterns that accommodate needed housing as well as reduce vehicle miles traveled and protect valuable habitat and important farmland. Growth policies that reduce vehicle miles traveled will promote housing closer to jobs and commercial centers, provide more housing choices and reduce commute burdens on families. These policies will also reduce air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions and the consumption of oil. To ensure that regional agencies are equipped to make sound decisions consistent with smart growth principles and resource conservation, the state should update its transportation models to provide accurate infor- mation and should authorize bond funding for regional blueprints including funds to assist regions to collect and utilize adequate biological and geographical data on the region's natural resource infrastructure. Incentives for local and regional blueprints should be made available to all regions of California 60 The Urban Land Institute (ULI) is undertaking a public infrastructure initiative, encom- passing a series of forums, to make the case for linking infrastructure and land use. ULI is also meeting with state officials to ensure bond implementation supports smart growth principles. The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, with the Energy Foundation and the Packard Foundation, recently hosted a Global Warming, Land Use and Investment Policy meeting to allow members of the Governors administration, state 60The Planning and Conservation League website, http://action.nwf.org/campaign/ infrastructure -bond-principles /explanation. 47 0 0 Senate and Assembly members, and climate and urban growth experts to discuss how bond funding could be implemented. The following is a summary of the infrastructure bonds, a brief discussion of fund status, and the implications for effective land use planning and reduction in VMT growth. Transportation Bonds Proposition 113 (Highway Safety, Traffic Reduction, Air Quality and Port Security Bond Act of 2006) provides $19.925 billion in general obligation bonds for projects intended to relieve congestion, facilitate goods movement, improve air quality, and enhance safety and security of transportation. It includes $4.5 billion for projects that would improve corridor mobility (called the Corridor Mobility Improvement Account, or CMIA). CMIA guidelines, prepared by Caltrans, provide general guidelines on funding priorities for CMIA funds. One guideline factor calls for evaluation of "project benefits," but energy benefits and GHG emission reductions are not explicitly considered. These maybe considered under "optional benefits." Project eligibility criteria include projects that "improve access to jobs, housing, markets, and commerce." Proposition 1B funding also includes $4 billion for transit, $3.2 billion to improve goods movement and air quality, and $1.475 billion to improve transportation safety and security. Considered collectively, Proposition 1B funding components could be mutually supportive and could contribute to energy savings and GHG emission reductions. Proposition 1B explicitly allows the Legislature to provide oversight over the expenditure of $5.1 billion, including goods movement trade corridors, transit security, air quality, state -local partnership grants, and port security. None of the implementing agencies are responsible for energy matters or air quality, except the $1 billion identified for ongoing bus replacements. The Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) recommended that the Legislature provide eligibility guidelines where such guidelines are not clearly established by Proposition 1B. The LAO recommended that Proposition 1B funds be limited to projects with long -term benefits and that air quality impacts be considered for new capacity projects and appropriating all funds through the annual budget bill. The California Transportation Commission (Commission) has been charged, by a January 2007 letter from Senate President Pro Tempore Don Perata, with developing a plan for incorporating strategies to reduce mobile source GHG emissions in the RTP Guidelines. These guidelines shape the RTP projects that will be funded through . Proposition 1B programs, and this initiative represents a significant opportunity to integrate climate and energy considerations into the implementation of Proposition 1B, as well as serve as a model for development of criteria for the other infrastructure bonds. Proposition 1C (Housing and Emergency Shelter Trust Fund Act of 2006) provides $2.85 billion in general obligation bonds to support a variettyy of housing and development programs. The proposition has a smart growth focus for some of its funding as it provides $850 million for infill development grants and brownfield cleanup and $300 million to develop higher densities along transit stations. Both funds require Legislative appropriation. While the LAO recommends that the Legislature needs to provide guidance or definition of project selection criteria, no specific selection criteria are identified for the remaining funds noted above. Some regional blueprint plans identify infill and brownfield redevelopment opportunities linked with transit and 48 0 0 reducing automobile trips and length. Both energy - efficient and location - efficient cost- saving information for these sites could be generated to allow for preferred mortgage status for new homeowners based on lower transportation and energy costs. 61 Proposition 1D (Kindergarten - University Public Education Facilities Bond Act of 2006) provides $10.4 billion to fund repair and upgrade of public schools, including kindergarten through grade 12, community colleges, and state universities. This proposition provides $100 million for environmentally friendly school facility projects, including those that promote the efficient use of energy and water, incorporate recycled materials, and /or maximize the use of natural lighting. The LAO recommends that a community impact analysis be conducted to reduce off - campus impacts of campus facility growth The scope of that impact assessment is not identified by LAO. Planning for schools and universities offers many opportunities for better land use. For example, the city of Roseville and Placer County require, as part of their general plans, interagency coordination to co- locate schools with park and recreation facilities and the joint use of school and public facilities. 62 These requirements can reduce the number and length of trips and GHG emissions while strengthening community cohesion. Repairs and renovations of neighborhood schools may be more cost - effective than large - scale construction of new schools located on the periphery of urban development. The siting of new schools should consider their accessibility via bike and pedestrian paths, consistent with the federal government's "Safe Routes to School" initiative, which encourages children to walk and ride to school. Proposition 84 (Water Quality, Safety and Supply. Flood Control. Natural Resource Protection. Park Improvements) provides $5.4 billion in general obligation funding for a variety of water, flood control, natural resources, parks and conservation projects. Of this total, $620 million is continuously appropriated and does not need Legislative approval for projects. The remaining funds require Legislative approval through either the annual budget act or other legislation. The money could be used to provide infrastructure enhancements to offset the expected impacts of global warming. This includes $800 million for flood control; $580 million for sustainable communities and climate change reduction; $540 million for protection of beaches, bays, and coastal waters; and $65 million for statewide water planning. Proposition 84 funding could also contribute to lower energy demand and GHG emissions if, for example, green spaces are designed to enhance the inflow of cooler rural air to into urban areas and lower air conditioning use and parks are located to reduce automobile travel. The LAO identified a need for legislative direction for expenditure of at least the regional. planning, housing, and infill funding. Implications for Land Use, Climate Change, and VMT Project funding criteria must be developed to effectively distribute the funds identified in Table 4. "The Institute for Location Efficiency (ILE) is a national nonprofit organization founded by the Center for Neighborhood Technology, the Natural Resources Defenses Council, and the Surface Transportation Policy Project, www.locationefficiency.corn, The U.S. Housing and Urban Devel- opment Department manages the Energy EfficientMortgages Program, htttp: / /www.hud.gov/ offices/ hsg/ sfh/ eem/ energy - r.cfm. "The Cities, Counties Schools (CCS) Partnership, a joint effort of the League of California Cities, California State Associationof Counties (CSAC) and California School Boards Association (CSBA), Stretching Community Dollars Workbook. 49 0 E Table 4. Strategic Growth Funds Prop 1B $1 billion for state -local partnership program account Prop 1C $850 million for infill local infrastructure and parks $200 million for urban rural and suburban regional parks $300 million for transit oriented development Prop 1D $100 million for green schools Prop lE $290 million for protection, creation and enhancement of flood protection corridors and bypasses $300 million for stormwater flood management projects Prop 84 $1 billion for water projects that integrate water management with land use planning $90 million for sustainable communities $400 million for parks :Cali ia Energy Commissionstaff, 2007 Careful thought and analysis is needed for maximum bond expenditure effectiveness. There is a possibility that well- intentioned funding could have unexpected repercussions. For example, funding intended, to relieve congestion can induce people to return to their cars rather than to continue to use public transit by reducing the social cost (congestion - induced delays are a form of social cost) of travel. This "rebound effect' could increase personal vehicle use from 3 percent to as much as 14 percent or more, when the "cost of travel" is cut in half,63 thus negating some of the benefits that could arise from the expenditures identified in Table 3. Conversely, if bond expenditures are part of integrated regional efforts to reduce travel demand and air pollution, improve jobs - housing balance with wise infill and brownfield development, and locate parks and schools within walking and transit distance of a large portion of the population, perhaps greater than expected outcomes could be achieved. Evidence produced in the Sacramento blueprint shows it is possible. Actual measurements of VMT reductions in Portland show that it has been done. Congestion Pricing and Demand Management Congestion pricing refers to charging drivers a premium for using roads during peak times. Some of the most prominent examples in California include the high- occupancy toll (HOT) lanes along the I -15 corridor in San Diego and those along SR -91 in Orange County. Drivers pay a fee for using the lanes, which changes in real time in response to the level of traffic: the toll is raised to ensure a minimum speed. Drivers see the toll on an electronic billboard before they enter. The tolls along I -15 range from $0.50 to $4.00 during normal traffic flows but can be as high as $8.00 during very busy times. Along SR -91, the tolls range from $0.75 to $3.50. Drivers of high occupancy vehicles are able to use the lanes for free. The state may consider the effects of all new road capacity carrying some kind of congestion charge. At the June 2007 workshop, Ewing noted that almost half of. the $20 million bond funds passed in November 2006 could be used for highway capacity expansion; he recommended no highway funds for high- performance highways without tolls. b' Small , Kenneth A. and Kurt V an Dender, Fuel Efficiency and Motor Vehicle Travel: The Declining Rebound Effect, UC Irvine Economics Working Paper #0506 -03, Corrected July 17, 2006 (to be published in Economic Journal, vol. 28, no. l (2007) pp. 25 -51. 50 0 0 As noted at the June 2007 workshop, ,the Pier Pass program at the Port of Long Beach reduced gate fees for truckers in the 6 to 10 PMeriod and has reduced truck trips on the 710 freeway by 30 percent during peak use. x Another form of congestion pricing is charging motorists a flat rate to enter a particular area, such as a downtown. This form of congestion pricing is being practiced in London, where the charge to drive into the central city began at £5 but was raised after only two years of implementation and is currently £8. In the wake of the success in London, several European cities (including Stockholm and Edinburgh) have implemented or are in the process of implementing congestion pricing. It has yet to be introduced in the United States, but Mayor Michael Bloomberg has proposed it for the lower portion of the island of Manhattan. '4 Bama, John, California Transportation Commission, presentation at the June 26, 2007, workshop on land Use, Energy and Climate Change 51 0 0 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY 52 0 0 CHAPTER 7: Electric Utilities' Role in Land Use Electric utilities in California are beginning to play a larger and more explicit role in the planning and use of land. This role includes planning for utility infrastructure (long -range and near -term) and future sources of energy. This section examines a number of cutting - edge endeavors by utilities, both in California and the United States, that serve as models for a greater interplay of energy and land use. Energy efficiency, solar roofs, and green building endeavors are not specifically highlighted here, both because they are receiving extensive coverage in other areas (and will be discussed in other IEPR workshops and reports) and because they are not as directly tied to the specific use of land. Utility Infrastructure Planning and Development Long -Term Planning for Utility Infrastructure Perhaps the most significant involvement of utilities in the planning for new large -scale infrastructure is the SB 1059 Transmission Corridors effort spearheaded by the Energy Commission. The focus of this program is to integrate transmission corridor zone planning at the state level with local planning. SB 1059 requires the Energy Commission as the lead agency to work with cities, counties, state and federal agencies, and California tribes in designating transmission line corridors. It requires cities and counties to consider designated corridors when making land use decisions that could affect corridor viability. California utilities were active participants in the "early- listening" process designed to better understand stakeholder concerns and to determine how the corridor designation process could be implemented to meet the needs of utilities and other stakeholders. Utility comments presented at the March 5, 2007, Joint Committee Workshop on SB 1059 Implementation included: the need to coordinate among local, state, and federal agencies; importance of including existing land use planning (for example, habitat conservation plans and local general plans); and the need to include other initiatives such as regional Blueprint plans and military Joint land use plans. As an example, SANDAG has been seeking funding to undertake a regional feasibility study with San Diego Gas & Electric (SDGE) and Caltrans regarding the siting of multiple infrastructure needs in agreed -upon corridors. Line Extension Policies The process and costs for extending power lines and other utility infrastructure to new developments can help or hinder the smarter use of land. California Public Utility Commission (CPUC) Tariff Rules 15 (Distribution Extensions) and 16 (Service Extensions) govern the provision of natural gas and electricity to new residences. These rules are self - regulating, and a set dollar amount is provided for the cost of service for each new account. In the case of electric service, $1,300 is allotted to a developer to pay for the wiring from the transmission line to the transformer and then to the residential unit. Although density is not considered under the rules, a de facto incentive to create higher - density units may exist. A developer would receive $1,300 for each single - family home to provide electric service. If there is a great distance between single- family homes, the $1,300 may not be sufficient to cover the costs. On the other hand, if there are 50 housing units in a high -rise building, the developer would receive $65,000 ($1,300 x 50 53 0 0 units), and the actual costs would likely be considerably less than the total received. The basic structure of Rules 15 and 16 was created more than 20 years ago, and there is no discussion. at the CPUC regarding changing these rules." The New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (NJBPU), in March 2006, issued regulations requiring integration of "smart growth" principles into utility service policies. These regulations change how utilities (gas, electric, telephone, water, and wastewater) can invest in line extensions and customer services. Developers in designated smart growth areas will now be refunded money (according to a specific methodology) for line extensions and services needed to supply electric services. For developments in other areas, builders and developers will be required to pay the full costs of pipes, conduits, wire, poles, transformers, regulators, service lines, and meters. Inclusion of Utility Infrastructure in CEQA Documents New electric and gas transmission and distribution lines and substations will be needed to accommodate load growth associated with new industrial, commercial, and residential development, CEQA documents for these types of developments typically have not addressed the associated electrical and gas components of proposed developments. Pacific Gas and Electric (PG &E), Southern California Edison (SCE), and SDG &E are promoting a revision to the CEQA Guidelines Environmental Checklist though the auspices of the California Council of Environmental & Economic Balance (CCEEB). All of the investor -owned utilities (IOUs) have identified a major issue with the currently adopted CEQA Environmental Checklist in the State Guidelines. The Initial Study Checklist does not currently require discussion of a project's electric and gas infrastruc- ture requirements. However, most proposed development projects require construction of new electric and gas utility infrastructure. CEQA requires evaluation of impacts associated with the "whole action." Any subsequent CEQA process to cover the gas And utility infrastructure can result in significant cost and schedule impacts. The IOUs, through CCEEB, have proposed the following addition to the CEQA Guidelines Checklist, Appendix G: bs Werner Blumer, California Public Utilities Commission, personal communication, June 15, 2007. 54 0 0 XVI. UTILITIES AND SERVICE SYSTEMS Would the project: h) Require or result in the construction of new electrical or gas facilities, such as power lines, substations, pipelines, compressor stations, or related access roads, or require relocation or expansion of existing electrical or gas facilities, the construction of which could cause significant environmental effects? The utilities believe the benefits to be as follows: • Fully discloses electric and gas infrastructure impacts. Provides equal treatment of gas and electrical systems relative to the infrastructure. • Minimizes "piecemeahng.i66 • Eliminates unnecessary secondary CEQA processes. Local Land Use Planning and Development Utilities are becoming more directly involved in local land use planning, from the general plan stage to actual new developments. For the most part, local governments are not responsible for the delivery of energy to their constituents, and so the planning for energy delivery to new homeowners and businesses tends not to be considered to any great degree in the development and implementation of general plans. Yet, the utilities are greatly affected by these plans, particularly in terms of understanding where and how much new growth is expected. Southern California Edison A large utility like SCE must cover multiple regional and local government planning activities since its service area encompasses multiple jurisdictions. SCE has an ongoing effort to more closely coordinate with local and regional government planning.' Local governments typically do not need utility input to their general plans, but utilities do need the general plans since utility forecast plans must be consistent with adopted land use plans. SCE's four - pronged approach to local and regional coordination includes the following elements: • Participate in general plan development and review third -party environmental impact studies in a more comprehensive and consistent manner. • Improve load forecasting by incorporating community information. • Develop educational materials, especially directed at local government planning staff, that provide detailed information on issues directly related to energy delivery (for example, undergrounding of transmission lines). Create stronger relationships with local governments. Utility communications with local governments could be enhanced through use of an updated Energy Commission Energy Aware Planning Guide. SCE informed Energy Commission staff that this material was very useful in the past as a source of neutral, unbiased information. An update of the guide should include new examples of energy ' Piecemealing is the division of a single project into smaller projects to avoid the responsibility for considering the impact of the project as a whole. 6'Mary Deming, Southern California Edison, personal communication, June 8, 2007. 55 0 0 planning such as the transmission line element developed, with Energy Commission funding, for the Colusa County general plan. San Diego Gas and Electric SDG &E shares common geographic boundaries with SANDAG. The utility is a member of the SANDAG Energy Working Group and has provided funding to assist the SANDAG energy program and working group. `'s The Energy Working Group provided a forum for the utility to meet with affected stakeholders. Through participation in the Energy Working Group, SDG &E will be involved in updating the San Diego Regional Energy Strategy. The Energy Working Group's top priority in 2006 was to provide direction and input to SDG &E on its long -term resource plan. The Working Group advised the SANDAG Board on recommendations for the utility's plan to be consistent with the Regional Energy Strategy. The Board provided policy recommendations for SDG &E to consider and implement in its long -term planning, including its upcoming Long -Term Procurement Plan filing to the CPUC. In addition to its involvement with SANDAG, SDG &E has reached out over the last few years to several local agencies to ensure the integration of utility system needs in its general plan updates. Examples include: • SDG &E worked with the city of Chula Vista to identify new distribution substations that would be needed based on the preferred growth scenario as well as identify existing utility corridors in accordance with state general plan guidelines. Transmission corridors that may require expansion based on local and system -wide growth were also identified. • SDG &E worked with the city of San Diego to provide general substation location mapping and existing utility corridors in accordance with state general plan guidelines. SDG &E also provided the city with draft general plan policies for consideration which were modified for city use and included in the general plan update. • SDG &E is working with the county of San Diego on the General Plan 2020 Update by providing input to its Power and Energy Background Report, which will form the basis of its Energy Element. SDG &E also provided the county with the 2007 Transmission Planning Map requested by the Energy Commission in the 2007 IEPR as a bridge between state and local planning efforts. Pacific Gas and Electric PG &E claims to envision sustainable communities that ultimately strive for zero net carbon emissions, sustainable land -use and transportation planning, sustainable water use, and elimination of the concept of was PG &E and the other IOUs have existing programs that promote energy efficiency, solar electricity, and demand response at the individual building scale. However, PG &E believes that to effectively address California's climate change challenge and promote sustainabili�y, it is necessary to take a more holistic approach to energy planning and delivery. "Susan Freedman, San Diego Association of Governments, personal communication, June 11, 2007; SANDAG comments on Draft Staff Paper, July 6, 2007. "Darren Bouten, Pacific Gas and Electric, personal communication, June 11 and 18, 2007. 0 0 0 Such an approach would include collaborating with local governments, irrigation districts and water supply companies on land -use and water infrastructure planning policies that promote energy efficient infrastructure. It would include working with waste management companies to provide potential community-scale energy solutions from landfill methane, agricultural, and other biomass "waste." It would also include collaborating with developers throughout the planning and development process to implement: • Master planning strategies that optimize site design and community energy performance, • Building design measures that significantly reduce energy demand, and • Sustainable energy supply strategies at the neighborhood and community scale PG&E is in the process of developing a Sustainable Communities Program that will encompass two components: • A building -level approach where existing programs (for example, energy efficiency, and solar homes) are bundled and packaged more effectively to building owners and developers to incorporate sustainability concepts and reduce carbon; and A community/ regional approach where the utility will work with local governments on updates to general plans and building codes and standards, on the development of climate change action plans, and on new development projects. • The first component is essentially a building -by- building approach, which more closely tracks current CPUC requirements for program management and delivery. The second component, currently under development, envisions a much broader approach, incorporating direct water - energy and land use - energy links to enable communities to significantly reduce their carbon footprint. Both building -scale programs with shorter lead times and neighborhood and /or community-scale programs that promote significant greenhouse reductions, but have longer lead times, are necessary to achieve California's aggressive greenhouse gas reduction targets. However, the CPUC energy efficiency requirements that allow investor -owned utilities to recoup costs under the first component (building level) would not allow funding of the planning and implementation activities that are envisioned in the second component (community/ regional). Municipal Utilities Municipal utilities and those directly owned by local government have smaller service areas and, presumably, are more able to participate fully in general plan processes. In its General Manager's Report and Recommendation on Rates and Services (April 5, 2007), the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) states, "The District is committed to work regionally to ensure that our planning supports smart growth principles, and that (our) process will engage the regional planning authorities to facilitate wise energy use in future planning processes" (p. 11). SMUD has been an active participant in the ongoing Sacramento County general plan update. SMUD's participation directly led to the addition of an objective in the county's land use element, as described (in part) below Objective: New development in existing communities in new growth areas and . improvements to existing buildings and housing stock that are designed and constructed to be energy efficient and incorporate renewable energy technologies where cost - effective and feasible. 57 • 0 Intent: Key goals of sustainable development and smart growth are to reduce the impacts of development on the environment, conserve natural resources, reduce air pollution, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and protect human health. The community is also concerned that residents and businesses can afford to live and work in the community, with future energy costs a major cost consideration. The region as a whole is trying to attract businesses that focus on clean energy technology and products. The state and the nation are working to achieve independence from foreign and environmentally harmful energy sources. The City of Palo Alto Utilities (CPAU) has developed a close working relationship with city planning and building departments over the last several years. This allows the utility to recognize and correct zoning and municipal codes that impede more efficient energy delivery. CPAU is currently providing input on proposed zoning ordinance changes that will exempt thermal energy storage systems from restrictions on total square footage limitations for lots.70 New Development Opportunities Utilities have a unique opportunity to participate in new developments from the ground - up, especially those associated with very large tracts of land such as former military bases. As an example, energy issues are taking front and center in a partnership effort involving the redevelopment of the A Toro Marine Corps Air Station in Irvine, California. The city of Irvine envisioned the Great Park development as a multi-use development with sustainability and environmental stewardship as core values. SCE and Southern California Gas Company have joined forces with the city of Irvine, Lennar Corporation, and energy and land use experts (the "Green Team ") to design and develop a new energy infrastructure for the proposed Irvine Great Park. The Irvine Great Park Energy Subteam Update (November 2006) states that: As with any substantial development, the Orange County Great Park and surrounding communities will have significant impacts on regional energy resources. California's already strained electrical grid will be further taxed; limited natural gas resources will be stretched thinner, and demand for dwindling transportation fuels will grow. These challenges present unique opportunities to the Great Park, opportunities to improve the diversity, resiliency, and efficiency of energy resource production and use within the community. (p. 1). The new infrastructure associated with the Park will "...be designed and built from the ground up, fostering opportunities to enhance efficiency, increase flexibility and diversity, and prepare for future energy sources. A new transportation system will be developed, opening the door for advanced system designs, monitoring, and linkages between Park, community, and mass transit. "" The Green Team is working with stakeholders to develop consensus goals, consisting of the following outcomes: • Strive toward net zero energy usage through energy efficiency and fuel diversification. 7 °Karl Knapp, City of Palo Alto, personal communication, May 16, 2007. "The Irvine Great Park Energy Subteam Update, November 2006. 0 0 0 • Maximize self reliance and security for critical energy services. • Construct responsive buildings that help the electric utility reduce costs of imports and plant capacity through energy management. • Provide diverse and secure energy sources and technologies that offer ample choice for residents and businesses. • Offer a forward - looking, adaptive approach to design that helps everyone learn how to improve their performance and sustain a high quality of life in the face of unexpected change through education. PG &E has partnered with the city of San Francisco to create the "cleanest and greenest city in the U.S. (PG &E, 2006)." The plan will include alternative energy sources, a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and a commitment to sustainability. One of the six key elements involves the creation of model urban communities in Treasure Island and Hunters Point from their existing brownfields condition: ...we.can bring these communities to the absolute cutting edge of green energy and technology, not only in the provision of energy, but in their entire planning, design and development. These communities can be conceived and built as zero net energy urban environments (p. 14).72 72 PG &E, A Partnership for a Greener San Francisco, August 2006. 59 9 9 CHAPTER 8: Land Use Planning Research and Development California's population will increase by 24 million people by 2050. The state is already grappling to provide the infrastructure necessary to accommodate this growth while at the same time protecting the state's environment and natural resources. California's plan to reduce energy use, reduce the number of VMT, and meet its climate change targets while at the same time accommodating this growth will be greatly challenged. This chapter addresses available academic research in the area of land use and its integration with energy and transportation. For example, California's Million Solar Roofs Initiative is moving forward with outfitting the state with home solar panels. To what extent have neighborhoods been designed with south - facing roofs ideally suited for solar generation? Are there obstructions that will reduce the effectiveness of the photovoltaic (PV) systems? How might urban forestry programs impact PV systems? To give another example, the water - energy relationship has reinforced the fact that water use is energy use. To what extent can neighborhood design be optimized to save water and simultaneously recharge aquifers vital to California's water supply? Such design strategies could have significant energy, COZ reduction, and multiple other environmental benefits that typically would not be , considered. These propositions are but two of the many that connect land use decisions and long -term energy usage and that are under consideration by the Energy Commission's Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) Program. 3 By including energy demand, supply, and infrastructure as central factors in the land use planning equation, state and. local governments will have the tools to make intelligent use of energy resources and work to meet energy - related goals. The 2006 IEPR Update provided policy direction for research that helps "identify, quantify, evaluate, and verify sustainable energy planning practices and designs and help(s) explain the associated complex energy interdependencies, efficiency, and environmental enhancement opportunities of these practices and designs." It also states that this research should be used to develop "analytic tools" that model these same relationships. More specifically, the IEPR directed the Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) arm of the Energy Commission to "provide tools and conduct research to assist local government's energy and greenhouse gas reduction planning efforts" (p. 96). Such tools are a critical part of the planning process. Planners have a host of constraints placed on them in making land use decisions, including zoning, federal air quality mandates, tax revenue projections, and demographic projections. The Energy Commission funds research advancing science and technology not adequately supported by the private or regulatory markets. Current and planned land use - related research, particularly into sustainable communities, is,. and will be, largely focused on developing initiatives intended to improve regulatory decision - making and inform energy policy. In particular, this research is, and will be, addressing the following: • Evaluating the causality between land development patterns and vehicle miles traveled. 73 The PIER Program recently expanded to include transportation research, which it previously excluded. Tod ate, transportation research has focused on reducing the carbon content of fuel and increasing efficiency of vehicles. W. 0 0 • Determining whether petroleum use in the transportation sector can be reduced through changes in the design of development patterns, and whether there is a synergy between reductions attributable to land use and those attributable fuel type and carbon content. • Identifying the energy and resource efficiency impacts associated with various community design options, as well as identifying what reference guidelines and case studies are needed by design and building professionals in planning more sustainable communities. • Finding useful feedback that can be given on the energy impacts (HVAC, solar water heating, PV) of various street layouts and house orientations to the developer or planner. • Outlining ways to better quantify, evaluate, and verify complex energy relationships, as well as environmental enhancement (including COZ reduction) and efficiency opportunities of sustainable energy planning designs and practices. • Identifying the tools and models or improvements to these tools and models that are needed to set and achieve sustainability goals, as well as incorporate energy and the environment into planning and design decisions. Because of the long- lasting nature of community design, it is increasingly important to optimize natural environmental design features, energy efficiency, and opportunities for emerging energy technologies, and to use these tools in synchrony with each other. Beyond these considerations, achieving sustainability will ultimately require coordination across the entire energy sector. There is a need for implementation that will integrate current environmental and building efficiency research with industry efficiency, demand response, renewable energy, distributed generation, and transportation into a single, comprehensive research plan. In fiscal year 2007 -08, the Energy Commission's Research, Development and Demonstration Committee has allocated more than $2 million for sustainable communities research. This funding will support a broad -based research program including initiatives identifying, quantifying, and verifying the complex energy relationships, interdependencies, and environmental enhancement opportunities of alternative practices and designs, and conducting basic research to assess impacts associated with environmental features of sustainable communities (for example, optimize urban canopy and PV). The benefits from this research will include a better understanding of the holistic interaction between energy demand and environmental design principles as well as identification of underlying infrastructure design impacts on energy and the environment and identification of design improvements that would reduce energy use in California. Land Use and Transportation Research In its new transportation program, PIER is conducting research with the goal of reducing petroleum consumption and associated GHG emissions through increased vehicle efficiency, increased use of alternative fuels, and through better land use decisions.'" Research is needed to establish the scientific basis for, and make appropriate judgments about, the causal relationships between development patterns and VMT. The GHG reducing potential of land use (with respect to transportation) hinges on its ability to ' "These three avenues of fuels use reduction are the three fo mdational pillars of the PIER transportationprogram and are discussed more fully in the AB 2076 report (P600- 03- OO5F). 61 0 1 0 reduce distance and number of trips traveled or shift travel from carbon - intensive to less carbon - intensive travel modes. The effect of land use on travel behavior is currently one of spirited discussion among academics; Ewing and Cervero provide an excellent research summary" hi general, residents in dense neighborhoods or neighborhoods with grid patterns appear to drive less than those living in traditional low- density suburbs, but some studies have shown these reductions in VMT to be relatively minor. The correlation between smart growth and lower per capita VMT is fairly well- established; however, a causal link between land use and VMT has yet to be established. There are many possible explanations for the correlation between land use and VMT. One of the trickiest to study, but possibly the most influential, is residential self - selection. Observed lower per capita VMT in smart growth areas may be due to the fact that such areas appeal to people who do not like driving and move to them in order not to drive as much as they would have to in other areas. The net result —of lower VMT —is the same, but if residential self- selection is a very strong force, it may mean that smart growth has little power to cause reductions in VMT, but rather enables people to reduce their VMT. This distinction may be academic at the moment and may not affect recommended improvements to transportation models, but as smart growth scales up, it will be important to sort this out to understand the likely effects of widespread deployment of smart growth development strategies. Identifying the influence of the many factors responsible for the observed correlation between land use and VMT - including self - selection, broader choice set, congestion, and increased convenience of non -auto modes —would allow planners to build even more robust models and craft more finely targeted policies. Possible Areas of Future Transportation Research Smart Land Use and Intelligent Transportation Systems The Governor's Climate Action Team identified smart land use and intelligent transpor- tation systems as having major potential to meet the goals of the Governor's climate policy (see Chapter 2). These projected reductions are significant and represent a major portion of the total GHG reduction goal. As stated earlier, a draft report was released for public review on April 20, 2007. The update provides revised estimates of GHG emissions reductions from these strategies without discussing how these estimates were derived. Validation of the modeling tools being used to estimate GHG emissions reductions from smart land use and intelligent transportation systems should be pursued. The California Partnership for Advanced Transit and Highways (PATH) and the UC Davis Energy Efficiency Center are researching Intelligent Transportation Systems and looking for ways to increase ridership on public transportation systems as a way to reduce vehicle miles traveled. Through case studies and pilot projects, this research explores ways to get people out of their cars and into regional transit systems through innovative means such as carsharing, supported by real -time information delivery. Many of the pilot projects have met with success, but it remains to be seen whether the programs can be scaled up effectively. "S Ewing, R, and R Cervero, 2001, "Travel and the built environment: A synthesis," Transportation Research Record 1780: 87 -114. 62 • Transportation Modeling Tools The Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) concluded in a recent study that transportation modeling tools do not accurately characterize the effects of higher density developments in transit -rich areas. Traditional four -step transportation models also do not allow communities to accurately assess the cost effectiveness of mixed -use or transit- oriented development. There are several simple post - processor fixes that are commonly applied to correct the models and more accurately represent the observed correlations between smart land use and VMT. Another approach to correct traditional models is to integrate the transportation and land use models like has been done in the 2004 update of the I- PLACE3S model. Integrated land use and transportation models generally do better in accounting for the effects of smart growth,. but because they are computationally more demanding, they may be beyond the scope of smaller MPOs at present. Conversely, the somewhat simplified I- PLACE3S model could assist smaller MPOs in accessing smart growth analytical capacity, especially if technical assistance is. provided at startup. This finding highlights the potential need for more research into the validity and improvement of transportation modeling tools. In particular, sorting out the causation amid the well- established correlation between smart development and lowered per capita VMT would make integrated transportation models more robust and policies more finely targeted. The NRDC study may mean that regional models employed by MPOs, while designed for their particular region, would be a more accurate planning tool if they were modified to better account for 'location efficient" policy choices, that is, development policies that allow for the accessibility of new housing and facilities, giving preference to developments or housing choices76 that take advantage of existing transportation infrastructure. Researching the information and data needed so that transportation modeling tools can include capabilities to assess CO2 reduction potential offers additional room for improvement in these tools. Given that the transportation sector is the largest single sector of GHG emissions in California, it becomes increasingly important that these tools use the best data and approaches available. Some key research questions that must be addressed to give transportation models more predictive power are: • What is the association between trip types (home -work, work -home, home -shop, shop -home, other) and fuel use /GHG emissions ?" • How are these types of trips expected to change as the population ages? • Should more emphasis be placed on reducing one specific type of trip, or are reductions balanced among trip types best? Conversely, is an emphasis on improving mobility by alternate modes /fuels or improving accessibility a more productive approach? • How can modeling take into consideration the different urban densities and availability of public transit that varies throughout California cities? • Smart growth is designed to provide people with more transportation choices, but how effective is it in prompting people to take advantage of those choices and to drive less? 76 Such housing choices canbe supported by location -effi cient mortgages, which will increase the amount of money a homeowner can borrow if the home is located near a transit line. "Cervero, Robert and Michael Duncan. 2006. "Which Reduces vehicle Travel More: Jobs - Housing Balance or Retail - Housing Mixing?" Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn, 63 9 0 • How do people's attitudes and behaviors impact the effectiveness of policy decisions to encourage smart growth? Caltrans is in the process of upgrading transportation models to integrate land use within them to better reflect the benefits of smart growth. Smart Communities There is also a need to explore the relationship between smart growth and "smart communities." Smart communities are those that use information technology to change how their physical space is used. Similar to smart growth, smart communities can reduce VMT growth rates, although that would be accomplished through broadband systems of communications connecting homes, offices, schools, and health care facilities, rather than primarily through transportation infrastructure design. Research may be warranted on the potential of smart communities to reduce VMT growth rates, its impact on overall energy use, and the environmental benefits or concerns. Generally, research should examine the potential benefits of smart communities such as: • Widespread wireless or other high- speed, readily available Internet access and physical locations for people to access the Internet, and how this availability may affect travel. • The reconfiguration of work as things that people do, rather than a place they go, and the associated changes in travel patterns, development needs (such as less need for office space), and information technology use. • The management of energy infrastructure in an online, transparent way. Information and education programs for state and local officials (including planning officials) on the potential for energy savings through planning, design, development, and infrastructure decisions. • Incorporation of location efficiency models in transportation infrastructure planning and investments. • Transportation policies and strategies to help transportation planners manage the demand for travel, including real time travel information, reducing the number and length of vehicle trips and promoting trips that increase the viability of other means of travel. Scientific Research and Modeling Tools to Better Understand Land Use, Energy, and Environmental Relationships It is anticipated that at the highest level, PIER Sustainable Communities projects78 will fit into the following broad research areas: scientific studies and developing models, decision support tools, and design principles. These areas are designed to provide a better understanding of land use, energy and environmental relationships and to improve the decision- making ability of local government officials, developers, builders, and others, with scientific studies generally informing model development. This process is not necessarily linear, however, but at times a feedback cycle between these activities, as illustrated in Figure 2. "For PIER funding, a public interest research need must be demonstrated. The development of tools must be geared toward a public interest benefit and the advancement of science and /or technology. 64 0 0 Figure 2. Priority Research Areas Examples of Current PIER- Funded Land Use, Energy, and Environmental Research The Energy Commission, through the PIER Program, is funding work to integrate a building and generation energy planning capacity into the existing�regional and local transportation and land use planning software tool, I- PLACE3S. This effort will empower local government planners, COGs and MPOs, and decision makers across a region to view the outcomes of building energy use analyses alongside established key planning data such as housing costs, VMT, infrastructure cost assessments, and air emissions. Within the next 25 years, the United States is projected to design and construct more than 213 billion square feet of new building space, presenting an opportunity to design and incorporate higher levels of energy and resource efficiency 80 The Energy Commission is funding research in Chula Vista, California, to look at more efficient site design for new planned communities. The project will demonstrate the use of four different modeling tools (Building Energy Analyzer, Energy -10, City Green and CommunityViz) combined together to optimize energy, economic, and environmental parameters; analyze impacts of efficient community designs on utility infrastructure; and identify solutions to institutional and market barriers. The project will include stakeholder reviews and feasibility analyses that incorporate input from city officials, builders, developers, and others. A new analytic tool under development is the "Subdivision Energy Analyzer Tool." At the subdivision scale, this analytical tool will allow developers to examine and optimize n I- PLACE3S is an acronym for Internet accessed PLAnning for Community Energy, Environmental and Economic Sustainabi I i ty. " Nelson, Arthur, 'Toward a New Metropolis: The Opportunity to Rebuild America," Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University -A Discussion Paper Prepared for The Brookings Institution Metropolitan Policy Program, December, 2004. 65 0 0 different street layouts and housing orientations that enhance the ability to generate solar electricity and reduce energy use. Because California's economy and the global economy rely on fossil fuels for electricity generation, greenhouse gases that affect climate have accumulated in the atmosphere. As a result, changes in California's climate are predicted to impact water resources, the health of citizens, and the diverse natural ecosystems that Californians prize. hi addition to feeling the impacts of climate change, ecosystems affect climate, so that ecosystem responses to climate change may trigger subsequent changes in regional climate. This set of two -way interactions is known as "climate- ecosystem feedbacks ", and is an area that has not been well studied. A better understanding of climate - ecosystem feedbacks is important for improving predictions of regional climate change. It will also help California's lawmakers and citizens decide how to offset greenhouse gas emissions. For example, proposals to plant forests in areas that are currently rangelands (known as afforestation) will help soak up greenhouse gases from the atmosphere but will have other effects on climate that have not yet been quantified. Regional climate models have been increasingly used for predicting climate change because they can represent local details relevant to regional climate, such as mountain ranges and variation in vegetation type, at higher spatial resolution than can global climate models. The California Energy Commission has funded new regional climate modeling research with the long -term goal of improving predictions of future climate in California, taking into account not only the effects of greenhouse gases, but also the effects of urbanization and agricultural land use. Another related area that PIER will address in the future is two -way interactions between climate and vegetation that would result if climate change produces changes in ecosystems. For instance, a preliminary PIER scoping study suggests that aerosols are affecting precipitation levels and climate in California. Californian ecosystems are expected to change their geographic distribution with climate change, and possibly as a result of afforestation. PIER - funded research projects are investigating these issues for future consideration in developing climate projections for California. Areas for Possible Future PIER- Funded Land Use, Energy, and Environmental Research In fiscal year 2007 -2008, PIER will initiate research to im rove understanding of the relationships among land use, energy, and environment. 8 In particular, this research will address the need to identify and validate community -level design principles for land -use decision making by local and regional governments. An example includes research that provides a better understanding of the relative tradeoffs between residential -scale solar and the urban tree canopy. Urban shade trees can reduce a home's energy use by reducing the energy required to cool (and heat) the home, but trees can also reduce the efficiency and output of a home's solar panels by blocking sunlight. The tradeoffs including overall energy, environmental, and economic benefits between shade trees and PV production has yet to be quantified. These are complicated tradeoffs, affected by regional climate, a house's orientation, size, type and placement of trees, and many other factors. Because the state is investing in both residential solar energy systems 82, and "It is worth noting that for PIER generally short -term refers to a 1- to 5 -year time frame; mid- term, 3 to 10 years; and long -term, 10 to 20 years. ' The New Solar Homes Partnership (NSHP) is a component of the California Solar Initiative, which was signed into law in 2006 under Senate Bill 1 (SB 1) by GovemorArrmld Schwarzenegger. NSHP works with new home productionbuilders to build homes that are between 15 percent to 35 percent more efficient than the current codes and have photovoltaics FL 0 0 urban canopy programs, it would be beneficial to understand how these policies can be optimized to provide maximum benefits while understanding potential tradeoffs. Another broad subject area in community -level design principles addresses water and energy. In Southern California, for example, the difference between energy needed to pump groundwater can be as much as 2500 kilowatt- hours/ acre -foot less than the energy needed to import water B3 Landscaping can be modified or designed to maximize groundwater infiltration, both improving the amount contained and quality of groundwater in the aquifers and reducing the need to pump and treat run -off, both energy intensive processes. Larger groundwater reserves can allow water agencies to pump groundwater rather than rely on electricity- intensive imported water. Research efforts planned for this year will evaluate the ability of landscape design to effectively recharge aquifers and the potential energy savings and environmental benefit from increased local pumping versus remote pumping and long -range transport. Density and Urban Building Energy Use Research is needed to study the implications of densification on urban building energy use to help determine if there is an optimal configuration to minimize energy use in urban buildings. While research indicates that higher density, particularly if achieved with units that share walls, results in lowers primary energy use than lower densities, s" the relationship between higher density and lower energy use may not be linear. Some studies indicate that if cities are too noisy and there are local air duality concerns, instead of using natural ventilation, people will use their air conditioners. One study also suggests that if cities become too dense, in addition to less use of natural ventilation, the need for electric lighting goes up, and the use of natural lighting goes down. Further research is needed to understand the implications of smart growth planning on building energy use. 86 that will generate up to 50 percent of the home's electricity needs. SB 1 establishes three goals for the California Solar Initiative: create 3,000 megawatts of new solar - produced electricity by 2017 (of which 400 MW are from NSHP), establish a self - sufficient solar industry in which solar energy systems area viable mainstream option in 10 years, and to place solar energy, systems on 50 percent of new homes in 13 years. W Cohen, Ronnie, Gary Wolff, and Barry Nelson, 2004, Energy Drown the Drain: The Hidden Casts of California's Water Supply, Natural Resources Defense Council, Available at http:/ /nrdc.org/ water/ conservation/ edra in/ edrain.pdf. s" Ron& Fang, 2006, Impact of Urban Sprawl on U.S. Residential Energy Use, University of Maryland,http://hdl.handle.net/1903/3848. ' Cooper, j. T. R., and A. Smyth. 2002. "Energy trade ❑offs and market responses in transport and residential land (fuse patterns: Promoting sustainable development policy." Urban Studies 38(9):1573 -1588. N Koen Steemers (2003), "Energy and the city: density, buildings and transport," Energy and Buildings 35(1): 3 -14. This paper discusses land use affects onboth transport and energy use, particularly in the UK context. It points out that increasing density does not necessarily produce energy savings; in fact, moderately high densities (more onthe order of Europeancities than Asian ones) may be the best from an energy standpoint. The authors point out that the two are linked —that in a city where the noise and pollution from cars is minimized, the buildings can be openedup, replacing powered ventilation, cooling and lighting with passive ventilation, cooling, and lighting. 67 The 2006 IEPR Update states that the Energy Commission should "develop tools and methods to identify and set energy sustainability goals and to verify that these goals are met" (p. 96). Some tools exist and are being used already and, as a starting point for research, it may be useful to study some of these existing tools and methods. For example, local governments are building LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) certified buildings to assist in meeting their sustainability goals. Additionally, LEED - Neighborhood Design (LEED -ND) is being developed with the NRDC and the Congress for New Urbanism. Development projects will be rated based upon their location efficiency; environmental preservation; compact, complete, and connected neighborhoods; and resource efficiency. The Energy Commission may be able to leverage the LEED —ND program in a way that assists in establishing standards or priorities for growth in California. Some potential research opportunities include: • For cities with LEED - certified projects, conduct monitoring and validation studies to demonstrate how well the projects are meeting their projected. goals, including CO2 reductions, and to evaluate the scoring criteria to see if certain credit areas warrant a higher weighting because of embedded energy savings. 87 • Once the LEED —ND standards are final, research projects could include monitoring and validating the impact of LEED -ND certified projects and analyzing and quantifying the benefits for California cities and California as a whole and assess whether there is a need for a more California - specific LEED -ND. Land use planters and other city officials sometimes use models to calculate/ estimate the impacts of their decisions. For example, decision - makers have models forecasting transportation trends for the next 50 years, but they have few reliable models that forecast energy use at the community level for the next decade, given various land use practices: Thus, developing energy use models at the community level will assist in informed land use decision making. Tools are in use that could help the state understand optimal energy- related environmental community planning and design approaches. Such tools, focused on particular sub - systems within a community, include: CTTYgreen, Harmonize Emissions Analysis Tool (HEAT), and Construction Technology Group's Sustainable Communities Model. A survey of functionality for all existing tools and quality and consistency of their input data sources would help determine if better data is needed to ensure that such models produce as reliable and consistent outputs as possible. Communities are looking for tools that can address climate change at the local and regional level.88 The 2006 IEPR Update states that the Energy Commission (through PIER) should "Provide tools and conduct research to assist local governments' energy and greenhouse gas reduction planning efforts" (p. 96). Tools exist to support local governments in reducing their GHG emissions. For example, HEAT is an Internet -based resource for storing, tracking, modeling, and reporting emissions and reductions of GHGs and criteria air pollutants. Research is warranted to investigate the quality of data used in the models, validate the modeling capabilities, and assess the strengths and weaknesses of tools. In the coming 'For example, water efficiency credits for LEED -NC may result in energy savings as well and perhaps should be considered for a higher weighting to encourage such activities in achieving LEED certification. ' Sixty-six Califomia cities have signed on to the U.S. Mayors' Climate Protection Agreement, which commits signatories to reducing their carbon emissions to 7 percent below 1990 levels by 2012. M 0 0 years, PIER will conduct research in support of local governmental efforts on climate protection. If these tools are being used to estimate achievements of state energy policy goals, research that strengthens the science and technology behind and within these tools maybe of consideration. Critical research questions that will allow for better planning and effectiveness at reducing GHG emissions at the local level may include: 89 • Exploratory study: Urban Forestry and carbon sinks - how to account for GHG reduc- tions from sequestration by trees as well as other energy / environmental benefits. • Methods ensuring consistency and scientific soundness. What scientific research is needed to develop methods for estimating GHG reductions and emissions robust as well as transparent? Using this information what are the recommendations for developing a California Standard? (in coordination with Air Resources Board) • What are the benefits and potential impact of making offsets local and what ways can they be made verifiable? How far can a city go to achieve Kyoto-like goals within its own jurisdiction and authority? • Why are cities not investing more in short- and medium -term energy savings projects? And what potential impact in reducing GHG emissions would such projects have? • What are the recommended energy savings projects and their potential impacts? • What is the best way to develop a robust database and information exchange among (California) cities that have agreed to advance the goals of the Kyoto Protocol by signing the U.S. Mayors' Climate Change Protection Agreement? • What data is needed to accurately report emissions on a communitywide and municipal scale? • How should monitoring, tracking, and validation of progress occur? • For the cities that are implementing GHG emission reduction programs, what are the quantifiable differences they are making compared to those that are do not have programs? • What role can cities play in achieving the state emissions reduction target? The knowledge produced from the research described above will provide the information needed and enable the development and improvement of models, decision- support tools, and design principles to promote more comprehensive energy -aware planning. Such efforts represent a broadening of the scale of the research, moving from an individual object (building) level to the aggregate level (for example, moving from the energy efficiency of a house to the energy efficiency of a neighborhood), as well as considering energy as part of smart growth, including transportation energy, as well as other forms of energy demand and supply. Achieving this broadening of scope will begin to place energy planning at the appropriate level for local and regional governments to design their land use practices and policies around more energy- and resource - efficient communities. 89The Institute for Local Reliance just published a report Lessons from the Pioneers: Tackling Global Warming at the Local Level (Jan 2007). It surveyed the climate change activities in 10 cities (2 in Cal ifomia) to find out how well these "Kyoto cities" were doing in meeting their goals and what strategies and methodologies they were using. The overriding conclusion is that, despite commitments and elaboration of significant programs, reducing GHG emissionsbelow 1990 levels "will be a major challenge." Several research recommendations were made, and some are included in this list. M 0 0 Land use changes may be able to reduce driving for necessity by "bringing destinations closer to origins and improving the viability of alternative modes" but studies show that people choose to drive more than necessary.90 If people will choose to drive more even when land use changes offer less of a need to drive, land use change may have limited power to produce savings from the transportation sector, savings that are critical in California meeting its climate reduction goals. Investigating ways to ensure that the land use changes have a better chance of achieving the desired effect is an important area for research. This report has identified a number of ways in which land use features can affect energy use. While the effects of certain specific features have been explored with some detail, there is much research to be done on what a complete, appealing, energy - efficient community would look like, what the energy implications of such communities would be, and how those communities can take root and flourish across the state. As the Energy Commission funds research to address.these questions, it will be considering not only efforts that will help local governments and regional planners in the next 5 -10 years, but will also be creating a vision of how Californians will live, work, and travel in 50 years, at a time when energy resources are more tightly constrained than they are now, when vehicle technology has undergone another generation or two of development, and information technology is even more powerful and pervasive. 9D Handy, Susan, 2003, "Driving Less," Access 23:20 -25. 70 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY 71 0 0 CHAPTER 9: Staff Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations The following are key findings, conclusions and recommendations that the State of California and Energy Commission should consider in their attempts to reduce energy use and GHG emissions related to land use. Findings • With about 40 percent of California's greenhouse gas emissions attributed to the transportation sector, significant efforts to reduce vehicle miles traveled are needed to meet the state's GHG emission reduction goals. The state must find a way to not only reduce the current 3 percent annual growth rate in vehicle miles traveled, but begin to implement steps that will eventually reverse it. • The research reviewed shows that increasing a community or development's density and accessibility to job centers are the two most strongly correlated factors for reducing vehicle miles traveled through design. More research is needed as to how these factors cause the reductions. • Even when using commendable collaborative efforts to reduce vehicle miles of travel by implementing smart growth principles, efforts fall far short of the reductions needed in vehicle miles of travel needed to meet greenhouse gas emissions goals. • Existing tax polices, largely developed in response to Proposition 13 (1978), encourage and promote commercial sprawl. That form of land use development provides local governments with much needed revenue for public services and infrastructure but at the expense of smart growth strategies. The state should consider revising tax policies to encourage regionally coordinated, energy -aware planning. • Confronting issues such as housing, transportation mobility, economic development, and local climate change planning requires a regional approach, one that will protect the fiscal interests of urban, suburban, and rural communities while simultaneously lowering energy use. • While the state has limited land use authority, it does have some key leverage points (California Environmental Quality Act, housing elements, and others) that can be used to assist local governments in reducing energy use and greenhouse gas emissions that result from land use planning choices. Thus, while land use authority is nearly completely vested with local government, the state can use the disbursement of transportation and housing funds to motivate collaborative planning at a regional level. • The state - sponsored Blueprint Planning Program has engaged nearly all of the state's metropolitan planning organizations in long -range land use planning efforts. Several of these organizations are now adopting plans to better coordinate land use and transportation development. The plans strive to accommodate housing needs, reduce vehicle miles traveled, and identify priority planning areas. The plans are in early stages of implementation and may require technical, financial, and regulatory assistance to achieve their goals. With some guidance, these same plans could link energy and greenhouse gas analyses into the long -term growth planning process. • Other states and regional governments have adopted preferred growth scenarios that better coordinate land use and transportation development while accommodating housing needs, reducing vehicle miles traveled, and identifying priority planning V&A • areas. Some of the states and regions have channeled financial and technical . assistance to the identified priority planning areas in efforts to support the plan goals. Infrastructure funding policies influence the design and use of infrastructure projects. The Governor's Strategic Growth Plan contained numerous programs to encourage energy - efficient, climate - friendly land use, but project criteria (where they exist) for many of the programs contain no energy or climate considerations. The next federal transportation bill could significantly bolster the blueprint planning effort if it mandates energy and climate considerations. Utilities have historically played only a limited role in local government planning efforts. Coordinated planning between a utility and local government can produce many mutual benefits in terms of demand management, infrastructure deployment, distributed electricity generation, and installation of renewable energy generation. California investor -owned utilities have begun to engage with local and regional governments in mutual planning efforts, but these partnerships are prevented from reaching their full potential since the utilities cannot recoup the costs of their efforts. Land use impacts on energy demand, distributed electricity generation, transmission, and greenhouse gas emissions are in the early stages of exploration. Further research and development is necessary to explain and quantify the impacts land use has on energy systems, including: the causality (rather than the established correlation) of land development patterns and per capita vehicle miles traveled, the potential for low energy design principles, and the use of community=scale distributed and renewable generation technologies. There is a need for research to develop modeling and decision - support tools to allow the integration of energy considerations into future research and planning efforts. The Energy Commission is engaging in a new area of research that will look at the integrated relationships among land use, human behavior, urban design, environmental impacts, and energy under its new "sustainable communities' research program. Conclusions This report describes how different land use patterns could reduce the use of energy in California and therefore, reduce the generation of GHG emissions. The state has identified significant GHG reduction goals and has identified measures towards achieving those goals. The rules implemented by ARB to comply with AB 1493 and the recent effort to develop a low- carbon transportation fuel are directed toward reducing the carbon intensity of fuels used in the transportation sector. Although significant efforts, they are not likely to be sufficient on their own to meet state GHG emissions reduction goals. Reducing the miles traveled per vehicle will also be necessary. The number and length of vehicle trips are closely linked to where an individual lives and the proximity to transit, jobs, and shopping. VMT will differ depending on the type of land use. Smart growth development plans that increase average density by 30 percent, emphasize infill, and mix land uses to a high degree could optimally reduce regional VMT by about 15 percent at the end of 30 years. Regional Blueprint efforts in California, such as the plan developed by SACOG, show that preferred growth scenarios could reduce VMT per household by 15 percent over 30 years. However, when population growth is factored in, VMT would actually grow, although at a lower rate than business- as- usual growth scenarios. This suggests that current Blueprint planning, together with other measures targeted at reducing the amount of use and carbon intensity of fuels still cannot meet state climate change goals. 73 0 0 Challenges exist with not only achieving current Blueprint planning VMT goals but also with expanding them. The solutions lie in multiple actions that could provide incremental benefits. These solutions include: improved transportation models to more accurately forecast the true benefits of smart growth and Blueprint planning; density targets for new growth; changes in zoning to allow for greater residential density; transportation policies that identify goals for VMT reduction and urban design; state funding and transportation investments targeted toward smart growth areas; pricing and congestion management measures, including demand reduction measures to reduce need for new roadway infrastructure; modification of CPUC rules to facilitate electric utility involvement in local planning; and modifications to CEQA. Recommendations 1. The state should adopt a statewide growth management plan that is built from required local regional plans and align state planning, financing, infrastructure, and regulatory land use policies and programs to the plan. 2. The state should require regional transportation planning and air quality agencies to adopt 25 -year and 50 -year regional growth plans that provide housing, transportation, and community services for expected population increases while reducing greenhouse gas emissions to state- determined climate change targets. The state's policies and programs that influence land use growth patterns should encourage climate friendly and energy efficient development. To do this, there must be a concentrated and collaborative process to identify where, and in what way, long -term growth should, and should not, occur in the state. Confronting issues such as housing, transportation mobility, economic development, and local climate change planning requires a regional approach, one that will protect the fiscal interests of urban, suburban, and rural communities while simultaneously lowering energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, any state plan should be composed of regional plans, developed by local governments, in a process facilitated by regional agencies. Once regional plans are adopted, the state should build a statewide growth management plan that is wholly developed from the regional plans. Upon adoption of such a plan, state policies and programs should be modified to align with and support the plan. To allow for programs and development projects to manure, while also keeping the state and regional plans up- to -date, the plans should be updated every 10 years. • The Air Resources Board should adopt regional greenhouse, gas emission reduction levels to guide regional growth management plans in its AB 32 scoping plan. The Board should include in the scoping plan clear guidance on greenhouse gas emissions accounting for urban land use activities and a local government protocol for assessing and tracking greenhouse gas emissions in jurisdictions. • The Climate Action Team's Land Use Subgroup should convene a proceeding to develop recommendations for measuring and reducing vehicle miles traveled. • The Legislature should pass legislation that requires local governments to develop regional growth management plans that will accommodate 25 years and 50 years of housing, transportation, and community service growth needs while meeting Air Resources Board -set regional greenhouse gas emission targets. The legislation should: • Require regional growth management plans to be adopted through a joint process between a region's municipal planning organizations and/ or council of governments (MPO/ COGs) and the local air quality management district (AQMDs). 74 • Require local governments to adopt the portion of the regional.plan and greenhouse gas emission reduction target that affect their jurisdiction into their general plans. The plans should clearly identify areas where growth and development should and should not occur. • Require MPO/ COGs and AQMDs to incorporate the plan and targets into their planning, financing, and regulatory programs. • Require the Governor's Office of Planning and Research to collect the regional growth management plans and combine them to create a statewide growth management plan. • Require state agencies to modify all programs and policies that affect land use, including but not limited to, planning, financing, capital outlay, and compliance, to incorporate and support the statewide growth management plan. Colleges, universities, and state buildings should also be required to be consistent with the growth management plan. • Require that the regional and statewide plans, and the local governments, MPO/ COGs and AQMDs adoption of them, shall be updated on a 10 -year schedule. 3. State infrastructure financing should encourage development that is concurrent with the state's greenhouse gas emission and energy consumption goals. Infrastructure funding policies influence the design and use of local government infra- structure and development projects. The state should build upon the Governor's Strategic Growth Plan's numerous programs to encourage energy efficient, climate- friendly land use by requiring that all state financing for infrastructure incorporate energy and climate considerations. • The Legislature should pass legislation for all remaining Strategic Growth Plan bond programs to incorporate climate change and energy consumption reduction measures. • If the state adopts growth management legislation as described above, all state infra- structure planning, financing, and compliance programs should only allow resources, financial, technical, or otherwise, to be spent for development of projects in identified growth areas. • The Legislature should pass legislation that requires that all state infrastructure planning, fmancing,'and compliance programs should only allow resources, financial, technical, or otherwise, to be spent for development of projects in complete consistency with regional blueprints. • The Legislature should pass legislation that requires that all state infrastructure planning, financing, and compliance programs not allow resources, financial, technical, or otherwise, to be spent for development of projects in areas not consistent with existing regional blueprints. 4. The state should expand efforts to provide technical and financial assistance to regional agencies and local governments to facilitate climate friendly and energy - efficient planning and development. Land use impacts on energy demand, energy generation, transmission, and greenhouse gas emissions are in the early stages of exploration. Further research and development are necessary to explain and quantify the impacts land use has on energy systems. There is a need for research to develop and update existing modeling and decision- support tools to allow the integration of energy considerations into future research and planning 75 efforts. Many local governments and regional agencies state that access to information and a lack of funding prevent them from implementing climate friendly and energy efficient development plans and programs. • The state should continue to fund the Blueprint Planning Grant program and Blueprint Learning Network to assist regional agencies and local governments in developing regional growth management plans. The grant program should include energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission reduction as primary outcomes of the blueprints developed within the program. • . Upon passage of the above described growth management legislation, the grant program and network should be modified to support development of the regional growth management plans as specified in the legislation. • The Legislature should pass legislation that implements the Proposition 84 Sustain- able Communities Program. The program should focus on assisting regional and local governments in developing, implementing and incorporating into existing policies the above mentioned growth management plans, blueprints and, climate action plans. • The Energy Commission should convene a group of stakeholders, both within and outside state government, to update its Energy Aware Planning Guide to guide local governments attempting to adopt local growth management and climate action plans. • Using the Energy Commission's new Sustainable Communities research program and the California Department of Transportation's existing research efforts as the base, the state should convene a land use research group to identify research needs, carry out research, and develop and disseminate tools and resources to land use stakeholders. 5. State government should be a model for climate friendly and energy - efficient development patterns. The state, with the passage of AB 32, possessing the knowledge of what it is going to be, necessary to meet the state's climate change and energy goals and attempting to influence land use practices outside of its authority, has an obligation to model appro- priate behavior in its own land use practices. While AB 857 provided the framework for guiding state agency land use practices, there is no recourse for agencies that do not comply. Currently, the Governor's Office of Planning and Research has authority only to collect annual reports of agencies self- reported compliance with the law. • The Legislature should pass legislation that builds upon AB 857's intentions by adding greenhouse gas emissions reduction and energy consumption as priority planning goals of the state. The legislation should require that state agencies engaging in or financing the development of infrastructure or capital outlay projects report on the project's compliance with state planning policies during each stage of its administrative and legislative budget approvals. The 1 slation should require. that projects that do not meet the state planning priorities should not be funded except in situations where compliance would be proven infeasible by the sponsoring agency. • The Climate Action Team Land Use Subgroup should develop greenhouse gas emissions reduction and energy efficiency guidelines for state agency programs that affect land use. State agencies should adopt the guidelines to the greatest extent feasible. 6. The state should determine the extent to which state and local tax policies affect and guide land use practices and correct polices that encourage growth inconsistent with the state's growth management plan. 76 0 0 Existing tax polices, largely developed in response to Proposition 13, promote residential sprawl and increase vehicle miles traveled, and greenhouse gas emissions. The state should thoroughly review the impact of tax policy on land use patterns in the state. • The Governor's Office of Planning and Research, working with local governments, the building community, the university system, and other stakeholders should study the impacts of state and local tax policy on land use practices in the state. The report should contain recommendations for changing identified tax policy that leads to detrimental land use practices. 7. California's utilities should play an active role in regional and local government planning and development efforts at both the plan and project level to encourage climat- friendly and energy - efficient development in their service areas. The state's investor -owned utilities (IOUs) and municipal utilities need to play a signif- icant role in planning and development programs and projects. IOUs have stated that their ability to do so is hamstrung by current energy efficiency program time constraints. • The California Public Utilities Commission should allow utility- incentive and technical- assistance programs with longer lead times to enable greater collaboration with developers and local governments. 8. The state should work with its Congressional delegation to ensure that future federal highway and other transportation and land use related legislation and programs include energy and climate change considerations. . 77 THIS PAGE LEFT BLANK. INTENTIONALLY C. 0 0 CHAPTER 10: References Bay Area Joint Commission, Smart Growth Strategy Regional Livability Footprint Project: Shaping the Future of the Nine - County Bay Area. Final Report, Bay Area, CA, 2002. Burchell, Robert W., George Lowenstein, William R. Dolphin, Catherine C. Galley, Anthony Downs, Samuel Seskin, Katherine Gray Still, and Terry Moore, 2002, Costs of Sprawl -2000. Transit Cooperative Research Program, Washington, DC, TCRP Report 74. Cervero, Robert, 2003, Growing Smart by Linking Transportation and Land Use: Perspectives from California, Built Environment Vol. 29 No. 1, pp. 66 -78. Cervero, Robert and Michael Duncan, Which Reduces Vehicle Travel More: Jobs- Housing Balance or Retail - Housing Mixing? Journal of the American Planning Association, Autumn, 2006 Cooper, J. T. R., and A. Smyth. 2002. "Energy trade0offs and market responses in transport and residential land Ouse patterns: Promoting sustainable development policy." Urban Studies 38(9): 1573 -1588. Ewing R., R. Pendall, and D. Chen, "Measuring Sprawl and Its Impact," Smart Growth America/ U.S: Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C., 2002. Ewing R. and R. Cervero, "Travel and the Built Environment," Transportation Research Record, Vol. 1780, 2001, pp. 87 -114. Handy, Susan, 2003, "Driving Less" Access 23: 20 -25; Handy, Susan, Andrew DeGarmo, and Kelly Clifton, 2002, Understanding the Growth in Non -Work VMT, Southwest Region University Transportation Center, Center for Transportation Research, Texas A &M University System, Texas, Research Report SWUTC / 02/167802-1. International City/ County Management Association (ICMA) with Geoff Anderson, 1998, Why Smart Growth: A Primer, Smart Growth Network and ICMA. Koen Steemers, 2003, "Energy and the city: density, buildings and transport," Energy and Buildings 35(1): 3 -14. McG� U, D, Newman, and J. Wrobel, 2004, "Model for Sustainable Urban Design: With Expanded Sections on Distributed Energy Resources," Prepared for the Oak Ridge National Laboratory by the Sustainable Energy Planning Office of the Gas Technology Institute; released February 28, 2004, GTI Project # 303803 -23. Availableonhneathttp://www.necsc.us/docs/ORNL_Design_Final.pdf Nelson, Dick and John Niles, January 9 -13, 2000, "Observations on the Causes of Nonwork Travel Growth," Transportation Research Board 79th Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., Paper No. 00 -1242. Portland Metro, A Profile of the Regional Pedestrian System in the Portland Metropolitan Region, Portland, OR, 2007. Rong, Fang, 2006, Impact of Urban Sprawl on U.S. Residential Energy Use, University of Maryland, http: / /hdl.handle.net /1903/3848. 79 • i Sacramento Area Council of Governments, Regional Report, February /March 2007, Sacramento, CA, 2007. Small, Kenneth A. and Kurt Van Dender, Fuel Efficiency and Motor Vehicle Travel: The Declining Rebound Effect, UC Irvine Economics Worldng Paper #05- 06 -03, Corrected July 17, 2006 (to be published in Economic Journal, vol. 28, no. 1 (2007). State of California, California Energy Commission, Integrated Energy Policy Report, Sacramento, CA, 2006. State of California, California Energy Commission, Sacramento, Inventory of California Greenhouse Gas Emission and Sinks: 1990 -2004, CA, December 2006, CEC -600- 2006 -013 (p. 8). State of California, Department of Transportation, California Regional Blueprint Program, 2005 Grant Application Package, Sacramento, CA, 2005. State of California Environmental Protection Agency, Climate Action Team Report to Governor Schwarzenegger and the California Legislature, Sacramento, CA, 2006. State of California, Department of Finance, Race /Ethnic Population with Age and Sex Detail, 1970 -2004. Sacramento, CA, December 1998 United States Census, Press Release, June 3, 2006. http:/ /www.census.gov/Press- Release/ www / releases / archives / facts _for_features — special editions / 006105.htm1. United States Environmental Protection Agency, Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2004, Washington D.C., April 15, 2004. EPA 430 -R- 06 -002, (pp. ES -4 and ES -7). . United States Federal Highway Authority, Highway Statistics 1975 -2004, Washington D.C., 2005. United States Department of Transportation and Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2003, NTHS 2001 Highlights Report, BTS03 -05, Washington, DC. • • Appendix: 2006 Energy Report Update: Policy Recommendations Update Require Local Governments to Adopt Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Plans The state's Assembly Bill 32 plan should require local governments to develop green- house gas reduction plans and finance such efforts through the Assembly Bill 32 admin- istrative fee at a level commensurate with the greenhouse gas savings expected from improved land use planning. Update: The CARB is currently developing the AB 32 implementation plan. It will . be released by January 1, 2009. Promote and Facilitate Efficient Land Use Practices That Save Energy and Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions The Energy Commission should invite stakeholders to participate in an ongoing land use /energy working group that would convene on a regular basis to guide the state's land use and energy research and program development. Update: The Energy Commission is chairing the Climate Action Team Sub -Group on Land Use and Local Government. The sub -group is tasked with coordinating climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts in cross- cutting areas that are crucial to meeting the state's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction goals related to local government and land use activities. The sub -group is made up of state agencies and will work with local governments and other stakeholders to develop the tools, and programs necessary to achieve the state's climate and energy goals. Working with its partners, the Energy Commission should establish a central repository for efficient land use information resources. The Energy Commission should produce case studies and best practices guides that describe the successes of local government land use efforts that reduce energy needs and greenhouse gas emissions. Update: The Energy Commission has entered into partnerships with national, regional, and local government entities to produce case studies and tools that will help local governments and their partners to develop plans to reduce energy usage and GHG emissions. These partnerships will produce the following, but not limited to, products: • Model Regional Energy Strategy • Model General Plan Energy Element • Model Local Climate Action Plan 81 �J 0 • Alternative Fuel Infrastructure Toolkit • An annual conference on smart growth and climate change • Local Government GHG analysis tool The legislature should pass legislation that would require local governments to include an energy element in their General Plans. Update: At the time of this document's release, there is no legislation in the 2007- 2008 legislative session that would require a local government in California to adopt a mandatory energy element in its general plan. The CPUC should require investor owned utilities to partner with local governments to incentivize smart growth in their service territories. The CPUC should allow IOUs to recover the cost of the partnerships. Update: At the time of this document's release, there is no activity to report on this recommendation. Under the authority granted to them by AB 2021 (Levine, 2006), the Energy Commission should assist municipal utilities in partnering with local governments to encourage smart growth in their service territories Update: At the time of this document's release, there is no activity to report on this recommendation. Provide New Tools and Conduct Research to Assist Local Government's Energy and Greenhouse Gas Reduction Planning Efforts The Energy Commission should complete the update of the I- PLACE3S energy module and then continue to provide research and analytical tool development that will allow the state and its partners the ability to: • Better understand the relationships, processes, and outcomes that underlie smart growth and energy. • Identify, quantify, evaluate, and verify sustainable energy planning practices and designs. • Understand the associated complex energy relationships, interdependencies, efficiency, and environmental enhancement opporturd ties of these practices and designs. • Develop tools and methods to identify and set energy sustainability goals, as well as to verify that these goals are met. • Take a comprehensive approach, using life cycle studies or system analyses, to identify the costs, benefits, and trade offs of achieving these goals and to allow for more informed decision and policy making. i-' • 0 Update: The I- PLACE3S energy module is currently still in the development phase. The PIER program has started a new research approach that draws from current program areas for an integrated analysis of Sustainable Communities. The research from this effort will provide a better understanding of land use, energy, and environmental relationships and attempt to improve the decision- making ability of local government officials, developers, builders, and others. The PIER program is engaged in the development of a number of tools and research that will enable local governments to better account for energy and climate impacts of growth scenarios, as identified earlier in this paper. For the 2007 IEPR, the State Should Analyze the Role of the State's Infrastructure Planning and Financing Activities in Promoting Smart Growth The state should assess compliance with Assembly Bill 857 and provide an assessment of successes and barriers to action. Update: At the time of this document's release, there was no activity to develop and release a report an assessment of successes and barriers to action on AB 857 compliance. The state should develop criteria for smart growth development and prioritize infra- structure funding towards development that meets the criteria. Update: The Energy Commission is chairing the Climate Action Team Sub -Group on Land Use and Local Government. The sub -group will be examining the state's role in infrastructure financing and planning and developing smart growth, energy, and climate criteria for state agencies to consider for incorporation into their infrastructure programs. SE EXHIBIT 13 unitsbe required to si gri: a Dewtophidnt A gred ment. The purpos of tis requ requirement. was to reC;Og11i76 that those who used the .unit.s.ivonld be receiving a financial4indfiall satisfied that it meets the intent Mayor Rosansky and Mayor Pro Tern especially since the Development Agr applicant for additional, entitlement. for the proposed Development benefit has been offered. It is a huge it is not enough, in my opinion,. have believes that insufficient public Y'. cruite frankly, those who suggest :act it was the City's idea that residential be added to Newport Center j In mq 1yj , confirmed by the electorate, ought ; ,%: ( to be implemented. And since it was my rocoinnie . lidation U-) the Planning Commission to. add the Development Agreement . , requirement" to this portion of the General Plan in the first place, I would hope my opinion as to Wh4 is appropriate will count for something. If the ante is raised, The Irvine. Company has the tight to say. no thanks, and that would be a shame. Thanks for your time. Larry 1 ucker EXHIBIT 14 - - - -- Original Message---- - From: GTP Sent: Thursday, November 29, 2007 3:53 PM To: Dan Miller (Gov Relations) Subject: Fw: Questions on the Newport Center Applications] Hi Dan, As you will see below, Barry asked me to tell him why I commented at the Council meeting that The Irvine Company plan was consistent with the General Plan. Since I was there for the whole painful process, I did provide him an answer in a fair amount of detail. It should be the end of one of his bigger issues, but I guess we will find out tonight if it is. Larry ---- Original Message - - - -- From: "GTP" <gtp @ohill.com> To: <eaton727 @earthlink.net> Cc: "Wood, Sharon" < swood @city.newport- beach.ca.us>; "Clauson, Robin" < RClauson @city.newport- beach.ca.us>; "Lepo, David" < DLepo @city.newport- beach.ca.us>; "Alford, Patrick" <PAl ford @city.newport- beach.ca.us>; < tbrine @city.newport- beach.ca.us> Sent: Thursday, November 29, 2007 3:36 PM Subject: Re: Questions on the Newport Center Applications] > Hi Barry, > Sorry for being somewhat slow in responding, but my day job gets in > the way sometimes! I am forwarding this email to the same people to > whom you posed your questions. • Let me address your first question with the time I have. It is • probably the most important you have raised. But first, a little • background about the general plan update process. • As you may recall, during the general plan update process, I had • wanted to get into the details of the land use decisions well before • the various sections of the land use element finally were brought • forward to the Commission. I was concerned that we would be hurried • on those decisions which I viewed as the most critical we would be • making. Because the Commission was blessed with you, I knew most of • the details would be well attended to. While I did read it all, what • I tried to do was to make sure that I focused on the big picture, • since I didn't want that to get lost in the sheer volume of minutia • with which we had to deal. • You might also recall that I suggested that it would be important that > after the plan was voted on by the public (assuming it passed), that > someone with your skills take a look at the plan anew to clean up the > inevitable inconsistencies or ambiguities that we had no doubt left in > our wake, given the speed with which the general plan was assembled, i • • especially the land use portions. As you will see below, the general • plan is not that clear on your question number one. • You have noted portions of the general plan that if read alone would • support the view that there should be no new office built. But take a • look at Policy LU 2.4 which states "[Alccommodate uses that maintain • or enhance Newport Beach's fiscal health and account for market • demand..." At page 3 -96, take a look at the at the preamble that • recounts how during the visioning process "some supported growth for • existing companies, expansion of existing stores, and moderate • increases for new businesses." LU 6.14.1 states "retail development • capacity... may be reallocated for other permitted uses in Newport • Center..." While this'may not be directly on point, it certainly • allows for the possibility of new office uses since that is a • permitted use in Newport Center. And LU 6.14.2 has a policy to >- "provide the opportunity for office development" subject to limits. I • believe that this policy is applicable to the 500 hundred block and I • don't believe the limits actually preclude office in the 500 block. • But the key provision to me is in LU 6.14.3. That gives the Council • wide discretion to allow for transfer of development rights within • Newport Center. They can allow a transfer with a finding that the • transfer is consistent with the "intent" of the general plan. As I • recall, the TDR was a concept that was intended to operate in the • manner in which it had always operated. While I was on the • Commission, under the prior general plan we had allowed TIC to move • around entitlement as long as it was traffic neutral. The • continuation of that policy made sense and still does. • Newport Center is a big place and Policy LU 2.4 contemplates reacting • to the marketplace to account for market demand. Flexibility is • important, and.given the quality of Irvine Company decisions, I was • more comfortable with them being able to use their judgment than the • City locking in the specific uses on each and every parcel in Newport • Center. • As for the policy overview which is troubling you, I do not believe • that a policy overview trumps an actual policy. The policy overview • is inconsistent with policies I have referred to, so the discretion of • the Council as to which one of inconsistent provisions of the general • plan will prevail. > To address a couple of other points: I also don't know how the concept • of • expanding new buildings works when an old building is torn down and a • new building takes its place, but elsewhere in Newport Center. Is • that a new building or effectively an expansion of an existing (and • obsolete) building. • If the new office building were built in the 600 block, in the place • of a torn down building, how would you feel about that? Is that 0 E > effectively an expansion? Would you feel the same even though it might • be a better planning decision to build it in the 500 block? • Further, couldn't The Irvine Company build a new office tower in the • place of a torn down building in the 600 block (with a TDR) and build • a new residential tower in the place where they plan to build the new • office tower in the 500 block? • You see where I am • heading with this. At some point, the intent of the general plan • takes over, rather than rigid adherence to something that may not make • much planning sense. The overall effect is no different because the • same intensity of development may occur but we are quibbling about the > blocks in which a specific type of use may occur. • And lastly, I view the addition of less than 300,000 s.f. of office • (partially from tearing down some buildings and transferring other • entitlement) as a moderate increase given the office market in Newport • Center is probably a couple million square feet, give or take a few • hundred thousand square feet. In my mind, I do not believe the • general plan was intended to mean no new office by use of the words • "limiting" in LU 3.3. • Office is limited since it takes tearing down some office and • transferring other development rights to achieve any new office. And • at this point, there should be little ability under the existing • general plan to build any more office without tearing out a like > amount. • Hope.this answers your question about why I feel that the TIC plan is • consistent with the general plan. > Best regards, > Larry • - - - -- Original Message - - - -- > From: "Barry D. Eaton" <eaton727 @earthlink.net> • To: "Tucker,Larry" <gtp @ohill.com> • Sent: Wednesday, November 28, 2007 8:18 PM • Subject: [Fwd: Questions on the Newport Center Applications] > >> Larry, >> I watched with interest, as you told the CC last night that you felt >> that the Newport Center application was consistent with the General >> Plan "in every respect" (or words to that effect). >> If you have been able to reach that conclusion so firmly, perhaps you 0 >> can give me your thinking on the first question in the attached >> email, which I asked at the Nov. 15th PC'meeting, and repeated in the >> attached email the following day. So far, staff did not answer the >> question at the Nov. 15th meeting, did not respond to it in the >> supplemental staff report for our meeting tomorrow evening (as they >> said they would at the No. 15th meeting); and, in fact, have not responded to it at all. >> Can you share your thoughts on that question with me? (And, if you >> have thoughts on any of the other questions, I would welcome those as >> well.) >> Thank you very much, Barry "RECEIVED AFTER AGENDA LAW OFFICES PRINTED:" 4L'3 i2 -i�o�r PALMIERI, TYLER. WIENER, WILHELM & WALDRON LLP A LIMITED LIABILITY PARTNERSHIP INCLUDING PROFESSIONAL CORPORATIONS ANGELO J. PALMIERI 11926-19961 ROBERT F. WALDRON (192J -1998) ALAN H. WIENER' ROBERT C. IHRKE" JAMES E. WILHELM' DENNIS G. TYLER` MICHAEL J. GREENE' DENNIS W. GNAW DAVID D. PARR' CHARLES H. KAMTEW PATRICK A. HENNESSEY DON FISHER GREGORY N. WEILER WARREN A. WILLIAMS JOHN R. LISTER CYNTHIA M. WOLCOTT GARY C. WEISBERG MICHAEL H. LEIFER SCOTT R. CARPENTER RICHARD A SAWS NORMAN J. RODICH RONALD M. COLE MICHAEL L DANGELO STEPHEN A SCHECK DONNA S. WOLP RYAN M. EASTER HEATHER C. WHITMORE ELISE L. ENOMOTO ELIZABETH VAL4DEZ MELISA R. PEREZ AMISH J. BANNER MICHAEL I. NEHOE ROBERT H. GARRETSON JASON E. BURNETT RYAN M. PRAGER JOSEPH W. HANEY III JAMIE LEE JULIA. A. DOWN CHADWICK C. BUNCH ANNIE C. CHU AMBERLYNN N. DEATON JERAD SELTZ HEATHER H. WHRENEAD ERIN BALSARA BRETT L HORVATH '4 P!$...L COPP.KA VIA MESSENGER 2503 MAIN STREET EAST TOWER - SUITE 1300 IRVINE, CALIFORNIA 92614-4261 (949) BSI -9400 www.ptwww.00m December 18, 2007 P.O. BOX 19712 IRVINE, CA 92623 -9712 WRITERS DIRECT DIAL NUMBER (949) 851 -7294 mleifer (Mptwww.com PACSIMILE 1949) 851 -1554 1949) 861n!I 4 19491 757 -1225 Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92663 Re: North Newport Center Planned Community (PA2007 -151) 500 -600 Blk Newport Center Drive, 42000 Blk San Joaquin Plaza Dear Mayor and Members of the City Council: REPER TO FILE NO. 35019 -000 '+ l T'7 w As the City is aware from its acquisitooy actions pertaining to the implementation of the new City Hall location, this office represents the ownership of 1602 East Coast Highway (the "Property"). We initially became involved when the City sought to locate its new City Hall on a portion of the Property and undertook activities pertaining to situating its new City Hall. Although the City now appears to be attempting to situate the new City Hall nearby through a transaction with another owner, the subject property and property ownership has and continues to be adversely affected by the actions and deliberate nonactions relating to the new City Hall site implementation and the acquisition efforts related thereto. The ownership would like to resolve their issues with the City's impacts on their property in an amicable fashion. However, if that does not occur, the ownership will consider all legal options and remedies concerning the City's unreasonable acquisition related activities. As such, this objection is submitted on behalf of the ownership of the property located at 1602 E. Coast Highway in Newport Beach. As has been outlined in the public record at the recent public hearing during which the City considered related actions to those proposed this evening, ownership objects to the "recommended" actions set forth in City Council Agenda item No. 3 for the December 18, 2007 Newport Beach IJ PALMIERI, TYLER, WIENER, WILHELM & WALDRON LLP Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council December 18, 2007 Page 2 City Council meeting, to adopt Ordinance No. 2007 -20, approving Code Amendment No. CA2007 -007 and Planned Community Development Plan Amendment No. PD2007 -003 and to adopt Ordinance No. 2007 -21, approving Development Agreement No. DA2007- 002. For purposes of preserving their rights in this matter, Golf Realty Fund, O Hill Properties and NBCC Land join in the comments and objections contained in the December 11, 2007 letter to you from John G. McClendon on behalf of Greenlight and in the comments and objections contained in the December 11, 2007 letter to you from Daniel Shanahan. This confirms our objections to the City Council actions purported to have taken place on December 11, 2007, concerning Addendum to Final Environmental Impact Report (SCH No. 2006011119) for the City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update, Traffic Study No. TS2007 -001, the Affordable Housing Implementation Plan, and purporting to approve the Transfer of Development Rights. The ownership reserves all rights to contend that the objections in the record result in the invalidity of the actions purportedly approved or to be approved pertaining to these related matters. In order to avoid exacerbating the City's exposure created by its attempts to acquire the subject property and staff conduct relating to that activity , we urge that you not take the recommended actions set forth in Agenda Item No. 3 on the December 18, 2007 City Council Agenda. �� cc: Robert 0 Hill SECTION I. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Block 500 Project Area Net Acreage 4.37 2. Percentage of Site Coverage a. Building Footprint 20% maximum b. Landscape 30% minimum 3. Maximum building floor area will not exceed 97,400 square feet. 4. The square footage of individual building sites is subject to adjustment as long as the limitations on total development are not violated. Any adjustment in the square footages for each building site shall be reviewed and approved by the Planning Director. I a t� cn, -� - #15 VIA FACSIMILE AND U.S. MAIL December 11, 2007 Mayor Steven Rosansky Newport Beach City Councilmembers City of Newport Beach 3300 Newport Boulevard Newport Beach, CA 92663 Re: Comments regarding proposed EIR Addendum for Development Agreement (City Council Agenda Item #15) Dear Mayor Rosansky and Newport Beach City Councilmembers: Introduction and Summary of Comments. I write as a concerned Irvine Business Complex resident to comment on the proposed Ordinance approving Code Amendment No. CA2007 -007 and Planned Community Development Plan Amendment No. PD2007 -003 for North Newport Center Planned Community (PA2007 -151) located in the 500 -600 Block of Newport Center Drive and the 42000 Block of San Joaquin Plaza as well as the accompanying Addendum to the Final Environmental Impact Report (SCH No. 200601 1 1 19) for the City of Newport Beach General Plan 2006 Update ( "Addendum "), Traffic Study No. TS2007 -001 (the "Traffic Study "), the Affordable Housing Implementation Plan, the Transfer of Development Rights, and Development Agreement No. DA2007 -002 (the "Development Agreement'). As detailed below, the proposed Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR is legally insufficient. The Addendum does not adequately describe the project and its conclusion, that no fair argument can be made that a significant environmental effect might flow if Newport Beach adds thousands of new workers and residents to a fully developed area with severe existing traffic flow problems is simply not credible. Accordingly, we request that Newport Beach prepare a full environmental impact report (EIR) for this project. While Irvine residents would be happy to participate in any scoping session Newport Beach might conduct with respect to that EIR, we note that at this early stage that we view that traffic, circulation, park and recreation impacts are of special concern. Planning Commissioner Hawkins, an Attorney who has sued the City of Irvine and the developer of the project at 2323 Main Street in Irvine on behalf of his client, voiced his concerns at the Planning Commission hearing on the lack of sufficient environmental review. Page I of 7 For this Council to vote to sue all Irvine Business Complex residential development projects based on an allegation of insufficient environmental review and then to use the same level of review (and in the case of the most recent developments in Irvine, a lower level of review) is hypocritical at the least. Background Law. As you know, the California Environmental Quality Act, Public Resources Code §§ 21000 et seq. ( "CEQA "), requires an EIR to be prepared whenever "there is substantial evidence, in light of the whole record before the lead agency, that a project may have a significant effect on the environment...." (Pub. Res. C. § 21082.2 (d)). In determining whether or not to prepare an EIR, the lead agency must consider both potential project - specific impacts as well as potential cumulative impacts arising from the project. Lighthouse Field Beach Rescue v. Santa Cruz (2005) 131 Cal.AppAth 1170, Pub. Res. C. § 21002.1. The requirement for preparation of an EIR is a "low threshold," and doubts must be resolved in favor of preparation of an EIR (No Oil, Inc. v. Los Angeles (1974) 13 Cal.3d 68; Citizen Action to Serve All Students v. Thornley (1990) 222 Cal.App.3d 748). Only where there is no substantial evidence that the project may have a significant effect on the environment can a lead agency prepare an Addendum or NMD in lieu of an EIR. See Pub. Res. C. § 21080(c), State CEQA Guidelines 14 CCR §§ 15064 (f)(3).and 15070 (hereinafter "Guidelines "). Newport Beach must consider all information now in its hands, as well as the evidence contained in comments submitted during the public review period (Pub. Res. C. § 21091(d)(1)). Reliance on a prior EIR to support a Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR is appropriate only where the project remains substantially the same as that analyzed in the earlier document and no substantial changes in the circumstances of the project have occurred since the earlier document was adopted, and no substantial changes will result from the revised project, and perhaps most significantly, the project will not have any significant impacts not discussed in the previous EIR. Snarled Traffic Obstructs Progress v. San Francisco (1999) 74 Cal.AppAth 793, Guidelines § 15162. The proposed Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR relies on the 2006 General Plan EIR and that reliance is unsupportable. The 2006 General Plan does not account for substantial increases in traffic in the vicinity of the site and major changes in the Orange County freeway and toll road system. A review of the record demonstrates that the Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR is fatally flawed. A fair argument can plainly be made that this new project will have a wide variety of project - specific potential environmental impacts as well as a plethora of cumulative impacts when considered in light of other projects in the vicinity of the Newport Center. Further, the Initial Study fails to adequately describe the project, identify the baseline environmental setting, or analyze the impacts of the project. In short, it is cursory, incomplete and unconvincing. It will not withstand judicial review. Page 2 of 7 It is noteworthy that when the information requirements of CEQA are not complied with, an agency fails to proceed in a "manner required by law ", and has therefore abused its discretion. Pub. Res. C. §§ 21168.5, 21005(a); County ofAmador v. El Dorado County Water Agency (1999) 76 Cal.AppAth 1428; Environmental Planning & Information Council v. County of El Dorado (1982) 131 Cal.App.3d 350; Save Our Peninsula Comm. v. Monterey County (2001) 87 Cal.AppAth 99. Specific Shortcomings of the Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR. The following is a brief list of the evidence that supports our conclusion that a full EIR is required: 1. The Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR is inadequate. The failure to identify even one potentially significant impact that may result from this project is tacit evidence that it was prepared to support the project without the full study as required by law. Specific examples of how the analysis is woefully inadequate are set forth below. 2. This project is inconsistent with the 2006 General Plan. Land Use Section 3.3 (Opportunities for Change) in the General Plan under the subheading for Fashion Island/Newport Center specifically states: "expanded retail uses and hotel rooms and development of residential in proximity to jobs and services, while limiting increases in office development" If this project was contemplated by the General Plan Update and EIR in 2006, then why was this statement of policy specifically stated in the "Opportunities for Change" section? This is prima facie evidence that this change in use was not contemplated and therefore must be studied. 3. Development rights may be transferred within Newport Center, per LU 6.14.3 of the 2006 General Plan, subject to the approval of the City with the finding that the transfer is consistent with the General Plan and that the transfer will not result in any adverse traffic impacts. This project would transfer a portion of the existing development rights from Block 600 to Block 500. The transfer includes the conversion of 165 unbuilt hotel rooms to office space, and the transfer of this entitlement to Block 500. It also includes the removal of 17,300 square feet (sf) of health club, 16,444 sf of restaurant, and 8,289 sf of office from Block 600 and the transfer of the entitlements to Block 500. Although a traffic study was conducted, it inadequately accounted for the conversion of hotel rooms to office square footage, it failed to accurately reflect the baseline conditions, and it failed to fully analyze the impacts of transferring these development rights to a different part of Newport Center. The traffic study found impacts from this project, but determined that they were "feasibl[y] mitigated] ". The Addendum then argues that these impacts and mitigation were "consistent with the 2006 General Plan Circulation Element," however, for the reasons stated above, this is false. As quoted above, the land uses for the project area contemplated expanding retail uses and hotel rooms while limiting increased office development. This project is inconsistent with both goals of the General Plan because it Page 3 of 7 converts unbuilt hotel entitlements, reduces overall retail and health club uses and increases office development by a corresponding amount. The mitigation for the impacts caused by this project requires the applicant to construct a third eastbound turn lane at the intersection of MacArthur Boulevard and San Joaquin Hills Road. The Addendum states that the applicant "will work with the City on design and development of circulation enhancements in the North Newport Center area." This casual approach to mitigation is not supported under CEQA. A full EIR would and should establish a time -table and guidelines for these required mitigations. 4. The Affordable Housing Implementation Plan is unnecessarily vague and ambiguous. The applicant should commit now to the exact number of units and locations of the units and the proper environmental study must be undertaken. 5. The following provisions of the Development Agreement are not fully examined by the Addendum: • Cancellation of Circulation Improvement and Open Space Agreement and Bonita Canyon Annexation and Development Agreement o Comment: The 2006 General Plan EIR found that the City was hugely impacted in its parks. The deficiency was 38.8 acres. • Payment of in -lieu park fees for 430 residential units, including early payment of a portion of fees as matching grant for OASIS Senior Center o Comment: The 2006 General Plan EIR found that the City was hugely impacted in its parks. The deficiency was over 38.8 acres. • Circulation enhancements in the North Newport Center area o Comment: See comments above. • Impacts of the City using 375 parking spaces in the project area • Funding mechanisms for future mitigation after the increases on development fees are limited 6. The aesthetics section of the Addendum does not sufficiently analyze the potential degradation of the existing visual character or quality of the site and its surroundings or the impact or creation of a new source of substantial light or glare, which would adversely affect day or nighttime views in the area. The 2006 General Plan EIR stated that the "visual character would change as development intensity increased, but the impacts would not be considered significantly adverse... therefore, the proposed General Plan Update would have a less - than- significant impact on the visual character of developed urban areas." (See page 4.1 -19) The General Plan did not contemplate this intensive office building, therefore it could not have anticipated these two potential impacts. The proposed mitigation of merely requiring a shade study is insufficient. 7. There is no analysis of air quality impacts; in fact, the Addendum raises no possible significant environmental impacts, despite the fact the plan will add thousands of new workers operating thousands of automobiles in a congested area, and despite the fact that virtually every project in the South Coast Air Basin exceeds the thresholds of Page 4 of 7 significance established by the South Coast Air Quality Management District. We request that you reflect in the record of this matter the current standards of significance promulgated by SCAQMD for analyses of this type. 8. The climate change section of the Addendum quotes the 2006 General Plan EIR which states that the nature of the project area promotes a mixed -use, pedestrian- friendly district. (See page 4.2 -12). The Addendum states that the project is not expected to result in any climate change impacts due to greenhouse gas emissions beyond the impacts of the development set forth in the General Plan EIR. It is plain to see from these two statements alone that the Addendum is an insufficient environmental review. If the area is a mixed -use, pedestrian- friendly area and at least three of the mixed uses (health club, restaurant, and hotel) are removed as part of this project and converted to office uses (with the same traffic patterns of the other roughly 1,746,979 square feet of office/commercial), it cannot be argued that the 2006 EIR contemplated the impacts of this project and the changes in land uses. 9. The biological resources section of the Addendum argues that there are no possible impacts because the site has been developed for the last forty years. This project's adjacency to the back bay may cause the project to have an impact on protected migratory birds who fly into and out of the Back Bay and could be impacted by a ten - story building in their flight path and the increased glare from the glazing. 10. The Land Use and Planning section of the Addendum completely ignores LU 3.3 of the General Plan as stated above several times. This conversion conflicts directly with the land use plan and policy as stated in the General Plan and must be studied in an EIR. 11. The Recreation and Open Space section of the Addendum is supposed to analyze any potential impacts of the project which would increase the use of existing neighborhood and regional parks or other recreational facilities such that substantial physical deterioration of the facility would occur or be accelerated. This project is removing the 24 Hour Fitness located in the 600 Block of Newport Center. The City is already deficient by 38.8 acres of park acreage, with 7 of 12 service areas experiencing a deficit of recreational acreage. Through the Development Agreement, the project includes cancellation of the Circulation and Improvement and Open Space Agreement (CIOSA). Furthermore, the project includes the payment of park in -lieu fees. The preceding actions will all result in potential significant impacts and should be studied. Additionally, the payment of in -lieu fees instead of the actual dedication of land is not a proper mitigation since there is no guarantee that the land will ever be provided or available and no schedule of when the needed recreation and open space will be available is provided. 12. As was noted above with respect to air quality, a new, updated, and thorough review of the traffic impacts that will result from this project is required. The General Plan review did not foresee development of this magnitude in this area. Given the changes in regional traffic since even 2006, changes in the mix of residential and commercial uses in the area, substantial pending residential development in adjacent Page 5 of 7 cities, and construction of new roadways that may improve or exacerbate transportation in this area. The Addendum fails to conclude this new project may result in significant traffic impacts. This is simply not credible. The development agreement itself contains $5m+ for traffic improvements. Additionally, the Addendum claims that the 2006 EIR identifies that the implementation of the 2006 General Plan could result in a substantial increase in the number of vehicle trips, volume to capacity of roadways, and congestion at intersections when compared to existing conditions in the City. The General Plan traffic study and EIR did not analyze the impacts on any of the intersections in neighboring jurisdictions such as Irvine. Even if it had, it would not have contemplated this change in use. Hotel rooms, restaurants, and a 24 Hour Fitness have very different traffic patterns and impacts. then a ten -story office tower. Due to the lack of new residential projects and affordable housing in Newport Beach, additional office space will have huge impacts on the City of Irvine since anecdotal evidence suggests that most of the employees will be coming from the 5 and 405 freeways and thus traveling through Irvine to Newport Beach. Moving City Hall from its current location to Newport Center will result in changes in traffic patterns which were not contemplated by the 2006 EIR and insufficiently addressed by the Addendum. The traffic study states that a potential new City Hall of 72,000 sf would generate 108 peak hour trips These specific peak hour trips were not contemplated in the 2006 EIR. The impacts at MacArthur Blvd. and San Joaquin Hills Road, Goldenrod Avenue at Coast Highway and Marguerite Avenue at Coast Highway have not been sufficiently mitigated. It is not sufficient to state that there are no feasible improvements available at the latter two and that these two intersections operate at LOS "E." This project should study these impacts and propose mitigation. 13. The document discloses that the new office square footage could be built in Newport Center if the project is approved, but does not analyze the consequences of that development nor clearly indicate the relationship between this project and the subsequent actions which will bring thousands of new workers to this congested area. This, as you know, is "piecemealing" in violation of CEQA. Orinda Ass n v. Board of Supervisors (1986) 1.82Cal.App.3d 1145, 1171. The Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR has further inadequacies and inconsistencies beyond those detailed above. However this short letter is sufficient to demonstrate the point that the Addendum is insufficient. The law is quite clear that if a fair argument can be made that significant environmental issues may result from a project, even if a fair argument may be made to the contrary, an EIR must be completed. We respectfully submit that we have made that fair argument that this project may not go forward until a full EIR is prepared as required by CEQA. Administrative History/Planning Commission. It should be noted by this Council that at the Planning Commission hearing wherein this project was reviewed, there was a split of Page 6 of 7 the Commission on the question of the Environmental documentation. Commissioner Eaton noted his concern that the Commission is not following the right procedure to exclude public review on the environmental document. We agree. This project has been ram -rodded through the City with little or no input from residents of the cities of Newport Beach or the surrounding communities or from the City Councils of said communities, specifically the City of Irvine. Commissioner Hawkins, who as previously stated herein has represented a petitioner in their suit based on CEQA against the City of Irvine and the developer of the property at 2323 Main Street in Irvine, stated at the hearing that there are major problems with the Addendum. He noted that the General Plan argues against the conversion of hotel to office and that 40,000 square feet of additional office entitlement was "backed out" between the draft and final EIR. He concluded that the Addendum is not the appropriate environmental document. Conclusion . Reliance on an Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR is entirely inadequate for this substantial change to the Newport Beach general plan. The 2006 EIR inadequately studied many of the issues that are almost certain to arise if the new project is approved to intensify development in the Newport Center area. There is a substantial argument that substantial potentially significant environmental impacts will result fiom adoption of this project. An EIR is clearly required to identify and examine each of those impacts. We urge you to reject the proposed Addendum to the 2006 General Plan EIR and to prepare an EIR as CEQA requires. Considering this Council's haste with which to litigate CEQA matters, it should be noted that the option of retaining legal counsel and challenging the adequacy of the environmental review of this project in Court, should this Council proceed under this faulty environmental document, is available. The arguments being made by the law firm representing the City of Newport Beach, i f valid, will apply equally when viewed against this project. Thank you for your attention to these comments. We look forward to working with Newport Beach to reablve these concerts via a sufficient EIR and would welcome an opportunity to participate in a seopft meeting regarding that eflbrt. Very truly yours, Daniel Shanahan Page 7 of 7